SUPRC/Boston Globe Likely Democratic Voters FINAL DEM NH February 2016 Study Area Code: (N=500) n North/West ------------------------------------------------------- 120 Central ------------------------------------------------------------- 130 Hillsborough ------------------------------------------------------ 140 Rockingham ------------------------------------------------------ 110 % 24.00 26.00 28.00 22.00 ************************************************************************************************************************************* Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk University and I would like to get your opinions on some political questions. Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some questions? Q1. Gender (N=500) n Male ---------------------------------------------------------------- 215 Female ------------------------------------------------------------ 285 % 43.00 57.00 Q2. How likely are you to vote in the Democratic Presidential Primary next week – very likely, somewhat likely, would you say you are 50-50, not very likely, or not at all likely? (N=500) n % Very Likely -------------------------------------------------------- 500 100.00 Q3. Are you currently registered as a Democrat, Republican, Undeclared/Independent, something else or are you not registered to vote? (N=500) n % Democrat --------------------------------------------------------- 350 70.00 Republican --------------------------------------------------------- 28 5.60 Undeclared/Independent -------------------------------------- 117 23.40 Other ------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 0.20 Not registered ------------------------------------------------------- 2 0.40 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 2 0.40 {S3.2, 3.3, 3.4 only} Q4. Just to be clear, although you are a registered you intend to vote in the Democratic Presidential Primary next week? (N=146) n % Yes ----------------------------------------------------------------- 146 100.00 Q5. What is your age category? (N=500) n 17-24 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 23 25-34 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 97 35-44 Years ------------------------------------------------------ 105 45-54 Years ------------------------------------------------------ 102 55-64 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 70 65-74 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 46 75 + Years ---------------------------------------------------------- 45 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 12 % 4.60 19.40 21.00 20.40 14.00 9.20 9.00 2.40 Q6. For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic background / ancestry is? New Hampshire DEM Primary Voters 1 of 3 2/2 – 2/4 SUPRC/Boston Globe Likely Democratic Voters (N=500) n White/Caucasian ------------------------------------------------ 456 Black/African-American ------------------------------------------ 9 American Indian / Alaska Native ------------------------------- 3 Asian ------------------------------------------------------------------ 5 Native Hawaiian / Other Pacific Islander --------------------- 3 Hispanic/Latino ----------------------------------------------------- 9 Other ------------------------------------------------------------------ 0 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 15 % 91.20 1.80 0.60 1.00 0.60 1.80 0.00 3.00 7. There are 28 Democratic candidates listed on the official New Hampshire Primary ballot. Of these, there are two major candidates {RANDOMIZE} Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. At this point, who would be your first choice? (N=500) n % Hillary Clinton ---------------------------------------------------- 203 40.60 Bernie Sanders -------------------------------------------------- 248 49.60 Other ------------------------------------------------------------------ 8 1.60 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 41 8.20 {7.4 only} 8. Which “other” candidate of the remaining 26 listed Democratic candidates would be your first choice? {DO NOT LIST NAMES - ONLY USE ALPHA LIST IF THEY KNOW WHO THEY PREFER} (N=8) n “Ted Cruz” ----------------------------------------------------------- 3 “Donald Trump”----------------------------------------------------- 3 “Joe Biden” ---------------------------------------------------------- 1 “Marco Rubio”------------------------------------------------------- 1 % 37.50 37.50 12.50 12.50 9. Is your mind made up or is it possible you’ll change your mind before the Democratic primary next Tuesday? (N=459) n % Mind made up – firmly committed--------------------------- 378 82.35 Might change mind between now and primary ------------ 59 12.85 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 22 4.79 10. If Hillary Clinton eventually becomes the Democratic nominee after all of the caucuses and primaries, would you feel enthusiastic, satisfied, dissatisfied, or upset? (N=500) n % Enthusiastic ------------------------------------------------------ 179 35.80 Satisfied ----------------------------------------------------------- 160 32.00 Dissatisfied --------------------------------------------------------- 64 12.80 Upset ----------------------------------------------------------------- 66 13.20 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 31 6.20 11. If Bernie Sanders eventually becomes the Democratic nominee after all of the caucuses and primaries, would you feel enthusiastic, satisfied, dissatisfied, or upset? (N=500) n % Enthusiastic ------------------------------------------------------ 197 39.40 New Hampshire DEM Primary Voters 2 of 3 2/2 – 2/4 SUPRC/Boston Globe Likely Democratic Voters Satisfied ----------------------------------------------------------- 159 Dissatisfied --------------------------------------------------------- 70 Upset ----------------------------------------------------------------- 40 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 34 31.80 14.00 8.00 6.80 12. I’m going to read you three words and phrases that could describe some New Hampshire Primary voters. For each, please tell me if this is a word or phrase you would use to describe yourself—just answer yes or no. {RANDOMIZE} 12a. Feminist (N=500) n Yes ----------------------------------------------------------------- 258 No------------------------------------------------------------------- 213 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 29 % 51.60 42.60 5.80 (N=500) n Yes ----------------------------------------------------------------- 155 No------------------------------------------------------------------- 322 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 23 % 31.00 64.40 4.60 Anti-Wall Street (N=500) n Yes ----------------------------------------------------------------- 249 No------------------------------------------------------------------- 210 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 41 % 49.80 42.00 8.20 12b. Socialist 12c. 13. Overall, would you describe yourself as liberal, moderate or conservative? (N=500) n % Liberal ------------------------------------------------------------- 212 42.40 Moderate ---------------------------------------------------------- 217 43.40 Conservative ------------------------------------------------------- 55 11.00 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 16 3.20 [THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME. HAVE A NICE DAY/EVENING.] New Hampshire DEM Primary Voters 3 of 3 2/2 – 2/4