Protecting Customers and Addressing Cross-Subsidization: Unintended Consequences of Retail Net Metering Presentation to the National Governors Association State Learning Network for New Utility Business Models & the Electricity Market Structure of the Future Boston, MA July 29, 2015 Ashley C. Brown Executive Director, Harvard Electricity Policy Group Harvard Kennedy School Harvard University 1 Origins of Net Metering   Default Product of the Era of Dumb Meters, Dumb Prices and Low Market Penetration of Distributed Generation To Extent Policy Was Considered – Designed to Jump Start Market for Distributed Solar DG 2 Sources of Cross-Subsidy   Passing on Fixed Costs to Non-Solar Customers Passing on Demand Costs to Non-Solar Customers   Compounded by Intermittency and NonCoincidence with Peak Demand Paying Retail Price for Wholesale Product  Distinction Between Net Retail Metering and Net Energy Metering 3 Intended Objectives of Net Metering     Simplicity Compatible with Dumb Meters Compatible with Static / Non-Dynamic Prices Stimulates Demand for Solar DG with Local Cross-Subsidies in Addition to Tax Credits and REC’s/SREC’s 4 Electricity Pricing Context   Traditional Methods: 1. Market Based 2. Cost Based 3. Avoided Cost (PURPA) Retail Net Metering and Administrative Valuation Lack Economic Basis 5 Failures of Administratively Derived Energy Prices   PURPA and Avoided Cost Controversies of 1980’s Highly Subjective and Speculative Theories of Value Never Proved Sustainable 6 Changing Context     Smart Meters and Dynamic Pricing (Increasing Role of Price Signals to Inform Demand) Dramatically Declining Cost of Solar Panels Increased Market Penetration by Solar DG Sophisticated Energy Price Signals in Wholesale Market 7 Unintended and Highly Unfortunate Consequences    Socially Regressive (Tax on the Poor) Pays Premium Price for Least Efficient Renewable Resource Pays Premium Price for Most Expensive Means of Reducing Carbon Emissions (If Reduced at All)   Ratio of Dollars Spent to Amount of Carbon Reduced Distorts Energy Price Signals 8 Unintended and Highly Unfortunate Consequences (Cont.)  Will lead Utilities / Regulators to Move to Straight Fixed / Variable Pricing   Increases the Price of Solar Installations   Dilution of Price Signals for Energy Efficiency Less of Declining Costs of Solar Panels Get Passed through to Customers Subsidizes Inefficient Solar Production and Provide No Incentive for Productivity Gains 9 Unintended and Highly Unfortunate Consequences (Cont.)    Distorts Price Signals in Energy Market Massive Wealth Transfer to Solar Installers with No Appreciable Consumer Benefit Promotes Inefficient Southern Rather than More Beneficial Western Exposure    Less Economic Value Less Environmental Value Stimulates Uneconomic Choices 10