This Washington Post-ABC news poll was conducted by telephone January 21-24, 2016,
among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including landline and cell phone
respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage
points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
*= less than 0.5 percent
(Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the
end.)
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as
president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
10/18/15
9/10/15
7/19/15
5/31/15
3/29/15
1/15/15
12/14/14
10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
6/1/14
4/27/14
3/2/14
1/23/14
12/15/13
11/17/13
10/20/13
9/15/13
7/21/13
5/19/13
4/14/13
3/10/13
1/13/13
12/16/12
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

-------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
50
31
18
45
24
22
46
24
22
51
28
23
49
27
22
45
26
20
45
22
23
47
26
21
50
24
26
41
21
20
43
21
22
40
20
20
42
24
18
46
23
23
41
23
19
46
25
22
46
23
23
43
23
20
42
22
21
48
28
20
47
25
22
49
25
24
51
32
20
50
27
23
50
29
21
55
32
23
54
33
21
52
33
10
51
33
10
51
32
11
50
31
11
50
30
11
50
28
12
50
28
11
51
28
11
50
28
11
51
29
10
50
29
9
50
29
10
50
29
21
50
30
20
51
31
20
50
30
21
50
26
24
49
29
20
50
27
23
47
24
24
47
26
21

------- Disapprove -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
46
11
36
51
12
39
50
10
40
45
10
35
46
9
37
50
13
37
49
11
38
47
11
36
44
9
35
54
13
41
51
12
39
51
12
39
51
12
39
51
14
37
52
12
40
50
12
38
50
9
41
55
14
41
55
11
44
49
10
39
47
11
37
44
12
32
44
10
33
45
10
35
46
11
36
41
8
33
42
9
32
46
10
36
47
10
37
47
11
36
48
11
37
48
11
37
48
12
37
48
11
36
46
11
36
46
11
36
46
10
36
47
9
37
48
10
38
47
9
37
47
10
38
47
10
37
44
10
34
46
12
34
45
11
35
46
13
33
49
15
34
49
13
36

No
opinion
4
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
6
5
6
8
6
3
6
3
4
3
3
3
6
7
5
5
4
4
5
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
6
4
6
4
4
3

 4/8/12
50
30
20
3/10/12
46
28
18
2/4/12
50
29
22
1/15/12
48
25
23
12/18/11
49
25
24
11/3/11
44
22
22
10/2/11
42
21
21
9/1/11
43
21
22
8/9/11*
44
18
26
7/17/11
47
25
22
6/5/11
47
27
20
5/2/11**
56
29
27
4/17/11
47
27
21
3/13/11
51
27
24
1/16/11
54
30
23
12/12/10
49
24
25
10/28/10
50
27
23
10/3/10
50
26
24
9/2/10
46
24
22
7/11/10
50
28
22
6/6/10
52
30
22
4/25/10
54
31
23
3/26/10
53
34
20
2/8/10
51
29
22
1/15/10
53
30
24
12/13/09
50
31
18
11/15/09
56
32
23
10/18/09
57
33
23
9/12/09
54
35
19
8/17/09
57
35
21
7/18/09
59
38
22
6/21/09
65
36
29
4/24/09
69
42
27
3/29/09
66
40
26
2/22/09
68
43
25
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

45
50
46
48
47
53
54
53
46
48
49
38
50
45
43
47
45
47
52
47
45
44
43
46
44
46
42
40
43
40
37
31
26
29
25

10
11
11
11
13
15
14
16
9
14
13
14
12
12
15
15
11
13
14
12
12
11
8
12
13
13
13
11
12
11
9
10
8
9
8

35
39
36
37
34
37
40
38
37
35
37
24
37
33
28
32
34
34
38
35
33
33
35
33
32
33
29
29
31
29
28
22
18
20
17

6
4
3
4
4
3
4
3
10
5
4
6
3
4
3
4
5
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
2
4
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
5
7

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you
approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
1/24/16 – Summary Table

a. The economy
b. The threat of terrorism

------- Approve -----NET
Strongly
Smwht
50
32
17
45
23
22

----- Disapprove ----NET
Smwht
Strongly
46
13
33
48
10
38

*Half sample asked item a; other half asked item b.
Trend:
a. The economy

1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
9/10/15
7/19/15
5/31/15

-------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
50
32
17
48
26
22
48
24
24
49
26
22
47
25
22
47
25
23

------- Disapprove -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
46
13
33
48
14
34
48
14
34
47
11
36
48
13
35
48
14
34

No
opinion
4
3
4
5
5
4

No
op.
4
7

 3/29/15
49
29
20
1/15/15
48
26
21
12/14/14
44
24
20
10/26/14
42
21
20
10/12/14
44
25
19
9/7/14
42
22
19
6/1/14
43
21
21
4/27/14
42
20
21
3/2/14
43
23
20
1/23/14
43
22
21
12/15/13
42
24
18
11/17/13
41
22
20
10/20/13
44
23
20
9/15/13
45
25
20
7/21/13
45
22
22
5/19/13
48
26
22
4/14/13
44
22
22
3/10/13
44
24
20
1/13/13
50
24
25
12/16/12
50
27
23
10/13/12 RV
47
26
21
9/29/12 RV
47
23
25
9/9/12
RV
45
24
21
8/25/12
44
20
23
7/8/12
44
21
23
5/20/12
42
20
22
4/8/12
44
23
21
3/10/12
38
20
18
2/4/12
44
23
22
1/15/12
41
19
22
12/18/11
41
17
24
11/3/11
38
18
20
10/2/11
35
17
19
9/1/11
36
15
21
7/17/11
39
18
22
6/5/11
40
20
20
5/2/11*
40
18
22
4/17/11
42
23
19
3/13/11
43
22
21
1/16/11
46
22
24
12/12/10
43
21
22
10/28/10 RV
44
21
23
10/3/10
45
22
23
9/2/10
41
20
21
7/11/10
43
20
23
6/6/10
50
26
24
4/25/10
49
24
25
3/26/10
45
23
22
2/8/10
45
22
23
1/15/10
47
22
24
12/13/09
46
23
24
11/15/09
51
26
25
10/18/09
50
29
22
9/12/09
51
28
24
8/17/09
52
27
25
7/18/09
52
29
23
6/21/09
56
28
28
4/24/09
58
31
28
3/29/09
60
34
25
2/22/09
60
NA
NA
*Washington Post/Pew Research Center
b. The threat of terrorism

46
48
52
52
51
54
53
54
54
55
55
57
54
51
49
48
53
52
47
48
51
52
53
54
54
55
54
59
53
57
56
61
61
62
57
59
55
57
55
51
54
54
53
57
54
49
49
52
53
52
52
47
48
46
46
46
41
38
38
34

12
10
14
14
12
15
15
13
14
13
14
14
12
14
14
10
12
10
10
10
10
10
8
12
13
11
12
9
11
11
13
13
13
15
15
10
16
11
13
13
15
15
13
13
13
12
10
12
15
13
12
12
13
13
13
10
13
13
12
NA

34
38
38
38
39
39
38
41
41
42
40
42
42
37
35
37
41
42
37
38
41
41
45
42
41
44
42
50
41
46
43
48
48
47
43
49
39
46
41
38
39
39
41
44
41
37
39
40
38
39
40
36
35
33
33
35
27
25
26
NA

5
5
4
7
4
5
4
4
2
3
4
2
2
4
6
4
3
4
3
3
2
1
2
3
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
4
2
3
2
4
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
4
2
2
3
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
3
3
4
3
6

 -------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
1/24/16
45
23
22
12/13/15
43
19
23
11/19/15
40
21
19
1/15/15
47
22
25
12/14/14
43
21
22
10/12/14
42
21
21
1/23/14
50
29
21
1/15/12
56
36
20
11/3/11
60
37
23
9/1/11
62
33
29
6/5/11
60
35
25
5/2/11*
69
42
27
2/8/10
56
28
28
1/15/10
55
31
23
11/15/09
53
31
22
9/12/09
55
31
24
6/21/09
57
NA
NA
4/21/09**
57
"
"
*Washington Post-Pew Research Center
**Pew Research Center

------- Disapprove -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
48
10
38
53
9
44
54
11
43
45
14
31
48
14
34
50
15
35
42
14
28
38
10
28
34
12
22
32
12
21
34
13
21
21
9
12
39
14
25
42
14
28
41
14
27
34
12
23
36
NA
NA
26
"
"

No
opinion
7
4
6
8
9
8
8
6
6
6
6
10
5
4
6
11
7
17

3. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or
do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

1/24/16
7/19/15
1/15/15
10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
4/27/14
1/23/14
11/17/13
10/20/13
7/21/13
5/19/13
1/13/13
10/31/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
4/8/12
1/15/12
11/3/11
9/1/11
6/5/11
1/16/11
12/12/10
10/28/10
6/6/10
3/26/10
1/15/10
11/15/09
10/18/09
8/17/09
6/21/09

LV
RV
RV
RV

RV

Right
direction
36
31
39
28
29
31
30
35
27
28
36
39
39
43
42
38
29
33
33
30
22
20
32
38
31
27
37
38
37
44
44
44
47

Wrong
track
60
65
56
68
66
65
66
62
70
68
60
57
57
55
56
60
69
63
64
68
74
77
66
60
67
71
60
60
62
55
54
55
50

No
opinion
4
4
5
5
5
5
4
2
3
4
4
4
5
2
3
2
2
4
3
2
3
3
2
3
2
2
3
2
1
2
2
1
3

 4/24/09
3/29/09
2/22/09
1/16/09
12/14/08
10/25/08
10/11/08
9/22/08
8/22/08
6/15/08
5/11/08
1/12/08
11/1/07
6/1/07
1/19/07
11/4/06
10/22/06
10/8/06
5/15/06
11/2/05
10/24/04
4/18/04
4/30/03
9/26/02
2/21/02
2/14/99
11/1/98
9/13/98*
8/21/98
7/12/98
4/4/98
1/31/98
1/30/98
1/19/98
8/27/97
6/8/97
3/9/97
10/17/96
10/16/96
10/15/96
10/14/96
10/13/96
9/04/96
8/21/96
6/30/96
3/17/96
1/21/96
1/3/96
4/5/95
1/4/95
10/31/94
7/20/94
3/27/94
1/23/94
11/14/93
8/8/93
6/20/93
4/26/93
3/11/93
2/28/93
1/17/93
12/14/92
10/27/92

LV
RV
RV

RV

LV

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

RV

50
42
31
19
15
13
8
14
19
14
16
21
24
25
26
39
30
32
29
30
41
42
52
43
54
55
55
51
57
50
55
61
61
44
39
37
34
40
42
43
44
44
40
28
26
27
27
21
23
27
27
26
28
31
25
26
26
27
36
37
31
35
22

48
57
67
78
82
85
90
83
78
84
82
77
74
73
71
59
68
66
69
68
55
57
46
53
42
41
43
45
40
45
41
34
34
50
57
60
62
55
53
52
51
51
54
67
70
70
66
77
73
68
69
70
69
60
69
71
71
71
57
59
63
60
76

2
1
2
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
4
1
2
4
4
4
2
3
4
6
4
5
5
6
4
3
4
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
5
3
6
3
3
6
4
4
3
10
6
3
3
2
7
4
6
5
2

 10/4/92 RV
18
6/7/92
14
4/9/92
16
3/11/92
18
1/15/92
19
11/10/91
24
10/29/91
26
8/27/91
31
7/28/91
30
6/2/91
39
4/9/91
42
2/26/91
58
1/27/91
49
10/14/90
19
9/9/90
36
8/20/90
35
7/24/90
37
5/21/90
39
3/26/90
44
2/4/90
49
1/16/90
48
5/23/89
42
3/16/89
46
1/16/89 LV
51
10/25/88 LV
49
9/27/88
48
7/11/88
40
5/25/88
35
3/21/88
40
1/23/88
39
12/13/87
49
12/2/87
35
9/23/87
43
6/29/87
35
4/13/87
37
3/9/87
38
1/18/87
39
9/8/86
50
1/26/86
45
7/29/85
52
1/16/85
59
5/22/84
47
12/13/83
43
11/7/83
51
4/12/83
41
3/2/83
43
10/11/82
35
1/30/82
39
2/80**
20
2/78
34
2/77
41
10/75
19
10/74
15
10/73
16
*Washington Post
**2/80 and previous: Roper

78
83
81
79
78
72
71
60
67
57
51
39
48
79
60
60
60
60
53
48
49
55
52
46
46
44
56
59
56
59
47
61
54
62
60
58
56
48
47
43
36
48
51
44
54
53
57
56
70
53
44
71
75
74

4
3
3
4
3
4
3
9
3
4
7
3
4
2
4
5
2
2
2
3
3
3
2
3
6
8
4
6
4
2
4
4
4
3
3
4
5
2
8
6
4
5
6
5
4
3
8
5
10
13
14
9
11
10

4. How closely are you following the 2016 presidential race: very closely, somewhat
closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?
---- Closely ---NET
Very
Smwt

---- Not closely ---NET
Not so
At all

No
opinion

 1/24/16
11/19/15

78
75

35
30

44
45

21
25

13
13

9
12

*
*

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
5/20/12
2/4/12*
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11
10/2/11
9/1/11
7/17/11
6/5/11

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV

99
98
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
95
94
93
92
92
93
92
87
82
79
76
69
65
64
66
61
61

66
67
67
68
67
66
69
69
68
66
62
63
63
64
64
60
54
51
38
37
33
26
24
24
25
18
22

33
31
31
31
32
33
30
30
31
33
33
32
31
28
28
33
38
36
44
43
43
43
41
40
40
43
39

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
5
6
8
8
6
8
13
18
20
24
31
34
36
34
39
38

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
4
5
5
4
6
8
9
12
14
18
17
23
20
23
23

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
5
8
8
10
13
17
13
14
15
15

*
*
*
0
0
0
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08
4/13/08
3/2/08
2/1/08
1/12/08
12/9/07
11/1/07
9/30/07
7/21/07

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

91
90
90
89
89
89
90
91
90
89
89
88
89
90
90
90
92
89
91
89
84
79
75
83
84
84
81
79
72
67
69
70

64
63
61
60
59
60
59
60
60
59
60
58
57
58
57
57
59
58
55
51
42
36
34
39
37
42
35
32
21
21
21
22

28
28
29
29
29
30
31
31
30
30
28
30
32
32
34
33
33
31
36
38
42
42
41
44
47
42
46
47
51
46
48
48

8
9
10
11
11
10
10
9
9
11
11
12
11
10
10
10
8
11
9
10
16
21
25
17
16
15
19
21
28
33
30
30

5
5
6
7
7
6
6
5
5
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
4
7
5
6
11
12
12
13
11
11
12
15
19
22
21
20

4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
6
5
4
4
3
4
5
4
5
5
9
13
5
5
4
7
6
8
12
10
10

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
1
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*

 6/1/07
4/15/07
2/25/07

66
66
65

18
20
20

48
45
44

34
34
35

22
20
25

13
14
10

*
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04
5/23/04
4/18/04
3/7/04
2/11/04
1/18/04
10/29/03
9/13/03

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

90
90
90
90
90
89
89
90
90
90
90
89
87
88
89
88
87
87
88
88
88
87
88
88
88
88
88
88
87
87
85
81
80
73
78
74
75
75
75
66
54
56

58
59
58
58
57
55
55
54
54
54
55
55
54
52
52
53
53
52
52
52
53
52
52
53
53
51
50
49
48
48
45
43
41
34
33
33
30
33
30
22
15
16

32
31
32
32
33
34
34
36
36
36
35
34
33
36
37
35
34
35
36
36
35
35
36
35
35
37
38
39
39
39
40
38
39
39
45
41
45
42
45
44
39
40

9
9
9
9
9
10
10
10
10
10
11
10
12
11
12
12
12
13
13
11
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
14
20
20
27
22
26
25
25
25
35
45
44

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
7
8
7
8
7
7
7
7
8
8
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
8
10
13
13
15
15
17
16
18
15
22
30
27

3
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
7
7
12
7
9
9
7
10
13
15
17

*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
0
*

11/6/00
11/5/00
11/4/00
11/3/00
11/2/00
11/1/00
10/31/00
10/30/00
10/29/00
10/28/00
10/27/00
10/26/00
10/25/00
10/24/00
10/23/00
10/22/00

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV

92
91
91
91
90
91
90
91
90
89
89
89
89
87
89
88

54
53
52
51
48
48
46
47
47
47
48
47
47
44
44
44

38
38
39
40
42
43
44
44
43
42
41
42
42
43
45
44

8
8
9
9
10
9
9
9
10
10
11
11
11
13
11
12

6
6
7
6
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
8
8
10
8
9

2
2
2
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
0
0
0

 10/21/00 LV
87
10/20/00 LV
86
10/19/00 LV
85
10/18/00 LV
87
10/17/00 LV
86
10/15/00 RV
77
10/9/00 RV
75
10/1/00 RV
75
9/6/00
RV
74
8/20/00 RV
74
8/10/00 RV
72
8/6/00
53
7/29/00
51
7/23/00
50
6/11/00
49
4/2/00
53
3/11/00
61
2/27/00
70
2/6/00
65
1/16/00
50
12/15/99
45
10/31/99
61
7/17/95
36
7/8/92
76
1/27/92
51
10/10/88 RV
77
8/18/88 RV
68
8/15/88 RV
70
5/25/88
76
9/23/87
50
6/1/87
50
*2/4/12 and previous

46
41
13
9
4
*
46
40
15
11
4
*
44
41
14
10
4
*
42
45
13
10
3
*
40
46
13
10
3
*
33
44
23
15
8
*
30
45
25
16
9
*
27
48
25
17
8
*
26
48
26
17
9
*
28
46
26
16
10
1
29
43
29
18
11
*
17
36
47
22
25
*
16
35
49
25
24
*
14
36
50
25
25
*
13
36
51
26
25
0
17
36
47
24
23
0
21
40
38
21
17
0
24
46
30
20
10
*
19
48
34
21
13
0
11
39
50
26
24
*
12
33
55
31
24
*
16
45
38
25
13
*
7
29
63
33
31
*
28
48
24
16
8
*
14
37
48
25
23
1
31
46
23
17
6
26
42
31
20
11
0
27
43
31
19
12
0
25
51
25
19
6
*
9
41
49
31
18
*
11
39
49
32
17
*
"not too closely" instead of "not so closely"

5. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential primary or
caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are
the chances 50-50, or less than that?

50-50

Less
than
50-50

Will not
vote
(vol.)

No primary/
caucus
(vol.)

Already
voted
(vol.)

No
op.

Cert.

Prob.

All:
1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15

62
63
63

13
13
14

15
12
9

7
7
10

3
5
4

NA
NA
NA

NA
NA
NA

1
0
1

2/1/08
1/12/08
12/9/07
11/1/07

64
65
70
69

13
12
11
12

9
13
10
10

10
6
6
6

3
4
3
3

*
*
*
*

1
*
NA
"

*
*
*
1

Leaned Republicans:
1/24/16
70
13
12/13/15
71
14
11/19/15
74
12

9
7
5

7
5
5

*
4
2

NA
NA
NA

NA
NA
NA

1
0
1

2/4/12
1/15/12
12/18/11

55
65
71

17
15
14

10
11
8

5
4
6

8
4
1

0
*
*

6
1
NA

*
1
*

2/1/08
1/12/08
12/9/07

68
69
74

10
12
11

9
12
9

8
4
3

4
3
2

*
*
*

1
*
NA

0
0
*

 11/1/07

68

12

11

6

3

0

"

0

Leaned Democrats:
1/24/16
59
12/13/15
61
11/19/15
56

14
13
17

17
16
12

6
8
10

3
3
5

NA
NA
NA

NA
NA
NA

1
0
*

2/1/08
1/12/08
12/9/07
11/1/07

64
68
70
71

14
11
12
11

8
11
10
9

10
6
5
6

3
3
3
2

0
*
*
*

2
*
NA
"

*
*
*
1

10/29/03
9/13/03

55
64

19
15

15
14

8
5

4
NA

*
1

NA
"

0
1

6. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) I'm going to read a list of candidates for the
Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential
primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote? Which
candidate would you lean toward?
1/24/16 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE
Among gen pop:

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Ben Carson
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Bobby Jindal
George Pataki
Rick Perry
Paul Ryan
Scott Walker
Other (vol.)
None of
these (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
No opinion

2016
1/24
36
20
10
8
6
3
3
2
2
1
*
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
1

--------------- 2015 ---------------12/13 11/19 10/18 9/19 7/31 5/31 3/29
38
33
32
34
23
5
NA
14
7
6
7
4
7
13
10
11
9
6
9
9
7
11
22
21
18
6
7
7
7
5
8
10
13
13
20
4
2
3
1
4
5
6
1
4
5
2
*
2
1
2
3
3
3
7
9
8
1
2
2
3
2
3
1
3
3
3
4
6
11
9
*
1
*
1
1
3
2
NA
NA
NA
*
NA
NA
NA
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
NA
0
0
1
2
1
1
0
*
1
*
2
1
NA
NA
NA
NA
1
3
2
2
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
2
11
11
12
2
*
1
2
1
*
1

------ 2014 --------12/14 10/12 4/27 1/23
NA
NA
NA
NA
8
4
6
12
6
8
7
10
7
6
NA
NA
15
15
14
18
8
7
10
13
NA
NA
NA
NA
6
11
13
NA
2
2
2
NA
11
12
14
11
3
3
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3
2
1
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
5
6
6
NA
11
8
11
20
6
1
5
NA
*
1
1
2

1

2

2

1

2

5

1

3

2

3

4

4

2
4

0
4

1
3

1
3

2
3

1
2

1
6

1
4

*
7

1
10

*
5

1
9

Among reg voters:

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Ben Carson
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Carly Fiorina

2016
1/24
37
21
11
7
5
4
3

--------------- 2015 ---------------12/13 11/19 10/18 9/19 7/31 5/31 3/29
38
32
32
33
24
4
NA
15
8
6
7
4
8
12
12
11
10
7
7
10
8
12
22
22
20
6
8
6
5
6
7
8
12
10
21
4
2
3
1
3
6
7
1
4
5
2
*
2
1

------ 2014 --------12/14 10/12 4/27 1/23
NA
NA
NA
NA
8
4
7
12
7
8
6
10
8
7
NA
NA
14
13
12
18
7
8
9
14
NA
NA
NA
NA

 Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Bobby Jindal
George Pataki
Rick Perry
Paul Ryan
Scott Walker
Other (vol.)
None of
these (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
No opinion

2
2
1
*
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
1

1
2
2
*
NA
1
NA
0
NA
NA
NA

3
3
3
1
NA
1
0
*
NA
NA
NA
*

3
2
2
*
NA
1
0
1
NA
NA
NA
1

3
3
5
1
0
*
1
*
1
NA
2
1

8
2
6
1
NA
*
2
1
4
NA
13
*

9
3
11
4
NA
1
*
1
2
NA
11
*

8
1
8
2
NA
1
1
NA
1
NA
13
1

7
2
10
3
NA
NA
3
NA
5
11
7
*

12
2
12
4
NA
NA
2
NA
6
9
2
1

14
1
15
NA
NA
NA
2
NA
5
12
5
2

NA
NA
11
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
18
NA
2

1

2

1

1

1

4

2

3

2

3

4

4

*
5

0
4

1
3

0
2

1
3

1
2

1
5

1
4

*
6

0
9

*
5

1
9

7. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS IF NAMED A CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for
[NAMED CANDIDATE] or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone
else?
1/24/16 – Summary Table

All candidates

Definitely
vote
43

Donald Trump
All other candidates

Chance
change mind
56

57
34

42
65

No
opinion
1
1
1

Compare to:
(ASKED IF NAMED REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE, NOT YET VOTED) Will you definitely vote for
(NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for
someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a GOOD CHANCE you'll change your mind,
or would you say it's PRETTY UNLIKELY?
Definitely
vote

- Chance change mindNET
Good
Unlikely

No
opinion

All candidates:
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11

36
32
27

60
64
69

36
36
45

24
28
24

3
4
4

Mitt Romney:
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11

43
36
28

53
63
71

28
37
33

25
25
39

3
1
1

8. (IF NAMED A CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be? Which candidate would you
lean toward as your second choice?
1/24/16 - NET LEANED SECOND CHOICE

Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Ben Carson

---------- Gen pop ---------1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
23
14
17
19
16
11
12
12
14
11
13
16

------------ RVs -----------1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
23
14
17
20
18
12
13
12
13
11
12
16

 Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Rick Santorum
Lindsey Graham
Bobby Jindal
George Pataki
Other (vol.)
None of these (vol.)
No opinion

6
6
4
4
2
2
2
NA
NA
NA
1
5
3

9
4
3
4
3
5
*
1
NA
2
1
9
3

11
6
3
6
2
5
1
1
0
*
*
4
3

6
6
3
4
2
1
1
NA
NA
NA
1
5
3

9
4
3
4
3
5
*
1
NA
3
1
7
3

9
7
3
6
2
5
1
*
0
*
*
3
3

9. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you
think is most likely to win the Republican nomination for president? (Candidates not
read)
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Chris Christie
Rick Santorum
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
Lindsey Graham
Bobby Jindal
George Pataki
Rick Perry
Scott Walker
Other
No opinion

1/24/16
64
12
5
2
2
*
*
1
1
0
0
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
0
13

11/19/15
39
4
13
6
19
1
1
1
*
*
*
0
0
0
NA
NA
1
14

10/18/15
42
3
5
12
15
*
1
1
1
1
2
NA
0
NA
NA
NA
*
16

3/29/15
NA
12
4
33
1
0
5
4
1
*
4
NA
*
NA
2
8
2
23

10. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Would you accept [ITEM] as the Republican candidate
for president, or would you find him unacceptable?
1/24/16 – Summary Table
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
f.

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Jeb Bush
Marco Rubio
Ben Carson
Chris Christie

Would accept
65
66
52
67
62
52

Unacceptable
32
26
45
22
30
38

No opinion
2
8
3
10
7
10

11. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Thinking about just five of these candidates –
(Trump), (Carson), (Bush), (Rubio) and (Cruz) – who do you think [ITEM]?
Full item wording:
a. is the most honest and trustworthy
b. has the best personality and temperament to serve effectively as president
c. has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2016
d. would do the most to bring needed change to Washington
e. is closest to you on the issues

 1/24/16 - Summary Table

Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
All equally (vol.)
Any 2 or more (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
No opinion

Most
honest
27
17
24
8
11
1
1
5
7

Best
personality
22
24
15
19
11
1
1
1
5

Best
chance
56
17
2
9
4
1
1
1
8

Bring
change
51
17
7
10
6
1
1
3
5

Closest on
issues
36
20
13
12
9
1
1
2
6

Trend:
a. Is the most honest and trustworthy
Trump
Carson
Cruz
Bush
Rubio
Fiorina
All equally (vol.)
Any 2 or more (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
No opinion

1/24/16
27
24
17
11
8
NA
1
1
5
7

12/13/15
23
24
12
12
11
NA
1
1
10
6

11/19/15
23
34
10
11
12
NA
1
1
4
6

10/18/15
21
33
7
10
10
7
*
1
6
5

b. Has the best personality and temperament to serve effectively as president
Cruz
Trump
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Fiorina
All equally (vol.)
Any 2 or more (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
No opinion

1/24/16
24
22
19
15
11
NA
1
1
1
5

12/13/15
18
23
17
17
18
NA
*
1
2
5

11/19/15
11
20
20
26
18
NA
0
1
1
3

10/18/15
5
19
14
24
15
10
1
1
1
11

c. Has the best chance of getting elected president in November 2016
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Fiorina
All equally (vol.)
Any 2 or more (vol.)
None (vol.)
No opinion

1/24/16
56
17
9
2
4
NA
1
1
1
8

12/13/15
47
15
14
7
8
NA
*
2
2
4

11/19/15
38
6
17
22
10
NA
0
1
*
5

10/18/15
43
4
11
16
13
3
*
*
1
8

d. Would do the most to bring needed change to Washington
Trump

1/24/16
51

12/13/15
51

11/19/15
47

 Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
All equally (vol.)
Any 2 or more (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
No opinion

17
10
7
6
1
1
3
5

12
11
11
8
1
1
2
3

9
11
22
7
*
1
1
3

e. Is closest to you on the issues
Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
Fiorina
All equally (vol.)
Any 2 or more (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
No opinion

1/24/16
36
20
13
12
9
NA
1
1
2
6

10/18/15
32
8
19
11
11
6
*
1
2
9

12. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Again, thinking about (Trump), (Carson), (Bush),
(Rubio) and (Cruz) – who do you trust most to handle [ITEM]?
Full item wording:
a. the economy
b. immigration issues
c. the threat of terrorism
d. regulating banks and other financial institutions
e. a major international crisis
1/24/16 – Summary Table

Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Bush
Carson
All equally (vol.)
Any 2 or more (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
No opinion

The
economy
55
16
8
8
6
*
*
2
4

Immigration
issues
44
18
15
8
7
*
*
2
5

Trend:
a. The economy
Trump
Cruz
Bush
Rubio
Carson
All equally (vol.)
Any 2 or more (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
No opinion

1/24/16
55
16
8
8
6
*
*
2
4

11/19/15
47
9
12
11
15
1
0
2
3

The threat of
terrorism
45
19
11
11
5
*
1
3
5

Regulating
banks
50
14
7
10
8
*
0
4
7

Major
crisis
31
23
13
17
6
1
1
3
5

 b. Immigration issues
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Bush
Carson
All equally (vol.)
Any 2 or more (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
No opinion

1/24/16
44
18
15
8
7
*
*
2
5

12/13/15
50
10
14
11
10
*
*
1
5

11/19/15
45
9
18
13
10
*
*
*
4

12/13/15
50
12
14
9
9
*
*
1
3

11/19/15
42
9
18
13
10
1
*
1
6

c. The threat of terrorism
Trump
Cruz
Bush
Rubio
Carson
All equally (vol.)
Any 2 or more (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
No opinion

1/24/16
45
19
11
11
5
*
1
3
5

d-e. No trend
13. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary or caucus
in your state were being held today and the candidates were (Hillary Clinton), (Bernie
Sanders) and (Martin O’Malley), for whom would you vote? Which candidate would you
lean toward?
1/24/16 – NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE
Among gen pop:

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin O'Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Jim Webb
Other (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Would not vote (vol.)
No opinion

2016
1/24
57
35
3
NA
NA
1
2
1
2

-------------- 2015 ---–----------12/13
11/19
10/18
9/10
7/19
59
59
65
59
69
27
35
24
24
15
5
2
2
2
2
NA
NA
*
1
1
NA
NA
2
2
4
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
4
3
2
0
1
2
1
5
2
2
5
3

2016
1/24
55
36
4
NA
NA
1
2
1
2

-------------- 2015 –-------------12/13
11/19
10/18
9/10
7/19
59
60
64
56
68
28
34
25
28
16
5
3
2
3
2
NA
NA
*
1
1
NA
NA
2
2
5
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
5
3
2
0
1
1
1
4
1
2
4
3

Among reg voters:

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin O'Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Jim Webb
Other (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Would not vote (vol.)
No opinion

 14. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS IF NAMED A CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for
[NAMED CANDIDATE] or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone
else?
1/24/16 – Summary Table

All candidates
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Definitely
vote
54

Chance
change mind
45

No
opinion
1

58
49

40
50

1
1

15. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Thinking just about (Clinton) and (Sanders), who do you think
[ITEM]?
Full item wording:
a. is more honest and trustworthy
b. has the better personality and temperament to serve effectively as president
c. has a better chance of getting elected in November 2016
d. would do more to bring needed change to Washington
e. is closer to you on the issues
1/24/16 – Summary Table

Clinton
Sanders
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion

More
honest
36
48
4
4
8

Better
personality
58
30
3
2
7

Better
chance
65
26
1
2
6

Bring
change
49
42
1
3
4

Closer on
issues
47
43
3
2
5

Trend:
a. Is more honest and trustworthy
Sanders
Clinton
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion

1/24/16
48
36
4
4
8

12/13/15
44
38
5
7
5

10/18/15
41
42
7
7
4

b. No trend
c. Has a better chance of getting elected in November 2016
Clinton
Sanders
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion

1/24/16
65
26
1
2
6

10/18/15
73
21
2
2
3

d. No trend
e. Is closer to you on the issues
1/24/16

12/13/15

10/18/15

 Clinton
Sanders
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion

47
43
3
2
5

54
37
2
2
5

53
36
3
2
5

16. (ASKED OF LEANDED DEMOCRATS) Again, thinking about (Clinton) and (Sanders), who do
you trust more to handle [ITEM]?
Full item wording:
a. the economy
b. immigration issues
c. the threat of terrorism
d. regulating banks and other financial institutions
e. a major international crisis
f. health care
1/24/16 – Summary Table

Clinton
Sanders
Both (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion

The
economy
54
36
4
1
5

Immigration
issues
59
30
4
3
5

The threat of
terrorism
63
26
3
3
4

Regulating
banks
42
48
1
2
7

Major
crisis
68
27
1
2
3

Health
care
56
35
2
2
6

(Order of questions 17 and 18 randomized)
17. Regardless of whom you support, if (Hillary Clinton) and ([ITEM]) are the nominees
for president, who would you expect to win, (Clinton) or ([ITEM])?
a. Marco Rubio
1/24/16

Clinton
61

Rubio
32

Other
(vol.)
1

No
opinion
6

Trump
42

Other
(vol.)
1

No
opinion
3

b. Donald Trump

1/24/16

Clinton
54

c. Ted Cruz

1/24/16

Clinton
60

Cruz
34

Other
(vol.)
1

No
opinion
5

Compare to:
Regardless of whom you support, if (Clinton) and (Bush) are the nominees for
president, who would you expect to win, (Clinton) or (Bush)?

5/31/15

Clinton
55

Bush
39

Other
(vol.)
1

No
opinion
5

(Order of questions 17 and 18 randomized)
18. Regardless of whom you support, if (Bernie Sanders) and ([ITEM]) are the nominees
for president, who would you expect to win, (Sanders) or ([ITEM])?

 a. Marco Rubio

1/24/16

Sanders
48

Rubio
41

Other
(vol.)
1

No
opinion
10

Trump
49

Other
(vol.)
*

No
opinion
5

b. Donald Trump

1/24/16

Sanders
46

c. Ted Cruz

1/24/16

Sanders
51

Cruz
39

Other
(vol.)
1

No
opinion
10

19. Would you say you are very comfortable with/anxious about the idea of [ITEM] as
president, or somewhat comfortable with/anxious about it?
1/24/16 – Summary Table

c.
a.
e.
d.
b.

Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders

---- Comfortable ---NET
Very
Somewhat
30
17
13
46
29
17
41
17
24
43
12
31
50
21
29

------ Anxious -----NET
Somewhat
Very
69
18
51
51
16
35
49
23
26
48
30
18
43
19
24

No
opinion
1
2
10
9
7

Trend where available:
a. Hillary Clinton

1/24/16
12/13/15

---- Comfortable ---NET
Very
Somewhat
46
29
17
47
27
20

------ Anxious -----NET
Somewhat
Very
51
16
35
51
16
35

No
opinion
2
2

------ Anxious -----NET
Somewhat
Very
69
18
51
69
19
49

No
opinion
1
3

b. No trend
c. Donald Trump

1/24/16
12/13/15

---- Comfortable ---NET
Very
Somewhat
30
17
13
29
15
14

d-e. No trend
On another topic,
20. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Sarah Palin? Do you feel that
way strongly or somewhat?

1/24/16
3/26/10
2/8/10

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
31
11
19
37
17
20
37
18
20

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
56
18
38
55
14
41
55
16
38

No
opinion
13
7
8

 11/15/09
43
20
23
52
7/18/09
40
20
20
53
10/23/08 LV
46
28
18
51
9/29/08 RV
51
29
23
40
9/22/08 RV
52
31
21
38
9/7/08
RV
58
35
23
28
9/4/08* RV
52
34
18
37
* "the Republican nominee for vice president"

34
34
40
29
27
17
23

5
7
3
9
11
15
11

18
20
13
14
18
14
16
6
6
2
3
4

17
17
11
16
13
10
12
9
5
4
2
4

9
5
6
4
6
4
6
3
5
6
6
9

Trend among leaned Republicans:
1/24/16
56
21
34
35
3/13/11
58
26
32
37
10/28/10 RV
70
30
41
24
3/26/10
66
32
34
30
2/8/10
63
31
32
31
11/15/09
72
39
33
24
7/18/09
67
37
30
28
10/23/08 LV
81
54
27
16
9/29/08 RV
84
55
29
11
9/22/08 RV
88
64
24
6
9/7/08
RV
88
63
25
5
9/4/08* RV
84
70
14
7
* "the Republican nominee for vice president"

18
19
11
11
10
11
14

21. (ASKED OF LEANDED REPUBLICANS) Does Palin’s endorsement of Trump make you (more)
likely to support Trump, (less) likely to support him, or won’t it make any difference
in your vote?
1/24/16

More Likely
10

Less likely
9

No difference
81

No opinion
*

Compare to:
I’m going to name some people and organizations. If you heard that one of them was
supporting a presidential candidate would you be more likely to vote for that candidate, less
likely to vote for that candidate or wouldn't it make any difference? Sarah Palin.
More likely
Less likely
to vote
to vote
1/8/12 REP LEANERS*
23
15
*Washington Post-Pew Research Center

Wouldn’t make
a difference
61

No
opinion
1

22. All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who has experience in how
the political system works, or someone from outside the existing political establishment?

1/24/16
12/13/15
10/18/15

Experience in
political system
62
57
57

Outside
establishment
33
37
39

No
opinion
4
5
4

23. Some people say the country needs a third political party in addition to the
Democratic and Republican parties, others say it’s unnecessary. Do you think this
country needs a third party or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

1/24/16
1/15/12

--- Third party needed -NET
Strongly
Somewhat
48
29
19
48
29
18

-Third party NOT needed NET
Somewhat
Strongly
48
17
31
49
17
32

No
opinion
4
4

 24. If Trump does not win the Republican nomination for president, would you (support)
or (oppose) his running as an independent candidate for president?
1/24/16

Support
31

Oppose
64

No opinion
5

25. (ASK IF SUPPORT TRUMP RUNNING AS INDEPENDENT) If Trump did run as an independent
candidate for president, would you definitely vote for him, consider voting for him,
or definitely not vote for him?

1/24/16

Definitely
vote for
28

Would
consider
45

Definitely
not vote for
26

No
opinion
1

24/25 NET:

1/24/16

--------------------- Support ---------------------Definitely
Would
Definitely
No
NET
vote for
consider
not vote for
opinion
31
9
14
8
*

Oppose
64

No
opinion
5

26. I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you
feel about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied
but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?

1/24/16
9/7/14
10/20/13
9/29/12
2/4/12
11/3/11
7/17/11
6/5/11
10/28/10
10/3/10
9/2/10
7/11/10
6/6/10
4/25/10
2/8/10
10/29/03
11/4/02
11/3/02
11/2/02
10/27/02
2/21/02
12/15/00
2/14/99
9/28/98
8/16/98*
1/19/98
8/27/97
3/17/96
5/14/95
1/4/95
11/6/94
10/31/94
10/23/94

RV

LV
LV
LV

RV

----- Positive ------Enthusi- SatisNET
astic
fied
28
2
25
25
1
23
21
2
19
28
4
25
24
2
22
20
2
18
20
2
18
30
3
27
27
4
23
29
4
25
22
2
20
36
4
32
30
2
28
30
4
26
32
3
29
42
2
41
49
4
45
50
5
45
51
6
45
50
4
47
56
7
49
59
4
55
52
3
48
50
4
46
41
2
39
46
2
43
34
2
33
29
2
27
48
3
45
29
2
27
28
2
26
26
1
25
28
1
26

----- Negative ----DissatNET
isfied
Angry
71
47
24
74
49
25
78
47
32
71
44
27
75
49
26
80
49
31
80
54
25
69
44
25
72
51
21
71
46
25
78
52
25
64
43
21
69
45
25
69
51
18
67
48
19
57
42
15
50
41
9
49
40
9
49
40
9
49
42
7
43
36
7
39
34
6
47
35
12
49
36
12
57
46
11
53
45
8
64
52
11
70
54
16
50
41
9
69
53
16
70
49
21
73
55
18
71
52
20

None/
Other
NA

"
1
2
NA
"
*
1
1
*

No
opinion
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
1
1
1
*

 10/9/94
25
2
24
9/11/94
26
2
25
3/27/94
30
1
29
2/28/93
33
4
29
10/4/92 RV
17
1
16
7/8/92
23
1
22
6/7/92
21
1
20
4/9/92
21
1
20
3/18/92
22
1
21
3/11/92
18
1
17
*After 8/16/98: No "None/other" option

72
53
73
53
68
48
66
50
81
56
76
53
79
58
79
55
77
54
80
60
recorded.

19
20
20
16
25
23
21
24
23
20

2
NA
1
*
1
*
*
1
1
1

*
*
1
*
1
1
1
*
*
1

27. When it comes to challenges facing the nation, overall, do you feel that
government is part of the (solution), or part of the (problem)? Do you feel that way
strongly or somewhat?

1/24/16

-------- Solution ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
27
12
15

-------- Problem -------NET
Somewhat
Strongly
67
21
46

Depends
(vol.)
4

No
opinion
1

28. All in all, do you think America’s best days are ahead of it, or behind it? Do you
feel that way strongly or somewhat?

1/24/16
9/7/14

--------- Ahead --------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
57
31
26
57
32
25

-------- Behind --------NET
Somewhat
Strongly
38
14
24
39
15
24

No
opinion
4
4

Compare to: When you think about the future of the United States, do you feel
confident that the country's best years are still ahead of us, or do you feel
concerned that America's best years might already be behind us?
Best years
ahead
2/26/06*
48
4/30/03
64
*Washington Post

Best years
behind
45
34

No
opinion
6
3

29. Do you think that people and groups that hold values similar to yours are
(gaining) influence in American life in general these days, or do you think that they
are (losing) influence? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

1/24/16
8/5/12
4/24/05
8/16/98

-------- Gaining -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
40
19
21
34
NA
NA
33
NA
NA
35
NA
NA

--------- Losing –------NET
Somewhat
Strongly
55
21
35
59
NA
NA
58
NA
NA
55
NA
NA

Neither
2
3
6
6

No
opinion
2
4
2
4

30. How concerned are you about being able to maintain your current standard of living
- are you very worried, somewhat worried, not so worried or not worried at all?

1/24/16
1/15/15
11/3/11
12/13/09
12/14/08

-- More worried NET
Very
Smwt
63
25
38
62
25
37
67
31
36
64
24
39
66
24
42

---- Less worried --NET
Not so
At all
37
19
18
38
20
18
33
18
15
36
19
17
34
17
16

No
opinion
*
*
*
*
*

 5/11/08
12/9/07

68
51

28
17

40
34

32
49

16
22

15
27

*
*

31. Overall, do you think immigrants from other countries mainly strengthen or mainly
weaken American society? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

1/24/16
7/19/15

----- Strengthen -----NET Strongly Somewhat
55
34
21
57
34
23

------- Weaken -------NET Somewhat Strongly
35
14
21
33
12
21

Neither
(vol.)
3
1

Depends
(vol.)
5
5

No
op.
3
4

Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a
Republican), an independent or what?

1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
10/18/15
9/10/15
7/19/15
5/31/15
3/29/15
1/15/15
12/14/14
10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14

Democrat
34
33
33
30
33
30
30
30
30
26
32
31
33

Republican
23
23
23
24
22
21
22
22
24
23
24
24
23

Independent
34
34
36
39
35
39
36
38
37
41
36
36
38

Other (vol.)
5
5
4
4
5
7
6
7
6
7
5
6
4

No opinion
4
5
4
2
4
4
6
3
3
3
3
3
2

***END***
METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS
This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The
poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and
Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish.
This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as
appears in this document, other than the voter registration which was asked after
question 3 and party identification after question 3. Demographics and religious
identity questions are not shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the
sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases
surrounded by parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly
rotated for respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered
voters.
A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random
Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines cellular phone numbers, first
requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. The final sample
included 350 interviews completed on landlines and 651 interviews completed via
cellular phones, including 400 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households.
This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the
survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for
differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult
sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among
individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also
weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education

 and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey March Social and
Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education.
All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which
is 1.19 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s
deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision
due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a
design effect overstate their precision.
Group
All adults
Registered voters
Leaned Democrats
Leaned Republicans
Registered Leaned Dems
Registered Leaned Reps

Unweighted
sample size
1,001
850
481
398
406
356

Error margin
+/- 3.5 points
3.5
5
5.5
5.5
5.5

The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which
recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they
produce.
Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post
conducts polls.