This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone May 16-19, 2016, among a
random national sample of 1,005 adults, including landline and cell phone respondents.
Results have a 3.5 point error margin. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by
Abt-SRBI of New York.
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in
November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances
50-50, or less than that?
Probably
vote
11
9

Chances
50/50
8
5

Less than
that
8
3

Don't think
will vote
(vol.)
7
2

Already
voted
(vol.)
NA
NA

5/19/16
5/19/16

RV

Certain
to vote
65
80

No
op.
*
*

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
68
70
72
73
75
76
77
79
79
79
79
80
82
84
85
84
83
81
81

5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
6
6
7
6
5
6
7
7
7
8
9

4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
6
6
4
4
7
6
6
8

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
4
3
2

1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
*

20
19
18
16
16
13
12
11
9
8
6
6
5
4
4
1
0
NA
"

*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
3/2/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
69
71
73
74
76
77
76
78
78
79
80
81
82
81
83
87
87
89
85
84
79
71
78

4
4
5
5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
5
6
6
7
10
10
9
9

3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
5
4
5
4
7
8
7

2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
7
4

1
1
*
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
2
4
2

22
20
19
16
15
13
11
11
10
10
8
6
5
4
4
4
2
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
0
*
*

 10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
10/29/03

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

76
78
79
80
81
81
81
82
82
82
82
83
83
84
84
86
87
87
86
87
88
90
90
90
89
87
87
87
87
87
87
84
85
85
70

6
6
5
5
5
5
6
7
7
7
7
6
6
7
7
6
6
6
7
7
7
6
6
5
6
7
7
8
8
8
7
10
9
7
12

3
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
5
4
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
3
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
5
11

1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
6

1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
1

10/15/00
10/9/00
10/1/00
9/6/00
8/20/00
8/10/00
8/6/00
7/29/00
7/23/00
6/11/00
5/10/00
4/2/00
3/11/00
2/27/00
2/6/00
1/16/00
12/15/99
10/31/99

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

82
81
81
78
78
79
64
61
59
60
63
62
63
69
67
65
64
72

10
10
10
12
13
12
12
15
17
13
15
14
14
12
12
14
13
11

6
6
5
5
6
6
11
9
10
11
10
9
9
10
10
10
8
10

2
2
3
3
3
1
8
11
11
10
8
9
9
4
8
6
9
5

1
*
1
1
1
1
5
3
4
4
4
5
4
5
3
4
6
3

12
11
11
10
8
8
7
6
6
5
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
NA

"

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
*

2. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Hillary
Clinton, the Democrat) and (Donald Trump, the Republican), for whom would you vote?
Would you lean toward (Clinton) or toward (Trump)?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – GEN POP

 5/19/16
3/6/16
12/13/15
9/10/15

Clinton
48
54
53
51

Trump
42
36
40
39

Other
(vol.)
2
1
1
1

Neither
(vol.)
5
3
3
5

Would not
vote (vol.)
3
4
3
4

No
opinion
1
*
1
1

Would not
vote (vol.)
2
5
2
4

No
opinion
1
1
1
1

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS

5/19/16
3/6/16
12/13/15
9/10/15

Clinton
44
50
50
46

Trump
46
41
44
43

Other
(vol.)
2
1
1
1

Neither
(vol.)
5
3
3
6

3a. (ASK IF NAMED CLINTON) Do you mainly support Clinton, or mainly oppose Trump?

5/19/16
5/19/16 RV

Support
Clinton
46
48

Oppose
Trump
51
48

No
opinion
3
3

3b. (ASK IF NAMED TRUMP) Do you mainly support Trump, or mainly oppose Clinton?

5/19/16
5/19/16 RV

Support
Trump
46
44

Oppose
Clinton
50
53

No
opinion
5
4

2/3a/3b NET:

5/19/16
5/19/16 RV

-- Vote for Clinton -Support
Oppose
NET
Clinton
Trump
48
22
24
44
21
21

---- Vote for Trump --Support
Oppose
NET
Trump
Clinton
42
19
21
46
20
24

No
Neither vote
(vol) (vol)
5
3
5
2

Oth.
(vol)
2
2

No
op.
1
1

4a. (ASK IF NAMED CLINTON) Do you support Clinton strongly, or somewhat?
Strongly
47
46

5/19/16
5/19/16 RV

Somewhat
51
52

No opinion
2
2

4b. (ASK IF NAMED TRUMP) Do you support Trump strongly, or somewhat?
Strongly
44
46

5/19/16
5/19/16 RV

Somewhat
55
53

No opinion
1
2

2/4a/4b NET:

5/19/16
5/19/16 RV

-- Vote for Clinton NET
Strongly
Smwt
48
22
24
44
20
23

--- Vote for Trump -NET
Smwt
Strongly
42
23
18
46
24
21

Other
(vol.)
2
2

No
Neither vote
(vol.) (vol.)
5
3
5
2

No
op.
1
1

 5a. (ASK IF NOT CLINTON) Is it possible that you would consider voting for Clinton or
would you never vote for her?
5/19/16
5/19/16 RV

Would consider
13
12

Would never
84
86

No opinion
2
2

2/5a NET:

5/19/16
5/19/16 RV

----------------- Not Clinton ----------------NET
Would consider
Would never
No opinion
53
7
44
2
56
7
48
1

Clinton
47
44

5b. (ASK IF NOT TRUMP) Is it possible that you would consider voting for Trump or
would you never vote for him?
5/19/16
5/19/16 RV

Would consider
12
13

Would never
86
86

No opinion
1
2

2/5b NET:

5/19/16
5/19/16 RV

----------------- Not Trump ------------------NET
Would consider
Would never
No opinion
58
7
50
1
54
7
46
1

Trump
42
46

6. Regardless of whom you support, if (Clinton) and (Trump) are the nominees for
president, who would you expect to win, (Clinton) or (Trump)?

5/19/16
3/6/16
1/24/16

Clinton
50
59
54

Trump
40
36
42

Other
(vol.)
1
1
1

No
opinion
9
4
3

7. Would you be satisfied with the choice of Clinton or Trump, or would you want a
third-party candidate to run?

5/19/16

Satisfied
51

Want third
party
44

No
opinion
4

8. How about if the candidates were (Hillary Clinton, the Democrat), (Donald Trump,
the Republican) and Mitt Romney, running as an independent candidate, for whom would
you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton), (Trump) or Romney?

5/19/16
5/19/16 RV

Clinton
40
37

Trump
32
35

Romney
21
22

Other
(vol.)
1
1

Neither
(vol.)
2
2

Would not
vote (vol.)
2
2

No
opinion
2
1

 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as
president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

5/19/16
3/6/16
1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
10/18/15
9/10/15
7/19/15
5/31/15
3/29/15
1/15/15
12/14/14
10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
6/1/14
4/27/14
3/2/14
1/23/14
12/15/13
11/17/13
10/20/13
9/15/13
7/21/13
5/19/13
4/14/13
3/10/13
1/13/13
12/16/12
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12
4/8/12
3/10/12
2/4/12
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11
10/2/11
9/1/11

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

-------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
51
30
21
51
31
20
50
31
18
45
24
22
46
24
22
51
28
23
49
27
22
45
26
20
45
22
23
47
26
21
50
24
26
41
21
20
43
21
22
40
20
20
42
24
18
46
23
23
41
23
19
46
25
22
46
23
23
43
23
20
42
22
21
48
28
20
47
25
22
49
25
24
51
32
20
50
27
23
50
29
21
55
32
23
54
33
21
52
33
10
51
33
10
51
32
11
50
31
11
50
30
11
50
28
12
50
28
11
51
28
11
50
28
11
51
29
10
50
29
9
50
29
10
50
29
21
50
30
20
51
31
20
50
30
21
50
26
24
49
29
20
50
27
23
47
24
24
47
26
21
50
30
20
46
28
18
50
29
22
48
25
23
49
25
24
44
22
22
42
21
21
43
21
22

------- Disapprove -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
46
11
35
43
11
33
46
11
36
51
12
39
50
10
40
45
10
35
46
9
37
50
13
37
49
11
38
47
11
36
44
9
35
54
13
41
51
12
39
51
12
39
51
12
39
51
14
37
52
12
40
50
12
38
50
9
41
55
14
41
55
11
44
49
10
39
47
11
37
44
12
32
44
10
33
45
10
35
46
11
36
41
8
33
42
9
32
46
10
36
47
10
37
47
11
36
48
11
37
48
11
37
48
12
37
48
11
36
46
11
36
46
11
36
46
10
36
47
9
37
48
10
38
47
9
37
47
10
38
47
10
37
44
10
34
46
12
34
45
11
35
46
13
33
49
15
34
49
13
36
45
10
35
50
11
39
46
11
36
48
11
37
47
13
34
53
15
37
54
14
40
53
16
38

No
opinion
3
6
4
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
6
5
6
8
6
3
6
3
4
3
3
3
6
7
5
5
4
4
5
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
6
4
6
4
4
3
6
4
3
4
4
3
4
3

 8/9/11*
44
18
26
7/17/11
47
25
22
6/5/11
47
27
20
5/2/11**
56
29
27
4/17/11
47
27
21
3/13/11
51
27
24
1/16/11
54
30
23
12/12/10
49
24
25
10/28/10
50
27
23
10/3/10
50
26
24
9/2/10
46
24
22
7/11/10
50
28
22
6/6/10
52
30
22
4/25/10
54
31
23
3/26/10
53
34
20
2/8/10
51
29
22
1/15/10
53
30
24
12/13/09
50
31
18
11/15/09
56
32
23
10/18/09
57
33
23
9/12/09
54
35
19
8/17/09
57
35
21
7/18/09
59
38
22
6/21/09
65
36
29
4/24/09
69
42
27
3/29/09
66
40
26
2/22/09
68
43
25
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

46
48
49
38
50
45
43
47
45
47
52
47
45
44
43
46
44
46
42
40
43
40
37
31
26
29
25

9
14
13
14
12
12
15
15
11
13
14
12
12
11
8
12
13
13
13
11
12
11
9
10
8
9
8

37
35
37
24
37
33
28
32
34
34
38
35
33
33
35
33
32
33
29
29
31
29
28
22
18
20
17

10
5
4
6
3
4
3
4
5
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
2
4
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
5
7

10. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Out of the candidates who ran, who did you want to
see win the Republican nomination for president this year?

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Ben Carson
Marco Rubio
Mike Huckabee
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Carly Fiorina
Rand Paul
Rick Santorum
Other (vol.)
No opinion

5/19/16
All
RVs
33
33
17
18
9
10
9
9
9
9
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
*
1
2
1
1
4
3
9
7

11. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Do you think Donald Trump’s views reflect the core
values of the Republican Party, or not?
5/19/16
7/19/15

Yes
46
29

No
46
56

No opinion
8
14

12. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) How confident are you that Republicans will come
together and support Trump against Clinton in November – very confident, somewhat
confident, not so confident or not confident at all?

 5/19/16

----- Confident ----NET
Very
Somewhat
78
28
50

--- Not confident --NET
Not so
At all
21
15
6

No
opinion
1

13. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Who would you like to see win the Democratic
nomination for president this year – (Hillary Clinton) or (Bernie Sanders)? Which
candidate are you leaning toward?
NET LEANED PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS
5/19/16
3/6/16

Clinton
56
49

Sanders
42
42

Other (vol.)
1
2

Neither (vol.)
1
4

No opinion
1
3

Compare to:
(ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in
your state were being held today and the candidates were (Hillary Clinton), (Bernie
Sanders) and (Martin O'Malley), for whom would you vote? Which candidate would you
lean toward?
1/24/16 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin O'Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Jim Webb
Other (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Would not vote (vol.)
No opinion

2016
1/24
55
36
4
NA
NA
1
2
1
2

-------------- 2015 --------------12/13
11/19
10/18
9/10
7/19
59
60
64
56
68
28
34
25
28
16
5
3
2
3
2
NA
NA
*
1
1
NA
NA
2
2
5
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
5
3
2
0
1
1
1
4
1
2
4
3

14. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) How confident are you that Democrats will come
together and support Clinton against Trump in November – very confident, somewhat
confident, not so confident or not confident at all?

5/19/16

----- Confident ----NET
Very
Somewhat
88
55
32

--- Not confident --NET
Not so
At all
12
7
5

No
opinion
*

Compare to:
(ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If Obama is the nominee, how confident are you that
Democrats will come together and support him against McCain in November – very
confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all?

5/11/08

----- Confident ----NET
Very
Somewhat
85
45
39

--- Not Confident --NET
Not so
At all
14
11
3

No
opinion
1

15. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of [ITEM]? Do you feel
that way strongly or somewhat?
5/19/16 – Summary Table
------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly

No
opinion

 a. Hillary Clinton
b. Bernie Sanders
c. Donald Trump

44
51
37

22
25
18

22
26
19

53
38
60

12
15
11

41
23
49

Trend:
a. Hillary Clinton

5/19/16
3/6/16
1/10/16
11/8/15
10/11/15
8/30/15
7/12/15
5/31/15
3/29/15
1/23/14
6/23/13
1/20/13
12/2/12
4/22/12
8/22/08 RV
6/15/08
4/13/08
1/12/08
11/1/07
2/25/07
1/19/07
12/11/06
5/15/06
3/5/06
6/5/05
6/1/03
9/2/99
6/6/99
3/14/99
2/14/99
11/1/98
8/21/98
8/19/98
4/4/98
1/30/98
1/19/98
3/9/97
9/4/96 RV
6/30/96
1/21/96
1/19/96
10/31/94
5/15/94
3/27/94
1/23/94
11/14/93
8/8/93
4/26/93
2/23/93
1/17/93
7/8/92
3/18/92

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
44
22
22
46
24
22
48
24
24
46
23
24
47
20
26
45
21
24
52
25
26
45
24
21
49
30
20
58
32
26
61
31
30
67
35
32
66
35
30
65
33
32
52
29
23
54
26
28
44
22
23
58
32
26
50
28
22
49
25
24
54
31
23
56
27
29
54
29
25
52
27
25
51
NA
NA
44
15
29
49
NA
NA
59
60
63
64
64
64
58
60
52
47
47
44
28
32
47
54
53
55
58
59
54
59
51
30
28
"
"

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
53
12
41
52
11
41
49
13
36
51
13
38
49
14
35
53
14
39
45
14
30
49
10
39
46
11
35
38
12
26
33
13
21
26
12
14
28
14
14
27
14
13
44
14
30
43
17
26
54
15
39
40
11
29
46
11
35
48
13
35
44
14
30
40
11
29
42
11
31
46
12
33
46
NA
NA
48
16
32
44
NA
NA
35
36
31
31
28
32
33
30
39
44
42
47
36
34
44
41
39
34
33
33
26
24
20
26
22
"
"

No
opinion
3
2
3
3
5
2
4
6
4
4
6
6
6
8
4
3
2
2
4
3
3
4
4
2
3
8
7
6
4
6
5
8
4
10
10
9
9
12
9
36
34
8
5
8
11
9
8
20
18
29
43
51

3
11
3

 b. Bernie Sanders

5/19/16
1/10/16
11/8/15
10/11/15
7/12/15

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
51
25
26
44
16
27
40
14
27
35
14
21
27
9
18

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
38
15
23
40
18
22
38
17
21
35
19
16
28
15
12

No
opinion
11
16
21
30
45

c. Donald Trump
------- Favorable ------------ Unfavorable -----No
NET
Strongly
Somewhat
NET
Somewhat
Strongly
opinion
5/19/16
37
18
19
60
11
49
3
4/10/16
31
14
17
67
14
53
2
3/6/16
30
15
14
67
11
56
3
1/10/16
35
17
18
62
14
48
3
11/8/15
38
16
23
59
13
46
3
9/27/15
35
14
21
60
19
41
5
8/30/15
37
16
21
59
16
43
4
7/12/15
33
14
19
61
16
45
6
5/31/15
16
7
9
71
16
55
13
12/18/11
40
12
29
48
21
27
12
1/16/00*
20
NA
NA
70
NA
NA
11
10/31/99*
18
"
"
70
"
"
12
* "Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of Donald Trump, or perhaps you don't know enough to say."
16. How about [ITEM], overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of
[ITEM]? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
5/19/16 - Summary Table

a. The Democratic Party
b. The Republican Party

----- Favorable ----NET
Strngly
Smwht
48
23
25
36
10
26

---- Unfavorable ---NET
Smwht
Strngly
44
18
26
56
23
33

No
opinion
7
8

Trend:
a. The Democratic Party

5/19/16
12/14/14
10/12/14
8/3/14
10/20/13
9/30/12
10/30/11
3/26/10
2/8/10
6/21/09
8/22/08 RV
11/1/07
3/5/06
6/5/05
12/15/02
1/27/02
7/30/01

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
48
23
25
44
18
25
39
15
24
49
20
29
46
19
27
49
28
22
48
21
26
50
25
24
50
24
26
53
NA
NA
58
51
55
51
56
56
60

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
44
18
26
50
22
28
51
21
30
46
17
29
49
18
31
42
14
28
46
21
25
45
14
31
46
17
28
40
NA
NA
36
45
41
47
37
36
36

No
opinion
7
6
10
5
5
9
7
5
4
6
5
5
4
2
6
8
4

 12/15/00
1/16/00
1/10/00*
1/10/00
11/21/99
5/2/99
2/21/99
2/13/99
2/8/99
1/10/99
12/20/98
12/16/98
10/29/97
9/1/96
8/18/96
8/7/96
4/10/96
4/19/95
7/8/92
6/6/91**
4/2/90
1/15/90
11/16/88
11/4/84
10/4/84
*1/10/00
**6/6/91

64
25
56
35
61
33
LV
58
37
51
41
53
37
55
37
56
38
57
37
57
35
57
30
58
32
54
39
RV
60
36
RV
55
41
RV
57
38
55
38
51
43
RV
54
38
52
34
54
35
58
32
54
36
47
42
RV
50
"
"
39
to 7/8/92: Gallup
and previous: CBS News/New York Times

"

"

11
9
6
5
8
10
8
6
6
8
13
10
7
4
4
5
7
6
8
14
11
10
10
11
11

b. The Republican Party

5/19/16
12/14/14
10/12/14
8/3/14
10/20/13
9/30/12
10/30/11
3/26/10
2/8/10
6/21/09
8/22/08 RV
11/1/07
3/5/06
6/5/05
12/15/02
1/27/02
7/30/01
12/15/00
1/16/00
1/10/00*
1/10/00 LV
11/21/99
5/2/99
2/21/99
2/13/99
2/8/99
1/10/99
12/20/98
12/16/98
10/29/97
9/1/96
RV

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
36
10
26
47
18
28
33
11
22
35
11
24
32
10
22
39
18
21
40
13
27
40
17
23
44
19
25
36
NA
NA
47
39
51
49
56
63
51
54
53
53
56
50
47
45
40
45
40
31
43
50
50

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
56
23
33
47
19
28
56
27
29
60
24
36
63
25
38
53
19
33
53
21
32
55
24
30
52
23
29
56
NA
NA
49
56
46
49
38
30
46
35
37
41
39
44
44
46
54
47
52
57
47
42
45

No
opinion
8
7
10
5
6
8
7
5
4
8
4
5
3
2
5
7
3
11
10
6
5
6
9
9
5
8
8
12
10
8
5

 8/18/96
8/7/96
4/10/96
4/19/95
7/8/92
6/6/91**
4/2/90
1/15/90
11/16/88
11/4/84
10/4/84
*1/10/00
**6/6/91

RV
RV

55
41
51
44
52
41
52
42
RV
53
39
62
28
58
34
63
28
57
34
58
33
53
"
"
36
to 7/8/92: Gallup
and previous: CBS News/New York Times

"

4
5
7
6
8
10
8
9
9
9
11

"

17. Regardless of whether or not you’d vote for (him/her), do you think [ITEM] is or
is not qualified to serve as president?
5/19/16 – Summary Table

a. Clinton
b. Trump

Is
qualified
63
39

Is not
qualified
36
58

No
opinion
2
3

Trend where available:
a. No trend
b. Trump

5/19/16
9/10/15

Is
qualified
39
37

Is not
qualified
58
60

No
opinion
3
2

18. Who do you think [ITEM] – (Clinton) or (Trump)?
5/19/16 – Summary Table
Clinton
42

a. is more honest and trustworthy
b. better understands the problems of people
like you
c. has a better personality and temperament
to serve effectively as president
d. would do more to bring needed change to
Washington
e. has better experience to be president
f. is the stronger leader
g. would do more to make the country safer
and more secure
h. better represents your own personal values
i. has more realistic policy proposals
* Half sample asked items a-d; other half asked

Trump
40

Both
(vol.)
1

Neither
(vol.)
16

No
op.
1

47

36

*

15

2

61

31

1

6

1

42
67
46

48
24
47

1
1
1

7
8
4

2
1
2

47
44
48
37
58
31
items e-i.

1
1
1

7
13
7

1
2
3

19. Who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] – (Clinton) or (Trump)? And who do you
trust more to handle [NEXT ITEM]?
5/19/16 – Summary Table

 Both
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
a. The economy
47
46
*
b. Terrorism
47
44
*
c. Immigration issues
51
42
*
d. An international crisis
55
36
*
e. Looking out for the middle class
52
35
*
f. Taxes
42
47
1
g. Issues of special concern to women
66
23
1
h. International trade agreements
47
44
1
i. Ethics in government
48
39
*
j. International relations
56
33
1
*Half sample asked items a-e; other half asked items f-j.

Neither
(vol.)
6
7
4
7
11
7
8
6
12
7

No
opinion
1
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
1
2

Trend where available:
a. The economy
5/19/16
3/6/16

Clinton
47
49

Trump
46
45

Both
(vol.)
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
6
5

No
opinion
1
1

Both
(vol.)
*
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
7
4
6

No
opinion
2
2
1

Both
(vol.)
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
4
4

No
opinion
2
2

Both
(vol.)
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
7
5

No
opinion
2
1

b. Terrorism
Clinton
Trump
5/19/16
47
44
3/6/16
54
40
11/19/15*
50
42
*”threat of terrorism”
c. Immigration issues

5/19/16
3/6/16

Clinton
51
56

Trump
42
37

d. An international crisis

5/19/16
3/6/16

Clinton
55
61

Trump
36
32

e-j. No trend
20. All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who has experience in how
the political system works, or someone from outside the existing political establishment?

5/19/16
3/6/16
1/24/16
12/13/15
10/18/15

Experience in
political system
52
62
62
57
57

Outside
establishment
43
34
33
37
39

No
opinion
5
5
4
5
4

21. Who do you think would do more to advance the economic interests of [ITEM],
(Clinton) or (Trump)?

 a. Working class people
b. Middle class people
c. Wealthy people

Clinton
51
50
25

Trump
41
40
65

Both
(vol.)
*
1
5

Neither
(vol.)
6
7
2

No
opinion
2
3
3

Compare to:
Who do you think would do more to advance the economic interests of [ITEM] - (Obama)
or (Romney)?
5/20/12 - Summary Table

a. Middle class Americans
b. Wealthy Americans
c. You and your family

Obama
51
24
46

Romney
42
65
43

Both
(vol.)
1
2
*

Neither
(vol.)
4
3
6

No
opinion
2
6
5

22. Do you think Trump shows enough respect for people he disagrees with, or not? (IF
NO) Do you see this as a major problem, or a problem but not a major one?

5/19/16

----------- Problem ----------Major
Problem but
NET
problem
not a major one
76
55
21

Not a
problem
21

No
opinion
3

23. Do you think that (Clinton gets more of an advantage in the election because she’s
a woman), or do you think that (Trump gets more of an advantage in the election
because he’s a man)? (IF CLINTON/TRUMP GET AN ADVANTAGE) Do you think that’s
justified, or not justified?

5/19/16

- Clinton gets advantage -Not
NET
Justified
justified
32
12
20

--- Trump gets advantage -Not
NET
Justified
justified
29
7
23

No diff.
(vol.)
33

No
op.
6

24. All major presidential candidates in the last 40 years have publicly released
their tax returns before the election. Trump has said he may not do this. Do you think
Trump should release his tax returns before the November election, or is it OK if he
does not release his tax returns? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

5/19/16

----- Should release ---NET
Strongly
Somewhat
64
54
9

--- OK if he does not --NET
Somewhat
Strongly
31
11
20

No
opinion
5

25. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would
you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate) in your
congressional district? Would you lean toward the (Democratic candidate) or toward
the (Republican candidate)?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – GEN POP

5/19/16

Dem
cand.
46

Rep
cand.
42

Other
(vol.)
*

Neither
(vol.)
4

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS

Would not
vote (vol.)
2

No
opinion
6

 5/19/16
10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
6/1/14
4/27/14
3/2/14
1/23/14
12/15/13
10/20/13
5/19/13
10/28/10
10/3/10
9/2/10*
7/11/10
6/6/10
4/25/10
3/26/10
2/8/10
10/22/06
10/8/06
9/7/06
8/6/06
6/25/06
5/15/06
4/9/06
1/26/06
12/18/05
11/2/05
7/15/02
1/27/02**
9/6/00
7/23/00
2/27/00
10/31/99
9/2/99
3/14/99
2/14/99
1/30/99
11/1/98
10/25/98
10/18/98
9/28/98
9/13/98
8/21/98
7/12/98
1/31/98
1/19/98
10/8/96
9/29/96
9/22/96
9/15/96
9/4/96
8/29/96
8/28/96
8/27/96
8/26/96
8/25/96
8/24/96
8/19/96

Dem
cand.
45
47
46
46
47
45
46
45
47
48
48
49
47
45
46
47
48
48
45
54
54
50
52
52
52
55
54
51
52
47
43
49
46
45
50
48
50
48
49
51
48
49
49
49
48
47
49
47
51
48
50
49
48
53
51
51
51
48
47
49

Rep
cand.
45
44
44
44
45
44
45
46
45
40
40
44
43
47
47
44
43
44
48
41
41
42
39
39
40
40
38
41
37
46
50
42
45
46
43
44
41
41
39
43
43
44
44
43
45
45
40
44
41
41
43
45
44
39
40
41
41
43
43
42

Other
(vol.)
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
*
2
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
NA

Neither
(vol.)
3
2
3
4
3
2
3
3
4
5
4
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
3
1
1
3
2
3
3
2
3
3
4
1
2
2
3
2
3
3
2
3
8
4
3
3
2
3
3
2
2
3
2
3
2
1
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3

Would not
vote (vol.)
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
*
1
1
*
*
*
1
2
1
1
1
*
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
*
1
1
*
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
0
0
1
1
0

No
opinion
6
5
5
4
4
7
5
5
3
4
6
3
5
5
5
4
6
4
4
3
3
4
5
4
4
3
5
4
6
4
5
6
5
5
3
5
6
7
3
2
4
4
4
4
3
6
8
5
5
7
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
6

 8/18/96
45
46
3
0
8/15/96
46
43
4
1
8/14/96
48
42
3
1
8/13/96
49
43
3
0
8/12/96
49
42
3
1
8/11/96
49
40
4
1
8/10/96
49
41
4
1
8/5/96
48
45
2
1
6/30/96
49
44
3
*
5/22/96
52
41
3
1
3/17/96
48
48
2
*
3/10/96
51
43
2
*
1/21/96
52
43
3
1
11/13/95
51
43
4
*
10/1/95
49
44
3
*
11/6/94
47
42
5
2
10/31/94
48
44
4
1
10/23/94
50
45
2
1
10/9/94
46
47
3
2
9/11/94
50
45
1
1
8/7/94
49
42
4
1
3/27/94
49
35
6
1
2/27/94
50
40
8
1
10/21/91
51
41
4
*
7/28/91
49
41
6
*
6/2/91
48
42
4
1
11/4/90
51
41
5
*
10/14/90
50
41
5
*
9/9/90
47
46
3
*
7/24/90
51
41
4
1
5/21/90
47
45
5
1
10/10/88
52
41
2
1
9/19/88
51
39
3
1
6/22/85
48
44
5
*
10/16/84
52
44
2
NA
9/11/84
53
45
2
7/8/84
58
40
2
10/27/82
58
39
NA
10/11/82
55
36
9/13/82
58
36
11/22/81
53
41
"
"
"
*9/2/10 and previous: "Will not vote (vol.)"
**1/27/02 and previous: No "other candidate" option recorded

6
5
6
5
5
6
5
4
3
3
2
4
1
2
3
5
3
2
2
4
4
9
2
4
3
5
3
3
3
4
2
4
6
3
5
1
1
3
9
6
7

26. Would you be (more likely) to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports
[ITEM] for president, (less likely), or wouldn’t it make much difference in your vote?
Is that much more/less likely or somewhat more/less likely?
5/19/16 – Summary Table
AMONG GEN POP
a. Hillary Clinton
b. Donald Trump

---- More likely ---NET
Much
Somewhat
27
19
8
18
12
6

---- Less likely ---NET
Somewhat
Much
26
7
19
36
6
30

No
diff.
46
45

No
op.
1
1

---- More likely ---NET
Much
Somewhat
24
18
6
20
14
6

---- Less likely ---NET
Somewhat
Much
30
7
23
34
4
29

No
diff.
46
45

No
op.
1
1

AMONG REG VOTERS
a. Hillary Clinton
b. Donald Trump

 27. Overall, would you say trade with other countries does more to (create U.S. jobs)
or does more to (take away U.S. jobs)?
Create
U.S. jobs
33

5/19/16

Take away
U.S. jobs
53

No effect
(vol.)
4

No
opinion
10

28. In general, do you think undocumented immigrants in the United States (should be
allowed to stay) or (should be deported back to their native countries)?

5/19/16

---- Allowed to stay ---NET
Strongly
Somewhat
50
30
20

-------- Deported ------NET
Somewhat
Strongly
44
13
31

No
opinion
6

Compare to:
There are about 11 million undocumented immigrants living in the United States. Would
you support or oppose an effort by the federal government to deport all these
undocumented immigrants and send them back to their home countries? Do you feel that
way strongly or somewhat?

3/6/16
11/19/15

-------- Support -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
36
23
12
42
29
13

-------- Oppose --------NET
Somewhat
Strongly
61
19
42
55
21
34

No
opinion
4
2

29. Would you support or oppose a temporary ban on Muslims who are not U.S. citizens
from entering the United States? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

5/19/16

-------- Support -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
43
30
12

-------- Oppose --------NET
Somewhat
Strongly
50
14
36

No
opinion
7

Compare to:
Trump has proposed banning Muslims who are not U.S. citizens from entering the
United States for the time being. He says this would improve security against
terrorism. Others say security would not be improved, and it’s wrong to bar people
from the United States because of their religion. What’s your opinion – would you
support a ban on Muslims entering the United States, or do you think this would be the
wrong thing to do? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

3/6/16
12/13/15

-------- Support -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
33
23
10
36
25
11

--- Wrong thing to do --NET
Somewhat
Strongly
63
13
50
60
12
48

No
opinion
4
4

30. Did you happen to vote in the last presidential election, when Barack Obama ran
against Mitt Romney, or did you skip that one?
5/19/16

Did vote
68

Did not vote
31

No opinion
1

31. (ASK IF VOTED IN 2012) Which candidate did you vote for?
Obama

Romney

Someone else

No opinion

 5/19/16

54

42

3

2

Q30/31 NET:

5/19/16

----------- Voted in 2012 --------NET
Obama
Romney
Someone else
68
36
28
2

Did not
vote
31

No
opinion
1

Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a
Republican), an independent or what?
5/19/16
3/6/16
1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
10/18/15
9/10/15
7/19/15
5/31/15
3/29/15
1/15/15
12/14/14
10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14

Democrat
33
34
34
33
33
30
33
30
30
30
30
26
32
31
33

Republican
25
25
23
23
23
24
22
21
22
22
24
23
24
24
23

Independent
35
32
34
34
36
39
35
39
36
38
37
41
36
36
38

Other (vol.)
4
5
5
5
4
4
5
7
6
7
6
7
5
6
4

No opinion
3
5
4
5
4
2
4
4
6
3
3
3
3
3
2

*** END ***
METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS
This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The
poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and
Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish.
This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as
appears in this document, other than the voter registration which was asked before
question 1 and party identification after question 9. Demographics and religious
identity questions are not shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the
sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases
surrounded by parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly
rotated for respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered
voters.
A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random
Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines cellular phone numbers, first
requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. The final sample
included 351 interviews completed on landlines and 654 interviews completed via
cellular phones, including 376 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households.
This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the
survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for
differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult
sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among
individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also
weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education
and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey March Social and
Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education.

 All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which
is 1.2 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s
deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision
due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a
design effect overstate their precision.
Group
All adults
Registered voters
Registered Leaned Dems
Registered Leaned Reps

Unweighted
sample size
1,005
829
373
376

Error margin
+/- 3.5 points
3.5
5.5
5.5

The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which
recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they
produce.
Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post
conducts polls.