This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone July 11-14, 2016, among a random national sample of 1,003 adults, including landline and cell phone respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York. *= less than 0.5 percent (Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the end.) 1. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? Probably vote 10 8 9 Chances 50/50 5 7 5 Less than that 3 4 3 Don't think will vote (vol.) 1 2 2 Already voted (vol.) NA NA NA 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 RV RV RV Certain to vote 79 79 80 No op. 1 * * 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 68 68 70 72 73 75 76 77 79 79 79 79 80 82 84 85 84 83 81 81 5 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 7 6 5 6 7 7 7 8 9 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 4 4 7 6 6 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 * 20 19 18 16 16 13 12 11 9 8 6 6 5 4 4 1 0 NA " * * * * 0 * * * * * * * * * * 1 * 0 * * 11/3/08 11/2/08 11/1/08 10/31/08 10/30/08 10/29/08 10/28/08 10/27/08 10/26/08 10/25/08 10/24/08 10/23/08 10/22/08 10/21/08 10/20/08 10/19/08 10/11/08 9/29/08 9/22/08 9/7/08 8/22/08 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 68 69 71 73 74 76 77 76 78 78 79 80 81 82 81 83 87 87 89 85 84 4 4 5 5 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 6 7 10 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 5 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 * 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 * 1 * 22 20 19 16 15 13 11 11 10 10 8 6 5 4 4 4 2 NA NA NA NA * * * * * 1 1 1 * * * * * * * * 0 * * * * 7/13/08 6/15/08 3/2/08 RV 79 71 78 10 9 9 7 8 7 3 7 4 2 4 2 NA NA NA 0 * * 10/31/04 10/30/04 10/29/04 10/28/04 10/27/04 10/26/04 10/25/04 10/24/04 10/23/04 10/22/04 10/21/04 10/20/04 10/19/04 10/18/04 10/17/04 10/16/04 10/15/04 10/14/04 10/13/04 10/12/04 10/11/04 10/10/04 10/9/04 10/8/04 10/7/04 10/6/04 10/5/04 10/4/04 10/3/04 9/26/04 9/8/04 8/29/04 8/1/04 7/25/04 10/29/03 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 76 78 79 80 81 81 81 82 82 82 82 83 83 84 84 86 87 87 86 87 88 90 90 90 89 87 87 87 87 87 87 84 85 85 70 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 10 9 7 12 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 11 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 6 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 * * 1 1 * * * * * 1 1 * * * * * * 1 1 1 * 1 * 1 * 1 12 11 11 10 8 8 7 6 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 * * * * * * * * * NA * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * * * * * 1 * * 0 * * 0 10/15/00 10/9/00 10/1/00 9/6/00 8/20/00 8/10/00 8/6/00 7/29/00 7/23/00 6/11/00 5/10/00 4/2/00 3/11/00 2/27/00 2/6/00 1/16/00 12/15/99 10/31/99 RV RV RV RV RV RV 82 81 81 78 78 79 64 61 59 60 63 62 63 69 67 65 64 72 10 10 10 12 13 12 12 15 17 13 15 14 14 12 12 14 13 11 6 6 5 5 6 6 11 9 10 11 10 9 9 10 10 10 8 10 2 2 3 3 3 1 8 11 11 10 8 9 9 4 8 6 9 5 1 * 1 1 1 1 5 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 3 4 6 3 " * * * * 0 * * * * * 1 * * * * * 1 * 2. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Hillary Clinton, the Democrat) and (Donald Trump, the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton) or toward (Trump)? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – GEN POP 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 12/13/15 9/10/15 Clinton 50 51 48 54 53 51 Trump 40 37 42 36 40 39 Other (vol.) 2 2 2 1 1 1 Neither (vol.) 6 7 5 3 3 5 Would not vote (vol.) 1 2 3 4 3 4 No opinion 2 1 1 * 1 1 Would not vote (vol.) * 1 2 5 2 4 No opinion 2 1 1 1 1 1 NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 12/13/15 9/10/15 Clinton 47 51 44 50 50 46 Trump 43 39 46 41 44 43 Other (vol.) 2 2 2 1 1 1 Neither (vol.) 6 6 5 3 3 6 3a. (IF NAMED CLINTON) Do you mainly support Clinton, or mainly oppose Trump? 7/14/16 5/19/16 Support Clinton 46 46 Oppose Trump 52 51 No opinion 2 3 44 48 54 48 2 3 7/14/16 RV 5/19/16 RV 3b. (IF NAMED TRUMP) Do you mainly support Trump, or mainly oppose Clinton? 7/14/16 5/19/16 Support Trump 39 46 Oppose Clinton 53 50 No opinion 7 5 38 44 57 53 4 4 7/14/16 RV 5/19/16 RV 2/3a/3b NET: 7/14/16 5/19/16 -- Vote for Clinton -Support Oppose NET Clinton Trump 50 23 26 48 22 24 ---- Vote for Trump --Support Oppose NET Trump Clinton 40 16 21 42 19 21 7/14/16 RV 5/19/16 RV 47 44 43 46 21 21 25 21 16 20 25 24 Oth. (vol) 2 2 2 2 No Neither vote (vol) (vol) 6 1 5 3 6 5 * 2 No op. 2 1 2 1 4. Regardless of whether you prefer (Clinton) or (Trump), is there a third-party candidate you are seriously considering? (IF YES) Who is that? 7/14/16 6/23/16 ----------------- Yes ----------------Gary Jill No NET Johnson Stein Other opinion 15 3 1 9 2 17 2 1 12 2 No 82 79 No opinion 3 4 7/14/16 RV 6/23/16 RV 14 18 83 78 3 4 3 2 2 1 8 12 2 3 5. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were [(Hillary Clinton, the Democrat), (Donald Trump, the Republican)], [(Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party) and (Jill Stein of the Green Party)], for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward [(Clinton), (Trump)], [(Johnson) or (Stein)]? 7/14/16 6/23/16 Hillary Clinton 45 47 7/14/16 RV 6/23/16 RV 42 47 Donald Trump 35 34 Gary Johnson 8 7 Jill Stein 5 4 Other (vol.) 1 1 38 37 8 7 5 3 1 1 None of these (vol.) 3 4 Would not vote (vol.) 1 1 2 3 1 * On another topic, 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 11/19/15 10/18/15 9/10/15 7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 12/14/14 10/26/14 10/12/14 9/7/14 6/1/14 4/27/14 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 4/14/13 3/10/13 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 56 33 24 56 34 21 51 30 21 51 31 20 50 31 18 45 24 22 46 24 22 51 28 23 49 27 22 45 26 20 45 22 23 47 26 21 50 24 26 41 21 20 43 21 22 40 20 20 42 24 18 46 23 23 41 23 19 46 25 22 46 23 23 43 23 20 42 22 21 48 28 20 47 25 22 49 25 24 51 32 20 50 27 23 50 29 21 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 42 9 33 41 8 33 46 11 35 43 11 33 46 11 36 51 12 39 50 10 40 45 10 35 46 9 37 50 13 37 49 11 38 47 11 36 44 9 35 54 13 41 51 12 39 51 12 39 51 12 39 51 14 37 52 12 40 50 12 38 50 9 41 55 14 41 55 11 44 49 10 39 47 11 37 44 12 32 44 10 33 45 10 35 46 11 36 No opinion 2 3 3 6 4 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 8 6 3 6 3 4 3 3 3 6 7 5 5 4 No opinion 3 3 3 3 1/13/13 55 32 23 12/16/12 54 33 21 11/4/12 RV 52 33 10 11/3/12 RV 51 33 10 11/2/12 RV 51 32 11 11/1/12 RV 50 31 11 10/31/12 RV 50 30 11 10/30/12 RV 50 28 12 10/29/12 RV 50 28 11 10/28/12 RV 51 28 11 10/27/12 RV 50 28 11 10/26/12 RV 51 29 10 10/25/12 RV 50 29 9 10/24/12 RV 50 29 10 10/23/12 RV 50 29 21 10/22/12 RV 50 30 20 10/21/12 RV 51 31 20 10/13/12 50 30 21 9/29/12 50 26 24 9/9/12 49 29 20 8/25/12 50 27 23 7/8/12 47 24 24 5/20/12 47 26 21 4/8/12 50 30 20 3/10/12 46 28 18 2/4/12 50 29 22 1/15/12 48 25 23 12/18/11 49 25 24 11/3/11 44 22 22 10/2/11 42 21 21 9/1/11 43 21 22 8/9/11* 44 18 26 7/17/11 47 25 22 6/5/11 47 27 20 5/2/11** 56 29 27 4/17/11 47 27 21 3/13/11 51 27 24 1/16/11 54 30 23 12/12/10 49 24 25 10/28/10 50 27 23 10/3/10 50 26 24 9/2/10 46 24 22 7/11/10 50 28 22 6/6/10 52 30 22 4/25/10 54 31 23 3/26/10 53 34 20 2/8/10 51 29 22 1/15/10 53 30 24 12/13/09 50 31 18 11/15/09 56 32 23 10/18/09 57 33 23 9/12/09 54 35 19 8/17/09 57 35 21 7/18/09 59 38 22 6/21/09 65 36 29 4/24/09 69 42 27 3/29/09 66 40 26 2/22/09 68 43 25 *Washington Post **Washington Post/Pew Research Center 41 42 46 47 47 48 48 48 48 46 46 46 47 48 47 47 47 44 46 45 46 49 49 45 50 46 48 47 53 54 53 46 48 49 38 50 45 43 47 45 47 52 47 45 44 43 46 44 46 42 40 43 40 37 31 26 29 25 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 12 11 11 11 10 9 10 9 10 10 10 12 11 13 15 13 10 11 11 11 13 15 14 16 9 14 13 14 12 12 15 15 11 13 14 12 12 11 8 12 13 13 13 11 12 11 9 10 8 9 8 33 32 36 37 36 37 37 37 36 36 36 36 37 38 37 38 37 34 34 35 33 34 36 35 39 36 37 34 37 40 38 37 35 37 24 37 33 28 32 34 34 38 35 33 33 35 33 32 33 29 29 31 29 28 22 18 20 17 4 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 6 4 6 4 4 3 6 4 3 4 4 3 4 3 10 5 4 6 3 4 3 4 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 7 7. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)? 7/14/16 1/24/16 7/19/15 1/15/15 10/26/14 10/12/14 9/7/14 4/27/14 1/23/14 11/17/13 10/20/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 1/13/13 10/31/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 4/8/12 1/15/12 11/3/11 9/1/11 6/5/11 1/16/11 12/12/10 10/28/10 6/6/10 3/26/10 1/15/10 11/15/09 10/18/09 8/17/09 6/21/09 4/24/09 3/29/09 2/22/09 1/16/09 12/14/08 10/25/08 10/11/08 9/22/08 8/22/08 6/15/08 5/11/08 1/12/08 11/1/07 6/1/07 1/19/07 11/4/06 10/22/06 10/8/06 5/15/06 11/2/05 10/24/04 4/18/04 4/30/03 9/26/02 LV RV RV RV RV LV RV RV RV LV Right direction 28 36 31 39 28 29 31 30 35 27 28 36 39 39 43 42 38 29 33 33 30 22 20 32 38 31 27 37 38 37 44 44 44 47 50 42 31 19 15 13 8 14 19 14 16 21 24 25 26 39 30 32 29 30 41 42 52 43 Wrong track 68 60 65 56 68 66 65 66 62 70 68 60 57 57 55 56 60 69 63 64 68 74 77 66 60 67 71 60 60 62 55 54 55 50 48 57 67 78 82 85 90 83 78 84 82 77 74 73 71 59 68 66 69 68 55 57 46 53 No opinion 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 2 3 4 4 4 5 2 3 2 2 4 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 4 1 2 4 2/21/02 2/14/99 11/1/98 9/13/98* 8/21/98 7/12/98 4/4/98 1/31/98 1/30/98 1/19/98 8/27/97 6/8/97 3/9/97 10/17/96 10/16/96 10/15/96 10/14/96 10/13/96 9/04/96 8/21/96 6/30/96 3/17/96 1/21/96 1/3/96 4/5/95 1/4/95 10/31/94 7/20/94 3/27/94 1/23/94 11/14/93 8/8/93 6/20/93 4/26/93 3/11/93 2/28/93 1/17/93 12/14/92 10/27/92 10/4/92 6/7/92 4/9/92 3/11/92 1/15/92 11/10/91 10/29/91 8/27/91 7/28/91 6/2/91 4/9/91 2/26/91 1/27/91 10/14/90 9/9/90 8/20/90 7/24/90 5/21/90 3/26/90 2/4/90 1/16/90 5/23/89 3/16/89 1/16/89 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV LV 54 55 55 51 57 50 55 61 61 44 39 37 34 40 42 43 44 44 40 28 26 27 27 21 23 27 27 26 28 31 25 26 26 27 36 37 31 35 22 18 14 16 18 19 24 26 31 30 39 42 58 49 19 36 35 37 39 44 49 48 42 46 51 42 41 43 45 40 45 41 34 34 50 57 60 62 55 53 52 51 51 54 67 70 70 66 77 73 68 69 70 69 60 69 71 71 71 57 59 63 60 76 78 83 81 79 78 72 71 60 67 57 51 39 48 79 60 60 60 60 53 48 49 55 52 46 4 4 2 3 4 6 4 5 5 6 4 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 3 6 3 3 6 4 4 3 10 6 3 3 2 7 4 6 5 2 4 3 3 4 3 4 3 9 3 4 7 3 4 2 4 5 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 3 10/25/88 LV 49 9/27/88 48 7/11/88 40 5/25/88 35 3/21/88 40 1/23/88 39 12/13/87 49 12/2/87 35 9/23/87 43 6/29/87 35 4/13/87 37 3/9/87 38 1/18/87 39 9/8/86 50 1/26/86 45 7/29/85 52 1/16/85 59 5/22/84 47 12/13/83 43 11/7/83 51 4/12/83 41 3/2/83 43 10/11/82 35 1/30/82 39 2/80** 20 2/78 34 2/77 41 10/75 19 10/74 15 10/73 16 *Washington Post **2/80 and previous: Roper 46 44 56 59 56 59 47 61 54 62 60 58 56 48 47 43 36 48 51 44 54 53 57 56 70 53 44 71 75 74 6 8 4 6 4 2 4 4 4 3 3 4 5 2 8 6 4 5 6 5 4 3 8 5 10 13 14 9 11 10 8. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Out of the candidates who ran, who did you want to see win the Republican nomination for president this year? (IF NEEDED) Was it Trump or one of the other candidates? 7/14/16 6/23/16 7/14/16 RV 6/23/16 RV Trump 40 41 39 40 Other 54 53 No opinion 6 6 56 55 6 5 9. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Out of the candidates who ran, who did you want to see win the Democratic nomination for president this year? (IF NEEDED) Was it Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders or someone else? 7/14/16 6/23/16 7/14/16 RV 6/23/16 RV Clinton 48 52 Sanders 42 35 Someone else (vol.) 6 5 No opinion 4 8 49 52 40 35 6 6 4 7 10. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of [ITEM]? Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? 7/14/16 – Summary Table a. Hillary Clinton b. Donald Trump ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 42 21 21 31 15 16 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 54 11 44 64 13 52 Trend: a. Hillary Clinton 7/14/16 6/12/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 1/10/16 11/8/15 10/11/15 8/30/15 7/12/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/23/14 6/23/13 1/20/13 12/2/12 4/22/12 8/22/08 RV 6/15/08 4/13/08 1/12/08 11/1/07 2/25/07 1/19/07 12/11/06 5/15/06 3/5/06 6/5/05 6/1/03 9/2/99 6/6/99 3/14/99 2/14/99 11/1/98 8/21/98 8/19/98 4/4/98 1/30/98 1/19/98 3/9/97 9/4/96 RV 6/30/96 1/21/96 1/19/96 10/31/94 5/15/94 3/27/94 1/23/94 11/14/93 8/8/93 4/26/93 2/23/93 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 42 21 21 43 25 18 44 22 22 46 24 22 48 24 24 46 23 24 47 20 26 45 21 24 52 25 26 45 24 21 49 30 20 58 32 26 61 31 30 67 35 32 66 35 30 65 33 32 52 29 23 54 26 28 44 22 23 58 32 26 50 28 22 49 25 24 54 31 23 56 27 29 54 29 25 52 27 25 51 NA NA 44 15 29 49 NA NA 59 60 63 64 64 64 58 60 52 47 47 44 28 32 47 54 53 55 58 59 54 59 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 54 11 44 55 16 39 53 12 41 52 11 41 49 13 36 51 13 38 49 14 35 53 14 39 45 14 30 49 10 39 46 11 35 38 12 26 33 13 21 26 12 14 28 14 14 27 14 13 44 14 30 43 17 26 54 15 39 40 11 29 46 11 35 48 13 35 44 14 30 40 11 29 42 11 31 46 12 33 46 NA NA 48 16 32 44 NA NA 35 36 31 31 28 32 33 30 39 44 42 47 36 34 44 41 39 34 33 33 26 24 No opinion 4 2 3 2 3 3 5 2 4 6 4 4 6 6 6 8 4 3 2 2 4 3 3 4 4 2 3 8 7 6 4 6 5 8 4 10 10 9 9 12 9 36 34 8 5 8 11 9 8 20 18 No opinion 4 4 1/17/93 7/8/92 3/18/92 51 30 28 " " 20 26 22 " " 29 43 51 b. Donald Trump ------- Favorable ------------ Unfavorable -----No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 7/14/16 31 15 16 64 13 52 4 6/12/16 29 15 14 70 14 56 1 5/19/16 37 18 19 60 11 49 3 4/10/16 31 14 17 67 14 53 2 3/6/16 30 15 14 67 11 56 3 1/10/16 35 17 18 62 14 48 3 11/8/15 38 16 23 59 13 46 3 9/27/15 35 14 21 60 19 41 5 8/30/15 37 16 21 59 16 43 4 7/12/15 33 14 19 61 16 45 6 5/31/15 16 7 9 71 16 55 13 12/18/11 40 12 29 48 21 27 12 1/16/00* 20 NA NA 70 NA NA 11 10/31/99* 18 " " 70 " " 12 * "Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Donald Trump, or perhaps you don't know enough to say." 11. How do you feel about a choice between (Clinton) and (Trump) as the major-party candidates for president – are you very satisfied with this choice, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied? 7/14/16 ----- Satisfied ----NET Very Somewhat 40 13 27 ---- Dissatisfied --NET Somewhat Very 58 24 34 No opinion 2 12. Regardless of whether or not you’d vote for (him/her), do you think [ITEM] is or is not qualified to serve as president? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 7/14/16 – Summary Table a. Clinton b. Trump ------- Qualified ------NET Strongly Somewhat 59 38 21 37 18 19 ----- Not qualified ----NET Somewhat Strongly 39 5 35 60 9 51 No opinion 2 3 ------- Qualified ------NET Strongly Somewhat 59 38 21 61 40 22 63 NA NA ----- Not qualified ----NET Somewhat Strongly 39 5 35 37 4 33 36 NA NA No opinion 2 1 2 ------- Qualified ------NET Strongly Somewhat 37 18 19 34 18 16 39 NA NA 37 NA NA ----- Not qualified ----NET Somewhat Strongly 60 9 51 64 8 56 58 NA NA 60 NA NA No opinion 3 2 3 2 Trend: a. Clinton 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 b. Trump 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 9/10/15 13. Who do you think [ITEM] – (Clinton) or (Trump)? 7/14/16 – Summary Table Clinton 39 a. is more honest and trustworthy b. better understands the problems of people like you c. has a better personality and temperament to serve effectively as president d. would do more to bring needed change to Washington e. better represents your own personal values f. has better judgment * Half sample asked items a-c; other half asked Trump 39 Both (vol.) 1 Neither (vol.) 18 48 35 * 14 2 59 28 1 11 2 44 46 49 36 54 35 items d-f. 1 1 1 7 13 9 3 2 2 Trend where available: a. is more honest and trustworthy 7/14/16 5/19/16 Clinton 39 42 Trump 39 40 Both (vol.) 1 1 Neither (vol.) 18 16 No opinion 2 1 b. better understands the problems of people like you 7/14/16 5/19/16 Clinton 48 47 Trump 35 36 Both (vol.) * * Neither (vol.) 14 15 No opinion 2 2 c. has a better personality and temperament to serve effectively as president 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 Clinton 59 61 61 Trump 28 28 31 Both (vol.) 1 1 1 Neither (vol.) 11 8 6 No opinion 2 3 1 d. would do more to bring needed change to Washington 7/14/16 5/19/16 Clinton 44 42 Trump 46 48 Both (vol.) 1 1 Neither (vol.) 7 7 No opinion 3 2 e. better represents your own personal values 7/14/16 5/19/16 Clinton 49 48 Trump 36 37 Both (vol.) 1 1 Neither (vol.) 13 13 No opinion 2 2 f. No trend 14. Who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] – (Clinton) or (Trump)? And who do you trust more to handle [NEXT ITEM]? 7/14/16 – Summary Table No op. 2 Both Neither No Clinton Trump (vol.) (vol.) opinion a. The economy 45 45 * 8 1 b. Terrorism 47 43 * 8 1 c. Immigration issues 57 36 0 6 1 d. An international crisis 59 31 1 8 1 e. Race relations 58 26 1 11 3 f. Looking out for the middle class 50 37 0 10 2 g. Taxes 46 43 * 8 3 *Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b-d; other half asked items e-g. Trend where available: a. The economy 7/14/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 Clinton 45 47 49 Trump 45 46 45 Both (vol.) * * * Neither (vol.) 8 6 5 No opinion 1 1 1 Both (vol.) * 1 * * * Neither (vol.) 8 8 7 4 6 No opinion 1 2 2 2 1 Both (vol.) 0 * * Neither (vol.) 6 4 4 No opinion 1 2 2 Both (vol.) 1 * * Neither (vol.) 8 7 5 No opinion 1 2 1 b. Terrorism Clinton Trump 7/14/16 47 43 6/23/16 50 39 5/19/16 47 44 3/6/16 54 40 11/19/15* 50 42 *"threat of terrorism" c. Immigration issues 7/14/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 Clinton 57 51 56 Trump 36 42 37 d. An international crisis 7/14/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 Clinton 59 55 61 Trump 31 36 32 e. No trend f. Looking out for the middle class 7/14/16 5/19/16 Clinton 50 52 Trump 37 35 Both (vol.) 0 * Neither (vol.) 10 11 No opinion 2 3 Clinton 46 42 Trump 43 47 Both (vol.) * 1 Neither (vol.) 8 7 No opinion 3 3 g. Taxes 7/14/16 5/19/16 15. Do you think Clinton is or is not too willing to bend the rules? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 7/14/16 ----- Is too willing ---NET Strongly Somewhat 72 48 24 --- Is not too willing -NET Somewhat Strongly 21 10 11 No opinion 7 16. Do you think Trump is or is not biased against women and minorities? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 7/14/16 ------- Is biased ------NET Strongly Somewhat 56 44 13 ------ Is not biased ---NET Somewhat Strongly 39 12 27 No opinion 5 17. Which of these is a bigger concern to you (Clinton possibly bending the rules) or (Trump possibly being biased)? 7/14/16 Clinton bending rules 43 Trump being biased 48 Both (vol.) 4 Neither (vol.) 1 No opinion 4 18. How important is Clinton’s choice of a vice presidential candidate in deciding whether or not you might vote for her - extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or less important than that? 7/14/16 --- More important --NET Extremely Very 27 12 15 -------- Less important ------NET Somewhat Less than that 71 22 49 No opinion 2 19. How important is Trump’s choice of a vice presidential candidate in deciding whether or not you might vote for him - extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or less important than that? 7/14/16 --- More important --NET Extremely Very 25 12 13 -------- Less important ------NET Somewhat Less than that 72 20 52 No opinion 3 20a. All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who has experience in how the political system works, or someone from outside the existing political establishment? 7/14/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 10/18/15 Experience in political system 55 52 62 62 57 57 Outside establishment 41 43 34 33 37 39 No opinion 4 5 5 4 5 4 20b. All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who puts an especially major focus on trying to improve race relations in this country, or someone who does not put an especially major focus on this issue? 7/14/16 Puts major focus on improving race relations 83 Does not put major focus on improving race relations 12 No opinion 5 20c. All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who supports a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, or someone who opposes it? 7/14/16 3/29/15 Support path to citizenship 60 51 Oppose path to citizenship 34 45 No opinion 6 5 20d. All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who supports trade agreements between the United States and other countries, or someone who opposes them? 7/14/16 Supports trade agreements 75 Opposes trade agreements 17 No opinion 8 Compare to: All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who supports the international trade agreement know as the Trans-Pacific Partnership, or someone who opposes this agreement? 10/18/15 Supports TPP 44 Opposes TPP 32 No opinion 25 20e. All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who supports legal abortion in most cases, or someone who opposes it in most cases? 7/14/16 Supports legal abortion 52 Opposes legal abortion 38 No opinion 10 20f. All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who supports stricter gun control laws, or someone who opposes them? 7/14/16 Supports stricter gun control 57 Opposes stricter gun control 39 No opinion 4 21. Now how important is each of those issues to you? First is electing someone who [Q20 ANSWER]. Would you say that’s extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not so important to you? Full wording: a1. Someone who has experience in how the political system works a2. Someone from outside the existing political establishment b1. Someone who puts an especially major focus on trying to improve race relations in this country b2. Someone who does not put an especially major focus on trying to improve race relations in this country c1. Someone who supports a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants c2. Someone who opposes a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants d1. Someone who supports trade agreements between the United States and other countries d2. Someone who opposes trade agreements between the United States and other countries e1. Someone who supports legal abortion in most cases e2. Someone who opposes legal abortion in most cases f1. Someone who supports stricter gun control laws f2. Someone who opposes stricter gun control laws 7/14/16 - Summary table (Asked among those who provided this response in Q28.) a1. Has experience in political system a2. From outside political system - More important NET Extrmly Very 78 41 38 54 29 26 - Less importantNET Smwt Not so 22 20 2 45 37 8 No op. 0 1 b1. Major focus on race relations b2. Not major focus on race relations 83 23 48 12 34 11 17 77 16 53 1 23 * 0 c1. Supports path to citizenship c2. Opposes path to citizenship 62 66 26 33 37 33 37 34 31 23 6 10 1 * d1. Supports trade agreements d2. Opposes trade agreements 65 43 27 20 38 23 35 56 31 48 4 8 * 1 e1. Supports legal abortion e2. Opposes legal abortion 58 64 31 36 27 28 41 36 32 27 9 9 * 1 f1. Supports stricter gun control f2. Opposes stricter gun control 81 62 47 29 35 34 18 37 15 17 3 20 * * 22. Do you think race relations in the United States are generally good or generally bad? Generally Generally No good bad opinion 7/14/16 32 63 5 5/8/16* 44 48 8 7/19/15 37 57 6 5/3/15 34 61 5 3/2/15 52 38 10 12/9/14 45 43 13 8/20/14 47 44 10 5/1/14 55 33 12 3/30/14 59 34 7 8/11/12 57 32 11 1/17/12 62 30 8 3/7/11 64 29 7 10/26/10 61 33 6 4/26/09 66 22 12 7/14/08 53 37 10 4/2/08 55 36 9 6/29/00 57 30 13 2/10/00 52 38 10 6/11/97 38 52 10 2/1/97 40 54 6 12/5/96 35 52 13 3/28/96 35 53 12 3/31/93 37 56 7 5/8/92 25 68 7 5/24/90 41 50 8 *5/8/16 Pew Research; 7/12/16 and previous CBS News and/or New York Times Trend by race, where available: Generally good Generally bad No opinion 7/14/16 All Whites Blacks Hispanics 32 32 28 30 63 63 72 65 5 5 0 5 5/8/16 All Whites Blacks Hispanics 44 46 34 37 48 45 61 58 8 9 5 5 7/19/15 All Whites Blacks 37 37 28 57 56 68 6 6 4 5/3/15 All Whites Blacks 34 33 28 61 62 65 5 5 6 3/2/15 All Whites Blacks 52 56 32 38 35 58 10 9 10 12/9/14 All Whites Blacks 45 47 34 43 42 54 13 11 12 8/20/14 All Whites Blacks 47 49 44 44 41 48 10 10 9 5/1/14 All Whites Blacks 55 60 46 33 27 46 12 13 8 3/30/14 All Whites Blacks 59 60 55 34 33 40 7 8 5 8/11/12 All Whites Blacks 57 58 46 32 31 41 11 10 13 1/17/12 All Whites Blacks 62 64 55 30 27 37 8 9 8 4/26/09 All Whites Blacks 66 65 59 22 21 30 12 13 11 7/14/08 All Whites Blacks 53 55 29 37 34 59 10 10 12 6/29/00 All Whites Blacks 57 58 51 30 30 40 13 12 9 2/10/00 All Whites Blacks 52 56 31 38 34 57 10 10 12 6/11/97 All 38 52 10 5/8/92 Whites Blacks 37 27 53 66 10 7 All Whites Blacks 25 25 20 68 67 75 7 7 5 5/24/90 All 41 50 8 Whites 43 50 7 Blacks 33 57 10 *7/12/16 and previous are CBS News and/or New York Times polls, except 5/8/16 Pew poll. 23. Do you think race relations in the United States are getting better, getting worse or staying about the same? Better Worse Same No opinion 7/14/16 10 55 33 1 7/12/16* 9 59 30 1 5/8/16 19 38 41 2 7/19/15 21 38 39 1 5/3/15 17 44 37 2 12/9/14 22 36 40 2 3/3/92 21 35 42 2 *7/12/16 and previous are CBS News and/or New York Times polls, except 5/8/16 Pew poll. Trend by race, where available: Better 10 10 7 Worse 55 55 50 Same 33 33 43 7/12/16* All Whites Blacks 9 9 11 59 62 53 30 28 36 1 1 0 7/19/15 All Whites Blacks 21 21 18 38 40 40 39 38 40 1 1 2 5/3/15 All Whites Blacks 17 16 15 44 46 41 37 36 42 2 2 2 12/9/14 All Whites Blacks 22 22 11 36 36 46 40 40 41 2 2 2 7/14/16 All Whites Blacks No opinion 1 2 0 3/3/92 All 21 35 42 2 Whites 22 34 42 3 Blacks 15 41 42 1 *7/12/16 and previous are CBS News and/or New York Times polls. Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? 7/14/16 6/23/16 Democrat 33 36 Republican 23 24 Independent 35 33 Other (vol.) 5 5 No opinion 3 2 5/19/16 3/6/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 11/19/15 10/18/15 9/10/15 7/19/15 33 34 34 33 33 30 33 30 25 25 23 23 23 24 22 21 35 32 34 34 36 39 35 39 4 5 5 5 4 4 5 7 3 5 4 5 4 2 4 4 *** END*** METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish. This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as appears in this document. Demographics and religious identity questions are not shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters. A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines cellular phone numbers, first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. The final sample included 352 interviews completed on landlines and 651 interviews completed via cellular phones, including 404 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey March Social and Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which is 1.24 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. Group All adults Registered voters Registered Leaned Dems Registered Leaned Reps Whites Blacks Hispanics Unweighted sample size 1,003 816 385 346 666 122 126 Error margin +/- 3.5 points 4 5.5 6 4 10 9.5 The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they produce. Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post conducts polls.