Approval Rating – Governor Paul LePage 
 
 
STATEWIDE - JUNE 2016 
 
Registered Democrat 
Registered Unenrolled/Other 
Registered Republican 
 
Democrat 
Independent 
Republican 
 
2016 Likely Voter 
2016 Non-Likely Voter 
 
Gun Owner 
Non-Gun Owner 
 
18 to 34 
35 to 49 
50 to 64 
65 and over 
 
Male 
Female 
 
High school or less 
Some college 
College graduate 
Post-graduate 
 
Attend services 1 or more a week 
1-2 times a month 
Less often 
Never 
 
HH Income Less Than $30K 
$30K to $60K 
$60K to $100K 
$100K or more 
 
10 Years or Fewer in Maine 
11 to 20 Years 
21 to 30 Years 
More than 30 Years 
 
Northern Maine 
Downeast/Coastal Maine 
Central Maine 
Southern Maine 
 
First Cong. Dist 
Second Cong. Dist 

Approve 
38% 

Neutral 
5% 

Disapprove 
58% 

(N=) 
603  

10% 
37% 
71% 

2% 
6% 
6% 

88% 
57% 
23% 

191  
244  
162  

10% 
31% 
76% 

3% 
12% 
3% 

87% 
57% 
21% 

260  
120  
208  

38% 
35% 

3% 
11% 

59% 
53% 

471  
133  

47% 
26% 

5% 
5% 

48% 
69% 

272  
305  

38% 
36% 
38% 
38% 

6% 
6% 
4% 
5% 

55% 
58% 
58% 
57% 

146  
134  
182  
127  

43% 
32% 

5% 
5% 

52% 
63% 

290  
313  

41% 
43% 
40% 
20% 

11% 
4% 
2% 
4% 

47% 
53% 
58% 
76% 

141  
175  
171  
115  

53% 
39% 
36% 
32% 

7% 
9% 
2% 
5% 

40% 
52% 
62% 
63% 

112  
67  
175  
234  

26% 
39% 
42% 
38% 

5% 
7% 
4% 
4% 

69% 
54% 
53% 
58% 

86  
132  
105  
109  

23% 
27% 
40% 
43% 

6% 
10% 
4% 
4% 

71% 
63% 
56% 
54% 

50  
116  
109  
322  

37% 
42% 
40% 
34% 

8% 
5% 
4% 
3% 

55% 
53% 
56% 
63% 

136  
109  
144  
214  

37% 
38% 

3% 
7% 

60% 
55% 

302  
301  

 Favorability Ratings – Hillary Clinton – Likely Voters 
 
 
STATEWIDE - JUNE 2016 
 
Registered Democrat 
Registered Unenrolled/Other 
Registered Republican 
 
Democrat 
Independent 
Republican 
 
Will Definitely Vote 
Will Vote Unless Emergency 
 
Extremely Interested in Election 
Very Interested 
Some/Little Interest 
 
Gun Owner 
Non-Gun Owner 
 
18 to 34 
35 to 49 
50 to 64 
65 and over 
 
Male 
Female 
 
High school or less 
Some college 
College graduate 
Post-graduate 
 
Attend services 1 or more a week 
1-2 times a month 
Less often 
Never 
 
HH Income Less Than $30K 
$30K to $60K 
$60K to $100K 
$100K or more 
 
10 Years or Fewer in Maine 
11 to 20 Years 
21 to 30 Years 
More than 30 Years 
 
Northern Maine 
Downeast/Coastal Maine 
Central Maine 
Southern Maine 

Favorable 
36% 

Neutral 
6% 

Unfavorable 
57% 

DK 
1% 

(N=) 
474  

60% 
28% 
14% 

8% 
7% 
4% 

31% 
63% 
82% 

1% 
2% 
0% 

172  
157  
140  

61% 
24% 
8% 

8% 
8% 
3% 

30% 
65% 
89% 

1% 
3% 
0% 

223  
72  
173  

37% 
27% 

7% 
3% 

56% 
69% 

1% 
2% 

429  
44  

40% 
32% 
30% 

5% 
5% 
12% 

54% 
60% 
56% 

0% 
3% 
1% 

241  
170  
62  

27% 
46% 

6% 
7% 

66% 
46% 

1% 
2% 

227  
225  

16% 
33% 
36% 
53% 

12% 
4% 
6% 
4% 

71% 
61% 
57% 
42% 

0% 
2% 
1% 
2% 

93  
104  
158  
107  

29% 
42% 

5% 
7% 

65% 
50% 

1% 
1% 

219  
255  

29% 
27% 
39% 
47% 

7% 
2% 
8% 
8% 

64% 
69% 
52% 
43% 

0% 
1% 
2% 
2% 

85  
134  
149  
103  

28% 
32% 
37% 
38% 

4% 
9% 
7% 
6% 

67% 
58% 
55% 
54% 

1% 
0% 
1% 
2% 

89  
52  
146  
176  

25% 
33% 
38% 
43% 

5% 
6% 
9% 
5% 

69% 
58% 
53% 
50% 

0% 
2% 
1% 
1% 

62  
98  
94  
94  

44% 
30% 
29% 
38% 

2% 
6% 
10% 
6% 

52% 
63% 
61% 
54% 

3% 
1% 
0% 
2% 

39  
82  
87  
262  

26% 
36% 
35% 
41% 

7% 
6% 
6% 
6% 

65% 
58% 
59% 
51% 

2% 
0% 
0% 
2% 

102  
90  
105  
176  

  
First Cong. Dist 
Second Cong. Dist 

42% 
28% 

5% 
7% 

51% 
64% 

2% 
1% 

247  
227  

Favorability Ratings – Donald Trump – Likely Voters 
 
 
STATEWIDE - JUNE 2016 
 
Registered Democrat 
Registered Unenrolled/Other 
Registered Republican 
 
Democrat 
Independent 
Republican 
 
Will Definitely Vote 
Will Vote Unless Emergency 
 
Extremely Interested in Election 
Very Interested 
Some/Little Interest 
 
Gun Owner 
Non-Gun Owner 
 
18 to 34 
35 to 49 
50 to 64 
65 and over 
 
Male 
Female 
 
High school or less 
Some college 
College graduate 
Post-graduate 
 
Attend services 1 or more a week 
1-2 times a month 
Less often 
Never 
 
HH Income Less Than $30K 
$30K to $60K 
$60K to $100K 
$100K or more 
 
10 Years or Fewer in Maine 
11 to 20 Years 
21 to 30 Years 
More than 30 Years 
 

Favorable 
28% 

Neutral 
7% 

Unfavorable 
62% 

DK 
3% 

(N=) 
473  

5% 
30% 
55% 

2% 
11% 
9% 

92% 
55% 
34% 

1% 
4% 
2% 

171  
157  
141  

7% 
22% 
59% 

1% 
14% 
11% 

92% 
59% 
26% 

1% 
6% 
3% 

223  
71  
174  

28% 
29% 

5% 
21% 

63% 
50% 

3% 
0% 

430  
44  

31% 
27% 
23% 

2% 
10% 
17% 

67% 
57% 
58% 

0% 
6% 
1% 

240  
171  
62  

34% 
20% 

7% 
6% 

56% 
72% 

3% 
2% 

229  
225  

30% 
23% 
32% 
29% 

9% 
11% 
6% 
4% 

60% 
63% 
62% 
63% 

2% 
4% 
0% 
4% 

93  
104  
158  
107  

35% 
23% 

9% 
5% 

52% 
70% 

4% 
2% 

219  
254  

36% 
39% 
24% 
13% 

8% 
5% 
8% 
6% 

52% 
53% 
65% 
80% 

4% 
2% 
3% 
1% 

85  
135  
149  
102  

30% 
38% 
29% 
25% 

15% 
3% 
4% 
7% 

53% 
56% 
65% 
65% 

2% 
4% 
2% 
3% 

89  
51  
146  
177  

24% 
33% 
28% 
21% 

8% 
6% 
9% 
4% 

68% 
58% 
61% 
70% 

1% 
3% 
1% 
5% 

62  
98  
94  
94  

26% 
22% 
26% 
31% 

12% 
8% 
7% 
6% 

62% 
66% 
65% 
60% 

0% 
3% 
2% 
3% 

38  
82  
87  
263  

 Northern Maine 
Downeast/Coastal Maine 
Central Maine 
Southern Maine 
 
First Cong. Dist 
Second Cong. Dist 

30% 
30% 
32% 
25% 

7% 
9% 
6% 
6% 

63% 
60% 
58% 
65% 

1% 
1% 
4% 
3% 

102  
90  
104  
177  

27% 
30% 

6% 
8% 

65% 
59% 

3% 
3% 

247  
226  

2016 Presidential Vote – Likely Voters 
 
 
Donald Trump 
Hillary Clinton 
Other 
STATEWIDE - JUNE 2016 
35% 
42% 
19% 
 
Registered Democrat 
9% 
71% 
19% 
Registered Unenrolled/Other 
36% 
34% 
24% 
Registered Republican 
66% 
16% 
14% 
 
Democrat 
7% 
74% 
18% 
Independent 
29% 
28% 
36% 
Republican 
74% 
8% 
13% 
 
Definitely Decided 
40% 
50% 
11% 
Leaning Toward Someone 
38% 
44% 
17% 
Still Trying To Decide 
24% 
26% 
37% 
 
Will Definitely Vote 
35% 
43% 
18% 
Will Vote Unless Emergency 
39% 
33% 
23% 
 
Extremely Interested in Election 
37% 
45% 
18% 
Very Interested 
37% 
40% 
18% 
Some/Little Interest 
22% 
41% 
26% 
 
Gun Owner 
45% 
32% 
21% 
Non-Gun Owner 
23% 
55% 
18% 
 
18 to 34 
34% 
30% 
35% 
35 to 49 
33% 
35% 
25% 
50 to 64 
39% 
46% 
14% 
65 and over 
33% 
55% 
9% 
 
Male 
44% 
35% 
18% 
Female 
28% 
48% 
20% 
 
High school or less 
46% 
35% 
17% 
Some college 
41% 
31% 
25% 
College graduate 
35% 
45% 
16% 
Post-graduate 
19% 
59% 
17% 
 
Attend services 1 or more a week 
48% 
28% 
17% 
1-2 times a month 
37% 
38% 
24% 
Less often 
35% 
44% 
19% 
Never 
30% 
49% 
19% 
 
10 Years or Fewer in Maine 
21% 
54% 
21% 
11 to 20 Years 
27% 
47% 
24% 

Undecided 
4% 

(N=) 
469  

1% 
6% 
4% 

171  
154  
141  

1% 
7% 
5% 

221  
69  
174  

0% 
1% 
13% 

240  
110  
119  

3% 
5% 

426  
43  

1% 
5% 
11% 

241  
171  
57  

3% 
4% 

226  
223  

2% 
7% 
2% 
4% 

90  
104  
158  
105  

3% 
4% 

217  
252  

2% 
3% 
5% 
5% 

83  
134  
146  
104  

7% 
2% 
2% 
3% 

88  
52  
145  
174  

4% 
2% 

37  
82  

 21 to 30 Years 
More than 30 Years 
 
Northern Maine 
Downeast/Coastal Maine 
Central Maine 
Southern Maine 
 
First Cong. Dist 
Second Cong. Dist 
 
 

36% 
39% 

37% 
41% 

24% 
16% 

3% 
4% 

86  
261  

35% 
38% 
38% 
33% 

33% 
44% 
40% 
48% 

30% 
13% 
18% 
16% 

2% 
5% 
4% 
3% 

100  
90  
103  
177  

33% 
37% 

48% 
36% 

16% 
23% 

3% 
4% 

247  
222  

2016 1st District Congressional Vote – With Leaners – Likely Voters 

 
 
FIRST CONG DIST - JUNE 2016 
 
Registered Democrat 
Registered Unenrolled/Other 
Registered Republican 
 
Democrat 
Independent 
Republican 
 
Will Definitely Vote 
Will Vote Unless Emergency 
 
Extremely Interested in Election 
Very Interested 
Some/Little Interest 
 
Gun Owner 
Non-Gun Owner 
 
18 to 34 
35 to 49 
50 to 64 
65 and over 
 
Male 
Female 
 
High school or less 
Some college 
College graduate 
Post-graduate 
 
Attend services 1 or more a week 
1-2 times a month 
Less often 
Never 
 
HH Income Less Than $30K 
$30K to $60K 

Mark Holbrook 
34% 

Chellie Pingree 
56% 

Other 
3% 

Undecided 
7% 

(N=) 
235  

7% 
34% 
72% 

80% 
60% 
18% 

1% 
4% 
3% 

12% 
2% 
6% 

99  
62  
72  

4% 
29% 
81% 

85% 
61% 
10% 

2% 
3% 
3% 

9% 
6% 
6% 

116  
36  
80  

34% 
37% 

55% 
63% 

3% 
0% 

8% 
0% 

222  
13  

36% 
32% 
30% 

54% 
57% 
62% 

2% 
5% 
0% 

9% 
5% 
8% 

131  
80  
24  

48% 
21% 

45% 
67% 

4% 
1% 

3% 
11% 

105  
121  

39% 
29% 
42% 
28% 

53% 
62% 
44% 
65% 

0% 
1% 
5% 
1% 

8% 
7% 
9% 
5% 

25  
51  
89  
63  

44% 
26% 

48% 
62% 

3% 
2% 

5% 
9% 

105  
130  

31% 
47% 
36% 
21% 

58% 
38% 
56% 
71% 

0% 
5% 
1% 
4% 

11% 
10% 
7% 
4% 

33  
59  
85  
58  

51% 
40% 
32% 
27% 

45% 
49% 
57% 
60% 

0% 
4% 
0% 
6% 

3% 
7% 
11% 
7% 

41  
30  
73  
84  

48% 
33% 

49% 
59% 

0% 
3% 

3% 
5% 

20  
46  

 $60K to $100K 
45% 
49% 
0% 
5% 
$100K or more 
22% 
67% 
4% 
7% 
 
10 Years or Fewer in Maine 
29% 
59% 
0% 
12% 
11 to 20 Years 
24% 
74% 
2% 
0% 
21 to 30 Years 
37% 
58% 
2% 
3% 
More than 30 Years 
38% 
49% 
3% 
10% 
 
Downeast/Coastal Maine 
39% 
51% 
0% 
10% 
Central Maine 
37% 
63% 
0% 
0% 
Southern Maine 
33% 
56% 
4% 
8% 
 
 
2016 1st District Congressional Vote – With Leaners – Likely Voters 
 
 
Ande Smith 
Chellie Pingree 
Other 
Undecided 
FIRST CONG DIST - JUNE 2016 
34% 
55% 
2% 
9% 
 
Registered Democrat 
7% 
78% 
1% 
13% 
Registered Unenrolled/Other 
33% 
58% 
4% 
6% 
Registered Republican 
72% 
20% 
3% 
5% 
 
Democrat 
4% 
87% 
1% 
8% 
Independent 
26% 
55% 
7% 
12% 
Republican 
80% 
10% 
2% 
8% 
 
Will Definitely Vote 
34% 
54% 
2% 
9% 
Will Vote Unless Emergency 
34% 
59% 
0% 
7% 
 
Extremely Interested in Election 
37% 
54% 
1% 
8% 
Very Interested 
31% 
55% 
4% 
11% 
Some/Little Interest 
28% 
57% 
5% 
10% 
 
Gun Owner 
48% 
42% 
4% 
5% 
Non-Gun Owner 
20% 
67% 
1% 
12% 
 
18 to 34 
40% 
53% 
0% 
6% 
35 to 49 
30% 
58% 
2% 
9% 
50 to 64 
40% 
47% 
4% 
10% 
65 and over 
29% 
63% 
2% 
7% 
 
Male 
44% 
46% 
2% 
8% 
Female 
26% 
61% 
3% 
10% 
 
High school or less 
31% 
52% 
4% 
13% 
Some college 
49% 
37% 
4% 
11% 
College graduate 
35% 
58% 
1% 
6% 
Post-graduate 
20% 
68% 
2% 
9% 
 
Attend services 1 or more a week 
54% 
43% 
0% 
3% 
1-2 times a month 
44% 
52% 
4% 
0% 
Less often 
27% 
60% 
3% 
10% 
Never 
27% 
56% 
3% 
15% 
 
HH Income Less Than $30K 
43% 
45% 
0% 
12% 

46  
55  
22  
37  
40  
136  
38  
28  
169  

(N=) 
235  
98  
63  
73  
115  
35  
83  
221  
14  
132  
80  
23  
103  
123  
26  
51  
89  
62  
106  
128  
31  
59  
85  
60  
41  
33  
70  
83  
21  

 $30K to $60K 
32% 
58% 
3% 
7% 
$60K to $100K 
46% 
48% 
0% 
5% 
$100K or more 
24% 
62% 
4% 
11% 
 
10 Years or Fewer in Maine 
29% 
68% 
0% 
3% 
11 to 20 Years 
28% 
68% 
0% 
4% 
21 to 30 Years 
37% 
49% 
0% 
14% 
More than 30 Years 
36% 
50% 
4% 
10% 
 
Downeast/Coastal Maine 
36% 
50% 
0% 
15% 
Central Maine 
34% 
63% 
4% 
0% 
Southern Maine 
34% 
54% 
3% 
9% 
 
 
2016 2nd District Congressional Vote – With Leaners – Likely Voters 
 
 
Bruce Poliquin 
Emily Cain 
Other 
Undecided 
SECOND CONG DIST - JUNE 2016 
41% 
40% 
7% 
12% 
 
Registered Democrat 
12% 
75% 
1% 
12% 
Registered Unenrolled/Other 
36% 
36% 
11% 
17% 
Registered Republican 
76% 
9% 
8% 
7% 
 
Democrat 
13% 
71% 
2% 
14% 
Independent 
30% 
27% 
19% 
25% 
Republican 
77% 
7% 
11% 
6% 
 
Will Definitely Vote 
41% 
40% 
7% 
11% 
Will Vote Unless Emergency 
34% 
34% 
8% 
23% 
 
Extremely Interested in Election 
43% 
39% 
7% 
11% 
Very Interested 
39% 
45% 
8% 
8% 
Some/Little Interest 
40% 
30% 
5% 
25% 
 
Gun Owner 
46% 
43% 
5% 
7% 
Non-Gun Owner 
31% 
41% 
10% 
18% 
 
18 to 34 
40% 
36% 
7% 
17% 
35 to 49 
37% 
52% 
2% 
9% 
50 to 64 
39% 
44% 
11% 
5% 
65 and over 
48% 
28% 
6% 
18% 
 
Male 
50% 
30% 
8% 
13% 
Female 
33% 
49% 
6% 
12% 
 
High school or less 
46% 
36% 
8% 
10% 
Some college 
39% 
32% 
14% 
16% 
College graduate 
46% 
41% 
1% 
12% 
Post-graduate 
30% 
54% 
6% 
9% 
 
Attend services 1 or more a week 
70% 
18% 
5% 
7% 
1-2 times a month 
54% 
25% 
10% 
10% 
Less often 
34% 
41% 
8% 
18% 
Never 
27% 
55% 
7% 
11% 
 

43  
47  
59  
22  
40  
39  
134  
37  
28  
170  

(N=) 
202  
65  
72  
63  
94  
24  
81  
185  
17  
96  
77  
28  
106  
84  
50  
43  
64  
41  
92  
110  
45  
58  
59  
38  
42  
18  
65  
75  

 HH Income Less Than $30K 
26% 
47% 
8% 
18% 
$30K to $60K 
42% 
43% 
11% 
5% 
$60K to $100K 
44% 
42% 
0% 
14% 
$100K or more 
39% 
38% 
5% 
17% 
 
10 Years or Fewer in Maine 
46% 
26% 
17% 
10% 
11 to 20 Years 
38% 
37% 
9% 
16% 
21 to 30 Years 
37% 
45% 
6% 
12% 
More than 30 Years 
42% 
41% 
5% 
12% 
 
Northern Maine 
36% 
44% 
7% 
13% 
Downeast/Coastal Maine 
49% 
33% 
11% 
7% 
Central Maine 
42% 
39% 
5% 
14% 
 
 
2018 Senate LePage vs. King Hypothetical Matchup -- Likely Voters 
 
 
Paul LePage 
Angus King 
Other 
Undecided 
STATEWIDE - JUNE 2016 
29% 
63% 
3% 
5% 
 
Registered Democrat 
3% 
89% 
3% 
6% 
Registered Unenrolled/Other 
29% 
62% 
3% 
6% 
Registered Republican 
58% 
34% 
3% 
4% 
 
Approve of LePage 
71% 
21% 
2% 
6% 
Neutral/Disapprove of LePage 
1% 
91% 
3% 
5% 
 
Democrat 
4% 
90% 
2% 
4% 
Independent 
26% 
66% 
4% 
5% 
Republican 
60% 
29% 
3% 
8% 
 
Gun Owner 
34% 
58% 
2% 
6% 
Non-Gun Owner 
19% 
72% 
3% 
5% 
 
18 to 34 
30% 
57% 
4% 
9% 
35 to 49 
20% 
71% 
2% 
7% 
50 to 64 
34% 
59% 
3% 
4% 
65 and over 
28% 
67% 
2% 
3% 
 
Male 
37% 
56% 
2% 
5% 
Female 
21% 
70% 
3% 
5% 
 
High school or less 
32% 
60% 
5% 
3% 
Some college 
38% 
51% 
3% 
8% 
College graduate 
29% 
62% 
2% 
7% 
Post-graduate 
12% 
85% 
2% 
2% 
 
Attend services 1 or more a week 
33% 
53% 
4% 
9% 
1-2 times a month 
38% 
57% 
2% 
4% 
Less often 
28% 
63% 
2% 
7% 
Never 
25% 
69% 
3% 
3% 
 
HH Income Less Than $30K 
21% 
55% 
10% 
14% 
$30K to $60K 
28% 
64% 
2% 
6% 
$60K to $100K 
31% 
65% 
2% 
2% 

32  
48  
47  
30  
15  
34  
37  
114  
90  
47  
65  

(N=) 
467  
169  
153  
140  
178  
284  
221  
69  
172  
224  
222  
90  
101  
159  
106  
217  
250  
83  
133  
148  
102  
88  
50  
144  
175  
62  
93  
93  

 $100K or more 
 
10 Years or Fewer in Maine 
11 to 20 Years 
21 to 30 Years 
More than 30 Years 
 
Northern Maine 
Downeast/Coastal Maine 
Central Maine 
Southern Maine 
 
First Cong. Dist 
Second Cong. Dist 
 
 
 

 

28% 

71% 

1% 

0% 

94  

27% 
20% 
29% 
31% 

67% 
74% 
58% 
61% 

0% 
0% 
2% 
4% 

6% 
6% 
10% 
4% 

37  
80  
86  
260  

29% 
29% 
31% 
27% 

58% 
65% 
59% 
68% 

4% 
2% 
4% 
1% 

8% 
4% 
7% 
4% 

97  
89  
103  
178  

28% 
29% 

67% 
59% 

1% 
4% 

4% 
7% 

248  
220