REINZ Auckland Region Analysis for August 2016 Commentary Price Auckland Region Trends Sales volume in the Auckland region fell 4% compared to July with volumes up 8% in Rodney and 1% in North Shore, but falling across the rest of the region. Compared to August 2015 sales fell 20% with volumes up 4% in Rodney, but down 13% in Outer Auckland, 15% in Waitakere and 20% in Auckland City. On a seasonally adjusted basis the number of sales in the Auckland region fell 4% compared to July, indicating that the drop in sales from July was larger than normal. Compared to August 2015 the median price rose by $102,500 (+14%) with prices rising 21% in Manukau, 20% in Outer Auckland and 14% in Rodney and Auckland City. Compared to July the median price rose by $17,500 (+2%) , with pricing rising 9% in Auckland City, 3% in Outer Auckland and 1% in Rodney and Manukau City. On a seasonally adjusted basis Auckland's median price rose 2% compared to July. The median price in Auckland reached a new record high in August. The number of days to sell eased by one day compared to July, from 30 days in July to 31 days in August. Compared to August 2015, the number of days to sell eased by two days. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell during August for Auckland has been 33 days. Across the Auckland region the level of available inventory has continued to increase, albeit slowly and now sits at 12 weeks supply. REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that, “The indications are that the struggle for stock is the biggest factor driving market behaviour and price expectations across the country, as we await Spring listings. “The continued shortage of listings coupled with the impact of the LVR changes on investors is seeing sales volumes more muted than expected at this time of year.” Graph Commentary The trend in the median price continues to improve with the volume trend continuing to fall. The days to sell trend continues to ease. The overall trend for the region is now also easing. Median Price Aug-16 Jul-16 $1,045,000 $1,062,500 North Shore City Volumes Days to Sell Overall Aug-15 $935,500 Aug-16 410 Volume Sold Jul-16 408 Aug-15 556 Waitakere City Auckland City Manukau City Metro Auckland $800,000 $911,750 $815,000 $865,000 $803,000 $837,000 $805,000 $857,500 $741,000 $800,000 $675,000 $765,000 345 726 462 2,059 350 817 473 2,149 404 906 595 2,597 Rodney District Outer Auckland Auckland Region $862,500 $692,965 $842,500 $852,500 $672,000 $825,000 $755,650 $579,000 $740,000 192 354 2,413 178 371 2,520 184 405 3,002 Jul-16 -1.6% -0.4% 8.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1.2% 3.1% 2.1% Aug-15 11.7% 8.0% 14.0% 20.7% 13.1% 14.1% 19.7% 13.9% Jul-16 0.5% -1.4% -11.1% -2.3% -4.2% 7.9% -4.6% -4.2% Aug-15 -26.3% -14.6% -19.9% -22.4% -20.7% 4.3% -12.6% -19.6% Vs… North Shore City Waitakere City Auckland City Manukau City Metro Auckland Rodney District Outer Auckland Auckland Region Vs… Auckland Region Median Price Auckland Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years $850,000 $800,000 $750,000 $700,000 $650,000 $600,000 $550,000 $500,000 $450,000 $400,000 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 12 month MA Auckland Volumes 12 month MA Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Sep-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Mar-13 Sep-12 Dec-12 Jun-12 Dec-11 Source: REINZ Mar-12 Sep-11 Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Sep-15 Mar-15 Dec-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-13 Auckland Median Price Mar-14 Jun-13 Sep-13 Mar-13 Dec-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 Source: REINZ Dec-11 0 REINZ Northland Region Analysis for August 2016 Commentary Price Northland Region Trends Sales volume growth in Northland rose by 4% compared to August 2015. Sales increased 28% in Otamatea County and 15% in Whangarei, but fell across the rest of the region. Compared to July, sales volumes rose 2% across the region, with a 14% increase in Kerikeri and 10% in Otamatea County, but falling across the rest of the region. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales were up 1% compared to July. The median price across the region rose by $38,250 (+12%) compared to August 2015, with prices rising 39% in Otamatea County, 33% in Whangarei County and 17% in Kerikeri. Compared to July, the median price fell by $14,000 (4%) with prices falling 3% in Whangarei City and Whangarei County, and by 7% in Kerikeri. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price fell by 4% compared to July. The number of days to sell eased by four days compared to July, from 34 days in July to 38 days in August. The number of days to sell improved by 25 days compared to August 2015. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell during August for Northland has been 63 days. The level of inventory available has fallen by 40% over the past year to 27 weeks of supply. REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that, "The Northland market remains active, with an increase in listings being offset to some extent by an increase in buyer interest. “The indications are that the struggle for stock is the biggest factor driving market behaviour and price expectations across the country, as we await Spring listings.” Volumes Median Price Jul-16 $360,500 $622,000 $645,000 $585,000 $376,000 Aug-15 $321,000 $452,500 $360,000 $465,250 $323,750 Whangarei City Whangarei County Jul-16 -2.9% -3.0% Aug-15 9.0% 33.4% Otamatea County Kerikeri Northland -22.6% -7.3% -3.7% 38.6% 16.6% 11.8% Aug-16 $350,000 $603,500 $499,000 $542,500 $362,000 Whangarei City Whangarei County Otamatea County Kerikeri Northland Vs… Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold Jul-16 95 114 26 29 23 21 24 21 267 262 Aug-16 Vs… Aug-15 83 40 18 42 258 Jul-16 -16.7% -10.3% Aug-15 14.5% -35.0% 9.5% 14.3% 1.9% 27.8% -42.9% 3.5% Graph Commentary The trend in median price has moved back to improving from steady, with the trend in sales volume continuing to rise. The days to sell trend is also now rising, with the overall trend for the region easing back to improving. Northland Region Median Price Northland Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years $380,000 400 350 $360,000 300 $340,000 250 $320,000 200 $300,000 150 100 $280,000 50 $260,000 12 month MA Source: REINZ Northland Volumes 12 month MA Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-14 Sep-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Mar-13 Sep-12 Dec-12 Jun-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 Dec-11 Jun-16 Mar-16 Dec-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-14 Dec-13 Northland Median Price Mar-14 Jun-13 Sep-13 Mar-13 Dec-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 Source: REINZ Dec-11 0 REINZ Waikato/Bay of Plenty Region Analysis for August 2016 Commentary Waikato/Bay of Plenty Region Trends Sales volumes compared to July rose 4%, with sales rising 12% in Mt Maunganui/Papamoa, 8% in Tauranga and 6% in Waikato Country. Compared to August 2015 sales across the region fell 7% with sales rising 54% in Gisborne, 33% in Eastern BOP Country and 22% in Mt Maunganui / Papamoa. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales for August were flat, indicating that the lift in sales was about normal for this time of year. The median price across the region rose $82,000 (+23%) compared to August 2015. Prices rose 37% in Waikato Country, 31% in Rotorua and 30% in Mount Maunganui / Papamoa. Compared to July the median price fell $15,000 (-3%), with prices rising 10% in Waikato Country, 5% in Gisborne and 3% in Rotorua. On a seasonally adjusted basis prices fell 3% compared to July. The number of days to sell was steady at 30 days compared to July. The number of days to sell improved by three days compared to August 2015. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell during August for the region has been 50 days. The region has just under 12 weeks of supply available, a drop of 30% over the past year. REINZ Regional Director, Philip Searle noted that "Investor activity has continued to decline since the announcement of new LVR restrictions, although underlying first home buyer demand remains solid across the region. The shortage of listings remains acute in some parts of the region, with the limited availability of properties restricting buyer choice." Graph Commentary The trend in median price is continuing to rise, with the trend in sales volume now moving back to steady. The days to sell trend continues to rise, with the overall trend for the region moving from rising to improving. Hamilton City Waikato Country Tauranga Mt Maunganui/Papamoa Rotorua Taupo Eastern BOP Country Gisborne Waikato/Bay of Plenty Aug-16 $493,750 $369,000 $544,500 $640,000 $325,000 $365,000 $266,750 $260,500 $435,000 Price Volumes Median Price Jul-16 $510,000 $335,000 $544,000 $647,500 $315,050 $387,500 $326,500 $249,000 $450,000 Aug-15 $415,500 $269,000 $470,000 $495,000 $248,000 $335,000 $240,000 $225,000 $353,000 Jul-16 -3.2% 10.1% 0.1% -1.2% 3.2% -5.8% -18.3% 4.6% -3.3% Aug-15 18.8% 37.2% 15.9% 29.3% 31.0% 9.0% 11.1% 15.8% 23.2% Vs… Hamilton City Waikato Country Tauranga Mt Maunganui/Papamoa Rotorua Taupo Eastern BOP Country Gisborne Waikato/Bay of Plenty Aug-16 360 257 136 121 139 79 68 60 1,386 Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold Jul-16 363 242 126 108 138 80 67 66 1,335 Aug-15 408 285 153 99 155 76 51 39 1,487 Jul-16 -0.8% 6.2% 7.9% 12.0% 0.7% -1.3% 1.5% -9.1% 3.8% Aug-15 -11.8% -9.8% -11.1% 22.2% -10.3% 3.9% 33.3% 53.8% -6.8% Vs… Waikato/BOP Region Median Price Waikato/BOP Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years 12 month MA Source: REINZ Waikato/BOP Volumes 12 month MA Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Sep-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Sep-15 Mar-15 Dec-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-13 Waikato/BOP Median Price Mar-14 Jun-13 Sep-13 Mar-13 Dec-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 Source: REINZ Dec-11 $300,000 Mar-13 $325,000 Sep-12 $350,000 Dec-12 $375,000 Jun-12 $400,000 Dec-11 $425,000 Mar-12 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 $450,000 Sep-11 $475,000 REINZ Hawke's Bay Region Analysis for August 2016 Commentary Price Hawke's Bay Region Trends Sales volumes in Hawke's Bay rose by 7% compared to July, with sales rising 30% in Hastings and 21% in Hawke's Bay Country, but falling across the rest of the region. Compared to August 2015 sales volumes rose 2%, with sales rising 127% in Dannevirke, 30% in Hastings and 21% in Hawke's Bay Country. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales for August fell 3% compared to July indicating that sales rose less than what would normally be expected for August. The median price rose $45,000 (+12%) compared to August 2015 with prices rising 21% in Napier, 20% in Hastings and 5% in Dannevirke. Compared to July the median price rose $10,000 (+3%) with prices rising 7% in Hastings, 5% in Dannevirke and 2% in Napier . On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price fell 2% compared to July. Aug-16 $371,500 $330,200 $291,000 $160,000 $320,000 Napier City Hastings City Hawkes Bay Country Dannevirke Hawke's Bay Median Price Jul-16 $366,000 $310,000 $290,000 $152,500 $310,000 Vs… The median days to sell for Hawke's Bay improved by two days compared to July, from 31 days in July to 29 days in August. The number of days to sell improved by 14 days compared to August 2015. Over the past 10 years the median number of days to sell for the Hawke's Bay region in August has been 47 days. The region has less than 12 weeks of supply available, a drop of 31% over the past 12 months. REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that, "Demand remains strong across the Hawke’s Bay region with first home buyers and investors active in the market. The supply of properties for sale remains restricted with less than 12 weeks supply available." Aug-15 $306,500 $275,000 $364,000 $152,000 $285,000 Jul-16 1.5% 6.5% 0.3% 4.9% 3.2% Napier City Hastings City Hawkes Bay Country Dannevirke Hawke's Bay Volumes Aug-16 95 103 23 25 261 Aug-15 21.2% 20.1% -20.1% 5.3% 12.3% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold Jul-16 102 79 19 26 245 Aug-15 128 79 19 11 255 Vs… Jul-16 -6.9% 30.4% 21.1% -3.8% 6.5% Aug-15 -25.8% 30.4% 21.1% 127.3% 2.4% Graph Commentary The median price trend has moved from easing to steady, although the sales volume trend continues to rise. The days to sell trend is now also rising, with the overall trend for the region continuing to improve. Hawke's Bay Region Median Price Hawke's Bay Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years $340,000 350 300 $315,000 250 200 $290,000 150 100 $265,000 50 Source: REINZ 12 month MA Source: REINZ Hawkes Bay Volumes 12 month MA Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-14 Sep-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Mar-13 Sep-12 Dec-12 Jun-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 Dec-11 Jun-16 Mar-16 Dec-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-14 Dec-13 Hawkes Bay Median Price Mar-14 Jun-13 Sep-13 Mar-13 Dec-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 0 Dec-11 $240,000 REINZ Manawatu/Wanganui Region Analysis for August 2016 Commentary Price Manawatu/Wanganui Region Trends Sales volumes rose 35% compared to August 2015, with sales rising 87% in Feilding, 54% in Wanganui and 26% in Manawatu Country. Compared to July sales volumes rose 18%, with sales rising 65% in Feilding, 37% in Wanganui and 21% in Manawatu Country. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales across the region rose 10%, indicating that the increase in sales was noticeably larger than normal. The median price across the region rose $31,500 (+15%) compared to August 2015. Prices rose 32% in Feilding, 30% in Levin, 17% in Manawatu Country. Compared to July the median price fell $18,500 (-7%), with prices rising 1% in Feilding, but falling 2% in Palmerston North, 3% in Wanganui and 4% in Feilding. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price fell 5% compared to July. The number of days to sell improved by four days, from 34 days in July to 30 days in August. The number of days to sell improved by 20 days compared to August 2015. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell during August for the region has been 47 days. There is currently 15 weeks of supply available across the region, a drop of 21 weeks over the past 12 months. REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that, "The first home buyer market continues to be active with quick sales and an increasing number of multiple offers. Demand is high but the number of listings isn’t keeping pace, which is impacting the rate of sales.” Palmerston North Feilding Levin Manawatu Country Wanganui Manawatu/Wanganui Aug-16 $325,000 $300,000 $249,500 $223,000 $180,000 $246,500 Median Price Jul-16 $331,750 $312,500 $247,000 $296,000 $185,000 $265,000 Aug-15 $285,000 $228,000 $192,000 $191,000 $165,000 $215,000 Jul-16 -2.0% -4.0% 1.0% -24.7% -2.7% -7.0% Aug-15 14.0% 31.6% 29.9% 16.8% 9.1% 14.7% Vs… Palmerston North Feilding Levin Manawatu Country Wanganui Manawatu/Wanganui Volumes Aug-16 131 43 44 34 103 418 Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold Jul-16 140 26 43 28 75 354 Aug-15 113 23 47 27 67 310 Vs… Jul-16 -6.4% 65.4% 2.3% 21.4% 37.3% 18.1% Aug-15 15.9% 87.0% -6.4% 25.9% 53.7% 34.8% Graph Commentary The median price trend is now steady, with the volume trend continuing to rise. The days to sell trend is now also rising. The overall trend for the region is now improving. Manawatu/Wanganui Region Median Price Manawatu/Wanganui Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years Manawatu/Wanganui Median Price Source: REINZ Manawatu/Wanganui Volumes Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 12 month MA Sep-15 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-14 Sep-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Mar-13 Sep-12 Jun-16 Mar-16 Dec-15 Jun-15 12 month MA Sep-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-14 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-13 Sep-13 Mar-13 Dec-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 Source: REINZ Dec-11 $175,000 Dec-12 $200,000 Jun-12 $225,000 Mar-12 $250,000 Sep-11 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Dec-11 $275,000 REINZ Taranaki Region Analysis for August 2016 Commentary Price Taranaki Region Trends Sales volume for the Taranaki region rose 13% compared to August 2015 with sales up 14% in Taranaki Country, 12% in New Plymouth and 9% in Hawera. Compared to July sales volumes rose by 7% with sales up 100% in Taranaki Country, but down 2% in New Plymouth, 7% in Bell Block and 11% in Hawera. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales fell 6% compared to July, indicating that the increase in sales was lower than normal for an August. The median price across the region rose $25,000 (+9%) compared to August 2015, with prices up 29% in Bell Block, 10% in Taranaki Country and 4% in New Plymouth. Compared to July the median price fell $10,000 (-3%) with prices rising 19% in Bell Block and 12% in Taranaki Country, but falling across the rest of the region. The number of days to sell eased by two days compared to July, from 32 days in July to 34 days in August. Compared to August 2015 the number of days to sell improved by five days. Over the past 10 years the median number of days to sell across the region in August has averaged 48 days. The level of inventory has fallen by eight weeks over the past 12 months to 18 weeks as at the end of August. Aug-16 $362,500 $222,500 $490,000 $190,000 $310,000 New Plymouth Taranaki Country Bell Block Hawera Taranaki Median Price Jul-16 $369,500 $199,500 $413,500 $194,000 $320,000 Vs… Aug-15 $350,000 $202,500 $380,000 $209,500 $285,000 Jul-16 -1.9% 11.5% 18.5% -2.1% -3.1% New Plymouth Taranaki Country Bell Block Hawera Taranaki Volumes Aug-16 84 32 13 25 188 Aug-15 3.6% 9.9% 28.9% -9.3% 8.8% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold Jul-16 86 16 14 28 175 Aug-15 75 28 15 23 167 Vs… Jul-16 -2.3% 100.0% -7.1% -10.7% 7.4% Aug-15 12.0% 14.3% -13.3% 8.7% 12.6% REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that “The market continues to be steady with a slight drop in first home buyer activity over the past month amidst falling inventory over the past 12 months.” Source: REINZ Taranaki Median Price 12 month MA Source: REINZ Taranaki Volumes 12 month MA Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-14 Sep-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Mar-13 Sep-12 Dec-12 Sep-11 Jun-16 Mar-16 Dec-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-14 0 Dec-13 $240,000 Mar-14 50 Jun-13 $265,000 Sep-13 100 Mar-13 $290,000 Dec-12 150 Jun-12 $315,000 Sep-12 200 Mar-12 $340,000 Sep-11 250 Dec-11 $365,000 Jun-12 Past 5 Years Mar-12 Taranaki Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Dec-11 Taranaki Region Median Price Sep-15 Graph Commentary The median price trend is now steady, with the sales volume trend also steady. The days to sell trend continues to rise, although the overall trend remains steady. REINZ Wellington Region Analysis for August 2016 Commentary Price Wellington Region Trends The median price for the Wellington region rose $58,450 (+15%) compared to August 2015. Prices rose 47% in Eastern Wellington, 27% in Hutt Valley and 19% in Southern Wellington. Compared to July the median price increased $11,000 (+2%), with prices rising 12% in Central Wellington, 9% in Southern Wellington and 6% in Eastern Wellington. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price rose 1%. Compared to August 2015 sales volumes rose 14% across the region with sales rising 30% in Eastern Wellington, 27% in Southern Wellington and 22% in Hutt Valley. Compared to July sales volumes rose 7%, with sales rising 43% in Western Wellington, 22% in Eastern Wellington and 21% in Pukerua Bay/Tawa. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales rose 2% compared to July indicating that the rise is sales was stronger than normal. The number of days to sell improved by three day in August, from 27 days in July to 24 days in August. Compared to August 2015 the number of days to sell improved by 14 days. Over the past 10 years the median number of days to sell across the region in August has averaged 39 days. The Wellington region has the lowest level of properties available, with just seven weeks supply available. REINZ Regional Director Euon Murrell noted that, "The Wellington market remains buoyant with a high level of buyer interest and a continued shortage of listings. The lack of choice is seeing more and more unconditional cash offers being made by buyers on properties." Graph Commentary The trend in the median price is now improving , although the volume trend is now improving. The days to sell trend continues to rise with the overall trend for the Wellington region still improving. Aug-16 $400,250 $425,000 $600,750 $523,250 $750,000 $683,000 $629,000 $438,500 $461,000 Upper Hutt Hutt Valley Northern Wellington Central Wellington Eastern Wellington Western Wellington Southern Wellington Pukerua Bay / Tawa Wellington Median Price Jul-16 $407,000 $425,000 $612,000 $466,500 $708,000 $680,000 $575,000 $500,250 $450,000 Vs… Wellington Region Median Price Aug-15 $377,000 $335,000 $550,000 $481,500 $510,600 $589,000 $530,500 $432,500 $402,550 Jul-16 -1.7% 0.0% -1.8% 12.2% 5.9% 0.4% 9.4% -12.3% 2.4% Upper Hutt Hutt Valley Northern Wellington Central Wellington Eastern Wellington Western Wellington Southern Wellington Pukerua Bay / Tawa Wellington Volumes Aug-16 70 169 78 80 39 30 38 80 765 Aug-15 6.2% 26.9% 9.2% 8.7% 46.9% 16.0% 18.6% 1.4% 14.5% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold Jul-16 93 149 73 74 32 21 32 66 712 Aug-15 81 139 65 68 30 27 30 71 672 Vs… Jul-16 -24.7% 13.4% 6.8% 8.1% 21.9% 42.9% 18.8% 21.2% 7.4% Aug-15 -13.6% 21.6% 20.0% 17.6% 30.0% 11.1% 26.7% 12.7% 13.8% Wellington Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years $480,000 1,400 $460,000 1,200 1,000 $440,000 800 $420,000 600 $400,000 Source: REINZ 12 month MA Source: REINZ Wellington Volumes 12 month MA Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Sep-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Mar-13 Sep-12 Dec-12 Jun-12 Dec-11 Sep-11 Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Sep-15 Mar-15 Dec-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-13 Wellington Median Price Mar-14 Jun-13 Sep-13 Mar-13 Dec-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 0 Dec-11 200 $360,000 Mar-12 400 $380,000 REINZ Nelson/Marlborough Region Analysis for August 2016 Commentary Price Nelson/Marlborough Region Trends The median price across the region rose $45,000 (+12%) compared to August 2015 to reach a new record high. Prices rose 45% in Motueka, 33% in Richmond and 8% in Nelson and Marlborough / Kaikoura. Compared to July the median price rose $28,500 (+7%) with prices rising 11% in Nelson, 4% in Richmond and 3% in Marlborough / Kaikoura. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price rose 4% compared to July. Sales volume compared to July rose 21%, with sales rising 25% in Motueka, 24% in Richmond and 18% in Nelson. Compared to August 2015 sales volumes rose 12%, with sales rising 26% in Marlborough / Kaikoura and 5% in Nelson. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales in August rose 6% compared to July. The number of days to sell in August improved by three days compared to July, from 26 days in July to 23 days in August. Compared to August 2015 the number of days to sell improved by 19 days. Over the past 10 years the number of days to sell in August across the region has averaged 43 days. The level of inventory available for sale is now at 14 weeks of supply. REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson noted that "The region continues to be active, with solid activity across a range of price points. The number of first home buyers appears to have fallen a little, although investors continue to be active in the market. The number of listings has increased slightly over August, which is providing greater choice to buyers, although vendor expectations are increasing." Nelson City Richmond Motueka Marlborough/Kaikoura Nelson/Marlborough Aug-16 $455,000 $559,000 $485,000 $355,000 $430,000 Median Price Jul-16 $411,000 $537,520 $502,500 $345,000 $401,500 Vs… Aug-15 $420,000 $421,000 $334,000 $329,000 $385,000 Jul-16 10.7% 4.0% -3.5% 2.9% 7.1% Nelson City Richmond Motueka Marlborough/Kaikoura Nelson/Marlborough Volumes Aug-16 87 26 15 103 259 Aug-15 8.3% 32.8% 45.2% 7.9% 11.7% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold Jul-16 74 21 12 91 215 Aug-15 83 26 21 82 231 Vs… Jul-16 17.6% 23.8% 25.0% 13.2% 20.5% Aug-15 4.8% 0.0% -28.6% 25.6% 12.1% Graph Commentary The price trend for the region is now improving, although the sales volume trend is now easing. The days to sell trend is now rising, with the overall trend for the region is now improving. Nelson/Marlborough Region Median Price Nelson/Marlborough Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years $450,000 400 $425,000 350 $400,000 300 250 $375,000 200 $350,000 Source: REINZ Nelson/Marlborough Median Price Source: REINZ Nelson/Marlborough Volumes Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 12 month MA Sep-15 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-14 Sep-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Mar-13 Sep-12 Dec-12 Jun-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 12 month MA Sep-15 Mar-15 Dec-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-12 Sep-12 Mar-12 0 Sep-11 50 $275,000 Dec-11 100 $300,000 Dec-11 150 $325,000 REINZ Canterbury/Westland Region Analysis for August 2016 Sales volume across the region rose by 6% compared to August 2015, with sales rising 29% in South Canterbury, 24% in Mid-Canterbury and 6% in Christchurch. Compared to July sales volumes rose 2%, with sales volumes rising 65% in MidCanterbury, 37% in West Coast and 35% in South Canterbury. On a seasonally adjusted basis the volume of sales fell by 2% compared to July. The median price rose $8,000 (+2%) compared to August 2015, with prices rising 16% in Mid-Canterbury, 12% in Timaru and 9% in North Canterbury. Compared to July the median price fell $5,000 (-1%), with prices rising 13% in MidCanterbury, 5% in South Canterbury and 3% in Rangiora and Timaru. REINZ Regional Director, Jim Davis commented that, "Investors have become less active, in light of the new LVR rules coming into force and first home buyers more active over the past month. The expectation is that sales will lift as we move into Spring based on an expected increase in listings." The number of days to sell in August improved by one day compared to July, from 33 days in July to 32 days in August. Compared to August 2015 the number of days to sell eased by two days. Over the past 10 years the number of days to sell in August across the region has averaged 34 days. The level of inventory available for sale is now 19 weeks compared to 22 weeks in August 2015. Graph Commentary The median price trend continues to easing, with the sales volume trend improving to steady. The days to sell trend has moved up to easing. The overall trend for the region continues to ease. Aug-16 $435,750 $417,000 $440,000 $359,000 $332,500 $289,250 $205,000 $420,000 Christchurch Rangiora North Canterbury Mid-Canterbury Timaru South Canterbury West Coast Canterbury/Westland Median Price Jul-16 $437,500 $404,500 $464,500 $317,000 $323,500 $276,500 $257,500 $425,000 Vs… Price Aug-15 $430,000 $431,625 $403,000 $310,000 $296,000 $290,000 $202,500 $412,000 Jul-16 -0.4% 3.1% -5.3% 13.2% 2.8% 4.6% -20.4% -1.2% Christchurch Rangiora North Canterbury Mid-Canterbury Timaru South Canterbury West Coast Canterbury/Westland Volumes Aug-15 1.3% -3.4% 9.2% 15.8% 12.3% -0.3% 1.2% 1.9% Aug-16 567 30 35 56 45 54 37 914 Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold Jul-16 567 28 34 34 55 40 27 900 Aug-15 535 42 34 45 47 42 36 863 Jul-16 0.0% 7.1% 2.9% 64.7% -18.2% 35.0% 37.0% 1.6% Aug-15 6.0% -28.6% 2.9% 24.4% -4.3% 28.6% 2.8% 5.9% Vs… Source: REINZ Canterbury/Westland Median Price Source: REINZ Canterbury/Westland Volumes Dec-15 Jun-15 12 month MA Sep-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Mar-13 Sep-12 Dec-12 Sep-11 Jun-16 Mar-16 Dec-15 Jun-15 12 month MA Sep-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-14 Dec-13 0 Mar-14 $300,000 Jun-13 200 Sep-13 400 $320,000 Mar-13 600 $340,000 Dec-12 $360,000 Jun-12 800 Sep-12 1,000 $380,000 Mar-12 1,200 $400,000 Sep-11 1,400 $420,000 Dec-11 $440,000 Jun-12 Past 5 Years Dec-11 Canterbury/Westland Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Mar-12 Canterbury/Westland Region Median Price Jun-16 Canterbury/Westland Region Trends Mar-16 Commentary REINZ Central Otago Lakes Region Analysis for August 2016 Commentary Price Central Otago Lakes Region Trends Sales volume for the Central Otago Lakes Region rose by 27% compared to August 2015, with sales up 90% in Queenstown but down 10% in Central. Compared to July, sales volume rose 6%, with sales rising 49% in Queenstown but falling 22% in Central. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales fell by 2% in August. The median price across the region rose $187,500 (+41%) compared to August 2015, with prices rising 44% in Queenstown and 24% in Central. Compared to July, the median price fell $10,000 (-2%) with prices rising 8% in Central but falling 13% in Queenstown. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price rose 2% in August. The number of days to sell improved by three days compared to July, from 37 days in July to 34 days in August. Compared to August 2015 the number of days to sell improved by five days. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell in August across the region has been 59 days. The level of inventory now stands at 15 weeks, a drop of 37% over the past year. Aug-16 $530,000 $796,000 $650,000 Central Queenstown Central Otago Lakes Volumes Median Price Jul-16 Aug-15 $490,000 $426,500 $910,000 $553,250 $660,000 $462,500 Vs… Jul-16 8.2% -12.5% -1.5% Central Queenstown Central Otago Lakes Aug-16 61 76 137 Aug-15 24.3% 43.9% 40.5% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold Jul-16 78 51 129 Aug-15 68 40 108 Vs… Jul-16 -21.8% 49.0% 6.2% Aug-15 -10.3% 90.0% 26.9% REINZ Regional Director Gail Hudson commented that, "The numbers active in the market has slowed over the past few weeks as the LVR changes weigh on people's minds. Underlying demand remains solid, as we head into spring." Graph Commentary The median price trend is now rising with the volume trend also continuing to rise. The days to sell trend also rising and the overall trend for the region is now rising. Along with Waikato/Bay of Plenty, Central Otago Lakes is the strongest real estate market at present. Central Otago Lakes Region Median Price Central Otago Lakes Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years Central Otago Lakes Median Price Source: REINZ Central Otago Lakes Volumes Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 12 month MA Sep-15 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-14 Sep-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-16 Mar-16 Dec-15 Jun-15 12 month MA Sep-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-14 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-13 Sep-13 Mar-13 Dec-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 Source: REINZ Dec-11 $375,000 Jun-13 $425,000 Mar-13 $475,000 Sep-12 $525,000 Dec-12 $575,000 Jun-12 $625,000 Mar-12 $675,000 Sep-11 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 $725,000 Dec-11 $775,000 REINZ Otago Region Analysis for August 2016 Commentary Otago Region Trends The median price across Otago rose $12,494 (+5%) compared with August 2015, with prices rising 29% in North Otago, 14% in South Otago and 8% in Dunedin. Compared to July the median price increased by $5,000 (+2%) with prices rising 10% in North Otago, but falling 2% in Dunedin and 10% in South Otago. On a seasonally adjusted basis the median price rose 2% compared to July. Sales across the region rose 15% compared to August 2015 with sales rising 175% in South Otago, 23% in North Otago and flat in Dunedin. Compared to July sales rose 10%, with an increase of 33% in South Otago, 7% in Dunedin and flat in North Otago. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales rose 2% compared to July. Aug-16 $325,000 $250,000 $172,500 $285,000 Dunedin North Otago South Otago Otago Price Median Price Jul-16 $330,000 $226,500 $192,000 $280,000 Vs… The number of days to sell in Otago improved by seven days in August from 29 days in July to 22 days in August. Compared to August 2015 the number of days to sell also improved by seven days. Over the past 10 years the average number of days to sell in Otago in August was 39 days. The number of properties for sale remains very tight, with just over 10 weeks of supply available. Aug-15 $300,000 $194,500 $152,000 $272,506 Jul-16 -1.5% 10.4% -10.2% 1.8% Dunedin North Otago South Otago Otago Volumes Aug-16 192 53 44 295 Aug-15 8.3% 28.5% 13.5% 4.6% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold Jul-16 179 53 33 269 Aug-15 192 43 16 257 Vs… Jul-16 7.3% 0.0% 33.3% 9.7% Aug-15 0.0% 23.3% 175.0% 14.8% REINZ Regional Commentator Liz Nidd commented that, "The very low number of days to sell for August indicates that the market continues to be very tight with just over 10 weeks of supply and continuing demand from first home buyers in particular. Investors have stepped away from the market a bit while they digest the forthcoming changes to the LVR rules." Graph Commentary The trend in the median price remains steady, with the trend in sales volume moving from improving to rising. The trend in days to sell continues to rise, with the overall trend for the region continuing to improve. Otago Region Median Price Otago Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years 12 month MA Source: REINZ Otago Volumes Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-14 12 month MA Mar-15 Jun-14 Sep-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Mar-13 Jun-16 Mar-16 Dec-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-14 Dec-13 Otago Median Price Mar-14 Jun-13 Sep-13 Mar-13 Dec-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 Source: REINZ Dec-11 $220,000 Sep-12 $240,000 Dec-12 $260,000 Jun-12 $280,000 Mar-12 $300,000 Sep-11 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Dec-11 $320,000 REINZ Southland Region Analysis for August 2016 Commentary Southland Region Trends The median price across Southland rose $21,250 (+11%) compared to August 2015, with prices rising 34% in Gore and 10% in Invercargill. Compared to July the median price rose $500 (+0%) with prices rising 1% in Invercargill and 46% in Gore. Sales volumes rose 44% compared to August 2015, with a 29% increase in Gore and a 22% increase in Invercargill. Compared to July sales volumes rose 22% with sales rising 93% in Gore but falling 1% in Invercargill. On a seasonally adjusted basis sales rose 11% compared to July indicating that the increase in sales was larger than normal. The number of days to sell in Southland eased by 11 days in August from 27 days in July to 38 days in August. Compared to August 2015 the number of days to sell improved by two days. Over the past 10 years the number of days to sell in August for the Southland region has been 41 days. The number of properties for sale has fallen by 11 weeks over the past year to just over 18 weeks at the end of August. Aug-16 $209,000 $215,000 $209,000 Invercargill Gore Southland Price Volumes Median Price Jul-16 Aug-15 $207,500 $190,000 $147,250 $161,000 $208,500 $187,750 Vs… Jul-16 0.7% 46.0% 0.2% Invercargill Gore Southland Aug-16 143 27 224 Aug-15 10.0% 33.5% 11.3% Days to Sell Overall Volume Sold Jul-16 144 14 183 Aug-15 117 21 156 Vs… Jul-16 -0.7% 92.9% 22.4% Aug-15 22.2% 28.6% 43.6% REINZ Spokesman, Bryan Thomson commented that, "The Southland market continues to see strong sales volumes with a modest lift in the median price. Overall there are more investors and first home buyers in the market and the level of inventory has declined by 35% over the past year to a historical low. The market remains active and robust." Graph Commentary The median price trend has moved back to steady, with the sales trend also moving from improving to rising. The days to sell trend has also moved from improving to rising, with the overall trend for the region now moving back to improving. Southland Region Median Price Southland Region Sales Volumes Past 5 Years Past 5 Years $250,000 250 200 $225,000 150 $200,000 100 $175,000 50 Source: REINZ 12 month MA Source: REINZ Southland Volumes 12 month MA Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-14 Sep-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Jun-13 Mar-13 Sep-12 Dec-12 Jun-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 Dec-11 Jun-16 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-15 Sep-15 Mar-15 Dec-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-13 Southland Median Price Mar-14 Jun-13 Sep-13 Mar-13 Dec-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Mar-12 Sep-11 0 Dec-11 $150,000