FiveThirtyEight's Post-Iowa Poll of Pollsters Welcome to our poll of pollsters This is a survey of U.S. political pollsters about the 2016 Iowa caucuses. Responses will be aggregated for a report on FiveThirtyEight.com. We also polled pollsters at the end of 2015, as well as before and just after the 2014 election. See our reports plus full poll results. After each set of questions, there is a required question asking whether you wish to publicly associate your name and your polling organization's name with the answers to that set of questions. The only things that will be attributed to you are the fact of your participation, plus information you agree can be attributed to you; everything else will be anonymized. Please don't share the link to this poll with others, or publish or share any of the questions, until after we have posted the results. Responses must be submitted by Tuesday, Feb. 2, at 1:30 p.m. ET to be included in our report. This poll should take roughly 5-10 minutes to complete, if you answer every optional question. Please email carl.bialik@fivethirtyeight.com with any questions. 1 FiveThirtyEight's Post-Iowa Poll of Pollsters Basic pollster info * 1. Please enter your information and your polling organization's information. We won't publish your pollster ID, phone number and email address. Name Polling Organization Unique pollster ID sent to you by FiveThirtyEight Email Address Phone Number 2 FiveThirtyEight's Post-Iowa Poll of Pollsters Accuracy of Iowa polling 2. Which pollster did the best job in terms of Iowa horse-race numbers? (For your reference, here are links to Democratic and Republican polls.) 3. Why do you say that? 4. Which pollster did the worst job in terms of Iowa horse-race numbers? (For your reference, here are links to Democratic and Republican polls.) 5. Why do you say that? * 6. Can we attribute your answer(s) to the above question(s) on this page to you and your organization by name? Yes No 3 FiveThirtyEight's Post-Iowa Poll of Pollsters Polling Mode 7. Which mode of polling was most successful in Iowa? Live telephone IVR (Interactive Voice Response) Online Please explain your answer: * 8. Can we attribute your answer(s) to the above question(s) on this page to you and your organization by name? Yes No 4 FiveThirtyEight's Post-Iowa Poll of Pollsters How the Polling Did Overall 9. How do you think polling in Iowa did overall? Was it a successful night for polls? Yes No Not sure Please explain your answer. 10. How do you think your polling organization's polling in Iowa did overall? Was it a successful night for your polls? Yes No Not sure Please explain your answer. * 11. Can we attribute your answer(s) to the above question(s) on this page to you and your organization by name? Yes No 5 FiveThirtyEight's Post-Iowa Poll of Pollsters Lessons from Iowa 12. What lessons, if any, should the polling industry learn from its polls in Iowa and the results of the caucuses about polling in the future in Iowa? * 13. Can we attribute your answer(s) to the above question(s) on this page to you and your organization by name? Yes No 6 FiveThirtyEight's Post-Iowa Poll of Pollsters On To New Hampshire 14. What lessons, if any, should pollsters learn from Iowa that they can apply to primary polls in New Hampshire? 15. What lessons, if any, will your polling organization learn from Iowa that you can apply to primary polls in New Hampshire and other states? * 16. Can we attribute your answer(s) to the above question(s) on this page to you and your organization by name? Yes No 7 FiveThirtyEight's Post-Iowa Poll of Pollsters Donald Trump 17. Where do you expect Donald Trump to finish in New Hampshire (he led by 20 points early Tuesday morning)? Win by 20 percentage points or more Win by 10-19 points Win by 0-9 points Second place Third place Fourth place or worse Please explain your answer. * 18. Can we attribute your answer(s) to the above question(s) on this page to you and your organization by name? Yes No 8 FiveThirtyEight's Post-Iowa Poll of Pollsters Your Election Predictions 19. Who do you expect will be the Democratic nominee for president in the 2016 election? Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Other (please specify) 20. Who do you expect will be the Republican nominee for president in the 2016 election? Donald Trump Ted Cruz Marco Rubio Ben Carson Jeb Bush Chris Christie Rand Paul Carly Fiorina John Kasich Rick Santorum Jim Gilmore Other (please specify) * 21. Can we attribute your answer(s) to the above question(s) on this page to you and your organization by name? Yes No Thank you for your participation. 9 FiveThirtyEight's Post-Iowa Poll of Pollsters Questions for Future Polls of Pollsters This is the final page of the survey. If you'd like to review any of your answers on previous pages, please do so before submitting your answers on this page. 22. What question or questions would you want us to ask your fellow pollsters in future rounds of this poll? * 23. Can we attribute your answer(s) to the above question(s) on this page to you and your organization by name? Yes No 10