Subject: FW: Official: Sensitive - LCF Attachments: LCF Bill Impacts in 2020 - April 2015.pdf From: Bailey Paul (Analysis) Sent: 27 May 2015 1?:31 To: UNDER REGULATION 13 PERSONAL Cc: UNDER REGULATION 13 PERSONAL Subject: RE: Official: Sensitive - LCF Hi Tiffany Apologies but the ?1369 is a mistake. It should he ?1319. Find attached a corrected table. Paul as . . Dfegartmegt LCF Bill Impacts (Central Estimates) 0 nergy Climate Change LCF Bill Impacts 2011l12 This Slide Shows the Change to 3" prices, central Bill impact of LCF in Total bill in 2020, E. EVEFEQP annual d0m851i0_e'ectri0ity Scenario scenario 2020. E, 2014 prices 2014 prices gas bill from the recent Increase 2020121 in LCF spend projections. LCF Budget {as per Prices 3. Bills Report, Nov - In the November 2014 Price and 2014) ?600 ?92 ?1319 Bills Report, it was assumed that LCF Expected Spend April 2015 8630 ?104 ?1,222 spending followed the LCF Budget im . . . pact of perimeter Le. In 202021. In centrar LCF Total bill in 2020 this slide we compare the impact expat;th Bi? impact of LCF in on bills of current central expected . . . . LCF Spend with the impacton bills Scenario spend 20202020. 2014 prices 2014 prices of spending the LCF Budget perimeter in each year; - LCF Budget {as per Prices 8. BiIls Report, Nov 2014] ?92 ?92 ?1319 - The current projected LCF I LCF Expected Spend April 2015 ?104 ?104 ?1222 overspend leads to a" increase of Change in Bill Impacts ?12 ?12 ?12 on an annual average domestic B'ectficiw 935 bi" "1 LCF costs in 2020 as a proportion of total average annual domestic 2020. However. lower wholesale . . . prices as a result of lower fossil 8? gas bl" fuel price assumptions leads to an overall reductions in average domestic bills of in 2020. - Therefore. the proportion of total bills attributable to LCF costs is 9% based on current LCF central spend estimates (up from 7% in the November Price and Bills Report}. November 2014 April 2015 LCF costs I LCF costs I costs I costs Official - Sensitive