Attachments Expert Report of Douglas Cosler, P.E. Amended Expert Report of Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. Chemical Hydrogeologist Adaptive Groundwater Solutions LLC Charlotte, North Carolina Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basins Mooresboro, North Carolina April 13, 2016 Introduction Site Background The Cliffside Steam Station (CSS) is a coal-fired generating station owned by Duke Energy and located on a 1,000-acre site in Mooresboro, Rutherford and Cleveland Counties, North Carolina, adjacent to the Broad River. CSS began operations 1940 with Units 1-4, followed later by Unit 5 (1972) and Unit 6 (2013). Units 5 and 6 are currently operating, but Units 1-4 were retired from service in 2011. An ash basin system has been historically used to dispose of coal combustion residuals ("coal ash") and other liquid discharges from the CSS coal combustion process. The ash basin system consists of an active ash basin (constructed in 1975 and expanded in 1980; used by Units 5 and 6), the Units 1-4 inactive ash basin (retired in 1977 upon reaching its capacity), and the Unit 5 inactive ash basin (retired at capacity in 1980, but local stormwater collects and infiltrates within its footprint). The active ash basin also contains an unlined dry ash storage area. Duke Energy performed voluntary groundwater monitoring around the active ash basin from August 2008 to August 2010 using wells installed in 1995/1996, 2005, and 2007. Compliance groundwater monitoring, required by a NPDES permit, has been performed by Duke starting in April 2011. Recent groundwater sampling results at Cliffside have indicated exceedances of 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Quality Standards (2L Standards). In response to this, the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (NC DEQ) required Duke Energy to perform a groundwater assessment at the site and prepare a Comprehensive Site Assessment (CSA) report. The Coal Ash Management Act of 2014 (CAMA) also required owners of surface impoundments containing coal combustion residuals (CCR) to conduct groundwater monitoring and assessment and prepare a CSA report. The recently-completed CSA (August 2015) prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. of the Carolinas (HDR) determined that the source and cause of certain constituent regulatory exceedances at the CSS site is leaching from coal ash contained in the active and inactive ash basins and the ash storage area into underlying soil and groundwater. The Cliffside CSA report defined Constituents of Interest (COI) in soil, groundwater, and seeps that are attributable to coal ash handling and storage. CAMA also requires the submittal of a Corrective Action Plan (CAP); the CAP for the Cliffside site consists of two parts. CAP Part 1 (submitted to DEQ in November 2015) provides a summary of CSA findings, further evaluation and selection of COI, a site conceptual model (SCM), the development of groundwater flow and chemical transport models of the site, presentation and analysis of the results of the modeling, and a quantitative analysis of groundwater and surface water interactions. The CAP Part 2 contains proposed remedial methods for achieving groundwater quality restoration, conceptual plans for recommended corrective action, proposed future monitoring plans, and a risk assessment. 2 Information Reviewed My opinions are based upon an analysis and technical review of (i) hydrogeologic and chemical data collected at the Cliffside site; (ii) the analyses, interpretations, and conclusions presented in site-related technical documents and reports; (iii) the groundwater flow and chemical transport models constructed for the site (including model development, calibration, and simulations of remedial alternatives); (iv) the effectiveness of proposed remedial alternatives to achieve groundwater quality restoration; and (v) proposed future site monitoring. This amended report contains additional opinions based on my review of the recently-issued CAP Part 2 report. These opinions are subject to change as new information becomes available. As a basis for forming my opinions I reviewed the following documents and associated appendices: (1) Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin (August 18, 2015); (2) Corrective Action Plan, Part 1, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin (November 16, 2015); (3) Corrective Action Plan, Part 2, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin (February 12, 2016); (4) Miscellaneous historical groundwater and soil concentration data for the Cliffside site collected prior to the CSA; and (5) Specific references cited in and listed at the end of this report. Professional Qualifications I have advanced graduate degrees in Hydrogeology (Ph.D. Degree from The Ohio State University) and Civil and Environmental Engineering (Civil Engineer Degree from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology), and M.S. and B.S. degrees from Ohio State in Civil and Environmental Engineering. I have 36 years of experience as a chemical hydrogeologist and environmental engineer investigating and performing data analyses and computer modeling for a wide variety of projects. These projects include: investigation, remediation, and regulation of Superfund, RCRA, and other hazardous waste sites involving overburden and bedrock aquifers; ground water flow and chemical transport model development; natural attenuation/biodegradation assessments for chlorinated solvent and petroleum contamination sites; volatile organic compound vapor migration and exposure assessment; exposure modeling for health risk assessments; hydrologic impact assessment for minerals and coal mining; leachate collection system modeling and design for mine tailings disposal impoundments; and expert witness testimony and litigation support. I also develop commercial groundwater flow and chemical transport modeling software for the environmental industry. The types of sites I have investigated include: landfills, mining operations, manufactured gas plants, wood-treating facilities, chemical plants, water supply well fields, gasoline and fuel oil storage/delivery facilities, nuclear waste disposal sites, hazardous waste incinerators, and various industrial facilities. I 3 have investigated the following dissolved, nonaqueous-phase (LNAPL/DNAPL), and vapor-phase contaminants: chlorinated solvents, various metals, gasoline and fuel oil constituents, wood-treating products, coal tars, polychlorinated biphenyls, pesticides, dioxins and furans, phenolic compounds, flame retardants (PBDE), phthalates, radionuclides, and biological constituents. Summary of Opinions The following is a brief summary of the opinions developed in my report: • A total of 62 Compliance Boundary groundwater samples exceeded North Carolina groundwater standards for these COI: antimony, boron, chromium, cobalt, iron, manganese, sulfate, total dissolved solids, and vanadium. Of these 62 exceedances, 36 were greater than the proposed provisional background concentrations by HDR; • The statistical analyses of shallow background groundwater concentrations at the Cliffside site (well MW-24D) are invalid due to the characteristically slow rate of COI migration in groundwater; • There is a significant risk of chemical migration from the ash basin to neighboring private water supply wells in fractured bedrock; • Major limitations of the CAP groundwater flow and chemical transport models prevent simulation and analysis of off-site migration; • The CAP Closure Scenario simulations greatly underestimate (by factors of 10 or more) the time frames required to achieve meaningful groundwater concentration reductions in response to remedial actions; • For either the Existing Condition or Cap-in-Place Model Scenario groundwater concentrations of coal-ash constituents much higher than background levels will continue to exceed North Carolina groundwater standards at the Compliance Boundary because saturated coal-ash material and secondary sources will remain in place; • Source-area mass removal included in the Excavation Scenario results in COI concentration reductions at the Compliance Boundary that are generally two to ten (2 - 10x) times greater compared to Cap-in-Place, best reduces impacts to surface water, and reduces cleanup times by factors of two to five (2 - 5x). Additional excavation of secondary sources would further accelerate concentration reductions; • The CAP simulations show that source excavation reduces groundwater concentrations for many COI below North Carolina groundwater standards (antimony, arsenic, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, nickel, thallium, vanadium), but cap-in-place closure does not; • CSA data show multiple exceedances of groundwater standards in bedrock not only at the compliance boundary but also inside the CB. However, the CAP Closure Scenarios do not address either concentration reduction or off-site chemical migration control in the fractured bedrock aquifer; 4 • Due to an incorrect boundary-condition representation of the active ash basin, the CAP models underestimate by a factor of two or more both the mass loading of COI into the Broad River and the corresponding Broad River water concentrations (attributable to coal ash ponds) estimated by the groundwater/surface-water mixing model; • The CAP Part 2 geochemical modeling and monitored natural attenuation (MNA) evaluations do not provide the required quantitative analyses of COI attenuation rates necessary to support MNA as a viable corrective action. The CAP 2 chemical transport modeling, which included attenuation by sorption, demonstrated that MNA is not an effective remedial option for several COI (e.g., antimony, arsenic, beryllium, boron, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, lead, sulfate, thallium, and vanadium); • Future Compliance Monitoring at the Cliffside site should include much more closely-spaced Compliance Wells to provide more accurate detection, and groundwater sampling frequency should be re-evaluated to allow valid statistical analyses of concentration variations. Hydrogeology of the Cliffside Site Introduction The groundwater system at the Cliffside site is an unconfined, connected system consisting of three basic flow layers: shallow, deep, and fractured bedrock. The shallow and deep layers consist of residual soil, saprolite (clay and coarser granular material formed by chemical weathering of bedrock), and weathered fractured rock (regolith). A transition zone at the base of the regolith is also present and consists of partially-weathered/fractured bedrock and lesser amounts of saprolite. The ash basin system overlies native soil and was constructed in historical drainage features formed from tributaries that flowed toward the Broad River using earthen embankment dams and dikes. As described in the CSA report, the active ash basin was formed by construction of two dams across natural drainages. At the upstream dam, Suck Creek was diverted through a canal and away from the ash basin to the Broad River, at its present-day configuration. The active ash basin downstream dam is located near the historical discharge point of Suck Creek into the Broad River. A large percentage of the coal ash lies below the groundwater table and is saturated. Groundwater flow through saturated coal ash and downward infiltration of rainwater through unsaturated coal ash leach COI into the subsurface beneath the basin and via seeps through the embankments. As described by HDR, groundwater flow in all three layers within the site boundary is generally from south to north toward the Broad River. Vertical groundwater flow between the three layers also occurs, and surface water ponding in the active ash basin effects flow directions locally. The CSA and CAP investigations assumed that all groundwater north of the ash basin system (overburden and bedrock 5 aquifers) discharges into the Broad River. However, these studies did not collect hydrogeologic data or perform data analyses or groundwater flow modeling to support this assumption. The CSA and CAP Parts 1 and 2 also did not analyze potential changes to site groundwater flow directions, or the risk of offsite migration of COI in the overburden or bedrock aquifers, caused by groundwater extraction from numerous private and public water supply wells located close to the site boundaries and near the Broad River. My report begins with a discussion of significant errors in CSA data analysis and conceptual model development that contradict HDR's interpretation of three-dimensional groundwater flow patterns at the Cliffside site. This is followed by a presentation and discussion of measured exceedances of North Carolina groundwater standards at multiple locations on the ash basin compliance boundary. I then address several limitations of the CAP Parts 1 and 2 groundwater flow and chemical transport models and identify various model input data errors. Finally, I present my evaluations of the CAP Closure Scenario simulations and provide my opinions regarding the effectiveness of various remedial alternatives for restoring groundwater quality to North Carolina standards. Errors in Hydraulic Conductivity Test Analyses Background Throughout the CSA and CAP reports HDR provides interpretations and conclusions regarding the horizontal and vertical variations of groundwater flow directions and rates, and the fate and transport of COI dissolved in groundwater. The most important site-specific parameter that controls these timedependent flow and transport mechanisms is the hydraulic conductivity (also referred to as "permeability") of the underlying soils and fractured bedrock (Bear, 1979). Hydraulic conductivity (length/time) is a media-specific measure of the rate at which water can flow through a porous (soil) or fractured (bedrock) porous medium. Groundwater flow and chemical transport rates are directly proportional to the product of hydraulic conductivity and the hydraulic gradient (hydraulic head difference between two points divided by the separation distance; e.g., the water table elevation slope at the Cliffside site). Therefore, accurate measurement of hydraulic conductivity is critical for understanding the current and future distributions of COI in soil and groundwater and for evaluating the effectiveness (e.g., cleanup times) of alternative remedial measures. In addition, the contrast in hydraulic conductivity between adjacent hydrogeologic units is the key factor in determining three-dimensional groundwater flow directions and the ultimate fate of dissolved COI. For example, at the Cliffside site accurate measurement of hydraulic conductivity is critical in evaluating the potential for: downward chemical migration into the fractured bedrock unit, off-site COI migration in the 6 overburden (soil) or fractured bedrock aquifers, groundwater flow and COI transport into or beneath the Broad River. A slug test is one of the standard field methods for measuring hydraulic conductivity (K) using a soil boring or installed monitoring well. Slug tests were performed in most of the overburden and bedrock wells at the Cliffside site. In this test the static water level in the open hole (boring) or well casing is suddenly increased or decreased and the resulting transient change in water level is recorded. Two commonly-used techniques for quickly changing the water level are the introduction (increases the water level) and removal (decreases the water level) of a solid rod, or "slug" into the boring or well casing. These tests are called "falling-head" and "rising-head" tests, respectively. Higher rates of water-level recovery correspond to higher values of K. The measurements of water level versus time are analyzed using mathematical models of the groundwater flow hydraulics and information regarding the well installation (e.g., length of the slotted monitoring well screen and well casing diameter) to compute an estimate of K. As discussed below, HDR made significant errors in all of their analyses of field slug test data. Their analysis errors caused the reported (CSA report) slug test hydraulic conductivity values to be as large as a factor of two (almost 100 percent) smaller than the correct K values. I discuss the impacts of these analysis errors on HDR's groundwater flow and chemical transport assessments and the CAP modeling later in my report. Overburden Slug Tests HDR analyzed all of the CSA overburden slug tests in shallow and deep wells with the Bouwer-Rice (1976) method using a vertical anisotropy, Av = Khorizontal / Kvertical , that is as large as a factor of 100 lower than the values presented in the CSA report (e.g., compare geometric mean values in CSA Tables 11-10 and 11-11) and used in the CAP modeling (e.g., CAP 1 report Appendix C, Table 2), where K is hydraulic conductivity. Comparing CSA Tables 11-10 and 11-11, the measured Av for overburden soil units ranges from 4 to 50. In the calibrated CAP flow model Av is on the order of 100 for overburden soil. However, the Bouwer-Rice slug test analyses assumed Av = 1 for every monitoring well (CSA Appendix H). If the CAP 1 flow model results (Av ~ 100) are used in the Bouwer-Rice analyses all of the measured overburden hydraulic conductivity values increase by about 70 percent (factor of 1.7), depending on how the slug-test radius of influence was computed. Using the Tables 11-10/11-11 measured vertical anisotropies (Av = 4 to 50) increases all of the measured overburden hydraulic conductivity values (CSA Table 11-4) by about 20-60 percent. Since every reported overburden K value in the CSA report (at least for new shallow and deep wells) is up to 70 percent too low, the actual average chemical transport rates in overburden soils are up to 70 7 percent greater than reported. This site-wide data reduction error also affects the CAP flow and transport model calibrations. For example, the transport model developers significantly reduced laboratory measurements of the soil-water partition coefficient, Kd, for various COI during the transport model calibration based on comparisons of observed and simulated chemical migration rates. However, if the correct (i.e., higher) overburden K values had been used in the model calibration the Kd values would not have been reduced as much (compared to laboratory values). The reason for this is, assuming linear equilibrium partitioning of COI with soil, the chemical migration rate is proportional to K / Kd (except for Kd << 1). The CAP 1 and 2 transport model history matching indicated that the simulated transport rate was too low, so the model developers reduced the model Kd. In other words, the reductions in calibrated Kd values would not have been as great if the correct (higher) K values were used in the first place. As discussed below, the CAP Part 2 transport modeling used Kd values that are generally a factor of about 10 larger than the CAP 1 values; however, the CAP 2 Kd 's are still on the order of 10 times smaller than the measured site-specific Kd 's reported in CAP 1 Appendix D and CAP 2 Appendix C. COI sorption to soil is important because, as discussed below, aquifer cleanup times (i.e., chemical flushing rates) are generally proportional to the chemical retardation factor, which is directly proportional to Kd , except when Kd << 1 (Zheng et al., 1991). Groundwater Flow Throughout the CSA and CAP reports HDR made several critical assumptions, not supported by data, regarding the horizontal and vertical groundwater flow directions near the boundaries of the Cliffside site which impacted their conclusions regarding the ultimate discharge locations for site groundwater and dissolved COI. Two examples discussed in this section are (i) the relationship between site groundwater and the Broad River and (ii) groundwater flow directions and the potential for offsite migration of COI. Broad River and the LeGrand Conceptual Model Most of the groundwater at the Cliffside site was apparently assumed to discharge into the Broad River (other than groundwater discharges to small streams such as Suck Creek) according to a generalized conceptual model (LeGrand, 2004) before actual site-specific hydrogeologic data were analyzed. Statements to this effect were made at numerous points in the CSA and CAP reports. However, HDR did not present any site-specific data analyses or groundwater flow modeling that would support this assumption in either report. In fact, as discussed below, the boundary conditions for the CAP Parts 1 and 2 flow models effectively forced site groundwater to discharge into the river at the downgradient model boundary. HDR continued to state this assumption in the CAP 2 report (e.g., Section 3.3.2) even though strong measured downward groundwater flow components exist next to the Broad River. In CAP 2 Section 3.3.2, HDR also states that "The Broad River serves as a hydrologic boundary for groundwater within the 8 shallow, deep, and bedrock flow layers at the site." However, the river cannot be a "hydrologic boundary" for the deep and bedrock layers when the measured vertical flow direction in these layers is consistently downward at many locations next to the river (see discussion below), which demonstrates that HDR has not delineated this inferred "lower boundary" used in the CAP models. HDR further states in CAP 2 Section 3.3.2 that "the approximate vertical extent of the groundwater impacts is generally limited to the shallow and deep flow layers, and vertical migration of COIs is limited by the underlying bedrock." This statement ignores that fact that groundwater flow across the site is consistently downward from the impacted deep flow layer to the highly-fractured bedrock aquifer at many locations and that, as discussed below, 35 exceedances of North Carolina 2L and/or IMAC groundwater standards (and greater than background concentrations) were measured in samples collected from bedrock wells located inside the Compliance Boundary. The LeGrand (2004) guidance document presents a general discussion of groundwater flow patterns that may occur near streams in the Piedmont and Mountain Region of North Carolina based on ground surface elevations (i.e., site topography and surface watershed boundaries). However, surface water and groundwater watersheds commonly do not coincide (Winter et al., 2003). Further, groundwater flow patterns and rates in bedrock have been found to be poorly related to topographic characteristics (Yin and Brook, 1992). LeGrand does not present or derive any mathematical equations or quantitative relationships for groundwater flow near rivers or streams. The author emphasizes that site-specific data must be collected in order to correctly evaluate river inflow or outflow. In strong contrast to the LeGrand generalizations, numerous detailed and sophisticated mathematical (analytical and numerical) riveraquifer models and highly-monitored field studies have been published in the scientific and engineering literature in the past several decades. What these investigations and applied hydraulic models show is that the water flow rate into or out of a river or stream and the depth of hydraulic influence within an underlying aquifer are highly sensitive to several factors, including: the transient river water surface elevation and slope; river bed topography; bed permeability and thickness; horizontal and vertical permeability (and thickness) of the different hydrogeologic units underlying the river; transient horizontal and vertical hydraulic head variations in groundwater beneath and near the river; and groundwater extraction rates and screen elevations for neighboring pumping wells (e.g., Simon et al. 2015; McDonald and Harbaugh, 1988; Bear, 1979; Hantush, 1964). The CSA investigation did not: measure river bed permeability or thickness; characterize the river bathymetry; monitor transient water surface elevation variations at more than one location (one average value was used); collect river bed hydraulic gradient data; measure horizontal or vertical overburden or bedrock permeability beneath or on the northern side of the river; characterize the geology beneath or north of the river; measure hydraulic heads in the overburden or bedrock beneath or north of the river; or consider the hydraulic effects of groundwater extraction from nearby private water supply wells, as 9 discussed in the following section. With regard to the Cliffside site, much of the data that were collected in the CSA contradict the LeGrand hypothesis. A strong downward flow component (~ 10 feet head difference) from deep overburden to bedrock was measured at the following locations next to the Broad River: GWA-21 (near several private bedrock supply wells), GWA-29, IB-3D/GWA-11BRU, MW38D/MW-36BRU, and the entire area between the river and northern portion of the Active Ash Basin as generally bounded by the 650- to 725-foot bedrock head contours (compare CSA Figures 6-6 and 6-7). The vertical flow direction from shallow to deep overburden is also downward in this area located between the Broad River and the Active Ash Basin (compare CSA Figures 6-5 and 6-6). In addition, downward groundwater flow was measured at several other locations across the site (CSA Table 11-13). A similar trend of downward groundwater flow from deep overburden to bedrock in these areas next to the river was measured in the CAP 2 investigation. Contour maps of vertical hydraulic gradient variations were not generated for the CSA or CAP Part 2, and HDR did not discuss the significance of downward hydraulic gradients next to the Broad River and at many other deep/bedrock monitoring well clusters. These downward groundwater flow measurements are consistent with the hydraulic conductivities of the bedrock and overburden being of similar magnitude, as discussed above. The strong and consistent measured downward groundwater flow components immediately adjacent to the Broad River and at other well clusters indicate that site groundwater is entering the deep fractured bedrock unit in these areas and that not all of the site groundwater discharges into the river as the site Conceptual Model and the CAP flow and transport models assume. The downward flow into bedrock may also be due in part to groundwater extraction from private bedrock water supply wells located near the eastern property boundary, but in the CSA and CAP investigations HDR assumed these factors related to the potential for off-site COI migration beneath the river were not important and did not evaluate them. Groundwater Flow Directions The CSA assumptions and analysis errors discussed above have had a strong effect on: the Conceptual Model development; the site hydrogeologic and COI transport assessment; the construction/calibration of the CAP flow and transport models; and the simulations of CAP Close Scenarios. The hydrogeologic assumptions should have been carefully evaluated and tested during the performance of the CSA and as part of the CAP groundwater flow model construction and calibration to determine whether they were valid. Instead, the hypotheses appear to have effectively guided the model development and led to inaccurate interpretations. As an illustration, because the permeability of the weathered bedrock is similar to the overlying soils at the Cliffside site the CSA and CAP interpretation that the bedrock acts as a lower confining layer for groundwater flow and chemical transport is incorrect. In addition, the similarity of the overburden and 10 bedrock aquifer permeability values increases the potential for off-site COI migration toward private water supply wells. Therefore, the CSA and CAP conclusions that (i) all site groundwater discharges into the Broad River and (ii) groundwater and dissolved coal-ash constituents are restricted from migrating to residential water supply wells are not consistent with the data. The CSA and CAP reports also did not adequately evaluate the three-dimensional groundwater flow field near and beneath the Broad River. Numerous private water supply wells are located in the following areas (CSA Figure 4-2): a few hundred feet north of the Broad River and immediately east of the Compliance Boundary for the Active Ash Basin, less than 1,500 feet from the Active and Unit 5 Inactive Ash Basins, and less than 1,500 feet from the Active Ash Basin and on the southern shore of the Broad River (close to the northeastern portion of the Compliance Boundary). Bedrock hydraulic head measurements (CSA Figure 6-8) for monitoring wells located next to the river (e.g., Wells GWA-32BR, GWA-11BRU, GWA-29BR, and GWA-21BR) indicate a strong easterly bedrock aquifer flow component from downgradient areas of the site toward these private wells on the southern shoreline. However, CSA Figure 6-8 does not show these head contours, and the CAP flow model boundary conditions artificially prevent groundwater from either flowing east or northeast beneath the Broad River (as underflow), or flowing toward the private wells near the northeast Compliance Boundary. The CSA and CAP reports also do not address the large measured downward hydraulic gradients in the northern portion of the Active Ash Basin and near the river, and their potential relationship to offsite groundwater extraction from the bedrock aquifer. The CAP flow models were not properly constructed to allow evaluation of these observed three-dimensional flow patterns due to: the model no-flow boundary condition on the eastern and western sides of the grid; the uniform specified head boundary condition in grid cells underlying the river (i.e., the sloping, west-to-east water surface elevation in the river was not represented in the model); and the fact that the CAP flow models did not include the effects of groundwater extraction from off-site water supply wells. Exceedances of Groundwater Standards In this section I compare measured groundwater concentrations in shallow, deep, and bedrock groundwater samples to North Carolina 2L and IMAC standards and show the following: (i) 60 measured exceedances for several COI at multiple locations on the Compliance Boundary (CB); (ii) an additional two CB exceedances based on chemical transport modeling I performed; (iii) 36 of the 62 Compliance Boundary exceedances were greater than the proposed provisional background concentrations (PPBC) by HDR; (iv) 37 of the 62 Compliance Boundary exceedances were greater than the maximum concentration at any background well from the same hydrogeologic unit (e.g., shallow, deep, or bedrock) for a particular constituent; (v) 12 more exceedances were measured in wells located on the Broad River; 11 (vi) 54 additional exceedances were observed in wells screened in the highly-permeable fractured bedrock unit underlying the ash basin system and located inside the CB; and (vii) the statistical analyses of groundwater concentrations at shallow monitoring well MW-24D for purposes of defining background levels were performed incorrectly. Throughout this report I reference the ash basin compliance boundary and the Duke Energy property boundary for the Cliffside site as drawn on maps developed by HDR (e.g., CSA Figure 6-2). My reference to the "compliance boundary" is only for identification purposes and not an opinion that this boundary as drawn by HDR is accurate or legally correct. Summary of Exceedances Table 1 summarizes exceedances of 2L or IMAC standards in shallow, deep, and bedrock groundwater samples obtained from monitoring wells located: (i) on the Ash Basin Compliance Boundary (CB) as drawn by HDR; (ii) on the southern shore of the Broad River (RV), which is the downgradient boundary of the CAP groundwater flow and chemical transport models; (iii) bedrock wells (BR) located inside the CB; and (iv) modeled Compliance Boundary concentrations (CBM), using modeling techniques described below. The proposed provisional background concentrations (PPBC) by HDR are also listed in Table 1. A total of 33 Compliance Boundary groundwater samples exceeded North Carolina 2L standards, and IMAC standards were exceeded in an additional 27 samples for these COI: antimony, boron, chromium, cobalt, iron, manganese, sulfate, total dissolved solids, and vanadium. I estimated an additional two CB exceedances dowgradient from wells MW-11S and GWA-27D for boron based on chemical transport modeling and measured upgradient concentrations (designated CBM in Table 1). In addition, 39 exceedances of 2L regulatory limits were observed in wells screened in the highly fractured bedrock unit located inside the CB. An additional 15 bedrock sample concentrations were greater than IMAC limits. Ten more 2L (plus two IMAC) exceedances were measured in wells located on the Broad River. A total of 29 of the 35 Compliance Boundary 2L (and 9 of 25 IMAC) exceedances were greater than the maximum concentration at any background well (from the same hydrogeologic unit; e.g., shallow or deep) for a particular constituent. All of the Broad River shoreline "RV" exceedances were greater than background levels. A total of 27 of the 39 bedrock 2L (and 8 of 15 IMAC) exceedances were greater than the maximum background concentration. A total of 36 of the 62 Compliance Boundary exceedances were greater than the proposed provisional background concentrations (PPBC) by HDR. 12 Note that the iso-concentration contours in all of the CSA Section 10 figures are not consistent, and are in many cases misleading, with regard to chemical transport mechanisms in the subsurface. For example, the iso-concentration contours in Section 10 generally closely encircle a monitoring well and infer no subsequent transport downgradient from the well location. This contouring problem is especially prevalent near the southern shore of the Broad River. Figure 10-65 (cobalt) is a good example of this practice. These closed contours at the downgradient property boundary suggest that COI transport beyond the farthest downgradient line of monitoring wells does not occur and that no COI migrate north of the southern shore of the river. However, the simulated (CAP model) "existing conditions" cobalt concentration contours in CAP Appendix C are "open" at the Broad River, indicating transport beneath the river. Modeled Compliance Boundary Exceedances I computed Compliance Boundary (CB) concentrations labeled "CBM" with footnote "e" in Table 1 (MW11S and GWA-27D) using a calibrated one-dimensional, analytical chemical transport model (van Genuchten and Alves, 1982; Equation C5) because the CB at these locations was up to 400 feet downgradient from the wells and boron is highly mobile in the subsurface. I calibrated the analytical model to chemical-specific site conditions (i.e., determined model input parameter values) using CAP transport model simulated concentration versus time curves for "Existing Conditions" (CAP report Appendix C). The analytical model input parameters in my model were: groundwater pore velocity, chemical retardation factor, and longitudinal dispersivity. For each constituent, I used the calibrated analytical model to compute the concentration versus time curve immediately downgradient at the Compliance Boundary. Exceedances of Groundwater and Surface Water Standards in Seep Samples Concentrations in seeps discharging from the active ash basin (upstream toe, adjacent to Suck Creek) have exceeded North Carolina surface water standards (2B) and 2L and/or IMAC groundwater standards (e.g., arsenic, chromium, iron, lead, manganese, nickel, selenium, and vanadium; CAP Figures 2-2 and 2-3, CSA Table 7-9). Groundwater discharges to Suck Creek were confirmed by the CAP flow modeling. Elevated concentrations of boron, calcium, chloride, sulfate, and total dissolved solids were detected in a surface water sample from Suck Creek (SW-3) collected downgradient from the toe of the active ash basin upstream dam (page 90 of the CSA report). The CSA also identified other continuously-flowing seeps as tributaries of the Broad River [e.g., S-1, S-3, S-6, and S-8; refer to Table 1 in the Topographic Map and Discharge Assessment Plan(DAP)]. Seep S-3 is apparently part of a stream discharging to the Broad River north of inactive units 1-4 (DAP Figure 2). Seep S-6 is located downgradient from the downstream dam of the active ash basin and coincides with historical Suck Creek discharge (CSA Appendix I, Figure 1). Concentrations in samples from seep S-6 13 have exceeded relevant surface water 2B standards, and 2L and/or IMAC groundwater standards for boron, cobalt, iron, manganese, and vanadium. Concentrations in samples from seep S-3 have exceeded relevant surface water 2B standards for cobalt, iron, manganese, sulfate, thallium and total dissolved solids. For the CAP 2 sampling round (September 2015) the 2B standard for mercury was also exceeded at Seep S-1. Referring to my Table 1, 122 of the seep samples exceeded North Carolina groundwater standards (84 2L exceedances and 38 IMAC exceedances; CSA Table 7-11) for these COI: arsenic, barium, beryllium, boron, chromium, cobalt, iron, lead, manganese, nickel, sulfate, total dissolved solids, thallium, and vanadium. These samples were collected at the active ash basin; inactive ash basins 1-4 and 5; and the ash storage area. Statistical Analyses of Background Concentrations Appendix G of the CSA report presents statistical analyses of historical concentrations from Monitoring Wells MW-24D and MW-24DR, which HDR described as following methods specified by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA, 2009), in an attempt to establish background groundwater concentrations for the Cliffside site. As outlined in Sections 3.2.1 and 5.5.2 of the EPA guidance document these data must be checked to ensure that they are statistically independent and exhibit no pairwise correlation. Groundwater sampling data can be non-independent (i.e., autocorrelated) if the sampling frequency is too high (i.e., time interval between sampling events is too small) compared to the chemical migration rate in the aquifer (groundwater pore velocity divided by chemical retardation factor). Section 14 of the EPA guidance presents methods for ensuring that the Wells MW-24D and MW-24DR background data are not autocorrelated, but the analyses in CSA Appendix G did not include evaluations for statistical independence. As an illustration, "slow-moving" groundwater combined with high chemical retardation (i.e., large soilwater partition coefficients, Kd), which is the case at the Cliffside site, can lead to the same general volume of the chemical plume being repeatedly sampled when the monitoring events are closely spaced. Examining shallow wells at the Cliffside site, the shallow groundwater pore velocity (Vp) is in the order of 70 ft/yr (CSA Table 11-14), which is representative of the pore velocity near well MW-24D. Note that shallow pore velocities are as much as a factor of 100 greater in many areas downgradient of the ash basin system (e.g., the active ash basin) due to much greater hydraulic gradients (~ 10x larger) and larger hydraulic conductivity (~ 10x greater) in these areas. In addition, groundwater pore velocities in deep overburden and in fractured bedrock are generally more than a factor of 1,000 greater than velocities in the shallow overburden (CSA Table 11-14). 14 3 The retardation factors, Rd, based on laboratory Kd measurements (Kd ~ 10 cm /g, or greater) are on the order of 100 (or greater) for many of the COI (except conservative parameters such as sulfate and boron). Therefore, the average shallow chemical migration rate at Cliffside (Vp / Rd) is on the order of 0.7 ft/yr many of the non-conservative COI near well MW-24D, assuming linear equilibrium sorption (refer to discussion below). For quarterly sampling, the chemical migration distance between sampling rounds is about 0.2 feet for several COI, which is smaller than the sand pack diameter for the monitoring wells. Therefore, based on either quarterly or annual monitoring the shallow groundwater samples at Cliffside are basically representative of the same volume of the plume (i.e., the sandpack, depending on the well purge volume) for many COI, and any measured sample concentration changes are not due to real chemical transport effects in the aquifer. In this case, this means that the groundwater samples are nonindependent and that the statistical analyses of background concentrations at Wells MW-24D do not satisfy the key requirements of the analysis method. CAP Groundwater Flow Model Underestimates Potential for Off-Site Chemical Migration My discussions in this section focus on limitations of the CAP groundwater flow model. I focus specifically on model boundary conditions representing the Broad River; the overall size of the model grid and noflow boundary conditions on the western, southern, and eastern grid boundaries; groundwater flow in the fractured bedrock aquifer; and the potential for off-site groundwater flow in relation to groundwater extraction from numerous private and public water supply wells located close to the model boundaries, but not incorporated into the flow model Broad River Boundary Condition The CAP Parts 1 and 2 groundwater flow models force all Cliffside site groundwater along the northern model boundary to discharge directly into the Broad River and underestimate the potential for off-site flow and chemical migration in fractured bedrock. No-flow boundary conditions defined along the entire western, eastern, and southern model boundaries prevent any off-site groundwater flow and chemical transport in these areas (refer to Figures 1 and 5 in Appendix C of the CAP 1 Report). The bottom surface (bedrock) of the flow model is also assumed to be a no-flow boundary even though the hydraulic conductivity data and measured downward hydraulic gradients at several monitoring well clusters do not support this assumption. The only locations where groundwater and dissolved constituents are allowed to leave the CAP models are streams (e.g., Suck Creek and unnamed tributaries to the west), top-layer flood plain cells next to the Broad River, and the vertical array of cells underlying Broad River along the northern grid boundary; these cells are specified as constant-head boundary conditions in which the head is uniform with depth. 15 This hydraulic representation of the Broad River in the flow model is inaccurate for several reasons. First, the river bottom is assumed to extend all the way through the unconsolidated deposits and the fractured bedrock unit, which is not the case. Second, groundwater flow beneath and adjacent to the river is assumed to be horizontal with zero vertical flow component. Because this boundary condition does not allow groundwater to flow vertically in areas that underlie the river, the CAP models do not represent actual site hydrologic conditions. Further, groundwater flow at the Cliffside site is not strictly horizontal and, as discussed above, many of the vertical hydraulic gradient measurements (including next to the river) are downward. Third, as represented in the CAP models, neither the lower-permeability river bed sediments nor the smaller vertically hydraulic conductivity of underlying soils restricts the potential flow rate into or out of the river (i.e., a perfect hydraulic connection exists between the aquifer and the Broad River). The actual degree of aquifer-river hydraulic connection was not evaluated in the CSA. In summary, due to all of these factors the potential for site groundwater and dissolved constituents to migrate off-site northward beyond the Broad River or eastward as underflow beneath the river cannot be evaluated with the model. The CAP models should have represented the Broad River using a "leaky-type" (i.e., river) boundary condition in the top model layer (McDonald and Harbaugh, 1988), and the model grid should have extended farther north so that the above factors could have been evaluated during model calibration and sensitivity analyses. In their reviews of both the CAP 1 and 2 models (submitted with the CAP modeling appendices), the Electric Power Research Institute third-party peer review team also concluded that the Broad River should be modeled as a leaky boundary condition instead of using constant heads. The models also should have included groundwater extraction from the private water supply wells installed at many points close to the river bank. A river boundary condition incorporates the bed permeability and thickness, the river water surface elevation, and the simulated hydraulic head in the aquifer (at the base of the river bed) to dynamically specify a flux (flow rate per unit bed area) into or out of the groundwater model depending on the head difference between the river and aquifer. Typically, permeability and vertical hydraulic gradient measurements for the river bed (not collected in the CSA) and flow model calibration (three-dimensional matching of simulated and measured hydraulic head measurements in the aquifer) are used to determine a best-fit estimate of river bed conductance (permeability divided by thickness) in the model. HDR did not perform this routine analysis. Limitations of No-Flow Boundary Conditions and Small Model Domain Size The limited areal extent and depth of the CAP Parts 1 and 2 flow and transport model grids prevent the use of the models as unbiased computational tools that can be used to evaluate off-site migration of coalash constituents. For example, the model grids should have extended farther north and east to incorporate groundwater extraction from off-site private water-supply wells and allow three-dimensional 16 groundwater flow patterns to naturally develop. The eastern and western no-flow boundaries in the current CAP models artificially prevent any off-site flow or transport in either the bedrock or overburden aquifers. The same is true for the entire northern and southern model boundaries despite the fact that several private homes are located north and east of the Active Ash Basin, and the bedrock hydraulic head map (CSA Figure 6-7) exhibits a strong easterly flow component in this area. Some additional private water supply wells are also located close to the northern shore of the Broad River (CSA Figure 4-2). Artificial limitations created by the northern Broad River boundary condition are outlined above. The bottom boundaries of the CAP models should extend much deeper because the hydraulic conductivity of the fractured bedrock zone is of the same order of magnitude as the overburden soils based on slug test results. In the present configuration the lower boundaries of the CAP Parts 1 and 2 model grids are only about 50 feet below the bedrock surface (Figure 2 in both the CAP 1 & 2 modeling appendices). Because several bedrock wells were screened to this depth the bedrock hydraulic conductivity data collected for the CSA demonstrate that imposing an impermeable model boundary at this depth is incorrect (compare similarities of mean overburden and bedrock aquifer permeabilities in CSA Table 11-10). As discussed above, the strong downward hydraulic gradients between deep and bedrock wells in the northern portion of the Active Ash Basin also demonstrate that vertical and horizontal groundwater flow in bedrock is important, and these transport mechanisms need to be accurately simulated in the CAP models in order to accurately assess the potential for off-site chemical migration. Off-Site Groundwater Extraction Ignored The CSA and CAP Parts 1 and 2 failed to examine the strong potential for coal-ash constituents from the Cliffside site to migrate with groundwater to private water supply wells located immediately east and northeast of the Active Ash Basin. COI may also potentially migrate to private wells located close to the northern Duke Energy property boundary on the northern side of the Broad River. CSA Figure 4-2 shows the locations of water supply wells near the site. The basis of my opinion includes the following: hydraulic conductivity measurements for the overburden and bedrock formations; three-dimensional variations in measured hydraulic head in the bedrock and overburden units; groundwater concentration data; and calculations of potential hydraulic head reductions (i.e., drawdown) that could be caused by offsite groundwater extraction. As discussed throughout my report, neither the CSA nor CAP Parts 1 or 2 investigations addressed the potential for off-site migration. COI's were detected in several water supply well samples (CSA Appendix B), but the CSA report did not plot these detections on a map and did not discuss their possible relationship to the Cliffside site. Appendix B also did not present the well construction details (e.g., well diameter and elevation range of the well screen or open bedrock interval) so that well dilution effects and potential chemical transport pathways in the bedrock unit could be evaluated. In addition, the CSA investigations and CAP Part 1 17 modeling did not include these areas east and north of the Cliffside site. The CAP Part 2 flow model did include a small number of residential wells (13 of the 100 neighboring private wells) located inside the undersized model domain (east of the active ash basin), but the CAP 2 modeling report (CAP 2, Appendix B) did not show simulated hydraulic head maps with these residential wells pumping and did not provide any discussion or analyses of the potential for these wells to capture COI dissolved in groundwater. The CAP Part 2 also did not increase the model grid size to incorporate the large number of residential water supply wells located immediately north of the Broad River and downgradient from the active ash basin in the northeastern portion of the site (CAP 2 Figure 3-3); fix the boundary condition problems; or correct the model input data errors I have outlined so that the flow and transport models could be used to more accurately analyze the potential for off-site chemical transport. Another important model input data error is the bedrock hydraulic conductivity, which is assumed in the CAP 1 and 2 flow models to be about a factor of ten (10x) lower than the overburden aquifer in different areas (Tables 2 in CAP 1 Appendix C and CAP 2 Appendix B). The bedrock slug test results show that the mean bedrock permeability is approximately the same as the overburden permeability. Also, in the CAP 1 model HDR assumed that the vertical bedrock permeability [ (KBR)vert ] was the same as the horizontal value (i.e., vertical anisotropy, Av = 1). Without justification or any field measurement of (KBR)vert the CAP 2 model assumed Av = 10-1,000 in bedrock; at several locations the model assumes the vertical bedrock permeability is 100 to 1,000 times smaller than the horizontal permeability. These vertical anisotropy values are extremely large, are highly variable across the site, and do not appear to be supported by data. By comparison, HDR assumed Av = 2 in their hydraulic modeling of bedrock slug tests (CSA Appendix H). In an extensive hydrogeologic study and groundwater model of the Indian Creek Basin in the southwestern Piedmont of North Carolina by the U.S. Geological Survey (Daniel et al., 1989) a value of Av = 1 in bedrock was used by the USGS. This study is especially relevant because the 146-square-mile Indian Creek model area lies in parts of Catawba, Lincoln, and Gaston Counties, North Carolina and is located in the general vicinity of the Cliffside site. Therefore, the CAP 1 and 2 flow models significantly restrict (incorrectly) groundwater from flowing from the overburden aquifer into the fractured bedrock unit, which causes the CAP transport models to underestimate the potential for off-site chemical migration. Model Significantly Underestimates Leakage Rate from Active Ash Basin The CAP Part 2 flow model underestimates leachate discharge from the active ash basin by as much as a factor of 180 in areas of ponded surface water (e.g., refer to CSA Figures 4-5 and 8-2). The CAP 1 model underestimates active basin leakage by as much as a factor of 330. As shown in Figure 5 of CAP 1, Appendix C, the CAP 1 flow model assumes a constant groundwater recharge rate (i.e., leakage rate) equal to 6.0 inches/year in the active ash basin and all other unlined areas of the site. In the CAP 2 flow model the active basin leakage rate is assumed to be 11 inches/year (Figure 5 of CAP 2, Appendix B). 18 ' However, CSA Figure 8-2 (cross-section A-A ) shows that the vertical hydraulic gradient through the coal ash in the downgradient portion of the active ash basin is on the order of unity. Using Darcy's law and the mean vertical coal-ash permeability of 1.6E-4 cm/sec in CSA Table 11-11, the approximate vertical leakage rate out of the active basin is about 2,000 inches/year near the Broad River (i.e., ~ 180 times greater than the specified CAP 2 recharge rate of 11 inches/year; and ~ 330 times greater than the specified CAP 1 recharge rate of 6 inches/year). The CAP flow models should have represented ponded areas of the active ash basin as either constanthead or leaky-type boundary conditions, which would have allowed the model to simulate a realistic leakage rate for the active ash basin. The major discrepancies between the measured shallow hydraulic head maps (CSA Figure 6-5 and CAP 2 Figure 2-2) and the CAP 1 and 2 simulated shallow head maps (Figure 14 in CAP 1, Appendix C; Figure 15 in CAP 2, Appendix B) clearly show that the CAP flow models significantly underestimate the hydraulic head beneath the active ash basin due to the fact that the modeled leakage rate from the active basin is much too low. Three related impacts of this incorrect active basin boundary condition are that the CAP models significantly underestimate: (i) vertical groundwater flow rates (by on the order of a factor of 200) through coal-ash source material in the vicinity of the downgradient portion of the active ash basin; (ii) horizontal groundwater flow and chemical transport rates downgradient from the active ash basin; and (iii) vertical flow rates from the overburden aquifer into the fractured bedrock unit beneath ponded areas. This incorrect boundary condition representation of the active ash basin also causes the CAP models to significantly underestimate (by on the order of a factor of two or more) both the mass loading of COI into the Broad River and the corresponding Broad River surface water concentrations (attributable to coal ash ponds) that HDR estimated with their mixing model (e.g., CAP 2 report Table 4-2 and Appendix D). CAP Chemical Transport Modeling Due to model calibration, model construction, and boundary-condition and input-data errors the CAP models significantly underestimate remediation time frames. As discussed in this section, reasons for this include significant underestimation of the chemical mass sorbed to soil, failure to account for slow chemical desorption rates, inaccurate analyses of water-table lowering due to capping, and flaws in the transport model calibration. Soil-Water Partition Coefficients and Model Calibration The fraction of chemical mass sorbed to soil can be represented by the soil-water partition coefficient, Kd (Lyman et al., 1982). Kd is an especially important parameter at the Cliffside site because for most of the 19 COI the bulk of the chemical mass in the soil is associated with the solid phase (i.e., sorbed to soil grains rather than dissolved in pore water). In effect, the solid fraction of the soil matrix acts as a large "storage reservoir" for chemical mass when Kd is large [e.g., metals, many chlorinated solvents, and highlychlorinated polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) compounds associated with coal tars and woodtreating fluids]. Kd is also a very important chemical transport parameter which is used to compute the chemical retardation factor, Rd, assuming linear equilibrium partitioning of mass between the soil (solid) and pore-water phases (Hemond and Fechner, 1994): Rd = 1 + ρb K d / ne where ρb is the soil matrix bulk dry density and ne is the effective soil porosity. For example, the chemical migration rate is directly proportional to hydraulic conductivity and inversely proportional to Rd . The total contaminant mass in an aquifer is also directly proportional to Rd , as well as aquifer cleanup times once the source is removed (e.g., Zheng et al., 1991). Accordingly, it is very important to use accurate Kd values in the CAP Closure Scenario modeling. Specifically, the CAP Part 1 transport modeling used Kd values that were typically factors of 10 - 100 (i.e., one to two orders of magnitude) smaller than the measured site-specific Kd 's reported in CAP Appendix D. In contrast, the CAP Part 2 transport modeling used Kd values that are generally a factor of about 10 larger than the CAP 1 values; however, the CAP 2 Kd 's are still on the order of 10 times smaller than the measured site-specific Kd 's reported in CAP 1 Appendix D and CAP 2 Appendix C. Further, soil-water partition coefficients for the CAP Parts 1 and 2 models are much smaller than most values presented in the literature for the COI (e.g., EPRI, 1984; Baes and Sharp, 1983). This means that, using the actual measured Kd 's for the Cliffside site, the times required to reach North Carolina water quality standards at the Compliance Boundary are at least a factor of 10 longer (see additional discussion below) than cleanup times predicted by the CAP Parts 1 and 2 transport models for many COI. The CAP 1 modeling report (CAP 1 Appendix C; Section 4.8) argues that the major Kd reductions were needed due to the following: "The conceptual transport model specifies that COis enter the model from the shallow saturated source zones in the ash basins. When the measured Kd values are applied in the numerical model to COIs migrating from the source zones, some COIs do not reach the downgradient observation wells where they were observed in June/July 2015 at the end of the simulation period. The most appropriate method to calibrate the transport model in this case is to lower the Kd values until an acceptable agreement between measured and modeled concentrations is achieved. Thus, an effective Kd value results that likely represents the combined result of intermittent activities over the service life of the ash basin. These may include pond dredging, dewatering for dike construction, and ash grading and placement. This approach is expected to produce conservative results, as sorbed constituent mass is released and transported downgradient." 20 First, considering the approach that was used to develop the chemical transport model (history matching), it is not true that "the most appropriate method to calibrate the transport model is to lower the Kd values." 3 The CAP Parts 1 and 2 transport models used an incorrect value (2.65 g/cm ) for the bulk density of overburden materials; this value is the density of a solid mass of mineral (e.g., quartz) with zero porosity. The bulk density should have been computed using the total porosity (n) values in CSA Table 11-1 using the following formula (e.g., Baes and Sharp, 1983): = ρb 2.65(1 − n) Based on the Table 11-1 values ρb ~ 1.0 - 1.9 g/cm3, which means that the Rd values for the CAP 1 and 2 models were as much as a factor of 2.65 (2.65/1.0) too high before HDR adjusted the Kd values during calibration. Also, as discussed earlier, the overburden slug test values were about 70 percent too low due to HDR's data analysis errors. Both of these errors (sorption rate and hydraulic conductivity) resulted in a modeled transport rate that was up to five times (5x) too low before calibration simply due to data input errors. At least two other important factors were not considered during the transport model calibration. At least two other important factors were not considered during the CAP 1 and 2 transport model calibrations. First, the groundwater flow models are based on average hydraulic conductivity (K) values within a material zone, but K distributions in aquifers are highly variable (e.g., varying by factors of 3-10, or more, over distances as small as a few feet: Gelhar, 1984, 1986, 1987; Gelhar and Axness, 1983; Rehfeldt et al., 1992; Rehfeldt and Gelhar, 1992; Molz, 2015). The Cliffside site hydrogeology certainly qualifies as "heterogeneous". This is very important to consider for the CAP transport model calibrations because it is the high-permeability zones and/or layers that control the time required (Ttravel ) for a constituent to reach a downgradient observation point, and HDR used differences in observed versus simulated Ttravel (i.e., time to travel from sources zones to downgradient monitoring wells) as the justification for lowering measured Kd values. Second, the history matching that HDR performed is very sensitive to the assumed time at which the source (i.e., coal ash) is "turned on" and to the assumed distribution of source concentrations (fixed pore water concentrations) in source area cells. Section 5.3 of CAP 1 Appendix C explains that the source was activated 58 years ago in the model: "The model assumed an initial concentration of 0 within the groundwater system for all COIs at the beginning of operations approximately 58 years ago. A source term matching the pore water concentrations for each COI was applied within the Units 1-4 inactive ash basin, Unit 5 inactive ash basin, active ash basin and the ash storage area at the start of the calibration period. The source concentrations 21 were adjusted to match measured values in the downgradient monitoring wells that had exceedances of the 2L Standard for each COI in June 2015." For several reasons it is a major simplification (and generally inaccurate) to use 2015 ash pore water concentrations to define year-1957 source zone (fixed concentration) boundary conditions. These reasons include: coal ash was gradually and nonuniformly distributed (spatially and temporally) in ash basins throughout the 58-year simulation period (not instantaneously in 1957); it is very difficult (or not possible) to accurately extrapolate geochemical or ash-water leaching conditions (i.e., predict COI porewater concentrations) that existed during the 2015 sampling round to conditions that may have existed in 1957 and thereafter; the actual source-area concentration distributions are highly nonuniform, but it is not clear from the CAP modeling reports how "... source concentrations were adjusted to match measured values ... ", or if the source area concentrations were nonuniform. All of these uncertainties are further magnified when using history matching to calibrate a chemical transport model. Based on the above model input errors and major uncertainties in hydraulic-conductivity variations and source-term modeling, it is incorrect to simply reduce Kd values by factors of 10 to 100 below site measurements (and the large database of literature Kd values) based only on the transport model "history matching" exercises that HDR performed. My additional comments on the CAP Parts 1 and 2 transport modeling of Closure Scenarios are listed in the following section. Geochemical Modeling and Evaluation of Monitored Natural Attenuation The CAP Part 2 geochemical modeling results do not include quantitative analyses of COI attenuation rates at the Cliffside site and are only qualitative in nature. In addition, HDR did not incorporate any source/sink (e.g., precipitation/dissolution) terms representing geochemical reaction mechanisms in the CAP 2 chemical transport model to evaluate whether such reactions are important compared to groundwater concentration changes caused by advection, dispersion, and soil-water partitioning. In this regard, HDR states in Section 2.10 of CAP 2 Appendix B : "A physical-type modeling approach was used, as site-specific geochemical conditions are not understood or characterized at the scale and extent required for inclusion in the model." Indeed, the Electric Power Research Institute (e.g., EPRI, 1984; page S-8) has extensively reviewed subsurface chemical attenuation mechanisms applicable to the "utility waste environment" and concluded: (i) precipitation/dissolution has not been adequately studied; and (ii) "Quantitative predictions of chemical attenuation rates based upon mineralogy and groundwater composition cannot be made because only descriptive and qualitative information are available for adsorption/desorption mechanisms." Nonetheless, HDR performed the geochemical modeling to evaluate the technical basis for its MNA analysis; however, any quantitative MNA analysis must compare mass transport rates and changes (e.g., 22 grams/year per unit area normal to a groundwater pathline) in the aquifer for the various active transport mechanisms in order to determine whether MNA is a viable alternative (e.g., produces meaningful groundwater concentration reductions) at the Cliffside site. In Section 6.3.2 of the CAP 2 report HDR acknowledges that these quantitative evaluations were not performed in CAP 2 and indicated that they would need to be completed as part of a Tier III MNA assessment. Nevertheless, HDR suggested in the CAP 2 report that COI concentrations "will" or "may" attenuate over time without completing the necessary evaluations to reach these conclusions. HDR also states in CAP 2 Section 6.3.4 that "MNA is an effective correction action because COIs will attenuate over time to restore groundwater quality at the CSS site...." and in CAP 2 Section 6.3.3 that "the groundwater model did not allow for removal of COI via co-precipitation with iron oxides, which likely resulted in an over-prediction of COI transport. Completion of the Tier II assessment described in Appendix H has addressed this issue." I saw no quantitative analysis or evidence in the CAP 2 report or related appendices to support these claims. In fact, the CAP 2 Appendix H emphasizes that much more geochemical data need to be collected and chemical transport modeling with a source/sink term must be performed in a Tier III assessment to further assess whether MNA is a viable remedial alternative. Therefore, the CAP 2 report fails to provide any quantitative evidence supporting COI attenuation due to co-precipitation with iron or manganese. The second component of COI attenuation evaluated in Appendix H is chemical sorption to soil. It is important to note that, although the CAP models did not incorporate a mechanism for co-precipitation with iron or manganese (or any COI sink term), the CAP models did simulate attenuation due to sorption. Even with the sorption attenuation mechanism included, CAP 2 Table 4-1 shows that for both the "existing conditions" and "cap-in-place" scenarios the following COI will exceed North Carolina groundwater standards at the Compliance Boundary 100 years into the future: antimony, arsenic, beryllium, boron, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, lead, sulfate, thallium, and vanadium. Further, my Table 1 shows that groundwater standards are currently exceeded at the Compliance Boundary for barium, cobalt, iron, manganese, nickel, and total dissolved solids (i.e., barium, cobalt, iron, manganese, nickel, and TDS contaminant plumes originating in the source areas have already reached the Compliance Boundary). The conclusions of the MNA Tier I analyses (CAP 2 Appendix H, page 18) were that arsenic, barium, beryllium, boron, chromium, cobalt, lead, thallium, and vanadium showed some evidence of attenuation and should be evaluated further in a Tier II evaluation. However, the CAP 2 modeling results in Table 4-1 (which included a significant amount of sorption attenuation) show that all of these COI currently exceed North Carolina groundwater standards at the Compliance Boundary and are expected to exceed those standard 100 years into the future. All of these data and CAP 2 modeling results strongly contradict the CAP 2 conclusion that MNA is a viable corrective action at the Cliffside site. 23 Simulation of Closure Scenarios As discussed below, CAP 1 Closure Scenario simulations greatly underestimate (by factors of 10 or more) the time frames required to achieve meaningful groundwater concentration reductions in response to remedial actions. Compared to the Cap-in-Place (CIP) remedial alternative evaluated in the CAP Part 1, the Excavation Scenario results in COI concentration reductions at the Compliance Boundary that are generally two to ten times greater compared to Cap-in-Place and best reduces impacts to surface water. In addition, the time frames to achieve equivalent concentration reductions are at least factors of 2 to 5 (2 - 5x) shorter for excavation compared to cap-in-place for most of the COI; further, several COI concentrations reduce below 2L or IMAC standards with excavation but remain significantly higher than the groundwater standards with cap-in-place. Although the CAP 1 modeling showed that Source Excavation outperforms CIP, the CAP 2 modeling did not simulate an Excavation closure scenario. Nonetheless, the following comparisons between CIP and Excavation impacts on groundwater concentrations are valid for both the CAP 1 and 2 model results. This is because the main difference with the CAP 2 transport model (compared to CAP 1) is that concentration changes resulting from either CIP or Excavation (if it was evaluated in CAP 2) occur much more slowly (i.e., ~ 10x slower) in the CAP 2 model due to the much larger Kd (and Rd ) values. The CAP 2 transport model also assumed uniform initial COI concentrations equal to HDR's proposed provisional background concentrations (PPBC), even though the PPBC exaggerate background levels (see above discussion) and there are no data to suggest that background concentrations should be spatially uniform. Despite these changes in the CAP 1 and 2 models, the relative differences in groundwater concentrations between the two closure scenarios remain about the same if the uniform starting (PPBC) COI concentrations are subtracted from the simulated concentration versus time curves. For these reasons the following discussions focus on the CAP 1 modeling results. Source Concentrations for Cap-in-Place Scenario In this scenario the CAP 1 flow model predicts cap-induced water-table declines equal to approximately 5 feet (relative to the Existing Conditions simulation) within the Units 1-4 inactive ash basins, 12 feet within the Unit 5 inactive ash basin (11 feet in the CAP 2 flow modeling), and 10 feet within the active ash basin (10 feet in CAP 2). However, the geologic cross-sections presented in the CSA show that the saturated coal ash thickness at several borings is as great as 30-60 feet. This means that under the simulated Cap-In-Place Scenario most of the coal ash, which is the source of dissolved COI, would remain saturated and continue to leach constituents into groundwater in several parts of the ash basin system. The CAP 1 simulations ignored this fact and set all source concentrations equal to zero (i.e., assumed all coal ash was dewatered). Therefore, the simulated Cap-in-Place concentrations should be much higher than the values presented in the CAP Part 1. 24 The groundwater flow model simulations also exaggerate the hydraulic effects of the cap (i.e., overstates water table lowering) because the no-flow boundary conditions along the entire western, southern, and eastern grid boundaries prevent flow into the Ash Basin System when the laterally inward hydraulic gradients are created by capping. In addition, the base of the flow model is assumed to be impervious even though the bedrock aquifer hydraulic conductivity is about the same as the overburden aquifer; this artificially restricts upward flow from bedrock into the capped area and exaggerates predicted water table lowering. In addition, a site-specific distribution of groundwater recharge values should have been developed for this and the other simulation scenarios to take into account site-specific topography and soil types (e.g., runoff estimation) and climate data (precipitation, evapotranspiration, etc.; e.g., using the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers HELP Model; Schroeder et al., 1994). The CAP 1 flow model uses an assumed value of 6 inches year uniformly throughout the model domain even though the actual value is highly variable across the Ash Basin System and site land surface. Further, as discussed above, HDR should have used a leaky-type boundary condition to model ponded areas of the active ash basin. The predicted water table lowering due to capping is very sensitive to the model recharge value, so more effort should have been made to develop a site-specific recharge-rate distribution. Slow and Multirate Nonequilibrium Desorption of COI Since the 1980's the groundwater industry has learned how difficult it is to achieve water quality standards at remediation sites without using robust corrective actions such as source removal (Hadley and Newell, 2012, 2014; Siegel, 2014). Two of the key reasons for this in aqueous-phase contaminated soil are inherently low groundwater or remediation fluid flushing rates in low-permeability zones and slow, nonequilibrium chemical desorption from the soil matrix (Culver et al., 1997, 2000; Zheng et al., 2010). A good example of this is the "tailing effect" (i.e., very slow concentration reduction with time) that is commonly observed with pump-and-treat, hydraulic containment systems. These factors are also related to the "rebound effect" in which groundwater concentrations sometimes increase shortly after a remediation system is turned off (Sudicky and Illman, 2011; Hadley and Newell, 2014; Culver et al., 1997). The CAP 1 and 2 flow models use different permeability (K) zones, but the scale of these zones is very large and within each zone K is homogeneous even though large hydraulic conductivity variations (e.g., lognormal distribution) are known to exist at any field site over relatively small length scales (Molz, 2015). Moreover, the CAP transport models assume linear, equilibrium soil-water partitioning which corresponds to instantaneous COI release into flowing groundwater. The transport code (MT3D) has the capability of simulating single-rate nonequilibrium sorption, but the Close Scenario simulations did not utilize this modeling feature. Slow desorption of COI can also be expected at the Allen site because sorption rates 25 are generally highly variable, and multi-rate (Culver et al., 1997, 2000; Zheng et al., 2010), and Kd values are nonuniform spatially (Baes and Sharp, 1983; EPRI, 1984; De Wit et al., 1995). The CAP flow and transport models can be expected to significantly underestimate cleanup times required to meet groundwater standards at the compliance boundary because they do not incorporate these important physical mechanisms. Adequacy of the Kd Model for Transport Simulation The laboratory column experiment effluent data (e.g., CAP 1 Appendix D) generally gave very poor matches with the analytical (one-dimensional) transport model used to compute Kd values. Since the CAP transport model solves the same governing equations in three dimensions, the adequacy of the Kd modeling approach for long-term remedial simulations should have been evaluated in much more detail in the modeling appendix. The transport modeling also did not evaluate alternative nonlinear sorption models such as the Freundlich and Langmuir isotherms (Hemond and Fechner, 1994), which are input options in the MT3D transport code. Several of the batch equilibrium sorption experiments (CAP 1 Appendix D) exhibited nonlinear behavior, and such behavior is commonly observed in other studies (e.g., EPRI, 1984). However, HDR only computed linear sorption coefficients (i.e., Kd) for the Cliffside site in CAP Part 1. In CAP Part 2 HDR did fit Freundlich isotherms to the batch sorption data for selected COI (CAP 2 Appendix C, Tables 1-8) but did not use these Freundlich isotherm results in the CAP 2 transport modeling. De Wit et al. (1995) showed that the nonlinear sorption mechanism is similar in importance to aquifer heterogeneities in extending remediation time frames. Closure Scenario Time Frames As outlined in my report, the CAP Part 1 chemical transport model underestimates the time intervals required to achieve groundwater concentration reductions (i.e., achieve groundwater quality restoration) by factors that are at least on the order of 10 to 100. In other words, the CAP 1 transport model significantly overestimates the rate at which concentrations may reduce in response to remedial actions such as capping or source removal. This is due to several factors, including major errors in model input data, model calibration mistakes, field data analysis errors, and oversimplified model representation of field conditions (e.g., hydraulic conductivity) and transport mechanisms (e.g., chemical sorption/desorption). These limitations of transport models for realistically predicting cleanup times have been recognized by the groundwater industry for the past few decades based on hands-on experience at hundreds of extensively-monitored remediation sites. Even if we ignore the factors of 10 or more errors in cleanup time predictions with the CAP 1 model, the remediation time frames for the Excavation Scenarios are still more than two centuries for several 26 constituents due to slow groundwater flushing rates from secondary sources (surrounding residual soil) left in place after excavation and due to high chemical retardation factors for most of the COI. However, excavation of secondary-source material would further accelerate cleanup rates under this alternative. The CAP 1 simulated Cap-In-Place concentration reduction rates are much slower, compared to excavation, but are also incorrect (i.e., overestimated) because the cap-induced water-table lowering is insufficient to dewater all of the source-area coal ash, as discussed above, and the CAP 1 and 2 flow models overestimate cap-induced water-table lowering due to boundary condition errors. Furthermore, these simulation times are well beyond the prediction capabilities of any chemical transport model for a complex field site (especially one that is as geochemically complex as the Cliffside site). The historical model-calibration dataset (1957-2015) is also significantly smaller than the predictive (remediation) time frames. In addition, the "history matching" technique used to calibrate the transport model (e.g., major reduction in measured Kd values) was not performed correctly by HDR. Cap-In-Place versus Excavation Closure Scenarios Although the the CAP 1 model underestimates remediation time frames, the CAP 1 Closure Scenario simulations demonstrate several significant advantages of excavation for restoring site groundwater quality versus cap-in-place. First, predicted COI concentration reductions in groundwater downgradient from the ash basin system are generally factors of 2-10 greater with excavation compared to cap-in-place (e.g., refer to most of the simulated concentration versus time curves in CAP 1 Appendix C). Further, if HDR had correctly performed the CAP 1 cap-in-place simulations the predicted CIP concentrations would be much higher because predicted water-table lowering due to the cap would be insufficient to dewater all of the coal ash. Second, North Carolina 2L or IMAC standards for many COI (antimony, arsenic, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, nickel, thallium, vanadium) are not achieved by cap-in-place but are achieved by excavation (e.g., CAP 1 Appendix C Figures 13, 20, 21, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 33, 34, 36, 37, and 39). Third, the time frames to achieve equivalent concentration reductions are at least factors of 2 to 5 shorter for excavation compared to cap-in-place; further, several COI concentrations reduce below 2L or IMAC standards with excavation but remain significantly higher than the groundwater standards with cap-in-place. Even though the CAP 1 modeling demonstrated that the CIP closure alternative would be much less effective than excavation, and that CIP would only dewater about 20-40 percent of the saturated coal-ash thickness in many areas, HDR eliminated excavation from consideration in CAP 2. In Section 7.1 of the CAP 2 report HDR assumes that "Evaluation of the geochemical modeling indicated COIs are attenuated by a combination of sorption and/or precipitation" and that "Based on review of the groundwater modeling results, COIs with sorption coefficients similar to or greater than arsenic are immobilized by sorption and/or precipitation .....". As discussed above, HDR provided no quantitative analysis or evidence in the CAP 2 report or related appendices to support this claim. Further, sorption is not a mechanism that 27 "immobilizes" a dissolved consituent; sorption only slows down the rate of transport proportional the chemical retardation factor. Considering that up to 80 percent of the coal-ash source material would remain saturated with CIP and that multiple exceedances of groundwater standards at the Compliance Boundary currently exist (with no historical data to indicate that these Compliance Boundary concentrations are decreasing with time), it is not reasonable to make sweeping assumptions about future concentration changes. Tier III MNA analyses require rigorous quantitative evaluations using the CAP transport model with a source/sink term that incorporates geochemical reactions to support MNA as a viable corrective action. CAP 2 did not provide this information. As discussed above, the CAP Part 2 flow model did include a small number of residential wells (13 of the 100 neighboring private wells), but the CAP 2 modeling report (CAP 2, Appendix B) did not show simulated hydraulic head maps with these residential wells pumping and did not provide any discussion or analyses of the long-term potential for these wells to capture COI dissolved in groundwater. Further, the private bedrock wells that HDR chose to include in the CAP 2 model appear to be located upgradient from the active ash basin; HDR should have included all of the private wells located near the northern bank of the Broad River (in a downgradient direction from the ash basin system) and near the northeastern site boundary which is downgradient from the active ash basin, as I describe above. In CAP 2 section 4.1.5 HDR discusses that fact that the CAP 2 flow model was used to compute 1-year, reverse particle pathlines for these bedrock residential wells (Figure 18 in CAP 2 Appendix B) to determine their short-term groundwater capture zones. However, the residential well reverse pathline tracing should have been performed for a much longer time period (e.g., from the beginning of coal ash disposal to the present) to evaluate whether COI may have migrated from source areas to these wells. In addition, if HDR had extended the CAP 2 model grid much farther to the north and east the capture zones for the remaining 87 private water supply wells could have been determined, as I discuss earlier in my report. The CAP Closure Scenarios do not include hydraulic containment remedial alternatives (e.g., gradient reversal) for the bedrock aquifer that would address the risk of off-site COI transport. As discussed above, the CSA data show many exceedances of groundwater standards in bedrock not only at the compliance boundary but also inside the CB. In addition, strong downward groundwater flow components from the deep overburden to bedrock aquifers were measured during the CSA at multiple locations across the site, including the southern shoreline of the Broad River. The cap-in-place alternative does not address either concentration reduction or off-site chemical migration control in the fractured bedrock aquifer. The CAP Parts 1 and 2 do not assess whether water quality standards will be achieved in the tributaries and wetlands between the ash basins and the Broad River [e.g., seep locations S-3 or S-6 (Broad River tributaries) or the wetland located along Suck Creek downgradient from the upstream dam of the active 28 ash basin] under any closure scenario. As discussed above, for the cap-in-place scenario a significant fraction of the source material will remain saturated and dissolved COI will continue to migrate with groundwater toward these seep locations. Although unaddressed by the model, COI concentration decreases in groundwater and unsaturated zone pore water due to source removal would also reduce impacts to tributaries and wetlands that are influenced by the ash basins. Conclusions Based on my technical review and analyses of the referenced information for the Cliffside site I have reached the following conclusions: • A total of 62 Compliance Boundary groundwater samples exceeded North Carolina groundwater standards for these COI: antimony, boron, chromium, cobalt, iron, manganese, sulfate, total dissolved solids, and vanadium. Of these 62 exceedances, 36 were greater than the proposed provisional background concentrations by HDR; • The statistical analyses of shallow background groundwater concentrations at the Cliffside site (well MW-24D) are invalid. The time periods between groundwater sample collection from this well are too small and the concentration data are not independent; • There is a significant risk of chemical migration from the ash basin to neighboring private water supply wells in fractured bedrock. The design of the CAP flow and transport models prevents the potential for off-site migration from being evaluated; • The limited CAP model domain size; the no-flow boundary conditions along the western, southern, and eastern boundaries; and incorrect hydraulic boundary condition representations of the Broad River and the active ash basin prevent simulation and analysis of off-site COI migration; • The CAP Closure Scenario simulations greatly underestimate (by factors of 10 or more) the time frames required to achieve meaningful groundwater concentration reductions in response to remedial actions. This is due to oversimplification of field fate and transport mechanisms in the CAP model and several model input errors; • The simulated water table lowering for the Cap-in-Place Scenario is more than a factor of five too small at several locations in the ash basin system in order to dewater all source material; and the actual cap-induced water table elevation reduction would be much less than predicted due to the incorrect no-flow boundary conditions. Therefore, the remediation time frames for this scenario would be much greater because a large percentage of the source zone would still be active with the cap installed; 29 • For either the Existing Condition or Cap-in-Place Model Scenario groundwater concentrations of coal-ash constituents much higher than background levels will continue to exceed North Carolina groundwater standards at the Compliance Boundary because saturated coal-ash material and secondary sources will remain in place; • Due to an incorrect boundary-condition representation of the active ash basin, the CAP models underestimate by a factor of two or more both the mass loading of COI into the Broad River and the corresponding Broad River water concentrations (attributable to coal ash ponds) estimated by the groundwater/surface-water mixing model; • Source-area mass removal included in the Excavation Scenario results in COI concentration reductions at the Compliance Boundary that are generally two to ten (2 - 10x) times greater compared to Cap-in-Place and best reduces impacts to surface water. In addition, the time frames to achieve equivalent concentration reductions are factors of two to five (2 - 5x) shorter for excavation compared to cap-in-place, and source removal reduces the number of COI that will exceed North Carolina groundwater standards in the future. Additional excavation of secondary sources would further accelerate concentration reductions; • The CAP simulations show that source excavation reduces groundwater concentrations for many COI below North Carolina groundwater standards (antimony, arsenic, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, nickel, thallium, vanadium), but cap-in-place closure does not; • The CAP Part 2 geochemical modeling and monitored natural attenuation (MNA) evaluations do not provide the required quantitative analyses (e.g., numerical transport modeling) of COI attenuation rates necessary to support MNA as a viable corrective action and are only qualitative in nature. The CAP 2 chemical transport modeling, which included attenuation by sorption, demonstrated that MNA is not an effective remedial option for several COI (e.g., antimony, arsenic, beryllium, boron, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, lead, sulfate, thallium, and vanadium); • The CAP Closure Scenarios do not include hydraulic containment remedial alternatives for the bedrock aquifer and do not address the risk of off-site COI transport. CSA data show multiple exceedances of groundwater standards in bedrock not only at the compliance boundary but also inside the CB. The cap-in-place alternative does not address either concentration reduction or off-site chemical migration control in the fractured bedrock aquifer; and • Future Compliance Monitoring at the site should include much more closely-spaced Compliance Wells to provide more accurate detection, and the time intervals between sample collection should be large enough to ensure that the groundwater sample data are statistically independent to allow accurate interpretation of concentration trends. 30 References Baes, C.F., and R.D. Sharp. 1983. A Proposal for Estimation of Soil Leaching and Leaching Constants for Use in Assessment Models. Journal of Environmental Quality, Vol. 12, No. 1. 17-28. Barker, J.A., and J.H. Black. 1983. Slug Tests in Fissured Aquifers. Water Resources Research. Vol. 19, No. 6. 1558-1564. Bear, J. 1979. Hydraulics of Groundwater. New York: McGraw-Hill. Bouwer, H., and R.C. Rice. 1976. 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Lessons Learned from 25 Years of Research at the MADE Site. Groundwater, Vol. 49, No. 5. 649-662. 33 DOUGLAS J. COSLER, Ph.D., P.E. 10240 Stonemede Lane Matthews, NC 28105 704-246-7702 dcosler@adaptivegroundwater.com EDUCATION Ph.D. Chemical Hydrogeology The Ohio State University 2006 C.E.D. Civil Engineer Degree Massachusetts Institute of Technology 1987 M.S. Civil & Environmental Engineering The Ohio State University 1979 B.S. Civil & Environmental Engineering Summa Cum Laude The Ohio State University 1977 PROFESSIONAL HISTORY 20092007-2009 2006-2007 2003-2006 1987-2003 1984-1987 1979-1984 1977-1979 Principal Hydrogeologist and Commercial Software Developer, Adaptive Groundwater Solutions LLC, Charlotte, NC Environmental Consultant, Hart Crowser, Portland, OR Research Scientist and Instructor, School of Earth Sciences, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH Research Assistant, School of Earth Sciences, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH Environmental Consultant, MACTEC (now AMEC), Nashua, NH Research Assistant, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA Environmental Consultant, D'Appolonia Consulting Engineers, Pittsburgh, PA Research Assistant, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH REGISTRATION Registered Professional Engineer: Pennsylvania and Vermont HONORS AND AWARDS Member of Tau Beta Pi University Graduate Fellowship, The Ohio State University, 1979 The Brown Scholarship (top undergraduate in Civil Engineering), The Ohio State University, 1977 PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE Environmental Consulting • 1979-1984, 1987-2003, 2007-present Areas of Specialization: Groundwater flow and chemical transport analyses and computer modeling, contaminant fate and transport in the environment, numerical code development, ground water and surface water hydraulics and hydrology, contaminant fate and transport, expert witness testimony and litigation support, hydrogeologic investigation, nonaqueous phase liquid (LNAPL/DNAPL) Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 2 of 15 investigation, subsurface remediation and remedial design, natural attenuation and risk assessment, and hydrologic and wetlands impact evaluation. • Responsibilities: Principal Hydrogeologist/Hydrologist responsible for technical aspects of a wide variety of projects, including: investigation, remediation, and regulation of Superfund, RCRA, and other hazardous waste sites; ground water flow and chemical transport model development for numerous projects; expert witness testimony and litigation support for several clients and hazardous waste sites; natural attenuation/biodegradation assessments for chlorinated solvent and petroleum contamination sites; volatile organic compound vapor (soil gas) migration and exposure assessment; exposure modeling for health risk assessments; hydraulic and hydrologic modeling of impoundments and spillways for U.S. Army Corps of Engineers dam safety assessments; stream hydraulics and solute transport modeling; hydrologic impact assessment for minerals and coal mining; leachate collection system modeling and design for waste disposal impoundments; and design of runoff, sedimentation, and erosion control plans. • Types of Sites and Contaminants: Sites investigated include: landfills, manufactured gas plants, woodtreating facilities, chemical plants, water supply well fields, gasoline and fuel oil storage/delivery facilities, nuclear waste disposal sites, hazardous waste incinerators, mining operations, and various industrial facilities. Investigated dissolved, nonaqueous-phase (LNAPL/DNAPL), and vapor-phase contaminants: chlorinated solvents, gasoline and fuel oil constituents, wood-treating products (e.g., creosote and pentachlorophenol), coal tars, polychlorinated biphenyls, pesticides, dioxins and furans, phenolic compounds, flame retardants (PBDE), phthalates, radionuclides, biological constituents, and various metals. • Representative Project Experience: Expert Witness Testimony and Litigation Support Litigation and Expert Witness Support, Wells G&H Superfund Site, Woburn, MA (MACTEC). Doug provided technical support for property owners involved in litigation related to economic damages associated with groundwater contamination in a fractured bedrock aquifer resulting from upgradient sources of chlorinated solvents (DNAPL and aqueous-phase). He completed a thorough review of RI/FS technical reports (including groundwater pumping tests) and performed modeling of chemical transport in the fractured bedrock aquifer that accounted for the effects of horizontal anisotropy on transport directions. Based on the evaluations, Doug developed an alternative site conceptual model that incorporated the effects of bedrock fractures on solute transport in order to define probable contaminant migration pathways in overburden and bedrock aquifers that were not identified in historical documents. He demonstrated the existence of these pathways using two-dimensional models of groundwater flow and contaminant advection (particle pathlines) that established a connection between DNAPL sources areas and groundwater contamination beneath the subject properties. Expert Witness Testimony and Litigation Support, Gasoline Remediation Site and Sewer/House Explosion Case, Winneconne, WI (MACTEC). Doug provided expert witness testimony and investigated the potential causes of and chemical fate and transport mechanisms responsible for a house explosion case. Plaintiffs alleged that vadose and saturated zone petroleum remediation activities at a service station located a few blocks from the residence and subsequent transport of gasoline vapors through a sewer line/backfill were the fuel source for the explosion. He analyzed gasoline vapor transport rates and concentrations in the Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 3 of 15 subsurface at the service station site, in the 12-inch sewer pipe, and within the sewer backfill. Doug demonstrated that gasoline vapors could not have migrated to the residence between the time that remediation stopped and the house exploded. He also demonstrated that gasoline vapors at explosive levels could not have migrated up the sewer lateral and into the house. His analyses showed that sewer gas (methane) was the likely cause of the explosion because a methane source was present in the sewer line near the residence (sewage blockage due to tree root growth through pipe joints) and lighter-than-air methane naturally migrates upslope along sewer lines and laterals. Remedial Investigation and Feasibility Study (RI/FS) and Expert Witness Testimony for the Old Southington Landfill Superfund Project, Southington, CT (MACTEC). Doug developed a threedimensional groundwater flow model (MODFLOW) to evaluate source control alternatives for a municipal landfill that received solid and semi-solid waste materials (primarily VOC). In the vicinity of the landfill, high-permeability deposits in the bottom portion of the aquifer and the presence of a neighboring pond caused large downward groundwater flow components that complicated contaminant transport analysis. He directed the site investigation that focused on the landfill and underlying and downgradient portions of the regional aquifer. He prepared an expert report and provided expert witness testimony for insurance litigation regarding the nature and timing of waste disposal in the landfill. Expert Witness Testimony, Hydrogeologic Investigations of a Gasoline Station, CT (MACTEC). Doug provided expert witness testimony regarding the results of a hydrogeologic investigation to determine the source of petroleum contamination within a telephone company utility conduit. He provided opinions concerning groundwater flow and chemical transport rates in the surrounding aquifer, age dating of petroleum products, and the potential relationship of gasoline-related contaminants in a utility manhole to historical petroleum releases at an upgradient gasoline station. Remedial Investigation, Site Remediation and Expert Witness Testimony, Former MGP Site, Concord, NH (MACTEC). Historical discharges of carburetted water gas tar contaminated a 10-acre pond and the underlying groundwater with aqueous-phase constituents and NAPL. Contaminants included PAHs and BTEX compounds. Doug designed the hydrogeologic investigation to determine the nature and extent of groundwater and NAPL contamination. He performed data evaluations to assess the potential for vertical and horizontal migration of NAPL and the potential for contamination of a river adjacent to the site. He also prepared two expert reports and provided expert witness testimony for two related insurance litigation actions regarding the timing and ongoing nature of pond contamination and contamination from the former MGP, located upgradient from the pond. Remedial Design Evaluation and Expert Witness Support, Chlorinated Solvent and Petroleum Contamination Site, MO (MACTEC). Doug served as a company expert for litigation involving a groundwater extraction system designed to control LNAPL and aqueous-phase contaminants. Plaintiffs (downgradient property) claimed that the extraction system was not controlling contamination. Doug developed a hydraulic model of the site, analyzed in detail the groundwater capture zone, and demonstrated that the system was very effective in controlling LNAPL and aqueous-phase contaminant migration. Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 4 of 15 Expert Witness Testimony, Petroleum Contamination Site, Concord, NH (MACTEC). Doug served as a hydrogeology, coal tar, and petroleum fate and transport expert for property damage litigation involving a fuel oil distributor and former MGP site. The plaintiff claimed that coal tar contamination from the former MGP caused environmental damage and increased construction costs for a new hotel being built at the site. Doug performed petroleum transport and fingerprinting analyses and demonstrated that the fuel oil distributor located immediately upgradient from the subject property was the likely source of contamination - not coal tar. Remedial Investigation, Design, and Expert Witness Testimony, Former MGP Site, Laconia, NH (MACTEC). Doug reviewed site investigation reports and evaluated hydrogeologic conditions, contaminant sources, and NAPL mobility at a former MGP site. Historical MGP waste releases (coal tar) had contaminated soil and groundwater and dissolved-phase constituents, and NAPL had migrated into adjacent surface water bodies. He developed conceptual remedial alternatives for the site and evaluated NAPL containment and collection designs. He prepared an expert report and provided expert witness testimony for insurance litigation regarding the timing and ongoing nature of pond contamination. Expert Witness Report, Former MGP Site, Goshen, IN (MACTEC). Provided litigation support and expert report preparation for a case involving a former MGP site. Technical aspects of the project involved hydrogeology, coal tar, and petroleum fate and transport. Remedial Alternatives Evaluation and Expert Witness Report Preparation, Former Electronics Manufacturing Facility, Manchester, NH (MACTEC). Historical releases of tetrachloroethene (PCE) and PCE dissolved in fuel oil caused soil and groundwater contamination at the site. Contaminants were present as dissolved-phase constituents and DNAPL. Doug evaluated data regarding site hydrogeology and contaminant fate and transport to assess the relative contributions of the PCE sources. He evaluated the feasibility and costs of potential remedial alternatives and prepared an expert report assessing the relative contributions of the two different sources of contamination. Groundwater Flow and Aqueous-Phase Chemical Fate and Transport Developed Adaptive Groundwater, a Three-Dimensional Groundwater Flow and Chemical Transport Code based on the Adaptive Mesh Refinement Method (Adaptive Groundwater Solutions LLC). Adaptive Groundwater is a highly-scalable, three-dimensional numerical code for high-resolution simulation of groundwater flow and solute transport problems. Dynamic adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) and multithreading are used to automatically generate unstructured grids to handle multiple scales of flow and transport processes. This is done by translating and adding/ removing telescoping levels of progressively finer subgrids during simulation (https://www.rockware.com/product/overview.php?id=329). Groundwater Flow, Contaminant Transport, and Biodegradation Model, Feasibility Study and Natural Attenuation Assessment, Estes Landfill Site, Phoenix, AZ (MACTEC). Doug developed three-dimensional groundwater flow and contaminant transport models to simulate current and future, long-term TCE, cis 1,2DCE, and vinyl chloride (VC) concentrations in the sand and gravel, overburden aquifer at the Estes Landfill site. He used MODFLOW and MT3D99 to simulate chemical transport and fate mechanisms, Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 5 of 15 including advection, dispersion, dilution by surface water, sorption to soil, and TCE>DCE>VC biotransformation modeled as a sequential, first-order decay-chain process. He computed site biotransformation rates from historical chemical data and transport model calibration. He demonstrated that natural attenuation was a viable remedial alternative, primarily due to significant source-area VOC depletion and high biodegradation rates (reductive dechlorination and direct oxidation of DCE and VC). Combined MTCA RI/FS and RCRA RFI/CMS Plus Independent Cleanup Actions, Confidential Metals Manufacturing Facility, WA (Hart Crowser). As the Hydrogeologist and Technical Lead for PCB fate and transport issues during work on this large metals manufacturing facility, Doug developed a threedimensional transport model of the PCB plume that incorporated the variation in mobility and mass fraction of each of the 209 congeners in the PCB mixture. He constructed a three-dimensional groundwater flow/transport model (MODFLOW/MT3D99) to analyze the capture zones and effluent concentration variations for multiple extraction wells with various screened-interval depths. He investigated PCB contamination sources at the site, including industrial wastewater transfer line leaks and unsaturated/saturated zone water contact with contaminated soils. Doug also developed an innovative two-dimensional, rate-limited PCB congener and colloid transport model to evaluate fate and transport mechanisms at the site. The model simulates the transport of all 209 PCB congeners simultaneously, both as aqueous-phase (i.e., dissolved in groundwater) and colloidal (sorbed to mobile colloids flowing with the groundwater) fractions. Colloid filtration due to interactions with the porous media is included. Because of the high groundwater velocities at the site, the model also incorporates rate-limited soil to groundwater chemical partitioning (nonequilibrium chemical sorption) and nonequilibrium groundwater to colloid PCB sorption mechanisms. Remedial Design and Natural Attenuation Modeling, Savage Municipal Water Supply Superfund Site, Milford, NH (MACTEC). Doug developed three-dimensional groundwater flow and solute transport models of this extensive drinking water aquifer using MODFLOW and MT3D. DNAPL releases (PCE and TCA) caused groundwater contamination. Doug directed evaluation of data collected during field permeability testing, monitoring well sampling, and extensive vertical groundwater profiling using microwells. He modeled the effectiveness of various remedial design alternatives that included soil excavation and hydraulic containment in the source area, hydraulic control of downgradient portions of the PCE and TCA plumes, and natural attenuation due to biodegradation, natural groundwater flushing, and dilution by rainwater and river recharge. Doug estimated biodegradation rates using 1) long-term measurements of VOC concentration reductions along the plume centerline, 2) comparisons of parent to daughter compound concentrations, and 3) computations of total VOC mass reductions in the aquifer. In addition, the natural attenuation evaluation used other analytical parameters (e.g., electron acceptor concentrations) to assess the strength of the biodegradation evidence based on the Technical Protocol for Natural Attenuation of Chlorinated Aliphatic Hydrocarbons in Ground Water. He used the MODFLOW model and the AQTESOLV software to analyze the pumping test data. He used AQTESOLV and the Hantush solution for partially-penetrating wells to analyze the single-well tests. Natural Attenuation Software Development, Risk-Based Correction Action (RBCA) Tier 2 Analyzer (MACTEC). Doug authored the commercial software package RBCA Tier 2 Analyzer, a two-dimensional Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 6 of 15 groundwater flow and biodegradation (transport) model. The software provides five different transport simulation capabilities: 1) single constituent; 2) the PCE>TCE>DCE>VC sequential-decay sequence that occurs during reductive dechlorination; 3) instantaneous BTEX biodegradation with a single electron acceptor (oxygen); 4) instantaneous BTEX biodegradation with multiple electron acceptors (oxygen, nitrate, iron(III), sulfate, carbon dioxide); and 5) kinetics-limited BTEX biodegradation with multiple electron acceptors. The transport model can simulate either equilibrium or non-equilibrium (one-, two-, or multi-site sorption) partitioning between water and soil. The software provides a design tool that can be used for a wide variety of problems, including the analysis of remedial alternatives such as groundwater pump and treat systems (including extraction well concentration “tailing” effects caused by slow contaminant desorption from soil), natural attenuation evaluation, and source remediation level determination. Remedial Investigation and Feasibility Study (RI/FS) for the Gallups Quarry Superfund Site, Plainfield, CT (MACTEC). Designed investigations of this former waste disposal site to evaluate the nature and extent of groundwater and residual soil (source area) contamination. The initial field program included geophysical surveys, a source-area soil vapor survey, installation and sampling of 50 microwells, wetlands delineation, and surface water/sediment sampling. Doug performed three-dimensional computer visualization of the contaminant plume based on microwell results to direct monitoring well installation. He performed twodimensional flow modeling to identify an off-site source of groundwater contamination and developed a three-dimensional groundwater flow and chemical transport model (MODFLOW/MT3D) of the site to facilitate the evaluation of remedial alternatives during the FS process. Darling Hill Superfund Site Remedial Investigation and Feasibility Study (RI/FS), Lyndonville, VT (MACTEC). As Technical Leader during the RI/FS for a municipal well field contaminated with VOCs, Doug directed the site investigation, which focused on a disposal area upgradient of the well field and a highly permeable sand and gravel aquifer. The investigation included geophysical investigations, a soil gas survey, boring and well installations, groundwater sampling and analysis, air sampling, surface water and sediment sampling, and pumping and slug tests. Doug developed a three-dimensional analytical groundwater flow model to evaluate potential plume control at the disposal area and the municipal well field. He also constructed a one-dimensional, numerical contaminant transport model, coupled with a chemical leaching model of the waste disposal area, to estimate cleanup times in the regional aquifer in response to various source control alternatives. Evaluation of New Monitoring Well Design and Sampling Techniques to Determine Vertical Concentration Variations in an Aquifer, Independent Research Project (MACTEC). Performed independent research to determine new monitoring well designs and sampling techniques that can provide the necessary data to evaluate vertical concentration variations in an aquifer. Doug developed two-dimensional, numerical axisymmetric groundwater flow and chemical transport models to analyze time-dependent monitoring well concentrations during sampling as a function of various vertical concentration distributions in the aquifer and different well designs. The results of this research demonstrated that discrete intervals of monitoring wells with long screens (e.g., 10 to 20 feet or more) can be sampled in a manner that allows both the vertical plume location and concentration variation in the aquifer to be determined. The research also showed that the time vs. concentration responses of a well during a sampling event lasting a few days Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 7 of 15 exhibit characteristic shapes that can be directly related to aquifer properties and well design parameters and the vertical concentration distribution. He computed a series of concentration vs. time "type curves," analogous to time-drawdown type curves for aquifer permeability tests, that can be matched with measured time-concentration responses. Evaluation and Recommendation of Hydrologic Models for the Department of Natural Resources, Commonwealth of Kentucky (D’Appolonia). Doug performed an extensive analysis of hydraulic/hydrologic simulation models for the Department of Natural Resources, Commonwealth of Kentucky. He evaluated more than 60 hydrologic (i.e., watershed), surface water, and groundwater computer models for simulating flow and contaminant transport that could be used in determining the potential hydrologic and environmental impacts of coal mining operations at various locations in Kentucky. He made several code modifications to the USACE’s STORM, Stream Hydraulics Package (SHP), and Water Quality for River/Reservoir Systems (WQRRS) models. Mine Inflow Evaluation for the Shell Minerals Company, IN (D’Appolonia). To evaluate groundwater inflow rates into a 30-square mile underground coal mine in southwestern Indiana during a 30-year mine life, Doug developed a three-dimensional computer model to simulate groundwater flow into various mine panels from an overlying sandstone aquifer by three processes: (1) artesian flow from portions of the aquifer outside of the mine plan area, (2) gravity drainage of water from the voids in the overlying sandstone, and (3) infiltration through a shale layer separating the aquifer and coal seam. Site Investigation and Hydrogeologic Study, Massachusetts Contingency Plan (MCP), Manufacturing Facility (MACTEC). Designed an investigation to characterize the nature and extent of VOC contamination in a shallow overburden-bedrock aquifer system underlying a manufacturing facility. The investigation included soil vapor analysis, overburden and bedrock monitoring well installation, and permeability testing. Doug designed an interim pump and treat system to control contaminant migration from a source area containing PCE in the form of a NAPL. Hydrogeologic Study and Groundwater Remediation for an Industrial Facility, NH (MACTEC). Served as the Technical Leader during the Phase I investigation and performed data evaluation for this 70-acre salvage yard site. The investigation included evaluation of VOC contamination in the groundwater and the design, installation, and operation of a pump and treat system. Doug developed a two-dimensional, axisymmetric groundwater flow model to evaluate the data from a pumping test involving a large-diameter, partially penetrating water supply well. He performed groundwater flow modeling for the final engineering design of the pump and treat system. Design of Waste Disposal Facility for the U.S. Department of Energy, WV (D’Appolonia). Doug designed the leachate collection system for a waste disposal facility that contained process waste from a proposed solvent-refined coal preparation plant near Morgantown, West Virginia. The 800-acre-foot impoundment consisted of two embankments approximately 60 feet in height constructed from coarse refuse, a primary spillway system, a 5-foot clay liner beneath the impoundment, and an underdrain system directly above the liner to reduce the liquid content of the waste and thereby decrease seepage of contaminants through the clay blanket. He performed a detailed computer simulation of the underdrain system performance to Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 8 of 15 determine the hydrostatic pressure reduction above the clay liner as a function of waste permeability, drain spacing, ground slope, saturated waste depth, and drain dimensions. Remedial Investigation/Feasibility Study (RI/FS) for Allied Chemical Company, OH (D’Appolonia). Doug performed a groundwater contamination evaluation and remedial design study for a chemical plant bordering the Ohio River. He developed two-dimensional groundwater flow and chemical transport models to evaluate migration beneath a stream to a local municipal well field and computed a groundwater mass balance to determine the percentage of site groundwater flow reaching the well field, the Ohio River, a neighboring stream, and an adjacent property. He used the calibrated model to screen remedial alternatives and determine cleanup levels. Vadose Zone Flow and Transport Vadose Zone and Hydrogeologic Modeling of Storm Water Detention Facilities, Vancouver, WA (Hart Crowser). Doug developed a three-dimensional saturated/unsaturated groundwater flow model of a storm water detention facility using the USGS computer program SUTRA (Saturated-Unsaturated Transport). He dynamically linked the SUTRA code with watershed hydrology (i.e., runoff hydrograph) and detention basin (storage and discharge rate vs. elevation) models. He modified the SUTRA code to incorporate the hydrologic and hydraulic models as subroutines, which provided storm water runoff inflow rates and timedependent water elevations in the detention basins. Water elevations were converted to time-dependent specified pressure node values in SUTRA. He added transient discharge rates through the porous boundaries of the detention facilities (computed by SUTRA) to the outflow hydrographs. Doug used the models to evaluate the impacts of several factors on the storm water detention facility performance and design, including groundwater table mounding, hydraulic conductivity (K) heterogeneity, the ratio of vertical to horizontal K, detention basin storage capacity, and storm event recurrence interval. Hydrologic Impact Assessment at a Waste Isolation Pilot Plant for the U.S. Department of Energy, NM (D’Appolonia). Evaluated potential salt removal from beneath a radioactive waste disposal facility enclosed in a 2,000-foot-thick salt formation in southeastern New Mexico. The objective was to determine the size and geometry of a dissolution cavity that could form beneath the facility in the next 10,000 years due to hydraulic interaction with a water-bearing unit located 1,000 feet below. Doug evaluated potential mechanisms for salt dissolution and migration to the underlying unit (e.g., diffusion or advection currents produced by density differences), derived analytical equations to quantify the salt removal rate and cavity geometries, and developed a computer model of salt transport in the water-bearing unit. Hydrologic Impact Assessment and Vadose Zone Modeling for the Exxon Minerals Company, WI (D’Appolonia). Evaluated potential hydrologic impacts on the groundwater and surface water regimes due to minerals mining and the related disposal of inorganic wastes at a 400-acre site. Doug developed site-specific computer models of saturated/unsaturated flow and transport to predict changes in groundwater flow rates, water quality, and water levels in hydraulically-connected lakes. He used predictions encompassing an estimated 100-year mine life to negotiate a work plan with the Wisconsin DNR. Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 9 of 15 Remedial Investigation/Feasibility Study, Vadose Zone Modeling, and Remedial Design for a Former Wood-Treating Facility, Olympia, WA (MACTEC). Doug directed the hydrogeologic investigation and remedial design for this wood-treating site. The site involved tidally influenced groundwater contaminated with polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH), chlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins, pentachlorophenol (PCP), LNAPL (PCP carrier oil), and DNAPL (creosote). The investigation consisted of installation of monitoring wells specifically designed to detect LNAPL and DNAPL, aquifer tests, long-term tidal monitoring, salt water intrusion evaluation, aquifer water budget (infiltration) modeling, and treatability studies for bioremediation of soil and groundwater. Doug designed a NAPL and groundwater extraction system and developed a two-dimensional, numerical groundwater flow model as part of the groundwater extraction system design. He performed one-dimensional unsaturated zone vapor transport modeling to estimate leachate and soil gas flux loadings to groundwater. He used the AquiferTest software to analyze the pumping test data and analyzed tidal variations in water-level amplitude and phase lag to evaluate hydraulic conductivity variations. Vapor-Phase Transport Modeling, Lipari Landfill Superfund Site, NJ (MACTEC). Doug constructed a vertical, one-dimensional vapor (soil gas) flux model to calculate VOC emission rates from contaminated soil downgradient of the landfill. He used the emission estimates as source terms in an atmospheric dispersion model to compute air concentrations in the immediate vicinity of the contaminated soil and at several downgradient receptors and used the results to estimate health risks caused by inhalation exposure. These modeling results and health risk estimates provided the necessary data to determine excavation depths for contaminated soil and the thickness of a soil cap that would reduce future exposures to acceptable levels. Health Risk Assessment, Massachusetts Contingency Plan (MCP), Auto Auction Facility (MACTEC). Doug performed the exposure assessment for potential exposure to VOC contamination resulting from a leaking underground fuel tank. He developed a one-dimensional, unsaturated zone, soil gas flux model for estimating indoor air concentrations in domestic buildings overlying subsurface areas contaminated by the spill. He also developed a two-dimensional groundwater transport model for estimating downgradient concentrations beyond the existing monitoring network. Development of Performance Goals for Remedial Measures, a Risk-Based Approach for a Manufacturing Facility, OH (MACTEC). Computed exposure point concentrations for a health risk assessment to determine performance goals for soil and groundwater remediation at a 2-acre site contaminated with several organic chemicals. Doug was responsible for the exposure assessment that involved the development of a groundwater transport model to perform two basic calculations: 1) rate of chemical removal from the contaminated areas of the unsaturated zone soil, and 2) two-dimensional chemical advection and dispersion in the shallow groundwater unit downgradient from the source area. The computation of contaminant removal from the unsaturated zone involved a one-dimensional (vertical) analysis of advection due to infiltration and molecular diffusion through the water and air phases of the soil. He also calculated contaminant dilution in the sand layer using a calibrated two-dimensional (horizontal) transport model. Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 10 of 15 NAPL Characterization and Modeling Petroleum Extraction System Optimization, Former Manufacturing Facility, MA (MACTEC). Developed and calibrated a two-dimensional fuel oil flow model using the SPILLCAD software to evaluate historical free product recovery volumes and optimize extraction well locations and oil and groundwater pumping rates. He used the calibrated oil flow model to (i) demonstrate the effectiveness of the recovery system in minimizing the future risk of off-site free product transport and (ii) estimate the time period required to obtain the remedial goals for the site. Remedial Design and Investigation, Former Manufactured Gas Plant (MGP) Site, Fort Wayne, IN (MACTEC). Doug designed a groundwater and NAPL (coal tar) containment and collection system for this former MGP site adjacent to a river. A sheet pile wall provided containment along the perimeter of the site, and a trench system with collection pipes and wells collected groundwater and NAPL. Doug developed a three-dimensional groundwater model (MODFLOW) to determine the required water levels in the various collection trench segments to provide hydraulic control of the groundwater plume and optimize NAPL recovery. Remedial Design and Investigation, Former MGP Site, Hammond, IN (MACTEC). Doug designed a NAPL (coal tar) containment system at this former MGP site to prevent NAPL migration into a river that formed the downgradient site boundary. Doug evaluated slurry wall and sheet piling designs. He developed a three-dimensional groundwater model (MODFLOW) of the site to evaluate optimal containment wall designs (e.g., wing wall orientation and length) for minimizing off-site groundwater transport of contaminants. In addition, he used the model to evaluate water level increases on the upgradient side of the wall and potential design options (e.g., gates) to mitigate this effect. Surface Water Modeling Evaporation Prediction for Heated Water Bodies, Research Project for the Electric Power Research Institute, GA (Massachusetts Institute of Technology). Evaluated the evaporative heat loss from a series of heated (70 degrees Celsius) cooling ponds (1 to 5 acres) and canals. Doug developed a one-dimensional hydrothermal model to evaluate the temperature distribution and the energy budgets for the system of water bodies. He performed a literature review of evaporation prediction methods, emphasizing methods capable of predicting combined free (thermally induced) and forced (wind) evaporative heat loss. The research resulted in the formulation of a new evaporation equation that more accurately predicts heat loss from water bodies for conditions, such as high water temperature, where both free and forced evaporation are important. Site Evaluation of Two Nuclear Power Plants for Northeast Utilities, New England (Massachusetts Institute of Technology). Doug evaluated waste heat transport from two nuclear power generation facilities located along the coast of New England. He developed two-dimensional numerical tidal hydrodynamic and Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 11 of 15 thermal transport models to evaluate temperature increases in adjacent estuaries. He used the temperature simulations to locate new water intakes and to determine heat effects on sediment biota. Sewage Disposal Outfall Siting Study for the Massachusetts Water Resources Authority, Boston, MA (Massachusetts Institute of Technology). Doug evaluated tidal hydrodynamics and contaminant transport in Boston Harbor as part of the design of the new Deer Island sewage treatment plant. He used mass loading data at the existing Deer and Nut Island treatment plants in conjunction with measured concentration distributions for six chlorinated VOCs to calibrate dispersion coefficients and first order surface volatilization rates for the compounds. He used current meter measurements for calibration of the twodimensional, harmonic hydrodynamic model. He simulated harbor concentrations for several planned diffuser outfall locations using a two-dimensional, transient contaminant transport model that was linked with the hydrodynamic model. Estimate of Toxic Chemical Loadings to Puget Sound, Washington State Department of Ecology Toxics Cleanup Program, WA (Hart Crowser). Doug was the Technical Director assisting Ecology with a multiyear effort to develop strategies, remedial actions, and performance measures to protect and restore the overall health of the Puget Sound ecosystem. He identified toxic chemicals of concern and characterized contaminant sources and pathways (e.g., stormwater runoff, municipal/industrial wastewater effluents, groundwater discharge, chemical spills, and atmospheric deposition). For each of the 17 chemicals of concern, Doug estimated average annual rates of mass loading (runoff rates and stormwater concentrations) to Puget Sound via each pathway. He developed a probabilistic approach to characterizing data uncertainty that involved computing cumulative probability distributions for each mass loading pathway. Surface Water Quality Impact of Treatment System Effluent, Industri-Plex Trust, Superfund Site, Woburn, MA (MACTEC). Developed two-dimensional hydrodynamic and contaminant transport models of a 10-acre impoundment to evaluate water quality impacts of the treatment system effluent from a series of groundwater extraction wells. Both organic (VOC) and inorganic contaminants were present in the waste stream. Steady-state hydrodynamic simulations, qualitatively verified by field observations, provided an understanding of the velocity distribution in the impoundment that was a function of both tributary and treatment system inflows and large water depth variations of 5 to 20 feet. Doug incorporated depthaveraged contaminant concentration distributions computed using the transport model in an aquatic impact assessment designed to determine preferred effluent discharge locations and rates. Surface Water Quality Impact of Dam Breach, Bangor Hydroelectric, ME (MACTEC). Doug developed a numerical, one-dimensional dissolved oxygen transport model to evaluate receiving water quality impacts from hydrodynamic changes caused by the breaching of a dam in a large river system. He used the USACE’s stream hydraulics model HEC-1 to simulate river stage and velocity for a range of breach elevations and stream flow rates. For each flow field the transport model provided estimates of dissolved oxygen changes in the river system. These results demonstrated the beneficial effects of leaving the dam in place. Sedimentation and Erosion Control Plan Design for DuPont, SC (D’Appolonia). Designed the sedimentation and erosion control plan for a 200-acre site disturbed during construction of a waste Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 12 of 15 processing facility. Evaluations included calculation of storm runoff hydrographs, the design of three sedimentation basins with heights ranging from 10 to 20 feet and storage capacities of 3 to 5 acre-feet, hydraulic design of primary and emergency spillways for the basins, specification of diversion ditch locations and sizes, and design of various other erosion control measures. Research Research Assistant, School of Earth Sciences, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, 2003 – 2006. • Dissertation: Numerical Investigation of Field-Scale Convective Mixing Processes in Heterogeneous, Variable-Density Flow Systems Using High-Resolution Adaptive Mesh Refinement Methods. Advisor: Motomu Ibaraki. • Ph.D. Research: Developed new adaptive simulation software for high-resolution, field-scale modeling of non-linear, variable-density ground water flow systems. Examined practical problems such as in situ chemical oxidation of contaminants by dense treatment fluids, water supply applications such as freshwater storage and recovery in coastal aquifers, and saltwater intrusion assessments. The software automatically adjusts to multiple scales of convective mixing processes by translating and adding/removing telescoping levels of progressively finer subgrids to maintain a specified numerical accuracy throughout the global simulation domain. Adaptive mesh refinement methods and higherorder Eulerian-Lagrangian discretization schemes were used to construct a three-dimensional flow and transport code capable of simulating fine-scale (~1-10 cm) instability development and resulting convective mixing in field-scale variable-density ground water flow systems. Because the flow and transport solutions for each subgrid are computed independently, field-scale simulations are broken into multiple smaller problems that can be modeled more efficiently and with finer detail. Convective mixing in heterogeneous porous media is shown to be more amenable to prediction than previously concluded. Convective mixing rates are related to the geostatistical properties of the aquifer (variance and mean of the log permeability distribution, horizontal and vertical correlation scales), the fluid density difference, the magnitude of local small-scale dispersion, the effects of different permeability field realizations, the injection well size and orientation, hydraulic parameters such as injection rate and regional hydraulic gradient, and the spatial resolution. Further, three-dimensional fluid mixing rates are related to mathematical expressions for density-dependent macrodispersivity that are based on stochastic flow and solute transport theory. • Colloid transport modeling: Simulated colloid and radionuclide injection experiments for fracturedrock test site in Switzerland. Used two-dimensional finite element code COLFRAC (flow and transport of colloids and contaminants in discretely-fractured porous media) to perform sensitivity analyses involving: fracture aperture, spacing, connectivity; secondary permeability and diffusion rate in rock matrix; equilibrium and kinetic radionuclide sorption parameters for colloids and fracture walls; longitudinal dispersivity; colloid filtration coefficient; and radionuclide decay rate. Research Assistant, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, 1984 – 1987. • Areas of Specialization: Hydraulics/hydrology, surface water heat transport mechanisms, heat transfer in unstable atmospheric boundary layers, tidally- and density-driven flow/transport, chemical fate/transport, numerical methods (finite element, finite difference, Eulerian-Lagrangian). • Thesis: Evaporation from Heated Water Bodies, Predicting Combined Forced Plus Free Convection. Advisor: Eric Adams. Constructed hydrothermal model to compute evaporative heat loss from 70o C cooling ponds and canals based on simulated temperature distributions and energy budgets. Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 13 of 15 • • Formulated new evaporation equation that more accurately predicts heat loss from heated water bodies for conditions where both free and forced evaporation are important. Surface water modeling: Analyzed tidal hydrodynamics and contaminant transport in Boston Harbor and Massachusetts Bay for design of new Deer Island sewage treatment plant. Constructed twodimensional, finite element hydrodynamic (harmonic) flow and Eulerian-Lagrangian transport models to evaluate mixing of treatment plant effluent for alternative multi-port diffuser designs and locations. Hydrothermal modeling: Developed two-dimensional finite element, tidal hydrodynamic and thermal transport models to evaluate waste heat transport in estuaries for two nuclear power generation facilities. Research Assistant, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, 1977 – 1979. • Areas of Specialization: Turbulent transport processes, hydraulics/hydrology, numerical methods. • Thesis: Numerical Simulation of Turbulence in a Wind-Driven, Shallow Water Lake. Advisor: Keith Bedford. Developed three-dimensional hydrodynamics code (finite difference) using large-eddy simulation techniques. Evaluated energy cascade process for turbulent flows in lakes through spectral analysis of velocity fluctuation time series. Independent Research, 1990 – 2002. • Effects of Rate-Limited Mass Transfer, Vertical Concentration Distribution, and Well Design on Ground-Water Sampling and Remediation: Constructed numerical axisymmetric flow and nonequilibrium (multi-rate) transport models to simulate monitoring/extraction well concentrations as a function of plume shape and well design. Showed how sample concentration variations with time can be used to determine vertical concentration distributions in plumes and aquifer properties such as vertical anisotropy ratio, porosity, retardation factor, and soil-water mass transfer parameters. • Commercial Contaminant Transport and Biodegradation Modeling Software: Author of the RiskBased Correction Action (RBCA) Tier 2 Analyzer, a two-dimensional ground water flow, nonequilibrium (multi-rate) transport, and biodegradation model. Software is based on EulerianLagrangian solution of transport equation with alternating direction implict (ADI) technique for dispersion, and fourth-order Runge-Kutta scheme for PCE decay chain and BTEX biodegradation terms. Teaching Instructor, School of Earth Sciences, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, 2006. • Instructor for graduate-level courses in hydrogeology and environmental risk assessment, and undergraduate courses in hydrology and water resources. Teaching Assistant, School of Earth Sciences, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, 2003-2006. • Taught several class sessions of graduate-level courses in hydrogeology and environmental risk assessment, and an undergraduate course in water resources. Assisted in the preparation of lecture materials and homework assignments, developed class projects involving field applications, and guided group discussions among students during classes. • Instructor for laboratory sessions of class in earth sciences and water resources. Prepared review materials and lectured on fundamental concepts, and directed students during laboratory exercises. Mathematics Tutor, Boston Partners in Education, Boston, MA, 2001. Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 14 of 15 • Served as volunteer tutor for high school students in Boston Public School system. Taught individual studies mathematics course in preparation for Massachusetts Comprehensive Assessment System (MCAS) proficiency tests. Teaching Assistant, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, 1984 – 1987. • Instructed laboratory sessions of undergraduate fluid mechanics course. Conducted laboratory demonstrations and directed students during experiments using various fluid mechanics apparatus. Led field trip to conduct a stream tracer study and evaluate stream hydraulics and dispersion characteristics. Engineering Tutor and Coordinator, College of Engineering, The Ohio State University, 1974 – 1977. • Tutored undergraduate engineering students in mathematics, physics, chemistry, and engineering mechanics. Served as student program coordinator responsible for evaluating undergraduate educational requirements, and tutor assignments and schedules. PUBLICATIONS Cosler, D.J. 2006. Numerical Investigation of Field-Scale Convective Mixing Processes in Heterogeneous, Variable-Density Flow Systems Using High-Resolution Adaptive Mesh Refinement Methods. Ph.D. Dissertation, The Ohio State University, School of Earth Sciences, Columbus, Ohio. Cosler, D.J. 2004*. Effects of Rate-Limited Mass Transfer on Water Sampling with Partially Penetrating Wells. Ground Water 42, no. 2: 203-222. Cosler, D.J. 2000. Risk-Based Correction Action (RBCA) Tier 2 Analyzer, Two-Dimensional Groundwater Flow and Biodegradation Model, Ref. Manual. Waterloo Hydrogeologic, Inc., Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. Cosler, D.J. 1997*. Ground-Water Sampling and Time-Series Evaluation Techniques to Determine Vertical Concentration Distributions. Ground Water 35, no. 5: 825-841. Adams, E.E. and Cosler, D.J. 1990*. Evaporation from Heated Water Bodies: Predicting Combined Forced Plus Free Convection. Water Resources Research 26, no. 3: 425-435. Adams, E., Kossik, R., Cosler, D., MacFarlane, J., and Gschwend, P. 1990. Calibration of a Transport Model Using Halocarbons. Estuarine and Coastal Modeling, M.L. Spaulding, ed., ASCE, New York, N.Y., pp. 380-389. Andrews, D.E. and Cosler, D.J. 1989*. Preventing and Coping with Water Pollution. Journal of Testing and Evaluation, ASTM 17, no. 2: 95-105. Walton, R., Kossik, R., Adams, E., and Cosler, D. 1989. Far-Field Numerical Model Studies for Boston's New Secondary Treatment Plant Outfall Siting. Third National Conference on Hydraulic Engineering, New Orleans, Louisiana, August 14-18. Adams, E.E. and Cosler, D.J. 1988*. Density Exchange Flow Through a Slotted Curtain. Journal of Hydraulic Research 26, no. 3: 261-273. Adams, E.E. and Cosler, D.J. 1987. Predicting Circulation and Dispersion Near Coastal Power Plants: Applications Using Models TEA and ELA. Massachusetts Institute of Technology Energy Laboratory Report No. MIT-EL 87-008, 113. Adams, E.E., Cosler, D.J., and Helfrich, K.R. 1987. Evaporation from Heated Water Bodies: Analysis of Data from the East Mesa and Savannah River Sites. Civil Engineer Degree Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. Cosler, D.J. and Snow, R.E. 1984*. Leachate Collection System Performance Analysis. Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, ASCE 110, no. 8: 1025-1041. Snow, R.E. and Cosler, D.J. 1983. Computer Simulation of Ground Water Inflow to an Underground Mine. In Proceedings of the First Conference on Use of Computers in the Coal Industry, AIME, (Y.J. Wang and R.L. Sanford editors), pp. 587-593. W. Virginia University, August 1-3. Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. - Page 15 of 15 Cosler, D.J. 1979. Numerical Simulation of Turbulence in a Wind-Driven, Shallow Water Lake. M.S. Thesis, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio. * Denotes peer-reviewed journal. PRESENTATIONS Cosler, D.J. 2015. An Intelligent Graphical User Interface for MODFLOW and MT3D based on Dynamic Adaptive Mesh Refinement Methods. MODFLOW and More 2015 Conference. Colorado School of Mines, Golden, Colorado, May 31 - June 3. Cosler, D.J. 2013. Numerical Simulation of Multiscale Transport Processes in Variable-Density Flow Systems Using High-Resolution Adaptive Mesh Refinement Methods. MODFLOW and More 2013 Conference. Colorado School of Mines, Golden, Colorado, June 2-5. Cosler, D.J. 2006. Numerical Investigation of Field-Scale Convective Mixing Processes in Heterogeneous, Variable-Density Flow Systems Using High-Resolution Adaptive Mesh Refinement Methods. Geological Society of America Annual Meeting, October 22-25, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Cosler, D.J. and Ibaraki, M. 2006. Numerical Investigation of Multiple-, Interacting-Scale VariableDensity Ground Water Flow Systems. American Geophysical Union, Western Pacific Geophysics Meeting, July 24-27, Beijing, China. Cosler, D.J. and Ibaraki, M. 2005. Numerical Investigation of Multiple-, Interacting-Scale VariableDensity Ground Water Flow Systems. Geological Society of America Annual Meeting, October 16-19, Salt Lake City, Utah. Cosler, D.J. 2003. Modeling the Effects of Multirate Mass Transfer on Water Sampling with PartiallyPenetrating Wells. Geological Society of America Annual Meeting, November 2-5, Seattle, Washington. Expert Report of Philip Bedient, P.E. REMEDIATION OF SOIL AND GROUNDWATER AT THE CLIFFSIDE STEAM STATION OPERATED BY DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS, LLC MOORESBORO, NORTH CAROLINA Expert Opinion of: Philip B. Bedient, Ph.D., P.E. P.B. Bedient and Associates, Inc. P.O. Box 1892 Houston, Texas 77251 713-303-0266 Amended 13 April 2016 13 April 2016 REMEDIATION OF SOIL AND GROUNDWATER AT THE CLIFFSIDE STEAM STATION OPERATED BY DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS, LLC MOORESBORO, NORTH CAROLINA TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.0 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 1.2 2.0 Summary of the HDR CSA ............................................................................................... 2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 3.0 Excavation and Removal .................................................................................................... 5 Cap-In-place........................................................................................................................ 5 Opinions .............................................................................................................................. 5 4.1 4.2 4.3 5.0 Physical Setting................................................................................................................... 2 Hydrogeology ..................................................................................................................... 3 Cliffside Coal Ash Basins and Coal Combustion Products (CCP) Landfill ....................... 3 Contamination..................................................................................................................... 4 Efficacy of Remedial Options for Coal Ash Contaminants Evaluated by HDR .......... 4 3.1 3.2 4.0 Summary of Opinions ......................................................................................................... 1 Qualifications ...................................................................................................................... 2 The groundwater flow and transport model developed by HDR to evaluate remediation scenarios at the site is fundamentally flawed. ................................................. 5 The remediation scenarios evaluated by HDR will not prevent coal ash contaminants from migrating across the compliance boundary and into the Broad River for the foreseeable future. ......................................................................................... 6 Successful remediation of groundwater will require excavation and removal coupled with hydraulic groundwater containment. ............................................................. 7 References ........................................................................................................................... 7 Remediation of Soil and Groundwater Cliffside Steam Station, Belmont, NC i Expert Opinion of Philip B. Bedient, Ph.D., P.E. 13 April 2016 REMEDIATION OF SOIL AND GROUNDWATER AT THE CLIFFSIDE STEAM STATION OPERATED BY DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS, LLC BELMONT, NORTH CAROLINA 1.0 Introduction I was retained on this project for the purpose of evaluating remediation of soil and groundwater at the Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC (Duke) Cliffside Steam Station (the “site”) coal ash disposal facilities. In particular, I have focused my analysis on different methods of preventing continued transport of coal ash contaminants across the compliance boundary in groundwater at concentrations that exceed relevant groundwater standards. The compliance boundary 1 is the regulatory boundary established for measuring compliance with applicable water quality standards by the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (NCDEQ). The relevant standards are: • 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Quality Standards (2L Standards); and, • 15A NCAC 2L.0202(c) Interim Maximum Allowable Concentrations (IMACs) established by the NCDEQ, which apply to groundwater locations beyond the limits of the ash basins. My opinions are based on my professional experience in hydrogeology, environmental engineering, hydrology and hydraulics, and review of relevant data, maps, aerials, documentation to date, and are subject to change if and when additional information becomes available. 1.1 Summary of Opinions It is my opinion that: • The groundwater flow and transport model developed by HDR to evaluate remediation scenarios at the site is fundamentally flawed. • The cap-in-place remediation scenario evaluated by HDR will not cause groundwater standards to be met inside the compliance boundary, cause groundwater standards to be met beyond the compliance boundary, prevent coal ash contaminants from migrating across the compliance boundary, or prevent migration into Suck Creek and the Broad River for the foreseeable future. • Successful remediation of groundwater will require excavation and removal coupled with additional measures, such as hydraulic groundwater containment. 1 My references to the compliance boundary mean the compliance boundary as drawn by HDR in the CSA (HDR, 2015a). My references do not imply that I believe that the compliance boundary drawn by HDR is correct. Remediation of Soil and Groundwater Cliffside Steam Station, Mooresboro, NC 1 Expert Opinion of Philip B. Bedient, Ph.D., P.E. 13 April 2016 1.2 Qualifications My educational background, research and professional experience, and the review of documents and models provided are the basis of my opinions. I hold the Ph.D. degree from the University of Florida in Environmental Engineering Sciences, and I have attached a curriculum vita including a list of peer-reviewed publications. I am the professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Rice University, where I have been on faculty since 1975, and teach courses in hydrology, floodplain analysis and modeling, and courses in groundwater hydrology, contaminant transport, and transport modeling. My textbook entitled “Hydrology and Floodplain Analysis” is one of the top texts used at over 75 universities in the U.S. I have also written a textbook entitled “Ground Water Contamination Transport and Remediation.” I am currently the Herman Brown Professor of Engineering, a Fellow of ASCE, and a Diplomat of the American Academy of Water Resources Engineers. I am a registered professional engineer in Texas. Groundwater Contamination and Remediation I have been actively involved in groundwater contamination and remediation studies for many years. I was principle investigator (PI) on a major EPA-funded study of Hill Air Force base in the late 1990s where comparison tests for various remediation of Dense Non-Aqueous Phase Liquids (DNAPLs) were performed. In the 1990s, I was a member of the EPA National Center for Groundwater Research, and I held the Shell Distinguished Chair in Environmental Science for my efforts in developing biodegradation models in the subsurface. Between 1999 and 2002, I had the opportunity to work on the remediation of MTBE spills sites in Texas and California. From 2000-2003, I worked on chlorinated solvent impacts and remediation strategies through a study funded by EPA. More recently, I evaluated the impact of ethanol on groundwater and various remediation methods on an API-funded study from 2003-2007. I have worked on groundwater contamination and remediation litigation at more than 30 waste sites nationwide. These sites include DOW Chemical and Vista Chemical in Louisiana; Conroe Creosote, Brio, Texas Instruments and San Jacinto Waste Pits in Texas; Raytheon in Florida; coal ash sites in North Carolina; BF Goodrich in California; and an Amoco site in Missouri. My experience with groundwater contamination and remediation at military sites include Coast Guard facility in Michigan, Eglin, Hill and Kelly Air Force Bases. 2.0 Summary of the HDR CSA The information related in this summary is derived from the HDR Comprehensive Site Assessment report and CAP Part 1 and Part 2 report (CSA; HDR, 2015a; HDR, 2016). I have noted in this section where my interpretation of the CSA data differs from HDR’s, and the basis for those differing interpretations are provided in my technical opinions. 2.1 Physical Setting Duke Energy owns and operates the Cliffside Steam Station (CSS) which is located in Moorseboro, North Carolina. Operation as a coal-fired generating station began at CSS in 1940 Remediation of Soil and Groundwater Cliffside Steam Station, Mooresboro, NC 2 Expert Opinion of Philip B. Bedient, Ph.D., P.E. 13 April 2016 (HDR, 2015). CSS was once a 6-unit operating station. In 2011, Units 1 through 4 were retired while Units 5 and 6 continue to operate. 2.2 Hydrogeology The CSS site is located in the Inner Piedmont within the Cat Square terrane, which is one of a number of tectonostratigraphic terranes that have been defined in the southern and central Appalachians (HDR, 2015). According to the Corrective Action Plan (CAP) Part I, the Cat Square Terrane is bounded by the younger-over-older Brindle Creek fault to the west that places the terrane over the Tugaloo terrane of the Inner Piedmont and the Central Piedmont suture to the east. The terrane is characterized by gentle dipping structures and low-angle thrust faulting and sillimanite and higher amphibolite grade metamorphism (HDR, 2015). The fractured bedrock is overlain by a mantle of unconsolidated material known as regolith (HDR, 2015). According to the CAP Part I, the regolith includes residual soil and saprolite zones, and where present, alluvial deposits. Saprolite, the product of chemical weathering of the underlying bedrock, is typically composed of clay and coarser granular materials (HDR, 2015). According to the CAP Part I, the groundwater system is a two medium system generally restricted to the local drainage basin. The groundwater occurs in a system composed of two interconnected layers: residual soil/saprolite and weather rock overlying fractured metamorphic rock separated by a transition zone (TZ). Typically, the residual soil/saprolite is partially saturated and the water table fluctuates within it; water movement is generally preferential through the weathered/fractured bedrock of the TZ (i.e., zone of higher horizontal permeability) (HDR, 2015). According to HDR, the character of the system results from the combined effects of the rock type, fracture system, topography, and weathering. Topography exerts an influence on both weathering and the opening of fractures, while the weathering of the crystalline rock modifies both transmissive and storage characteristics (HDR, 2015). The geologic and hydrogeological features influencing the migration, chemical, and physical characteristics of contaminants are related to the Piedmont hydrogeologic system present at the site (HDR, 2015). According to the CSA, the direction of the migration of the contaminants is towards Suck Creek and the Broad River. According to HDR, groundwater under CSS site flows horizontally generally toward the north and discharges to the Broad River. Groundwater flow that is to the west of the active ash basin and east of Unit 6 flows toward Suck Creek which discharges to the Broad River (HDR, 2015). 2.3 Cliffside Coal Ash Basins and Coal Combustion Products (CCP) Landfill According to HDR, coal ash residue and other liquid discharges from CSS’s coal combustion process have been disposed of in the ash basin system located both west and east-southeast from the station and adjacent to the Broad River. As referenced in the CAP Part I, coal ash residue is conveyed to the active ash basin system at the plant and is used to settle and retain ash generated from coal combustion at CSS. The ash basin system is located adjacent to the Broad River and consists of the active ash basin, the Units Remediation of Soil and Groundwater Cliffside Steam Station, Mooresboro, NC 3 Expert Opinion of Philip B. Bedient, Ph.D., P.E. 13 April 2016 1-4 inactive ash basin, and the Unit 5 inactive ash basin, all of which are unlined (HDR, 2015). According to HDR, the Units 1-4 inactive ash basin was converted into holding cells for storm and plant process water. Two unlined ash storage areas are also located north and adjacent to the active ash basin (HDR, 2015). During operation of the coal-fired units, the active ash basin receives variable inflows from the ash removal system and other permitted discharges. Currently, the active ash basin is permitted to receive variable inflows from the Unit 5 fly ash handling system, Unit 5 bottom ash handling system, cooling tower blowdown, stormwater runoff from yard drainage, coal pile runoff, gypsum pile runoff, limestone pile runoff, landfill leachate, and wastewater streams generated from emission monitoring equipment (HDR, 2015). Duke Energy also owns and operates the Cliffside Steam Station Coal Combustion Products (CCP) Landfill (HDR, 2015). The CCP landfill is located nearly a mile southwest of the CSS on Duke Energy property entirely within Rutherford County (HDR, 2015). According to the CAP Part I, the CCP landfill is permitted to receive fly ash, bottom ash, boiler slag, mill rejects, flue gas desulfurization sludge, gypsum, leachate basin sludge, nob-hazardous sandblast material, limestone, ball mill rejects, coal, carbon, sulfur pellets, cation and anion resins, sediment from sumps, and cooling tower sludge generated by Duke Energy North Carolina coal-fired facilities, including from CSS. 2.4 Contamination The CAP Part I assembled by HDR uses the term COI to describe any parameter that exceeded its applicable regulatory standard or criteria. Review of laboratory analytical results within the CAP Part I identified eight COIs including arsenic, barium, boron, cobalt, iron, manganese, selenium, and vanadium. COIs identified in pore water in the ash basins and ash storage area included antimony, arsenic, boron, cobalt, iron manganese, pH, sulfate, thallium, vanadium, and TDS (HDR, 2015). According to the CAP Part I, upgradient, background monitoring wells contain naturally occurring metals and other constituents at concentrations that exceeded their respective 2L Standards or Interim Maximum Allowable Concentration (IMACs). The CAP Part I explains the that some naturally occurring metals and constituents, including antimony, chromium, cobalt, iron, manganese, and vanadium were all detected in background groundwater samples at concentrations greater than 2L Standards or IMACs however, groundwater monitoring data shows concentrations of several other constituents exceeding their respective 2L Standards or IMACS in groundwater across the site (HDR, 2015). These specific constituents with exceedances include arsenic, barium, beryllium, boron, chromium, cobalt, lead, manganese, nickel, sulfate, TDS, thallium, and vanadium (HDR, 2015). 3.0 Efficacy of Remedial Options for Coal Ash Contaminants Evaluated by HDR In its CAP Part I, HDR evaluates the effects of two remedial options on groundwater concentrations at the compliance boundary: (1) excavation of the coal ash material, and (2) the use of a cap to reduce leaching of contaminants to groundwater. The efficacy of these two Remediation of Soil and Groundwater Cliffside Steam Station, Mooresboro, NC 4 Expert Opinion of Philip B. Bedient, Ph.D., P.E. 13 April 2016 remediation options for the COIs present in groundwater at the Cliffside Station site is discussed below. 3.1 Excavation and Removal Excavation and removal would remove the source of the contamination (coal ash in all of the basins) entirely in order to end the contamination of underlying groundwater. This process would entail excavating coal ash from the site, loading it onto trucks or rail cars, and disposing of in a secure landfill that is equipped with a proper liner and leachate collection system. This remediation technique is underway at other contaminated coal ash sites in North Carolina. While there is precedent for complete removal of the coal ash, additional, temporary protective measures, such as the construction of sheet piles and coffer dams, would be necessary on this site to prevent influx of groundwater and river water during excavation. Ultimately, this remedial approach is feasible and the most effective remediation measure due to permanent source removal. Even with coal ash removal, however, the current impacted groundwater will exist as a constant source of contamination within the transmissive zones beneath and adjacent to the site and to the Broad River. Additional measures will be needed to address this residual contamination at the site. Nevertheless, excavation and removal stands as the only remediation measure that completely removes the source of contamination and, in conjunction with other measures described below, safeguards against future contamination. 3.2 Cap-In-place A cap-in-place remedy utilizes a cap of low-permeability material, including clay and/or synthetic liners, to reduce the rate of water infiltration into the underlying coal ash. The cap may be equipped with an underdrain system to capture even small amounts of water that infiltrates through the cap material. In systems where contaminants are relatively fast-moving or biodegradable, capping provides more time for the chemicals to become degraded, protecting potential receptors downgradient. Cap-and-treat technology is also limited, however. Where contaminants exist in thick material that contains substantial water, continued leaching of contaminants to groundwater may occur, even with reduced infiltration. These materials can serve as a long-term source of groundwater impacts. 4.0 Opinions Based on my review of the available reports and analysis of other data received to date, my opinions are, to a reasonable scientific certainty, the following: 4.1 The groundwater flow and transport model developed by HDR to evaluate remediation scenarios at the site is fundamentally flawed. The groundwater flow model developed for Duke has been constructed so that only one pattern of groundwater flow is possible; flow from the south site boundary northward to the Broad Remediation of Soil and Groundwater Cliffside Steam Station, Mooresboro, NC 5 Expert Opinion of Philip B. Bedient, Ph.D., P.E. 13 April 2016 River. This effect is the result of the choice of hydraulic boundary conditions in the model, which can only result in this groundwater flow pattern. No-flow boundaries to the west and east are not realistic and pre-define the groundwater flow direction. The flow model developed for Duke allows groundwater to flow only generally northward, from the coal ash basins into the Broad River. The no-flow boundaries to the west channel this flow and pre-establish the flow direction. This a priori dictation of flow direction limits the utility of the model for investigating COI transport, and inaccurate flow paths also lead to erroneous expectations of contaminant migration pathways and mass loading to the Broad River. The southern boundary condition in the flow model is not technically supported. The no-flow boundary to the south presumes that there is a groundwater divide that follows the east-west trending ridge south of the site. There is not enough evidence to support this assumption of a distinct groundwater divide south of the site. The Duke model does not account for the significant pumping from wells in the vicinity of the coal ash ponds, which would serve to divert groundwater from the direction calculated by the flow model. Many groundwater wells near the boundaries of the flow model could affect groundwater flow patterns, and these are not included in the CAP I model. 4.2 The remediation scenarios evaluated by HDR are inadequate. The cap-in-place remediation scenario evaluated by HDR will not cause groundwater standards to be met inside the compliance boundary, cause groundwater standards to be met beyond the compliance boundary, prevent coal ash contaminants from migrating across the compliance boundary, or prevent migration into Suck Creek and the Broad River for the foreseeable future. The CAP I prepared for Duke by HDR (HDR, 2015b) is not effective in addressing or mitigating the groundwater contamination occurring at this site as a result of the leakage of coal ash contents from coal ash disposal at the Cliffside Station. In Appendix C of the CAP (HDR, 2015b), Duke acknowledges that under the cap-in-place scenario, many COIs will remain above groundwater cleanup standards at the Broad River compliance boundary after 250 years. This conclusion is reached even when the soil-water partitioning coefficient (Kd) values for metals were significantly reduced during model calibration. Setting the Kd values equal to those determined in laboratory studies would result in much slower contaminant migration and more persistent exceedances at all compliance boundaries because of the much slower release of adsorbed COIs into groundwater. Of course, remediation measures that fail to meet groundwater standards beyond the compliance boundary will also fail to restore groundwater to the required standards within the compliance boundary. In the CAP Part 2 report (HDR, 2016), the cap-in-place scenario does not reduce a single COI concentration to below the groundwater standards after 100 years. The excavation and removal option would perform better than the cap-in-place option, as acknowledge by HDR in the CAP (HDR, 2015b). However, even under the excavation and removal scenario, several COIs are all projected to remain above cleanup standards at the Broad Remediation of Soil and Groundwater Cliffside Steam Station, Mooresboro, NC 6 Expert Opinion of Philip B. Bedient, Ph.D., P.E. 13 April 2016 River compliance boundary after many decades. With a more appropriate value of Kd, it is likely that other constituents would also exceed groundwater cleanup levels at the Broad River compliance boundary. 4.3 Successful remediation of groundwater will require excavation and removal coupled with hydraulic groundwater containment. To eliminate ongoing migration of COIs across the compliance boundary, full excavation and removal of the ash from the landfill and the underlying unlined coal ash pit is necessary as a first step. The precedent for this degree of remediation is occurring currently in North Carolina among several sites. In addition, care will need to be taken with the excavation process due to the site’s proximity to the Broad River. This can be accomplished by means such as the construction of sheet piles and coffer dams, or by the installation of hydraulic control wells prior to excavation. Excavation alone, however, will not prevent discharges of COIs to the Broad River. Because of the significant depth of the bedrock unit and the rocky composition of the lower groundwaterbearing zones, barrier walls on the site boundaries are probably not feasible. Thus, the implementation of additional measures will be needed in order to meet groundwater standards under the excavation and removal approach. As a result, additional measures would need to be implemented following coal ash removal, such as hydraulic containment to remove COIimpacted groundwater so that COIs are maintained on Duke property. Ultimately, full excavation and removal of the ash coupled with the suggested additional measures is the most effective remedial approach. It is important to note that pairing such additional measures with lesser source control strategies, such as the cap-in-place option, will still not be sufficient to meet the groundwater standards. 5.0 References Bedient, 1997. Ground Water Contamination: Transport and Remediation. Second Addition. Bedient, Philip B.; Rifai, Hanadi S.; Newell, Charles J. 1997. HDR, 2015a. “Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin, HDR Engineering,” Inc. of the Carolinas, August 23, 2015. HDR, 2015b. “Corrective Action Plan Part 1, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin,” HDR Engineering, Inc. of the Carolinas, November 20, 2015. HDR, 2016. “Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin,” HDR Engineering, Inc. of the Carolinas, February 19, 2016. Remediation of Soil and Groundwater Cliffside Steam Station, Mooresboro, NC 7 Expert Opinion of Philip B. Bedient, Ph.D., P.E. November 2, 2015 Philip B. Bedient, Ph.D., P.E. Curriculum Vitae ADDRESS: Herman Brown Professor of Engineering Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Rice University/MS - 317 6100 Main St. / Houston, Texas 77005 (713) 348-4953 or fax (713) 348-5239 Email – bedient@rice.edu P.B. Bedient and Associates, Inc. 13910 Wilde Forest Court Sugar Land, TX 77498 (281) 491-3911 EDUCATION: B.S. Physics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, 1969 M.S. Environmental Engineering, University of Florida, 1972 Ph.D. Environmental Engineering Sciences, University of Florida, 1975 PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE: Herman Brown Professor of Engineering - Civil and Environmental Engineering- Rice University - July 2001 to present. Professor - Environmental Engineering - Rice University - 1986 to 2001. Professor and Chair - Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Rice University, Houston, Texas, 1992 - 1999. Associate Professor - Environmental Engineering – 1980 - 1986. Assistant Professor - Environmental Engineering – 1975 - 1980. SCIENTIFIC SOCIETIES: American Society of Civil Engineers American Institute of Hydrology American Water Resources Association Association of Environmental Engineering Professors American Academy of Water Resources Engineers American Geophysical Union HONORS: Diplomate - Water Resources Engineer, American Academy of Water Resources Engineers (2008) C.V. Theis Award from the American Institute of Hydrology (April 2007) Fellow – American Society of Civil Engineers (April, 2006) Endowed Chair – Herman Brown Professor in Engineering (July, 2001) Shell Distinguished Chair in Environmental Science (1988-93) Phi Beta Kappa PROFESSIONAL COMMITTEES: SSPEED Center Committee 2007-2014 Expert Panel – “Impacts of Climate Change on Transportation Systems and Infrastructure in the Gulf Coast” USDOT and USGS, 2005 - 2006 TS Allison Recovery Project - Technical Advisory Committee - 2002-2003 Harris County Flood Control District - Brays Bayou Federal Project Com – 1998- 2002 2 National Academy of Engineers (National Research Council) Committee on DoE Environmental Management Technologies (CEMT) - 1995-96 Committee on In-Situ Bioremediation - 1992-93 UNIVERSITY COMMITTEES: Undergraduate Curriculum Committee, 2005-2012 Accreditation (ABET/SACS) Committee, 2005-2012 Events and Reception Committee (Chair) 2012 Mentorship Committee 2012 Space Planning Committee, 2005-2012 CEE Student-Group Advisors 2012 BSCE Advisor 2012 Center for Civic Engagement Committee, 2007-2012 Parking Committee, 1998-2012 Search Committee, Civil and Environmental Engineering, (2001-2002) Chair, Dean of Engineering Search Committee, (1988) Computer Committee, Athletics Committee, 1998-2000 Advisory Council, School of Engineering, LICENSES: Professional Engineer, State of Texas, Environmental Engineering (45626) Professional Hydrologist, American Institute of Hydrology RESEARCH INTERESTS: Floodplain Management - Analysis of effects of land use changes and development patterns on flood hydrographs and floodplain boundaries; use of lumped and distributed hydrologic models; detailed modeling of alternative flood control strategies and dynamic floodplain models. Analysis of the severe storm impacts in urban watershed areas using radar rainfall data, combined with GIS techniques for digital terrain and hydraulic modeling in Houston and other coastal areas in Texas. Flood Alert Systems with Radar - The development of a real-time flood ALERT system (FAS) for Brays Bayou and the Texas Medical Center in Houston, TX has been completed. The FAS currently uses NEXRAD radar for application to flood prediction and real-time flood alert systems. FAS2 is a second-generation system being implemented with funding from FEMA after TS Allison. TXDOT funded new FAS for inundated bridge crossings (2008). Groundwater Contaminant Transport - Monitoring and modeling of groundwater hydrology and contaminant movement from various waste sources, numerical and analytical methods for transport with biodegradation. Development and application of tracer studies and models for groundwater transport with biodegradation in a controlled release tank (ECRS), for studying degradation of PCE and TCE plumes and for ethanol in fuel spills. Analysis of plume dynamics at sites in California, Texas and Florida. Hazardous Waste Site Evaluation - Monitoring and modeling of waste plumes associated with 35 hazardous waste sites nationally. Identification of extent of contamination, transport mechanisms, and control strategies. MODFLOW and RT3D modeling of transport and aquifer restoration using withdrawal-treatment and microbial degradation methods. Analysis of hazardous waste sites in California, Texas and Florida. COURSES and STUDENTS: • CEVE 412 - Hydrology and Watershed Analysis • CEVE 512 - Hydrologic Design Laboratory 3 • • CEVE 101 - Fundamentals of Civil and Environmental Engineering CEVE 415/515 - Water Resources Planning and Management (50%) • 13 Ph.D. and 60 M.S. degrees since 1975 RESEARCH STATEMENT: Dr. Philip B. Bedient is also Herman Brown Professor of Engineering in the Dept of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Rice University. He teaches and performs research in surface and ground water hydrology, disaster management, and flood prediction systems. He served as Chair of Environmental Engineering from 1992 to 1999. He has directed 60 research projects over the past 36 years, has written over 180 articles in journals and conference proceedings. He is lead author on a text on “Hydrology and Floodplain Analysis” (Prentice Hall, 5th ed., 2012) used in over 75 universities across the U.S. Dr. Bedient received the Herman Brown endowed Chair of Engineering in 2002 at Rice University. He was elected to Fellow ASCE in 2006 and received the prestigious C.V. Theis Award from the American Institute of Hydrology in 2007. He earlier received the Shell Distinguished Chair in Environmental Science (1988 to 1993). He is the director of the Severe Storm Prediction Center (SSPEED) at Rice University (since 2007) consisting of a team of seven universities and 15 investigators from Gulf coast universities dedicated to improving storm prediction, education, and evacuation from disaster. The Center was approved by the Texas Legislature and is currently funded at over $4.5 million for 5 years from various sources including the Houston Endowment (Hurricane Ike Lessons Learned and Future Steps). A book has been developed and published by TAMU press titled “Lessons from Hurricane Ike” published in June 2012. The SSPEED Center has taken a zone approach to developing mitigation strategies and has identified four zones of interest in the Houston-Galveston region: the Houston Ship Channel, West Bayshore, Galveston Island and a Coastal Recreation Area. Dr. Bedient has over 37 years of experience working on flood and flood prediction problems in the U.S. He has evaluated flood issues in Texas, California, Florida, Louisiana, and Tennessee. He has worked on some of the largest and most devastating floods to hit the U.S. including the San Jacinto River flood of 1994, T.S. Frances in 1998, T.S. Allison in 2001, Hurricane Katrina in 2005, Hurricane Rita in 2005, Hurricane Ike in 2008, and the Nashville, TN flood of 2010. He routinely runs computer models such as HEC-HMS, HEC-RAS, SWMM, and VFLO for advanced hydrologic analysis. He developed one of the first radar based rainfall flood alert systems (FAS-3) in the U.S. for the Texas Medical Center. The SSPEED Center has put on a number of conferences, meetings, and training courses since 2007. Prominent national speakers have been invited to these conferences, which include attendees from academia, industry, consulting, and emergency managers. These conferences provide a forum for public discussion and response for decision and policy makers, and stakeholders. As a result of this work, we have received a large number of Rice News stories over the past several years, in the form of both video interviews with the media as well as newspaper coverage. Dr. Bedient has been involved in the technology transfer area for more than two decades through the teaching of short courses for government, university, and private sectors. He has recently organized five conferences on Severe Storm flooding and recovery projects in 2001, 2003, and 2005, 2006, and 2007 on the Rice University campus. In 2008 he organized a new major conference on “Severe Storms Prediction and Global Climate in the Gulf Coast” in October 2008 which hosted speakers who experienced first hand the impacts of both hurricanes Katrina and Ike this past summer. More than 125 people attended on the Rice campus and the conference was highlighted with over 60 talks including the keynote from the director of the National Hurricane Center. 4 SURFACE WATER PROJECT “SSPEED Center Proposal to the Houston Endowment Coastal Integrated”, Houston Endowment, 2011-2014, $3,195,451 “FAS3- Operational Support”, Texas Medical Center, 2012, $69,000 “Urban Resilience: Flooding in the Houston-Galveston Area”, Kinder. 2009-2012, $240,003 “White Oak Bayou BMP Demonstration Project – Cottage Grove Subdivision”, City of Houston, 2009-2013, $165,000. “Residential Storm Surge Damage Assessment for Galveston County”, Texas General Land (GLO), 2012-2013, $100,000 Office “Rice University FEMA: Food Analysis”, Rice, 2011-2012, $70,000 “Amendment to Expand Development and Validation of the Online Storm Risk Calculator Tool for Public Usage”, City of Houston, 2011, $388,030 “Hurricane Ike: Lessons Learned and Steps to the Future”, Houston Endowment, 2009-2012, $1,250,000 “Libya AEL Training Grant”, AECOM, 2008-2010, $1.7 million over 2 years. “Texas OEM SSPEED Training” University of Texas, 2008, $90,000 “Watershed Information Sensing and Evaluation System”, Houston Endowment (with UH), 20072010, $400,000. “Advanced Flood Alert System for the TXDOT for Bridge Control at 288”, HGAC, 2007-2011 $200,000. “Civil and Environmental Engineering for the 21st Century”, NSF Dept Reform Grant, 2005-2007, $100,000. “CASA – Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere – the Houston Testbed”, NSF, 2003 – 2009, $110,000, ($90,000 for 2006-07). “FAS2 - Operational Support”, Texas Medical Center, 2003-2012, $69,000 . “Flood Alert System (FAS2) for the Texas Medical Center and Brays Bayou”, FEMA, 2002-2003, $300,000. “Multi-Purpose Water Management Technology for the Texas Mexico Border”, Advanced Technology Program, 2000-2001, $129,000. “Analysis of Clear Creek Watershed,” Galveston Bay Preservation Foundation, 1999-2000, $15,000. “Flood Alert System - Maintenance and Support”, Texas Medical Center, 1998-2002, $271,000. 5 “Flood Prediction System for the Texas Medical Center”, Texas Medical Center, 1997-1998, $262,000. “The Effects of Changing Water Quality and Market Inefficiencies on Water Resource Allocation in the Lower Rio Grande Valley”, Energy and Environmental Systems Institute, Rice University, 19961997, $12,000. "Characterization of Laguna Madre Contaminated Sediments", Environmental Protection Agency, 1995, $68,500. "Role of Particles in Mobilizing Hazardous Chemicals in Urban Runoff", Environmental Protection Agency, 1992-95, $240,000. (P. B. Bedient, Co-P.I.). "Galveston Bay Characterization Report", Galveston Bay National Estuary Program, 1991-1992, $35,000. "Characterization of Non-Point Sources and Loadings to Galveston Bay", Galveston Bay National Estuary Program, 1990-1991, $125,000. "Linkages between Sewage Treatment Plant Discharges, Lake Houston Water Quality, and Potable Water Supply during Storm Events", City of Houston, 1984-1985, $42,200. "Plan of Study for Upper Watershed Drainage Improvements and Flood Control - San Jacinto River Basin", subcontract from R. Wayne Smith, Engineer, 1984-85, $120,260. "Harris Gully Sub watershed Study", South Main Center Association, 1983-1984. $15,000. "Sedimentation and Nonpoint Source Study of Lake Houston", Houston-Galveston Area Council, 1981-1982, $55,000. "Environmental Study of the Lake Houston Watershed - Phase II", Houston-Galveston Area Council, 1980-1981, $30,000. "Evaluation of Effects of Storm water Detention in Urban Areas", matching grant with City of Houston Health Department, Office of Water Research and Technology (OWRT), Washington, D.C., and City of Houston Public Health Engineering, 1980-81, $116,000. "Environmental Management of the Lake Houston Watershed", Funded by City of Houston, Dept. of Public Health, 1978-80, $80,000. "A Preliminary Feasibility Report for Bear Creek, Texas, Local Protection Project", Grant to Southwest Center for Urban Research, Funded by U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, 1977-78, $47,000. "Environmental Study of New Iberia Navigation Port and Channel, Louisiana", Funded to Rice Center, 1979, $50,000. "Strategies for Flood Control on Cypress Creek, Texas", Funded by U.S. Corps of Engineers, Galveston, Texas, 1977, $9,500. "Water Quality Automatic Monitoring and Data Management Information System", Funded by City of Houston, Dept. of Public Health, 1977-1978, $62,414. "Maximum Utilization of Water Resources in a Planned Community", The Woodlands Project, 19751976. 6 GROUNDWATER PROJECTS “A Large-Scale Experimental Investigation of the Impact of Ethanol on Groundwater Contamination”, (P.J.J. Alvarez – Co-P.I.) American Petroleum Institute, 2004-2007, $120,000. “A Large-Scale Experimental Investigation of the Impact of Ethanol on Groundwater Contamination”, Gulf Coast Hazardous Substances Research Center, 2004-2005, $45,000. “A Large-Scale Experimental Investigation of the Impact of Ethanol on Groundwater Contamination”, Gulf Coast Hazardous Substances Research Center, 2003-2004, $95,000. "Chlorinated Solvent Impact and Remediation strategies in the Dry Cleaning Industry”, Gulf Coast Hazardous Substances Research Center, 2000 – 2003, $149,400. "Design Manual for the Extraction of Contaminants from Subsurface Environments", Environmental Protection Agency, 1994-2002, $4,500,000. "Development of Data Evaluation/Decision Support System for Bioremediation of Subsurface Contamination", Environmental Protection Agency, 1993-1996, $450,000. Shell Distinguished Chair in Environmental Science, Shell Oil Company Foundation, 1988-1993, $750,000. "Evaluation of Nitrate-Based Bioremediation: Eglin Air Force Base", Environmental Protection Agency, 1992-1993, $120,000. "Decision Support System for Evaluating Remediation Performance with Interactive Pump-and-Treat Simulator", Environmental Protection Agency, 1992-1994, $250,000. "Characterization of Oil and Gas Waste Disposal Practices and Assessment of Treatment Costs", Department of Energy, 1992-94, $200,000. "Subsurface Monitoring Data for Assessing In-Situ Biodegradation of Aromatic Hydrocarbons (BTEX) in Groundwater", American Petroleum Institute, 1991-93, $170,000. "System 9 GIS System", Prime Computers, 1989-90, $50,000. "Effects of Various Pumping and Injection Schemes and Variable Source Loading on Biorestoration", American Petroleum Institute, 1988-90, $186,000. "Parameter Estimation System for Aquifer Restoration Model", U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1987-89, $400,000. "Distribution of BIOPLUME II", National Center for Ground Water Research (EPA), 1987-88, $40,000. "Development and Application of a Groundwater Modeling Data Base for Hazardous Waste Regulation", American Petroleum Institute, 1987-88, $40,000. "Practical Procedures for Evaluating Attenuation of Ground Water Contaminants Due to Biotransformation Process", National Center for Ground Water Research (EPA), 1986-87, $150,000. 7 "Modeling and Field Testing of Contaminant Transport with Biodegradation and Enhanced In Situ Biochemical Reclamation", National Center for Ground Water Research (EPA), 1985-88, $249,000. "Ground Water Modeling for the Houston Water Plant", City of Houston, subcontracts from Law Engineering & Testing Co., 1985-86, $127,000. "Environmental Fate and Attenuation of Gasoline Components in the Subsurface", American Petroleum Institute, 1984-86, $78,300. "Simulation of Contaminant Transport Influenced by Oxygen Limited Biodegradation", National Center for Ground Water Research (EPA), 1984-85, $25,500. "Ground Water Pollutant Transport along Flow Lines for Hazardous Waste Sites", National Center for Ground Water Research (EPA), 1983-85, $167,000. "Math Models for Transport and Transformation of Chemical Substances in the Subsurface", National Center for Ground Water Research (EPA), Subcontract from Oklahoma State University, 1982-83, $15,000. "Characterization of Ground Water Contamination from Hazardous Waste Sites", National Center for Ground Water Research (EPA), 1982-83, $113,000. "Characterization of Ground Water Contamination from Hazardous Waste Sites". National Center for Ground Water Research (EPA), 1980-82, $45,000. PUBLICATIONS AND PRESENTATIONS A. Books or Related Chapters 1. Fang, Z., Sebastian A., and Bedient, P.B. 2014. “Modern Flood Prediction and Warning Systems.” Handbook of Engineering Hydrology: Fundamentals and Applications (Chapter 21), Vol. 1, Taylor & Francis Inc. ISBN-10:1466552417. 2. Bedient, P. B. and W. C. Huber, 2012, “Hydrology and Floodplain Analysis”, 5th Ed. Prentice-Hall Publishing Co., Upper Saddle River, NJ, February 2012, 800 page textbook. 3. Bedient, P. B., 2012 “Lessons learned from Hurricane Ike” Ed. Philip Bedient. College Station, TX: Texas A&M University Press, College Station, TX: 2012, 194 Pages 4. Rifai H.S., Borden R.C., Newell C.J. and Bedient P.B., “ Modeling Remediation of Chlorinated solvent plumes” In Situ Remediation of Chlorinated solvent Plumes, Chapter 6, H.F. Stroo, C.H. Ward Editors, Springer, N.Y. 2010, 145 pp. 5. Fang, Z., Safiolea, E., Bedient, P.B. (2006) “Enhanced Flood Alert and Control Systems for Houston.” In Chapter 16, Coastal Hydrology and Processes, Ed. By Vijay P. Singh and Y. Jun Xu, Water Resource Publications, LLC, pp. 199-210 6. Capiro, N.L. and Bedient P.B. "Transport of Reactive Solute in Soil and Groundwater" The Water Encyclopedia (2005): 524-531. 7. Horsak, R.D., Bedient, P.B., Thomas, F.B., and Hamilton, C. "Pesticides”, Environmental Forensics (2005). 8 8. Thompson, J.F. and Bedient, P.B. “Urban Storm Water Design and Management,” The Engineering Handbook, Chapter 94, CRC Press, 2004, 21 pp. 9. Bedient, P. B., Rifai H. S., and Newell C. J., “Ground Water Contamination: Transport and Remediation”, 2nd Ed. PTR Publ., Upper Saddle River, NJ, 1999, 605 pages. 10. Charbeneau, R. J., Bedient, P. B. and Loehr R. C., “Groundwater Remediation”, Technomic Publishing Co., Inc., Lancaster, PA 1992, 188 pages. B. Peer Reviewed Journal Publications 1. Bass, B., Juan, A., Gori, A., Fang, Z., and Bedient, P.B. (2015). 1. 2015 Memorial Day Storm Flood Impacts for Changing Watershed Conditions in Brays Bayou, Houston, TX. ASCE Journal of Hydrologic Engineering (in-review). 2. Torres, Jacob M., Benjamin Bass, Nicholas Irza, Zheng Fang, Jennifer Proft, Clint Dawson, Morteza Kiani, and Philip Bedient. "Characterizing the hydraulic interactions of hurricane storm surge and rainfall–runoff for the Houston–Galveston region." Coastal Engineering 106 (2015): 719. 3. Juan, A, Fang, Z., and Bedient, P.B. "Developing a Radar-Based Flood Alert System for Sugar Land, Texas." Journal of Hydrologic Engineering (2015). 4. Brody, S.D., Sebastian, A., Blessing, R., & Bedient, P.B. (2015). Case-study results from southeast Houston, Texas: Identifying the impacts of residential location on flood risk and loss. Journal of Flood Risk Management, (accepted for publication). doi: 10.1111/jfr3.12184 5. Fang, N., Dolan G., Sebastian, A., & Bedient, P.B. (2014). Case Study of Flood Mitigation and Hazard Management at the Texas Medical Center in the Wake of Tropical Storm Allison in 2001. ASCE Natural Hazards Review, 15(3). doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000139. 6. Christian, J, Fang, Z., Torres, J., Deitz, R. and Bedient, P.B. "Modeling the Hydraulic Effectiveness of a Proposed Storm Surge Barrier System for the Houston Ship Channel during Hurricane Events." Natural Hazards Review 16, no. 1 (2014): 04014015 7. Burleson, Daniel W., Hanadi S. Rifai, Jennifer K. Proft, Clint N. Dawson, and Philip B. Bedient. "Vulnerability of an industrial corridor in Texas to storm surge." Natural Hazards 77, no. 2 (2015): 1183-1203. 8. Sebastian, A., Proft, J., Dawson, C., & Bedient, P.B. (2014). Characterizing hurricane storm surge behavior in Galveston Bay using the SWAN+ADCIRC model. Coastal Engineering, 88, 171-181. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2014.03.002. 9. Brody, S.D., Blessing, R., Sebastian, A., & Bedient, P.B. (2014). Examining the impact of land use/land cover characteristics on flood losses. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 57(8), 1252-1265. doi: 10.1080/09640568.2013.802228. 10. Brody, S.D., Blessing, R., Sebastian, A., and Bedient, P.B. (2013). “Delineating the Reality of Flood Risk and Loss in Southeast, TX.” ASCE Natural Hazards Review, 14, 89-97.doi: 10.1061/(ASCE) NH.1527-6996.0000091. 9 11. Fang, Z., Sebastian A., and Bedient, P.B. 2014. “Modern Flood Prediction and Warning Systems.” Handbook of Engineering Hydrology: Fundamentals and Applications (Chapter 21), Vol. 1, Taylor & Francis Inc. ISBN-10:1466552417. 12. Teague, A., J. Christian, and P. Bedient. (2013) “Use of Radar Rainfall in an Application of Distributed Hydrologic Modeling for Cypress Creek Watershed, Texas”. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE) HE.1943-5584.000056. 13. Doubleday, G., Sebastian, A., Luttenschlager, T., and Bedient, P.B. (2013). “Modeling Hydrologic Benefits of Low Impact Development: A Distributed Hydrologic Model of The Woodlands, TX.” Journal of American Water Resources, 1-13. doi: 10.1111/jawr.12095. 14. Christian, J., A. Teague, L. Dueñas-Osario, Z. Fang, and P. Bedient, (2012). “Uncertainty in Floodplain Delineation: Expression of Flood Hazard and Risk in a Gulf Coastal Watershed.” Journal of Hydrological Processes, doi: 10.1002/hyp.9360. 15. Ray, T., Stepinski, E., Sebastian, A., Bedient, P.B. (2011)“Dynamic Modeling of Storm Surge and Inland Flooding in Texas Coastal Floodplain” ”, Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 137, No.10, October 2011, ISSN 0733-9429/2011/10-1103-1110 16. Fang, Z., Bedient, P. B., and Buzcu-Guven, B. (2011). “Long-Term Performance of a Flood Alert System and Upgrade to FAS3: A Houston Texas Case Study”. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, ASCE Vol. 16, No. 10, October 1, 2011, ISSN 1084-0699/2011/10-818-828. 17. Teague, A., Bedient, P. and Guven, B. (2010). “Targeted Application of Seasonal Load Duration Curves using Multivariate Analysis in Two Watersheds Flowing into Lake Houston” (JAWRA10-0003-P.R1). Journal of American Water Resources Association. Accepted. 18. Fang, Z, Zimmer, A., Bedient, P. B, Robinson, H., Christian, J., and Vieux, B. E. (2010). “Using a Distributed Hydrologic Model to Evaluate the Location of Urban Development and Flood Control Storage”. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, ASCE, Vol. 136, No. 5, September 2010, ISSN 0733-9496/2010/5-597-601. 19. Fang, Z., Bedient, P. B., Benavides J.A, and Zimmer A. L. (2008). “Enhanced Radar-based Flood Alert System and Floodplain Map Library”. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 13, No. 10, October 1, 2008, ISSN 1084-0699/2008/10-926-938. 20. Gomez, D. E., De Blanc, P. C., Rixey, W., Bedient, P.B., Alvarez, P. J.J. (2008), “Evaluation of Benzene Plume Elongation Mechanisms Exerted by Ethanol Using RT3D with a General Substrate Interaction Module” Water Resource Research Journal, Vol. 44, May. 21. Rifai, H.S., Borden, R. C., Newell, C. J., and Bedient, P.B. “Modeling Dissolved Chlorinated Solvents in Groundwater and Their Remediation,” in SERDP monograph on Remediation of Dissolved Phase Chlorinated Solvents in Groundwater, (accepted) 2007. 22. Bedient, P. B., Holder, A., and Thompson, J. F., and Fang, Z. (2007). “Modeling of Storm water Response under Large Tailwater Conditions – Case Study for the Texas Medical Center”. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, Vol. 12, No. 3, May 1, 2007. 23. Capiro, N.L., Stafford, B.P., Rixey, W.G., Alvarez, P.J.J. and Bedient, P.B. "Fuel-Grade Ethanol Transport at the Water Table Interface in a Pilot-Scale Experimental Tank" Water Research, 41(3), pp. 656-654, 2007. 24. Bedient, P.B., Rifai, H.S., Suarez, M.P., and Hovinga, R.M. “Houston Water Issues” Chapter in Water for Texas. Jim Norwine and J.R. Giardino, Eds. pp. 107-121, 2005. 10 25. Characklis, G.W., Griffin, R.C., and Bedient, P.B. "Measuring Long-term Benefits of Salinity Reduction" Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 30 (1) (2005): 69-93. 26. Bedient, P.B., Horsak, R.D., Schlenk, D., Hovinga, R.M., and Pierson, J.D. "Environmental Impact on Fipronil to Louisiana Crawfish Industry" Environmental Forensics (2005): 289-299. 27. Characklis, G. W., Griffin, R.C., and Bedient, P.B. "Measuring the Long-term Benefits of Salinity Reduction" Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 30(1), pp.69-93, 2005. 28. Vieux, B.E. and Bedient, P.B. “Assessing urban hydrologic prediction accuracy through event reconstruction” Journal of Hydrology, 299(3-4), pp. 217-236. Special Issue on Urban Hydrology, 2004. 29. Thompson, J.F. and Bedient, P.B. “Urban Storm Water Design and Management” The Engineering Handbook, Chapter 94, CRC Press, 2004, 21 pp. 30. Capiro, N.L. and Bedient P.B. “Transport of Reactive Solute in Soil and Groundwater” The Encyclopedia of Water, John Wiley and Sons, Inc., New York, NY, USA pp. 524-531, 2005. 31. Bedient, P.B., Holder, A., and Benavides, J. “Advanced Analysis of T.S. Allison’s Impacts” submitted to Jn. of American Water Resources Assn., 2004. 32. Bedient, P. B., A. Holder, J. Benavides, and B. Vieux “Radar-Based Flood Warning System applied to TS Allison, ASCE Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 8(6), pp 308-318, Nov, 2003. 33. Glenn, S., Bedient, P.B., and B. Vieux “Ground Water Recharge Analysis Using NEXRAD in a GIS Framework” submitted to Ground Water, October 2002. 34. Bedient, P.B., Vieux, B.E., Vieux, J.E., Koehler, E.R., and H.L. Rietz “Mitigating Flood Impacts of Tropical Storm Allison” accepted by Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 2002. 35. El-Beshry, M., Gierke, J.S., and P.B. Bedient “Practical Modeling of SVE Performance at a JetFuel Spill Site” ASCE Journal of Environmental Engineering pp. 630-638, (127) 7, July 2001. 36. El-Beshry, M.Z., Gierke, J.S., and P.B. Bedient “Modeling the Performance of an SVE Field Test” in Chapter 7, Vadose Zone Science and Technology Solutions, Brian B. Looney and Ronald W. Falta Editors, Vol. II, pp. 1157-1169, (2000). 37. Rifai, H.S., Brock, S.M. Ensor, K.B., and P.B. Bedient "Determination of Low-Flow Characteristics for Texas Streams" ASCE Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, (126)5, pp.310-319, September-October 2000. 38. Bedient, P.B., Hoblit, B.C., Gladwell, D.C., and B.E. Vieux “NEXRAD Radar for Flood Prediction in Houston” ASCE Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 5(3), pp. 269-277, July 2000. 39. Hamed, M.M., Nelson, P.D., and P.B. Bedient “A Distributed Site Model for Non-equilibrium Dissolution of Multicomponent Residually Trapped NAPL” Environmental Modeling and Software, (15), pp. 443-450, September 2000. 40. Holder, A.W., Bedient, P.B., and C.N. Dawson “FLOTRAN, a Three-dimensional Ground Water Model, with Comparisons to Analytical Solutions and Other Models” Advances in Water Resources, pp. 517-530. 2000. 41. Rifai, H.S., Bedient, P.B., and G.L. Shorr “Monitoring Hazardous Waste Sites: Characterization and Remediation Considerations” Journal of Environmental Monitoring, 2(3), pp. 199-212, June 2000. 42. Hoblit, B.C., Baxter, E.V., Holder, A.W., and P.B. Bedient “Predicting With Precision” ASCE Civil Engineering Magazine, 69(11), pp. 40-43, November 1999. 43. Bedient, P.B., Holder, A.W., Enfield, C.G., and A.L. Wood “Enhanced Remediation Demonstrations at Hill Air Force Base: Introduction” Innovative Subsurface Remediation: Field Testing of Physical, Chemical, and Characterization Technologies, Mark L. Brusseau, et al., eds., pp. 36-48, American Chemical Society, Washington, DC, 1999. 11 44. Holder, A.W., Bedient, P.B., and J.B. Hughes “Modeling the Impact of Oxygen Reaeration on Natural Attenuation” Bioremediation Journal, 3(2): 137-149, June 1999. 45. Characklis, G.W., Griffin, R.C., and P.B. Bedient “Improving the Ability of a Water Market to Efficiently Manage Drought” Water Resources Research, (35) 3, 823-831, March 1999. 46. Vieux, B.E. and P.B. Bedient “Estimation of Rainfall for Flood Prediction from WSR-88D Reflectivity: A Case Study, 17-18 October 1994” Weather and Forecasting, 1998 American Meteorological Society, 13:2, 407-415, June 1998. 47. Bedient, P.B. “Hydrology and Transport Processes” Subsurface Restoration, C.H. Ward, J.A. Cherry and M.R. Scalf, editors, Ann Arbor Press, Chelsea, MI, 59-73, 1997. 48. Hamed, M.M. and P.B. Bedient “On the Performance of Computational Methods for the Assessment of Risk from Ground-Water Contamination” Ground Water, 35(4), 638-646, JulyAugust 1997. 49. Hamed, M.M. and P.B. Bedient “On the Effect of Probability Distributions of Input Variables in Public Health Risk Assessment” Risk Analysis, 17(1), 97-105, 1997. 50. Hamed, M.M., Bedient, P.B., and J.P. Conte “Numerical Stochastic Analysis of Groundwater Contaminant Transport and Plume Containment” Journal of Contaminant Hydrology, 1996, 24 pp. 51. Hamed, M.M., Bedient, P.B., and C.N. Dawson “Probabilistic Modeling of Aquifer Heterogeneity Using Reliability Methods” Advances in Water Resources, 19(5), 277-295, 1996. 52. Sweed, H., Bedient, P.B., and S.R. Hutchins "Surface Application System for In-Situ Bioremediation: Site Characterization and Modeling" Groundwater Journal, 34(2), 211-222, 1996. 53. Hamed, M.M., Conte, J.P., and P.B. Bedient "Uncertainty Analysis of Subsurface Transport of Reactive Solute Using Reliability Methods" Groundwater Models for Resources Analysis and Management, CRC Press, Inc., Chapter 8:123-135 1995. 54. Hamed, M.M., Conte, J.P., and P.B. Bedient "Probabilistic Screening Tool for Groundwater Contamination Assessment" ASCE Journal of Environmental Engineering, 121(11): 767-775, (1995). 55. Rifai, H.S. and P.B. Bedient "A Review of Biodegradation Models: Theory and Applications" Groundwater Models for Resources Analysis and Management, CRC Press, Inc., Chapter 16:295312 (1995). 56. Rifai, H. S., Newell, C. J., Bedient, P.B., Shipley, F.S., and R.W. McFarlane, The State of the Bay, The Galveston Bay National Estuary Program, Webster, TX, 232 pp. (1994). 57. Rifai, H.S. and P.B. Bedient "Modeling Contaminant Transport and Biodegradation in Ground Water" Advances in Environmental Science Groundwater Contamination, Volume I: Methodology and Modeling, Springer-Verlag, New York, NY (1994). 58. Bedient, P.B. and H.S. Rifai "Modeling in Situ Bioremediation" In Situ Bioremediation, When Does It Work?” National Academy Press, pp. 153-159 (1993). 59. Rifai, H. S., Bedient, P.B., Hendricks, L.A., and K. Kilborn "A Geographical Information System (GIS) User Interface for Delineating Wellhead Protection" Ground Water, 31:3, pp. 480-488 (1993). 60. H. S. Rifai, Newell, C. J., and P.B. Bedient "Getting to the Nonpoint Source with GIS" Civil Engineering, June, pp. 44-46 (1993). 61. H. S. Rifai, Newell, C. J., and P.B. Bedient "GIS Enhances Water Quality Modeling" GIS World, August, pp. 52-55 (1993). 62. Bedient, P.B., Schwartz, F.W., and H.S. Rifai "Hydrologic Design for Groundwater Pollution 12 Control" Handbook of Hydrology, McGraw Hill, pp. 29.1-29.47 (1993). 63. Wise, W.R., Robinson, G.C., and P.B. Bedient "Chromatographic Evidence for Nonlinear Partitioning of Aromatic Compounds Between Petroleum and Water" Ground Water, 30(6): 936944. (Nov. - Dec. 1992). 64. Charbeneau, R.J., Bedient, P.B., and R.C. Loehr, Groundwater Remediation, Technomic Publishing Co., Inc., Lancaster, PA, 188 pages (1992). 65. Bedient, P.B. and H.S. Rifai "Ground Water Contaminant Modeling for Bioremediation: A Review" Journal of Hazardous Materials, 32:225-243 (1992). 66. Kilborn, K., Rifai, H.S., and P. B. Bedient "Connecting Groundwater Models and GIS" Geo Info Systems, pp. 26-31, (February 1992). 67. Rifai, H. S. and P. B. Bedient "Modeling Contaminant Transport and Biodegradation in Ground Water" To be published in Textbook: Advances in Environmental Science Groundwater Contamination, Volume I: Methodology and Modeling, Springer Verlag, (In Press) (September 1991). 68. Newell, C.J., Rifai, H.S., and P.B. Bedient "Characterization of Non-Point Sources and Loadings to Galveston Bay" Galveston Bay National Estuary Program, Houston, Texas, 150 pp (October 1991). 69. Rifai, H.S., Long, G.P., and P.B. Bedient "Modeling Bioremediation: Theory and Field Application" In Situ Bioreclamation Applications and Investigations for Hydrocarbon and Contaminated Site Remediation, Ed. by R. E. Hinchee and R. F. Olfenbuttel, Battelle Memorial Institute, Butterworth-Heinemann, Boston, (1991). 70. Kilborn, K., Rifai, H.S., and P.B. Bedient "The Integration of Ground Water Models with Geographic Information Systems (GIS)" 1991 ACSM/ASPRS 10 Annual Convention, Baltimore, Maryland, In Technical Papers, vol. 2, pp. 150-159, (March 1991). 71. Wise, W.R., Chang, C.C., Klopp, R.A., and P. B. Bedient "Impact of Recharge Through Residual Oil Upon Sampling of Underlying Ground Water" Ground Water Monitoring Review, pp. 93-100 (Spring 1991). 72. Rifai, H.S. and P.B. Bedient "Comparison of Biodegradation Kinetics with an Instantaneous Reaction Model for Ground Water" Water Resource. Res. 26:637-645 (1990). 73. Newell, C.J., Hopkins, L.P., and P.B. Bedient "A Hydrogeologic Database for Ground Water Modeling" Ground Water 28:703-714 (1990). 74. Newell, C.J., Haasbeek, J.F., and P.B. Bedient "OASIS: A Graphical Decision Support System for Ground Water Contaminant Modeling" Ground Water 28:224-234 (1990). 75. Chiang, C.Y., Wheeler, M.F., and P.B. Bedient "A Modified Method of Characteristics Technique and Mixed Finite Elements Method for Simulation of Ground Water Contaminant Transport" Water Resource. Res. 25:1541-1549 (1989). 76. Todd, D.A., Bedient, P.B., Haasbeek, J.F., and J. Noell "Impact of Land Use and NPS Loads on Lake Water Quality" ASCE J. Environmental Engr. Div. 115:633-649 (1989). 77. Borden, R.C., Lee, M.D., Thomas, J.M., Bedient, P.B., and C.H. Ward “In Situ Measurement and Numerical Simulation of Oxygen Limited Biotransformation" Ground Water Monitoring Review. Rev. 9:83-91 (1989). 78. Rifai, H.S., Bedient, P.B., Wilson, J.T., Miller, K.M., and J.M. Armstrong "Biodegradation Modeling at an Aviation Spill Site" ASCE J. Environmental Engr. Div. 114:1007-1019 (1988). 79. Satkin, R.L. and P.B. Bedient "Effectiveness of Various Aquifer Restoration Schemes under Variable Hydrogeologic Conditions" Ground Water Monitoring Review. , 26:488-498 (1988). 80. Todd, D.A. and P B. Bedient "Stream Dissolved Oxygen Analysis and Control" (Closure), ASCE 13 J. Environmental Engr. Div. 113:927-928 (1987). 81. Freeberg, K.M., Bedient, P.B., and J.A. Connor "Modeling of TCE Contamination and Recovery in a Shallow Sand Aquifer" Ground Water Monitoring Review. 25:70-80 (1987). 82. Borden, R.C. and P.B. Bedient "In Situ Measurement of Adsorption and Biotransformation at a Hazardous Waste Site" Water Resources Report. Bull. 23(4): 629-636 (1987). 83. Borden, R.C., Bedient, P.B., Lee, M.D., Ward, C.H., and J.T. Wilson " Transport of Dissolved Hydrocarbons Influenced by Oxygen Limited Biodegradation: 2. Field Application" Water Resources Report. Res. 22:1983-1990 (1986). 84. Borden, R.C. and P.B. Bedient "Transport of Dissolved Hydrocarbons Influenced by Reaeration and Oxygen Limited Biodegradation: 1. Theoretical Development" Water Resources Report. Res. 22:1973-1982 (1986). 85. C.H. Ward, Tomson, M.B., Bedient, P.B., and M.D. Lee "Transport and Fate Processes in the Subsurface" In R. C. Loehr, and J.F. Malina, Jr., eds., Land Treatment, A Hazardous Waste Management Alternative, Center for Research in Water Resources, University of Texas, Austin, TX, pp. 19-39. (1986). 86. Wilson, J.T., McNabb, J.F., Cochran, J.W., Wang, T.H., Tomson, M.B., and P.B. Bedient "Influence of Microbial Adaptation on the Fate of Organic Pollutants in Ground Water" Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 4:721-726 (1985). 87. Bedient, P.B. "Overview of Subsurface Characterization Research" In Ward, C.H., Giger, W., and P. L. McCarty, eds., Ground Water Quality, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, NY, pp. 345347 (1985). 88. Bedient, P.B., Flores, A., Johnson, S., and P. Pappas "Floodplain Storage and Land Use Analyses at the Woodlands, Texas" Water Resources Research. Bull. 21:543-551 (1985). 89. Hutchins, S.R., Tomson, M.B., Bedient, P.B., and C.H. Ward "Fate of Trace Organics During Land Application of Municipal Wastewater" CRC Crit. Rev. Environ. Control 15:355-416 (1985). 90. Todd, D.A. and P.B. Bedient "Stream Dissolved Oxygen Analysis and Control" ASCE J. Environmental Engr. Div. 111:336-352 (June 1985). 91. Chiang, C.Y. and P.B. Bedient "PIBS Model for Surcharged Pipe Flow" ASCE J. Hydraulics Div. 112:181-192 (1985). 92. Bedient, P.B., Borden, R.C., and D.I. Leib "Basic Concepts for Ground Water Transport Modeling" In Ward, C.H., Giger, W., and P.L. McCarty, eds., Ground Water Quality, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, NY, pp. 512-531, (1985). 93. Bedient, P.B., Rodgers, A.C., Bouvette, T.C., and M.B. Tomson "Ground Water Quality at a Creosote Waste Site" Ground Water 22:318-319 (1984). 94. Bedient, P.B. and P.G. Rowe, eds., Urban Watershed Management: Flooding and Water Quality, Rice University Studies, 205 pp. (March 1979). 95. Bedient, P.B., Huber, W.C., and J. Heaney “Environmental Model of the Kissimmee River Basin” ASCE Water Resources Planning and Management, Vol. 103, No. WR2, (1977). Conference Proceedings and Other Technical Publications 1. Juan, A., Fang, Z., and Bedient, P. B. (2012). “Flood Warning Indicator: Establish a Reliable Radar-Based Flood Warning System for Sugar Land, Texas”, American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2012 Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 3-7. 14 2. Deitz, R., Christian, J. K., Wright, G., Fang, Z., and Bedient, P. B. (2012). “Linkage of RainfallRunoff and Hurricane Storm Surge in Galveston Bay”, American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2012 Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 3-7. 3. Bedient, P. B., Doubleday, G., Sebastian, A., and Fang, Z. (2012). “Distributed Hydrologic Modeling of LID in the Woodlands, Texas”, American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2012 Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 3-7. 4. Burcham, M., Bedient, P. B., McGuire, T., Adamson, D.,. New Ch., (2012) Occurrence of Sustained Treatment Following Enhanced Anaerobic Bioremediation at Chlorinated Solvent Sites 
 , AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, California, December 3-7 2012 5. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P., Performance Evaluation of a NEXRAD-Based Flood Warning during Recent Events in 2012 
 , AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, California, December 3-7 2012 6. Juan, A., Fang, Z. and Bedient, P., Radar-based Flood Warning Indicator for the Upper Oyster Creek Watershed in Sugar Land, Texas 
AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, California, December 3-7 2012 7. Environmental and Water Res. Inst. (EWRI) 2012 Congress, Organized three sessions for SSPEED research results. Albuquerque, New Mexico, May 20-24 2012. 8. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P. B. (2012). “Creating Flood Alert Systems in Coastal Areas”, SSPEED Conference – Gulf Coast Hurricanes: Mitigation and Response, Houston, Texas, April 10. 9. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P. B. (2012). “Advanced Radar-Based Flood Warning System for Urban Areas and its Performance Evaluation”, SSPEED Conference – Gulf Coast Hurricanes: Mitigation and Response, Houston, Texas, April 11. 10. Teague, A, and Bedient, P. B. (2011). “Visualization of Hydrologic Simulations with Pollutant Load Estimation for Cypress Creek Watershed, Houston, Texas”. 2011 World Environmental and Water Resources Congress. Palm Springs California 22-26 May 2011. 11. Christian, J. K., Fang, Z., and Bedient, P. B. (2011). “Probabilistic Floodplain Delineation”, 2011 World Environmental and Water Resources Congress, Palm Springs, California. May 22-26 12. Fang, Z., Juan, A., Bedient, P. B., Kumar, S., and Steubing, C. (2011). “Flood Warning Indicator: Establishing a Reliable Radar-Based Flood Warning System for the Upper Oyster Creek Watershed”, ASCE/TFMA, TFMA 2011 Annual Conference, Sugar Land, Texas, April 11- 14. 13. Bedient, P. B. and Fang, Z. (2010). "Advanced Radar-based Flood Warning System for Hurricane-prone Urban Areas and Performance during Recent Events", 2nd International Conference on Flood Recovery, Innovation and Response (FRIAR), Milano, Italy, May 26-28. 14. Fang, Z., Juan, A., Bedient, P. B., Kumar, S., and Steubing, C. (2010). "Flood Alert System for Upper Oyster Creek Watershed in Sugar Land, Texas using NEXRAD, HEC-HMS, HEC-RAS, and GIS", ASCE/TFMA, TFMA 2010 Annual Conference, Fort Worth, Texas, June 7- 10. 15. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P. B. (2010). "Radar Applications in Flood Warning System for an Urban Watershed in Houston, Texas", Remote Sensing and Hydrology 2010 Symposium - Special Session on Flood Forecasting and Management with Remote Sensing and GIS, Jackson Hole, WO, September 27 -30. 16. Bedient, P. B., Fang, Z., and Vieux, B. E. (2010). "Radar-based Flood Warning System for the Texas Medical Center and Performance Evaluation", National Flood Workshop, Houston, Texas, October 24-26. 15 17. Teague, A. and Bedient, P. 2010. “Distributed Modeling of Water Quality in Cypress Creek Watershed, Houston, Texas”. 21st Century Watershed Technology: Improving Water Quality and the Environment, EARTH University, Costa Rica, February 21-24, 2010. 18. Teague, A. and Bedient, P. 2010. “Visualization of Hydrologic Simulations in Support of Water Quality Applications for Cypress Creek, Houston, Texas”. Conference Proceedings. Annual Water Resources Conference, American Water Resources Association. November 1-4, 2010, Philadelphia, PA. 19. Teague, A. and Bedient, P. 2010. “Distributed Water Quality Modeling for a Drinking Water Source Watershed for the City of Houston, Texas”. Conference Proceedings. World Environmental and Water Resources Congress. May 16-20, 2010, Providence, RI. 20. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2009). “Radar-based Flood Warning System for Houston and Its Performance Evaluation”. American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2009 Fall Meeting, December 14-18, San Francisco, CA. 21. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2009). “Radar-based Flood Alert System for Coastal Area and Collaborated Efforts for Disaster Prevention and Risk Management”. IRCD 34th Annual Natural Hazards Research and Applications Workshop – Hazards and the Economy: Challenges and Opportunity, July 15-18, Boulder, CO. 22. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2009). “Flood Inundation Prediction and Performance during Hurricane Ike”. Proceedings of World Environmental & Water Resources Congress 2008, Environmental and Water Resources Institute (EWRI), ASCE, Kansas City, Missouri, May 1721. 23. Robinson, H., Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2009). “Distributed Hydrologic Modeling of the Yuna River Watershed in the Dominican Republic”. Proceedings of World Environmental & Water Resources Congress 2008, Environmental and Water Resources Institute (EWRI), ASCE, Kansas City, Missouri, May 17-21. 24. Ray, T., Fang, Z., and Bedient, P.B. (2009). “Assessment of Flood Risk Due to Storm Surge in Coastal Bayous Using Dynamic Hydraulic Modeling”. Proceedings of World Environmental & Water Resources Congress 2008, Environmental and Water Resources Institute (EWRI), ASCE, Kansas City, Missouri, May 17-21. 25. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2009). “Advanced Radar-based Flood Forecasting Systems for a Highly Urbanized Coastal Area and SSPEED Center”, ASCE/TFMA Flood Awareness and Flood Response Workshop, April 29, San Marcos, TX. 26. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2009). “Flood Warning Systems for Urban Flooding”. Grand Challenges in Coastal Resiliency I: Transforming Coastal Inundation Modeling to Public Security, January 20-21, Baton Rouge, LA. 27. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2008). “NEXRAD Radar-based Hydraulic Flood Prediction System for a Major Evacuation Routes in Houston”. American Geophysical Union 2008 Fall Meeting, December 15-19, San Francisco, CA. 28. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2008). “Advanced Flood Alert System with Hydraulic Prediction for a Major Evacuation Route in Houston”. Proceedings of American Water Resources Association (AWRA) Annual Conference 2008, New Orleans, Louisianan, November 17-20. 16 29. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2008). “Flood Inundation Prediction and Performance during Hurricane Ile”. Proceedings of Severe Storm Prediction and Global Climate Impact in the Gulf Coast Conference 2008, Houston, Texas, October 28-31. 30. Bedient, P.B. and Fang, Z. (2008). “Predicting and Managing Severe Storms in the Gulf Coast through University Research”. Proceedings of Severe Storm Prediction and Global Climate Impact in the Gulf Coast Conference 2008, Houston, Texas, October 28-31. 31. Robinson, H., Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2008). “Distributed Hydrologic Model Development in the Topographically Challenging Yuna River Watershed, Dominican Republic”. Proceedings of Severe Storm Prediction and Global Climate Impact in the Gulf Coast Conference 2008, Houston, Texas, October 28-31. 32. Ray, T., Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2008). “Assessment of Flood Risk Due to Storm Surge in Coastal Bayous Using Dynamic Hydraulic Modeling”. Proceedings of Severe Storm Prediction and Global Climate Impact in the Gulf Coast Conference 2008, Houston, Texas, October 28-31. 33. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. (2008). “Floodplain Map Library (FPML): Innovative Method for Flood Warning System for Urban Watershed in Houston, TX”. Proceedings of World Environmental & Water Resources Congress 2008, Environmental and Water Resources Institute (EWRI), ASCE, Honolulu, Hawaii, May 13-16. 34. Bedient, P.B., “Foresight Panel on Environmental Effects” Houston-Galveston Area Council, Houston, Texas, February 5, 2008 35. Bedient, P.B., Fang, Z., Hovinga, R, M., “Flood Warning System (FAS2) Rice University Training, Houston, Texas, January 15, 2008 36. Bedient, P.B., Fang, Z., Hovinga, R, M., SSPEED Meeting, Houston, Texas, November 16, 2007 37. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. “Real-time Hydraulic Prediction Tool – Floodplain Map Library (FPML)”. American Water Resources Association 2007 Annual Conference, Albuquerque, New Mexico, November 12-15, 2007 38. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. “Enhanced NEXRAD Radar-based Flood Warning System with Hydraulic Prediction Feature: Floodplain Map Library (FPML)”. American Geophysical Union 2007 Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA. December 10-14, 2007 39. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. “The Future of Flood Prediction in Coastal Areas” Severe Storm Prediction, Evacuation, and Education from Disasters Conference, Rice University, Houston Texas, May 8-10, 2007 40. Bedient, P.B. and Fang, Z. “Radar-based Flood Warning System Using Dynamic Floodplain Map Library.” Proceedings of World Environmental & Water Resources Congress 2007, Environmental and Water Resources Institute (EWRI), ASCE, Tampa, Florida, May 15-19, 2007 41. Bedient, P.B., and C. Penland “A Radar Based FAS for Houston’s Texas Medical Center” IDRC Conference, Davos, Switzerland, Aug 2006. 42. Safiolea, E. and P.B. Bedient "Comparative Analysis of the Hydrologic Impact of Land Use Change and Subsidence in an Urban Environment" Proceedings of AWRA GIS Conference, Houston, TX, May 8-10, 2006. 17 43. Bedient, P.B., Fang, Z., and R. Hovinga "Prediction for Severe Storm Flood Levels for Houston Using Hurricane Induced Storm Surge Models in GIS Frame" Proceedings of AWRA GIS Conference, Houston, TX, May 8-10, 2006. 44. Fang, Z., Safiolea, E., and P.B. Bedient "Enhanced Flood Alert and Control Systems for Houston" Proceedings of 25th American Institute of Hydrology Conference, Baton Rouge, LA, May 21-24, 2006. 45. Gordon, R. and P.B. Bedient "Rice University Engineers Without Borders: An Exercise in International Service Learning" Proceedings of the ASE Education Conference, Chicago, June 18-21, 2006. 46. Gordon, R., Benavides, J.A., Hovinga, R., Whitko, A.N., and P.B. Bedient "Urban Floodplain Mapping and Flood Damage Reduction Using LIDAR, NEXRAD, and GIS" Proceedings of the 2006 AWRA Spring Specialty Conference: GIS and Water Resources IV, Houston, TX, May 810, 2006. 47. Fang, Z. and P.B. Bedient "IP2 Houston Flood Alert and Response-2006" CASA Meeting, Estes Park, Co, October 16-17, 2006. 48. Safiolea, E., Bedient, P.B., and B.E. Vieux "Assessment of the Relative Hydrologic Effects of Land Use Change and Subsidence Using Distributed Modeling" (July 2005). 49. Holder, A.W., Hoblit, B., Bedient, P.B., and B.E. Vieux “Urban Hydrologic Forecasting Application Using the NEXRAD Radar in Houston” Proceedings of the Texas Section American Society of Civil Engineers, Austin, TX, pp. 279-288, April 5-8, 2000. 50. Benavides, J.A., Pietruszewski, B., Stewart, E., and P.B. Bedient “A Sustainable Development Approach for the Clear Creek Watershed” Proceedings of the Texas Section American Society of Civil Engineers, Austin, TX, pp. 269-278, April 5-8, 2000. 51. Bedient, P.B., Rifai, H.S., and C.W. Newell "Decision Support System for Evaluating Pump-andTreat Remediation Alternatives" Pollution Modeling: Vol. 1, Proceedings for Envirosoft 94, November 16-18, 1994, San Francisco, CA, Edited by P. Zannetti, Computational Mechanics Publications, Wessex Inst of Technology, Southampton, UK. 52. Hamed M.M. and P.B. Bedient “Uncertainty Analysis of Natural Attenuation in Groundwater Systems,” Proceedings of the In Situ and On-Site Bioremediation Symposium, New Orleans, LA, 1997, 1:43-48. 53. Hamed, M.M., Holder, A.W., and P.B. Bedient “Evaluation of Reaeration Using a 3-D Groundwater Transport Model” Proceedings of the In Situ and On-Site Bioremediation Symposium, New Orleans, LA, 1997, 1:75-80. 54. Holder, A.W., Bedient, P.B., and J.B. Hughes “TCE and 1,2-DCE Biotransformation Inside a Biologically Active Zone” Proceedings of the First International Conference on Remediation of Chlorinated and Recalcitrant Compounds, Monterey, CA, May 18-21, 1:219-224, 1998. 55. Hamed M.M. and P.B. Bedient “Uncertainty Analysis of Natural Attenuation in Groundwater Systems” Proceedings of the In Situ and On-Site Bioremediation Symposium, New Orleans, LA, 1997, 1:43-48. 56. Hamed, M.M., Holder, A.W., and P.B. Bedient “Evaluation of Reaeration Using a 3-D Groundwater Transport Model” Proceedings of the In Situ and On-Site Bioremediation Symposium, New Orleans, LA, 1997, 1:75-80. 18 57. Hamed, M.M., Bedient, P.B., and J.P. Conte “Probabilistic Modeling of Contaminant Transport in the Subsurface” Proceedings of the International Association of Hydro geologists Conference Solutions ‘95”, Edmonton, Canada, June 4-10, 1995. 58. Bedient, P.B., Rifai, H.S., and C.W. Newell "Decision Support System for Evaluating Pump-andTreat Remediation Alternatives" Pollution Modeling: Vol. 1, Proceedings for Envirosoft 94, November 16-18, 1994, San Francisco, CA, Edited by P. Zannetti, Computational Mechanics Publications, Wessex Institute of Technology, Southampton, UK. 59. Burgess, K. S., Rifai, H. S., and P. B. Bedient "Flow and Transport Modeling of a Heterogeneous Field Site Contaminated with Dense Chlorinated Solvent Waste" Proceedings of the Petroleum Hydrocarbons and Organic Chemicals in Ground Water: Prevention, Detection, and Restoration, Houston, TX (Nov. 10-12, 1993). 60. Hamed, M., Conte, J., and P. B. Bedient "Reliability Approach to the Probabilistic Modeling of Ground Water Flow and Transport" Proceedings of the Petroleum Hydrocarbons and Organic Chemicals in Ground Water: Prevention, Detection, and Restoration, Houston, TX (Nov. 10-12, 1993). 61. Rifai, H.S. and P.B. Bedient "Ground Water Contaminant Modeling for Bioremediation: A Review" Proceedings of the 4th Annual Symposium on Ground Water: The Problem and Some Solutions, The Gulf Coast Hazardous Substance Research Center, Lamar University, Beaumont, Texas, 101-121 (April 2-3, 1992). 62. Thomas, J.M., Duston, K.L., Bedient, P.B., and C.H. Ward "In Situ Bio-restoration of Contaminated Aquifers and Hazardous Waste Sites in Texas" Proceedings for the Petro-Safe 92, 3rd Annual Environmental and Safety Conference for the Oil, Gas & Petrochemical Industries, Houston, TX, Vol. 3, pp. 889-898 (1992). 63. Bedient, P.B., Long, G.P., and H.S. Rifai "Modeling Natural Biodegradation with BIOPLUME II" Proceedings of the 5th International Conference, Solving Ground Water Problems with Models, Dallas, Texas, pp 699-714. (February 11-13, 1992). 64. Robinson, G.C. and P.B. Bedient "Modeling a Time-Variant Source of Contamination" Proceedings of the Petroleum Hydrocarbons and Organic Chemicals in Ground Water: Prevention, Detection, and Restoration, Houston, Texas, pp. 531-540. (November 20-22, 1991). 65. Chang, C. and P. B. Bedient "Multiphase Unsaturated Zone Flow and Transport Model for Ground Water Contamination by Hydrocarbon" Proceedings of the Petroleum Hydrocarbons and Organic Chemicals in Ground Water: Prevention, Detection, and Restoration, Houston, Texas, pp. 515-529 (November 20-22, 1991). 66. Bedient, P.B., Vance, L.A., and H.S. Rifai "Implementation of Wellhead Protection Programs Utilizing Geographical Information Systems" Proceedings of the Eighth National Conference on Microcomputers in Civil Engineering, University of Central Florida and The American Society of Civil Engineers, Orlando, Florida, pp. 87-90 (October 1990). 67. Rifai, H.S., Bedient, P.B., and C.J. Newell "Review and Analysis of the Toxicity Characteristics Composite Landfill Model" Proceedings of the Petroleum Hydrocarbons and Organic Chemicals in Ground Water: Prevention, Detection and Restoration, The Association of Ground Water Scientists and Engineers (NWWA), Houston, Texas, pp.143-157 (October 1990). 68. Rifai, H.S. and P.B. Bedient "A TC Model Alternative for Production Waste Scenarios" Proceedings of the First International Symposium on Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Waste Management Practices, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, New Orleans, LA, pp. 19 955-965 (September 1990). 69. Chang, C.C., Wise, W.R., Klopp, R.A., and P.B. Bedient "In Situ Source Release Mechanism Study at an Aviation Gasoline Spill Site: Traverse City, Michigan" Proceedings of the Fourth National Outdoor Action Conference on Aquifer Restoration, Ground Water Monitoring and Geophysical Methods, Las Vegas, NV, pp. 459-473 (May 1990). 70. Hopkins, L.P., Newell, C.J., and P.B. Bedient "A Hydrogeologic Database for the Hazardous Waste Regulatory Modeling" Proceedings of the Petroleum Hydrocarbons and Organic Chemicals in Ground Water Conference, National Water Well Association, Houston, TX, pp. 265-279 (November 1989). 71. Alder-Schaller, S.E. and P.B. Bedient "Evaluation of the Hydraulic Effect of Injection and Pumping Wells on In Situ Bioremediation" Proceedings of the Petroleum Hydrocarbons and Organic Chemicals in Ground Water Conference, National Water Well Association, Houston, TX, pp. 191-201 (November 1989). 72. Smythe, J.M., Bedient, P.B., and R.A. Klopp “Cone Penetrometer Technology for Hazardous Waste Site Investigations” Proceeding of the Second National Outdoor Action Conference on Aquifer Restoration, Ground Water Monitoring and Geophysical methods, Association of Ground Water Scientists and Engineers, Las Vegas, NV, pp. 71-94 (1989). 73. Rifai, H.S. and P.B. Bedient "Bio-restoration Modeling of a Pilot Scale Field Experiment" Proceedings of the National Water Well Association on Solving Ground Water Problems with Models, Indianapolis, IN, pp. 1187-1203 (1989). 74. Wheeler, M.F., Dawson, C., and P.B. Bedient "Numerical Modeling of Subsurface Contaminant Transport with Biodegradation Kinetics" Proceedings of the NWWA Conference on Petroleum Hydrocarbons and Organic Chemicals in Ground Water, Houston, TX, pp. 47l-489 (1987). 75. Newell, C.J. and P.B. Bedient "Development and Application of a Ground Water Modeling Database and Expert System" Proceedings of the NWWA Conference on Petroleum Hydrocarbons and Organic Chemicals in Ground Water, Houston, TX, pp. 559-578 (1987). 76. Rifai, H.S. and P. B. Bedient "BIOPLUME II - Two Dimensional Modeling for Hydrocarbon Biodegradation and In Situ Restoration" Proceedings of the NWWA Conference on Petroleum Hydrocarbons and Organic Chemicals in Ground Water, Houston, TX, pp. 431-450 (1987). 77. Wheeler, M.F., Dawson, C.N., and P.B. Bedient "Numerical Simulation of Microbial Biodegradation of Hydrocarbons in Ground Water" Proceedings of the NWWA/IGWMC Conference on Solving Ground Water Problems with Models, Denver, CO, February 10-12, Vol. 1, pp. 92-109 (1987). 78. Chiang, C.Y. and P.B. Bedient "Simplified Model for a Surcharged Stormwater System" Proceedings of the Third Int'l Conf. on Urban Storm Drainage, Goteborg, Sweden, pp. 387-396 (1985). 79. Wang, T.H., Curran, C.M., Bedient, P.B., and M.B. Tomson "Ground Water Contamination at Conroe Creosote Waste Disposal Site" Proceedings of the Second Int'l Conf. on Ground Water Quality Research, OSU University Printing Services, Stillwater, OK, pp. 50-52 (1985). 80. Borden, R.C., Bedient, P.B., and T. Bouvette "Modeling Ground Water Transport at Conroe Creosote Waste Site" Proceedings of the Second Int'l Conf. on Ground Water Quality Research, OSU University Printing Services, Stillwater, OK, p. 88-90 (1985). 20 81. Todd, D.A. and P.B. Bedient "Use of Qual-II to Model Stream Protection Alternatives" Proceedings of the ASCE 1984 National Conference on Environmental Engineering, Los Angeles, CA, June 1984, pp. 60-65 (1984). Invited Lectures (Recent) 1. The Resilience and Adaptation to Climate Risks Workshop: NASA Johnson Space Center and the Houston/Galveston Area, March 8, 2012, Houston, Texas 2. Bedient, P.B., SSPEED Conference. Chair and Organizer, “Hurricane Ike, Revisited,” September 14, 2009, Houston, Texas. 3. Bedient, P.B., SSPEED Conference. Chair and Organizer, “Severe Storm Prediction and Global Climate Impact in the Gulf Coast,” Sponsored by American Institute of Hydrology. October 2931, 2008, Houston, Texas. (Attended by over 150 guests and speakers). 4. Bedient, P.B., SSPEED Conference. Chair and Organizer, “Severe Storm Prediction and Global Climate Impact in the Gulf Coast,” Sponsored by American Institute of Hydrology. October 2931, 2008, Houston, Texas. (Attended by over 150 guests and speakers). 5. Bedient, P.B., Robinson, and H., Fang, Z. (2008). “Distributed Hydrologic Model Development in the Topographically Challenging Yuna River Watershed, Dominican Republic”. Meeting in Dominican Republic before the President October 20, 2008. 6. Bedient, P.B. (June, 2008) Plan for the Dominican Republic Flood Study, before the Ministers of Education, Environment, and Economic Development. 7. Bedient, P.B. "Advanced Flood Alert Systems in Texas" International Disaster Response Conference, Daves, Switzerland, August 28, 2006. 8. Bedient, P.B. "IP2 Flood Alert System for Houston" CASA Meeting NSF Review, UMASS. April, 2006. 9. Bedient, P.B. "Severe Storm Impacts in the Gulf Coast" Severe Storm Impacts and Disaster Response in Gulf Coast, Houston, Rice University, March 15-16, 2006. 10. Bedient, P.B. "Living with Severe Storms in the Gulf Coast- Scientia Lecture" Rice University, Houston, TX. (September 2005). 11. Bedient, P.B., Fang, Z., Safiolea, E., and B.E. Vieux "Enhanced Flood Alert System for Houston" 2005 National Hydrologic Council Conference: Flood Warning Systems, Technologies and Preparedness, Sacramento, California. (May 16-20) 12. Fang, Z. and Bedient, P.B. “Enhanced Flood Alert and Control Systems for Houston” Proceedings of the 25th American Institute of Hydrology Conference: Challenges of Coastal Hydrology and Water Quality. Baton Rouge, Louisiana, May 21-24, 2006. 13. Fang, Z., Bedient, P.B., and R. Hovinga “Prediction of Severe Storm Flood Levels for Houston Using Hurricane Induced Storm Surge Models in a GIS Frame” Proceedings of AWRA 2006 Spring Specialty Conference: GIS and Water Resources IV. Houston, Texas, May 8-10, 2006. 14. Bedient, P.B. "Impacts of Climate Change on Transportation Systems and Infrastructure” Gulf Coast Study, Lafayette, LA. (May 2005) 21 15. Capiro, N.L., Da Silva, M.L.B., Stafford, B.P., Alvarez, P.J.J., and P.B. Bedient "Changes in Microbial Diversity Resulting from a Fuel-Grade Ethanol Spill" Eighth International Symposium on In Situ and On-Site Bioremediation, Baltimore, MD. (June 2005). 16. Safiolea, E. and P. B. Bedient "Assessment of the Relative Hydrologic Effect of Land Use Change and Subsidence Using Distributed Modeling” EWRI Watershed Management Conference, Williamsburg, VA. (July 9-22, 2005) 17. Capiro, N.L., Stafford, B., He, X., Rixey, W.G., and P.B. Bedient “A Large-Scale Experimental Investigation of Ethanol Impacts on Groundwater Contamination” Presentation at the Fourth International Conference on Remediation of Chlorinated and Recalcitrant Compounds; Monterey, CA; May 2004. 18. Capiro, N.L., Da Silva, M.L.B., Stafford, B.P., Alvarez, P.J.J., and P.B. Bedient “Changes in Microbial Diversity Resulting from a Fuel-Grade Ethanol Spill” Accepted for Presentation at The Eighth International Symposium on In Situ and On-Site Bioremediation; Baltimore, MD. June 2005. 19. Safiolea, E. and P.B. Bedient “Analysis of Altered Drainage Patterns and Subsidence Impact Using a Distributed Hydrologic Model” AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference in Orlando FL, November 2004. 20. Safiolea, E. and Philip B. Bedient ” Assessment of the Relative Hydrologic Effect of Land Use Change and Subsidence using Distributed Modeling” EWRI Watershed Management Conference in Williamsburg VA, Jul19-22, 2005. 21. Bedient, P.B. and J.A. Benavides “Use of QPE and QPF for Flood Alert (FAS2) in the Houston, TX Test Bed“ CASA NSF ERC Conference, “ Estes Park, CO, October, 2004. 22. Capiro, N.L., Adamson, D.T., McDade, J.M., Hughes, J.B., and P.B. Bedient “Spatial Variability of Dechlorination Activity Within a PCE DNAPL Source Zone” Presentation The 7th International Symposium In Situ and On-Site Bioremediation; Orlando, FL; June 2003 23. Benavides, J.A. and P.B. Bedient "Improving the Lead-Time and Accuracy of a Flood Alert System in an Urban Watershed" 2003 AWRA Annual Conference, San Diego, California, November 2003. 24. Whitko, A.N. Bedient, P.B., and S. Johnson "Sustainable Flood Control Strategies in the Woodlands – Thirty Years Later" 2003 AWRA Annual Conference, San Diego, California, November 2003. 25. Safiolea E., Hovinga, R., and P.B. Bedient " Impact of Development Patterns on Flooding in Northwest Houston using LIDAR Data” 2003 AWRA Annual Conference, San Diego, California, November 2003 26. Benavides, J.A. and P.B. Bedient "Improving the Performance of a Flood Alert System Designed for a Rapidly Responding Urban Watershed" 2003 Conference on Flood Warning Systems Technologies and Preparedness, Dallas, Texas. October 2003. 27. Bedient, P.B., Holder, A., and Baxter Vieux “A Radar-Based Flood Alert System (FAS) Designed for Houston, TX” International Conference on Urban Storm Drainage, Portland, OR, September 2002. 28. Holder, A., Stewart, E., and P.B. Bedient “Modeling an Urban Drainage System with Large Tailwater Effects under Extreme Rainfall Conditions” International Conference on Urban Storm 22 Drainage, Portland, OR, September 2002. 29. Glenn, S., Bedient, P.B., and B. Vieux “Analysis of Recharge in Ground Water Using NEXRAD in a GIS Format” AWRA Summer Specialty Conference, Keystone, CO, July, 2002. 30. Bedient, P.B. “Flood ALERT System (FAS) for Brays Bayou and the TMC” T.S. Allison: A Brays Bayou Event, Rice University Conference Presentation, and November 13, 2001. 31. Bedient, P.B. “Flood ALERT System for the Texas Medical Center” Hurricanes and Industry, Houston Conference Presentation, November 7, 2001. 32. Bedient, P.B. and J.A. Benavides "Analyzing Flood Control Alternatives for the Clear Creek Watershed in a Geographic Information Systems Framework" presented at ASCE's EWRI Spring 2001 World Water & Environmental Resources Congress Conference. 33. Hoblit, B.C., Bedient, P.B., B.E. Vieux, and A. Holder “Urban Hydrologic Forecasting: Application Issues Using WSR-88D Radar” Proceedings American Society of Civil Engineers Water Research, Planning and Management 2000 Conference, Minneapolis, MN, August 2000. 34. Spexet, A., Bedient, P.B., and M. Marcon “Biodegradation and DNAPL Issues Associated with Dry Cleaning Sites” Proc. Natural Attenuation of Chlorinated Solvents, Petroleum and Hydrocarbons Conference, Bruce Alleman and Andrea Leeson Eds., 5(1), pp. 7-11, Battelle Press, Columbus, Ohio, 1999. Duke Energy Memorandum Regarding CAMA Requirements Memorandum Regarding CAMA Requirements I. Introduction The purpose ofthis document is (1) to estabiish Duke Energy?s compliance with the groundwater assessment and corrective action requirements of the North Carolina Coai Ash Management Act and (2) to identify information relevant to the Department?s assessment and prioritization of coal ash surface impoundments for closure under CAMA. As explained further below, Duke Energy has submitted all groundwater information required by CAMA to date and will continue to submit information required by the Department pursuant to CAMA authority. As a result, there is no basis for any finding by the Department that Duke Energy has faiied to compiy with CAMA. Further, the information submitted by Duke Energy, supplemented by other avaiiable, relevant information, is sufficient for the Department to make an evidence-based assessment of the factors that CAMA requires for impoundment prioritization; as a result, it would be legal error forthe Department to prioritize the surface impoundments without full consideration of, and findings of fact on, each of the factors. it. Compliance with Groundwater Assessment and Corrective Action groundwater assessment and corrective action provisions are located at North Carolina General Statutes 1. Duke Energy has complied with subsections and as follows: A. Subsection - Groundwater Assessment Subsection requires Duke Energy to, at each of its surface impoundments, do three things: (1) submit a proposed Groundwater Assessment Plan for approval by the Department, (2) begin implementing a Groundwater Assessment Plan approved by the Department, and (3) submit a Groundwater Assessment Report describing all exceedances of groundwater quality standards associated with the impoundment. Duke Energy has met each of these requirements. As you are aware, Duke Energy submitted draft Groundwater Assessment Plans for ail of its surface impoundments in North Carolina on September 25, 2014. The Department provided comments on November 5, 2014, and Duke Energy submitted revised Groundwater Assessment Plans on December 30, 2014. The Department conditionally approved the Plans on various dates earlier this year, NCDENRO194488 and Duke Energy began implementing each plan within 10 days of approval. Groundwater Assessment Reports describing all exceedances of groundwater quality standards associated with the various surface impoundments were submitted to the Department in August and September. The Department?s approvai of the plans reflected a determination that the plans met CAMA requirements. Duke Energy?s implementation of the plans, including the conditions of approval, under the Department?s close oversight, further supports a conclusion that the requirements of Subsection were met. According to the plain ianguage ot Subsection Duke Energy?s compliance with the requirements does not depend on the substantive content of the Groundwater Assessment Reports. Duke Energy was required to make pians to assess various groundwater factors, which it did. The Department approved the plans, thereby determining that the Pians wouid assess those groundwater factors. Duke Energy diligently implemented the Plans. There is no further requirement in Subsection or anywhere else in CAMA, that the results ofthe groundwater assessments definitively establish or disprove the existence of any condition at a site. In fact, CAMA anticipates that groundwater assessments performed under Subsection may not supply all the information desired by the Department?Subsection requires Duke Energy to include in a proposed Groundwater Corrective Action Plan "[a]ny other information related to groundwater assessment required by the Department.? Had the General Assembly anticipated that Groundwater Assessment Reports wouid be definitive documents, there would have been no need to authorize the Department to request additionai information in the proposed Corrective Action Pians. B. Subsection - Corrective Action Similarly, Subsection requires Duke Energy to do two things: (1) submit a proposed Groundwater Corrective Action Plan, and (2) begin implementing the Groundwater Corrective Action Plan once it has been approved bythe Department. The deadiine for completion of the first requirement has not yet passed. The Department and Duke Energy agreed that the corrective action plans would be submitted in two parts, and Duke Energy has submitted the first part for fourteen sites with surface impoundments. The deadiine for submission of the second part has not yet arrived. NCDENRO194489 The Corrective Action Pians contain each of the elements from Subsection that were to be included in the first part submittals. The Corrective Action Plans were prepared by qualified professionals and contain work performed to the industry standard. Additional information wiil be submitted in the part two submittals. it is premature to evaluate Duke Energy?s compliance with this requirement until the submittals are compiete. Ill. Prioritization of Surface lmpoundments Under CAMA, the Department is charged with developing proposed classifications of surface impoundments according to the procedures in North Carolina General Statutes The prioritization must be based on ?a site?s risks to public health, safety, and welfare; the environment; and natural resources.? N.C. Gen. Stat. In assessing the risks, the Department must evaluate groundwater data submitted under 1, discharge information submitted under BOA-309.212, and any other information deemed relevant. Further, the Department must consider all of the foilowing: 00 Any hazards to pubiic health, safety, or welfare resulting from the impoundment. 00 The structural condition and hazard potential ofthe impoundment. 00 The proximity of surface waters to the impoundment and whether any surface waters are contaminated orthreatened by contamination as a result of the impoundment. 00 information concerning the horizontal and vertical extent of soil and groundwater contamination for all contaminants confirmed to be present in groundwater in exceedance of groundwater quaiity standards and all significant factors affecting contaminant transport. 00 The location and nature of all receptors and significant exposure pathways. (X) The geologicai and hydrogeologicai features influencing the movement and chemical and physical character of the contaminants. 00 The amount and characteristics of coal combustion residuals in the impoundment. co Whetherttie impoundment is located within an area subject to a 100-year flood. 00 Any other factor the Department deems relevant to estabiishment of risk. The Department must issue written deciarations, including findings of fact, documenting a proposed risk classification. NCDENRO194490 This section requires the Department to make decisions based on the available evidence regarding each of the listed factors.1 It would not be consistent with this requirement forthe Department to make a classification decision based soiely on one factor and disregard valid information about the others. Further, the section anticipates that the Department will make decisions before complete information about a site is available. For example, it does not require the Department to compietely know the vertical and horizontai extent of soil and groundwater contamination for each site; rather it requires that the Department consider information concerningthe vertical and horizontal extent. Similariy, it does not require the Department to know all factors that might conceivably affect contaminant transport or all conceivabie exposure pathways; it requires the consideration only of signi?cant factors affecting contaminant transport and significant exposure pathways. Additional support for this conclusion is found in the fact that this section defines an iterative process by which evoiving data, review, and commentary are used to classify surface impoundments as low, intermediate, or high risk. This iterative process begins with a provisionally proposed classification by the Department by December 31, 2015 and extends for a minimum (no maximum) of six months while feedback and additional data are received and evaluated bythe Department and the Coat Ash Management Commission. Taken as a whole, this section requires the Department to make evidence-based decisions using the best available information in the record. Duke Energy has submitted substantial evidence into the administrative record. Any classification should be based on this evidence, with the understanding that additional information requests may be relevant to the degree of certainty in the classification but do not undermine the validity of the classification. iV. Conclusion The Groundwater Assessment Plans, Groundwater Assessment Reports, and Groundwater Corrective Action Plans submitted by Duke Energy to the Department meet the requirements of and provide vast data, analysis, and findings. Chief among the findings is a determination by iicensed 1 Aside from CAfi/lA, the North Carolina Administrative Procedure Act requires that agency decisions be supported "by substantial evidence . . . in View of the entire record as submitted.? GS. 1508-51 4 NCDENRO194491 environmental geologists that none of the sites pose an imminent hazard to human health orthe environment. Duke Energy is committed to meeting the Department?s expectations by providing additional data, tully ieveraging the time provided by iterative process to ensure tinal ciassitications refiect the best science and engineering. Nonetheless, Duke Energy has compiied with all of requirements to date, and available information is sufficient forthe Department to develop classifications as required by CAMA. NCDENRO194492 2-19-15 NCDENR Conditional Approval of Revised Groundwater Assessment Work Plan NCDEN North Cato-tints: Department at am Naturat ?gsgumes Pat Mammy Damatd? van ate; Vaart Gwamar Seycmtaty Fabruary 1.9, 20-} 5 Mr. Harry Sideris S??i?f VicaeP?resident Environment, Health, and SafEty Duke Energy 526 Swath Church Straw: Mail Dude ECBXP Chariottaj NC 28202 Re; Cliffsids Swath Station NPDEYS Permit Na. and Cleveland Counties, North Catalina Camtditimal Approval (tf Revised Grgundwater Assessment Wark Plant Dear Mr. Sideris: On December 31,, 2.014, the Divi'simt Of Water Riasources raceivad the mvised Gmundwater Assassmem Plan, (GAP) far the aboVe listed fatality; a rcvised GAP was submitted in to the Division?g Review oj'sz/mdwater Assessment Work Plan. letter date? Novembar 4, 2014 ragardittg requiremmts of the (30211 Ash Management An 2014 (3.8. A review of the plan has been commath and set/amt deficiencies items requiring clari?catiun were noted., In arder to keepthe sita assessment activities: cm a timely schedule, the Division has apprcavad the; revised under the candition that the follawing deficient it.ng are addressed in the Gtoun?watar Assessment Repnrt: Cnmm?m Sa?tion 5.3 Site Charagtaristics: The initial site mneeptuat sitemmd?l (ISCM) section Qf'the reviscd GAP (1035 not pmvi?s a. clear, cahesive description 9f haw constituents of'petential may migats the saum?s} t0 the recep?t?rs through variants pathways.. It is that. there is; infe?nation availath to devetop an ICSM, but data are not prasented in a manner such as grmmutwatar alevatimn maps: ge-olagic maps, crmas~sactia-ons that depict detailed site canditians} ?ow diagrams, car in: a tabulatad fannat t0 illuStrate what's data gaps. may exist. Duke Energy should all existing {tam at the site and be prepared to: collect additional data if the Divisimn detcmitta? that additianal data gaps exist. Cmtinued site wmeptual made] developmmt Shauld, faltaw guidelines similar to thosa presented in the Ame?can Standar?s 1?63?:ng Measures E1689 - QSQOM) Standard Guid?: far Dev-6E0ng Concepmal Site Models for Cantaminated 311525 to direct. data mileatieny data interpretath and matte} devel?pment dctailed hydrage?lngic and grcauttdwater mhemistry r?parts fat: the *Ctiffside facility were: net cited or referancad in the rsvised GAP. Th3 I??p??sj titlad ?Gasmanagement 3f $36 Matt Same-e ?amers Raleigh Carmina 35994535 Phane: Qt tntemet: An Equa? me?unity a ?tt?tma?ve Aattott Emptayerw Maria {it gm by racyciatt pater NCDENR0063401 Combustion By~l3roducts and Lowa?v'olmns Wastes: A Southeastern Site? {Electric institutsg 1993i) ?Fists of Htllity LGW'?Vslums Wastes with Highu?xfslums C0211 Edy-Precincts: CL Sits? (Electric Fewer Research 1997), assists sud {tats to the sits assessment and should bs used in sits sits assessment and sits development. is tilts report titled at White Material Obsewsd in Ssspags, Inactive Ash Basin #5 Main Stsam Statisn? (HDR Esginssring, Ins. Qt'ths Csmlinss. April ll} slassld he used in the site assessment. and in GSA report. If to and (pr) assessment exist, they salsa hs used and in this GSA report. Ssctiss 7.0 Sits Assessment Duke Energy ts F?s sud Mn anti is sampliams well data. print ts installing additional wells nesdsd to delineate the extent sf elevated Fe and Mn. To meet the CSA and CAP mandated by the C931 Ash Management Act, Duke shsuid the nsstisd far Es and. Mn delineation upon revised GAP approval. Any to evaluate histamine data may be in ass} sits-tins with the installation and sampling Ssctisn Ash and. Sail Ratings-z For tastings sutsids ash bastss and ash stm'sgs areas, the rsvised GAP statss that ls?horst-sry an. will depend 011 the nstut?s and quantity st? msts?s} it is ?st the sstid phase will be and fer st sash sampled just shave the water tattle, just the water tab-ls, transition zone, bsdrec'li ??ssturss). Section 7. i .2 Msnitszfing Wells: Shallsw msnitsr WsstIs is the revised GAP text :10 .sst match the quantity of shallsw wells is 8. vsrify the qusntittss sf s21 wells (shallow, and contained in the test, Table 8, and Figure 3 and the Of?ss vis small the smsunts fat sash. Maxis well cluster ts a Iscsti'sn immediately to the tltsis at the active pond dam, an area where 0f COPCs liksiy. Analytical results ??Gm is. this vicinity have: displayed elevated st" lass-on and COPCs. (30111131th Section 7.1.4 Wells Arid the tsltowisg well s} ABABR, b} s) sud d) ts address data gaps st bath within the basins and at the tos of the active: sand. NCDENR0063402 Cemment Seetlen 7.2 Groundwater Sampling anti Analysis-1 Diteetien provided in the EPA Region 1 Lew Stress Purging and. Sampling fer the Celleetien ef Samples free} Meelterlng Wells (2840) sheeld be fellewed ettictly and any deviatlene item the must he approval by the Divislee amt dec-umented Fet- example, sample's she?eld feet he celleeted until pH ie stabilized within :e 0.1 fer three eenseeutive readings rather than i 0.2 written in the GAP. 'l?empetetute' and Sgeei?e eemluetivity reedlege sheuld stabilize within 3% the three lvefere samples are. collected instead et? 18% meted in the GAP. Ales mete that if the pumping rate is SQ lew that tlite ?ewuthreughveell?ehember volume lee replaced within a :3 minute interval. the time between measurements should be increased accordingly. The prepesed menitet well leeatiens in and amend Unit 5 app-eat to be fer purposes of greendwater assessme?et in this: area of the site. However. thie tile-es net er imply epprevel of locations for pmpeseg ef NPDEE eempllettee monitoring at? the Unit 5 Inactive Ash Basin. Fer more infametiee please eenteet the Regional Of?ce. Fer at" tadlumfuranium groundwater sampling: a} mid. lee-etions SKSIJD, and and la) remove Mle ll") and 8&3 SID. Cemetth Section 7.2.1 Cempliance antl Vt?'tl?tm?y Menite??ng Wells: lt l3 expected that all welle and sueset 0f voluntary meltltet wells will be sampled and analyzed as part efthe Site assessment. :9 Comment Section 7.7.5 Daniele of Conceptual law Medal: Seek Creel; should be included as feature in gmumlwater ?ew anal transport modeling ?te fer petential eentamineet trenepett te the creek and. for mass ?uxes in antl eut ef the medel domain. if it eppeers that containing eenetltueete abeve the standards is discharging te Seek Creek. it is expected that treesth date eelleettlen aed leadellng, be carried em: 2153 discussed in the; general comment e-f this letter. Gentle:th Seetiee 9.6 (ISA Repett: Previtle the fellewlng additional maps in the GSA report: a} a. Shaded relief reap create-{l frem LEDAR digital elevation models and b) e- slte- wide orthepltete map showing sell fill areas. {exclude site be'underies, impeundments, and all theility and water Supply wells on bath maps. lnfetmetlen teem the N-Ol?lh' Carellne Division at? Energy. Mineral ant-l. Latte Resources regarding basin and dam censtmetiefn should be as applicable, into the site assessment repert. See ce'mmeet 39 in the Diw?sien?s Review Of .Asgemmeet Work Plan. letter dated November 4, 2014 tilt a list ef the gee-legit: ewes sections. that. the .Divieien weultli like te see presented in the GSA repett, each the 01' ether metlellng Slteuld else be represented by a geelegte cross section. NCDENR0063403 In additiany technicai diractinn that wi? Servaas; the basis 0f expactations for cample?an oftha site assessment is provided at Attachment E. Failure, to, addrem the de?cient items- stated abuve will result in Duke Enargy mat being in campliance with the S'tagtad statutes. Fat (3.3 (3) and, (4), ym}. must begin implementation of the revised GAP an March 13 2015 and the Agsessmenf Report is due-an AuguSt 18:, 2813 It is our understanding that 13er Energy may have t0 ab?tain additianal permits ta facilitate installation 53f (231132111 manimxing wells; En ?the event pmnits are Headed far this purpasa, Duke, Energy should take an steps necassafy cansistent with the law avoid deiaying campletimn (31f the: assessment rep?rt If?y?cru have- any questiuns?, pleasa mutaati Ted Campba? at (828); 296-4683., Sincerely? 4/ - if; Acting Dita;th Bivigion 0f Water Resourcas- cc: m? Cantral Files DENR Secretary - Den van der Vaxart (mm; Wiliiam Miller) 440 Sauth Church Street? Suita 19003 Cha?mta, NC 28202 NCDENR0063404 attachment 1 Page 1 of 5 ?uke Eoergv GAP Review lesoes The items identified in this Groundwateressessment Plan (GAP) review summary are provided for discussion for the various parties to agree technicel direction and content in the revised comereilenslve site assessments (CSAS), and corrective action plans ?reeodweier Meni?iorieg 1. A schedule for continued groundwater monitoring is mandated by the C.an Ash Management Act 281d. Ara interim plan slieuid irsclode at ieasi: two rounds-5' of gromdiwater samples coliected and analyzed in 215315, The analyticai results of the first round of data collected in: 2015- wooaid be included in the (ISA report, whiie the results of the seceod round? wooid be submitted as a CSA addendum, efter data can be eveloated, a pie n: for? cominded groundwater monitoring ca be developed for implementation in 2015. 2. Sit-es impacted by inorganics are typiceiiy mariaged using a tiered site analysis which inciudes four elements as referee-emcee in gee/eoo/ewor/ 13%: a Demonstration of active contaminant remove-i from groundwater 8: die-solved oiome a Determination of the mechanism and rate of attenuation; 49 Determination ofthe longetenn capacity for attenuation and stability of immobilized contaminants, before, during, and after any proposed remedial activities; and? a Design of performance monitoring program, inciodiog defining triggers for assessing the remedial action strategy failure, and establishing a contingency oiasnc reference and the framework described above" meme be used as aooliceoie to meet the corrective .ectien irl 15A NQAC-GZL $1036.. 3. Because" of uncertainty concerning theeite?s to attenuate contaminants over the long term given potentially changing geochemical conditions, ?there is as need to address the eiements oi?ihe tiered site analysis described eioove and collect appropriate samples as part of the CSA Cid-i development, and continued groundwater monitoriog ii. The Division of Water Resources (Division) Birector is responsible for establishing background ievels for COPCS in groundwater. This determination is: based on information and data provided by the responsible early; aeci "may include formai Statistical testing using background weiis with at ieast four rounds of data. Wells ideoci?ed as ?background? areeuoject to periodic review based on a refined understanding of site and hydrogeoiogic conditions. in generai, each facility must have a background well or welie screened or open to each of the dominth ?ow systems that occur at the site and are associated with groundwater contamination. My questions cor?lcemirig adequacy of background monitoring locations or conditions at the facilities should be directed to the. Regienei officee, NCDENR0063405 Attachment 1 Page 2 of 6 5. Deiineation oi the groundwater contaminant plume associates with ceai combustion residuais is a requisement of the investigation anti if efi3--site monitoring weiis are ultimately required to eerform this task, then it is expected that 1tits-5e activities wili be complieteci as part of. the groundwater assessment activities anti included in the finai report. Documentation ofthe effort to gain eff?site access, or right of way permits, be of?siie aCCess is denied or alternate means of assessing the area were not availabie within the aiiocated timeframe {such as within righbofuways}. site Assessment taste Requirements and Samniing Strategy 1., Robustclata collection is warranted to support timely completion: of site assessments and subsequent corrective action plans because of the impending deadlines for sompietion of CSAs anti CAPS, scale and geoiogic complexity of tits sites, the chalilenges of modeling heterogeneous. systems, and site osrox?irnity tn potentiai. human ansi sensitive? ecosystem resents-rs. Robust data collection wili be focused aiong strategicaiiy positioned fiowoath transectle from asii ponci source tn potentlai receptor was an efficient 'appteach for model development (anaiytical, geochesmicai, groundwater flow, and transport) in support of risit assessment and CAP deveiopment, Data collected to support evaiuation of site conditions aiong the fiowpath transects should be located aiong or ostensibly proximate. to the modeied transects. The dataset seveinned eiong proposes! iiowgp-ath: transects will insiucie any information nee-tied to determine constituent concentrations, conduct Kc! tests, anti perform batch geochemicali mo'deiing in rnultioie iiow horizons as appropriate, This data inciudie a) soiid phase starnnle cniiectien fer iici measurement and batch geechemicai motieling, inorganic analysis and speciation, and other parameters identified in Genera! {Tornment #4 ofthe Ninvember xi, 2014 comments issued in; DWR, b} soiuti?on phase samoie coilection for totai and dissoived inorganic ana-iysis of total concentrations, small note filtration for disseiveci satin-pies, etc, and Cl- slug, constant/failing head, and packer testing. The soiiti phase samoie mineralogy, totai concentration resuits, measurements, and other geochemicai parameters will he used as input for speciation caicuiations of ratios sensitive constituents calsoeiateoi lay PHREEQC or simiiar program modeling wilii he performeo to identify note ntiai mineral nhases, estimated species speciation and sons-entrations, and will be performed varying key soiubility controlling parameters to predict minerai phases, speciation, anal concentrations under varying conditions. Soiid samples for Kti tests from locations where moderateiy to strengi?y conditions are anticipated snali be frozen upon ceiiectien and tested in glove box conditions 112}. Refer to Section for the data collection and characterization needed to support the four-?tiered anaiysis discusses above. Speciasiens for groundwater and surface water sampiessitooid include: Fe, Mn, and any whose speciation state may affect toxicity er leg. As, Cr, Se, or others if apoiicabie). This speciation at)in for groundwater sampies coiiecteci at wells located aiong proposed NCDENR0063406 Attachmeei 1 Page 3 of 5 Ill 12, 13. iievvpath transects and in wells where these constituents exceed 2L groundwater standards as weii es ier surface water samples eelieeteci within: ash irnpeenriments. Seiid phase samples sineil be analyzed fer: minerals present, chemical eemeesitien ei oxides, hydrous Mn, and AL oxides centerit; meisture content; particle size analysis; plasticity, speeifii: gravity,- peresitir; er eiher physical preserries er analyses needed te premise input to a chosen medel. The Divisien reservesthe right so request, enelvsis fer organic, carbon era recent, organic careenate content (as apprepriete if site eeneitiens warrant), er ieri exchange capacities, if needed te eerne-i-ete the site assessment process, In addition is Conducting the SPLP leechahle inorganic communes analysis for seiecteri ash samples to evaluate the potential for leaching of censiituems to grouridwater, the ieesheb-ie analysis shoeie else be Conducted for seme seil samples from lecetion?s iaerieeth the pends, within the plume, anti eutsirie the plume to eveiuete peteritiai from native seiis. in edditien te celiectieg solid phase samples ensite for lid seii samples shseulri be else eeliected from unaffected se'i'is within greuerliwater flew pathway t0 evaluate hell's) or hydrees ierreus oxide. Reel: sampies fer analyses sheuld he collected as eemmented? in General Cemmeni ii of the November 4, 29314 GAP cemrneets is-isueel i331 BWR. This GAP review comment indicated the}: the semeiebi coliected from bedrer well soil and: reek sore-s sheii be analyzed, at: a minimum, for the feliewirig?: type of material, lermatie-n irerri which it ?came, minerals present, Chemical cempesitien es hydrous Fe, Mn, and oxides cement, surface area, mois?i?ure cement, ete; however, these__analvses were net mentiened the. see The {Divisien reserves the right to request eeaiysis for organic carhe-n cement, ergenie eazrbeeate cement, end irm exchange capacity if needed is: cempiete the site essessmerii: ere?eess, The ceai ash and seii anelyte lists shouie match the greeneweter enalyte iisrs. Total uranium analysis sheultl be analyzed where taste? radium is snaivzed fer greimdweter. if eealvtieal resuits from a seep sample exceed 2i. standards-thee- t?he area in the vicinity ml? the sample leeatien sheeld lee investigated for greuntiiwater cents mieatieri. ii enaiyiieal results. from a surface water sample exceed 23 standards, then the area in the vicieity el?the sameie lee-etien should be investigated fer gree-ridweter eeutamineiien. Surface water/seep samples shouici be during beseilew emulsions. and that the groundwater monitoring (Wis anti sampling} Sherrie meter at about: the same time. Measurement ef st-reamilew iri selecteci per'e nnis'i' streams is exee-eiee as needed in supper-t of simeulatiee/ceiibreiien 0i flow and transport mecieis; major rivers that serve as greuririwater divides are nice included in this expectatiee. {lenceptuel Merrie! Elements in ihe CSA report, data gaps remaining sheuid be. specifically identified anri summarized. Site heteregeneities sheuie ire identified and described with respect te; e} their nature, is) their sceie and density, c) the extent ite which the date Che reeterizes them, ti) hevv the medeling accounts for them, e) and how they affect modeling uncertainty. NCDENR0063407 Attachment 1 "Page ii {if 6' 3. The impact of data gaps and site heterogeneities shieuid he described in relatien to the eiements develehecl in the. Site Cenceetuai Model anti Fate and Transport Masai subsectines. For sites in the Piedment er Meenteins, the CSA Repert sheuid indecis- a subsection within the Site Geniegy and Sectitin titi-ed ?Structural Geeiegs". This sectien sheeld eescnhe: a} foliations, in) shear zones, c) fracture trace anaiysis and ti) other structural cempenents anticipated to be reievant to iiew and cantaminant transplant at: the site. Duke Energy wili incieirie a poster?sized sheetisi E) temhihing tabulated analyticai assessment resuits {greendwateh surface water, and ieachate samples); muitieie sheets may he needed in present the data. This shouid he provisieci in szddiitien to the individuai armistice!i resuiis tables that wiil he prepared fer the tepetts Arty questiens (something farms-t or content of the anaiytical result summaries shouitl he directed t0 the Regieniall Office-st Geochemical Madeing 3.. The Division agrees that a geecheinicai model ?iceuspieti? to a 3?5} fate anti transmit metiei is inappropriate given the size anti sompiexity at the sites anti the extremeiy iarge amount of data resuiteci to eaiihrate such a medei. Rather, a ?hatch? geochemical nae-deli approach should be sufficient for sacsessfuiiy sempleting the site assessment settler cei'tettive attien pian. Samples coliesteci fer ?hatch? geechemicai anaiysis sheuld he focused siting er dieiensihiy pieximate to ilow?path transects. - Te swipe-rt successful hatch geochemical metieiineg, disseiveti greendwater-sa matiies ee-iiecteii aieeg a contaminant fiewpath transect sheuid he Obtained using a 0?1. um fiiter. This help ensure a? true dissniveci phase sample. Note that the dissei?ved? samples are far assessment purposes Unis: anti may not he used fer hureeses ?of campiiance meniteringi if there is uncertainty about which areas/weils he used in the hatch geechemical modeling, the initial mend ei assessment sarmniirig at the can utilize the {3.45 am fitter until the contaminant flew path transeets are selected {Since determined, Elle-ice Enseth can git} hack and re??sampie the weiis needed for geochemicai medeiing using the 0.1 are fitter. it is recegnizeci that the use. of a {11 um he diffieuit fer weils?wiih eievated turbidity; in this case, it is that Duke Energy use two fiiters in series (the water initialiv passes through a 04:5 um remove larger particies prier to passing through the 0.1 um filter}. infermatien fer a disposable Giant fieici fiite?r designed specificaliy fer sampling gteundwater fer metai anaiysis is ptevicietl at the felts-wing iink: if field comparisons mi {3.1 versus 0515 micron fiitratinn at several transect welis at a: given site Show no significant differences between the two methods; then GAS micree fiiters may he used? for evaluating the disseieed phase eencentratiens ai thai site. in snppert of the abjectives sf Generai Comment #2 of the Nievemher 23:, 2014 GAP comments issued by DWR, {Jake Energy shnuid acid a column titled "relative resin-x" to the analytical results te retard the far that insatieni?sam-eie date. The series. determination should be based on observes DO, (RP, and any other teievant measures and presented for histeric and new sampies {weiis ash here water, setfaee waters, eta). Reiatiee NCDENR0063408 Attainment 1 Page 5 of rtedox designations may include ?iron red wing sui?fate ramming?, mildly axidiring, moderately Gridizing; etc. and be with a statrsmerit about the of ca?ef?idence ii"; the designation based amaurit and quality of data, {hike Energy shaii also evaluate: a) spatial geochemical trends acmss the facility am} along seirected flaw paths, in} t-emparal geoclwmical trends where absewabie {such as for c'arrmliance b?-Lindary waits), airing with the iikeiy reamri it)? the change lag, increase in mammal recharge, prim dewatering anti subsequent reversal ?at groundwater flow directium inundation: {if well tram river at'fiorici stage? etc.) in Stigma-rt of the CAP. This evfaluatimn step will require! a comparison at geachemical conditions overtime with rainfall data, notabie ash capping, dewatering, disposal/remwai, mother piani- Dperatims, etc. The quality of existing geechemical tiara will be evaluateti using fie-id mete-s, cae'libra-timn records, amt cmsistemy in 3?9de measuremerits (egi EH vs, raw Groundwatar Mudeis 1. The technicai direction tar develmping the iatta anti transth modeli?g will fallow guideiims f?und in Groundwater Madeing Peiicy, NCDEMR DWQ, May 31, 200?, and discussinns canducted between Duke Energy and their consuitants with: the Bivisicn. Ultimate directien for completim (3f fate and transmit madelg be gravided by the Bivisim. The CAP Report should inciuda a subsection within Gmundwater Modeling Resuits titted ?Site Conceptual Winder that summarizes, fer purposes. of model the umieratanding: of the phy?sicai arici themit?al Setting t3"? the: site anti shaii includt, at a: minimum: a} the site setting (hydrageaiagy, dominant flow zones; heterogeneities, areas of pruncunced vertical head gradients, areas of recharge and discharge, spatiaei of gemhemicai caritiitioris acrasg the site, and rather lactate; 225 l3} source areas and estimath mass loading. histary, receptors, {le chemical behavinr and? t) likely retentim mechanisms irir {2039(35 and haw the mechanisms are expected to respom tr; Changes in geochemical wriditiciris. Madeling be included in the Corrective Action: Plan The four-tiered analysis. previousiy referenced and appragriate medaiing should? he r-oimucted, and the mass flux rairiilatiims ?ascribeci in the ahrmiri be performed, The CAP Repnrt shall provide se?arate subsectionsg fur reporting gr??un-dwater flow madeis and fate anti tranSport mudeis. The CAP Repart shmuld include subsectians within Groundwater Mmie?iing Results titiecl ?Grauntiwater Mariel Deveiopment? that clesrrilmc?rsg for each chase-n madel: a} purpose of model, buiit?in assumptisns, medal extent, grid, layers-s) haundary canditions, initial? mmiitians, and otherg as listed in {iivisimn guidance. inalude in: this sectl?ri as at ?etemgeneities and how the madells) account for this lag. duai porosity mediating, equivaiam porous maciia aggroaci}, etc?}. Separate subseations shouid be claveloped for the gramdwater flaw mnd?ei, fate and transmit mode?, and batch gegchemical medals, respectively. Reports should include a subsection within Gratin?water Modeling- Resuaits titled rGr0umdwater Model Caiibratian? that describes, for each medal used, the process used t0 NCDENR0063409 Attachment 1 ?age of 6 the modci, the 20985 {if input and calibration variables (far exa?mpl?e, hydrauiic canductivitiac) thai: were used, the actuai (measm?ed) versus modeiec? resui?ia for ali kw variabieg, and others. Separate subsectians Shouid be deveioped for the gmundwater fiow medei, fate and transmit mcdeij and batch geachemicai mocieiis}, re-Sgectiveiy. ?22 Reparts gimuiij inciudc a subsectiG-n within: Gmundiwater Ma-dei?ng Results 'titied ?Gmum?water Mode! Sensitivity Analyais? that deccribes, fer each mode; uS-cui, the pmcess used it) evaluate madei uncertainty, uariabie racges tested; and the key sensitivities. Separate su?bseciiona should be develm-ped for the gmund?water fate and? {rampart mm?ei, anci batch geachemic?ai madam), i?esgjectiveiy. ?eveicpment {if Kd T?rms 1, Kc? "testicg and mc?eimg in support of CAP devempmem i-i?iciude ail? abme the MGM 15A 02L .Dl??ig) standards in ash ieachate, ash pure water, er compiiance boundary weii groundwater sampies. 2.- The seiacted Kid used in transport mod-ef?ng cften wiif mam-un?t? affe??i the ?uke Energy shouici acknowiedge ihis ccncept anci dacumen-t within the transmit madciing section?g) 0f the CAP w?idaiy recagnized limitations inhemnt in the estimation (if the K6 {arm Risk Assessmam 1, vaide references for guidance and paientia! sampi?ng methodaimgy miatad to candiucting a: baseiine ecologicai risk assessme?t or habitat assessment, if warranted. NCDENR0063410 9-18-15 NCDENR Draft Comprehensive Site Assessment Comments A ENE North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources Pat McCrory Donald R. Van der Vaart Governor Secretary September 18, 2015 .Mr. Harry Sideris Senior Vice-President Environment, Health, and Safety Duke Energy 526 South Church Street Mail Code EC3XP Charlotte, NC 28202 ountres, North nsive Site CSA has its review on of data addressed 16, 2015 General Comments While the CSA Report provides data to develop a general understanding of site conditions, the report fails to fully explain the factors affecting the occurrence, movement, and transport of constituents that exceed groundwater quality standards as required by CAMA 09.21 1. The relationship between the coal ash basins and the side and downgradient distribution of constituents of interest (COIs) is not well developed in the report. Using site data to understand and communicate why a contaminantis elevated in one area (or location) and low in another is essential to asisessing fate, transport, and risk to receptors prior to the development of a CAP. The CSA Report fails to adequately characterize the horizontal and vertical extent of contamination in some areas of the facility as described in the speci?c comments below. The CSAReport fails to quantitatively estimate background concentrations in groundwater and use these estimates as a basis of comparison to side or downgradient well data. The Report should provide provisional estimates of constituent concentrations using site data. The estimates are needed 1636 Mail Service Center, Raleigh, North Carolina 27699-1 $36 Phone: 919e807-6484tlnternet: An Equal Opportunity \At?rmative Action Employer Mode in part by recycled paper NCDENRO194077 Cliffside Steam Station September 18, 2015 Page 2 of 8 to compare ash leachate?impacted groundwater to background levels for purposes of assessment and GAP development. Specific Comments The data gaps and de?ciencies noted during review of the CSA Report include the following: 0 The Division expects a ?provisional estimate for purposes of assessment of the background concentration level for each constituents of interest (C015) in groundwater to be established in order to evaluate the results of the CSA Report consistent with the CSA Guidelines and CAMA requirements to describe all exceedances of North Carolina Administrative Code (NCAC) Title 15A Chapter 02L.0202 groundwater quality standards (ZLStandards). PEPA determinations should be made using data from all available historic background sampling events from compliance wells MW -21D, MW -24D, MW-24DR, and 1V1W -25DR (see section 2.10, p.13), and from CCP land?ll monitoring wells and (permit #8106). The CCP Lined Land?ll wells are about 1500 ft. SW and upgradient of Unit 5 basin and represent comparable geologic conditions. Data from compliance wells are available from. 14 events; data from CCP land?ll monitoring wells are available from 7 events. Data outliers in?uenced by turbidity should be removed prior to the PEPA determination. PEPA determinations for the V, CO, and that were not historically analyzed in either the compliance or landfill monitor wells should be made using data from background assessment wells and current data from and All background data used in the PEPA determinations should be presented in the CSA addendum. The addendum should also include the methodology used to determine the PEPA and a list of the removed outliers. See section 3.2.5, p. 19. 0 C01 determinations should include constituents in native soil or sediment that are mobilized to groundwater due to changes in geochemical conditions brought about by coal ash storage or CAP implementation. Section 7.7 should consider and include C015 from the groundwater component. 0 C01 determinations should consider hexavalent chromium. Radionuclide sampling should be conducted in wells (background), MW-24DR, anus, as?4s, owner 1s, and 13-48?81. and results provided. 0 Although the geochemical site conceptual model (GSCM) presented in section 13.3 provides a ?bullet list? of factors that may affect leaching, sorption and desorption, and precipitation and dissolution, the list is so generic that it is of limited value and says nothing about what is being observed geochemically at Cliffside Steam Station (CSS). While the CSA includes NCDENRO194078 Cliffside Steam Station September 18, 2015 Page 3 of 8 raw contaminant concentrations, selected valence state data, pH, dissolved oxygen, eH, TDS, alkalinity, and other data in various tables and ?gures throughout the report, these were not used or interpreted to develop a conceptual understanding of contaminant mobility and transport at CSS. The GSCM section 13.3 should provide a summary narrative of the current understanding of geochemical conditions across the site (different areas will be characterized by different conditions and should be described accordingly) and how they are expected to affect individual contaminant mobility and transport. Specifically, the GSCM narrative should describe, based on site data: a) the source of iron and manganese in groundwater (coal ash versus native soil) and how these constituents are solubilized/mobilized and (or) precipitated at CSS, b) the source of each of the other COIs (coal ash versus native soil), c) the mechanism(s) and conditions under which each COI would be expected to be mobilized or attenuated at CSS, d) prevailing geochemical conditions (ie. pH and eH) in C01 source areas and along identified ?ow path transects A, C, H, J, and (see Fig 11?1), and e) any other factors relevant to the occurrence and mobility of contaminants at CSS. Information in the GSCM narrative should explain what is known about why a C01 is found at elevated concentrations in one area of CSS and at very low concentrations in another. it is understood that geochemical modeling wiil be performed as part of the CAP and that the GSCM will undergo revisions as part. of that process. 0 Boron, sulfate, TDS, and other concentrations are irregularly distributed, even within a given source area of CSS. An understanding of the hydrogeologic and geochemical causes behind these irregular distributions in soil and in groundwater along a presumed ?owpath is needed to improve the hydrogeologic site conceptual model (HSCM), GSCM, and numerical models to be used in the CAP development. These are considered to be significant factors affecting contaminant occurrence and transport. The HSCM and the GSCM should address these concentration irregularities and their causes. 0 Additional monitoring wells are needed to improve the understanding of the extent and source of TDS in areas of MW-23D, GWAH 14D, and GWAH4D. 0 Although data needed to develop a HSCM are provided in various tables, ?gures, and appendices throughout the CSA, there is not the GAP?required section that interprets this information in a summary narrative needed to evaluate CSA results of contaminant extent and movement, ensure compliance with CSA. guidelines and CAMA, and assess modeling results and CAP. Section 6.2.4, Hydrogeologic Site Conceptual Model, is the section that is supposed to provide this narrative; instead it lists the types of data that comprise the HSCM and the sections in which these data may be found. Narrative about the site is limited to the sentence that states that ?the direction of the movement of the contaminants is towards Suck Creek and Broad River, as anticipated.? Section 6.2.4 should include a stand?alone narrative for each area and its corresponding downgradient footprint for which a coal ash source has been identified. The source areas include, but may not be limited to, the active ash pond, units 1-4 basin, unit 5 basin, and ash storage areas. The narrative should summarize the current conceptual hydrogeologic understanding of that area of CSS. Each narrative should describe: a) the character of the connected three?part groundwater system in which ?ow occurs and where units are particularly thick or thin, b) how, where, and how NCDENRO194079 Cliffside Steam Station September 18, 2015 Page 4 of 8 much recharge occurs in that area, c) horizontal and vertical flow directions in that area, d) the areas of discharge, e) locations in that area that do not follow the HSCM for the area and why, and f) data gaps that affect the ability to understand a) through c) above. Areas of CSS that do not ?t the generalized HSCM should be discussed in the narrative. These four narratives should be presented in a revised HSCM. 0 Base maps (Figs 4-5, 6-2, 6-6, 6-7, 6-8, 7-1, 8-1, 9-1, 10-46, of CSS should show all surface water features. Currently the CSA ?gures are missing a number of streams, tributaries, seeps, and wetlands. An accurate HSCM is dependent in part upon a complete picture of where groundwater is discharging to the surface. Section 12.2.2.9 states that the June 2015 AMEC Natural Resources Technical Report identified 26 wetland areas, 28 drainage features, 16 intermittent streams, and 12 perennial streams at the site. These surface water bodies should be incorporated into all figures (plan view and cross sections) and, as appropriate, into the HSCM narratives. 0 To better understand groundwater recharge, ?ow, and discharge at CSS, the CSA needs to include a map depicting vertical gradients between shallow and deeper flow systems across the facility using water level data from all paired/clustered wells. The hydrologic implications of these gradients on ?ow and transport should be discussed in the HSCM narratives in section 6.2.4. 0 Because the mobility of iron. and manganese is controlled by geochemically-mediated (pH, eH) precipitation rather than sorption onto iron hydroxides (and Kd measurements are not particularly relevant to Fe and Mn concentrations along a flow path), a separate sub-section should be provided in section 13 that describes how the fate and transport of these constituents will be modeled. a shallow system well in the SW corner of the active ash pond contains Co and Mn above 2L. GWA-26D, a deep system well in this location contains Sb, TDS, and above 2L. This well pair is about 700 ft east of Suck Creek, a potential receptor. Because there are no wells between and Suck Creek and the flow directions are uncertain here, an additional well pair should be installed NW of adjacent to Suck Creek and sampled to better understand local ?ow directions, complete the mapping of horizontal extent in this area, and ensure that an otherwise unknown source of contamination is not discharging to Suck Creek in this area. 0 Additional wells are needed in the area near monitor wells ABZS, MW SS, and to refine the understanding of groundwater ?ow and contaminant transport in this COI impacted vicinity of Suck Creek. Existing data seem to contradict, locally, the HSCM in this area. The HSCM should be revised, using new and existing data, to describe the direction of local contaminant ?ow in this vicinity of Suck Creek where groundwater COIs have been observed. This is particularly important because Section 5-2, p.28 states that the ?Slope- aquifer system (LeGrand) prevents groundwater from typically moving beneath a perennial stream.? However, the shallow WT map in ?g 6?6 seems to refute this in the area near monitor wells ABZS, MWSS, and where shallow groundwater flow seems to be NCDENRO19408O Cliffside Steam Station September 18, 2015 Page 5 of 8 toward Suck Creek from the east and away from Suck Creek and toward the Broad River from the western side of Suck. Creek. In this case it appears that the Broad River (a higher order stream) controls local ?ow directions in the vicinity of this segment of Suck Creek (a lower order stream). Note that the 710 ft contour on Fig 6?6 appears to be incorrectly drawn in the area of monitor wells ABZS, MW SS, and GWA-33 S, and the deep well MW23D may not. be comparable to nearby shallow wells for purposes of mapping the potentiometric surface of shallow groundwater. a shallow system well in the western arm of the active ash pond about 300 ft upgradient of Suck Creek, contains As, Co, Fe, Mn, and T1 above 2L. Nearby shallow system wells and contain Corespectively, above 2L, Water levels in these wells suggest that groundwater ?ow is toward Suck Creek to and toward Broad River to In order to better understand contaminant transport and discharge in this area, additional wells should be installed and sampled. The additional wells and (or) drive points will help better understand local flow directions in the vicinity of Suck Creek and complete the mapping of horizontal extent in this area. 0 GWA-33 S, a shallow system well west of the active ash pond and about. 400 ft west of Suck Creek contains Co, Fe, Mn, and above 2L. Local ?ow directions are poorly understood in this area, particularly near/at Suck Creek. For example, shallow sulfate exceedances shown in Fig show groundwater depicted as moving from west to east toward Suck Creek. However, this interpretation runs counter to the water level measurements on Fig 6-6 and assumes, without supporting ?eld measurements, that the elevation of Suck Creek in this area is less than the water level elevation in S. In contrast, shallow water levels in ABZS (74312), MWSS (729.96), and GWA3SS (7l6.52) indicate that groundwater flow moves from east (ABZS, 743.12) to west (Suck Creek), and from Suck Creek westward toward GWA- 338 (716.52). 0 deep/bedrock flow system wells located about 4-00 ft SW of and about 200 ft from Suck Creek, contain Fe, Mn, 804, TDS and Fe, respectively, above 2L. Deep/bedrock wells are lacking in this area, and, as a result, horizontal and vertical flow gradients are uncertain, particularly near/at Suck Creek. 0 The additional wells and (or) streamside drive points should be installed, measured, and sampled to better understand the local hydrology in this area of CSS. Determining the contaminant source (plant to the west or ash pond to the east), horizontal and vertical flow directions and contaminant extent, and the extent to which contaminants are discharging to Suck Creek is important in modeling, assessing site risk, and developing a CAP. The purpose of the new wells is to better understand local flow directions, the role of Suck Creek on local ?ow, and, based on these ?ndings, ensure that the horizontal and vertical extent for each C01 in this area has been determined and mapped. New wells should include a shallow well at (MW23D is screened from 36-46 ft and MW23DR is screened from 45- 95 ft; soil/sap extends to a depth of 43 ft here), a well pair to the west of MW23D, and wells/well pairs/drive points at other locations near/at Suck Creek. If near?stream piezometers and (or) well pairs are needed to understand vertical gradients and NCDENRO194081 Cliffside Steam Station September 18, 2015 Page 6 of 8 contaminant movement in this area, they should be installed and sampled. Given the scales involved here, understanding ?ow in this area of CSS should be based on water level measurements and contaminant concentration data rather than relying on ?ow and transport model results that are based only on data from the currently installed wells. 0 A revised HSCM narrative and potentiometric and isoconcentration map(s) should be provided and results used in modeling. 6 The area of shallow boron exceedances in the vicinity of just west of the active ash pond in Fig currently depicts groundwater as moving to the northwest approximately parallel to Suck Creek. This assumption should be checked by installing additional monitor wells and measuring water levels and selected contaminant concentrations in this vicinity. If near?stream drive points and (or) well pairs are needed to understand vertical gradients and contaminant movement in this area, they should be installed and sampled. Determining ?ow directions and the extent to which contaminants are discharging to Suck Creek is important in assessing site risk and developing a CAP. Given the scales involved here, understanding ?ow in this area of CSS should be based on water level measurements and contaminant concentration data rather than relying on flow and transport model results that are based on data from currently installed wells. After new wells are installed water levels in this area should be re-measured and a revised potentiometric map(s) should be provided. 0 The CSA fails to determine extent of ash in both of the side-by? side ash storage areas (see sections 3.2 p. 15 and 7.2 p. 40). There was no ash sample collected from ?eastern? ash storage area and the extent. of ash is uncertain in both. Borings should be added and results provided. Refer to GAP for boring depth protocols. 0 Although samples between the waste boundary and compliance boundary in the ash storage area (see section 8.5.2.2 p. 55) were not speci?ed in the GAP, it is now apparent that they should be collected in this area to help delineate the extent of ash and groundwater contaminants. Results should be provided. 0 a shallow system well west of the unit 5 basin contains Co and Mn above 2L. In an effort to determine the source of elevated Co in this location and evaluate whether this well does, in fact, represent background conditions, an additional we11(s) are needed in this vicinity. The purpose of the well(s) is to better de?ne groundwater flow directions here and evaluate whether the Co level is isolated or not and the extent to which geochemistry may affect the Co concentrations observed. 0 GWA-4D, a deep system well north of the unit 5 basin contains Co, Fe, Mn, and TDS above 2L. The Broad River, a receptor, is about 1000 ft. downgradient and source determination is limited in this area. An additional deep well should be installed in this area to assist in source determination and to help map the potentiometric surface and horizontal extent of contamination in this area. NCDENRO194082 Cliffside Steam Station September 18, 2015 Page 7 of 8 0 To model the particularly high contaminant concentrations in groundwater beneath the unit 5 basin, we need a ?ow path transect (Fig 11-1) from US-ZD, U5-3D, and a newly installed well close to the discharge area along the Broad River. The revised transect and associated data, cross sections, and interpretations should be included in the CSA addendum, groundwater models, and the CAP. The CSA fails to de?ne the vertical extent of contamination in the area of the Unit 5 basin. Need additional bedrock wells in the Unit 5 basin to replace dry wells, ideally in proximity to or clustered with U5-7D, and US-SD. 0 Because of the large size of Unit 5 basin, additional pore water sample(s) should be collected and results provided. 9 The CSA fails to define the extent of ash in Unit 5 basin (see section 7.4.1 p. 42). Only 2 (of 17) borings were located in ash. Borings should be added and results provided in an addendum. Refer to GAP for boring depth protocols. 0 Regarding section 7 .42 p. 42, well was not sampled during the GSA. The well should be sampled and results provided. 0 The CSA failed to sample CLFOSS, and (see section 7.6). These should be sampled and the results interpreted and presented. 0 Need to sample 1D, GWA-3 1BR, U5-3 S, U5-4BR, and GWA-6S. These were dry and were not sampled during CSA. If these are still dry during the upcoming sample event, replacement wells are needed. 0 Need to sample porewater in US-ZS-SL. This was not sampled during CSA. Other de?cient items or clari?cations shall also be addressed in the CSA Supplemental Report. These items are attached to this letter. The comments provided in this letter were based on a preliminary review of the CSA Report. The Division. is continuing to review the report and may provide additional comments in subsequent letters, if appropriate. Failure to address the de?cient items may result in the assessment of civil penalties and/or the use of other enforcement mechanisms available to the State. If you have any questions, please contact Ted Campbell at (828) 296-4500. Sincerely, S. Jay Zimmerman, P.G., Director NCDENRO194083 Cliffside Steam Station September 18, 2015 Page 8 of 8 Division of Water Resources Attachm ent cc: WQROS ARO WQROS Central Files DENR Secretary Don van der Vaart HDR (Attn: William Miller) 440 South Church Street, Suite 1000, Charlotte, NC 28202 NCDENRO194084