This Washington Post-SurveyMonkey 50-state poll was conducted online August 9 September 1, 2016 among 74,886 registered voters, including between 546 and 5,147
respondents in each state. The sample was drawn among the respondents who completed
separate, user-generated polls using SurveyMonkey’s platform during this period.
Results are weighted to match demographic characteristics of registered voters in each
state. No margins of sampling error are calculated, as this statistic is only
applicable to randomly sampled surveys.
*= less than 0.5 percent
(Full methodological details and sample sizes for states appended at the end.)
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as
president?
--------Approve---------

Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio

NET
37
43
47
36
59
50
57
52
50
49
70
41
56
41
46
42
39
43
54
63
59
50
53
49
43
41
43
49
52
56
55
60
48
33
46

Strongly
approve
25
23
26
20
35
28
32
29
29
33
38
22
32
22
23
24
21
30
25
41
32
29
32
36
23
23
22
27
27
32
30
34
31
18
25

Somewhat
approve
12
20
21
16
24
22
25
23
21
17
32
19
24
18
23
18
18
13
29
22
27
21
21
13
20
18
21
22
25
24
25
26
17
15
21

---------Disapprove--------NET
62
56
52
63
40
50
42
47
49
50
29
59
43
59
53
58
61
57
46
36
40
50
46
50
56
58
56
50
48
43
44
39
52
66
53

Somewhat
disapprove
11
14
11
15
11
10
12
16
12
10
9
12
12
15
13
13
13
10
13
11
12
13
12
9
14
11
15
12
12
12
11
10
11
16
14

Strongly
disapprove
51
42
42
48
29
40
30
31
37
40
20
47
31
44
40
45
48
46
33
25
28
37
34
41
42
48
41
38
36
32
32
29
40
51
39

No
Opinion
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
1
1
*
1
1

 Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming

35
58
49
55
46
42
40

19
32
28
30
31
23
24

16
26
21
25
15
19
15

65
41
51
45
54
57
60

12
11
14
11
12
12
10

52
30
36
34
41
45
50

48
41
59
52
58
34
49
26

26
20
34
32
30
16
26
17

22
21
25
20
28
18
23
9

51
59
41
47
41
66
51
74

11
12
12
12
10
13
13
11

40
47
29
35
31
53
37
63

*
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
0
*
1
1
1
*
*

2. Which one of the following issues matters MOST to you right now?

Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire

Foreign
policy
2
3
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
4
4
4
4
3
2
3
5
5
3
5
2
3
4
4
3
5

The
environment
2
11
7
4
12
11
10
9
7
5
18
9
7
6
8
6
5
4
11
10
14
10
10
3
6
12
7
7
11

Terrorism
16
12
16
18
15
15
15
18
19
18
15
16
14
16
17
14
20
14
18
13
17
15
15
19
16
13
19
17
18

Immigration
7
7
9
6
10
8
5
4
8
5
6
12
5
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
9
6
6
6
7
8
6
8
8

Health
care
22
14
15
16
12
16
17
14
15
16
13
14
16
17
20
16
20
14
18
14
11
17
20
16
18
17
20
14
16

Jobs
and the
economy
35
36
32
36
31
30
34
30
33
34
29
26
35
35
32
32
33
39
32
32
31
31
29
33
34
32
32
31
28

Education
9
11
12
10
10
9
8
14
10
12
9
13
11
8
6
14
7
15
7
12
8
11
8
15
8
7
7
12
7

Other
7
6
5
5
4
6
6
5
4
6
7
7
6
6
5
6
5
5
5
6
5
6
7
6
7
6
4
6
5

No
Op.
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0

 New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming

5
4
4
3
5
4
3
5
4
3
4
5
3
3
6
5
5
7
2
4
3

8
9
9
6
5
7
6
18
9
12
6
7
6
5
10
17
7
12
6
8
7

19
13
20
17
16
17
16
13
16
17
18
19
20
14
13
11
16
14
17
18
14

7
7
5
6
13
7
7
5
5
7
8
7
8
10
9
5
7
6
4
7
9

14
17
15
17
17
17
16
15
16
16
16
22
17
16
19
18
16
16
16
20
15

35
32
32
34
30
35
31
28
37
33
30
27
30
34
26
29
33
26
42
30
41

7
12
9
11
7
9
15
10
7
8
13
7
8
12
10
8
9
10
8
8
5

(ORDER OF QUESTIONS 3-4 RANDOMIZED)
3. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today among the following
candidates for whom would you vote?
Hillary
Clinton, the
Democrat

Donald Trump,
the Republican

No Opinion

Alabama

36

57

7

Alaska

39

47

14

Arizona

46
41
57
46
51
50
46
46
58
34
53
37
42
37
34
38
47
61
56

45
54
33
44
39
36
44
46
28
53
38
52
46
49
57
53
39
31
33

9
5
9
10
10
14
10
8
14
13
9
11
12
14
9
8
14
8
12

Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts

4
5
5
5
7
5
6
6
5
5
6
6
6
5
7
6
7
8
4
6
5

0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1

 Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming

46
49
46
41
38
38
48
49
53
51
57
46
32
43
33
55
47
50
42
37
37
46
35
56
49
53
33
46
27

44
40
48
51
51
49
43
40
38
37
35
46
60
46
57
36
43
40
49
51
55
45
46
28
41
37
57
44
65

10
10
6
9
12
13
10
11
9
13
9
8
8
11
10
9
10
11
8
11
8
9
19
16
9
10
10
11
8

(ORDER OF QUESTIONS 3-4 RANDOMIZED)
4. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today among the following
candidates for whom would you vote?

Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho

Hillary
Clinton,
the
Democrat
31
31
37
37
49
37
44
43
42
39
51
25

Donald
Trump, the
Republican
53
38
39
46
28
37
33
33
40
40
25
44

Gary Johnson,
the
Libertarian
8
19
13
11
12
16
12
12
10
12
7
19

Jill
Stein,
the
Green
Party
2
7
4
3
7
6
5
4
3
4
7
7

No
Answer
5
6
6
4
5
4
6
8
6
5
9
6

 Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming

45
30
36
30
29
33
37
54
48
39
41
43
34
31
32
40
40
49
37
51
40
26
37
26
47
41
41
38
29
31
40
27
45
43
41
27
39
21

31
46
40
43
52
49
34
27
29
38
34
46
43
44
42
37
34
34
29
31
41
51
40
49
32
38
33
45
43
51
40
34
24
36
31
52
37
57

12
13
16
17
7
9
15
9
11
13
15
4
14
14
15
12
14
8
25
8
10
16
13
13
11
12
15
10
19
10
11
23
11
13
16
12
13
15

5
5
3
4
5
3
8
6
5
5
5
2
5
5
5
6
6
3
5
5
4
2
4
7
7
4
7
3
3
3
3
5
10
3
7
4
4
3

6
6
5
6
7
6
7
5
6
5
6
5
4
7
6
6
6
5
4
5
5
5
7
4
3
5
4
4
5
5
6
11
9
5
5
5
7
4

5. Which comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?

Overall
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado

America today reflects
my values MORE than it
has in the past
26
21
27
24
22
33
25

America today reflects
my values LESS than it
has in the past
72
78
71
75
77
66
74

No opinion
2
2
2
1
1
1
1

 Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming

31
23
25
26
32
22
26
20
24
19
18
22
27
33
30
25
28
26
23
21
21
26
24
27
28
30
23
19
23
17
32
26
25
25
22
22
24
22
31
28
29
16
21
15

68
74
73
73
67
77
73
78
75
78
81
76
71
65
69
73
70
72
77
78
78
72
75
71
71
67
75
80
76
82
66
73
72
74
77
77
74
76
66
70
69
83
78
83

1
3
2
1
2
2
1
2
1
3
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
1
2
2

6. How much, if at all, do you think the result of this year's presidential election
will reduce political divisions within the country?
-At least a good amount-A great
A good
NET
deal
amount

---Not much/Not at all--Not
Not at
NET
much
all

No
Opinion

 Overall
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin

30

14

16

68

32

37

2

37
26
32
33
31
25
28
29
35
33
36
19
29
30
26
27
35
38
26
32
28
31
24
44
30
27
28
31
28
28
33
33
30
25
30
25
26
31
27
37
28
29
33
23
21
29
23
28
25

17
12
13
15
15
11
11
15
17
15
16
11
13
14
12
11
15
18
12
15
15
15
11
20
13
12
10
15
11
12
15
17
14
12
13
11
13
14
12
19
11
14
15
11
11
12
9
10
11

19
14
19
18
15
14
16
14
19
18
19
9
16
16
14
16
20
20
14
17
13
16
13
24
17
15
17
16
18
17
17
16
16
13
17
14
13
17
15
18
17
14
18
12
10
17
14
17
14

60
73
66
66
68
74
70
69
62
66
61
79
70
69
72
70
64
60
73
67
70
68
74
54
68
73
72
67
70
71
66
64
68
72
68
73
73
68
71
60
71
70
65
74
78
70
75
69
73

33
28
31
35
31
30
33
31
30
33
30
31
33
32
34
32
34
30
32
33
31
32
33
28
32
32
29
31
27
34
31
30
32
34
31
35
30
31
29
29
30
31
32
22
36
32
29
33
34

28
45
35
32
37
44
37
38
32
33
30
47
37
37
38
38
31
30
41
34
39
36
42
26
36
40
42
36
42
37
35
34
36
38
37
39
43
36
42
31
41
38
32
52
42
39
47
36
39

3
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
4
2
2
1
1
3
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
3
2
3
2
1
1
2
1
3
1
2
3
2
1
1
1
4
2

 Wyoming

26

14

12

72

32

39

2

(ORDER OF QUESTIONS 7-8 RANDOMIZED)
7. If Clinton wins the election, how much, if at all, would her presidency threaten
the nation’s well-being?
At least a good amount

Overall
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina

---Not much/Not at all---

NET
55

A great
deal
37

A good
amount
17

NET
44

Not
much
25

Not at
all
18

No
Opinion
2

67
64
59
63
49
59
50
49
56
56
47
69
49
63
57
63
67
66
53
43
45
56
52
56
60
62
61
56
53
49
56
50
56
68
58
67
51
54
57
63

51
46
43
45
33
41
31
34
39
41
26
51
31
45
39
44
46
52
34
26
29
38
33
44
43
46
44
40
37
30
35
30
40
53
38
52
33
37
39
46

16
19
16
18
16
18
19
15
17
15
21
17
19
18
18
20
21
14
19
17
16
18
19
13
17
16
17
16
16
19
20
20
16
15
20
16
18
18
18
16

31
34
40
36
49
40
49
47
42
42
49
31
49
35
42
35
31
31
46
54
54
42
46
42
38
36
37
43
46
50
42
48
42
31
41
31
48
44
42
34

18
21
23
21
27
23
27
29
23
25
29
19
29
22
26
22
18
17
25
29
32
26
27
22
24
21
25
24
27
28
25
26
25
19
27
21
27
25
23
19

13
13
17
15
22
17
22
18
19
17
21
12
20
14
15
13
13
14
21
26
22
16
19
20
14
15
12
19
19
22
17
22
17
12
14
11
21
19
19
15

2
2
1
1
2
1
1
4
2
2
3
1
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
3

 South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming

60
65
59
68
49
53
51
65
55
75

45
50
41
51
30
37
34
51
37
62

14
14
17
17
19
16
17
14
18
13

39
33
38
31
50
46
47
33
44
24

24
19
23
19
30
25
30
18
27
11

15
14
15
12
20
21
17
15
17
12

1
2
3
1
1
2
2
2
2
1

(ORDER OF QUESTIONS 7-8 RANDOMIZED)
8. If Trump wins the presidency, how much, if at all, would his presidency threaten
the nation’s well-being?
-At least a good amount--

---Not much/Not at all---

NET
61
46

A great
deal
46
33

A good
amount
15
13

NET
37
51

Not
much
21
25

Not at
all
16
25

No
Opinion
2
3

Alaska

59

45

13

40

22

18

1

Arizona

57

41

16

42

24

18

1

Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey

59
67
62
67
59
56
56
70
60
66
55
61
57
49
49
67
70
69
62
65
53
57
57
56
60
62
62

39
53
46
49
44
42
43
55
41
49
39
42
39
31
36
50
56
54
44
48
40
38
41
39
43
49
50

19
14
16
18
15
14
13
15
19
17
16
19
18
18
14
17
13
16
18
17
12
19
16
17
16
12
12

40
31
37
32
38
42
41
27
38
33
43
38
41
50
48
32
29
29
37
33
46
40
42
42
39
37
36

25
17
21
18
22
22
24
15
23
18
27
26
28
28
26
20
16
18
22
23
22
23
24
26
20
22
20

15
14
16
14
16
20
18
13
16
14
16
12
14
22
22
13
13
12
15
11
23
18
18
16
19
15
16

1
2
1
1
3
2
3
3
2
2
2
1
2
1
3
1
2
1
1
2
2
3
2
2
2
1
2

Overall
Alabama

 New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming

65
66
59
47
58
54
68
60
65
53
57
53
57
66
73
63
67
50
63
47

50
54
43
29
42
34
55
44
48
38
41
39
42
46
62
47
48
39
45
30

15
12
15
18
17
20
12
16
17
15
15
14
16
20
11
16
18
10
18
17

34
32
39
52
40
44
31
38
31
43
43
45
40
32
26
36
31
49
35
51

20
17
20
34
23
27
19
22
19
25
27
23
22
20
16
20
19
25
21
32

14
16
19
18
16
18
13
16
13
19
15
22
17
13
10
16
12
24
14
20

1
2
3
1
2
2
1
2
3
3
1
2
3
2
1
2
2
2
2
2

*** END***
METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS
This poll was funded by The Washington Post and is part of SurveyMonkey’s syndicated
2016 Election Tracking service.
The sample of registered voters living in each of 50 states was drawn from the pool of
respondents to user-generated poll conducted on SurveyMonkey’s platform, which
typically includes roughly 3 million people each day. After completing an unrelated
survey, a sub-sample of those respondents were invited to participate in a second
survey asking “Where do you stand on current events? Share your opinion.” Results were
analyzed among those who reported they are registered to vote. The survey was not
advertised on any website, and individual invitations could only be used to complete
the survey once. This sample differs from SurveyMonkey’s Audience, the firm’s ongoing
panel of survey respondents. The survey was conducted in English and Spanish.
From August 9 – September 1, 2016, the survey asked the sample of 74,886 registered
voters about their presidential support, including between 546 and 5,147 respondents
in each state. Questions 5-8 were asked of a subsample of 72,218 voters from Aug. 10Sept. 1. The final sample was weighted to benchmarks for the population of registered
voters in each state for age, race, sex, education and region from the 2012 and 2014
Current Population Survey Voting and Registration Supplement. In Colorado, Florida,
Georgia, Ohio and Texas, samples were also weighted to an average of party
identification in the current survey and previous weighted SurveyMonkey state surveys
this year.
The Post-SurveyMonkey poll employs a “non-probability” sample of respondents, drawn
from the large number of people who take user-generated polls. Washington Post and
Post polls with partners are designed to ensure all adults with a cellular or landline
telephone have a chance of being selection, but the probability of any given voter
being invited to a SurveyMonkey survey is unknown, as is the proportion of voters who
were able to be sampled because they did not participate in a separate user-generated
SurveyMonkey poll during the field period. A margin of error is not calculated for
SurveyMonkey results, since this statistic only applicable to randomly-sampled
surveys.

 This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as
they appear in this document. Demographics questions are not shown.
State
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia

Unweighted
sample size
958
989
2,026
765
2,574
2,428
1,053
637
3,287
2,034
546
716
2,599
2,294
1,875
741
732
871
715
1,199
1,167
2,428
2,054
823
1,801
999
983
2,776
1,218
912
1,788
1,405
2,552
549
2,543
1,041
877
2,861
625
894
809
1,021
5,147
722
550
2,468

 Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming

722
698
2,687
727

The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which
recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they
produce.
Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post
conducts polls.