After Winning on June 7th Bernie Sanders Should Suspend his Campaign and Launch an Independent Organization to Defeat Donald Trump th On June 7 , riding a wave of victories in May, Bernie Sanders will win California. Not only is California by far the largest and most diverse state in the continental United States, it is the epicenter of young and working class America’s demand for economic justice; a demand that is capturing our political consciousness. While Senator Sander’s campaign has given voice to the emerging economic justice movement, the votes needed to secure the 2016 nomination will not have been won and the dream victory by enticing pro-Clinton super delegates to repudiate both delegate and popular majorities is quietly abandoned. Senator Sanders may graciously concede and enthusiastically endorse Hillary Clinton’s bid to defeat the threatened right wing takeover of our country by Donald Trump at this time or may withhold that final step in anticipation of discussions with the Clinton camp before the convention. In any case, while DC may still vote, the point at which the Democratic nomination is the central focus of the movement inspired by Bernie Sanders ends here. After that brief preamble Senator Sanders should proceed to lay out his plan to build an organization, completely independent of the Clinton campaign that will single mindedly devote itself to educating Americans about the threat of right wing (some say fascist) takeover and the task of identifying and mobilizing voters to defend our democracy in November 2016 and beyond. Call it Revolution 2016 or another name that best speaks to base and message and its focused task over the next 5 months might be to mobilize voters under 30 (with likely positive impacts on Senate and Congressional races). This initiative will transcend the electoral cycle. July will bring Hillary supporters and party stalwarts to Philadelphia, where traditional Democrats will launch her as the presidential candidate (and Senator Sanders will use the opportunity to speak to the nation while his delegates on the floor will fight for a variety of progressive positions). Meanwhile, Senator Sanders and his team will have also convened a wildly enthusiastic gathering, representative of his electoral base, to educate themselves on the issues facing our people and commit to the long-term transformation of politics in America - beginning with the defeat of the immediate right wing threat. Coming out of their own convention the goal will be to launch the best organized independent expenditure organization in history and give the vast (and deeply anti-establishment) base a vehicle into which they will whole heartedly pour their energy. Thoughts on why this would be a good idea followed by some potential obstacles: 1. 2. Translating Sanders’ base support into defeating Donald Trump will be a challenge. With extensive direct experience in this campaign and that of Obama in ’08 we know that there is a great difference between the two bases of support. In ‘08 our supporters had some antipathy towards Hillary. By contrast, a large cadre of young, newly political Sanders supporters sees rejection of Hillary and the Democratic Party establishment as core to their identity. In this year, perhaps more than in any since Hubert Humphrey’s candidacy, it would be foolish to assume that these people will easily merge into the voter base of the nominee. The creation of an independent vehicle would afford them a low threshold for entry into the election as well as the promise of carrying forward the momentum of the movement. Perhaps the central paradox of the Sanders campaign has been the promise of ‘revolution’ in contrast to the inability to effectively apply the tools of movement building. Message discipline, crowd mobilization, personal example, wildly successful broad-based fundraising and good use of distributed engagement 3. tools have characterized Bernie Sanders and his campaign. Conversely, it has struggled with the elementary tools of building volunteer leadership and infrastructure or, frankly, most of the voter contact/volunteer techniques mastered by the ’08 Obama campaign (with devastating consequences in voter ID and GOTV in several key states). The inexperience and limitations of the national campaign team is addressed below, but an independent organization would enable the rapid creation of a new entity blending the best elements of the old and new movement building methods, allow the organization to grow, energize the support base, and enhance the underdeveloped volunteer leadership and infrastructure that can be a remarkable incubator for activist leaders of the next generation. Significantly, it could get through a lot of the growing pains and pitfalls associated with new entities while still in a period of single minded focus – the defeat of Trump. This is a populist year in American electoral politics with signs that it may mark the beginning of a populist era. It would be very unwise for the decidedly un-populist Hillary Clinton to move with too much confidence towards a full-on confrontation with Donald Trump. David Plouffe, noting Trump’s defiance of every prediction to date, has long cautioned Democrats about hoping for his nomination as the Republican candidate. A Sanders led (as opposed to a Sanders-centered) independent entity could provide a much needed, articulate and energized economic populist voice to the anti-Trump effort without the intrinsic compromising effect posed by close association with Neoliberal Democratic elites, as well as weaning the volunteer base off total reliance on individual candidates during one-off election cycles. Why might an independent organization not happen? 1. 2. “Money in Politics” has been a theme of the campaign since the beginning. While correctly highlighting the danger of billionaire control of our system, the temptation to simplify talking points has resulted in a rhetorical box that might make taking money from wealthier progressives (this is one of the big benefits of an independent expenditure organization that could greatly assist the mission) contradictory to the self-image of our candidate or organization. Taking money from the wealthy is obviously not a question of principle (“No! I refuse to accept any help from the wealthy to defeat the Confederacy!”) but rather one of agendas and control. Bernie Sanders may either believe that it is a principle, even outside of a candidacy, or feel that he is boxed in by the rhetoric of the campaign. Controls could easily be applied-such as an open process governed by a diverse panel of volunteers who could accept or reject large donations, e.g. in excess of $10,000--but in the end Bernie Sanders himself would have to decide where his priorities lie. “Struggle vs. Protest”: Activists and movements tend to objectively fall into either categories of “protest” or “struggle”. A union organizing campaign is more about struggle; the fight for $15 by the same people is more about protest. Protest is more aimed at making powerful people and institutions (assumed to remain structurally unchanged) uncomfortable so that they modify positions or make accommodations while struggles for power aim to change the basic rules of the game and how and who writes those rules. That is not a normative judgement but a description that informs the need for tactics, strategies, styles, and considerations that are appropriate to the moment. Bernie Sanders, like most of us, has been an outsider looking in; a “witness to power” and source of discomfort to the powerful rather than a contender for power for much, but not all, of his political life (and I suspect that this campaign began on one path only to find itself swept onto another by a surprising wave of class and generational anger). The path of an independent organization to carry the movement into November and beyond is clearly the 3. path of struggle. A strategy of restricted to raising hell at the Democratic convention in hope of extracting either some platform/process concessions or a temporary media platform is more the path of protest. The tenor of the times usually constrict our efforts to the path of protest but we should not hesitate to embrace the path of struggle when, as now, the opportunity presents itself. Bernie Sanders will have to decide these priorities. The national campaign organization and leadership built when Bernie Sanders was a 1,000 to 1 longshot should be lauded as a having stepped forward and gotten the ball rolling when everyone dismissed this campaign as a fool’s errand. Now, however, it finds itself out of its depth and incapable of rising to the opportunity presented by this generational wave. This criticism is easily validated (given the wave of recent campaign layoffs and ease of online communication this should be happening soon) and has a great deal to do with an apparent inability to master the best practices of prior national campaigns and manage their synergy with the tools and techniques ushered in by new social movements. In any case, Senator Sanders has avoided shaking up his campaign organization--perhaps for reasons of personal loyalty--at a heavy cost to his prospects as a viable candidate. That approach would be fatal to any organizational effort going forward. In conclusion, we are at a crossroads. Does Bernie Sanders and his campaign facilitate the growing voice of a new generation of activists who can rack up the defeat of Donald Trump as their first major achievement (a result that serves a strategy overlapping but far from identical with that of the Clinton campaign and the neoliberal wing of the party) or does he raise hell at a party convention and leave the remains of his organization to be picked over by the existing groups on the left that, to date, have been mostly marginal to the broad majority of Americans and Sanders supporters alike. Barack Obama had the opportunity to lead a two million strong organized volunteer base into a meaningful, organized role in fundamentally changing the distribution of power in this country and failed spectacularly. It is nothing short of miraculous that two such opportunities should occur in the space of a single decade. Let’s get this one right.