5.3. No. 1 (Plain) Special Report} SUBJECT .. Reference to Papers up (2) Ag a 4 f. L.-- METRO POLITAN. .EOLI CE SPECIAL BRANCH 01A 514? 1. On Mbnday, 11 July 1977, there is to be a demonstration by the Trade Union Movement in support of the striking workers at Grunwick. This report gives a Special Branch assessment of the public order prospects for that day. 2. The initiative for the demonstration arose out of a call by Arthur SCARGILL, the Yorkshire miners leader for a "day this call has receivec widespread support by trade unionists and there can be no doubt that considerable numbers will arrive in London to take part in a demonstration. 3. Until yesterday there was no clear indication as to who would organise the day of action or what general plan they would adopt. It has now been established that the leaders of the APEX Union are making themselves responsible for a march which is designed to be a peaceful show of solidarity with the dismissed Grunwick workers. A. This development is one which is most welcome from a public order point of View and quite clearly it is much in the interests of police to assist the organisers of this demonstration with encouragement and goodwill. The organisers of the march are:- 1 It is their intention to assemble supporters at 11 am on Mbnday, 11 July 1977, at Dartmouth Road, NW2, and to lead them past the gates of Grunwicks factory in Chapter Road to a meeting in Roundwood Park, NW10. There is no intention by this group to halt outside Grunwicks but merely to pass by. The overall aim is to stage a peaceful march and to avoid any clashes with police. To this end some 60?70 marshalls will be provided by the organisers and although trade union banners will be carried it is hoped to discourage the carrying of political banners. 5. The organisers believe that they will be able to get some 10,000 persons to support this march. At this stage that looks a somewhat optimistic estimate but such is the public interest in .the Grunwicks issue that it is likely that something like that number would be prepared to take part in the march. 6. From a public order viewpoint it is important to recognise that APEX with its emphasis on moderation and good sense may not be able to command all the elements which have so far shown an interest in the Grunwicks situation. It is of course a matter for APEX to canvas within the trade union movement for their own point of view. But on any detached view it has to be conceded that may not carry the Grunwicks strike committee with them and this may give rise to a split within the ranks of the demonstrators. 7. The position of the Grunwicks strike committee is that they are rather hoping for a massive picket of Grunwicks factory on July 11 of such a nature as to make it impossible for the worke force to gain entry through the gates. It has been the pattern in the events of the past few weeks for the strike committee to be more militant in action ban the APEX union and there are militant left?wing groups who have an.interest in seeing APEX outflanked so to speak by the strike committee. Q- 8. The Strike Committee?is very much iniluenced by of Brent Trades Council and he in turn follows ely t-e ine which serves the interest of the Communist Party. The has always regarded?APEX as being too right wing and it is in the 0P interest to make trouble for the AP leadership. Consequently the Strike Committee will offer an alternative to the APEX march on 11 July. 9. The Strike Committee have called for a massive picket of Grunwicks starting at 6 am. This is in addition to calling for support for the 11 am march. 10. The early picket is likely to be well supported, and at this stage it has to be envisaged as being about half as big as the main march that is to say almost 6,000 strong. This offers the most difficult part of the day of action. 11. Support for the early picket will come from the extreme left?wing (Socialist Workers Tarty and Communists) as a matter of course. It will also be supported by the more left?wing elements among trade unionists, particularly the miners union. Already it is known that EEK coaches are leaving'lales and Yorkshire so as to be in London before 6 am on Kenday. It? SIB. No. ass- OM Page 12. and militant. upon the TUC generally to dissuade lar But in view of the from attending the picket. call the chances are that the pic In essence therefore matters stand therefore the pic There is time, of course, ket will be very large for APEX to prevail gs numbers of their members Strike Committee ket will attract all the militants. day of action will consist of two events - a potentially violent picket at about 7 am this stage it is impossible to It is hoped to make a as they arise and to submit and a main march at 11 am. At assess the outcome of the pick sting. continuous assessment of developments further reports on Thursday an Friday 0 I . Inspector this week.