This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone June 20-23, 2016, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including landline and cell phone respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York. *= less than 0.5 percent (Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the end.) 1. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? Probably vote 10 8 9 Chances 50/50 9 7 5 Less than that 10 4 3 Don't think will vote (vol.) 6 2 2 Already voted (vol.) NA NA NA 6/23/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 RV RV Certain to vote 65 79 80 No op. 1 * * 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 68 68 70 72 73 75 76 77 79 79 79 79 80 82 84 85 84 83 81 81 5 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 7 6 5 6 7 7 7 8 9 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 4 4 7 6 6 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 * 20 19 18 16 16 13 12 11 9 8 6 6 5 4 4 1 0 NA " * * * * 0 * * * * * * * * * * 1 * 0 * * 11/3/08 11/2/08 11/1/08 10/31/08 10/30/08 10/29/08 10/28/08 10/27/08 10/26/08 10/25/08 10/24/08 10/23/08 10/22/08 10/21/08 10/20/08 10/19/08 10/11/08 9/29/08 9/22/08 9/7/08 8/22/08 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 68 69 71 73 74 76 77 76 78 78 79 80 81 82 81 83 87 87 89 85 84 4 4 5 5 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 6 7 10 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 5 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 * 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 * 1 * 22 20 19 16 15 13 11 11 10 10 8 6 5 4 4 4 2 NA NA NA NA * * * * * 1 1 1 * * * * * * * * 0 * * * * 7/13/08 6/15/08 3/2/08 RV 79 71 78 10 9 9 7 8 7 3 7 4 2 4 2 NA NA NA 0 * * 10/31/04 10/30/04 10/29/04 10/28/04 10/27/04 10/26/04 10/25/04 10/24/04 10/23/04 10/22/04 10/21/04 10/20/04 10/19/04 10/18/04 10/17/04 10/16/04 10/15/04 10/14/04 10/13/04 10/12/04 10/11/04 10/10/04 10/9/04 10/8/04 10/7/04 10/6/04 10/5/04 10/4/04 10/3/04 9/26/04 9/8/04 8/29/04 8/1/04 7/25/04 10/29/03 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 76 78 79 80 81 81 81 82 82 82 82 83 83 84 84 86 87 87 86 87 88 90 90 90 89 87 87 87 87 87 87 84 85 85 70 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 10 9 7 12 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 11 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 6 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 * * 1 1 * * * * * 1 1 * * * * * * 1 1 1 * 1 * 1 * 1 12 11 11 10 8 8 7 6 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 * * * * * * * * * NA * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * * * * * 1 * * 0 * * 0 10/15/00 10/9/00 10/1/00 9/6/00 8/20/00 8/10/00 8/6/00 7/29/00 7/23/00 6/11/00 5/10/00 4/2/00 3/11/00 2/27/00 2/6/00 1/16/00 12/15/99 10/31/99 RV RV RV RV RV RV 82 81 81 78 78 79 64 61 59 60 63 62 63 69 67 65 64 72 10 10 10 12 13 12 12 15 17 13 15 14 14 12 12 14 13 11 6 6 5 5 6 6 11 9 10 11 10 9 9 10 10 10 8 10 2 2 3 3 3 1 8 11 11 10 8 9 9 4 8 6 9 5 1 * 1 1 1 1 5 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 3 4 6 3 " * * * * 0 * * * * * 1 * * * * * 1 * 2. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Hillary Clinton, the Democrat) and (Donald Trump, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton) or toward (Trump)? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – GEN POP Clinton 51 48 54 53 51 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 12/13/15 9/10/15 Trump 37 42 36 40 39 Other (vol.) 2 2 1 1 1 Neither (vol.) 7 5 3 3 5 Would not vote (vol.) 2 3 4 3 4 No opinion 1 1 * 1 1 Would not vote (vol.) 1 2 5 2 4 No opinion 1 1 1 1 1 NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS Clinton 51 44 50 50 46 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 12/13/15 9/10/15 Trump 39 46 41 44 43 Other (vol.) 2 2 1 1 1 Neither (vol.) 6 5 3 3 6 3a. (IF NAMED CLINTON) Do you support Clinton strongly, or somewhat? Strongly 47 46 6/23/16 RV 5/19/16 RV Somewhat 50 52 No opinion 2 2 3b. (IF NAMED TRUMP) Do you support Trump strongly, or somewhat? Strongly 52 46 6/23/16 RV 5/19/16 RV Somewhat 46 53 No opinion 3 2 2/3a/3b NET: 6/23/16 RV 5/19/16 RV -- Vote for Clinton NET Strongly Smwt 51 24 25 44 20 23 --- Vote for Trump -NET Smwt Strongly 39 18 20 46 24 21 Other (vol.) 2 2 No Neither vote (vol.) (vol.) 6 1 5 2 No op. 1 1 4. Regardless of whether you prefer (Clinton) or (Trump), is there a third-party candidate you’re seriously considering? (IF YES) Who is that? 6/23/16 6/23/16 RV ----------------- Yes ----------------Gary Jill No NET Johnson Stein Other opinion 17 2 1 12 2 18 2 1 12 3 No 79 78 No opinion 4 4 5. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were [(Hillary Clinton, the Democrat), (Donald Trump, the Republican)], [(Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party) and (Jill Stein of the Green Party)], for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward [(Clinton), (Trump)], [(Johnson) or (Stein)]? 6/23/16 Hillary Clinton 47 Donald Trump 34 Gary Johnson 7 Jill Stein 4 Other (vol.) 1 None of these (vol.) 4 Would not vote (vol.) 1 No opinion 3 6/23/16 RV 47 37 7 3 1 3 * On another topic, 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 11/19/15 10/18/15 9/10/15 7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 12/14/14 10/26/14 10/12/14 9/7/14 6/1/14 4/27/14 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 4/14/13 3/10/13 1/13/13 12/16/12 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 5/20/12 4/8/12 3/10/12 2/4/12 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 56 34 21 51 30 21 51 31 20 50 31 18 45 24 22 46 24 22 51 28 23 49 27 22 45 26 20 45 22 23 47 26 21 50 24 26 41 21 20 43 21 22 40 20 20 42 24 18 46 23 23 41 23 19 46 25 22 46 23 23 43 23 20 42 22 21 48 28 20 47 25 22 49 25 24 51 32 20 50 27 23 50 29 21 55 32 23 54 33 21 52 33 10 51 33 10 51 32 11 50 31 11 50 30 11 50 28 12 50 28 11 51 28 11 50 28 11 51 29 10 50 29 9 50 29 10 50 29 21 50 30 20 51 31 20 50 30 21 50 26 24 49 29 20 50 27 23 47 24 24 47 26 21 50 30 20 46 28 18 50 29 22 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 41 8 33 46 11 35 43 11 33 46 11 36 51 12 39 50 10 40 45 10 35 46 9 37 50 13 37 49 11 38 47 11 36 44 9 35 54 13 41 51 12 39 51 12 39 51 12 39 51 14 37 52 12 40 50 12 38 50 9 41 55 14 41 55 11 44 49 10 39 47 11 37 44 12 32 44 10 33 45 10 35 46 11 36 41 8 33 42 9 32 46 10 36 47 10 37 47 11 36 48 11 37 48 11 37 48 12 37 48 11 36 46 11 36 46 11 36 46 10 36 47 9 37 48 10 38 47 9 37 47 10 38 47 10 37 44 10 34 46 12 34 45 11 35 46 13 33 49 15 34 49 13 36 45 10 35 50 11 39 46 11 36 No opinion 3 3 6 4 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 8 6 3 6 3 4 3 3 3 6 7 5 5 4 4 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 6 4 6 4 4 3 6 4 3 3 1/15/12 48 25 23 12/18/11 49 25 24 11/3/11 44 22 22 10/2/11 42 21 21 9/1/11 43 21 22 8/9/11* 44 18 26 7/17/11 47 25 22 6/5/11 47 27 20 5/2/11** 56 29 27 4/17/11 47 27 21 3/13/11 51 27 24 1/16/11 54 30 23 12/12/10 49 24 25 10/28/10 50 27 23 10/3/10 50 26 24 9/2/10 46 24 22 7/11/10 50 28 22 6/6/10 52 30 22 4/25/10 54 31 23 3/26/10 53 34 20 2/8/10 51 29 22 1/15/10 53 30 24 12/13/09 50 31 18 11/15/09 56 32 23 10/18/09 57 33 23 9/12/09 54 35 19 8/17/09 57 35 21 7/18/09 59 38 22 6/21/09 65 36 29 4/24/09 69 42 27 3/29/09 66 40 26 2/22/09 68 43 25 *Washington Post **Washington Post/Pew Research Center 48 47 53 54 53 46 48 49 38 50 45 43 47 45 47 52 47 45 44 43 46 44 46 42 40 43 40 37 31 26 29 25 11 13 15 14 16 9 14 13 14 12 12 15 15 11 13 14 12 12 11 8 12 13 13 13 11 12 11 9 10 8 9 8 37 34 37 40 38 37 35 37 24 37 33 28 32 34 34 38 35 33 33 35 33 32 33 29 29 31 29 28 22 18 20 17 4 4 3 4 3 10 5 4 6 3 4 3 4 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 7 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? 6/23/16 – Summary Table ------- Approve -----NET Strongly Smwht a. The economy 55 34 21 b. The threat of terrorism 50 27 23 *Half sample asked item a; other half asked item b. ----- Disapprove ----NET Smwht Strongly 42 10 32 45 9 36 Trend: a. The economy 6/23/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 11/19/15 9/10/15 7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 12/14/14 10/26/14 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 55 34 21 50 32 17 48 26 22 48 24 24 49 26 22 47 25 22 47 25 23 49 29 20 48 26 21 44 24 20 42 21 20 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 42 10 32 46 13 33 48 14 34 48 14 34 47 11 36 48 13 35 48 14 34 46 12 34 48 10 38 52 14 38 52 14 38 No opinion 2 4 3 4 5 5 4 5 5 4 7 No op. 2 5 10/12/14 44 25 19 9/7/14 42 22 19 6/1/14 43 21 21 4/27/14 42 20 21 3/2/14 43 23 20 1/23/14 43 22 21 12/15/13 42 24 18 11/17/13 41 22 20 10/20/13 44 23 20 9/15/13 45 25 20 7/21/13 45 22 22 5/19/13 48 26 22 4/14/13 44 22 22 3/10/13 44 24 20 1/13/13 50 24 25 12/16/12 50 27 23 10/13/12 RV 47 26 21 9/29/12 RV 47 23 25 9/9/12 RV 45 24 21 8/25/12 44 20 23 7/8/12 44 21 23 5/20/12 42 20 22 4/8/12 44 23 21 3/10/12 38 20 18 2/4/12 44 23 22 1/15/12 41 19 22 12/18/11 41 17 24 11/3/11 38 18 20 10/2/11 35 17 19 9/1/11 36 15 21 7/17/11 39 18 22 6/5/11 40 20 20 5/2/11* 40 18 22 4/17/11 42 23 19 3/13/11 43 22 21 1/16/11 46 22 24 12/12/10 43 21 22 10/28/10 RV 44 21 23 10/3/10 45 22 23 9/2/10 41 20 21 7/11/10 43 20 23 6/6/10 50 26 24 4/25/10 49 24 25 3/26/10 45 23 22 2/8/10 45 22 23 1/15/10 47 22 24 12/13/09 46 23 24 11/15/09 51 26 25 10/18/09 50 29 22 9/12/09 51 28 24 8/17/09 52 27 25 7/18/09 52 29 23 6/21/09 56 28 28 4/24/09 58 31 28 3/29/09 60 34 25 2/22/09 60 NA NA *Washington Post/Pew Research Center 51 54 53 54 54 55 55 57 54 51 49 48 53 52 47 48 51 52 53 54 54 55 54 59 53 57 56 61 61 62 57 59 55 57 55 51 54 54 53 57 54 49 49 52 53 52 52 47 48 46 46 46 41 38 38 34 12 15 15 13 14 13 14 14 12 14 14 10 12 10 10 10 10 10 8 12 13 11 12 9 11 11 13 13 13 15 15 10 16 11 13 13 15 15 13 13 13 12 10 12 15 13 12 12 13 13 13 10 13 13 12 NA 39 39 38 41 41 42 40 42 42 37 35 37 41 42 37 38 41 41 45 42 41 44 42 50 41 46 43 48 48 47 43 49 39 46 41 38 39 39 41 44 41 37 39 40 38 39 40 36 35 33 33 35 27 25 26 NA 4 5 4 4 2 3 4 2 2 4 6 4 3 4 3 3 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 4 2 3 2 4 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 4 3 6 b. The threat of terrorism 6/23/16 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 50 27 23 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 45 9 36 No opinion 5 1/24/16 45 23 22 12/13/15 43 19 23 11/19/15 40 21 19 1/15/15 47 22 25 12/14/14 43 21 22 10/12/14 42 21 21 1/23/14 50 29 21 1/15/12 56 36 20 11/3/11 60 37 23 9/1/11 62 33 29 6/5/11 60 35 25 5/2/11* 69 42 27 2/8/10 56 28 28 1/15/10 55 31 23 11/15/09 53 31 22 9/12/09 55 31 24 6/21/09 57 NA NA 4/21/09** 57 " " *Washington Post-Pew Research Center **Pew Research Center 48 53 54 45 48 50 42 38 34 32 34 21 39 42 41 34 36 26 10 9 11 14 14 15 14 10 12 12 13 9 14 14 14 12 NA " 38 44 43 31 34 35 28 28 22 21 21 12 25 28 27 23 NA " 7 4 6 8 9 8 8 6 6 6 6 10 5 4 6 11 7 17 8. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Out of the candidates who ran, who did you want to see win the Republican nomination for president this year? (IF NEEDED) Was it Trump or one of the other candidates? 6/23/16 6/23/16 RV Trump 41 40 Other 53 55 No opinion 6 5 9. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Out of the candidates who ran, who did you want to see win the Democratic nomination for president this year? (IF NEEDED) Was it Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders or someone else? 6/23/16 6/23/16 RV Clinton 52 52 Sanders 35 35 Someone else (vol.) 5 6 No opinion 8 7 10. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Do you think Republican leaders should speak out against Trump when they disagree with his views, or should they avoid criticizing the party’s likely nominee even when they disagree with him? 6/23/16 Should speak out 62 Should avoid criticizing 35 No opinion 3 11. Thinking about the election in November, which of these two statements comes closest to your own views: (After eight years of Barack Obama, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction) OR (We need to keep the country moving in the direction Obama has been taking us)? -- New direction -NET Strngly Smwht 56 47 9 -- Same direction NET Smwht Strngly 38 15 24 Between (vol.) 3 Neither (vol.) 2 No op. 2 George W. Bush: -- New direction -- -- Same direction-- Between Neither No 6/23/16 Compare to: 1/12/08 11/1/07 3/7/04* NET 79 75 57 Bill Clinton: 8/6/00 7/23/00 2/27/00 1/26/00 10/31/99 9/2/99 3/14/98 48 46 48 44 47 47 39 Strngly 66 60 NA George H.W. Bush: 8/9/92 74 6/7/92 75 3/11/92 66 12/15/91 63 10/21/91 51 Smwht 12 14 NA NET 17 23 41 Smwht 5 10 NA Strngly 11 13 NA (vol.) 3 2 1 (vol.) * 1 1 op. 1 1 1 44 49 49 53 48 49 56 2 2 1 1 3 2 3 4 1 * 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 23 21 30 31 44 * 1 1 2 2 * 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 Ronald Reagan: 9/19/88 RV 51 46 1 1 1 8/14/88 58 38 2 1 1 5/25/88 57 39 2 1 2 9/23/87 55 41 2 1 1 4/13/87 56 " " 41 " " 1 1 1 *3/7/04 and previous: Which of these two statements comes closest to your own views: A) After four years of George W. Bush, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction. B) We need to keep the country moving in the direction Bush has been taking us. 12. Regardless of whether or not you’d vote for (him/her), do you think [ITEM] is or is not qualified to serve as president? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 6/23/16 – Summary Table a. Clinton b. Trump ------- Qualified ------NET Strongly Somewhat 61 40 22 34 18 16 ----- Not qualified ----NET Somewhat Strongly 37 4 33 64 8 56 No opinion 1 2 ------- Qualified ------NET Strongly Somewhat 61 40 22 63 NA NA ----- Not qualified ----NET Somewhat Strongly 37 4 33 36 NA NA No opinion 1 2 ------- Qualified ------NET Strongly Somewhat 34 18 16 39 NA NA 37 NA NA ----- Not qualified ----NET Somewhat Strongly 64 8 56 58 NA NA 60 NA NA No opinion 2 3 2 Trend: a. Clinton 6/23/16 5/19/16 b. Trump 6/23/16 5/19/16 9/10/15 13. Who do you think has a better personality and temperament to serve effectively as president – (Clinton) or (Trump)? 6/23/16 5/19/16 Clinton 61 61 Trump 28 31 Both equally (vol.) 1 1 Neither (vol.) 8 6 No opinion 3 1 14. Thinking about [ITEM] as president – are you comfortable with this, or does it make you anxious? Would you say you are very comfortable with/anxious about the idea of [ITEM] as president, or somewhat comfortable with/anxious about it? 6/23/16 – Summary Table a. Hillary Clinton b. Donald Trump ---- Comfortable ---NET Very Somewhat 47 28 19 27 16 11 ------ Anxious -----NET Somewhat Very 50 15 35 70 18 52 No opinion 3 3 Trend: a. Hillary Clinton 6/23/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 ---- Comfortable ---NET Very Somewhat 47 28 19 46 29 17 47 27 20 ------ Anxious -----NET Somewhat Very 50 15 35 51 16 35 51 16 35 No opinion 3 2 2 ------ Anxious -----NET Somewhat Very 70 18 52 69 18 51 69 19 49 No opinion 3 1 3 b. Donald Trump 6/23/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 ---- Comfortable ---NET Very Somewhat 27 16 11 30 17 13 29 15 14 15. Overall, do you feel Trump is standing up for your beliefs, or against them? 6/23/16 Standing up for your beliefs 36 Standing against your beliefs 56 No opinion 7 16. Trump has made some controversial comments about women, minorities and Muslims. Do you think his comments indicate that he’s unfairly biased against any of these groups, or do his comments not indicate unfair bias? 6/23/16 Unfairly biased 66 Not unfair bias 29 No opinion 6 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Clinton is handling questions about her use of personal e-mail while she was secretary of state? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 6/23/16 10/18/15 9/10/15 5/31/15 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 34 18 16 36 NA NA 34 31 " " ------ Disapprove ------NET Somewhat Strongly 56 12 44 57 NA NA 55 55 " " No opinion 9 7 11 14 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Trump is handling questions about Trump University, the real estate workshops his company conducted from 2005 to 2010? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 6/23/16 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 19 8 11 ------ Disapprove ------NET Somewhat Strongly 59 14 45 No opinion 22 19. Trump has said that a federal judge who’s hearing a lawsuit involving Trump University might not be fair to him because the judge is of Mexican heritage. Do you think this is a racist comment, or does it not seem racist to you? 6/23/16 Racist comment 68 Does not seem racist 28 No opinion 4 20. Regardless of whether or not it’s racist, do you think it’s an appropriate comment, or inappropriate? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 6/23/16 ------ Appropriate -----NET Strongly Somewhat 11 6 4 ----- Inappropriate ----NET Somewhat Strongly 85 19 66 Both/neither (vol.) 1 No op. 3 On another topic, 21. Would you support or oppose a temporary ban on Muslims who are not U.S. citizens from entering the United States? 6/23/16 5/19/16 -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 43 29 14 43 30 12 -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 52 13 38 50 14 36 No opinion 6 7 22. Who do you trust more to handle terrorism - (Clinton) or (Trump)? Clinton Trump 6/23/16 50 39 5/19/16 47 44 3/6/16 54 40 11/19/15* 50 42 *"threat of terrorism" Both (vol.) 1 * * * Neither (vol.) 8 7 4 6 No opinion 2 2 2 1 23. Thinking about the mass shooting in Orlando last week by a man who pledged allegiance to the Islamic State, who do you think [ITEM] - (Clinton) or (Trump)? 6/23/16 – Summary Table* Clinton a. did a better job responding to the attacks overall b. gave you the most confidence they could handle the situation as president c. showed better temperament in responding to the shooting d. offered the best proposals Trump Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion 46 28 1 7 17 53 34 1 7 5 59 25 1 4 12 to prevent future terrorist attacks *Item a always asked first 44 35 1 8 13 24. Which comes closer to your view – (Leaders should say terror attacks are caused by “radical Islam,” because this accurately identifies the cause) OR (Leaders should not use the phrase “radical Islam” because it lends legitimacy to terrorists by falsely suggesting that their actions are supported by Islamic teachings)? 6/23/16 Should say terror attacks are caused by “radical Islam” 48 Should not use the phrase “radical Islam” 40 No opinion 12 25. How concerned are you about so-called “lone-wolf” terrorist attacks in which individuals in this country decide to take terrorist action on their own – very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned or not concerned at all? 6/23/16 --- More concerned -NET Very Somewhat 86 53 33 ---- Less concerned ---NET Not so Not at all 12 8 5 No opinion 1 26. How much confidence do you have in the ability of the U.S. government to prevent lone-wolf terrorist attacks - a great deal, a good amount, only a fair amount or none at all? 6/23/16 12/13/15 ------- More confident ------NET Great deal Good amount 31 14 17 22 9 13 -------- Less confident ------NET Fair amount None at all 67 48 20 77 44 33 No opinion 2 1 27. For each item I name, please tell me if this is something you support or oppose. Would you support or oppose [ITEM]? (FOR ITEM A) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 6/23/16 Summary Table* a. a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons b. encouraging more people to carry guns legally for use in self defense c. increasing surveillance of people suspected of possible links to terrorism, even if that intrudes on privacy rights d. blocking people from buying guns if they appear on the FBI’s list of people with possible connections to terrorism *Item a always asked first ----- Support -----NET Strg. Smwht. ------ Oppose -----NET Smwht. Strg. 51 41 10 48 10 37 2 54 NA NA 42 NA NA 4 72 NA NA 23 NA NA 4 86 NA NA 13 NA NA 2 Trend: a. a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons No opinion -------- Support --------------- Oppose --------No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 6/23/15 51 41 10 48 10 37 2 12/13/15 45 34 10 53 12 41 3 4/14/13 56 45 11 42 12 30 2 3/10/13 57 46 11 41 11 30 2 1/13/13 58 50 9 39 12 26 3 1/19/11* 63 NA NA 34 NA NA 3 4/26/09* 54 " " 41 " " 5 4/22/07** 67 54 13 30 10 21 3 5/10/00 71 60 11 27 11 16 2 9/2/99 77 68 9 22 8 14 1 5/16/99 79 67 12 19 7 12 2 6/14/94 80 NA NA 18 NA NA 2 *CBS/NYT "Do you favor or oppose a nationwide ban on assault weapons" **ABC News b-d. No trend On another topic, there’s been news recently about the Zika virus, which is primarily spread by mosquitoes, but also can be spread by sexual contact, and can cause serious illness and birth defects. 28. How confident are you in the federal government's ability to respond effectively to an outbreak of Zika virus in the United States – very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all? --- More confident -NET Very Somewhat 66 18 48 6/23/16 ----- Less confident ---NET Not so Not at all 33 21 12 No opinion 1 ----- Less confident ---NET Not so Not at all 36 22 14 37 21 16 No opinion 2 * Compare to: The Ebola virus --- More confident -NET Very Somewhat 63 18 44 62 19 43 10/26/14 10/12/14 The H1N1 virus known as swine flu: 10/18/09 69 19 50 8/17/09 73 23 50 31 26 18 18 12 9 1 1 Bird flu: 3/5/06 40 25 15 * 59 16 44 29. How do you feel about the possibility that you or someone in your immediate family might be infected by the Zika virus – very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all? 6/23/16 ---- More worried --NET Very Somewhat 33 11 22 ------ Less worried -----NET Not too Not at all 67 39 28 No opinion * Compare to: The Ebola virus ------ Worried ------ ------ Not worried ------- No NET 36 43 10/26/14 10/12/14 Very 13 20 Somewhat 23 23 NET 63 57 The H1N1 virus known as swine flu:* 10/18/09* 52 21 30 46 8/17/09 39 13 26 61 * 2 percent volunteered "already have" Bird flu: 3/5/06 Not too 29 27 Not at all 34 29 opinion 1 * 26 30 20 31 * * 41 13 28 59 36 23 * The SARS virus: 4/27/03 33 4/3/03 38 11 11 22 27 67 62 34 37 33 24 1 3 30. Are you personally taking steps to try to limit your exposure to Zika, or are you waiting to see if that will be necessary? 6/23/16 Taking steps 27 Waiting to see 67 No opinion 6 31. (IF TAKING STEPS) What steps are you taking? Using bug spray Staying indoors Draining standing water Avoiding mosquito areas Keeping sleeves rolled down/ensuring clothing covers skin Spraying pesticide Changed travel plans Using condoms/not having sex Using window screens Using air conditioning/keeping windows closed Other No opinion 6/23/16 48 23 23 13 11 8 6 5 3 1 13 * 32. Do you support or oppose the federal government spending nearly two billion dollars to try to prevent spread of the Zika virus? 6/23/16 Support 73 Oppose 21 No opinion 6 33. (IF SUPPORT FEDERAL GOVERNMENT SPENDING) Do you think Congress should immediately approve spending on this program, or should it wait until the Obama administration and Republicans can agree on budget cuts to offset the program? 6/23/16 Immediately approve 63 Wait 33 No opinion 5 32/33 NET: 6/23/16 ------------------ Support -----------------NET Immediately approve Wait No opinion 73 46 24 4 Oppose 21 No opinion 6 Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 11/19/15 10/18/15 9/10/15 7/19/15 5/31/15 Democrat 36 33 34 34 33 33 30 33 30 30 Republican 24 25 25 23 23 23 24 22 21 22 Independent 33 35 32 34 34 36 39 35 39 36 Other (vol.) 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 5 7 6 No opinion 2 3 5 4 5 4 2 4 4 6 ***END*** METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish. This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as appears in this document. Demographics and religious identity questions are not shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters. A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines cellular phone numbers, first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. The final sample included 350 interviews completed on landlines and 651 interviews completed via cellular phones, including 384 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey March Social and Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which is 1.36 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. Group All adults Registered voters Registered Leaned Dems Registered Leaned Reps Unweighted sample size 1,001 836 385 371 Error margin +/- 3.5 points 4.0 6.0 6.0 The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they produce. 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