This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone August 1-4, 2016, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including landline and cell phone respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York. *= less than 0.5 percent (Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the end.) 1. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? Probably vote 8 10 8 9 Chances 50/50 6 5 7 5 Less than that 4 3 4 3 Don't think will vote (vol.) 1 1 2 2 Already voted (vol.) NA NA NA NA 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 RV RV RV RV Certain to vote 81 79 79 80 No op. * 1 * * 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 68 68 70 72 73 75 76 77 79 79 79 79 80 82 84 85 84 83 81 81 5 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 7 6 5 6 7 7 7 8 9 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 4 4 7 6 6 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 * 20 19 18 16 16 13 12 11 9 8 6 6 5 4 4 1 0 NA " * * * * 0 * * * * * * * * * * 1 * 0 * * 11/3/08 11/2/08 11/1/08 10/31/08 10/30/08 10/29/08 10/28/08 10/27/08 10/26/08 10/25/08 10/24/08 10/23/08 10/22/08 10/21/08 10/20/08 10/19/08 10/11/08 9/29/08 9/22/08 9/7/08 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 68 69 71 73 74 76 77 76 78 78 79 80 81 82 81 83 87 87 89 85 4 4 5 5 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 6 7 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 5 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 * 1 22 20 19 16 15 13 11 11 10 10 8 6 5 4 4 4 2 NA NA NA * * * * * 1 1 1 * * * * * * * * 0 * * * 8/22/08 7/13/08 6/15/08 3/2/08 RV RV 84 79 71 78 10 10 9 9 4 7 8 7 2 3 7 4 * 2 4 2 NA NA NA NA * 0 * * 10/31/04 10/30/04 10/29/04 10/28/04 10/27/04 10/26/04 10/25/04 10/24/04 10/23/04 10/22/04 10/21/04 10/20/04 10/19/04 10/18/04 10/17/04 10/16/04 10/15/04 10/14/04 10/13/04 10/12/04 10/11/04 10/10/04 10/9/04 10/8/04 10/7/04 10/6/04 10/5/04 10/4/04 10/3/04 9/26/04 9/8/04 8/29/04 8/1/04 7/25/04 10/29/03 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 76 78 79 80 81 81 81 82 82 82 82 83 83 84 84 86 87 87 86 87 88 90 90 90 89 87 87 87 87 87 87 84 85 85 70 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 10 9 7 12 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 11 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 6 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 * * 1 1 * * * * * 1 1 * * * * * * 1 1 1 * 1 * 1 * 1 12 11 11 10 8 8 7 6 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 * * * * * * * * * NA * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * * * * * 1 * * 0 * * 0 10/15/00 10/9/00 10/1/00 9/6/00 8/20/00 8/10/00 8/6/00 7/29/00 7/23/00 6/11/00 5/10/00 4/2/00 3/11/00 2/27/00 2/6/00 1/16/00 12/15/99 10/31/99 RV RV RV RV RV RV 82 81 81 78 78 79 64 61 59 60 63 62 63 69 67 65 64 72 10 10 10 12 13 12 12 15 17 13 15 14 14 12 12 14 13 11 6 6 5 5 6 6 11 9 10 11 10 9 9 10 10 10 8 10 2 2 3 3 3 1 8 11 11 10 8 9 9 4 8 6 9 5 1 * 1 1 1 1 5 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 3 4 6 3 " * * * * 0 * * * * * 1 * * * * * 1 * 2. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? toward (Trump and Pence)? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – GEN POP Other Neither Would not No Clinton Trump (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion 8/4/16 53 39 1 5 1 1 7/14/16* 50 40 2 6 1 2 6/23/16 51 37 2 7 2 1 5/19/16 48 42 2 5 3 1 3/6/16 54 36 1 3 4 * 12/13/15 53 40 1 3 3 1 9/10/15 51 39 1 5 4 1 *7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat” and “Donald Trump, the Republican”. NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS Other Neither Would not No Clinton Trump (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion 8/4/16 50 42 1 4 1 1 7/14/16* 47 43 2 6 * 2 6/23/16 51 39 2 6 1 1 5/19/16 44 46 2 5 2 1 3/6/16 50 41 1 3 5 1 12/13/15 50 44 1 3 2 1 9/10/15 46 43 1 6 4 1 *7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat” and “Donald Trump, the Republican”. 3a. (IF NAMED CLINTON) Do you mainly support Clinton, or mainly oppose Trump? 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 8/4/16 RV 7/14/16 RV 5/19/16 RV Support Clinton 50 46 46 Oppose Trump 46 52 51 No opinion 4 2 3 49 44 48 47 54 48 4 2 3 3b. (IF NAMED TRUMP) Do you mainly support Trump, or mainly oppose Clinton? 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 8/4/16 RV 7/14/16 RV 5/19/16 RV 2/3a/3b NET: Support Trump 42 39 46 Oppose Clinton 52 53 50 No opinion 6 7 5 40 38 44 56 57 53 4 4 4 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 -- Vote for Clinton -Support Oppose NET Clinton Trump 53 26 25 50 23 26 48 22 24 ---- Vote for Trump --Support Oppose NET Trump Clinton 39 16 20 40 16 21 42 19 21 8/4/16 RV 7/14/16 RV 5/19/16 RV 50 47 44 42 43 46 25 21 21 24 25 21 17 16 20 24 25 24 Oth. (vol) 1 2 2 1 2 2 No Neither vote (vol) (vol) 5 1 6 1 5 3 4 6 5 1 * 2 No op. 1 2 1 1 2 1 4. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were [(Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats), (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans)], [(Gary Johnson and Bill Weld of the Libertarian Party) and (Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka of the Green Party)], for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward [(Clinton and Kaine), (Trump and Pence)], [(Johnson and Weld) or (Stein and Baraka)]? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – GEN POP None Would Hillary Donald Gary Jill Other of these not vote No Clinton Trump Johnson Stein (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion 8/4/16 47 34 8 4 1 3 2 2 7/14/16* 45 35 8 5 1 3 1 3 6/23/16 47 34 7 4 1 4 1 3 *7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat”, “Donald Trump, the Republican”, “Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party” and “Jill Stein of the Green Party”. NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS None Would Hillary Donald Gary Jill Other of these not vote No Clinton Trump Johnson Stein (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion 8/4/16 RV 45 37 8 4 1 2 2 2 7/14/16 RV* 42 38 8 5 1 2 1 3 6/23/16 RV 47 37 7 3 1 3 * 3 *7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat”, “Donald Trump, the Republican”, “Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party” and “Jill Stein of the Green Party”. 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 11/19/15 10/18/15 9/10/15 7/19/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/15/15 12/14/14 10/26/14 10/12/14 9/7/14 6/1/14 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 55 34 22 56 33 24 56 34 21 51 30 21 51 31 20 50 31 18 45 24 22 46 24 22 51 28 23 49 27 22 45 26 20 45 22 23 47 26 21 50 24 26 41 21 20 43 21 22 40 20 20 42 24 18 46 23 23 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 42 10 32 42 9 33 41 8 33 46 11 35 43 11 33 46 11 36 51 12 39 50 10 40 45 10 35 46 9 37 50 13 37 49 11 38 47 11 36 44 9 35 54 13 41 51 12 39 51 12 39 51 12 39 51 14 37 No opinion 3 2 3 3 6 4 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 8 6 3 4/27/14 3/2/14 1/23/14 12/15/13 11/17/13 10/20/13 9/15/13 7/21/13 5/19/13 4/14/13 3/10/13 1/13/13 12/16/12 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 5/20/12 4/8/12 3/10/12 2/4/12 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 10/2/11 9/1/11 8/9/11* 7/17/11 6/5/11 5/2/11** 4/17/11 3/13/11 1/16/11 12/12/10 10/28/10 10/3/10 9/2/10 7/11/10 6/6/10 4/25/10 3/26/10 2/8/10 1/15/10 12/13/09 11/15/09 10/18/09 9/12/09 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 41 46 46 43 42 48 47 49 51 50 50 55 54 52 51 51 50 50 50 50 51 50 51 50 50 50 50 51 50 50 49 50 47 47 50 46 50 48 49 44 42 43 44 47 47 56 47 51 54 49 50 50 46 50 52 54 53 51 53 50 56 57 54 23 25 23 23 22 28 25 25 32 27 29 32 33 33 33 32 31 30 28 28 28 28 29 29 29 29 30 31 30 26 29 27 24 26 30 28 29 25 25 22 21 21 18 25 27 29 27 27 30 24 27 26 24 28 30 31 34 29 30 31 32 33 35 19 22 23 20 21 20 22 24 20 23 21 23 21 10 10 11 11 11 12 11 11 11 10 9 10 21 20 20 21 24 20 23 24 21 20 18 22 23 24 22 21 22 26 22 20 27 21 24 23 25 23 24 22 22 22 23 20 22 24 18 23 23 19 52 50 50 55 55 49 47 44 44 45 46 41 42 46 47 47 48 48 48 48 46 46 46 47 48 47 47 47 44 46 45 46 49 49 45 50 46 48 47 53 54 53 46 48 49 38 50 45 43 47 45 47 52 47 45 44 43 46 44 46 42 40 43 12 12 9 14 11 10 11 12 10 10 11 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 12 11 11 11 10 9 10 9 10 10 10 12 11 13 15 13 10 11 11 11 13 15 14 16 9 14 13 14 12 12 15 15 11 13 14 12 12 11 8 12 13 13 13 11 12 40 38 41 41 44 39 37 32 33 35 36 33 32 36 37 36 37 37 37 36 36 36 36 37 38 37 38 37 34 34 35 33 34 36 35 39 36 37 34 37 40 38 37 35 37 24 37 33 28 32 34 34 38 35 33 33 35 33 32 33 29 29 31 6 3 4 3 3 3 6 7 5 5 4 4 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 6 4 6 4 4 3 6 4 3 4 4 3 4 3 10 5 4 6 3 4 3 4 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 8/17/09 57 35 21 7/18/09 59 38 22 6/21/09 65 36 29 4/24/09 69 42 27 3/29/09 66 40 26 2/22/09 68 43 25 *Washington Post **Washington Post/Pew Research Center 40 37 31 26 29 25 11 9 10 8 9 8 29 28 22 18 20 17 3 4 4 4 5 7 6. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Out of the candidates who ran, who did you want to see win the Republican nomination for president this year? (IF NEEDED) Was it Trump or one of the other candidates? 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 8/4/16 RV 7/14/16 RV 6/23/16 RV Trump 39 40 41 Other 53 54 53 38 39 40 No opinion 8 6 6 54 56 55 8 6 5 7. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Out of the candidates who ran, who did you want to see win the Democratic nomination for president this year? (IF NEEDED) Was it Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders or someone else? 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 8/4/16 RV 7/14/16 RV 6/23/16 RV Clinton 55 48 52 Sanders 35 42 35 Someone else (vol.) 7 6 5 No opinion 4 4 8 54 49 52 34 40 35 8 6 6 4 4 7 8. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of [ITEM]? Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? 8/4/16 – Summary Table a. b. c. d. e. f. Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Mike Pence Tim Kaine Bill Clinton Melania Trump ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 48 28 20 34 16 18 38 14 23 41 14 26 56 30 26 33 15 18 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 50 7 42 63 11 52 26 12 14 24 15 10 38 13 25 39 16 22 Trend: a. Hillary Clinton 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/12/16 5/19/16 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 48 28 20 42 21 21 43 25 18 44 22 22 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 50 7 42 54 11 44 55 16 39 53 12 41 No opinion 2 4 2 3 No opinion 2 3 36 35 6 28 3/6/16 1/10/16 11/8/15 10/11/15 8/30/15 7/12/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 1/23/14 6/23/13 1/20/13 12/2/12 4/22/12 8/22/08 RV 6/15/08 4/13/08 1/12/08 11/1/07 2/25/07 1/19/07 12/11/06 5/15/06 3/5/06 6/5/05 6/1/03 9/2/99 6/6/99 3/14/99 2/14/99 11/1/98 8/21/98 8/19/98 4/4/98 1/30/98 1/19/98 3/9/97 9/4/96 RV 6/30/96 1/21/96 1/19/96 10/31/94 5/15/94 3/27/94 1/23/94 11/14/93 8/8/93 4/26/93 2/23/93 1/17/93 7/8/92 3/18/92 46 48 46 47 45 52 45 49 58 61 67 66 65 52 54 44 58 50 49 54 56 54 52 51 44 49 59 60 63 64 64 64 58 60 52 47 47 44 28 32 47 54 53 55 58 59 54 59 51 30 28 24 24 23 20 21 25 24 30 32 31 35 35 33 29 26 22 32 28 25 31 27 29 27 NA 15 NA 22 24 24 26 24 26 21 20 26 30 32 30 32 23 28 23 26 22 24 23 29 25 25 NA 29 NA " " 52 49 51 49 53 45 49 46 38 33 26 28 27 44 43 54 40 46 48 44 40 42 46 46 48 44 35 36 31 31 28 32 33 30 39 44 42 47 36 34 44 41 39 34 33 33 26 24 20 26 22 11 13 13 14 14 14 10 11 12 13 12 14 14 14 17 15 11 11 13 14 11 11 12 NA 16 NA 41 36 38 35 39 30 39 35 26 21 14 14 13 30 26 39 29 35 35 30 29 31 33 NA 32 NA " " 2 3 3 5 2 4 6 4 4 6 6 6 8 4 3 2 2 4 3 3 4 4 2 3 8 7 6 4 6 5 8 4 10 10 9 9 12 9 36 34 8 5 8 11 9 8 20 18 29 43 51 b. Donald Trump 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/12/16 5/19/16 4/10/16 3/6/16 1/10/16 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 34 16 18 31 15 16 29 15 14 37 18 19 31 14 17 30 15 14 35 17 18 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 63 11 52 64 13 52 70 14 56 60 11 49 67 14 53 67 11 56 62 14 48 No opinion 3 4 1 3 2 3 3 11/8/15 38 16 23 59 13 46 3 9/27/15 35 14 21 60 19 41 5 8/30/15 37 16 21 59 16 43 4 7/12/15 33 14 19 61 16 45 6 5/31/15 16 7 9 71 16 55 13 12/18/11 40 12 29 48 21 27 12 1/16/00* 20 NA NA 70 NA NA 11 10/31/99* 18 " " 70 " " 12 * "Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Donald Trump, or perhaps you don't know enough to say." c-d. No trend e. Bill Clinton 8/4/16 1/10/16 5/25/14 8/22/08 RV 4/13/08 RV 4/13/08 2/1/08 2/25/07 1/19/07 5/15/06 12/15/00 7/23/00 6/6/99* 2/14/99 1/30/99 9/28/98 8/23/98 8/21/98 8/19/98 7/12/98 5/12/98 4/4/98 2/18/98 1/30/98 1/25/98 1/24/98 1/19/98 1/12/98 10/13/97 9/10/97 3/9/97 9/4/96 RV 6/30/96 10/30/95 7/17/95 6/8/95 3/19/95 10/31/94 5/15/94 3/27/94 1/23/94 11/14/93 11/11/93 8/8/93 4/26/93 2/23/93 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 56 30 26 53 29 25 63 32 31 55 30 25 47 26 21 47 25 22 55 32 23 55 33 22 61 NA NA 59 36 24 56 NA NA 44 23 21 52 NA NA 57 32 25 54 35 19 48 NA NA 45 56 39 54 54 55 56 60 54 51 59 59 59 57 60 58 56 54 59 53 55 51 57 59 60 58 52 56 59 59 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 38 13 25 43 18 25 32 15 18 43 15 28 51 16 35 51 16 34 42 15 27 42 13 30 37 NA NA 39 13 25 40 NA NA 50 36 13 44 NA NA 40 29 11 42 30 12 47 NA NA 49 40 57 40 42 39 41 35 42 44 35 33 37 38 38 38 38 41 38 43 42 44 40 37 32 37 43 39 29 30 No opinion 6 4 4 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 4 6 4 3 3 5 6 4 4 6 4 6 3 6 5 5 6 7 4 5 3 4 5 6 3 4 3 5 3 4 8 5 6 5 12 11 1/17/93 68 10/18/92 LV 56 9/27/92 LV 55 8/23/92 RV 54 7/19/92 RV 58 7/8/92 52 6/7/92 41 3/18/92 37 3/11/92 39 2/2/92 37 1/27/92 23 10/21/91 13 *Washington Post poll " " 20 36 36 36 23 33 38 37 31 24 11 9 " " 11 8 9 10 18 15 21 26 30 39 66 78 f. No trend 9. How do you feel about a choice between (Clinton) and (Trump) as the major-party candidates for president – are you very satisfied with this choice, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied? 8/4/16 7/14/16 ----- Satisfied ----NET Very Somewhat 42 13 28 40 13 27 ---- Dissatisfied --NET Somewhat Very 57 26 31 58 24 34 No opinion 1 2 10. Regardless of whether or not you’d vote for (him/her), do you think [ITEM] is or is not qualified to serve as president? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 8/4/16 – Summary Table a. Hillary Clinton b. Donald Trump ------- Qualified ------NET Strongly Somewhat 60 42 19 38 20 18 ----- Not qualified ----NET Somewhat Strongly 38 4 34 61 8 52 Trend: a. Clinton 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 ------- Qualified ------NET Strongly Somewhat 60 42 19 59 38 21 61 40 22 63 NA NA ----- Not qualified ----NET Somewhat Strongly 38 4 34 39 5 35 37 4 33 36 NA NA No opinion 2 2 1 2 ------- Qualified ------NET Strongly Somewhat 38 20 18 37 18 19 34 18 16 39 NA NA 37 NA NA ----- Not qualified ----NET Somewhat Strongly 61 8 52 60 9 51 64 8 56 58 NA NA 60 NA NA No opinion 2 3 2 3 2 b. Trump 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 9/10/15 11. Do you think Hillary Clinton [ITEM], or not? 8/4/16 – Summary Table No opinion 2 2 a. is honest and trustworthy b. has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president c. has a good understanding of world affairs Yes 38 No 59 61 72 38 25 No opinion 3 1 3 Trend: a. Is honest and trustworthy 8/4/16 3/6/16 9/10/15 5/31/15 3/29/15 6/1/14 4/13/08 5/15/06 Yes 38 37 39 41 46 53 39 52 No 59 59 56 52 46 42 58 42 No opinion 3 4 5 7 7 5 3 6 b. Has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president 8/4/16 3/6/16 9/10/15 Yes 61 58 56 No 38 40 41 No opinion 1 2 3 c. No trend 12. Do you think Donald Trump [ITEM], or not? 8/4/16 – Summary Table a. is honest and trustworthy b. has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president c. has a good understanding of world affairs Yes 34 No 62 31 33 67 64 No opinion 4 2 3 Trend: a. Is honest and trustworthy 8/4/16 3/6/16 9/10/15 Yes 34 27 35 No 62 69 59 No opinion 4 4 6 b. Has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president 8/4/16 3/6/16 9/10/15 Yes 31 25 33 c. No trend No 67 72 63 No opinion 2 3 4 13. Who do you think [ITEM] - (Clinton) or (Trump)? 8/4/16 - Summary Table a. is more honest and trustworthy b. better understands the problems of people like you c. has a better personality and temperament to serve effectively as president d. would do more to make the country safer and more secure Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) No op. Clinton Trump 49 40 * 10 1 55 35 * 9 1 62 30 1 6 1 51 42 1 4 2 Trend: a. is more honest and trustworthy 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 Clinton 49 39 42 Trump 40 39 40 Both (vol.) * 1 1 Neither (vol.) 10 18 16 No opinion 1 2 1 b. better understands the problems of people like you 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 Clinton 55 48 47 Trump 35 35 36 Both (vol.) * * * Neither (vol.) 9 14 15 No opinion 1 2 2 c. has a better personality and temperament to serve effectively as president 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 Clinton 62 59 61 61 Trump 30 28 28 31 Both (vol.) 1 1 1 1 Neither (vol.) 6 11 8 6 No opinion 1 2 3 1 d. would do more to make the country safer and more secure 8/4/16 5/19/16 Clinton 51 47 Trump 42 44 Both (vol.) 1 1 Neither (vol.) 4 7 No opinion 2 1 14. Thinking about [ITEM] as president – are you comfortable with this, or does it make you anxious? Would you say you are very comfortable with/anxious about the idea of [ITEM] as president, or somewhat comfortable with/anxious about it? 8/4/16 – Summary Table a. Hillary Clinton b. Donald Trump Trend: ---- Comfortable ---NET Very Somewhat 47 28 18 28 15 13 ------ Anxious -----NET Somewhat Very 51 17 34 70 20 50 No opinion 2 2 a. Hillary Clinton 8/4/16 6/23/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 ---- Comfortable ---NET Very Somewhat 47 28 18 47 28 19 46 29 17 47 27 20 ------ Anxious -----NET Somewhat Very 51 17 34 50 15 35 51 16 35 51 16 35 No opinion 2 3 2 2 ------ Anxious -----NET Somewhat Very 70 20 50 70 18 52 69 18 51 69 19 49 No opinion 2 3 1 3 b. Donald Trump 8/4/16 6/23/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 ---- Comfortable ---NET Very Somewhat 28 15 13 27 16 11 30 17 13 29 15 14 15. Who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] – (Clinton) or (Trump)? And who do you trust more to handle [NEXT ITEM]? 8/4/16 – Summary Table Both Neither No Clinton Trump (vol.) (vol.) opinion a. The economy 48 46 1 3 1 b. Terrorism 48 43 * 4 4 c. Immigration issues 53 40 1 5 1 d. An international crisis 60 33 1 5 1 e. Race relations 63 29 1 6 1 f. Taxes 51 41 1 4 3 g. International trade agreements 54 40 3 2 1 *Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b-d; other half asked items e-g. Trend: a. The economy 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 Clinton 48 45 47 49 Trump 46 45 46 45 Both (vol.) 1 * * * Neither (vol.) 3 8 6 5 No opinion 1 1 1 1 Both (vol.) * * 1 * * * Neither (vol.) 4 8 8 7 4 6 No opinion 4 1 2 2 2 1 b. Terrorism Clinton Trump 8/4/16 48 43 7/14/16 47 43 6/23/16 50 39 5/19/16 47 44 3/6/16 54 40 11/19/15* 50 42 *"threat of terrorism" c. Immigration issues 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 Both (vol.) 1 0 * * Neither (vol.) 5 6 4 4 No opinion 1 1 2 2 Trump 33 31 36 32 Both (vol.) 1 1 * * Neither (vol.) 5 8 7 5 No opinion 1 1 2 1 Clinton 63 58 Trump 29 26 Both (vol.) 1 1 Neither (vol.) 6 11 No opinion 1 3 Clinton 51 46 42 Trump 41 43 47 Both (vol.) 1 * 1 Neither (vol.) 4 8 7 No opinion 3 3 3 Neither (vol.) 2 6 No opinion 1 2 Clinton 53 57 51 56 Trump 40 36 42 37 d. An international crisis 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 Clinton 60 59 55 61 e. Race relations 8/4/16 7/14/16 f. Taxes 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 g. International trade agreements 8/4/16 5/19/16 Clinton 54 47 Trump 40 44 Both (vol.) 3 1 16. All else equal, would you like the next president to be someone who has experience in how the political system works, or someone from outside the existing political establishment? 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 10/18/15 Experience in political system 58 55 52 62 62 57 57 Outside establishment 39 41 43 34 33 37 39 No opinion 3 4 5 5 4 5 4 17. Would you support or oppose a temporary ban on Muslims who are not U.S. citizens from entering the United States? Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? 8/4/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 40 23 18 43 29 14 43 30 12 -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 51 18 34 52 13 38 50 14 36 No opinion 8 6 7 18. Do you think Clinton is or is not too willing to bend the rules? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 8/4/16 7/14/16 ----- Is too willing ---NET Strongly Somewhat 66 43 23 72 48 24 --- Is not too willing -NET Somewhat Strongly 26 13 13 21 10 11 No opinion 8 7 19. Do you think Trump is or is not biased against women and minorities? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 8/4/16 7/14/16 ------- Is biased ------NET Strongly Somewhat 60 46 14 56 44 13 ------ Is not biased ---NET Somewhat Strongly 36 11 25 39 12 27 No opinion 4 5 20. Trump has exchanged some criticisms with a Muslim-American family whose son was killed while serving as a U.S. Army captain in Iraq. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Trump has handled this? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 8/4/16 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 12 6 6 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 73 16 56 No opinion 15 21. Do you think Trump shows enough respect for people he disagrees with, or not? (IF NO) Do you see this as a major problem, or a problem but not a major one? ----------- Problem ----------Major Problem but NET problem not a major one 79 58 21 76 55 21 8/4/16 5/19/16 Not a problem 19 21 No opinion 3 3 22. Which of these better describes Trump in your opinion: (he goes too far in criticizing other people and groups) or (he tells it like it is regardless of whether or not it’s politically correct)? 8/4/16 Goes too far in criticizing 57 Tells it like it is 42 No opinion 1 23. Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel (optimistic) or (pessimistic) about the way things are going in this country? 8/4/16 12/16/12 12/14/08 12/11/06 5/15/06 12/18/05 12/19/04 7/25/04 RV 6/20/04 1/18/04 ----- Optimistic ---NET Very Somewhat 42 NA NA 46 17 29 51 NA NA 61 48 57 57 67 62 69 " " ---- Pessimistic ---NET Somewhat Very 52 NA NA 51 21 30 46 NA NA 36 50 42 41 30 36 29 " " No opinion 6 3 4 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 24. And what about [ITEM]? Would you say [ITEM] is more of (an optimist) about the direction of the country, or more of (a pessimist)? 8/4/16 – Summary Table Optimist 70 38 a. Clinton b. Trump Pessimist 23 55 No opinion 7 6 Compare to: Would you say [ITEM] is more of an optimist, or more of a pessimist? Optimist Pessimist No opinion Barack Obama 7/13/08 79 12 9 John McCain 7/13/08 54 33 12 George W. Bush 8/1/04 RV 7/25/04 RV 64 72 27 22 9 6 John Kerry 8/1/04 RV 7/25/04 RV 65 55 22 34 12 11 25. Did you happen to vote in the last presidential election, when Barack Obama ran against Mitt Romney, or did you skip that one? 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 Did vote 68 68 68 Did not vote 32 32 31 No opinion 1 * 1 26. (ASK IF VOTED IN 2012) Which candidate did you vote for? 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 Obama 54 56 54 Romney 39 38 42 Someone else 5 5 3 No opinion 1 1 2 25/26 NET: 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 ----------- Voted in 2012 --------NET Obama Romney Someone else 68 36 26 4 68 37 25 3 68 36 28 2 Did not vote 32 32 31 No opinion 1 * 1 27. How confident are you in the federal government's ability to respond effectively to an outbreak of Zika virus in the United States – very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all? 8/4/16 --- More confident -NET Very Somewhat 69 24 45 ----- Less confident ---NET Not so Not at all 29 15 14 No opinion 2 6/23/16 66 18 48 33 21 12 1 Compare to: --- More confident -NET Very Somewhat The Ebola virus 10/26/14 63 18 44 10/12/14 62 19 43 ----- Less confident ---NET Not so Not at all No opinion 36 37 22 21 14 16 2 * The H1N1 virus known as swine flu: 10/18/09 69 19 50 8/17/09 73 23 50 31 26 18 18 12 9 1 1 Bird flu: 3/5/06 40 25 15 * 59 16 44 28. How do you feel about the possibility that you or someone in your immediate family might be infected by the Zika virus – very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all? ---- More worried --NET Very Somewhat 35 12 23 33 11 22 8/4/16 6/23/16 ------ Less worried NET Not too Not 65 37 67 39 -----at all 28 28 No opinion * * ------ Not worried ------NET Not too Not at all No opinion Compare to: ------ Worried -----NET Very Somewhat The Ebola virus 10/26/14 36 13 23 10/12/14 43 20 23 63 57 29 27 34 29 1 * The H1N1 virus known as swine flu:* 10/18/09* 52 21 30 46 8/17/09 39 13 26 61 * 2 percent volunteered "already have" 26 30 20 31 * * Bird flu: 3/5/06 41 13 28 59 36 23 * The SARS virus: 4/27/03 33 4/3/03 38 11 11 22 27 67 62 34 37 33 24 1 3 Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 11/19/15 10/18/15 9/10/15 Democrat 33 33 36 33 34 34 33 33 30 33 Republican 23 23 24 25 25 23 23 23 24 22 Independent 36 35 33 35 32 34 34 36 39 35 Other (vol.) 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 5 No opinion 3 3 2 3 5 4 5 4 2 4 *** END*** METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish. This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as they appear in this document. Demographics and religious identity questions are not shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters. A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers, first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. The final sample included 351 interviews completed on landlines and 651 interviews completed via cellular phones, including 405 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey Social and Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which is 1.26 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. Group All adults Registered voters Half sample Unweighted sample size 1,002 815 483-519 Error margin +/- 3.5 points 4 5 The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they produce. Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post conducts polls.