REINZ Auckland Region Analysis for June 2016 REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that, "The Auckland region is seeing sales volumes flatten out, although this may be due more to lack of choice for buyers given very low levels of listings available heading into winter. Demand has softened in some parts of the region, but there is still strong demand in the eastern suburbs and in the southern parts of the region. The lack of supply and continuing strong demand is driving prices higher." Graph Commentary The trend in the median price continues to improve with the volume trend continuing to fall. The days to sell trend continues to ease. The overall trend for the region is now also easing. Vs… May-16 -19.7% -21.5% -14.4% -3.8% -14.9% -2.9% -10.0% -14.2% Jun-15 -10.8% -6.2% 5.2% -1.8% -3.4% 6.4% 2.5% -2.5% Vs… Auckland Median Price Source: REINZ Auckland Volumes Jan-15 12 month MA Apr-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 Jan-16 Apr-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Jan-15 12 month MA Apr-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 0 Oct-13 500 $450,000 Jul-13 1,000 $500,000 Jan-13 1,500 $550,000 Apr-13 2,000 $600,000 Jul-12 2,500 $650,000 Oct-12 3,000 $700,000 Apr-12 3,500 $750,000 Apr-12 Past 5 Years Oct-11 Auckland Region Sales Volumes 4,000 Jan-12 Jun-15 502 373 850 548 2,403 219 405 2,808 Past 5 Years $800,000 Jul-11 Jun-15 13.6% 12.0% -1.1% 11.6% 7.0% 27.0% 29.0% 8.7% Volume Sold May-16 558 446 1,044 559 2,728 240 461 3,189 Auckland Region Median Price $850,000 Oct-11 May-16 3.7% 1.9% 1.4% -3.8% 0.8% 5.6% 14.2% 2.0% North Shore City Waitakere City Auckland City Manukau City Metro Auckland Rodney District Outer Auckland Auckland Region Jun-16 448 350 894 538 2,322 233 415 2,737 Overall Apr-16 The number of days to sell improved by two days compared to May, from 32 days in May to 30 days in June. Compared to June 2015, the number of days to sell eased by one day. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell during June for Auckland has been 34 days. Across the Auckland region the level of available inventory continutes to shrink, with just over nine weeks of supply as at the end of June. North Shore City Waitakere City Auckland City Manukau City Metro Auckland Rodney District Outer Auckland Auckland Region Jun-15 $940,500 $700,000 $859,250 $675,000 $787,000 $685,000 $580,000 $755,000 Days to Sell Jan-16 Compared to June 2015 the median price rose by $66,000 (+9%) with prices rising 29% in Outer Auckland, 27% in Rodney and 14% in North Shore. Compared to May the median price rose by $16,000 (+2%) , with pricing rising 14% in Outer Auckland, 6% in Rodney and 4% in North Shore. On a seasonally adjusted basis Auckland's median price rose 2.9% compared to May. The median price in Auckland reached a new record high of $821,000 in June. Median Price Jun-16 May-16 $1,068,500 $1,030,250 $784,250 $769,500 $850,000 $838,000 $753,500 $782,888 $842,000 $835,000 $870,000 $823,750 $748,000 $655,000 $821,000 $805,000 Volumes Oct-15 Sales volume in the Auckland region fell 3% compared to June 2015 with volume up 6% in Rodney, 5% in Auckland City and 3% in Outer Auckland but falling across the rest of the region. Compared to May sales fell 14% with volume down 3% in Rodney, 4% in Manukau and 10% in Outer Auckland. On a seasonally adjusted basis the number of sales in the Auckland region fell 3% compared to May, indicating that the drop in sales from May was slightly larger than normal. Source: REINZ Price Auckland Region Trends Jul-15 Commentary REINZ Northland Region Analysis for June 2016 Commentary Price Northland Region Trends Sales volume in Northland continues to rise strongly, with volume up 20% compared to June 2015, with a 122% increase in Otamatea County and 12% in Whangarei City. Compared to May, sales volumes fell 14% across the region, with a 8% rise in Otamatea County, but falls across the rest of the region. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales were down 13% compared to May, although this may reflect very strong sales in May. The median price across the region rose by $45,000 (+14%) compared to June 2015 to reach a new record high, with prices rising 26% in Whangarei, 23% in Whangarei County and 15% in Otamatea County. Compared to May, the median price rose by $9,250 (+3%) with prices rising 67% in Otamatea County and 5% in Whangarei City, but falling across the rest of the region. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price increased by 1% compared to May. Jun-16 $351,500 $535,000 $533,500 $506,500 $360,000 Whangarei City Whangarei County Otamatea County Kerikeri Northland Median Price May-16 $335,000 $562,500 $320,000 $595,000 $350,750 Jun-15 $279,500 $435,000 $462,500 $525,000 $315,000 May-16 4.9% -4.9% 66.7% -14.9% 2.6% Jun-15 25.8% 23.0% 15.4% -3.5% 14.3% Vs… The number of days to sell improved by two days compared to May, from 44 days in May to 42 days in June. The number of days to sell improved by nine days compared to June 2015. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell during June for Northland has been 62 days. The level of inventory available as fallen by 60% over the past year. REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that, "Although the rate of sales growth is easing, the underlying trend remains firmly upward, with increasing demand in the Whangarei area and an ever tightening level of listings. There has also been a noticeable increase in auction sales over the past month in response to tight supply and demand currently." Volumes Whangarei City Whangarei County Otamatea County Kerikeri Northland Jun-16 116 32 40 22 305 Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold May-16 142 46 37 33 356 Jun-15 104 46 18 22 255 May-16 -18.3% -30.4% 8.1% -33.3% -14.3% Jun-15 11.5% -30.4% 122.2% 0.0% 19.6% Vs… Graph Commentary The trend in median price has moved back to steady, from improving, with the trend in sales volume continuing to rise. The days to sell trend is also now rising, with the overall trend for the region easing back to improving. Northland Region Median Price Northland Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years 400 $380,000 350 $360,000 300 $340,000 250 $320,000 200 $300,000 150 100 $280,000 50 $260,000 Northland Median Price 12 month MA Source: REINZ Northland Volumes 12 month MA Apr-16 Jan-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Oct-14 Jul-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-15 Oct-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-14 Apr-14 Oct-13 Jul-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 Source: REINZ Oct-11 0 REINZ Waikato/Bay of Plenty Region Analysis for June 2016 Commentary Waikato/Bay of Plenty Region Trends Sales volumes compared to June 2015 was flat, with sales in Rotorua rising 72%, Gisborne rising 13%, and Mt Maunganui / Papamoa rising 8%. Compared to May sales across the region fell 14% with sales rising 13% in Rotorua, but falling by 5% in Hamilton and 10% in Tauranga. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales for June fell 5%, indicating that the drop in sales was larger than normal. The median price across the region rose $91,250 (+26%) compared to June 2015 to reach another record high, the seventh in the past eight months. Prices rose 41% in Mt Maunganui / Papamoa, 39% in Waikato Country and 34% in Tauranga. Compared to May the median price rose $19,000 (+5%), with prices rising 13% in Waikato Country, 10% in Mt Maunganui / Papamoa and 7% in Gisborne. On a seasonally adjusted basis prices rose 3.6% compared to May. The number of days to sell eased by one day in June, from 31 days in May to 32 days in June. The number of days to sell improved by nine days compared to June 2015. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell during June for the region has been 52 days. The region has just over 10 weeks of supply available, a drop of 48% over the past year. REINZ Regional Director, Philip Searle noted that "The continuing strong rise in median prices in the main centres across the region is driving up vendor expectations and making it more difficult for first home buyers, particularly in markets such as Hamilton and Tauranga. Despite the lift in prices, demand remains strong and the supply of listings continues to fall away creating more competition for those properties available for sale." Graph Commentary The trend in median price has moved from improving to rising, with the trend in sales volume also rising. The days to sell trend continues to rise, with the overall trend for the region moving from improving to rising. Hamilton City Waikato Country Tauranga Mt Maunganui/Papamoa Rotorua Taupo Eastern BOP Country Gisborne Waikato/Bay of Plenty Jun-16 $485,000 $356,500 $556,750 $697,500 $285,000 $372,500 $279,000 $248,500 $438,000 Price Volumes Median Price May-16 $480,000 $315,000 $550,250 $634,000 $285,250 $365,500 $315,500 $232,000 $419,000 Jun-15 $372,000 $256,500 $415,000 $495,000 $276,000 $338,250 $275,000 $196,000 $346,750 May-16 1.0% 13.2% 1.2% 10.0% -0.1% 1.9% -11.6% 7.1% 4.5% Jun-15 30.4% 39.0% 34.2% 40.9% 3.3% 10.1% 1.5% 26.8% 26.3% Vs… Hamilton City Waikato Country Tauranga Mt Maunganui/Papamoa Rotorua Taupo Eastern BOP Country Gisborne Waikato/Bay of Plenty Jun-16 341 266 168 121 179 66 61 54 1,414 Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold May-16 359 347 186 137 158 114 86 71 1,647 Jun-15 392 280 178 112 104 74 61 48 1,414 May-16 -5.0% -23.3% -9.7% -11.7% 13.3% -42.1% -29.1% -23.9% -14.1% Jun-15 -13.0% -5.0% -5.6% 8.0% 72.1% -10.8% 0.0% 12.5% 0.0% Vs… Waikato/BOP Region Median Price Waikato/BOP Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years Waikato/BOP Median Price Source: REINZ Waikato/BOP Volumes Apr-16 Jan-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Jan-15 12 month MA Apr-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jan-16 Apr-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Jan-15 12 month MA Apr-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Oct-13 Jul-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 Source: REINZ Oct-11 $300,000 Jul-12 $325,000 Oct-12 $350,000 Jan-12 $375,000 Apr-12 $400,000 Oct-11 $425,000 Jul-11 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 $450,000 REINZ Hawke's Bay Region Analysis for June 2016 Commentary Price Hawke's Bay Region Trends Sales volumes in Hawke's Bay rose 18% compared to June 2015, with sales rising 27% in Napier and 26% in Hastings. Compared to May sales volumes fell 16%, with sales rising 1% in Hastings, but falling 18% in Napier and 24% in Dannevirke. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales for June rose 3% compared to May indicating that sales fell less than what would normally be expected for June. The median price rose $35,000 (+13%) compared to June 2015 with prices rising 13% in Dannevirke and by 7% in Napier and Hastings. Compared to May the median price rose by $5,000 (+2%) with prices rising 16% in Dannevirke and 5% in Hastings. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price increased by 4.5% compared to May. Jun-16 $340,000 $316,600 $214,500 $158,000 $315,000 Napier City Hastings City Hawkes Bay Country Dannevirke Hawkes Bay Median Price May-16 $350,000 $302,000 $363,000 $136,000 $310,000 Vs… The median days to sell for Hawke's Bay eased by two days in June, from 29 days in May to 31 days in June. The number of days to sell improved by 21 days compared to June 2015. Over the past 10 years the median number of days to sell for the Hawke's Bay region in June has been 52 days. The region has just over nine weeks of supply available, a drop of 61% over the past 12 months. REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that "Demand remains strong in Hawke's Bay with the Hastings District Council coming under fire for not rezoning enough land for development, exacerbating an already tight market and the very low level of listings compared to recent years. This is limiting supply and choice for home buyers." Jun-15 $319,000 $296,600 $222,500 $140,000 $280,000 May-16 -2.9% 4.8% -40.9% 16.2% 1.6% Napier City Hastings City Hawke's Bay Country Dannevirke Hawke's Bay Volumes Jun-16 105 106 10 16 252 Jun-15 6.6% 6.7% -3.6% 12.9% 12.5% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold May-16 128 105 21 21 301 Jun-15 83 84 10 21 213 Vs… May-16 -18.0% 1.0% -52.4% -23.8% -16.3% Jun-15 26.5% 26.2% 0.0% -23.8% 18.3% Graph Commentary The median price trend has moved from easing to steady, although the sales volume trend continues to rise. The days to sell trend is now also rising, with the overall trend for the region continuing to improve. Hawke's Bay Region Median Price Hawke's Bay Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years $340,000 350 300 $315,000 250 200 $290,000 150 100 $265,000 50 Source: REINZ Hawkes Bay Median Price 12 month MA Source: REINZ Hawkes Bay Volumes 12 month MA Apr-16 Jan-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Oct-14 Jul-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-15 Oct-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-14 Apr-14 Oct-13 Jul-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 0 Oct-11 $240,000 REINZ Manawatu/Wanganui Region Analysis for June 2016 Commentary Price Manawatu/Wanganui Region Trends Sales volumes rose 10% compared to June 2015, with sales rising 60% in Manawatu Country, 44% in Levin and 4% in Feilding. Compared to May sales volumes fell 13%, with sales rising 16% in Levin, but falling 10% in Feilding and 13% in Palmerston North. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales across the region fell 3.4%, indicating that the fall in sales was slightly larger than normal. The median price across the region rose $17,750 (+8%) compared to June 2015 with prices rising 20% in Levin and 12% in Palmerston North, Feilding and Manawatu Country. Compared to May the median price rose $11,000 (+5%), with prices rising 8% in Palmerston North and 1% in Feilding, but falling 2% in Wanganui. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price increased 5% compared to May. The number of days to sell eased by one day in June, from 34 days in May to 35 days in June. The number of days to sell improved by 15 days compared to June 2015. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell during June for the region has been 51 days. There is currently 16 weeks of supply available across the region, a drop of 19 weeks over the past 12 months. REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that, "First home buyers continue to be very active in the region, with an increase in interest from 'out of town' investors on the hunt for better yields. The number of properties available for sale continues to fall rapidly, with the weeks of inventory falling more than 50% over the past 12 months. Vendor expectations are lifting, albeit slowly." Palmerston North Feilding Levin Manawatu Country Wanganui Manawatu/Wanganui Jun-16 $325,500 $275,000 $226,500 $227,500 $166,000 $249,000 Median Price May-16 $302,500 $273,000 $251,000 $265,000 $170,000 $238,000 Jun-15 $290,500 $245,000 $188,250 $203,000 $162,500 $231,250 May-16 7.6% 0.7% -9.8% -14.2% -2.4% 4.6% Jun-15 12.0% 12.2% 20.3% 12.1% 2.2% 7.7% Vs… Palmerston North Feilding Levin Manawatu Country Wanganui Manawatu/Wanganui Volumes Jun-16 122 28 66 40 55 364 Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold May-16 140 31 57 47 90 418 Jun-15 137 27 46 25 66 330 Vs… May-16 -12.9% -9.7% 15.8% -14.9% -38.9% -12.9% Jun-15 -10.9% 3.7% 43.5% 60.0% -16.7% 10.3% Graph Commentary The median price trend is now easing, with the volume trend continuing to rise. The days to sell trend is now also rising. The overall trend for the region is now improving. Manawatu/Wanganui Region Median Price Manawatu/Wanganui Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years 12 month MA Source: REINZ Manawatu/Wanganui Volumes 12 month MA Apr-16 Jan-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Oct-14 Jul-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-15 Oct-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-14 Manawatu/Wanganui Median Price Apr-14 Oct-13 Jul-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 Source: REINZ Oct-11 $175,000 Oct-12 $200,000 Jan-12 $225,000 Apr-12 $250,000 Jul-11 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Oct-11 $275,000 REINZ Taranaki Region Analysis for June 2016 Commentary Price Taranaki Region Trends Sales volume for the Taranaki region rose 30% compared to June 2015 with sales up 67% in Bell Block, 62% in New Plymouth and 52% in Hawera. Compared to May sales volumes fell by 9% with sales up 25% in Hawera and 6% in New Plymouth, but falling across the rest of the region. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales rose 12% compared to May, indicating that the drop in sales was far less than expected for June. The median price across the region rose $11,750 (+4%) compared to June 2015, with prices up 35% in Bell Block and 7% in New Plymouth. Compared to May the median price fell $28,250 (-8%) with prices rising 8% in Bell Block, but falling 1% in Hawera and 8% in New Plymouth. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price fell 7% compared to May. Jun-16 $373,500 $163,750 $502,500 $230,000 $315,000 New Plymouth Taranaki Country Bell Block Hawera Taranaki Median Price May-16 $406,000 $270,000 $466,500 $232,500 $343,250 Vs… The number of days to sell improved by three days compared to May, from 42 days in May to 39 days in June. Compared to June 2015 the number of days to sell improved by 10 days. Over the past 10 years the median number of days to sell across the region in June has averaged 53 days. The level of inventory has fallen by two months over the past 12 months to 21 weeks as at the end of June. REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that "There are more first home buyers in the market, but at the same time a continuing drop in the number of listings, putting pressure on buyers to move quickly. The level of listings is thought to be at its lowest level for many years across almost all price points." Jun-15 $350,000 $266,000 $372,500 $243,000 $303,250 May-16 -8.0% -39.4% 7.7% -1.1% -8.2% New Plymouth Taranaki Country Bell Block Hawera Taranaki Volumes Jun-16 102 20 10 35 192 Jun-15 6.7% -38.4% 34.9% -5.3% 3.9% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold May-16 96 40 16 28 212 Jun-15 63 30 6 23 148 Vs… May-16 6.3% -50.0% -37.5% 25.0% -9.4% Jun-15 61.9% -33.3% 66.7% 52.2% 29.7% Source: REINZ Taranaki Median Price 12 month MA Source: REINZ Taranaki Volumes 12 month MA Apr-16 Jan-16 Oct-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Oct-14 Jul-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jul-11 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-15 Oct-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-14 0 Apr-14 $240,000 Oct-13 50 Jul-13 $265,000 Jan-13 100 Apr-13 $290,000 Jul-12 150 Oct-12 $315,000 Apr-12 200 Jan-12 $340,000 Jul-11 250 Oct-11 $365,000 Jan-12 Past 5 Years Apr-12 Taranaki Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Oct-11 Taranaki Region Median Price Jul-15 Graph Commentary The median price trend is now steady, with the sales volume trend also steady. The days to sell trend continues to rise, although the overall trend remains steady. REINZ Wellington Region Analysis for June 2016 Commentary Price Wellington Region Trends The median price for the Wellington region rose $65,000 (+17%) compared to June 2015. Prices rose 27% in Eastern Wellington, 23% in Northern Wellington and 21% in Central Wellington and Hutt Valley. Compared to May the median price fell $10,000 (-2%), with prices rising 9% in Hutt Valley, 4% in Northern Wellington and 2% in Pukerua Bay/Tawa. Compared to June 2015 sales volumes rose 17% across the region with sales rising 117% in Southern Wellington, 33% in Eastern Wellington and 25% in Pukerua Bay/Tawa. Compared to May sales volumes fell 7%, with sales rising 59% in Southern Wellington, 10% in Pukerua Bay/Tawa and 4% in Upper Hutt. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales rose 3.6% compared to May, indicating that drop in sales for June was less than normal. The number of days to sell eased by one day in June, from 27 days in May to 28 days in June. Compared to June 2015 the number of days to sell improved by 16 days. Over the past 10 years the median number of days to sell across the region in June has averaged 42 days. The Wellington region has the lowest level of properties available, with just seven weeks supply available. REINZ Regional Director Euon Murrell noted that, "Demand remains strong across the region, with the number of sales steadily increasing on a trend basis and the median price settling around the $450,000 mark over the past four months. Listings remain the problem with supply of properties to the market continuing at very low levels, limiting buyer choice and increasing competition amongst buyers for the available properties." Graph Commentary The trend in the median price remains steady , although the volume trend is now improving. The days to sell trend continues to rise with the overall trend for the Wellington region still improving. Jun-16 $403,500 $431,500 $592,500 $476,500 $665,500 $635,000 $580,000 $495,000 $455,000 Upper Hutt Hutt Valley Northern Wellington Central Wellington Eastern Wellington Western Wellington Southern Wellington Pukerua Bay / Tawa Wellington Median Price May-16 $407,500 $397,000 $570,500 $577,500 $665,500 $713,788 $595,000 $486,250 $465,000 Vs… Wellington Region Median Price Jun-15 $335,000 $356,750 $480,000 $395,000 $525,000 $572,000 $564,500 $425,000 $390,000 May-16 -1.0% 8.7% 3.9% -17.5% 0.0% -11.0% -2.5% 1.8% -2.2% Upper Hutt Hutt Valley Northern Wellington Central Wellington Eastern Wellington Western Wellington Southern Wellington Pukerua Bay / Tawa Wellington Volumes Jun-16 84 161 80 62 44 36 65 99 816 Jun-15 20.4% 21.0% 23.4% 20.6% 26.8% 11.0% 2.7% 16.5% 16.7% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold May-16 81 176 90 82 46 46 41 90 873 Jun-15 70 150 65 59 33 45 30 79 697 Vs… May-16 3.7% -8.5% -11.1% -24.4% -4.3% -21.7% 58.5% 10.0% -6.5% Jun-15 20.0% 7.3% 23.1% 5.1% 33.3% -20.0% 116.7% 25.3% 17.1% Wellington Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years $480,000 1,400 $460,000 1,200 1,000 $440,000 800 $420,000 600 $400,000 Source: REINZ Wellington Median Price Source: REINZ Wellington Volumes Apr-16 Jan-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Jan-15 12 month MA Apr-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-11 Jan-16 Apr-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Jan-15 12 month MA Apr-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Oct-13 Jul-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 0 Jul-11 $360,000 Oct-11 200 Oct-11 400 $380,000 REINZ Nelson/Marlborough Region Analysis for June 2016 Commentary Price Nelson/Marlborough Region Trends The median price across the region rose $56,100 (+16%) compared to June 2015, with prices rising 25% in Nelson, 19% in Motueka and 16% in Marlborough/Kaikoura. Compared to May the median price rose $10,000 (+3%) with prices rising 7% in Motueka and 3% in Nelson but falling across the rest of the region. Sales volume compared to June 2015 fell 13%, with sales rising 6% in Marlborough/Kaikoura, but falling 21% in Nelson and 41% in Motueka. Compared to May sales volumes fell by 24%, with sales falling 8% in Nelson, 22% in Marlborough/Kaikoura and 38% in Motueka. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales in June fell 16% compared to May, indicating that the drop in sales was far larger than what would be expected at this time of the year. The number of days to sell in April was again steady at 28 days compared to May. Compared to June 2015 the number of days to sell improved by 19 days. Over the past 10 years the number of days to sell in June across the region has averaged 43 days. The level of inventory available for sale has fallen by half over the past 12 months and is now just over 12 weeks. REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that "There is an increasing number of first home buyers and investors active across the region with the number of properties for sale continuing to decline. Multiple offers are becoming increasingly common, with buyers having to move quickly to secure purchases. At the same time the steady upward trend in the median price is fueling vendor expectations." Nelson City Richmond Motueka Marlborough/Kaikoura Nelson/Marlborough Jun-16 $450,000 $485,050 $422,000 $339,000 $405,000 Median Price May-16 $436,175 $505,000 $393,000 $351,501 $395,000 Vs… Jun-15 $360,000 $509,500 $356,000 $293,500 $348,900 May-16 3.2% -4.0% 7.4% -3.6% 2.5% Nelson City Richmond Motueka Marlborough/Kaikoura Nelson/Marlborough Volumes Jun-16 72 12 13 102 217 Jun-15 25.0% -4.8% 18.5% 15.5% 16.1% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold May-16 78 38 21 131 286 Jun-15 91 25 22 96 248 Vs… May-16 -7.7% -68.4% -38.1% -22.1% -24.1% Jun-15 -20.9% -52.0% -40.9% 6.3% -12.5% Graph Commentary The price trend for the region has now improved to steady, although the sales volume trend is now improving. The days to sell trend is now rising, with the overall trend for the region is now improving. Nelson/Marlborough Region Median Price Nelson/Marlborough Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years $425,000 400 350 $400,000 300 $375,000 250 $350,000 200 150 $325,000 100 $300,000 50 Source: REINZ Nelson/Marlborough Median Price 12 month MA Source: REINZ Nelson/Marlborough Volumes 12 month MA Apr-16 Jan-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Oct-14 Jul-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-16 Apr-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Oct-12 Jul-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 0 Oct-11 $275,000 REINZ Canterbury/Westland Region Analysis for June 2016 Sales volume across the region rose by 19% compared to June 2015, with sales rising 86% in North Canterbury, 68% in South Canterbury and 48% on the West Coast. Compared to May sales volumes fell 5%, with sales volumes rising 64% in North Canterbury, 30% in South Canterbury and 24% on the West Coast. On a seasonally adjusted basis the volume of sales rose by 3.2% compared to May. The median price rose $7,000 (+2%) compared to June 2015, with prices rising 9% in Mid-Canterbury, 7% in Rangiora and 5% in North Canterbury. Compared to May the median price fell $10,500 (-2%) with prices rising 11% in Timaru, 8% in Rangiora and 7% in North Canterbury, but falling across the rest of the region. REINZ Regional Director, Jim Davis commented that, "Demand remains strong across the region with noticeable increases in sale volumes across regional Canterbury. The West Coast is also seeing increased first home buyer and investor interest from Canterbury and the North Island, indicating that the search for yield outside the main centres is continuing apace for investors. Listings across the region continue to decline in line with the onset of winter, but demand remains strong. " The number of days to sell was steady compared to May at 32 days. Compared to June 2015 the number of days to sell improved by one day. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell in June across the region has been 35 days. The level of inventory has declined by 17% over the past 12 months to 19 weeks, a relatively modest fall compared to many other regions. Graph Commentary The median price trend continues to easing, with the sales volume trend improving to steady. The days to sell trend has moved up to easing. The overall trend for the region continues to ease. Jun-16 $440,000 $475,000 $421,500 $366,000 $322,000 $265,000 $180,000 $425,000 Christchurch Rangiora North Canterbury Mid-Canterbury Timaru South Canterbury West Coast Canterbury/Westland Median Price May-16 $455,000 $441,250 $395,000 $367,500 $289,000 $300,500 $197,500 $435,500 Vs… Price Jun-15 $431,650 $445,000 $400,350 $336,250 $313,128 $255,000 $243,000 $418,000 May-16 -3.3% 7.6% 6.7% -0.4% 11.4% -11.8% -8.9% -2.4% Christchurch Rangiora North Canterbury Mid-Canterbury Timaru South Canterbury West Coast Canterbury/Westland Volumes Jun-15 1.9% 6.7% 5.3% 8.8% 2.8% 3.9% -25.9% 1.7% Jun-16 607 38 54 50 45 52 31 979 Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold May-16 671 34 33 56 63 40 25 1,034 Jun-15 552 26 29 32 50 31 21 824 May-16 -9.5% 11.8% 63.6% -10.7% -28.6% 30.0% 24.0% -5.3% Jun-15 10.0% 46.2% 86.2% 56.3% -10.0% 67.7% 47.6% 18.8% Vs… Source: REINZ 12 month MA Source: REINZ 12 month MA Oct-15 Jul-15 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-14 Canterbury/Westland Volumes Apr-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jul-11 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-15 Oct-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-14 Canterbury/Westland Median Price Apr-14 0 Oct-13 200 $300,000 Jul-13 $320,000 Jan-13 400 Apr-13 600 $340,000 Jul-12 800 $360,000 Oct-12 $380,000 Apr-12 1,000 Jan-12 1,200 $400,000 Jul-11 1,400 $420,000 Oct-11 $440,000 Jan-12 Past 5 Years Apr-12 Canterbury/Westland Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Oct-11 Canterbury/Westland Region Median Price Apr-16 Canterbury/Westland Region Trends Jan-16 Commentary REINZ Central Otago Lakes Region Analysis for June 2016 Commentary Price Central Otago Lakes Region Trends Sales volume for the Central Otago Lakes Region rose by 15% compared to June 2015, with sales up 21% in Central and 10% in Queenstown. Compared to May, sales volume fell 29%, with sales falling 28% in Queenstown and 31% in Central. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales fell by 10% in June. The median price across the region rose $217,550 (+42%) compared to June 2015 to reach another record high. Prices rose 27% in Central and 26% in Queenstown. Compared to May, the median price rose $22,800 (+3%) with prices rising 4% in Queenstown but falling 8% in Central. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price increased by 4.8% in June. The number of days to sell eased by five days compared to May, from 33 days in May to 38 days in June. Compared to June 2015 the number of days to sell improved by 12 days. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell in June across the region has been 59 days. The level of inventory has fallen by 24 weeks over the past 12 months and now stands at just 13 weeks. Jun-16 $468,500 $854,500 $730,050 Central Queenstown Central Otago Lakes Volumes Median Price May-16 Jun-15 $508,500 $369,000 $818,500 $678,500 $707,250 $512,500 Vs… May-16 -7.9% 4.4% 3.2% Central Queenstown Central Otago Lakes Jun-16 58 68 126 Jun-15 27.0% 25.9% 42.4% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold May-16 84 94 178 Jun-15 48 62 110 Vs… May-16 -31.0% -27.7% -29.2% Jun-15 20.8% 9.7% 14.5% REINZ Regional Director, Gail Hudson commented that "The median price across the region continues to rise due in no small part to the rise of auction sales and the shortage of available properties for sale, which remain at very low levels compared to the level of demand. While not traditionally an option for vendors, auctions are now far more commonplace, with over 23% sales over the past five months by auction." Graph Commentary The median price trend is now rising with the volume trend also continuing to rise. The days to sell trend also rising and the overall trend for the region is now rising. Along with Waikato/Bay of Plenty, Central Otago Lakes is the strongest real estate market at present. Central Otago Lakes Region Median Price Central Otago Lakes Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years 12 month MA Source: REINZ Central Otago Lakes Volumes 12 month MA Apr-16 Jan-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Oct-14 Jul-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-15 Oct-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-14 Central Otago Lakes Median Price Apr-14 Oct-13 Jul-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 Source: REINZ Oct-11 $375,000 Jan-13 $425,000 Apr-13 $475,000 Jul-12 $525,000 Oct-12 $575,000 Jan-12 $625,000 Apr-12 $675,000 Jul-11 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 $725,000 Oct-11 $775,000 REINZ Otago Region Analysis for June 2016 Commentary Otago Region Trends The median price across Otago rose $46,000 (+19%) compared with June 2015, with prices rising 32% in North Otago and 20% in South Otago and 12% in Dunedin to reach a new record high. Compared to May the median price rose by $14,000 (+5%) with prices rising 4% in Dunedin but falling 1% in North Otago and 15% in South Otago. Sales across the region rose 12% compared to June 2015 with sales rising 23% in South Otago, 15% in Dunedin and 2% in North Otago. Compared to May sales volumes fell 25%, with sales rising 19% in South Otago, but falling 28% in Dunedin and 29% in North Otago. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales fell 7.6% in June indicating that sales fell by more than expected. The number of days to sell in Otago improved by six days in June from 31 days in May to 25 days in June. Compared to June 2015 the number of days to sell improved by 12 days. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell in Otago in June was 41 days. The number of properites for sale has fallen by half over the past year with just under 11 weeks of supply available. Jun-16 $320,000 $250,750 $148,000 $295,000 Dunedin North Otago South Otago Otago Price Median Price May-16 $307,000 $253,000 $175,000 $281,000 Vs… Jun-15 $285,000 $190,000 $123,500 $249,000 May-16 4.2% -0.9% -15.4% 5.0% Dunedin North Otago South Otago Otago Volumes Jun-16 187 44 32 269 Jun-15 12.3% 32.0% 19.8% 18.5% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold May-16 259 62 27 358 Jun-15 163 43 26 240 Vs… May-16 -27.8% -29.0% 18.5% -24.9% Jun-15 14.7% 2.3% 23.1% 12.1% REINZ Regional Commentator, Liz Nidd commented that, "First home buyers are having to act more quickly to secure properties with demand remaining strong and the number of properties available for sale continuing to decline. Investors are also continuing to be attracted to the Otago region and more particularly the Dunedin market pushing up vendor expectations and putting pressure on prices." Graph Commentary The trend in the median price remains steady, with the trend in sales volume moving from improving to rising. The trend in days to sell continues to rise, with the overall trend for the region continuing to improve. Otago Region Median Price Otago Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years Otago Median Price 12 month MA Source: REINZ Otago Volumes 12 month MA Apr-16 Jan-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Oct-14 Jul-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-15 Oct-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-14 Apr-14 Oct-13 Jul-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 Source: REINZ Oct-11 $220,000 Jul-12 $240,000 Oct-12 $260,000 Jan-12 $280,000 Apr-12 $300,000 Jul-11 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Oct-11 $320,000 REINZ Southland Region Analysis for June 2016 Commentary Southland Region Trends The median price across Southland fell $21,000 (-10%) compared to May, with prices falling 4% in Invercargill and 5% in Gore. Compared to June 2015 the median price fell $16,000 (-8%) with prices falling 1% in Invercargill and 33% in Gore. Sales volumes rose 39% compared to June 2015, with a 31% increase in Invercargill but flat in Gore. Compared to May sales volumes fell 14% with sales falling 9% in Invercargill and 14% in Gore. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales fell 4% compared to May indicating that the drop in sales was larger than normal. The number of days to sell in Southland eased by three days in June from 39 days in May to 42 days in June. Compared to June 2015 the number of days to sell improved by 12 days. Over the past 10 years the number of days to sell in June for the Southland region has been 42 days. The number of properties for sale has fallen by 53% over the past year to just over 18 weeks at the end of June. Jun-16 $202,500 $139,000 $189,000 Invercargill Gore Southland Price Volumes Median Price May-16 Jun-15 $211,750 $204,000 $146,000 $208,500 $210,000 $205,000 Vs… May-16 -4.4% -4.8% -10.0% Invercargill Gore Southland Jun-16 131 24 193 Jun-15 -0.7% -33.3% -7.8% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold May-16 144 28 223 Jun-15 100 24 139 Vs… May-16 -9.0% -14.3% -13.5% Jun-15 31.0% 0.0% 38.8% REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson commented that, "The Southland market continues to see strong sales volumes with year on year growth of almost 40%. The listing situation is not as severe in Southland compared to other parts of the country, thus the price response has been muted thus far. However, the number of purchasers is continuing to increase and sales volumes continue to trend upward." Graph Commentary The median price trend has moved back to steady, with the sales trend also moving from improving to rising. The days to sell trend has also moved from improving to rising, with the overall trend for the region now moving back to improving. Southland Region Median Price Southland Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years $250,000 250 200 $225,000 150 $200,000 100 $175,000 50 Source: REINZ Southland Median Price Source: REINZ Southland Volumes 12 month MA Apr-16 Jan-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Oct-14 Jul-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-16 Apr-16 Oct-15 Jul-15 Jan-15 12 month MA Apr-15 Jul-14 Oct-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Oct-13 Jul-13 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-12 Oct-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Jul-11 0 Oct-11 $150,000