Interviews with 1,017 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on July 22-25, 2015. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 898 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points). This sample includes 615 interviews among landline respondents and 402 interviews among cell phone respondents. EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Sunday, July 26 at 9:00 a.m. 3. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) All Americans Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion Hillary Clinton 45% 48% 1% 6% Jeb Bush 33% 43% 11% 12% Donald Trump 33% 58% 2% 7% Mike Huckabee 30% 32% 22% 15% Rand Paul 28% 34% 23% 14% Marco Rubio 24% 27% 33% 16% Bernie Sanders 23% 22% 41% 13% Ted Cruz 22% 34% 31% 13% Scott Walker 21% 23% 42% 13% Ben Carson 20% 19% 48% 14% POLL 7 3 -2- July 22-25, 2015 3. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) Registered Voters Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion Hillary Clinton 44% 49% 1% 5% Jeb Bush 34% 45% 10% 11% Donald Trump 34% 59% 1% 7% Mike Huckabee 31% 35% 20% 14% Rand Paul 29% 36% 21% 14% Marco Rubio 26% 29% 29% 17% Ted Cruz 24% 35% 28% 13% Bernie Sanders 24% 23% 38% 14% Scott Walker 23% 24% 39% 14% Ben Carson 21% 19% 47% 13% (FULL TRENDS ON FOLLOWING PAGES) POLL 7 3 -3- July 22-25, 2015 3. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion July 22-25, 2015 45% 48% 1% 6% May 29-31, 2015 March 13-15, 2015 November 21-23, 2014 May 29-June 1, 2014 March 7-9, 2014 October 18-20, 2013 May 17-18, 2013 March 15-17, 2013 November 16-18, 2012 May 29-31, 2012 September 23-35, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 January 14-16, 2011 October 27-30, 2010 April 9-11, 2010 January 22-24, 2010 December 16-20, 2009 October 16-18, 2009 July 31-Aug. 3, 2009 April 23-26, 2009 December 1-2, 2008 August 29-31, 2008 August 23-24, 2008 July 27-29, 2008 June 26-29, 2008 April 28-30, 2008 February 1-3, 2008 January 9-10, 2008 September 7-9, 2007 June 23-24, 2007 March 9-11, 2007 November 3-5, 2006 September 22-24, 2006 46% 53% 59% 55% 57% 59% 61% 63% 67% 67% 69% 65% 66% 62% 61% 62% 64% 65% 61% 64% 66% 58% 56% 56% 53% 51% 52% 53% 53% 51% 49% 51% 50% 50% 44% 38% 42% 41% 37% 36% 33% 28% 29% 26% 31% 31% 34% 35% 35% 30% 32% 35% 34% 33% 40% 40% 42% 44% 46% 44% 39% 39% 44% 44% 40% 45% * 1% 1% * * * 1% 1% 1% * * * * * * 1% 1% * * 1% * * * * * * * 1% 1% * 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 2% 5% 3% 4% 2% 1% 1% 4% 2% 3% 3% * 7% 7% 4% 5% 7% 4% Hillary Clinton CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS ON NEXT PAGE POLL 7 3 -4- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Fav. 2006 2006 Apr 21-23 2005 2005 Oct 21-23 2005 Jul 25-28 2005 May 20-22 2005 Feb 25-27 2004 2004 Jul 19-21* 2003 2003 Oct 24-26 2003 Sep 19-21 2003 Jun 27-29* 2003 Jun 9-10 2003 Mar 14-15 2002 2002 Dec 16-17 2002 Sep 23-26 2001 2001 Aug 3-5 2001 Mar 5-7 2001 Feb 19-21 2001 Feb 1-4 2000 2000 Nov 13-15 2000 Oct 25-28 2000 Aug 4-5 2000 Feb 4-6 1999 1999 Dec 9-12 1999 Sep 23-26 1999 Aug 3-4 1999 Jul 22-24 1999 Jun 25-27 1999 Mar 5-7 1999 Feb 19-21 1999 Feb 4-8 1998 1998 Dec 28-29 1998 Oct 9-12*** 1998 Sep 14-15 1998 Aug 21-23 1998 Aug 10-12 1998 Aug 7-8 1998 Feb 13-15 1998 Jan 30-Feb 1 1998 Jan 24-25 1998 Jan 23-24 Unfav. DK 50 42 8 54 53 55 53 41 43 39 41 5 4 6 6 56 38 6 51 54 52 53 45 44 40 44 43 46 5 6 4 4 9 48 47 46 44 6 9 51 44 49 52 44 53 44 43 5 3 7 5 56 52 45 55 39 43 50 39 5 5 5 6 48 56 56 62 56 65 65 66 48 40 41 35 42 31 30 31 4 4 3 3 2 4 5 3 67 63 61 61 60 60 60 64 61 60 29 33 33 33 36 35 36 34 33 35 4 4 6 6 4 5 4 2 6 5 1997 1997 Dec 18-21 1997 Oct 27-29 1997 Jun 26-29 1997 Feb 24-26 1997 Jan 31-Feb 2 1997 Jan 10-13 1996 1996 Oct 26-29*** 1996 Aug 28-29** 1996 Aug 16-18** 1996 Aug 5-7** 1996 Jun 18-19 1996 Mar 15-17 1996 Jan 12-15 1995 1995 Jul 7-9 1995 Mar 17-19 1995 Jan 16-18 1994 1994 Nov 28-29 1994 Sep 6-7 1994 Jul 15-17 1994 Apr 23-24 1994 Mar 25-27 1994 Mar 7-8 1994 Jan. 15-17 1993 1993 Nov. 2-4 1993 Sept. 24-26 1993 Aug. 8-10 1993 July 19-21 1993 June 5-6 1993 April 22-24 1993 March 22-24 1993 Jan. 29-31 1992 1992 Nov. 10-11 1992 Aug 31-Sept 2 1992 Aug. 19-20 1992 July 17-18 1992 July 6-8 1992 April 20-22 1992 March 20-22 Fav. 60 56 61 51 51 55 56 Unfav. 35 38 34 42 42 39 37 DK 5 6 5 7 6 6 7 49 51 47 48 46 47 43 43 41 48 45 47 48 51 8 8 5 7 6 5 6 50 49 50 44 44 44 6 7 6 50 48 48 56 52 55 57 44 47 46 40 42 40 36 6 5 6 4 6 5 7 58 62 57 56 50 61 61 67 34 27 33 34 31 27 31 22 8 11 10 10 19 12 8 11 49 56 48 51 45 38 39 30 25 31 24 30 39 26 21 19 21 25 25 23 35 *Asked of a half sample. **Based on likely voters. ***Based on registered voters. 2002-March 2003 WORDING: New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton. POLL 7 3 -5- July 22-25, 2015 3. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) FavorUnfavorNever No able able heard of opinion Bernie Sanders July 22-25, 2015 23% 22% 41% 13% Jeb Bush July 22-25, 2015 33% 43% 11% 12% 31% 33% 47% 40% 14% 8% 9% 19% March 13-15, 2015 May 14-17, 2009 QUESTION WORDING MAY, 2009: "Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush" CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion 44 38 5 13 2005 Apr 1-2 ^ QUESTION WORDING: “Florida Governor Jeb Bush” Donald Trump July 22-25, 2015 April 29-May 1, 2011 33% 58% 2% 7% 31% 64% * 4% CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Donald Trump 2005 Jun 16-19 1999 Oct 8-10 1999 Sep 23-26 Rand Paul July 22-25, 2015 Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of No opinion 50 33 41 38 58 47 2 2 3 10 7 9 28% 34% 23% 14% 31% 30% 29% 9% 24% 27% 33% 16% March 13-15, 2015 25% 26% 39% 9% August 7-8, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 32% 28% 22% 22% 30% 36% 16% 14% March 13-15, 2015 Marco Rubio July 22-25, 2015 QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO 2015: "Florida Senator Mario Rubio" POLL 7 3 -6- July 22-25, 2015 3. We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) FavorUnfavorNever No able able heard of opinion Scott Walker July 22-25, 2015 21% 23% 42% 13% March 13-15, 2015 21% 21% 48% 10% 20% 19% 48% 14% 22% 14% 56% 8% 30% 32% 22% 15% March 13-15, 2015 35% 30% 26% 9% April 29-May 1, 2011 October 27-30, 2010 April 9-11, 2010 October 16-18, 2009 May 14-17, 2009 February 1-3, 2008 January 9-10, 2008 46% 42% 43% 43% 45% 38% 38% 27% 26% 29% 26% 25% 37% 30% 15% 16% 12% 13% 13% 9% 12% 12% 16% 16% 18% 17% 16% 20% 34% 31% 13% Ben Carson July 22-25, 2015 March 13-15, 2015 Mike Huckabee July 22-25, 2015 QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO 2015: "Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee" Ted Cruz July 22-25, 2015 POLL 7 3 22% -7- July 22-25, 2015 6. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion All Americans July 22-25, 2015 20% 24% 27% 12% 15% 1% June 28 – July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* 25% 22% 20% 22% 26% 28% 25% 18% 21% 24% 22% 26% 25% 21% 24% 27% 21% 17% 25% 30% 26% 26% 27% 24% 24% 31% 31% 13% 12% 13% 11% 11% 10% 13% 16% 17% 13% 15% 15% 15% 15% 13% 11% 13% 13% * * * * * 1% * * * Registered Voters July 22-25, 2015 22% 26% 27% 13% 11% * Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 38% 37% 30% 32% 31% 28% 24% 22% 24% 28% 29% 28% 20% 23% 37% 34% 30% 26% 36% 32% 19% 30% 25% 27% 25% 27% 25% 23% 26% 27% 23% 25% 30% 22% 17% 32% 24% 30% 28% 34% 32% 34% 17% 20% 22% 20% 23% 25% 29% 26% 27% 28% 25% 24% 30% 31% 16% 23% 23% 27% 17% 23% 31% 9% 9% 15% 11% 10% 13% 11% 13% 10% 9% 10% 11% 16% 17% 7% 11% 11% 13% 8% 9% 11% 5% 9% 6% 11% 9% 9% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 7% 12% 12% 8% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 4% 1% * * * 1% * * * * * 1% * * * * * * * 1% * 1% POLL 7 3 -8- July 22-25, 2015 BASED ON 254 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 138 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A TOTAL OF 392 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS-- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5% PTS.) 6. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion Registered Democrats July 22-25, 2015 18% 28% 28% 15% 11% 1% Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 37% 39% 30% 32% 29% 27% 25% 20% 21% 21% 26% 26% 13% 16% 45% 45% 36% 28% 38% 31% 19% 33% 25% 29% 24% 29% 32% 21% 29% 28% 22% 29% 30% 21% 14% 34% 23% 30% 32% 27% 26% 29% 17% 21% 23% 23% 24% 26% 33% 27% 31% 34% 29% 27% 35% 36% 13% 20% 21% 27% 19% 23% 31% 6% 8% 13% 9% 11% 9% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 12% 18% 19% 4% 7% 6% 9% 8% 10% 16% 5% 7% 6% 12% 6% 6% 10% 12% 9% 12% 6% 5% 12% 15% 3% 5% 6% 4% 7% 10% 5% 1% * * * 1% * * * 1% * 2% * * * * * * * 1% * * POLL 7 3 -9- July 22-25, 2015 BASED ON 230 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 189 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 419 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/5% PTS.) 6. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year’s election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Extremely enthusiastic Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion Registered Republicans July 22-25, 2015 28% 27% 27% 9% 10% * Nov. 2-4, 2012 Sept. 28-30, 2012 Sept. 7-9, 2012 Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012 Aug. 22-23, 2012 June 28-July 1, 2012 Mar. 24-25, 2012 Feb. 10-13, 2012 Jan. 11-12, 2012 Oct. 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 March 11-13, 2011 Oct. 5-7, 2010* Sept. 21-23, 2010* Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008 Oct. 17-19, 2008 Sept. 5-7, 2008 June 23-24, 2007 Oct. 14-16 2004 Sept. 3-5 2004 Oct. 24-26 2003 42% 38% 32% 35% 35% 31% 25% 26% 26% 38% 38% 33% 29% 31% 28% 24% 26% 27% 35% 31% 19% 28% 27% 25% 27% 26% 20% 27% 25% 28% 26% 23% 31% 25% 22% 32% 26% 28% 25% 42% 39% 39% 17% 17% 19% 17% 22% 24% 25% 25% 25% 20% 18% 19% 25% 27% 19% 27% 26% 27% 15% 21% 32% 9% 11% 17% 12% 8% 15% 13% 15% 12% 7% 10% 10% 13% 13% 9% 12% 15% 16% 6% 6% 7% 4% 7% 7% 8% 10% 9% 11% 10% 9% 9% 10% 6% 8% 7% 12% 10% 4% 6% 2% 3% 2% 1% * * 1% * 1% * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1% *QUESTION WORDING: How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for Congress this year -- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? POLL 7 3 -10- July 22-25, 2015 BASED ON 252 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 208 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 460 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 11. I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, Scott Walker or Jim Gilmore. (RANDOM ORDER) July 22-25 2015 Trump Bush Walker Rubio Cruz Paul Huckabee Carson Christie Kasich Perry Graham Jindal Pataki Fiorina Santorum Gilmore Pence Portman Ryan Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion 19% 15% 10% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% * N/A N/A N/A 3% 4% 3% June 26-28 May 29-31 Apr. 16-19 Mar. 13-15 Feb. 12-15 Dec. 18-21 Nov. 21-23 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 12% 19% 6% 6% 3% 7% 8% 7% 3% 2% 4% 1% 2% * 1% 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A 7% 6% 3% 3% 13% 10% 14% 8% 8% 10% 7% 4% 1% 5% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A 5% 2% 1% N/A 17% 12% 11% 7% 11% 9% 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% * 2% 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A 5% 5% 2% N/A 16% 13% 7% 4% 12% 10% 9% 7% 2% 4% 1% 1% N/A * 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A 4% 6% 3% N/A 14% 11% 5% 3% 10% 16% 8% 7% 2% 3% 1% 1% N/A 1% 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A 4% 7% 3% N/A 23% 4% 5% 4% 6% 6% 7% 13% 3% 4% N/A 4% N/A N/A 2% N/A * * 5% 5% 5% 3% N/A 14% 5% 3% 7% 8% 10% 11% 9% 3% 5% N/A 1% N/A N/A 2% N/A 1% * 9% 6% 2% 4% November, 2014 results show second choice of respondents who initially supported Mitt Romney when his name was included in the list. POLL 7 3 -11- July 22-25, 2015 BASED ON 230 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 189 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 419 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 11. I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, Scott Walker or Jim Gilmore (RANDOM ORDER) Trump Bush Walker Cruz Paul Rubio Huckabee Carson Christie Kasich Perry Jindal Santorum Fiorina Graham Pataki Gilmore Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion July 22-25 2015 June 26-28 2015 18% 15% 10% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% * 4% 4% 3% 12% 17% 6% 3% 8% 7% 5% 8% 3% 3% 4% 2% 4% 1% 1% * N/A 5% 6% 3% (RV) = Registered voter POLL 7 3 -12- July 22-25, 2015 BASED ON 252 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 208 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 460 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 12. And who would be your second choice? FIRST CHOICE (Question 11) Trump Bush Walker Rubio Cruz Paul Huckabee Carson Christie Kasich Perry Graham Jindal Pataki Fiorina Santorum Gilmore Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 7 3 19% 15% 10% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% * 3% 4% 3% FIRST CHOICE (Question 12) 12% 14% 9% 11% 7% 5% 9% 5% 2% 3% 3% * 2% 1% 4% 1% * 3% 6% 2% -13- July 22-25, 2015 BASED ON 252 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 208 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 460 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 230 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 189 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 419 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 13. Which best describes how you currently feel about the Republican field of candidates for president: (RANDOM ORDER) There are one or two candidates you would rather see win the nomination over the others You see the field as wide open, and it’s too early to say which candidates you might support in the end Don’t care who wins (vol.) No opinion 14. July 22-25 2015 (RV) 47% 48% 52% * 1% 51% * 1% How satisfied are you with the field of Republican candidates running for President? Are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all? Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion POLL 7 3 July 22-25 2015 July 22-25 2015 July 22-25 2015 (RV) 24% 51% 18% 6% 1% 23% 51% 19% 6% 1% Feb. 10-13 2012 Oct. 14-16 2011 July 18-20 2011 May 24-26 2011 Sep. 7-9 2007 May 4-6 2007 9% 46% 31% 13% 1% 18% 48% 23% 10% * 14% 52% 25% 9% * 16% 45% 28% 11% 1% 19% 54% 19% 6% 1% 20% 50% 21% 5% 3% -14- July 22-25, 2015 BASED ON 252 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 208 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 460 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 230 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 189 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 419 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 15. Other than [CANDIDATE CHOICE IN Q11], which Republican presidential candidate do you most want to see on stage during the upcoming debates? (RANDOM ORDER) Trump Bush Walker Cruz Rubio Paul Carson Huckabee Perry Christie Kasich Fiorina Graham Jindal Santorum Pataki Gilmore Someone else (vol.) All of them None/No one No opinion 16. July 22-25 2015 July 22-25 2015 (RV) 18% 13% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% * * 1% 1% 5% 5% 18% 14% 7% 7% 8% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% * 1% 1% 5% 5% Thinking about Donald Trump’s candidacy for president, what would you most like to see happen: (RANDOM ORDER) Donald Trump remains in the race for the Republican nomination for president Donald Trump drops out of the Republican nomination contest and runs for president as an independent Donald Trump drops out of the race for president altogether No opinion POLL 7 3 July 22-25 2015 July 22-25 2015 (RV) 49% 52% 17% 15% 34% * 33% * -15- July 22-25, 2015 BASED ON 276 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 171 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 447 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 17. I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb or Lincoln Chafee. (RANDOM ORDER) Clinton Sanders Biden Webb O'Malley Chafee Warren Cuomo Patrick Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion July 22-25 2015 June 26-28 2015 May 29-31 2015 Apr. 16-19 2015 Mar. 13-15 2015 Feb. 12-15 2015 Dec. 18-21 2014 Nov. 21-23 2014 57% 18% 14% 2% * * N/A N/A N/A 5% 3% 2% 57% 14% 16% 2% 1% * N/A N/A N/A 4% 5% 1% 60% 10% 14% 2% 1% * N/A N/A N/A 7% 5% 1% 69% 5% 11% 3% 1% 1% N/A N/A N/A 5% 3% 2% 62% 3% 15% 1% 1% N/A 10% N/A N/A 6% 2% 1% 61% 3% 14% 2% 1% N/A 10% N/A N/A 6% 2% 1% 66% 3% 8% 1% 1% N/A 9% 1% * 6% 2% 2% 65% 5% 9% 1% * N/A 10% 1% 1% 4% 3% 1% BASED ON 254 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 138 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 392 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5.0 PERCENTAGE PTS. Clinton Sanders Biden Webb O’Malley Chafee Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion POLL 7 3 July 22-25 2015 June 26-28 2015 56% 19% 15% 1% * * 4% 3% 1% 58% 15% 17% 1% 1% * 2% 4% 1% -16- July 22-25, 2015 BASED ON 276 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 171 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 447 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 254 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 138 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 392 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 18. And who would be your second choice? FIRST CHOICE SECOND CHOICE (Question 17) (Question 18) Clinton Sanders Biden Webb O’Malley Chaffee Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion 19. 21% 13% 38% 3% 5% 1% 6% 12% 1% How satisfied are you with the field of Democratic candidates running for President? Are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all? Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion POLL 7 3 57% 18% 14% 2% * * 5% 3% 2% July 22-25 2015 July 22-25 2015 (RV) Sep. 7-9 2007 May 4-6 2007 25% 46% 18% 9% 1% 26% 45% 20% 9% 1% 19% 54% 19% 6% 1% 20% 50% 21% 5% 3% -17- July 22-25, 2015 20. For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER) Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush Clinton Bush Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion All Americans July 22-25, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 May 29-31, 2015 Apr. 16-19, 2015 Mar. 13-15, 2015 Dec. 18-21, 2014 Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014 Dec. 16-19, 2013 51% 54% 51% 56% 55% 54% 59% 58% 46% 41% 43% 39% 40% 41% 36% 36% * 1% * * * 1% * 1% 3% 3% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% * 1% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 1% Registered Voters July 22-25, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 51% 54% 46% 41% * 1% 3% 3% * * Clinton Trump Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion All Americans July 22-25, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 57% 59% 38% 34% 1% * 4% 6% * 1% Registered Voters July 22-25, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 56% 59% 40% 35% * * 4% 6% * * Clinton Walker Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion All Americans July 22-25, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 May 29-31, 2015 Apr. 16-19, 2015 Mar. 13-15, 2015 54% 57% 49% 59% 55% 43% 38% 46% 37% 40% * * * * * 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% Registered Voters July 22-25, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 53% 57% 44% 40% * * 2% 3% 1% * Businessman Donald Trump Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker POLL 7 3 -18- July 22-25, 2015 21. And now, let’s assume Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Bernie Sanders. (RANDOM ORDER) Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush Sanders Bush Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion All Americans July 22-25, 2015 48% 47% * 5% * Registered Voters July 22-25, 2015 47% 48% * 4% 1% Sanders Trump Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion All Americans July 22-25, 2015 58% 38% * 3% * Registered Voters July 22-25, 2015 59% 38% * 3% * Sanders Walker Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion All Americans July 22-25, 2015 48% 42% * 8% 2% Registered Voters July 22-25, 2015 48% 43% * 7% 2% Businessman Donald Trump Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker POLL 7 3 -19- July 22-25, 2015 QUESTIONS 22 AND 23 ROTATED 22. Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president next year? (RANDOM ORDER) July 22-25 2015 Clinton Biden Sanders O’Malley Webb Chafee Someone else (vol.) No opinion 75% 9% 8% 1% 1% * 2% 4% FOR COMPARISON QUESTION WORDING: Just your best guess… regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president this year? Obama Clinton No opinion POLL 7 3 Apr. 28-30 2008 Jan. 9-10 2008 Oct.12-14 2007 57% 37% 5% 38% 55% 3% 16% 64% 6% -20- July 22-25, 2015 23. Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year? (RANDOM ORDER) July 22-25 2015 Bush 39% Trump 18% Walker 11% Rubio 6% Cruz 4% Christie 3% Paul 3% Carson 2% Huckabee 2% Graham 1% Kasich 1% Perry 1% Santorum 1% Fiorina * Gilmore * Jindal * Pataki * Someone else (vol.) 2% No opinion 6% FOR COMPARISON QUESTION WORDING: Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president this year? Romney Santorum Gingrich Paul Someone else (vol.) Bachmann Cain Huntsman Perry None/ No one (vol.) No opinion POLL 7 3 Feb. 10-13 2012 Dec. 16-18 2011 Oct. 14-16 2011 Sept. 9-11 2011 68% 13% 11% 5% * N/A N/A N/A N/A 1% 2% 41% 2% 37% 4% * 6% N/A * 4% 2% 3% 51% 1% 3% 3% * 3% 18% * 14% N/A 8% 28% 1% 6% 4% * 3% 5% 1% 41% 3% 2% -21- July 22-25, 2015 METHODOLOGY A total of 1,017 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 29% described themselves as Democrats, 22% described themselves as Republicans, and 49% described themselves as independents or members of another party. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A". POLL 7 3 -22- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3A We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. A. Hillary Clinton Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------45% 42% 47% 35% 48% 54% 43% 59% 6% 4% 8% 5% 1% * 1% 1% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----45% 48% 6% 1% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------45% 53% 48% 40% 6% 5% 1% 2% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----45% 48% 6% 1% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----81% 15% 4% 1% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----45% 48% 6% 1% * +/-3.0 North east ----45% 47% 7% * * +/-6.5 1834 ----45% 45% 7% 2% * +/-7.5 3549 ----48% 45% 6% * * +/-7.0 5064 ----43% 49% 8% * * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------36% 57% 7% * * +/-4.5 65+ ----40% 57% 3% 1% * +/-5.0 No College ------44% 49% 6% 2% * +/-5.5 Independent -----37% 53% 9% 2% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----46% 49% 4% 1% * +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------61% 44% 21% 30% 49% 73% 8% 5% 5% 1% 1% 1% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----41% 52% 6% 1% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------45% 48% 6% * * +/-4.0 Republican -----14% 82% 4% * * +/-6.0 South ----42% 51% 7% 1% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----47% 45% 7% 1% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----64% 28% 7% 1% * +/-6.5 West ----47% 45% 6% 2% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----50% 41% 8% 1% * +/-5.0 Urban ----50% 40% 9% 1% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------26% 69% 4% * * +/-5.0 Suburban ----45% 49% 6% * * +/-4.5 Rural ----33% 59% 4% 3% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -23- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3A We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. A. Hillary Clinton Base = Registered voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------44% 41% 47% 34% 49% 54% 44% 60% 5% 4% 7% 4% 1% * 2% 1% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----44% 49% 5% 1% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------44% 53% 49% 42% 5% 4% 1% 2% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----44% 49% 5% 1% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----83% 13% 4% * * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----44% 49% 5% 1% * +/-3.5 North east ----46% 47% 6% * * +/-7.0 1834 ----47% 45% 5% 3% * +/-8.5 3549 ----48% 46% 6% * * +/-7.5 5064 ----42% 50% 7% * * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------38% 56% 7% * * +/-5.0 65+ ----39% 58% 3% 1% * +/-5.0 No College ------42% 51% 5% 2% * +/-6.0 Independent -----33% 57% 7% 2% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----46% 49% 4% 1% * +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------62% 44% 21% 29% 49% 76% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----41% 53% 5% 1% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------46% 48% 5% * * +/-4.0 Republican -----14% 82% 4% * * +/-6.5 South ----42% 51% 6% 1% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----48% 45% 6% 1% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----72% 23% 3% 2% * +/-7.0 West ----45% 49% 5% 2% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----49% 41% 8% 1% * +/-5.5 Urban ----50% 40% 9% * * +/-6.0 Conservative ------25% 71% 4% * * +/-5.0 Suburban ----45% 49% 5% 1% * +/-5.0 Rural ----32% 63% 2% 3% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -24- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3B We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. B. Bernie Sanders Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------23% 31% 17% 25% 22% 27% 18% 25% 13% 12% 14% 12% 41% 30% 51% 38% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 22% 13% 41% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------23% 21% 22% 19% 13% 12% 41% 48% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 22% 13% 41% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----29% 13% 13% 44% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 22% 13% 41% * +/-3.0 North east ----26% 24% 12% 37% * +/-6.5 1834 ----23% 11% 8% 58% * +/-7.5 3549 ----23% 25% 16% 36% * +/-7.0 5064 ----24% 28% 14% 33% 1% +/-6.0 $50K or more ------27% 26% 15% 31% * +/-4.5 65+ ----25% 29% 16% 31% * +/-5.0 No College ------16% 17% 14% 53% * +/-5.5 Independent -----26% 22% 11% 41% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----22% 25% 13% 39% * +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------20% 24% 12% 18% 23% 31% 15% 14% 16% 48% 38% 41% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----24% 28% 15% 32% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------29% 26% 12% 32% * +/-4.0 Republican -----11% 34% 17% 38% * +/-6.0 South ----19% 23% 15% 43% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----23% 17% 12% 48% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----40% 14% 9% 37% * +/-6.5 West ----30% 17% 11% 43% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----25% 17% 13% 45% * +/-5.0 Urban ----23% 23% 13% 41% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------12% 34% 16% 38% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----23% 24% 15% 38% * +/-4.5 Rural ----21% 23% 12% 44% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -25- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3B We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. B. Bernie Sanders Base = Registered voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------24% 32% 17% 27% 23% 27% 18% 26% 14% 13% 16% 13% 38% 28% 48% 34% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----24% 23% 14% 38% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------24% 20% 23% 19% 14% 13% 38% 48% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----24% 23% 14% 38% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----31% 13% 14% 42% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----24% 23% 14% 38% * +/-3.5 North east ----27% 22% 14% 36% * +/-7.0 1834 ----23% 10% 9% 57% * +/-8.5 3549 ----25% 23% 18% 34% * +/-7.5 5064 ----25% 29% 15% 31% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------29% 27% 15% 29% * +/-5.0 65+ ----25% 30% 15% 30% * +/-5.0 No College ------16% 17% 18% 50% * +/-6.0 Independent -----27% 24% 12% 37% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----23% 27% 13% 37% * +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------19% 24% 11% 17% 23% 33% 17% 14% 17% 47% 38% 38% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----25% 30% 15% 30% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------30% 27% 12% 31% * +/-4.0 Republican -----11% 33% 18% 37% * +/-6.5 South ----21% 22% 16% 40% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----24% 16% 14% 46% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----44% 13% 9% 34% * +/-7.0 West ----29% 20% 12% 39% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----26% 17% 14% 42% * +/-5.5 Urban ----25% 23% 14% 38% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------11% 34% 17% 37% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----23% 24% 16% 36% * +/-5.0 Rural ----23% 25% 12% 41% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -26- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3C We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. C. Jeb Bush Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------33% 37% 30% 37% 43% 46% 41% 44% 12% 10% 14% 11% 11% 7% 15% 8% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----33% 43% 12% 11% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------33% 30% 43% 44% 12% 11% 11% 14% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----33% 43% 12% 11% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----20% 55% 13% 12% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----33% 43% 12% 11% * +/-3.0 North east ----35% 39% 14% 11% * +/-6.5 1834 ----24% 40% 9% 27% * +/-7.5 3549 ----27% 49% 18% 5% * +/-7.0 5064 ----37% 43% 16% 4% * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------39% 44% 11% 6% * +/-4.5 65+ ----53% 39% 6% 2% * +/-5.0 No College ------32% 37% 16% 16% * +/-5.5 Independent -----30% 44% 14% 12% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----31% 49% 16% 5% * +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------28% 34% 43% 42% 45% 37% 14% 11% 10% 16% 10% 10% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----44% 41% 12% 3% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------35% 48% 9% 7% * +/-4.0 Republican -----58% 26% 8% 7% * +/-6.0 South ----37% 41% 9% 13% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----26% 45% 13% 17% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----12% 62% 13% 12% * +/-6.5 West ----28% 46% 12% 14% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----32% 42% 15% 11% * +/-5.0 Urban ----29% 50% 12% 9% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------48% 33% 9% 9% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----36% 40% 12% 12% * +/-4.5 Rural ----39% 39% 12% 10% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -27- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3C We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. C. Jeb Bush Base = Registered voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------34% 36% 33% 38% 45% 47% 42% 46% 11% 10% 13% 9% 10% 7% 12% 7% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----34% 45% 11% 10% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------34% 30% 45% 47% 11% 9% 10% 14% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----34% 45% 11% 10% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----20% 55% 14% 10% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----34% 45% 11% 10% * +/-3.5 North east ----33% 40% 17% 10% * +/-7.0 1834 ----23% 43% 7% 27% * +/-8.5 3549 ----26% 51% 17% 5% * +/-7.5 5064 ----39% 44% 14% 2% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------39% 44% 11% 6% * +/-5.0 65+ ----53% 39% 6% 2% * +/-5.0 No College ------32% 38% 16% 14% * +/-6.0 Independent -----32% 48% 11% 10% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----33% 49% 15% 2% * +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------27% 34% 45% 44% 45% 38% 14% 11% 10% 15% 10% 6% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----45% 42% 11% 2% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------36% 49% 8% 7% * +/-4.0 Republican -----59% 25% 8% 8% * +/-6.5 South ----38% 43% 8% 11% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----24% 47% 12% 16% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----14% 66% 12% 8% * +/-7.0 West ----30% 48% 8% 14% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----31% 45% 13% 11% * +/-5.5 Urban ----29% 51% 12% 8% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------50% 33% 9% 8% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----36% 42% 12% 10% * +/-5.0 Rural ----41% 41% 10% 8% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -28- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3D We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. D. Donald Trump Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------33% 39% 27% 38% 58% 54% 62% 53% 7% 6% 8% 7% 2% 1% 3% 1% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----33% 58% 7% 2% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------33% 29% 58% 63% 7% 7% 2% 2% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----33% 58% 7% 2% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----14% 80% 5% * * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----33% 58% 7% 2% * +/-3.0 North east ----29% 56% 11% 4% * +/-6.5 1834 ----23% 68% 6% 3% * +/-7.5 3549 ----36% 55% 7% 2% * +/-7.0 5064 ----38% 54% 8% 1% * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------38% 56% 5% 1% * +/-4.5 65+ ----37% 56% 6% * * +/-5.0 No College ------35% 54% 9% 3% * +/-5.5 Independent -----36% 54% 8% 3% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----37% 57% 5% 1% * +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------23% 34% 45% 69% 59% 47% 6% 7% 7% 3% 1% 1% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----37% 55% 7% * * +/-4.0 Attended College -------31% 62% 6% 1% * +/-4.0 Republican -----50% 41% 7% 2% * +/-6.0 South ----33% 56% 8% 3% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----29% 62% 7% 3% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----15% 78% 4% 3% * +/-6.5 West ----32% 65% 3% * * +/-6.5 Moderate ----31% 59% 9% 1% * +/-5.0 Urban ----26% 64% 7% 4% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------46% 45% 7% 1% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----36% 56% 6% 1% * +/-4.5 Rural ----36% 55% 7% 1% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -29- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3D We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. D. Donald Trump Base = Registered voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------34% 38% 29% 40% 59% 56% 61% 53% 7% 6% 8% 7% 1% * 1% * * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----34% 59% 7% 1% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------34% 28% 59% 64% 7% 7% 1% 1% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----34% 59% 7% 1% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----13% 80% 6% * * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----34% 59% 7% 1% * +/-3.5 North east ----32% 55% 13% * * +/-7.0 1834 ----23% 69% 6% 2% * +/-8.5 3549 ----36% 57% 8% * * +/-7.5 5064 ----38% 54% 7% 1% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------38% 56% 5% * * +/-5.0 65+ ----38% 55% 7% * * +/-5.0 No College ------36% 54% 9% 1% * +/-6.0 Independent -----39% 53% 7% 1% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----36% 57% 6% 1% * +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------22% 34% 47% 70% 59% 46% 6% 7% 6% 1% 1% 1% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----38% 55% 7% * * +/-4.0 Attended College -------32% 62% 6% * * +/-4.0 Republican -----51% 42% 8% * * +/-6.5 South ----34% 58% 6% 1% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----29% 63% 7% 1% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----14% 80% 4% 3% * +/-7.0 West ----32% 65% 3% * * +/-7.0 Moderate ----31% 61% 9% * * +/-5.5 Urban ----26% 65% 7% 1% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------48% 45% 7% * * +/-5.0 Suburban ----37% 57% 6% * * +/-5.0 Rural ----39% 55% 6% * * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -30- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3E We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. E. Rand Paul Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------28% 36% 21% 35% 34% 36% 33% 35% 14% 12% 16% 13% 23% 16% 30% 18% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----28% 34% 14% 23% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------28% 21% 34% 34% 14% 14% 23% 31% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----28% 34% 14% 23% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----10% 46% 14% 29% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----28% 34% 14% 23% * +/-3.0 North east ----25% 35% 14% 26% * +/-6.5 1834 ----26% 20% 14% 39% * +/-7.5 3549 ----29% 34% 14% 23% * +/-7.0 5064 ----28% 42% 14% 16% * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------37% 37% 12% 14% * +/-4.5 65+ ----29% 47% 15% 8% 1% +/-5.0 No College ------25% 26% 17% 31% * +/-5.5 Independent -----33% 27% 15% 24% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----33% 33% 16% 18% * +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------16% 29% 37% 34% 36% 29% 16% 14% 13% 34% 21% 20% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----29% 45% 14% 12% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------30% 40% 12% 17% * +/-4.0 Republican -----40% 34% 13% 14% * +/-6.0 South ----26% 35% 14% 26% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----28% 27% 14% 32% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----18% 45% 12% 24% * +/-6.5 West ----30% 34% 13% 22% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----27% 31% 14% 28% * +/-5.0 Urban ----20% 42% 12% 26% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------36% 33% 15% 16% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----31% 33% 13% 23% * +/-4.5 Rural ----38% 26% 17% 19% 1% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -31- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3E We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. E. Rand Paul Base = Registered voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------29% 37% 20% 37% 36% 38% 34% 37% 14% 11% 17% 12% 21% 13% 28% 15% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----29% 36% 14% 21% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------29% 22% 36% 35% 14% 13% 21% 29% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----29% 36% 14% 21% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----10% 47% 15% 27% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----29% 36% 14% 21% * +/-3.5 North east ----26% 33% 16% 25% * +/-7.0 1834 ----25% 21% 13% 40% * +/-8.5 3549 ----30% 34% 16% 20% * +/-7.5 5064 ----31% 43% 13% 14% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------36% 38% 13% 13% * +/-5.0 65+ ----30% 49% 14% 7% 1% +/-5.0 No College ------24% 29% 18% 29% * +/-6.0 Independent -----36% 30% 14% 20% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----35% 35% 16% 14% * +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------13% 29% 40% 36% 36% 32% 17% 14% 11% 34% 21% 17% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----30% 46% 13% 11% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------31% 41% 12% 16% * +/-4.0 Republican -----39% 34% 12% 14% * +/-6.5 South ----25% 39% 12% 24% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----27% 28% 15% 30% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----19% 47% 12% 21% * +/-7.0 West ----31% 37% 12% 20% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----26% 35% 13% 26% * +/-5.5 Urban ----20% 45% 14% 22% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------36% 33% 16% 15% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----30% 35% 14% 20% * +/-5.0 Rural ----42% 27% 13% 17% 1% +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -32- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3F We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. F. Marco Rubio Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------24% 27% 21% 30% 27% 34% 20% 26% 16% 15% 18% 12% 33% 24% 42% 32% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----24% 27% 16% 33% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------24% 17% 27% 27% 16% 16% 33% 40% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----24% 27% 16% 33% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----9% 39% 18% 33% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----24% 27% 16% 33% * +/-3.0 North east ----25% 23% 18% 34% * +/-6.5 1834 ----10% 22% 15% 53% * +/-7.5 3549 ----25% 24% 20% 30% * +/-7.0 5064 ----28% 31% 16% 24% * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------31% 29% 15% 24% * +/-4.5 65+ ----40% 32% 12% 16% * +/-5.0 No College ------19% 22% 17% 42% * +/-5.5 Independent -----20% 26% 18% 36% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----26% 26% 14% 34% * +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------13% 26% 34% 29% 29% 16% 23% 17% 11% 35% 29% 39% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----33% 32% 14% 21% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------28% 31% 15% 26% * +/-4.0 Republican -----53% 12% 9% 26% * +/-6.0 South ----23% 28% 14% 34% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----17% 23% 18% 42% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----7% 43% 18% 32% * +/-6.5 West ----23% 29% 20% 28% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----19% 27% 18% 36% * +/-5.0 Urban ----22% 30% 17% 31% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------41% 17% 13% 28% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----27% 26% 16% 31% * +/-4.5 Rural ----22% 22% 17% 38% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -33- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3F We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. F. Marco Rubio Base = Registered voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------26% 28% 24% 32% 29% 36% 22% 27% 17% 15% 18% 12% 29% 21% 37% 28% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----26% 29% 17% 29% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------26% 17% 29% 30% 17% 15% 29% 38% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----26% 29% 17% 29% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----10% 41% 20% 29% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----26% 29% 17% 29% * +/-3.5 North east ----23% 24% 21% 31% * +/-7.0 1834 ----12% 25% 15% 48% * +/-8.5 3549 ----22% 27% 21% 30% * +/-7.5 5064 ----30% 32% 17% 21% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------33% 29% 16% 21% * +/-5.0 65+ ----42% 32% 12% 14% * +/-5.0 No College ------19% 24% 19% 37% * +/-6.0 Independent -----23% 29% 18% 29% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----27% 26% 16% 31% * +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------13% 26% 37% 33% 29% 17% 23% 17% 11% 32% 29% 34% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----35% 32% 15% 18% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------30% 31% 15% 24% * +/-4.0 Republican -----52% 11% 10% 28% * +/-6.5 South ----25% 30% 15% 30% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----17% 26% 18% 39% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----8% 48% 19% 25% * +/-7.0 West ----28% 33% 16% 24% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----20% 29% 19% 33% * +/-5.5 Urban ----23% 33% 17% 27% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------42% 18% 14% 26% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----29% 27% 17% 26% * +/-5.0 Rural ----25% 23% 18% 34% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -34- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3G We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. G. Scott Walker Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------21% 26% 17% 25% 23% 31% 15% 23% 13% 13% 14% 14% 42% 30% 54% 38% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----21% 23% 13% 42% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------21% 19% 23% 19% 13% 12% 42% 50% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----21% 23% 13% 42% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----8% 32% 11% 49% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----21% 23% 13% 42% * +/-3.0 North east ----22% 23% 12% 42% * +/-6.5 1834 ----12% 20% 7% 61% * +/-7.5 3549 ----19% 26% 16% 39% * +/-7.0 5064 ----22% 22% 16% 39% * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------24% 28% 13% 34% * +/-4.5 65+ ----37% 22% 18% 23% * +/-5.0 No College ------18% 15% 16% 51% * +/-5.5 Independent -----20% 23% 14% 43% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----26% 26% 14% 34% * +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------15% 23% 30% 21% 24% 12% 12% 14% 14% 52% 39% 43% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----28% 22% 17% 32% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------24% 28% 12% 36% * +/-4.0 Republican -----41% 9% 16% 33% * +/-6.0 South ----19% 21% 15% 45% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----16% 23% 11% 51% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----4% 41% 9% 46% * +/-6.5 West ----18% 22% 12% 47% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----17% 23% 15% 45% * +/-5.0 Urban ----23% 27% 13% 37% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------37% 11% 16% 37% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----21% 22% 15% 42% * +/-4.5 Rural ----22% 17% 11% 50% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -35- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3G We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. G. Scott Walker Base = Registered voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------23% 28% 18% 27% 24% 32% 16% 24% 14% 13% 15% 14% 39% 27% 50% 35% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 24% 14% 39% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------23% 21% 24% 21% 14% 13% 39% 46% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 24% 14% 39% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----9% 33% 12% 46% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----23% 24% 14% 39% * +/-3.5 North east ----24% 23% 12% 41% * +/-7.0 1834 ----14% 24% 5% 57% * +/-8.5 3549 ----20% 25% 17% 38% * +/-7.5 5064 ----24% 23% 17% 36% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------25% 29% 12% 34% * +/-5.0 65+ ----38% 22% 19% 21% * +/-5.0 No College ------21% 16% 19% 45% * +/-6.0 Independent -----24% 25% 14% 38% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----27% 27% 14% 32% * +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------16% 23% 33% 22% 24% 13% 13% 14% 15% 48% 39% 39% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----30% 23% 18% 30% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------24% 29% 11% 35% * +/-4.0 Republican -----42% 9% 17% 32% * +/-6.5 South ----21% 22% 16% 41% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----17% 25% 11% 48% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----5% 46% 10% 40% * +/-7.0 West ----22% 24% 12% 41% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----18% 25% 16% 41% * +/-5.5 Urban ----24% 27% 14% 35% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------39% 10% 16% 35% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----23% 24% 16% 37% * +/-5.0 Rural ----24% 17% 12% 47% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -36- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3H We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. H. Ben Carson Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------20% 23% 17% 23% 19% 26% 12% 17% 14% 15% 13% 14% 48% 36% 58% 47% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----20% 19% 14% 48% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------20% 14% 19% 19% 14% 13% 48% 54% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----20% 19% 14% 48% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----8% 23% 12% 57% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----20% 19% 14% 48% * +/-3.0 North east ----18% 23% 14% 45% * +/-6.5 1834 ----9% 14% 15% 61% * +/-7.5 3549 ----20% 21% 13% 46% * +/-7.0 5064 ----26% 21% 12% 41% * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------27% 21% 14% 38% * +/-4.5 65+ ----30% 20% 14% 36% * +/-5.0 No College ------17% 18% 14% 51% * +/-5.5 Independent -----21% 19% 14% 46% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----21% 16% 12% 52% * +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------15% 21% 31% 23% 19% 11% 13% 13% 15% 49% 47% 43% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----27% 21% 13% 39% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------22% 19% 14% 44% * +/-4.0 Republican -----35% 12% 15% 38% * +/-6.0 South ----21% 21% 14% 44% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----14% 17% 15% 54% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----4% 28% 15% 53% * +/-6.5 West ----20% 14% 14% 51% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----13% 20% 15% 51% * +/-5.0 Urban ----19% 20% 14% 47% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------37% 11% 12% 40% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----20% 19% 14% 47% * +/-4.5 Rural ----23% 17% 14% 47% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -37- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3H We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. H. Ben Carson Base = Registered voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------21% 25% 18% 24% 19% 25% 13% 17% 13% 14% 11% 14% 47% 35% 58% 45% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----21% 19% 13% 47% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------21% 14% 19% 19% 13% 11% 47% 55% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----21% 19% 13% 47% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----8% 24% 12% 56% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----21% 19% 13% 47% * +/-3.5 North east ----19% 21% 16% 45% * +/-7.0 1834 ----8% 15% 12% 64% * +/-8.5 3549 ----21% 17% 15% 47% * +/-7.5 5064 ----28% 21% 12% 39% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------28% 20% 14% 38% * +/-5.0 65+ ----30% 22% 13% 35% * +/-5.0 No College ------19% 17% 13% 51% * +/-6.0 Independent -----24% 20% 12% 45% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----22% 16% 13% 48% * +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------17% 21% 32% 22% 19% 12% 10% 13% 15% 51% 47% 41% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----29% 22% 12% 37% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------23% 20% 13% 44% * +/-4.0 Republican -----36% 10% 16% 38% * +/-6.5 South ----21% 20% 13% 45% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----14% 16% 14% 56% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----4% 31% 11% 54% * +/-7.0 West ----24% 18% 10% 49% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----14% 20% 14% 52% * +/-5.5 Urban ----18% 20% 15% 46% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------39% 10% 13% 38% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----22% 20% 12% 47% * +/-5.0 Rural ----24% 17% 12% 47% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -38- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3I We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. I. Mike Huckabee Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------30% 32% 28% 37% 32% 38% 27% 33% 15% 13% 17% 13% 22% 17% 28% 16% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----30% 32% 15% 22% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------30% 26% 32% 29% 15% 14% 22% 31% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----30% 32% 15% 22% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----10% 42% 19% 29% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----30% 32% 15% 22% * +/-3.0 North east ----27% 32% 20% 22% * +/-6.5 1834 ----16% 26% 17% 41% * +/-7.5 3549 ----33% 32% 17% 18% * +/-7.0 5064 ----31% 38% 15% 15% * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------34% 38% 15% 12% * +/-4.5 65+ ----47% 35% 10% 8% * +/-5.0 No College ------31% 22% 17% 30% * +/-5.5 Independent -----29% 33% 15% 23% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----31% 30% 20% 19% * +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------17% 31% 54% 32% 35% 19% 17% 14% 8% 34% 20% 18% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----38% 37% 13% 12% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------29% 40% 14% 16% * +/-4.0 Republican -----59% 17% 10% 14% * +/-6.0 South ----32% 30% 11% 26% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----24% 29% 17% 30% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----9% 51% 15% 25% * +/-6.5 West ----28% 39% 12% 21% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----20% 35% 19% 26% * +/-5.0 Urban ----25% 37% 13% 25% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------54% 19% 11% 16% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----29% 32% 17% 22% * +/-4.5 Rural ----42% 28% 15% 15% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -39- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3I We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. I. Mike Huckabee Base = Registered voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------31% 33% 30% 39% 35% 40% 30% 36% 14% 12% 16% 13% 20% 15% 24% 13% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----31% 35% 14% 20% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------31% 27% 35% 30% 14% 13% 20% 30% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----31% 35% 14% 20% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----10% 44% 18% 27% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----31% 35% 14% 20% * +/-3.5 North east ----25% 35% 21% 19% * +/-7.0 1834 ----16% 28% 16% 40% * +/-8.5 3549 ----32% 34% 19% 15% * +/-7.5 5064 ----33% 40% 13% 14% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------35% 41% 14% 9% * +/-5.0 65+ ----47% 37% 8% 8% * +/-5.0 No College ------33% 22% 17% 28% * +/-6.0 Independent -----33% 36% 14% 18% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----34% 31% 21% 15% * +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------17% 31% 57% 33% 35% 21% 14% 14% 8% 35% 20% 14% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----39% 39% 11% 11% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------30% 43% 12% 14% * +/-4.0 Republican -----58% 19% 10% 13% * +/-6.5 South ----34% 32% 10% 24% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----24% 31% 18% 28% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----9% 57% 12% 22% * +/-7.0 West ----31% 42% 8% 19% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----21% 36% 20% 23% * +/-5.5 Urban ----25% 43% 12% 21% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------55% 20% 10% 15% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----31% 33% 17% 19% * +/-5.0 Rural ----45% 30% 13% 13% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -40- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3J We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. J. Ted Cruz Base = Total Sample Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------22% 25% 19% 26% 34% 41% 28% 34% 13% 11% 14% 13% 31% 22% 39% 26% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----22% 34% 13% 31% * +/-3.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------22% 17% 34% 31% 13% 11% 31% 40% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----22% 34% 13% 31% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----6% 46% 12% 36% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----22% 34% 13% 31% * +/-3.0 North east ----19% 34% 11% 35% * +/-6.5 1834 ----11% 31% 10% 47% * +/-7.5 3549 ----22% 35% 14% 28% * +/-7.0 5064 ----26% 35% 15% 23% 1% +/-6.0 $50K or more ------27% 41% 13% 19% * +/-4.5 65+ ----33% 37% 11% 19% * +/-5.0 No College ------18% 27% 16% 40% * +/-5.5 Independent -----23% 32% 12% 34% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----24% 31% 15% 29% * +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------14% 24% 38% 35% 35% 20% 10% 13% 13% 41% 28% 29% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----29% 36% 13% 22% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------25% 40% 10% 24% * +/-4.0 Republican -----42% 23% 15% 19% * +/-6.0 South ----23% 34% 13% 29% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----16% 33% 12% 38% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----8% 46% 9% 38% * +/-6.5 West ----21% 37% 10% 32% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----16% 37% 13% 33% * +/-5.0 Urban ----18% 41% 12% 29% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------37% 24% 15% 24% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----22% 33% 13% 32% * +/-4.5 Rural ----32% 20% 16% 31% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -41- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 3J We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. J. Ted Cruz Base = Registered voters Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------24% 28% 20% 28% 35% 40% 31% 34% 13% 11% 15% 14% 28% 21% 34% 23% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----24% 35% 13% 28% * +/-3.5 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------24% 19% 35% 33% 13% 11% 28% 37% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----24% 35% 13% 28% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----7% 48% 13% 32% * +/-6.0 Favorable Opinion Unfavorable Opinion Heard of, no Opinion Never heard of Refused Sampling Error Total ----24% 35% 13% 28% * +/-3.5 North east ----19% 35% 14% 31% * +/-7.0 1834 ----13% 34% 10% 43% * +/-8.5 3549 ----24% 34% 15% 27% * +/-7.5 5064 ----28% 36% 15% 21% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------28% 40% 13% 18% * +/-5.0 65+ ----33% 37% 11% 18% * +/-5.0 No College ------21% 27% 17% 35% * +/-6.0 Independent -----26% 35% 12% 28% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----26% 32% 17% 25% * +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------16% 24% 41% 37% 35% 20% 10% 13% 14% 37% 28% 25% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----30% 36% 14% 20% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------26% 40% 11% 23% * +/-4.0 Republican -----44% 19% 17% 21% * +/-6.5 South ----24% 35% 14% 27% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----18% 34% 13% 35% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----9% 51% 10% 29% * +/-7.0 West ----26% 38% 8% 28% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----17% 39% 13% 31% * +/-5.5 Urban ----19% 42% 13% 25% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------39% 23% 15% 23% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----24% 35% 13% 27% * +/-5.0 Rural ----35% 21% 16% 28% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -42- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 6 How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Base = Total Sample Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------20% 21% 20% 24% 24% 27% 22% 24% 27% 24% 30% 27% 12% 12% 12% 12% 15% 16% 15% 14% 1% 1% * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----20% 24% 27% 12% 15% 1% +/-3.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------20% 18% 24% 23% 27% 28% 12% 12% 15% 19% 1% * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----20% 24% 27% 12% 15% 1% +/-3.0 Democrat ----18% 27% 32% 13% 11% * +/-6.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----20% 24% 27% 12% 15% 1% +/-3.0 North east ----20% 28% 23% 15% 13% * +/-6.5 1834 ----14% 23% 31% 11% 20% * +/-7.5 3549 ----27% 22% 22% 9% 19% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----22% 26% 28% 14% 10% 1% +/-6.0 $50K or more ------25% 26% 27% 11% 10% 1% +/-4.5 65+ ----20% 27% 27% 14% 10% 1% +/-5.0 No College ------20% 23% 25% 12% 19% 1% +/-5.5 Independent -----18% 21% 27% 14% 20% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----21% 23% 29% 12% 14% 1% +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------16% 22% 26% 25% 26% 24% 28% 27% 28% 11% 13% 7% 19% 11% 14% 1% * 1% +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----21% 27% 28% 14% 10% 1% +/-4.0 Attended College -------21% 26% 29% 11% 12% * +/-4.0 Republican -----31% 29% 22% 7% 10% * +/-6.0 South ----22% 27% 22% 11% 18% 1% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----20% 23% 27% 10% 20% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----22% 24% 26% 11% 17% * +/-6.5 West ----18% 18% 36% 12% 15% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----15% 21% 30% 15% 19% 1% +/-5.0 Urban ----21% 26% 28% 14% 10% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------27% 30% 24% 10% 9% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----19% 23% 28% 12% 17% 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----21% 24% 25% 13% 18% 1% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -43- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 6 How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Base = Registered voters Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------22% 22% 22% 26% 26% 29% 24% 25% 27% 23% 31% 27% 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 12% 10% 10% * 1% * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----22% 26% 27% 13% 11% * +/-3.5 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------22% 20% 26% 25% 27% 29% 13% 12% 11% 13% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----22% 26% 27% 13% 11% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----18% 29% 31% 12% 10% * +/-6.0 Extremely enthusiastic Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not at all enthusiastic No opinion Sampling Error Total ----22% 26% 27% 13% 11% * +/-3.5 North east ----24% 28% 24% 15% 9% * +/-7.0 1834 ----14% 27% 31% 12% 17% * +/-8.5 3549 ----30% 22% 24% 10% 13% 1% +/-7.5 5064 ----23% 28% 27% 15% 6% 1% +/-6.5 $50K or more ------26% 26% 26% 12% 8% 1% +/-5.0 65+ ----22% 29% 27% 14% 9% * +/-5.0 No College ------23% 26% 25% 13% 12% 1% +/-6.0 Independent -----20% 23% 27% 15% 14% 1% +/-5.0 Midwest ----23% 25% 30% 12% 10% 1% +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------17% 22% 29% 28% 26% 24% 28% 27% 29% 12% 13% 7% 14% 11% 11% 1% * 1% +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----23% 28% 27% 15% 7% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------22% 27% 29% 12% 10% * +/-4.0 Republican -----34% 29% 22% 7% 7% 1% +/-6.5 South ----22% 30% 23% 12% 13% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----22% 25% 27% 11% 15% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----24% 28% 27% 11% 9% * +/-7.0 West ----21% 21% 34% 12% 12% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----15% 22% 30% 16% 15% 1% +/-5.5 Urban ----23% 28% 28% 14% 7% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------29% 30% 24% 10% 7% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----20% 26% 27% 13% 13% 1% +/-5.0 Rural ----23% 26% 27% 13% 10% 1% +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -44- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 11 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------15% 16% 15% 16% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 3% 5% 4% 6% 7% 5% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 5% 4% 8% 6% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 4% 4% 5% 2% 2% * 1% 6% 9% 2% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 7% 5% 9% 7% 1% 1% 2% 1% 19% 22% 15% 22% 10% 12% 8% 10% * * * * 3% 2% 5% 3% 4% 2% 7% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 4% 4% 6% 1% 2% 5% 2% 4% 2% 6% 3% 7% 1% 19% 10% * 3% 4% 3% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 15% 11% N/A 4% 5% N/A 4% 1% N/A 7% 12% N/A 1% * N/A 1% * N/A 5% 9% N/A 2% * N/A 4% 5% N/A 1% * N/A 6% 4% N/A 3% 2% N/A 6% 9% N/A 2% 1% N/A 18% 21% N/A 10% 10% N/A * * N/A 4% 6% N/A 4% 1% N/A 3% 2% +/-5.0 +/-7.5 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 65+ ----19% 7% 4% 5% 1% 2% 6% 2% 6% * 4% 1% 8% * 17% 12% * * 3% 3% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----12% 3% * 5% * 2% 7% 3% 3% 3% 9% 4% 6% 2% 21% 8% * 4% 5% 2% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----19% 5% 7% 7% 1% 1% 4% 1% 5% * 3% 2% 8% * 16% 11% * 3% 2% 3% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -45- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 11 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------15% 17% 4% 3% 4% 2% 6% 5% 1% * 2% 3% 5% 9% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 6% 3% 3% 6% 7% 3% 1% 2% 19% 19% 10% 8% * * 3% 4% 4% 5% 3% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 4% 4% 6% 1% 2% 5% 2% 4% 2% 6% 3% 7% 1% 19% 10% * 3% 4% 3% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------15% 5% 5% 7% 1% 1% 3% 2% 3% * 8% 1% 10% 1% 20% 11% * 3% 3% 1% +/-6.5 No College ------18% 2% 4% 8% * 1% 7% 2% 4% 2% 3% 6% 7% 1% 20% 5% * 3% 3% 3% +/-8.0 Independent -----10% 6% 3% 6% 1% 3% 5% 2% 5% 2% 9% 4% 4% 1% 19% 9% * 5% 3% 2% +/-7.0 Republican -----21% 2% 5% 6% * * 6% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 9% 2% 19% 10% * 2% 5% 3% +/-6.0 Attended College -------13% 6% 4% 5% 1% 2% 4% 2% 4% 1% 8% 1% 7% 1% 18% 13% * 4% 4% 2% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----13% 3% 4% 5% * 4% 5% 2% 2% 5% 10% 6% 4% 2% 15% 10% * 8% 3% 1% +/-8.5 Conservative ------18% 5% 3% 6% 1% * 7% 3% 5% * 3% 1% 8% 1% 19% 11% * 1% 4% 2% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -46- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 11 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 4% 4% 6% 1% 2% 5% 2% 4% 2% 6% 3% 7% 1% 19% 10% * 3% 4% 3% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----21% 2% 3% 8% * 1% 8% 3% 3% * 5% 7% 6% 2% 16% 8% * * 6% 1% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----12% 5% 6% 3% * 1% 4% 4% 5% 3% 6% 4% 5% 3% 18% 10% * 4% 3% 4% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -47- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 11 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republican registered voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------15% 16% 13% 16% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 3% 5% 4% 7% 8% 5% 7% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 5% 3% 9% 6% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 5% 3% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 6% 10% 2% 5% 3% 4% 1% 2% 6% 4% 10% 7% 2% 1% 2% 1% 18% 21% 16% 21% 10% 12% 8% 10% * * * * 4% 2% 6% 4% 4% 2% 7% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 4% 4% 7% 1% 1% 5% 2% 4% 1% 6% 3% 6% 2% 18% 10% * 4% 4% 3% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 15% 11% N/A 4% 5% N/A 4% 1% N/A 7% 13% N/A 1% * N/A 1% * N/A 5% 7% N/A 2% * N/A 4% 4% N/A 1% * N/A 6% 5% N/A 3% 2% N/A 6% 9% N/A 2% 1% N/A 18% 20% N/A 10% 10% N/A * * N/A 4% 7% N/A 4% 1% N/A 3% 2% +/-5.0 +/-8.0 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 65+ ----18% 6% 4% 5% 2% 2% 7% 2% 5% * 4% 1% 8% * 17% 13% * * 3% 3% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----20% 5% 7% 7% 1% 1% 4% 2% 5% * 3% 1% 9% * 16% 12% * 3% 2% 3% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -48- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 11 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republican registered voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------15% 17% 4% 3% 4% 2% 7% 6% 1% * 1% 2% 5% 8% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1% 1% 6% 4% 3% 5% 6% 3% 2% 3% 18% 18% 10% 8% * * 4% 5% 4% 6% 3% 2% +/-5.0 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 4% 4% 7% 1% 1% 5% 2% 4% 1% 6% 3% 6% 2% 18% 10% * 4% 4% 3% +/-5.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------14% 5% 6% 7% 1% 1% 3% 2% 4% * 9% 1% 8% 1% 19% 12% * 3% 3% 1% +/-6.5 No College ------17% 3% 3% 9% 1% * 7% 2% 5% * 3% 5% 6% 2% 20% 6% * 4% 4% 3% +/-8.5 Independent -----9% 7% 3% 7% 1% 3% 5% 2% 4% * 10% 3% 5% 1% 19% 11% * 6% 3% 2% +/-7.0 Republican -----20% 2% 5% 6% * * 5% 3% 4% 1% 3% 2% 8% 2% 17% 9% * 2% 5% 3% +/-6.5 Attended College -------13% 5% 4% 5% 1% 2% 4% 3% 3% 1% 9% 1% 7% 1% 17% 13% * 4% 5% 2% +/-6.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------18% 5% 4% 7% 1% * 6% 3% 5% * 3% 2% 7% 1% 19% 11% * 1% 5% 2% +/-6.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -49- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 11 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republican registered voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 4% 4% 7% 1% 1% 5% 2% 4% 1% 6% 3% 6% 2% 18% 10% * 4% 4% 3% +/-5.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----21% 3% 3% 9% * * 8% 3% 3% * 4% 6% 7% 2% 15% 8% * * 6% 1% +/-8.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----11% 5% 5% 3% * 1% 4% 5% 5% 1% 6% 5% 5% 3% 17% 10% * 5% 3% 4% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -50- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 12 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republicans with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------14% 12% 17% 14% 5% 6% 3% 5% 2% 3% 1% 2% 7% 6% 8% 6% 4% 4% 4% 5% * * * * 9% 9% 11% 11% 2% 1% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 1% * 2% 1% 5% 6% 4% 5% 3% 3% 4% 4% 11% 12% 10% 9% 1% 2% * 1% 12% 14% 9% 11% 9% 10% 9% 8% * * * * 3% 3% 2% 2% 6% 6% 7% 6% 2% 1% 2% 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 5% 2% 7% 4% * 9% 2% 3% 1% 5% 3% 11% 1% 12% 9% * 3% 6% 2% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 14% 18% N/A 5% 6% N/A 2% 2% N/A 7% 8% N/A 3% 3% N/A * * N/A 9% 14% N/A 3% 2% N/A 3% 3% N/A 1% 1% N/A 5% 5% N/A 3% 6% N/A 11% 7% N/A 1% 1% N/A 12% 7% N/A 9% 10% N/A * * N/A 3% 2% N/A 7% 4% N/A 2% 1% +/-5.0 +/-8.0 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 65+ ----10% 5% 2% 6% 4% 1% 12% 2% 5% 1% 2% 1% 17% * 12% 15% * 2% 3% * +/-7.0 Under 50 ----13% 3% 1% 8% 4% * 8% 3% 2% * 7% 5% 10% 2% 12% 6% * 3% 10% 3% +/-8.5 50 and Older -----15% 6% 3% 6% 3% * 11% 2% 4% 2% 3% 1% 12% 1% 11% 13% * 3% 3% 1% +/-6.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -51- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 12 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republicans with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------14% 13% 5% 6% 2% 3% 7% 7% 4% 5% * * 9% 8% 2% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 5% 6% 3% 2% 11% 10% 1% 2% 12% 11% 9% 6% * * 3% 3% 6% 9% 2% 2% +/-4.5 +/-8.0 $50K or more ------15% 5% 1% 6% 3% * 10% 3% 2% 1% 5% 4% 12% 1% 12% 11% * 2% 4% 1% +/-6.5 No College ------14% 6% * 6% 4% * 13% 1% 1% 1% 5% 4% 8% 1% 13% 10% * 3% 8% 1% +/-8.0 Attended College -------13% 4% 3% 7% 4% * 6% 4% 4% 1% 6% 3% 13% 1% 10% 9% * 3% 5% 3% +/-6.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -52- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 12 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republicans with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 5% 2% 7% 4% * 9% 2% 3% 1% 5% 3% 11% 1% 12% 9% * 3% 6% 2% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 5% 2% 7% 4% * 9% 2% 3% 1% 5% 3% 11% 1% 12% 9% * 3% 6% 2% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----13% 6% 2% 7% 5% * 8% 2% 3% 1% 6% 2% 11% 2% 10% 9% * 3% 9% 2% +/-7.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----14% 4% 2% 7% 3% * 11% 3% 3% 1% 5% 5% 11% 1% 13% 10% * 3% 4% 1% +/-6.5 South ----17% 4% 1% 11% 2% * 6% 4% 2% * 5% 8% 10% 1% 15% 7% * * 6% 1% +/-8.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------13% 7% 2% 5% 4% * 11% 4% 2% 1% 6% 4% 13% * 10% 13% * 1% 4% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----11% 6% 2% 9% 3% * 6% 2% 5% 1% 6% 2% 9% 2% 16% 9% * 2% 6% 2% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -53- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 12 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republican registered voters with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------14% 12% 16% 14% 5% 6% 4% 5% 2% 3% 1% 2% 7% 7% 8% 6% 3% 4% 1% 3% * * * * 9% 8% 10% 10% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 1% * 2% 1% 5% 6% 4% 5% 3% 2% 5% 4% 11% 11% 11% 10% 1% 2% * 2% 12% 14% 9% 11% 9% 9% 10% 9% * * * * 3% 3% 2% 2% 7% 6% 7% 6% 2% 2% 3% 2% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.5 +/-5.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 5% 2% 7% 3% * 9% 3% 3% 1% 5% 3% 11% 1% 12% 9% * 3% 7% 2% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 14% 17% N/A 5% 6% N/A 2% 2% N/A 7% 8% N/A 3% 3% N/A * * N/A 9% 14% N/A 3% 2% N/A 3% 3% N/A 1% 1% N/A 5% 5% N/A 3% 7% N/A 11% 7% N/A 1% 1% N/A 12% 7% N/A 9% 11% N/A * * N/A 3% 2% N/A 7% 4% N/A 2% 1% +/-5.0 +/-8.0 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 65+ ----11% 5% 1% 7% 3% 1% 11% 2% 5% 1% 1% 1% 18% * 13% 16% * * 4% * +/-7.5 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----14% 6% 3% 6% 3% * 11% 2% 4% 2% 3% 1% 13% 1% 11% 14% * 2% 3% 1% +/-6.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -54- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 12 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republican registered voters with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------14% 11% 5% 6% 2% 4% 7% 7% 3% 3% * * 9% 7% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 5% 7% 3% 3% 11% 9% 1% 2% 12% 13% 9% 7% * * 3% 3% 7% 10% 2% 2% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 $50K or more ------16% 5% 1% 7% 3% * 10% 3% 3% 1% 4% 4% 12% 1% 12% 10% * 2% 4% 1% +/-7.0 No College ------14% 6% 1% 6% 2% * 13% 1% 2% * 4% 5% 7% 1% 14% 9% * 3% 10% 1% +/-8.5 Attended College -------14% 4% 3% 8% 4% * 6% 4% 4% 1% 6% 2% 14% 1% 11% 9% * 3% 4% 3% +/-6.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -55- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 12 And who would be your second choice? Base = Republican registered voters with a first choice Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 5% 2% 7% 3% * 9% 3% 3% 1% 5% 3% 11% 1% 12% 9% * 3% 7% 2% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 5% 2% 7% 3% * 9% 3% 3% 1% 5% 3% 11% 1% 12% 9% * 3% 7% 2% +/-5.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----12% 6% 3% 7% 5% * 8% 2% 4% * 6% 2% 10% 2% 10% 9% * 3% 10% 2% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----15% 4% 1% 7% 1% * 10% 3% 3% 1% 4% 5% 12% 1% 14% 9% * 3% 4% 2% +/-6.5 South ----16% 4% 1% 11% 1% * 5% 4% 2% * 3% 9% 11% 1% 14% 8% * * 7% 1% +/-8.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------13% 7% 2% 5% 2% * 10% 4% 2% 1% 6% 4% 14% * 11% 12% * 1% 4% 2% +/-6.0 Suburban ----12% 6% 2% 10% 3% * 5% 2% 6% 2% 5% 2% 7% 2% 15% 10% * 1% 7% 2% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -56- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 13 Which best describes how you currently feel about the Republican field of candidates for president: There are one or two candidates you would rather see win the nomination over the others You see the field as wide open, and it's too early to say which candidates you might support in the end Base = Republicans Total Men Women White ----------------Prefer one or two to win 47% 47% 46% 52% You see the field as wide open 52% 52% 53% 47% Don't care who wins * * * * No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Total ----Prefer one or two to win 47% You see the field as wide open 52% Don't care who wins * No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Under Total $50K --------Prefer one or two to win 47% 41% You see the field as wide open 52% 58% Don't care who wins * * No opinion 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Total ----Prefer one or two to win 47% You see the field as wide open 52% Don't care who wins * No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-4.5 Total ----Prefer one or two to win 47% You see the field as wide open 52% Don't care who wins * No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-4.5 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 48% 54% N/A 51% 46% N/A * * N/A 1% * +/-5.0 +/-7.5 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------54% 45% * 1% +/-6.5 65+ ----40% 57% * 2% +/-7.0 No College ------46% 52% * 2% +/-8.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----46% 53% * 1% +/-7.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----47% 52% * 1% +/-6.0 South ----49% 49% * 2% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----48% 52% * * +/-8.0 50 and Older -----46% 52% * 2% +/-5.5 Attended College -------48% 52% * * +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----43% 57% * * +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------50% 49% * 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----46% 54% * * +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -57- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 13 Which best describes how you currently feel about the Republican field of candidates for president: There are one or two candidates you would rather see win the nomination over the others You see the field as wide open, and it's too early to say which candidates you might support in the end Base = Republican registered voters Total Men Women White ----------------Prefer one or two to win 48% 49% 46% 52% You see the field as wide open 51% 50% 53% 47% Don't care who wins * * * * No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Total ----Prefer one or two to win 48% You see the field as wide open 51% Don't care who wins * No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Under Total $50K --------Prefer one or two to win 48% 42% You see the field as wide open 51% 57% Don't care who wins * * No opinion 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.0 Total ----Prefer one or two to win 48% You see the field as wide open 51% Don't care who wins * No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 Total ----Prefer one or two to win 48% You see the field as wide open 51% Don't care who wins * No opinion 1% Sampling Error +/-5.0 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 48% 54% N/A 51% 46% N/A * * N/A 1% * +/-5.0 +/-8.0 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------54% 45% * 1% +/-6.5 65+ ----40% 58% * 3% +/-7.0 No College ------47% 51% * 2% +/-8.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----49% 50% * 1% +/-7.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----47% 52% * 1% +/-6.5 South ----49% 49% * 2% +/-8.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----48% 51% * 2% +/-5.5 Attended College -------48% 52% * * +/-6.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------51% 47% * 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----47% 53% * * +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -58- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 14 How satisfied are you with the field of Republican candidates running for president? Are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all? Base = Republicans Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------24% 25% 23% 25% 51% 52% 51% 52% 18% 16% 21% 16% 6% 7% 6% 7% 1% 1% * 1% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----24% 51% 18% 6% 1% +/-4.5 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------24% 17% 51% 58% 18% 18% 6% 6% 1% * +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----24% 51% 18% 6% 1% +/-4.5 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----24% 51% 18% 6% 1% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 23% 31% N/A 51% 53% N/A 19% 12% N/A 6% 4% N/A 1% * +/-5.0 +/-7.5 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------29% 48% 17% 6% * +/-6.5 65+ ----27% 47% 20% 5% * +/-7.0 No College ------24% 54% 16% 6% * +/-8.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----18% 52% 24% 6% * +/-7.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----29% 51% 12% 6% 1% +/-6.0 South ----23% 58% 12% 6% 1% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----20% 53% 18% 7% 1% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----28% 49% 17% 5% 1% +/-5.5 Attended College -------24% 49% 20% 7% 1% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----12% 56% 22% 9% 1% +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------32% 49% 14% 5% 1% +/-5.5 Suburban ----21% 55% 17% 7% 1% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -59- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 14 How satisfied are you with the field of Republican candidates running for president? Are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all? Base = Republican registered voters Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------23% 23% 23% 24% 51% 51% 50% 51% 19% 17% 21% 16% 6% 7% 5% 7% 1% 1% * 1% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----23% 51% 19% 6% 1% +/-5.0 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------23% 16% 51% 58% 19% 20% 6% 6% 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-8.0 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----23% 51% 19% 6% 1% +/-5.0 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----23% 51% 19% 6% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 23% 30% N/A 51% 53% N/A 19% 12% N/A 6% 4% N/A 1% * +/-5.0 +/-8.0 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------28% 48% 17% 6% * +/-6.5 65+ ----27% 46% 21% 5% * +/-7.0 No College ------21% 55% 17% 6% 1% +/-8.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----19% 50% 25% 6% * +/-7.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----27% 51% 13% 7% 1% +/-6.5 South ----23% 59% 12% 6% 1% +/-8.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----28% 48% 17% 6% 1% +/-5.5 Attended College -------24% 48% 20% 7% 1% +/-6.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------29% 50% 15% 5% 1% +/-6.0 Suburban ----20% 54% 18% 7% 1% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -60- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 15 Which Republican presidential candidate do you most want to see on stage during the upcoming debates? Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else All of them None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------13% 11% 15% 13% 5% 4% 6% 6% 3% 3% 3% 4% 7% 7% 8% 7% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 5% 6% 5% 6% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% * * 1% 1% 6% 7% 4% 7% 4% 4% 4% 3% 7% 8% 7% 8% 2% 4% * 3% 18% 20% 16% 18% 8% 10% 5% 6% * * * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 2% 8% 3% +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else All of them None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 5% 3% 7% 2% 2% 5% 2% 3% * 6% 4% 7% 2% 18% 8% * 1% 1% 5% 5% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 14% 15% N/A 5% 8% N/A 4% 5% N/A 7% 8% N/A 3% 3% N/A 1% * N/A 5% 7% N/A 2% 1% N/A 3% 2% N/A 1% * N/A 6% 6% N/A 4% 5% N/A 8% 7% N/A 2% 2% N/A 18% 18% N/A 7% 6% N/A * * N/A 1% 2% N/A 1% 1% N/A 5% 3% N/A 5% 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.5 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 65+ ----10% 6% 6% 6% 2% 1% 8% 5% 5% * 4% 2% 8% 1% 11% 13% * 2% 1% 6% 2% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----11% 2% 2% 8% 2% 3% 3% 1% 3% * 7% 6% 6% 3% 24% 5% * * 2% 5% 7% +/-8.0 50 and Older -----14% 8% 5% 6% 2% 1% 7% 3% 4% 1% 4% 1% 8% 1% 12% 11% * 2% 1% 6% 2% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -61- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 15 Which Republican presidential candidate do you most want to see on stage during the upcoming debates? Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else All of them None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------13% 11% 5% 6% 3% 6% 7% 7% 2% 3% 2% 4% 5% 6% 2% 1% 3% 4% * * 6% 6% 4% 3% 7% 4% 2% 4% 18% 15% 8% 6% * * 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 6% 5% 6% +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else All of them None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 5% 3% 7% 2% 2% 5% 2% 3% * 6% 4% 7% 2% 18% 8% * 1% 1% 5% 5% +/-4.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------15% 4% 2% 7% 1% 1% 4% 2% 3% 1% 6% 5% 10% 2% 22% 8% * * 1% 5% 1% +/-6.5 No College ------13% 5% 3% 8% 1% 3% 6% 1% 2% * 5% 4% 4% 3% 21% 9% * 1% * 7% 3% +/-8.0 Independent -----13% 4% 4% 8% 2% 3% 5% 2% 4% * 7% 4% 5% 1% 14% 8% * 1% 1% 9% 5% +/-7.0 Republican -----13% 6% 3% 6% 3% 1% 5% 1% 2% 1% 5% 4% 9% 3% 22% 7% * 1% 1% 3% 4% +/-6.0 Attended College -------13% 5% 4% 7% 3% 1% 4% 2% 5% 1% 6% 4% 9% 2% 15% 6% * * 2% 4% 6% +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----11% 1% 6% 10% 1% 4% 4% 2% 1% * 8% 4% 2% 4% 23% 4% * * 2% 6% 8% +/-8.5 Conservative ------13% 8% 2% 6% 3% 1% 6% 2% 4% 1% 5% 4% 11% 1% 17% 9% * 1% 1% 5% 1% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -62- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 15 Which Republican presidential candidate do you most want to see on stage during the upcoming debates? Base = Republicans Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else All of them None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----13% 5% 3% 7% 2% 2% 5% 2% 3% * 6% 4% 7% 2% 18% 8% * 1% 1% 5% 5% +/-4.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----16% 5% 3% 11% 3% 2% 3% 2% * * 3% 6% 8% 1% 18% 4% * * 2% 6% 5% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----12% 6% 3% 7% 1% 3% 3% 1% 5% 1% 6% 2% 6% 4% 22% 6% * 1% 2% 4% 4% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -63- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 15 Which Republican presidential candidate do you most want to see on stage during the upcoming debates? Base = Republican registered voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else All of them None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------14% 12% 16% 14% 5% 4% 7% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 7% 6% 8% 6% 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% * 1% * 5% 6% 4% 6% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 1% * 1% 1% 6% 7% 4% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 8% 8% 7% 9% 2% 3% * 2% 18% 20% 15% 17% 7% 8% 5% 7% * * * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 5% 7% 3% 5% 5% 2% 8% 3% +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else All of them None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 5% 4% 7% 3% 1% 5% 2% 3% 1% 6% 4% 8% 2% 18% 7% * 1% 1% 5% 5% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 14% 16% N/A 5% 8% N/A 4% 5% N/A 7% 9% N/A 3% 3% N/A 1% * N/A 5% 7% N/A 2% 1% N/A 3% 1% N/A 1% * N/A 6% 5% N/A 4% 6% N/A 8% 8% N/A 2% 2% N/A 18% 17% N/A 7% 6% N/A * * N/A 1% 2% N/A 1% 1% N/A 5% 3% N/A 5% 1% +/-5.0 +/-8.0 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 65+ ----11% 7% 6% 7% 2% 1% 9% 4% 6% * 3% 2% 9% 1% 11% 13% * 2% 2% 5% 1% +/-7.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----15% 8% 6% 6% 2% 1% 7% 2% 4% 1% 4% 1% 9% 1% 13% 11% * 2% 1% 5% 2% +/-5.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -64- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 15 Which Republican presidential candidate do you most want to see on stage during the upcoming debates? Base = Republican registered voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else All of them None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------14% 12% 5% 6% 4% 6% 7% 6% 3% 4% 1% 1% 5% 7% 2% * 3% 4% 1% * 6% 6% 4% 3% 8% 5% 2% 3% 18% 13% 7% 6% * * 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 5% 5% 8% +/-5.0 +/-8.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else All of them None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 5% 4% 7% 3% 1% 5% 2% 3% 1% 6% 4% 8% 2% 18% 7% * 1% 1% 5% 5% +/-5.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------16% 4% 3% 8% 1% 1% 4% 2% 3% 1% 5% 5% 10% 2% 22% 6% * * 1% 5% 1% +/-6.5 No College ------15% 5% 3% 8% 2% * 7% 1% 2% * 5% 4% 5% 2% 20% 8% * 2% * 6% 4% +/-8.5 Independent -----13% 3% 5% 8% 2% * 5% 2% 5% * 8% 4% 6% 1% 15% 7% * 1% 2% 7% 5% +/-7.0 Republican -----14% 7% 3% 6% 3% 1% 5% 2% 2% 1% 4% 4% 10% 2% 20% 6% * 1% 1% 3% 4% +/-6.5 Attended College -------13% 5% 4% 6% 3% 1% 4% 2% 5% 1% 6% 4% 10% 2% 16% 6% * * 3% 4% 6% +/-6.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------14% 8% 3% 6% 3% 1% 6% 2% 4% 1% 5% 4% 12% * 16% 8% * 1% 1% 5% 1% +/-6.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -65- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 15 Which Republican presidential candidate do you most want to see on stage during the upcoming debates? Base = Republican registered voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else All of them None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 5% 4% 7% 3% 1% 5% 2% 3% 1% 6% 4% 8% 2% 18% 7% * 1% 1% 5% 5% +/-5.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----17% 5% 4% 11% 4% 1% 2% 2% * * 2% 7% 8% 1% 18% 5% * * 2% 4% 5% +/-8.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----12% 6% 4% 8% 1% * 4% 2% 5% 1% 5% 2% 7% 3% 22% 6% * 1% 2% 4% 4% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -66- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 16 Thinking about Donald Trump's candidacy for president, what would you most like to see happen: Donald Trump remains in the race for the Republican nomination for president Donald Trump drops out of the Republican nomination contest and runs for president as an independent Donald Trump drops out of the race for president altogether Base = Republicans Trump remains in GOP race Trump runs as an independent Trump drops out of the race No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------49% 52% 44% 52% 17% 18% 16% 17% 34% 29% 39% 30% * * * * +/-4.5 +/-6.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Trump remains in GOP race Trump runs as an independent Trump drops out of the race No opinion Sampling Error Total ----49% 17% 34% * +/-4.5 Trump remains in GOP race Trump runs as an independent Trump drops out of the race No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------49% 48% 17% 18% 34% 34% * * +/-4.5 +/-7.5 Trump remains in GOP race Trump runs as an independent Trump drops out of the race No opinion Sampling Error Total ----49% 17% 34% * +/-4.5 Trump remains in GOP race Trump runs as an independent Trump drops out of the race No opinion Sampling Error Total ----49% 17% 34% * +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 52% 57% N/A 15% 20% N/A 33% 23% N/A * 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.5 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------48% 17% 35% * +/-6.5 65+ ----51% 9% 39% 1% +/-7.0 No College ------53% 16% 30% * +/-8.0 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----42% 21% 37% * +/-7.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----55% 14% 31% * +/-6.0 South ----46% 15% 38% 1% +/-7.5 Under 50 ----48% 20% 31% * +/-8.0 50 and Older -----48% 15% 37% * +/-5.5 Attended College -------45% 18% 36% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----35% 21% 44% * +/-8.5 Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------56% 16% 28% * +/-5.5 Suburban ----50% 18% 32% * +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -67- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 16 Thinking about Donald Trump's candidacy for president, what would you most like to see happen: Donald Trump remains in the race for the Republican nomination for president Donald Trump drops out of the Republican nomination contest and runs for president as an independent Donald Trump drops out of the race for president altogether Base = Republican registered voters Trump remains in GOP race Trump runs as an independent Trump drops out of the race No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------52% 55% 47% 55% 15% 13% 17% 16% 33% 31% 36% 29% * * * * +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Trump remains in GOP race Trump runs as an independent Trump drops out of the race No opinion Sampling Error Total ----52% 15% 33% * +/-5.0 Trump remains in GOP race Trump runs as an independent Trump drops out of the race No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------52% 54% 15% 15% 33% 31% * * +/-5.0 +/-8.0 Trump remains in GOP race Trump runs as an independent Trump drops out of the race No opinion Sampling Error Total ----52% 15% 33% * +/-5.0 Trump remains in GOP race Trump runs as an independent Trump drops out of the race No opinion Sampling Error Total ----52% 15% 33% * +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------N/A 52% 58% N/A 15% 19% N/A 33% 22% N/A * 1% +/-5.0 +/-8.0 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------49% 15% 36% * +/-6.5 65+ ----52% 9% 38% 1% +/-7.0 No College ------60% 10% 30% * +/-8.5 Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----45% 19% 36% * +/-7.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Republican -----58% 11% 31% * +/-6.5 South ----47% 14% 38% 1% +/-8.0 Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A 50 and Older -----50% 14% 36% * +/-5.5 Attended College -------46% 18% 35% * +/-6.0 Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------58% 14% 27% * +/-6.0 Suburban ----51% 15% 34% * +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -68- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 17 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Democrats Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------14% 19% 10% 10% 57% 46% 65% 52% * * * * 18% 27% 12% 24% 2% 1% 2% 3% * 1% * * 5% 3% 6% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 2% 3% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 57% * 18% 2% * 5% 3% 2% +/-4.5 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------14% 13% 57% 58% * * 18% 18% 2% 2% * * 5% 6% 3% 2% 2% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----14% 57% * 18% 2% * 5% 3% 2% +/-4.5 Total ----14% 57% * 18% 2% * 5% 3% 2% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----13% 68% * 13% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A POLL 7 65+ ----12% 68% * 9% * * 4% 4% 1% +/-8.0 No College ------14% 66% 1% 11% 2% 1% 4% 3% * +/-8.5 Independent -----15% 40% 1% 26% 2% * 11% 4% 2% +/-7.5 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 17 3 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------17% 53% 1% 21% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% +/-7.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------18% 15% N/A 61% 56% N/A * * N/A 12% 19% N/A * 1% N/A 1% * N/A 5% 4% N/A 3% 3% N/A * 1% N/A +/-8.0 +/-5.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----14% 53% * 17% 1% * 8% 5% 2% +/-8.0 -69- Under 50 ----14% 50% * 25% 1% * 6% 2% 1% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----14% 66% * 9% 3% * 3% 4% 2% +/-6.0 Attended College -------14% 50% * 24% 1% * 5% 3% 3% +/-5.5 Liberal ----9% 48% * 29% 3% * 5% 4% 3% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----22% 56% * 15% 1% * 4% 2% * +/-7.5 Urban ----12% 61% * 19% 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% +/-8.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----13% 57% * 19% 2% * 3% 3% 2% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A July 22-25, 2015 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Democratic registered voters Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------15% 20% 11% 9% 56% 44% 67% 51% * 1% * 1% 19% 27% 11% 28% 1% 2% 1% 2% * * * * 4% 3% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 2% +/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 56% * 19% 1% * 4% 3% 1% +/-5.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------15% 13% 56% 58% * * 19% 18% 1% 1% * * 4% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.5 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----15% 56% * 19% 1% * 4% 3% 1% +/-5.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% Total ----15% 56% * 19% 1% * 4% 3% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----14% 69% * 13% * * 1% 2% 1% +/-6.0 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------18% 54% 1% 19% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% +/-7.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 65+ ----13% 67% * 10% * * 4% 4% 2% +/-8.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----17% 31% 1% 31% 3% * 12% 5% * +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------20% 15% N/A 62% 56% N/A * * N/A 9% 19% N/A * 1% N/A * * N/A 5% 4% N/A 2% 3% N/A * 1% N/A +/-8.5 +/-5.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----13% 55% * 18% 2% * 6% 5% * +/-8.5 Under 50 ----16% 49% * 26% 1% * 6% 2% * +/-8.5 50 and Older -----14% 67% * 9% 1% * 2% 4% 2% +/-6.0 Attended College -------15% 51% * 22% 1% * 6% 3% 2% +/-6.0 Liberal ----9% 53% * 28% 1% * 3% 3% 1% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----23% 51% * 16% 1% 1% 5% 3% * +/-8.0 Urban ----14% 59% * 19% 2% * 4% * 2% +/-8.5 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----14% 57% 1% 20% * * 4% 4% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 18 And who would be your second choice? POLL 7 3 -70- July 22-25, 2015 Base = Democrats with a first choice Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------38% 32% 43% 38% 21% 28% 16% 21% 5% 8% 2% 6% 13% 17% 11% 17% 3% 3% 4% 2% 1% * 1% 2% 6% 3% 8% 3% 12% 9% 14% 10% 1% * 1% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 21% 5% 13% 3% 1% 6% 12% 1% +/-4.5 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------38% 41% 21% 21% 5% 3% 13% 11% 3% 4% 1% 1% 6% 6% 12% 12% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 21% 5% 13% 3% 1% 6% 12% 1% +/-4.5 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----38% 21% 5% 13% 3% 1% 6% 12% 1% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----42% 17% 4% 14% 2% 1% 5% 13% 1% +/-6.0 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------34% 25% 7% 16% 3% 1% 6% 8% * +/-7.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 65+ ----43% 15% 1% 18% 4% 2% 6% 10% 2% +/-8.0 No College ------39% 17% 4% 13% 5% 1% 7% 13% 1% +/-8.5 Independent -----32% 28% 5% 13% 5% 1% 7% 9% 1% +/-7.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------39% 37% N/A 22% 22% N/A 3% 4% N/A 10% 13% N/A 5% 3% N/A * 1% N/A 9% 7% N/A 12% 12% N/A * 1% N/A +/-8.0 +/-5.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----37% 24% 7% 13% 3% 1% 6% 8% 1% +/-8.5 Under 50 ----36% 25% 6% 10% 2% * 7% 13% * +/-7.5 50 and Older -----42% 16% 3% 18% 6% 2% 4% 8% 2% +/-6.0 Attended College -------38% 25% 5% 13% 2% 1% 5% 10% 1% +/-5.5 Liberal ----35% 31% 3% 15% 3% * 3% 8% 1% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----37% 20% 6% 11% 4% 1% 9% 12% 1% +/-7.5 Urban ----42% 18% 3% 9% 3% * 10% 13% 1% +/-8.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----36% 24% 5% 14% 3% 2% 3% 12% 2% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 18 And who would be your second choice? Base = Democratic registered voters with a first choice Reg. POLL 7 3 -71- White Evan July 22-25, 2015 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------37% 30% 42% 37% 22% 31% 14% 21% 4% 7% 2% 6% 13% 17% 11% 17% 3% 3% 4% 2% 1% * 2% 2% 7% 4% 10% 3% 12% 8% 14% 9% 1% 1% 1% 2% +/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----37% 22% 4% 13% 3% 1% 7% 12% 1% +/-5.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------37% 41% 22% 20% 4% 2% 13% 11% 3% 4% 1% 1% 7% 8% 12% 13% 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.5 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----37% 22% 4% 13% 3% 1% 7% 12% 1% +/-5.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/No one No opinion Sampling Error Total ----37% 22% 4% 13% 3% 1% 7% 12% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----40% 17% 5% 15% 3% 1% 6% 14% 1% +/-6.5 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------33% 26% 6% 16% 3% 1% 7% 7% 1% +/-7.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 65+ ----39% 15% 1% 20% 4% 2% 6% 10% 2% +/-8.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----30% 32% 3% 11% 5% 1% 10% 7% 1% +/-8.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------36% 37% N/A 22% 22% N/A 1% 4% N/A 10% 13% N/A 5% 3% N/A * 1% N/A 11% 7% N/A 14% 12% N/A * 1% N/A +/-8.5 +/-5.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 50 ----34% 27% 5% 9% 2% * 9% 14% * +/-8.5 50 and Older -----40% 15% 3% 19% 5% 2% 4% 9% 2% +/-6.5 Attended College -------37% 25% 5% 14% 2% 1% 6% 10% 1% +/-6.0 Liberal ----37% 28% 4% 14% 3% * 4% 9% 1% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----35% 23% 4% 10% 4% * 11% 12% 1% +/-8.0 Urban ----40% 21% 2% 9% 4% * 12% 12% 1% +/-8.5 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----35% 23% 5% 12% 4% 2% 4% 13% 2% +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 19 How satisfied are you with the field of Democratic candidates running for president? Are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all? Base = Democrats POLL 7 3 -72- July 22-25, 2015 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------25% 24% 27% 21% 46% 45% 46% 49% 18% 24% 14% 20% 9% 7% 11% 8% 1% 1% 2% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.0 +/-6.0 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 46% 18% 9% 1% +/-4.5 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------25% 28% 46% 43% 18% 20% 9% 7% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 46% 18% 9% 1% +/-4.5 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----25% 46% 18% 9% 1% +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----31% 47% 16% 5% 1% +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------24% 47% 16% 11% 2% +/-7.0 65+ ----32% 37% 24% 7% * +/-8.0 No College ------32% 45% 16% 7% * +/-8.5 Independent -----16% 43% 23% 15% 2% +/-7.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------31% 26% N/A 41% 45% N/A 18% 20% N/A 10% 9% N/A * 1% N/A +/-8.0 +/-5.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----28% 41% 20% 10% * +/-8.0 Under 50 ----24% 48% 18% 9% 1% +/-7.5 50 and Older -----27% 43% 20% 9% 2% +/-6.0 Attended College -------21% 46% 20% 10% 2% +/-5.5 Liberal ----24% 48% 18% 7% 3% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----16% 50% 23% 11% * +/-7.5 Urban ----32% 35% 22% 9% 2% +/-8.0 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----18% 55% 17% 9% 1% +/-7.0 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -73- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 19 How satisfied are you with the field of Democratic candidates running for president? Are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all? Base = Democratic registered voters Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------26% 23% 28% 21% 45% 44% 45% 47% 20% 26% 15% 22% 9% 7% 11% 9% 1% * 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----26% 45% 20% 9% 1% +/-5.0 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------26% 30% 45% 38% 20% 23% 9% 9% 1% 1% +/-5.0 +/-7.5 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----26% 45% 20% 9% 1% +/-5.0 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Not very satisfied Not satisfied at all No opinion Sampling Error Total ----26% 45% 20% 9% 1% +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Democrat ----31% 48% 16% 4% 1% +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------23% 50% 16% 11% 1% +/-7.5 65+ ----30% 38% 24% 7% * +/-8.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Independent -----15% 38% 27% 19% 1% +/-8.5 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------31% 26% N/A 40% 45% N/A 19% 20% N/A 11% 9% N/A * 1% N/A +/-8.5 +/-5.0 Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A South ----28% 42% 19% 11% * +/-8.5 Under 50 ----24% 47% 19% 10% * +/-8.5 50 and Older -----28% 41% 21% 9% 1% +/-6.0 Attended College -------22% 47% 20% 11% 1% +/-6.0 Liberal ----26% 48% 18% 6% 1% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----16% 45% 26% 13% * +/-8.0 Urban ----33% 35% 24% 6% 2% +/-8.5 Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Suburban ----16% 55% 18% 11% * +/-7.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -74- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 20A Would you be more likely to vote for Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Total Sample Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------51% 45% 56% 39% 46% 51% 41% 58% * * * * 3% 3% 3% 3% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----51% 46% * 3% * +/-3.0 Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------51% 61% 46% 37% * * 3% 1% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----51% 46% * 3% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----87% 12% * 1% * +/-6.0 Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----51% 46% * 3% * +/-3.0 North east ----52% 44% * 4% * +/-6.5 1834 ----60% 38% * 2% * +/-7.5 3549 ----54% 44% * 1% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----46% 50% * 4% * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------42% 54% * 3% 1% +/-4.5 65+ ----41% 55% * 4% * +/-5.0 No College ------49% 49% * 2% * +/-5.5 Independent -----46% 49% * 5% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----50% 45% * 5% 1% +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------75% 51% 21% 23% 46% 77% * * * 2% 3% 2% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----44% 52% * 4% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------52% 44% * 4% * +/-4.0 Republican -----14% 84% * 2% * +/-6.0 South ----48% 51% * 2% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----57% 41% * 2% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----79% 20% * 2% * +/-6.5 West ----56% 41% * 3% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----57% 39% * 4% * +/-5.0 Urban ----61% 36% * 3% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------28% 70% * 2% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----50% 47% * 3% * +/-4.5 Rural ----34% 63% * 3% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -75- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 20A Would you be more likely to vote for Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Registered voters Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------51% 45% 56% 38% 46% 51% 41% 58% * * * * 3% 3% 3% 3% * 1% * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----51% 46% * 3% * +/-3.5 Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------51% 62% 46% 36% * * 3% 2% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----51% 46% * 3% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----88% 11% * 1% * +/-6.0 Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----51% 46% * 3% * +/-3.5 North east ----54% 42% * 4% 1% +/-7.0 1834 ----63% 36% * 2% * +/-8.5 3549 ----52% 46% * 1% 1% +/-7.5 5064 ----46% 49% * 5% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------41% 55% * 3% 1% +/-5.0 65+ ----40% 55% * 4% 1% +/-5.0 No College ------49% 49% * 2% * +/-6.0 Independent -----46% 49% * 5% 1% +/-5.0 Midwest ----49% 46% * 5% 1% +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------75% 51% 21% 23% 46% 77% * * * 2% 3% 2% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----43% 52% * 4% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------52% 44% * 4% * +/-4.0 Republican -----11% 87% * 2% * +/-6.5 South ----50% 49% * 1% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----57% 41% * 2% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----84% 14% * 2% * +/-7.0 West ----53% 45% * 3% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----58% 37% * 4% * +/-5.5 Urban ----61% 35% * 3% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------25% 73% * 2% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----50% 47% * 3% * +/-5.0 Rural ----34% 63% * 3% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -76- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 20B Would you be more likely to vote for Businessman Donald Trump or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Total Sample Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------57% 51% 63% 47% 38% 45% 32% 48% 1% * 1% 1% 4% 4% 4% 4% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----57% 38% 1% 4% * +/-3.0 Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------57% 62% 38% 33% 1% 1% 4% 3% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----57% 38% 1% 4% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----89% 10% * 2% * +/-6.0 Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----57% 38% 1% 4% * +/-3.0 North east ----57% 38% * 4% * +/-6.5 1834 ----65% 31% 2% 2% * +/-7.5 3549 ----58% 39% * 3% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----53% 43% * 4% * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------52% 44% * 3% * +/-4.5 65+ ----51% 42% * 7% * +/-5.0 No College ------55% 43% * 2% * +/-5.5 Independent -----54% 40% 1% 5% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----54% 42% * 2% 1% +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------76% 56% 32% 20% 40% 65% 1% * * 3% 4% 4% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----52% 43% * 5% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------59% 35% 1% 4% * +/-4.0 Republican -----24% 72% * 3% * +/-6.0 South ----58% 37% 2% 3% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----61% 35% 1% 2% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----80% 17% 1% 2% * +/-6.5 West ----59% 36% * 5% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----65% 32% 1% 2% * +/-5.0 Urban ----66% 32% * 2% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------35% 60% * 5% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----56% 39% 1% 3% * +/-4.5 Rural ----46% 46% * 7% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -77- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 20B Would you be more likely to vote for Businessman Donald Trump or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Registered voters Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------56% 50% 62% 46% 40% 46% 34% 50% * * 1% * 4% 3% 4% 4% * 1% * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----56% 40% * 4% * +/-3.5 Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------56% 61% 40% 35% * 1% 4% 3% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----56% 40% * 4% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----89% 9% * 2% * +/-6.0 Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----56% 40% * 4% * +/-3.5 North east ----58% 37% * 5% * +/-7.0 1834 ----66% 31% 1% 2% * +/-8.5 3549 ----56% 40% * 3% 1% +/-7.5 5064 ----51% 45% * 3% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------52% 44% * 3% * +/-5.0 65+ ----49% 44% * 7% * +/-5.0 No College ------53% 45% * 2% * +/-6.0 Independent -----51% 43% 1% 5% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----52% 45% * 2% 1% +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------75% 56% 28% 21% 40% 68% 1% * * 3% 4% 4% * * * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----50% 45% * 5% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------58% 36% * 5% * +/-4.0 Republican -----22% 74% * 3% 1% +/-6.5 South ----57% 39% 1% 3% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----61% 35% 1% 2% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----84% 14% * 2% * +/-7.0 West ----57% 37% * 5% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----65% 32% 1% 2% * +/-5.5 Urban ----65% 32% * 3% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------32% 63% * 5% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----55% 40% 1% 4% * +/-5.0 Rural ----44% 50% * 5% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -78- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 20C Would you be more likely to vote for Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Total Sample Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------54% 51% 58% 42% 43% 46% 39% 55% * * * * 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----54% 43% * 2% 1% +/-3.0 Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------54% 63% 43% 35% * * 2% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----54% 43% * 2% 1% +/-3.0 Democrat ----90% 8% * 2% * +/-6.0 Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----54% 43% * 2% 1% +/-3.0 North east ----58% 40% * 2% * +/-6.5 1834 ----64% 34% * 1% 2% +/-7.5 3549 ----55% 44% * 1% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----51% 44% * 4% 1% +/-6.0 $50K or more ------46% 50% * 3% 1% +/-4.5 65+ ----43% 54% * 2% 1% +/-5.0 No College ------54% 44% * 2% * +/-5.5 Independent -----50% 45% * 3% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----52% 45% * 1% 2% +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------77% 53% 28% 20% 44% 71% * * * 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----48% 48% * 3% 1% +/-4.0 Attended College -------54% 42% * 2% 1% +/-4.0 Republican -----16% 82% * 1% 1% +/-6.0 South ----52% 44% * 2% 1% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----59% 38% * 1% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----78% 18% * 2% 2% +/-6.5 West ----56% 41% * 2% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----64% 34% * 2% * +/-5.0 Urban ----65% 33% * 2% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------30% 67% * 2% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----52% 44% * 2% 2% +/-4.5 Rural ----42% 55% * 3% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -79- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 20C Would you be more likely to vote for Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Registered voters Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------53% 50% 57% 41% 44% 47% 40% 56% * * * * 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----53% 44% * 2% 1% +/-3.5 Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------53% 62% 44% 35% * * 2% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----53% 44% * 2% 1% +/-3.5 Democrat ----91% 7% * 2% * +/-6.0 Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----53% 44% * 2% 1% +/-3.5 North east ----57% 40% * 2% * +/-7.0 1834 ----66% 31% * 1% 2% +/-8.5 3549 ----53% 45% * 1% 1% +/-7.5 5064 ----50% 45% * 4% 1% +/-6.5 $50K or more ------45% 51% * 3% * +/-5.0 65+ ----42% 55% * 2% 1% +/-5.0 No College ------52% 45% * 2% 1% +/-6.0 Independent -----47% 48% * 3% 2% +/-5.0 Midwest ----50% 47% * 1% 1% +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------77% 53% 25% 20% 44% 74% * * * 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----46% 49% * 3% 1% +/-4.0 Attended College -------54% 42% * 2% 1% +/-4.0 Republican -----14% 84% * 1% 1% +/-6.5 South ----54% 43% * 2% 2% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----59% 38% * 1% 1% +/-5.5 Liberal ----82% 14% * 2% 2% +/-7.0 West ----52% 44% * 3% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----64% 34% * 2% * +/-5.5 Urban ----63% 35% * 2% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------27% 70% * 2% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----51% 44% * 3% 2% +/-5.0 Rural ----41% 56% * 2% 1% +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -80- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 21A Would you be more likely to vote for Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush or for Bernie Sanders? Base = Total Sample Sanders Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------48% 48% 48% 44% 47% 49% 45% 53% * * * * 5% 2% 7% 3% * 1% * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Sanders Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----48% 47% * 5% * +/-3.0 Sanders Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------48% 53% 47% 44% * * 5% 3% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Sanders Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----48% 47% * 5% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----69% 24% * 6% 1% +/-6.0 Sanders Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----48% 47% * 5% * +/-3.0 North east ----49% 42% * 9% * +/-6.5 1834 ----56% 41% * 4% * +/-7.5 3549 ----49% 45% * 4% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----45% 50% * 4% * +/-6.0 $50K or more ------44% 51% * 4% * +/-4.5 65+ ----39% 56% * 5% * +/-5.0 No College ------48% 47% * 5% 1% +/-5.5 Independent -----50% 45% * 5% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----52% 45% * 2% 1% +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------57% 47% 30% 37% 48% 67% * * * 6% 4% 3% * 1% * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----42% 53% * 5% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------48% 47% * 4% * +/-4.0 Republican -----17% 83% * 1% * +/-6.0 South ----38% 58% * 4% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----53% 43% * 4% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----76% 22% * 3% * +/-6.5 West ----58% 38% * 3% 1% +/-6.5 Moderate ----50% 44% * 6% * +/-5.0 Urban ----51% 40% * 9% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------29% 67% * 3% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----47% 50% * 2% 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----43% 53% * 4% * +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -81- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 21A Would you be more likely to vote for Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush or for Bernie Sanders? Base = Registered voters Sanders Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------47% 48% 46% 42% 48% 49% 47% 54% * * * * 4% 2% 7% 3% 1% 1% * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Sanders Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 48% * 4% 1% +/-3.5 Sanders Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------47% 52% 48% 44% * * 4% 4% 1% * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Sanders Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 48% * 4% 1% +/-3.5 Democrat ----69% 25% * 6% 1% +/-6.0 Sanders Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----47% 48% * 4% 1% +/-3.5 North east ----48% 43% * 9% 1% +/-7.0 1834 ----54% 42% * 4% * +/-8.5 3549 ----50% 45% * 4% 1% +/-7.5 5064 ----44% 51% * 5% * +/-6.5 $50K or more ------43% 52% * 4% 1% +/-5.0 65+ ----38% 56% * 5% * +/-5.0 No College ------46% 48% * 6% 1% +/-6.0 Independent -----48% 46% * 5% 1% +/-5.0 Midwest ----50% 47% * 2% 1% +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------55% 47% 27% 38% 48% 70% * * * 6% 4% 3% * 1% * +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----41% 53% * 5% * +/-4.0 Attended College -------48% 48% * 4% * +/-4.0 Republican -----14% 84% * 1% * +/-6.5 South ----39% 57% * 4% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----52% 44% * 4% 1% +/-5.5 Liberal ----75% 23% * 2% * +/-7.0 West ----56% 40% * 3% 1% +/-7.0 Moderate ----50% 44% * 6% * +/-5.5 Urban ----50% 42% * 8% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------28% 68% * 4% 1% +/-5.0 Suburban ----46% 51% * 2% 1% +/-5.0 Rural ----41% 55% * 4% * +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -82- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 21B Would you be more likely to vote for Businessman Donald Trump or for Bernie Sanders? Base = Total Sample Sanders Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------58% 51% 64% 50% 38% 47% 30% 46% * * * * 3% 2% 5% 3% * 1% * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Sanders Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----58% 38% * 3% * +/-3.0 Sanders Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------58% 62% 38% 35% * * 3% 3% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Sanders Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----58% 38% * 3% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----83% 13% * 3% * +/-6.0 Sanders Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----58% 38% * 3% * +/-3.0 North east ----58% 36% 1% 5% * +/-6.5 1834 ----65% 33% * 2% * +/-7.5 3549 ----56% 40% * 3% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----58% 39% * 1% 1% +/-6.0 $50K or more ------55% 42% 1% 2% * +/-4.5 65+ ----50% 42% * 7% * +/-5.0 No College ------56% 42% * 2% * +/-5.5 Independent -----55% 40% * 4% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----53% 45% * 2% 1% +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------73% 59% 39% 24% 38% 58% * * * 3% 3% 2% * * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----55% 41% * 4% 1% +/-4.0 Attended College -------60% 36% * 4% * +/-4.0 Republican -----29% 68% * 3% * +/-6.0 South ----55% 40% * 5% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----61% 36% * 3% * +/-5.0 Liberal ----78% 19% 1% 1% * +/-6.5 West ----67% 31% * 2% * +/-6.5 Moderate ----65% 32% * 3% * +/-5.0 Urban ----63% 30% * 6% * +/-5.5 Conservative ------38% 58% * 4% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----56% 41% 1% 2% * +/-4.5 Rural ----54% 43% * 2% 1% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -83- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 21B Would you be more likely to vote for Businessman Donald Trump or for Bernie Sanders? Base = Registered voters Sanders Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------59% 52% 65% 50% 38% 45% 30% 46% * * * * 3% 2% 4% 3% * 1% * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Sanders Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----59% 38% * 3% * +/-3.5 Sanders Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------59% 63% 38% 33% * * 3% 3% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Sanders Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----59% 38% * 3% * +/-3.5 Democrat ----84% 12% 1% 3% * +/-6.0 Sanders Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----59% 38% * 3% * +/-3.5 North east ----60% 35% 1% 3% * +/-7.0 1834 ----66% 32% * 2% * +/-8.5 3549 ----59% 37% 1% 3% 1% +/-7.5 5064 ----58% 39% 1% 1% 1% +/-6.5 $50K or more ------55% 41% 1% 3% * +/-5.0 65+ ----50% 43% * 7% * +/-5.0 No College ------57% 40% * 2% * +/-6.0 Independent -----56% 40% * 3% 1% +/-5.0 Midwest ----53% 45% * 2% 1% +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------74% 59% 36% 22% 38% 61% * * * 3% 3% 2% * * 1% +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----54% 41% * 4% 1% +/-4.0 Attended College -------60% 36% 1% 3% * +/-4.0 Republican -----28% 69% * 3% * +/-6.5 South ----57% 39% * 4% 1% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----62% 35% * 2% * +/-5.5 Liberal ----81% 16% 1% 1% 1% +/-7.0 West ----66% 31% * 2% * +/-7.0 Moderate ----68% 29% * 3% * +/-5.5 Urban ----65% 29% * 6% * +/-6.0 Conservative ------37% 59% * 4% * +/-5.0 Suburban ----58% 38% 1% 2% 1% +/-5.0 Rural ----52% 46% * 1% 1% +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -84- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 21C Would you be more likely to vote for Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker or for Bernie Sanders? Base = Total Sample Sanders Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------48% 46% 49% 40% 42% 47% 38% 50% * * * * 8% 5% 10% 7% 2% 2% 1% 2% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Sanders Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----48% 42% * 8% 2% +/-3.0 Sanders Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------48% 56% 42% 35% * * 8% 6% 2% 2% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Sanders Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----48% 42% * 8% 2% +/-3.0 Democrat ----77% 14% * 7% 2% +/-6.0 Sanders Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----48% 42% * 8% 2% +/-3.0 North east ----47% 41% 1% 10% 1% +/-6.5 1834 ----57% 38% * 5% * +/-7.5 3549 ----51% 41% * 6% 1% +/-7.0 5064 ----44% 41% * 11% 3% +/-6.0 $50K or more ------42% 48% * 8% 2% +/-4.5 65+ ----37% 53% * 8% 2% +/-5.0 No College ------45% 44% * 8% 2% +/-5.5 Independent -----47% 43% * 9% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----50% 43% * 4% 3% +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------64% 48% 24% 28% 43% 69% * * * 7% 7% 6% 1% 2% 1% +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----41% 46% * 10% 3% +/-4.0 Attended College -------51% 41% * 7% 1% +/-4.0 Republican -----13% 77% * 6% 3% +/-6.0 South ----44% 45% * 9% 2% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----54% 39% * 6% 1% +/-5.0 Liberal ----77% 18% 1% 4% 1% +/-6.5 West ----52% 40% * 6% 1% +/-6.5 Moderate ----55% 35% * 9% 1% +/-5.0 Urban ----49% 39% * 10% 2% +/-5.5 Conservative ------24% 65% * 8% 2% +/-5.0 Suburban ----50% 42% 1% 5% 2% +/-4.5 Rural ----42% 46% * 10% 2% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -85- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 21C Would you be more likely to vote for Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker or for Bernie Sanders? Base = Registered voters Sanders Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------48% 46% 50% 40% 43% 47% 39% 51% * * * * 7% 4% 9% 6% 2% 2% 1% 2% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Sanders Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----48% 43% * 7% 2% +/-3.5 Sanders Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------48% 58% 43% 34% * * 7% 6% 2% 2% +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Sanders Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----48% 43% * 7% 2% +/-3.5 Democrat ----78% 14% * 6% 1% +/-6.0 Sanders Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error Total ----48% 43% * 7% 2% +/-3.5 North east ----47% 40% 1% 11% 1% +/-7.0 1834 ----61% 35% * 3% 1% +/-8.5 3549 ----49% 43% 1% 6% 2% +/-7.5 5064 ----44% 43% * 10% 3% +/-6.5 $50K or more ------41% 50% 1% 7% 1% +/-5.0 65+ ----36% 54% * 8% 2% +/-5.0 No College ------44% 46% * 8% 3% +/-6.0 Independent -----46% 45% * 7% 1% +/-5.0 Midwest ----49% 43% * 5% 3% +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------63% 48% 21% 28% 43% 71% 1% * * 7% 7% 6% 1% 2% 1% +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----40% 48% * 9% 2% +/-4.0 Attended College -------51% 41% * 6% 1% +/-4.0 Republican -----11% 79% * 7% 3% +/-6.5 South ----47% 44% * 8% 2% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----55% 39% * 5% 1% +/-5.5 Liberal ----81% 15% 1% 3% * +/-7.0 West ----50% 44% * 5% 1% +/-7.0 Moderate ----56% 34% * 8% 1% +/-5.5 Urban ----49% 40% * 9% 1% +/-6.0 Conservative ------23% 67% * 8% 2% +/-5.0 Suburban ----51% 42% 1% 5% 2% +/-5.0 Rural ----42% 47% * 8% 3% +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -86- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 22 Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president next year? Base = Total Sample Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chaffee Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------9% 8% 10% 7% 75% 73% 76% 74% 1% 1% 1% 1% 8% 12% 5% 9% 1% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 2% 1% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chaffee Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 75% 1% 8% 1% * 2% 4% +/-3.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chaffee Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------9% 11% 75% 71% 1% 1% 8% 10% 1% 2% * * 2% 2% 4% 3% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chaffee Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 75% 1% 8% 1% * 2% 4% +/-3.0 Democrat ----7% 82% * 7% * * 1% 1% +/-6.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chaffee Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----9% 75% 1% 8% 1% * 2% 4% +/-3.0 North east ----14% 69% * 8% 2% * 1% 5% +/-6.5 1834 ----11% 70% 1% 12% * * 2% 4% +/-7.5 3549 ----8% 79% * 7% 1% 1% 2% 2% +/-7.0 5064 ----9% 74% 1% 7% 2% * 3% 4% +/-6.0 $50K or more ------6% 80% 1% 7% 1% * 2% 2% +/-4.5 65+ ----6% 77% * 8% 2% * 2% 4% +/-5.0 No College ------12% 70% 1% 9% 1% 1% 3% 4% +/-5.5 Independent -----9% 72% 1% 10% 1% * 1% 4% +/-4.5 Midwest ----8% 76% 1% 8% 1% * 2% 3% +/-6.5 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------11% 8% 7% 75% 76% 73% * * * 7% 9% 9% 2% 2% 1% * * * 1% 2% 7% 3% 4% 3% +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----8% 75% 1% 8% 2% * 2% 4% +/-4.0 Attended College -------6% 78% 1% 8% 1% * 2% 3% +/-4.0 Republican -----10% 71% 1% 6% 3% * 6% 4% +/-6.0 South ----9% 75% * 7% 2% * 3% 4% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----10% 74% 1% 9% 1% * 2% 3% +/-5.0 Liberal ----7% 75% * 12% 1% * 2% 4% +/-6.5 West ----5% 78% 1% 11% 1% * 1% 3% +/-6.5 Moderate ----9% 76% 1% 9% 1% * 2% 2% +/-5.0 Urban ----9% 77% 1% 8% 1% * 3% 2% +/-5.5 Conservative ------9% 74% 1% 6% 3% * 3% 3% +/-5.0 Suburban ----9% 74% * 9% 1% * 2% 4% +/-4.5 Rural ----9% 74% * 7% 1% 1% 2% 6% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -87- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 22 Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Democratic candidate do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination for president next year? Base = Registered voters Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chaffee Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total Men Women White ----------------8% 6% 9% 6% 76% 75% 77% 75% * 1% * 1% 9% 12% 5% 10% 2% 2% 1% 1% * * * * 2% 1% 3% 3% 4% 3% 5% 4% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chaffee Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 76% * 9% 2% * 2% 4% +/-3.5 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chaffee Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Under Total $50K --------8% 11% 76% 71% * * 9% 11% 2% 2% * * 2% 2% 4% 4% +/-3.5 +/-5.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chaffee Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 76% * 9% 2% * 2% 4% +/-3.5 Democrat ----7% 84% * 7% * * * 1% +/-6.0 Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chaffee Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----8% 76% * 9% 2% * 2% 4% +/-3.5 North east ----12% 69% * 9% 2% * 1% 6% +/-7.0 1834 ----9% 71% * 12% * * 2% 5% +/-8.5 3549 ----7% 79% * 8% 2% * 3% 2% +/-7.5 5064 ----8% 76% 1% 7% 2% * 1% 5% +/-6.5 $50K or more ------4% 82% 1% 7% 1% * 3% 2% +/-5.0 65+ ----6% 77% 1% 8% 3% * 2% 5% +/-5.0 No College ------10% 71% 1% 9% 2% * 2% 4% +/-6.0 Independent -----9% 71% 1% 11% 2% * 1% 5% +/-5.0 Midwest ----9% 77% 1% 8% 1% * 1% 4% +/-7.0 White Reg. Evan Non-White Voters gelical --------- ------ ------11% 8% 6% 77% 76% 73% * * * 6% 9% 10% 2% 2% 1% * * * 1% 2% 6% 4% 4% 3% +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 50 and Older -----7% 76% 1% 7% 2% * 2% 5% +/-4.0 Attended College -------6% 79% * 8% 1% * 2% 4% +/-4.0 Republican -----6% 73% * 7% 3% * 7% 4% +/-6.5 South ----6% 77% * 8% 2% * 3% 4% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----8% 75% * 10% 1% * 3% 4% +/-5.5 Liberal ----6% 76% * 12% 1% * 1% 4% +/-7.0 West ----5% 78% * 10% 1% * 2% 3% +/-7.0 Moderate ----8% 78% * 9% 1% * 2% 3% +/-5.5 Urban ----8% 76% 1% 9% 2% * 3% 2% +/-6.0 Conservative ------7% 75% 1% 7% 3% * 3% 3% +/-5.0 Suburban ----7% 76% 1% 9% 1% * 2% 5% +/-5.0 Rural ----8% 75% * 7% 1% * 2% 6% +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -88- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 23 Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year? Base = Total Sample White Reg. Evan Total Men Women White Non-White Voters gelical ------------------------- ------ ------Jeb Bush 39% 40% 38% 40% 36% 40% 32% Ben Carson 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% Chris Christie 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% * Ted Cruz 4% 5% 2% 3% 5% 4% 5% Carly Fiorina * * 1% 1% * * 1% Lindsey Graham 1% * 1% * 2% 1% * Mike Huckabee 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 5% Bobby Jindal * 1% * * * * * John Kasich 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% George Pataki * * * * * * * Rand Paul 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% Rick Perry 1% 2% * * 2% 1% 1% Marco Rubio 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% Rick Santorum 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% * Donald Trump 18% 19% 17% 18% 18% 18% 24% Scott Walker 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12% Jim Gilmore * * 1% * 1% * * Someone else 2% * 4% 2% 2% 2% 3% No opinion 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 +/-6.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----39% 2% 3% 4% * 1% 2% * 1% * 3% 1% 6% 1% 18% 11% * 2% 6% +/-3.0 1834 ----32% 1% * 4% * 2% 4% * * * 6% * 4% 4% 27% 11% * 1% 3% +/-7.5 Under Total $50K --------39% 35% 2% 1% 3% 3% 4% 3% * * 1% 1% 2% 3% * * 1% 1% * * 3% 3% 1% 2% 6% 4% 1% 2% 18% 21% 11% 13% * 1% 2% 2% 6% 4% +/-3.0 +/-5.0 3549 ----42% 1% 2% 5% * * * 1% * * 2% 3% 9% * 15% 12% * 1% 7% +/-7.0 $50K or more ------47% 2% 2% 5% * * 1% 1% 2% * 3% 1% 7% * 15% 9% * 2% 5% +/-4.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 23 POLL 7 3 5064 ----43% 3% 5% 3% 1% * * * 2% * 1% 1% 6% * 14% 10% 1% 2% 7% +/-6.0 No College ------31% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 3% * 1% * 3% 2% 6% 1% 24% 10% 1% 2% 6% +/-5.5 -89- 65+ ----41% 2% 3% 3% * * 4% * 2% 1% 2% * 4% * 13% 9% * 5% 9% +/-5.0 Under 50 ----37% 1% 1% 4% * 1% 2% * * * 4% 1% 6% 2% 22% 12% * 1% 5% +/-5.0 50 and Older -----42% 3% 4% 3% 1% * 2% * 2% * 1% 1% 5% * 13% 10% 1% 3% 8% +/-4.0 Attended College -------45% 1% 2% 5% * 1% 2% * 1% * 2% * 5% 2% 14% 12% * 2% 6% +/-4.0 July 22-25, 2015 Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year? Base = Total Sample Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----39% 2% 3% 4% * 1% 2% * 1% * 3% 1% 6% 1% 18% 11% * 2% 6% +/-3.0 Democrat ----48% 1% 2% 3% * 1% 2% * 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% * 13% 10% 1% 3% 8% +/-6.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----39% 2% 3% 4% * 1% 2% * 1% * 3% 1% 6% 1% 18% 11% * 2% 6% +/-3.0 North east ----42% 1% 4% 3% * * 2% * 1% 1% 3% * 5% 1% 18% 10% 2% 2% 6% +/-6.5 Independent -----38% 2% 3% 5% 1% 1% 2% * 1% * 4% 1% 6% 2% 20% 8% * 1% 5% +/-4.5 Midwest ----37% 3% 3% 4% 1% * 1% 1% 3% * 3% * 2% * 18% 14% * 4% 7% +/-6.5 Republican -----30% 1% 4% 4% * * 3% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 8% 1% 21% 18% * 2% 6% +/-6.0 South ----41% 1% 2% 4% * 1% 3% * * * 3% 3% 4% 3% 18% 9% * 1% 5% +/-5.5 Liberal ----46% * 2% 5% 1% * 2% * 1% * 5% * 3% 2% 16% 9% 1% 2% 7% +/-6.5 West ----36% 1% 2% 3% * 1% 2% * 1% * 2% * 11% * 17% 11% * 2% 8% +/-6.5 Moderate ----42% 1% 2% 4% * 1% 1% * 1% * 3% 2% 5% 2% 16% 10% * 2% 6% +/-5.0 Urban ----36% 1% 4% 5% 1% 2% 1% * 1% * * * 7% 1% 18% 13% 1% 1% 7% +/-5.5 Conservative ------32% 3% 4% 3% * 1% 2% 1% 2% * 1% 1% 7% * 21% 13% * 3% 6% +/-5.0 Suburban ----43% 2% 2% 4% * * 2% 1% 1% * 2% 2% 4% 2% 17% 9% * 3% 6% +/-4.5 Rural ----40% 2% * 3% * * 4% * 1% * 8% 1% 6% 1% 16% 12% * 1% 6% +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -90- July 22-25, 2015 CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 23 Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year? Base = Registered voters White Reg. Evan Total Men Women White Non-White Voters gelical ------------------------- ------ ------Jeb Bush 40% 42% 39% 43% 35% 40% 35% Ben Carson 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% Chris Christie 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% * Ted Cruz 4% 6% 2% 3% 5% 4% 5% Carly Fiorina * * 1% 1% * * 1% Lindsey Graham 1% * 2% * 2% 1% * Mike Huckabee 2% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% 4% Bobby Jindal * 1% * 1% * * * John Kasich 1% 1% 1% 2% * 1% 1% George Pataki * * * * * * * Rand Paul 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% Rick Perry 1% 2% * * 3% 1% 1% Marco Rubio 5% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% Rick Santorum 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% * Donald Trump 18% 18% 17% 17% 18% 18% 23% Scott Walker 11% 12% 10% 11% 12% 11% 13% Jim Gilmore * * 1% * 1% * * Someone else 2% * 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% No opinion 7% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 2% 2% 4% * 1% 2% * 1% * 2% 1% 5% 2% 18% 11% * 2% 7% +/-3.5 1834 ----33% 1% * 3% 1% 3% 4% * * * 4% * 3% 5% 28% 11% * 1% 3% +/-8.5 Under Total $50K --------40% 37% 2% 1% 2% 2% 4% 2% * * 1% 2% 2% 3% * * 1% 1% * * 2% 3% 1% 2% 5% 3% 2% 3% 18% 22% 11% 12% * 1% 2% 2% 7% 4% +/-3.5 +/-5.0 3549 ----44% 1% * 5% * * * 1% * * 2% 3% 6% * 16% 12% * 1% 8% +/-7.5 $50K or more ------46% 3% 1% 5% * * 1% 1% 2% * 2% 1% 6% * 14% 10% * 2% 5% +/-5.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- July 22 to 25, 2015 Question 23 POLL 7 3 5064 ----44% 3% 5% 3% * * * * 3% * 1% 1% 6% * 12% 11% 1% 1% 7% +/-6.5 No College ------35% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% * 1% * 3% 3% 4% 1% 23% 10% 1% 2% 7% +/-6.0 -91- 65+ ----41% 2% 2% 3% * * 4% * 2% 1% 2% * 3% * 13% 10% * 5% 9% +/-5.0 Under 50 ----39% 1% * 4% * 1% 2% 1% * * 3% 2% 4% 3% 22% 11% * 1% 5% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----43% 3% 4% 3% * * 2% * 3% * 2% 1% 5% * 12% 11% 1% 3% 8% +/-4.0 Attended College -------44% 2% 2% 5% * 1% 2% * 1% * 2% * 5% 2% 14% 12% * 2% 6% +/-4.0 July 22-25, 2015 Just your best guess... Regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president next year? Base = Registered voters Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 2% 2% 4% * 1% 2% * 1% * 2% 1% 5% 2% 18% 11% * 2% 7% +/-3.5 Democrat ----50% 1% * 3% * 2% 2% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% * 13% 10% 1% 2% 9% +/-6.0 Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Jim Gilmore Someone else No opinion Sampling Error Total ----40% 2% 2% 4% * 1% 2% * 1% * 2% 1% 5% 2% 18% 11% * 2% 7% +/-3.5 North east ----45% 2% 2% 2% * * 2% * 1% 1% 2% * 4% 1% 16% 9% 2% 3% 6% +/-7.0 Independent -----38% 3% 2% 4% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% * 4% 1% 4% 3% 18% 9% * 2% 6% +/-5.0 Midwest ----37% 3% 3% 5% 2% * * 1% 3% * 3% * 3% * 18% 14% * 2% 7% +/-7.0 Republican -----32% 1% 3% 4% * * 2% 1% * * 1% 1% 7% 1% 23% 16% * 2% 6% +/-6.5 South ----40% 2% 1% 5% * 1% 3% * * * 2% 3% 4% 4% 18% 9% * 1% 5% +/-5.5 Liberal ----50% * 1% 5% 1% * 2% * 1% * 3% * 4% 2% 12% 8% 2% * 8% +/-7.0 West ----40% 2% 2% 2% * 1% 1% * 1% * 2% * 8% 1% 17% 12% * 3% 8% +/-7.0 Moderate ----43% 1% 1% 4% * 1% 1% * 1% * 3% 2% 3% 3% 16% 10% * 2% 7% +/-5.5 Urban ----39% 1% 2% 5% * 2% 2% * 1% * 1% * 5% 1% 16% 13% 1% 2% 7% +/-6.0 Conservative ------33% 3% 3% 3% * 1% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 6% * 22% 13% * 3% 6% +/-5.0 Suburban ----43% 2% 2% 3% 1% * 2% 1% 2% * 2% 2% 4% 2% 17% 9% * 3% 7% +/-5.0 Rural ----40% 3% * 3% * * 4% * 1% * 7% 1% 6% 1% 16% 13% * 1% 5% +/-7.0 * percentage less than 1% POLL 7 3 -92- July 22-25, 2015