How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: McClatchy-Marist National Poll of 1,035 Adults This survey of 1,035 adults was conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with the McClatchy News Service. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the continental United States were interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the nation from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. The two samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2010 Census results for age, gender, income, race, and region. Respondents in the household were selected by asking for the youngest male. Results are statistically significant within ±3.0 percentage points. There are 806 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.5 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations. Nature of the Sample National Adults National Registered Voters Col % Col % National Adults 100% National Registered Voters 78% 100% Democrat n/a 28% Republican n/a 25% Independent n/a 45% Other n/a 2% Strong Democrats n/a 17% Not strong Democrats n/a 11% Democratic leaning independents n/a 14% Just Independents n/a 12% Republican leaning independents n/a 18% Not strong Republicans n/a 10% Strong Republicans n/a 15% Other n/a 2% Very liberal n/a 6% Liberal n/a 16% Moderate n/a 36% Conservative n/a 30% Very conservative n/a 11% n/a 26% n/a 40% Party Identification Party Identification Political Ideology Tea Party Supporters Republicans Support Tea Party Do Not Support Tea Party Gender Age Age Race Region Household Income Education Marital Status Interview Type n/a 60% Men 50% 48% Women 50% 52% Under 45 43% 36% 45 or older 57% 64% 18 to 29 21% 14% 30 to 44 21% 22% 45 to 59 30% 32% 60 or older 27% 32% White 66% 71% African American 13% 12% Latino 14% 11% Other 7% 6% Northeast 18% 18% Midwest 22% 21% South 37% 37% West 23% 23% Less than $50,000 50% 46% $50,000 or more 50% 54% Not college graduate 59% 54% College graduate 41% 46% Married 50% 55% Not married 50% 45% Landline 56% 61% Cell phone 44% 39% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Adults. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=1035 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. National Registered Voters: n=806 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 40% 52% 8% Party Identification Democrat 80% 14% 6% Republican 7% 88% 6% Independent 35% 53% 11% Party Identification* Strong Democrats 89% 8% 3% Soft Democrats 65% 23% 11% Just Independents 23% 54% 23% Soft Republicans 17% 76% 7% Strong Republicans 5% 94% 1% 12% 81% 6% Support Tea Party 9% 88% 3% Do Not Support Tea Party 16% 79% 5% Very liberal-Liberal 77% 16% 6% Moderate 42% 45% 13% Conservative-Very conservative 16% 79% 5% Northeast 50% 47% 3% Midwest 42% 48% 11% South 37% 55% 8% West 34% 55% 11% Less than $50,000 40% 51% 10% $50,000 or more 40% 53% 7% Not college graduate 33% 56% 10% College graduate 47% 48% 5% White 33% 60% 7% African American 79% 9% 12% Latino 34% 46% 20% 18 to 29 42% 39% 20% 30 to 44 44% 49% 7% 45 to 59 35% 58% 7% 60 or older 39% 55% 6% Under 45 43% 45% 12% 45 or older 37% 56% 6% Men 38% 53% 9% Women 41% 51% 8% Married 33% 60% 6% Not married 46% 43% 10% Landline 38% 57% 6% Cell phone 42% 45% 13% Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=806 MOE +/3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 1 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row% Row% Row % August 2014 40% 52% 8% July 2014 40% 49% 11% April 2014 45% 52% 3% February 2014 42% 52% 5% December 2013 43% 53% 4% September 2013 44% 47% 9% July 2013 41% 48% 11% April 2013 50% 46% 4% March 2013 45% 48% 7% December 2012 50% 44% 6% November 2012 50% 46% 4% July 2012 47% 47% 6% March 2012 48% 47% 5% November 2011 43% 50% 7% September 2011 39% 52% 9% August 2011 44% 46% 10% June 2011 45% 47% 8% April 2011 44% 49% 6% January 2011 48% 43% 9% December 2010 42% 50% 8% November 23, 2010 45% 48% 7% October 28, 2010 48% 43% 9% October 8, 2010 43% 50% 7% September 22, 2010 45% 50% 5% June 30, 2010 44% 45% 11% March 31, 2010 46% 43% 11% February 8, 2010 44% 47% 9% December 8, 2009 46% 44% 10% October 14, 2009 53% 41% 6% August 12, 2009 55% 35% 10% June 8, 2009 56% 32% 12% April 27, 2009 55% 31% 14% April 8, 2009 56% 30% 14% Marist Poll National Registered Voters McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 2 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Republicans in Congress are doing in office? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 22% 68% 10% Party Identification Democrat 13% 81% 5% Republican 45% 39% 15% Independent 17% 73% 10% Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type 37% 51% 12% Support Tea Party 47% 41% 12% Do Not Support Tea Party 35% 54% 11% Very liberal-Liberal 13% 85% 2% Moderate 13% 79% 7% Conservative-Very conservative 35% 49% 16% Northeast 20% 74% 6% Midwest 24% 66% 10% South 23% 67% 11% West 21% 67% 11% Less than $50,000 27% 63% 10% $50,000 or more 19% 72% 9% Not college graduate 24% 63% 14% College graduate 19% 75% 6% White 21% 68% 11% Non-white 26% 66% 8% Under 45 27% 62% 11% 45 or older 19% 72% 9% Men 23% 69% 8% Women 21% 68% 11% Married 20% 70% 10% Not married 25% 65% 10% Landline 22% 69% 10% Cell phone 23% 67% 10% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters Split Sample. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=416 MOE +/- 4.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 3 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Republicans in Congress are doing in office? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % August 2014 22% 68% 10% April 2014 26% 69% 5% February 2014 22% 72% 6% December 2013 22% 74% 4% July 2013 22% 66% 12% April 2013 24% 71% 6% March 2013 26% 68% 7% December 2012 26% 67% 7% March 2012 31% 62% 8% November 2011 23% 70% 7% September 2011 26% 67% 8% August 2011 27% 62% 11% June 2011 27% 63% 10% April 2011 30% 63% 7% Marist Poll National Registered Voters McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 4 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Democrats in Congress are doing in office? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 32% 59% 9% Party Identification 67% 27% 7% Democrat Republican 8% 86% 6% Independent 24% 63% 13% Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type 9% 82% 9% Support Tea Party 6% 89% 5% Do Not Support Tea Party 12% 81% 7% Very liberal-Liberal 50% 39% 11% Moderate 35% 56% 9% Conservative-Very conservative 18% 74% 8% Northeast 33% 59% 8% Midwest 35% 55% 10% South 36% 54% 10% West 23% 69% 8% Less than $50,000 39% 52% 9% $50,000 or more 28% 63% 10% Not college graduate 30% 60% 10% College graduate 34% 57% 9% White 22% 67% 11% Non-white 57% 38% 5% Under 45 35% 53% 11% 45 or older 30% 62% 8% Men 32% 59% 9% Women 32% 58% 9% Married 26% 65% 10% Not married 39% 51% 10% Landline 32% 59% 9% Cell phone 32% 58% 10% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters Split Sample. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=416 MOE +/- 4.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 5 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Democrats in Congress are doing in office? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % August 2014 32% 59% 9% April 2014 32% 63% 5% February 2014 33% 60% 7% December 2013 33% 64% 3% July 2013 33% 57% 10% April 2013 32% 62% 6% March 2013 31% 62% 7% December 2012 35% 58% 7% March 2012 34% 59% 7% November 2011 28% 65% 7% September 2011 30% 63% 7% August 2011 35% 55% 11% June 2011 30% 60% 10% April 2011 34% 60% 6% Marist Poll National Registered Voters McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 6 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of how President Barack Obama is handling the economy? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 39% 58% 3% Party Identification Democrat 76% 19% 5% Republican 7% 91% 3% Independent 39% 58% 3% 13% 86% 0% Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type Support Tea Party 9% 91% 0% Do Not Support Tea Party 19% 78% 3% Very liberal-Liberal 70% 27% 3% Moderate 47% 49% 4% Conservative-Very conservative 15% 83% 2% Northeast 47% 52% 1% Midwest 42% 54% 4% South 32% 65% 3% West 44% 51% 4% Less than $50,000 39% 58% 3% $50,000 or more 40% 57% 3% Not college graduate 31% 65% 4% College graduate 47% 52% 1% White 32% 64% 4% Non-white 53% 45% 1% Under 45 45% 52% 3% 45 or older 35% 62% 3% Men 38% 59% 3% Women 41% 56% 4% Married 36% 62% 2% Not married 42% 54% 4% Landline 35% 62% 3% Cell phone 47% 49% 4% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters Split Sample. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=390 MOE +/- 5.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 7 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of how President Barack Obama is handling the economy? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % August 2014 39% 58% 3% April 2014 44% 54% 2% February 2014 41% 54% 5% December 2013 40% 58% 2% July 2013 37% 56% 7% April 2013 44% 53% 2% March 2013 40% 57% 4% December 2012 44% 52% 4% March 2012 46% 51% 3% November 2011 36% 59% 4% September 2011 33% 61% 6% June 2011 37% 58% 5% April 2011 40% 57% 3% January 2011 44% 48% 8% November 23, 2010 42% 55% 4% September 21, 2010 41% 56% 3% June 30, 2010 46% 48% 6% March 31, 2010 46% 49% 5% December 8, 2009 45% 51% 4% October 14, 2009 48% 47% 5% August 12, 2009 52% 41% 7% June 8, 2009 53% 41% 6% April 8, 2009 54% 37% 9% Marist Poll National Registered Voters McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 8 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of how President Barack Obama is handling foreign policy? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 33% 61% 6% Party Identification Democrat 65% 28% 8% Republican 8% 87% 4% Independent 31% 64% 5% 13% 87% 1% Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type Support Tea Party 4% 96% 0% Do Not Support Tea Party 13% 82% 5% Very liberal-Liberal 68% 28% 4% Moderate 39% 53% 8% Conservative-Very conservative 10% 86% 5% Northeast 41% 57% 2% Midwest 37% 56% 8% South 28% 65% 7% West 33% 63% 4% Less than $50,000 31% 64% 5% $50,000 or more 34% 61% 5% Not college graduate 27% 67% 7% College graduate 40% 56% 4% White 30% 66% 5% Non-white 38% 52% 9% Under 45 38% 58% 4% 45 or older 30% 64% 6% Men 30% 66% 4% Women 36% 56% 7% Married 30% 65% 5% Not married 38% 56% 6% Landline 32% 63% 5% Cell phone 35% 59% 6% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters Split Sample. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=390 MOE +/- 5.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 9 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of how President Barack Obama is handling foreign policy? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % August 2014 33% 61% 6% July 2014 37% 53% 10% April 2014 42% 52% 6% February 2014 43% 50% 8% December 2013 46% 51% 4% September 2013 38% 54% 8% July 2013 41% 48% 10% April 2013 48% 46% 6% March 2013 46% 47% 8% December 2012 51% 42% 7% March 2012 50% 45% 5% November 2011 49% 45% 6% April 2011 46% 48% 6% November 2010 44% 47% 9% June 2009 54% 32% 14% April 2009 55% 24% 21% Marist Poll National Registered Voters McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 10 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of how President Barack Obama is handling the confllict between Israel and Hamas? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 30% 55% 16% Party Identification Democrat 62% 27% 11% Republican 9% 78% 14% Independent 24% 60% 16% 10% 81% 9% Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type Support Tea Party 3% 90% 7% Do Not Support Tea Party 16% 66% 17% Very liberal-Liberal 50% 35% 15% Moderate 40% 45% 16% Conservative-Very conservative 10% 74% 16% Northeast 36% 54% 10% Midwest 30% 50% 19% South 27% 55% 18% West 28% 60% 12% Less than $50,000 27% 56% 16% $50,000 or more 31% 57% 11% Not college graduate 24% 58% 18% College graduate 36% 51% 13% White 28% 56% 15% Non-white 34% 52% 15% Under 45 31% 53% 17% 45 or older 28% 58% 14% Men 26% 63% 11% Women 33% 47% 19% Married 26% 58% 16% Not married 34% 51% 15% Landline 28% 57% 14% Cell phone 32% 51% 17% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters Split Sample. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=390 MOE +/- 5.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 11 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters Do you approve or disapprove of how President Barack Obama is handling the conflict in Ukraine? Approve Disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 32% 51% 17% Party Identification Democrat 62% 25% 13% Republican 16% 71% 13% Independent 24% 54% 21% 12% 73% 15% Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type Support Tea Party 9% 82% 9% Do Not Support Tea Party 17% 62% 21% Very liberal-Liberal 59% 26% 15% Moderate 31% 46% 22% Conservative-Very conservative 17% 68% 15% Northeast 36% 53% 11% Midwest 34% 46% 20% South 29% 56% 15% West 32% 44% 23% Less than $50,000 27% 53% 19% $50,000 or more 35% 51% 13% Not college graduate 27% 52% 21% College graduate 38% 49% 13% White 30% 55% 16% Non-white 36% 43% 21% Under 45 28% 51% 21% 45 or older 34% 53% 14% Men 30% 56% 14% Women 34% 46% 20% Married 31% 53% 16% Not married 33% 48% 19% Landline 30% 54% 16% Cell phone 35% 46% 19% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters Split Sample. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=390 MOE +/- 5.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 12 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Barack Obama? Favorable Unfavorable Unsure-Never Heard Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 43% 51% 6% Party Identification Democrat 79% 13% 8% Republican 12% 86% 3% Independent 41% 52% 7% 91% 6% 2% Soft Democrats 67% 23% 10% Just Independents 35% 52% 13% Soft Republicans 21% 75% 5% Strong Republicans 6% 93% 1% 16% 80% 3% Support Tea Party 14% 85% 1% Do Not Support Tea Party 17% 78% 5% Very liberal-Liberal 76% 20% 4% Moderate 51% 40% 9% Conservative-Very conservative 18% 77% 5% Northeast 50% 44% 6% Midwest 44% 48% 8% South 41% 54% 5% West 40% 53% 7% Less than $50,000 41% 52% 7% $50,000 or more 45% 50% 5% Not college graduate 37% 55% 8% College graduate 50% 46% 4% White 35% 59% 6% African American 81% 12% 7% Latino 53% 41% 6% 18 to 29 45% 37% 18% 30 to 44 47% 48% 5% 45 to 59 40% 56% 3% 60 or older 40% 54% 6% Under 45 46% 44% 10% 45 or older 40% 55% 4% Men 41% 51% 8% Women 44% 50% 5% Married 38% 57% 5% Not married 48% 43% 8% Landline 42% 54% 5% Cell phone 45% 46% 9% Party Identification* Strong Democrats Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=806 MOE +/3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 13 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables Registered Voters Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Barack Obama? Favorable Unfavorable Unsure-Never Heard Row % Row % Row % August 2014 43% 51% 6% April 2014 49% 49% 2% February 2014 47% 50% 3% January 2014 41% 48% 11% December 2013 46% 52% 3% July 2013 47% 46% 7% April 2013 53% 45% 2% March 2013 48% 48% 4% December 2012 53% 44% 3% July 2012 49% 46% 3% March 2012 50% 46% 3% November 2011 47% 49% 4% September 2011 46% 48% 5% August 2011 52% 41% 8% June 2011 50% 44% 6% April 2011 48% 48% 5% January 2011 53% 40% 8% November 23, 2010 47% 49% 4% October 28, 2010 54% 41% 5% October 8, 2010 50% 47% 3% September 22, 2010 49% 48% 3% June 30, 2010 50% 43% 7% March 31, 2010 53% 41% 6% February 8, 2010 50% 44% 6% December 8, 2009 55% 41% 4% Marist Poll National Registered Voters McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 14 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Adults In general, thinking about the way things are going in the country, do you feel things are going in the right direction or that things are going in the wrong direction? Right Direction Wrong Direction Unsure Row % Row % Row % National Adults 28% 64% 8% National Registered Voters 27% 66% 7% Party Identification^ Democrat 56% 37% 8% Republican 8% 90% 2% Independent 21% 70% 9% 68% 26% 6% Soft Democrats 33% 58% 9% Just Independents 16% 68% 16% Soft Republicans 15% 80% 5% Strong Republicans 4% 96% 0% Party Identification* Strong Democrats Tea Party Supporters^ Republicans Political Ideology^ Region Household Income Education Race Age Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type 12% 85% 3% Support Tea Party 10% 89% 0% Do Not Support Tea Party 12% 83% 4% Very liberal-Liberal 47% 45% 9% Moderate 33% 56% 11% Conservative-Very conservative 11% 87% 2% Northeast 35% 56% 8% Midwest 27% 63% 10% South 27% 66% 8% West 25% 69% 5% Less than $50,000 30% 64% 6% $50,000 or more 28% 65% 7% Not college graduate 26% 67% 8% College graduate 31% 61% 8% White 22% 72% 6% African American 53% 30% 16% Latino 30% 60% 11% 18 to 29 33% 60% 7% 30 to 44 31% 58% 10% 45 to 59 24% 68% 8% 60 or older 25% 69% 6% Under 45 32% 59% 9% 45 or older 25% 68% 7% Men 30% 63% 7% Women 26% 66% 8% Married 22% 71% 7% Not married 34% 58% 8% Landline 25% 67% 8% Cell phone 32% 60% 8% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Adults. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=1035 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. ^National Registered Voters: n=806 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 15 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Adults In general, thinking about the way things are going in the country, do you feel things are going in the right direction or that things are going in the wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Unsure Row % Row % Row % August 2014 28% 64% 8% April 2014 32% 64% 3% February 13, 2014 33% 64% 3% February 5, 2014 30% 63% 8% December 2013 30% 66% 4% July 2013 30% 60% 11% April 2013 38% 58% 4% March 2013 35% 60% 5% December 2012 40% 55% 5% March 2012 43% 53% 4% November 2011 25% 70% 4% September 2011 22% 73% 5% August 2011 21% 70% 10% June 2011 32% 59% 9% April 2011 31% 64% 5% January 2011 41% 47% 12% December 2010 34% 58% 8% November 23, 2010 41% 53% 6% October 28, 2010 38% 52% 10% September 22, 2010 41% 56% 3% July 6, 2010 37% 56% 7% March 31, 2010 43% 53% 4% February 8, 2010 38% 54% 8% December 8, 2009 46% 46% 8% October 14, 2009 47% 47% 6% August 12, 2009 50% 42% 8% June 8, 2009 50% 40% 10% April 27, 2009 44% 44% 12% April 15, 2009 49% 40% 11% November 2007 23% 67% 10% May 2007 26% 65% 9% February 2007 29% 63% 8% December 2006 31% 60% 9% October 2006 33% 58% 9% February 2006 34% 61% 5% October 2005 31% 62% 7% May 2005 38% 56% 6% February 2005 47% 48% 5% October 21, 2004 42% 55% 3% October 07, 2004 39% 53% 8% September 2004 38% 52% 10% August 2004 40% 48% 12% July 2004 37% 52% 11% April 2004 43% 51% 6% March 2004 43% 52% 5% November 2003 45% 48% 7% April 2003 55% 34% 11% January 2003 42% 48% 10% October 2002 45% 46% 9% April 2002 60% 32% 8% January 2002 60% 30% 10% March 2001 41% 44% 15% January 2001 56% 32% 12% Marist Poll National Adults McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 16 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters If November's election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate are you more likely to vote for in your district: Democrat Republican Neither Undecided Row % Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 38% 43% 6% 12% Party Identification 91% 4% 2% 3% Democrat Republican 3% 92% 2% 4% Independent 26% 40% 12% 22% Party Identification* Strong Democrats 97% 1% 2% 0% Soft Democrats 73% 8% 8% 11% Just Independents 14% 25% 22% 40% Soft Republicans 5% 80% 3% 13% Strong Republicans 2% 94% 3% 1% 11% 72% 4% 13% 1% 89% 2% 8% Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type Support Tea Party Do Not Support Tea Party 5% 83% 2% 10% Very liberal-Liberal 72% 10% 7% 11% Moderate 42% 35% 9% 14% Conservative-Very conservative 17% 69% 4% 11% Northeast 42% 44% 8% 7% Midwest 36% 42% 6% 17% South 38% 44% 6% 12% West 37% 43% 7% 13% Less than $50,000 41% 42% 6% 11% $50,000 or more 36% 43% 7% 14% Not college graduate 34% 45% 6% 14% College graduate 42% 41% 7% 10% White 34% 48% 6% 12% African American 64% 19% 1% 15% Latino 40% 38% 11% 11% 18 to 29 39% 35% 11% 14% 30 to 44 38% 44% 7% 11% 45 to 59 34% 46% 5% 14% 60 or older 41% 43% 5% 11% Under 45 39% 41% 9% 12% 45 or older 37% 45% 5% 13% Men 33% 43% 8% 16% Women 42% 43% 5% 9% Married 32% 49% 6% 13% Not married 45% 37% 8% 11% Landline 35% 45% 7% 13% Cell phone 42% 40% 6% 12% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=806 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 17 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters If November's election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate are you more likely to vote for in your district: Democrat Republican Neither Undecided Row % Row % Row % Row % August 2014 38% 43% 6% 12% April 2014 48% 42% 4% 6% February 2014 46% 44% 4% 5% December 2013 43% 43% 6% 8% Marist Poll National Registered Voters McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 18 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters Is your impression of President Obama a major factor, a minor factor, or not a factor at all in deciding your vote for congress this November? Major factor Minor factor Not a factor at all Unsure Row % Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 29% 17% 52% 2% Party Identification Democrat 28% 20% 49% 2% Republican 42% 14% 40% 4% Independent 22% 15% 61% 1% 33% 17% 49% 1% Soft Democrats 17% 21% 60% 2% Just Independents 20% 12% 68% 1% Soft Republicans 27% 16% 55% 2% Strong Republicans 56% 13% 27% 4% 39% 20% 39% 2% Support Tea Party 44% 17% 36% 2% Do Not Support Tea Party 33% 14% 51% 2% Very liberal-Liberal 23% 16% 59% 2% Moderate 22% 21% 57% 0% Conservative-Very conservative 39% 14% 43% 4% Northeast 25% 19% 54% 2% Midwest 28% 14% 56% 2% South 34% 17% 47% 3% West 26% 18% 55% 1% Less than $50,000 37% 13% 47% 4% $50,000 or more 21% 22% 57% 1% Not college graduate 35% 14% 48% 3% College graduate 23% 19% 57% 1% White 30% 18% 50% 3% African American 31% 7% 62% 0% Latino 26% 19% 53% 2% 18 to 29 20% 22% 57% 1% 30 to 44 26% 18% 54% 2% 45 to 59 25% 19% 55% 1% 60 or older 40% 12% 45% 4% Under 45 24% 20% 55% 1% 45 or older 32% 15% 50% 2% Men 26% 19% 54% 2% Women 33% 15% 50% 3% Married 27% 17% 55% 1% Not married 32% 17% 48% 4% Landline 33% 15% 49% 3% Cell phone 24% 19% 56% 2% Party Identification* Strong Democrats Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=806 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 19 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters Does your impression of President Obama make you: More likely to vote for a Republican for congress this November More likely to vote for a Democrat for congress this November No difference to vote Unsure Row % Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 42% 32% 20% 6% Party Identification Democrat 7% 77% 13% 3% Republican 81% 2% 15% 1% Independent 41% 22% 26% 10% Party Identification* Strong Democrats 3% 86% 9% 2% Soft Democrats 9% 59% 25% 7% Just Independents 29% 14% 38% 19% Soft Republicans 76% 2% 17% 4% Strong Republicans 83% 2% 13% 2% Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type 75% 8% 10% 6% Support Tea Party 89% 0% 7% 3% Do Not Support Tea Party 72% 3% 22% 3% Very liberal-Liberal 7% 63% 23% 6% Moderate 33% 33% 27% 7% Conservative-Very conservative 69% 14% 12% 5% Northeast 46% 35% 16% 3% Midwest 38% 30% 22% 9% South 42% 32% 19% 7% West 43% 30% 22% 5% Less than $50,000 41% 38% 14% 7% $50,000 or more 42% 28% 24% 6% Not college graduate 45% 30% 16% 8% College graduate 38% 34% 24% 4% White 47% 27% 20% 6% African American 15% 61% 18% 6% Latino 42% 29% 18% 10% 18 to 29 38% 31% 21% 10% 30 to 44 37% 33% 25% 4% 45 to 59 47% 26% 22% 6% 60 or older 43% 36% 14% 7% Under 45 37% 32% 24% 7% 45 or older 45% 31% 18% 6% Men 43% 26% 23% 8% Women 41% 36% 18% 5% Married 48% 25% 22% 5% Not married 35% 40% 17% 7% Landline 44% 30% 21% 5% Cell phone 40% 33% 19% 8% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=806 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 20 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters Impeachment is the first step in the constitutional process for removing a president from office. Do you think Congress should or should not begin impeachment proceedings to remove President Obama from office? Should begin Should not begin impeachment impeachment Unsure proceedings proceedings National Registered Voters Party Identification Region Household Income Education Race Age Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type Row % 69% 6% 6% 91% 2% Republican 45% 48% 8% Independent 26% 69% 6% 3% 96% 1% Soft Democrats 11% 86% 2% Just Independents 21% 68% 12% Soft Republicans 39% 55% 6% Strong Republicans 51% 42% 7% 49% 46% 5% Support Tea Party 52% 43% 5% Do Not Support Tea Party 36% 56% 8% Very liberal-Liberal 9% 89% 3% Moderate 15% 79% 6% Conservative-Very conservative 43% 49% 8% Northeast 19% 76% 5% Midwest 21% 74% 5% South 32% 62% 6% West 25% 68% 7% Less than $50,000 32% 64% 5% $50,000 or more 20% 75% 5% Not college graduate 33% 58% 8% College graduate 16% 80% 3% White 27% 67% 6% Tea Party Supporters Political Ideology Row % 26% Democrat Party Identification* Strong Democrats Republicans Row % African American 4% 92% 4% Latino 35% 57% 9% 18 to 29 27% 66% 7% 30 to 44 25% 68% 8% 45 to 59 24% 72% 4% 60 or older 27% 67% 6% Under 45 26% 67% 7% 45 or older 25% 69% 5% Men 24% 70% 6% Women 27% 67% 6% Married 28% 66% 6% Not married 22% 71% 7% Landline 26% 69% 5% Cell phone 24% 69% 7% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=806 MOE +/3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 21 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters If the Republicans in Congress begin impeachment proceedings against President Obama are you: More likely to vote for a Republican for congress this November More likely to vote for a Democrat for congress this November No difference to vote Unsure Row % Row % Row % Row % 38% 43% 14% 5% Democrat 8% 85% 5% 2% Republican 78% 8% 11% 2% Independent 32% 39% 20% 9% 6% 91% 2% 0% National Registered Voters Party Identification Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats 5% 83% 8% 4% Just Independents 25% 21% 39% 15% Soft Republicans 65% 12% 15% 8% Strong Republicans 82% 7% 10% 0% 70% 14% 12% 4% Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type Support Tea Party 84% 4% 9% 3% Do Not Support Tea Party 62% 15% 17% 7% Very liberal-Liberal 13% 74% 11% 2% Moderate 27% 49% 18% 6% Conservative-Very conservative 60% 21% 13% 7% Northeast 39% 49% 8% 4% Midwest 34% 45% 13% 8% South 38% 41% 15% 5% West 38% 40% 17% 5% Less than $50,000 38% 48% 8% 6% $50,000 or more 38% 41% 17% 4% Not college graduate 42% 39% 13% 7% College graduate 32% 47% 16% 4% White 41% 38% 15% 6% African American 11% 74% 13% 3% Latino 39% 41% 16% 4% 18 to 29 30% 48% 14% 8% 30 to 44 36% 43% 17% 5% 45 to 59 39% 40% 17% 4% 60 or older 40% 44% 10% 6% Under 45 34% 45% 16% 6% 45 or older 40% 42% 13% 5% Men 39% 40% 16% 5% Women 36% 46% 12% 6% Married 42% 36% 16% 6% Not married 31% 50% 13% 6% Landline 38% 40% 16% 6% Cell phone 36% 47% 11% 5% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=806 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 22 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters The Republicans in Congress are talking about suing President Obama over an executive order he issued to delay part of the health care law. Do you think congress should or should not sue President Obama? Should sue President Should not sue Obama President Obama Unsure National Registered Voters Party Identification Region Household Income Education Race Age Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type Row % 58% 8% 8% 87% 5% Republican 57% 34% 9% Independent 35% 55% 10% 4% 93% 3% Soft Democrats 15% 80% 5% Just Independents 33% 47% 20% Soft Republicans 49% 44% 7% Strong Republicans 63% 25% 12% 64% 27% 9% Support Tea Party 69% 26% 5% Do Not Support Tea Party 43% 45% 12% Very liberal-Liberal 15% 79% 6% Moderate 22% 67% 11% Conservative-Very conservative 54% 38% 8% Northeast 29% 64% 8% Midwest 36% 57% 7% South 34% 58% 8% West 36% 54% 10% Less than $50,000 38% 55% 8% $50,000 or more 30% 61% 9% Not college graduate 42% 48% 10% College graduate 24% 69% 7% White 36% 54% 10% African American 10% 87% 3% Latino 41% 52% 7% 18 to 29 33% 54% 12% 30 to 44 31% 58% 11% 45 to 59 35% 59% 6% 60 or older 35% 57% 8% Under 45 32% 57% 11% 45 or older 35% 58% 7% Men 35% 57% 8% Women 33% 59% 9% Married 35% 57% 8% Not married 33% 58% 9% Landline 34% 58% 8% Cell phone 33% 58% 9% Tea Party Supporters Political Ideology Row % 34% Democrat Party Identification* Strong Democrats Republicans Row % McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=806 MOE +/3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 23 McClatchy-Marist Poll National Tables National Registered Voters If the Republicans in Congress sue President Obama are you: More likely to vote for a Republican for congress this November More likely to vote for a Democrat for congress this November No difference to vote Unsure Row % Row % Row % Row % National Registered Voters 37% 42% 14% 6% Party Identification Democrat 5% 88% 4% 3% Republican 78% 6% 12% 4% Independent 34% 36% 20% 10% Party Identification* Strong Democrats 2% 96% 1% 0% Soft Democrats 8% 76% 8% 7% Just Independents 21% 23% 39% 17% Soft Republicans 66% 12% 16% 7% Strong Republicans 84% 5% 10% 2% Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Region Household Income Education Race Age Age Gender Marital Status Interview Type 72% 11% 13% 5% Support Tea Party 82% 5% 10% 2% Do Not Support Tea Party 64% 13% 16% 7% Very liberal-Liberal 11% 72% 12% 5% Moderate 25% 50% 18% 7% Conservative-Very conservative 63% 20% 12% 6% Northeast 39% 47% 8% 6% Midwest 36% 44% 15% 5% South 38% 42% 13% 7% West 36% 37% 21% 7% Less than $50,000 38% 45% 10% 6% $50,000 or more 37% 40% 16% 6% Not college graduate 40% 38% 14% 7% College graduate 34% 46% 15% 5% White 41% 37% 15% 7% African American 10% 78% 13% 0% Latino 38% 39% 17% 6% 18 to 29 29% 46% 14% 11% 30 to 44 34% 43% 21% 3% 45 to 59 44% 38% 14% 5% 60 or older 37% 43% 12% 8% Under 45 32% 44% 18% 6% 45 or older 41% 40% 13% 6% Men 39% 39% 16% 5% Women 36% 45% 13% 7% Married 44% 35% 16% 5% Not married 30% 50% 13% 7% Landline 38% 40% 17% 6% Cell phone 37% 45% 11% 7% McClatchy-Marist Poll National Registered Voters. Interviews conducted August 4th through August 7th, 2014, n=806 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents. McClatchy-Marist Poll August 2014 24