This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone September 5-8, 2016,
among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including landline and cell phone
respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage
points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
*= less than 0.5 percent
(Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the
end.)
RV=Registered voters

LV=Likely voters

1. How closely are you following the 2016 presidential race: very closely, somewhat
closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?

9/8/16
RV
9/8/16
1/24/16
11/19/15

---- Closely ---NET
Very
Smwt
86
48
38
80
42
38
78
35
44
75
30
45

---- Not closely ---NET
Not so
At all
14
8
6
19
10
10
21
13
9
25
13
12

No
opinion
*
*
*
*

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
5/20/12
2/4/12*
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11
10/2/11
9/1/11
7/17/11
6/5/11

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV

99
98
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
95
94
93
92
92
93
92
87
82
79
76
69
65
64
66
61
61

66
67
67
68
67
66
69
69
68
66
62
63
63
64
64
60
54
51
38
37
33
26
24
24
25
18
22

33
31
31
31
32
33
30
30
31
33
33
32
31
28
28
33
38
36
44
43
43
43
41
40
40
43
39

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
5
6
8
8
6
8
13
18
20
24
31
34
36
34
39
38

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
4
5
5
4
6
8
9
12
14
18
17
23
20
23
23

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
5
8
8
10
13
17
13
14
15
15

*
*
*
0
0
0
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

91
90
90
89
89
89
90
91
90
89
89
88
89

64
63
61
60
59
60
59
60
60
59
60
58
57

28
28
29
29
29
30
31
31
30
30
28
30
32

8
9
10
11
11
10
10
9
9
11
11
12
11

5
5
6
7
7
6
6
5
5
6
6
6
6

4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
6
5

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

 10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08
4/13/08
3/2/08
2/1/08
1/12/08
12/9/07
11/1/07
9/30/07
7/21/07
6/1/07
4/15/07
2/25/07

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

90
90
90
92
89
91
89
84
79
75
83
84
84
81
79
72
67
69
70
66
66
65

58
57
57
59
58
55
51
42
36
34
39
37
42
35
32
21
21
21
22
18
20
20

32
34
33
33
31
36
38
42
42
41
44
47
42
46
47
51
46
48
48
48
45
44

10
10
10
8
11
9
10
16
21
25
17
16
15
19
21
28
33
30
30
34
34
35

6
6
6
4
7
5
6
11
12
12
13
11
11
12
15
19
22
21
20
22
20
25

4
4
3
4
5
4
5
5
9
13
5
5
4
7
6
8
12
10
10
13
14
10

*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
1
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04
5/23/04
4/18/04
3/7/04
2/11/04
1/18/04

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

90
90
90
90
90
89
89
90
90
90
90
89
87
88
89
88
87
87
88
88
88
87
88
88
88
88
88
88
87
87
85
81
80
73
78
74
75
75
75
66

58
59
58
58
57
55
55
54
54
54
55
55
54
52
52
53
53
52
52
52
53
52
52
53
53
51
50
49
48
48
45
43
41
34
33
33
30
33
30
22

32
31
32
32
33
34
34
36
36
36
35
34
33
36
37
35
34
35
36
36
35
35
36
35
35
37
38
39
39
39
40
38
39
39
45
41
45
42
45
44

9
9
9
9
9
10
10
10
10
10
11
10
12
11
12
12
12
13
13
11
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
14
20
20
27
22
26
25
25
25
35

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
7
8
7
8
7
7
7
7
8
8
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
8
10
13
13
15
15
17
16
18
15
22

3
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
7
7
12
7
9
9
7
10
13

*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*

 10/29/03
9/13/03

54
56

11/6/00 LV
92
11/5/00 LV
91
11/4/00 LV
91
11/3/00 LV
91
11/2/00 LV
90
11/1/00 LV
91
10/31/00 LV
90
10/30/00 LV
91
10/29/00 LV
90
10/28/00 LV
89
10/27/00 LV
89
10/26/00 LV
89
10/25/00 LV
89
10/24/00 LV
87
10/23/00 LV
89
10/22/00 LV
88
10/21/00 LV
87
10/20/00 LV
86
10/19/00 LV
85
10/18/00 LV
87
10/17/00 LV
86
10/15/00 RV
77
10/9/00 RV
75
10/1/00 RV
75
9/6/00
RV
74
8/20/00 RV
74
8/10/00 RV
72
8/6/00
53
7/29/00
51
7/23/00
50
6/11/00
49
4/2/00
53
3/11/00
61
2/27/00
70
2/6/00
65
1/16/00
50
12/15/99
45
10/31/99
61
7/17/95
36
7/8/92
76
1/27/92
51
10/10/88 RV
77
8/18/88 RV
68
8/15/88 RV
70
5/25/88
76
9/23/87
50
6/1/87
50
*2/4/12 and previous

15
16

39
40

45
44

30
27

15
17

0
*

54
38
8
6
2
*
53
38
8
6
2
*
52
39
9
7
2
*
51
40
9
6
3
*
48
42
10
7
3
*
48
43
9
7
2
*
46
44
9
7
2
*
47
44
9
7
2
*
47
43
10
7
3
*
47
42
10
7
3
*
48
41
11
7
4
*
47
42
11
8
3
*
47
42
11
8
3
0
44
43
13
10
3
0
44
45
11
8
3
0
44
44
12
9
3
0
46
41
13
9
4
*
46
40
15
11
4
*
44
41
14
10
4
*
42
45
13
10
3
*
40
46
13
10
3
*
33
44
23
15
8
*
30
45
25
16
9
*
27
48
25
17
8
*
26
48
26
17
9
*
28
46
26
16
10
1
29
43
29
18
11
*
17
36
47
22
25
*
16
35
49
25
24
*
14
36
50
25
25
*
13
36
51
26
25
0
17
36
47
24
23
0
21
40
38
21
17
0
24
46
30
20
10
*
19
48
34
21
13
0
11
39
50
26
24
*
12
33
55
31
24
*
16
45
38
25
13
*
7
29
63
33
31
*
28
48
24
16
8
*
14
37
48
25
23
1
31
46
23
17
6
26
42
31
20
11
0
27
43
31
19
12
0
25
51
25
19
6
*
9
41
49
31
18
*
11
39
49
32
17
*
"not too closely" instead of "not so closely"

2. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in
November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances
50-50, or less than that?

9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16

RV
RV
RV

Certain
to vote
81
81
79

Probably
vote
8
8
10

Chances
50/50
6
6
5

Less than
that
5
4
3

Don't think
will vote
(vol.)
1
1
1

Already
voted
(vol.)
NA
NA
NA

No
op.
*
*
1

 6/23/16
5/19/16

RV
RV

79
80

8
9

7
5

4
3

2
2

NA
NA

*
*

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
68
70
72
73
75
76
77
79
79
79
79
80
82
84
85
84
83
81
81

5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
6
6
7
6
5
6
7
7
7
8
9

4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
6
6
4
4
7
6
6
8

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
4
3
2

1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
*

20
19
18
16
16
13
12
11
9
8
6
6
5
4
4
1
0
NA
"

*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
3/2/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
69
71
73
74
76
77
76
78
78
79
80
81
82
81
83
87
87
89
85
84
79
71
78

4
4
5
5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
5
6
6
7
10
10
9
9

3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
5
4
5
4
7
8
7

2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
7
4

1
1
*
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
2
4
2

22
20
19
16
15
13
11
11
10
10
8
6
5
4
4
4
2
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
0
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

76
78
79
80
81
81
81
82
82
82
82
83
83
84

6
6
5
5
5
5
6
7
7
7
7
6
6
7

3
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
5
4
5
5

1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2

1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
*

12
11
11
10
8
8
7
6
6
5
4
4
3
2

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

 10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
10/29/03

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

84
86
87
87
86
87
88
90
90
90
89
87
87
87
87
87
87
84
85
85
70

7
6
6
6
7
7
7
6
6
5
6
7
7
8
8
8
7
10
9
7
12

5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
3
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
5
11

2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
6

*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
1

10/15/00
10/9/00
10/1/00
9/6/00
8/20/00
8/10/00
8/6/00
7/29/00
7/23/00
6/11/00
5/10/00
4/2/00
3/11/00
2/27/00
2/6/00
1/16/00
12/15/99
10/31/99

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

82
81
81
78
78
79
64
61
59
60
63
62
63
69
67
65
64
72

10
10
10
12
13
12
12
15
17
13
15
14
14
12
12
14
13
11

6
6
5
5
6
6
11
9
10
11
10
9
9
10
10
10
8
10

2
2
3
3
3
1
8
11
11
10
8
9
9
4
8
6
9
5

1
*
1
1
1
1
5
3
4
4
4
5
4
5
3
4
6
3

2
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
NA

"

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
*

3. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were
[(Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats), (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the
Republicans)], [(Gary Johnson and Bill Weld of the Libertarian Party) and (Jill Stein
and Ajamu Baraka of the Green Party)], for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward
[(Clinton and Kaine), (Trump and Pence)], [(Johnson and Weld) or (Stein and Baraka)]?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – GEN POP
None
Would
Hillary
Donald
Gary
Jill
Other
of these
not vote
No
Clinton
Trump
Johnson
Stein
(vol.)
(vol.)
(vol.)
opinion
9/8/16
46
33
10
4
1
3
1
1
8/4/16
47
34
8
4
1
3
2
2
7/14/16*
45
35
8
5
1
3
1
3
6/23/16
47
34
7
4
1
4
1
3
*7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat”, “Donald Trump, the Republican”,
“Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party” and “Jill Stein of the Green Party”.
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS
Hillary
Clinton

Donald
Trump

Gary
Johnson

Jill
Stein

Other
(vol.)

None
of these
(vol.)

Would
not vote
(vol.)

No
opinion

 9/8/16 LV
46
41
9
2
1
1
1
9/8/16
45
35
11
3
1
3
1
1
8/4/16
45
37
8
4
1
2
2
2
7/14/16*
42
38
8
5
1
2
1
3
6/23/16
47
37
7
3
1
3
*
3
*7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat”, “Donald Trump, the Republican”,
“Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party” and “Jill Stein of the Green Party”.
4. (ASK IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE) or is there
a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND)
Would you say (there's a good chance) you'll change your mind, or would you say (it's
pretty unlikely)?
Definitely
vote for
9/8/16
74
9/8/16 RV
75

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely
25
10
14
24
9
15

No
opinion
1
*

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely
20
7
12
20
6
14

No
opinion
1
1

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely
18
6
13
17
5
12

No
opinion
1
0

Clinton:
Definitely
vote for
9/8/16
79
9/8/16 RV
79
Trump:
Definitely
vote for
9/8/16
81
9/8/16 RV
83
Compare to:

10/13/12*LV
9/29/12 RV
9/9/12
RV
8/25/12 RV
7/8/12** RV
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV

Definitely
vote for
90
86
85
83
79
94
94
94
93
93
92
91
91
91
91
91
91
90
89
89
88
88
82
83
79

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely
9
2
7
13
3
10
13
4
8
15
6
9
19
6
13
5
5
6
7
7
7
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
10
10
10
11
17
16
20

2
2
2
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
5
4
5
4
8
8
8

3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
6
6
5
5
5
5
6
6
7
9
8
12

No
opinion
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

 8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08

RV
RV
RV
RV

73
72
72
69

24
25
26
28

11
10
11
15

13
15
16
14

3
3
2
3

10/31/04 LV
94
5
2
3
1
10/30/04 LV
93
6
2
4
1
10/29/04 LV
93
7
2
4
1
10/28/04 LV
92
7
3
5
*
10/27/04 LV
92
7
3
5
*
10/26/04 LV
91
8
3
6
1
10/25/04 LV
92
8
2
5
1
10/24/04 LV
91
8
3
5
1
10/23/04 LV
91
9
3
6
1
10/22/04 LV
91
8
3
5
1
10/21/04 LV
91
8
3
5
1
10/20/04 LV
91
8
3
5
1
10/19/04 LV
91
8
3
5
1
10/18/04 LV
90
9
3
6
1
10/17/04 LV
90
9
3
6
1
10/16/04 LV
89
10
5
6
1
10/15/04 LV
89
11
4
6
1
10/14/04 LV
88
12
4
7
1
10/13/04 LV
87
12
5
7
1
10/12/04 LV
86
13
5
7
1
10/11/04 LV
86
13
6
7
1
10/10/04 LV
86
13
6
7
1
10/9/04 LV
87
12
5
7
1
10/8/04 LV
88
11
4
7
1
10/7/04 LV
90
10
4
6
1
10/6/04 LV
88
11
4
7
1
10/5/04 LV
87
13
5
7
1
10/4/04 LV
86
14
6
8
1
10/3/04 LV
86
12
6
7
1
9/26/04 RV
82
16
4
12
2
9/8/04
RV
84
14
6
8
2
8/29/04 RV
81
18
7
11
1
8/1/04
RV
80
19
7
12
1
7/25/04 RV
78
20
7
13
2
7/11/04 RV
79
21
7
13
1
6/20/04 RV
73
26
12
14
*
*8/25/12 to 10/13/12: Will you definitely vote for (OBAMA/ROMNEY), or is there a
chance you could change your mind and vote for (CANDIDATE NOT NAMED)?
**7/8/12 and prior: "Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there a
chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else?"
2012 election:
Definitely
vote for

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely

No
opinion

Obama:
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV

89
84
86
84
81

10
15
11
14
17

1
5
4
6
4

9
10
7
8
13

1
1
3
2
2

Romney:
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV

91
88
85
82
77

7
12
14
16
21

2
1
5
5
8

6
10
9
10
13

1
1
*
3
2

 2008 election:
Definitely
vote for

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely

No
opinion

Obama:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

95
94
95
94
94
94
92
92
92
93
92
91
90
89
90
91
90
83
85
78
74
72
71
71

5
5
5
6
6
6
7
7
8
7
7
8
8
9
9
9
9
16
14
21
23
23
26
25

2
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
3
3
3
4
3
4
3
3
3
7
8
9
7
9
7
13

3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
5
6
6
5
6
9
7
12
15
14
19
13

*
1
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
5
3
4

McCain:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

94
93
93
91
91
90
89
90
89
88
89
90
90
89
89
86
86
81
81
80
72
71
72
66

5
6
7
8
8
9
10
10
11
11
10
10
9
11
11
12
14
18
18
19
25
28
27
32

3
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
5
5
6
4
9
9
8
14
12
14
17

3
3
3
4
5
5
6
6
7
8
6
5
5
5
5
6
9
9
9
11
11
17
12
15

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
2
2
2
1
1
2

2004 election:
Definitely
vote for
Kerry:
10/31/04 LV

93

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely
6

2

3

No
opinion
1

 10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
7/11/04
6/20/04

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

93
94
94
94
93
92
92
91
92
93
94
94
90
89
86
88
88
87
86
85
86
88
88
90
88
87
86
86
84
81
81
83
80
80
74

6
5
6
5
7
7
8
9
8
7
5
6
10
11
13
11
11
12
13
14
13
12
11
9
11
12
13
13
15
16
18
16
18
19
26

2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
3
4
6
5
5
4
5
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
4
5
3
6
6
5
5
7
12

4
3
3
3
4
5
6
7
6
5
4
4
7
7
7
6
7
8
8
8
7
6
6
5
7
8
9
8
13
10
12
11
13
13
13

1
1
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
2
1
3
1
1
2
1
1

G.W. Bush:
10/31/04 LV
10/30/04 LV
10/29/04 LV
10/28/04 LV
10/27/04 LV
10/26/04 LV
10/25/04 LV
10/24/04 LV
10/23/04 LV
10/22/04 LV
10/21/04 LV
10/20/04 LV
10/19/04 LV
10/18/04 LV
10/17/04 LV
10/16/04 LV
10/15/04 LV
10/14/04 LV
10/13/04 LV
10/12/04 LV
10/11/04 LV
10/10/04 LV
10/9/04 LV
10/8/04 LV
10/7/04 LV
10/6/04 LV

95
94
92
91
91
90
92
93
92
92
91
90
91
91
92
92
91
89
89
88
88
88
88
89
89
88

5
6
7
9
9
9
7
6
7
7
8
9
9
8
7
8
9
10
11
11
11
12
11
10
10
11

2
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
4
4
3
2
3
3
3
4
5
5
5
5
3
3
4

3
4
5
6
7
7
5
4
5
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
6
7
7
6
5
6
6
7
7
7

1
*
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

 10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
7/11/04
6/20/04

LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

87
87
88
83
88
82
79
80
78
80

12
12
11
15
11
16
20
19
22
20

5
6
5
5
5
7
7
7
8
8

7
6
6
10
6
10
13
12
14
12

1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
*
*

2000 election:
Definitely
vote for
Gore:
11/6/00
11/5/00
11/4/00
11/3/00
11/2/00
11/1/00
10/31/00
10/30/00
10/29/00
10/28/00
10/27/00
10/26/00
10/25/00
10/24/00
10/23/00
10/22/00
10/21/00
10/20/00
10/19/00
10/18/00
10/17/00
10/15/00
10/9/00
10/1/00
9/6/00
8/20/00
8/6/00
7/23/00

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

G.W. Bush:
11/6/00 LV
11/5/00 LV
11/4/00 LV
11/3/00 LV
11/2/00 LV
11/1/00 LV
10/31/00 LV
10/30/00 LV
10/29/00 LV
10/28/00 LV
10/27/00 LV
10/26/00 LV
10/25/00 LV
10/24/00 LV
10/23/00 LV
10/22/00 LV
10/21/00 LV

92
91
90
88
84
83
83
88
88
88
85
85
84
83
83
80
80
78
80
80
80
75
71
68
69
71
65
58
92
91
89
88
88
90
89
87
87
86
88
86
86
85
85
86
87

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely

23
25
31
29
27
32
41

No
opinion

3
4
4
5
7
7
6
4
5
5
6
6
7
7
7
7
8
10
8
8
8
10
10
15
11
9
14
15

4
5
6
6
9
9
11
8
7
6
8
8
8
8
9
11
10
11
9
9
9
13
15
15
18
18
18
26

1
*
*
1
1
1
1
0
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
3
3
4
2
2
2
3
2

3
3
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
5
4
5
6
5
5

4
4
5
6
6
5
4
7
6
7
6
8
9
10
8
8
7

1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1

 10/20/00
10/19/00
10/18/00
10/17/00
10/15/00
10/9/00
10/1/00
9/6/00
8/20/00
8/6/00
7/23/00

LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

86
85
84
83
76
72
71
70
68
68
63

4
6
6
8
12
11
14
13
12
14
14

24
25
27
29
31
30
35

9
9
9
8
12
14
13
16
20
16
22

1
1
1
0
1
3
2
1
1
1
2

1992 election:
Compare to: Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE) in November, or is there at
least a chance you'll change your mind before then?
Definitely
vote for

Chance
change mind

No
opinion

Clinton:
10/27/92 LV
10/4/92 LV
9/27/92 LV

82
75
76

17
25
24

1
0
0

G.H.W. Bush:
10/27/92 LV
10/4/92 LV
9/27/92 LV

81
73
67

18
26
33

1
0
0

Definitely
vote for

Chance
change mind

No
opinion

85
82
75
78
77
74
71
75

14
16
22
21
22
25
26
24

0
2
4
1
1
1
3
1

81
80
80
78
75
68
67
68

18
18
18
21
23
30
31
31

0
1
2
1
1
2
2
1

1988 election:

Dukakis:
10/31/88
10/25/88
10/18/88
10/12/88
10/9/88
10/4/88
9/27/88
9/19/88

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV

G.H.W. Bush:
10/31/88
10/25/88
10/18/88
10/12/88
10/9/88
10/4/88
9/27/88
9/19/88

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV

5. (IF NOT CLINTON OR TRUMP) If the only candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim
Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom
would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or toward (Trump and
Pence)?*
3/5 NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – TOTAL GEN POP
Clinton

Trump

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

Would not
vote (vol.)

No
opinion

 9/8/16

53

38

*

4

3

1

Would not
vote (vol.)
1
3

No
opinion
1
2

3/5 NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – TOTAL REG VOTERS
Clinton
9/8/16 LV 51
9/8/16
51

Trump
43
40

Other
(vol.)
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
3
4

*Results based on total sample. Respondents who named Clinton or Trump in Q3 assigned
to initial preference.
Compare to:
If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Hillary
Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the
Republicans), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or
toward (Trump and Pence)?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – GEN POP
Other
Neither
Would not
No
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
(vol.)
vote (vol.)
opinion
8/4/16
53
39
1
5
1
1
7/14/16*
50
40
2
6
1
2
6/23/16
51
37
2
7
2
1
5/19/16
48
42
2
5
3
1
3/6/16
54
36
1
3
4
*
12/13/15
53
40
1
3
3
1
9/10/15
51
39
1
5
4
1
*7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat” and “Donald Trump, the
Republican”.
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS
Other
Neither
Would not
No
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
(vol.)
vote (vol.)
opinion
8/4/16
50
42
1
4
1
1
7/14/16*
47
43
2
6
*
2
6/23/16
51
39
2
6
1
1
5/19/16
44
46
2
5
2
1
3/6/16
50
41
1
3
5
1
12/13/15
50
44
1
3
2
1
9/10/15
46
43
1
6
4
1
*7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat” and “Donald Trump, the
Republican”.
6. (IF NAMED CLINTON OR TRUMP) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about
supporting (Clinton/Trump), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not
enthusiastic at all?
--- Enthusiastic ---NET
Very
Somewhat

--- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not so
Not at all

Clinton:
9/8/16
9/8/16 RV

78
79

32
33

46
46

21
21

12
12

9
8

1
1

Trump:
9/8/16
9/8/16 RV

81
83

43
46

39
37

18
17

13
11

6
6

*
*

2012 election:

No
opinion

 --- Enthusiastic ---NET
Very
Somewhat

--- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not so
Not at all

No
opinion

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

95
95
95
95
95
96
97
95
95
94
94
96
95
96
96
94
91
93
88
91
93

69
69
69
66
64
64
65
66
64
61
59
60
60
62
64
55
51
56
48
51
51

27
26
27
30
31
32
32
30
31
33
35
35
35
34
32
40
40
38
39
40
41

4
5
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
5
9
7
11
8
7

2
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
7
3
7
5
4

2
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
3
4

1
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
1
0
0
1
1
0

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

93
94
94
95
94
95
95
94
95
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
92
87
87
83
85
75

61
62
63
62
62
61
61
61
59
59
58
60
62
62
58
62
59
48
46
42
38
26

32
32
31
33
32
35
34
33
36
35
35
33
31
32
35
31
33
39
40
41
47
48

6
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
5
6
7
7
6
6
6
7
8
13
13
17
15
25

4
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
3
5
5
5
5
4
5
4
5
6
7
12
11
15

2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
7
6
4
4
9

*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1

Obama:
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12

Romney:
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12

Compare to: Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are
you about [NAME] - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or
not enthusiastic at all?
2008 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly
Obama:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08

LV
LV
LV
LV

97
96
96
96

68
67
67
68

29
29
29
29

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all
2
4
4
4

1
2
3
2

1
1
1
1

No
opinion
*
*
*
0

 10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
6/15/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

96
96
96
96
96
97
97
95
94
95
95
96
96
95
94
96
95
91

68
68
65
65
66
68
71
70
67
64
65
64
66
61
62
64
52
52

28
28
31
31
30
29
26
25
28
31
31
32
30
34
32
32
43
39

4
3
3
3
3
3
3
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
6
4
5
9

3
2
2
3
2
3
3
4
5
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
2
7

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
3
2

*
1
1
1
1
*
0
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
*
*

McCain:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
6/15/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

88
90
89
88
87
86
85
83
87
86
88
89
88
88
88
87
87
90
89
92
86
74

41
41
41
41
39
39
37
35
36
38
39
39
40
37
38
40
31
38
34
46
28
19

47
48
47
46
47
47
48
49
51
48
49
50
48
51
50
47
57
52
55
46
58
55

11
10
11
12
13
13
15
16
13
14
11
10
12
11
12
13
13
10
10
8
13
25

9
8
8
9
9
10
12
13
11
11
9
8
10
10
11
11
10
7
8
6
11
19

2
2
2
3
4
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
6

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
0
*
1
0
1
1

2004 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly
Kerry:
10/26/04
10/23/04
10/17/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all

No
opinion

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

92
91
94
91
85
87
85
89
92
90
85

46
50
45
50
42
39
39
40
56
41
34

47
41
49
42
43
47
46
49
36
49
51

7
9
6
8
13
12
14
11
7
10
15

6
7
5
8
10
9
10
9
6
9
12

1
1
1
*
4
3
4
2
1
1
3

1
1
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
0
0

G.W. Bush:
10/26/04 LV
10/23/04 LV

91
93

55
60

36
33

9
7

8
6

1
1

*
*

 10/17/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04

LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

93
94
94
91
95
94
90
90
90

59
57
65
61
63
56
53
49
50

35
37
29
31
32
38
37
41
40

6
6
5
8
5
6
10
10
9

6
4
4
6
4
5
8
8
7

1
1
1
2
*
1
2
1
2

1
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*

2000 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly
Gore:
4/2/00
2/27/00*
3/14/99

45
43
39

17
17
12

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all

28
26
27

55
56
59

G.W. Bush:
4/2/00
50
20
29
50
2/27/00*
50
18
32
50
3/14/99
55
17
38
42
*2/27/00 and previous "possible candidacy"

No
opinion

23
23
24

32
33
35

*
1
1

24
19
21

26
30
21

*
1
3

7. Regardless of whom you support, who do you expect to win the election for
president?
Other
No
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
opinion
9/8/16
58
29
1
12
5/19/16*
50
40
1
9
3/6/16
59
36
1
4
1/24/16
54
42
1
3
*5/19/16 and prior “Regardless of whom you support, if (Clinton) and (Trump) are the
nominees for president, who would you expect to win, (Clinton) or (Trump)?”
8a. (IF NAMED CLINTON) Do you think (she will win easily), or do you think (it will be
close)?

9/8/16

Will win
easily
31

Will be
close
66

No
opinion
3

8b. (IF NAMED TRUMP) Do you think (he will win easily), or do you think (it will be
close)?

9/8/16

Will win
easily
21

Will be
close
77

No
opinion
2

7/8a/8b NET:

9/8/16

-- Expect Clinton will win -NET
Easily
Close
No op.
58
18
39
2

--- Expect Trump will win --NET
Close
Easily
No op.
29
22
6
1

Other/
No op.
13

 9. (IF NOT SUPPORT CLINTON) If Clinton is elected, do you think (the country would get
through her presidency OK), or do you think (she’d do real damage to the country)?

9/8/16

Get
through OK
33

Do real
damage
62

No
opinion
5

10. (IF NOT SUPPORT TRUMP) If Trump is elected, do you think (the country would get
through his presidency OK), or do you think (he’d do real damage to the country?)

9/8/16

Get
through OK
21

Do real
damage
75

No
opinion
4

On another topic,
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as
president?

9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16
3/6/16
1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
10/18/15
9/10/15
7/19/15
5/31/15
3/29/15
1/15/15
12/14/14
10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
6/1/14
4/27/14
3/2/14
1/23/14
12/15/13
11/17/13
10/20/13
9/15/13
7/21/13
5/19/13
4/14/13
3/10/13
1/13/13
12/16/12
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

-------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
58
34
24
55
34
22
56
33
24
56
34
21
51
30
21
51
31
20
50
31
18
45
24
22
46
24
22
51
28
23
49
27
22
45
26
20
45
22
23
47
26
21
50
24
26
41
21
20
43
21
22
40
20
20
42
24
18
46
23
23
41
23
19
46
25
22
46
23
23
43
23
20
42
22
21
48
28
20
47
25
22
49
25
24
51
32
20
50
27
23
50
29
21
55
32
23
54
33
21
52
33
10
51
33
10
51
32
11
50
31
11
50
30
11
50
28
12
50
28
11
51
28
11

------- Disapprove -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
40
9
30
42
10
32
42
9
33
41
8
33
46
11
35
43
11
33
46
11
36
51
12
39
50
10
40
45
10
35
46
9
37
50
13
37
49
11
38
47
11
36
44
9
35
54
13
41
51
12
39
51
12
39
51
12
39
51
14
37
52
12
40
50
12
38
50
9
41
55
14
41
55
11
44
49
10
39
47
11
37
44
12
32
44
10
33
45
10
35
46
11
36
41
8
33
42
9
32
46
10
36
47
10
37
47
11
36
48
11
37
48
11
37
48
12
37
48
11
36
46
11
36

No
opinion
3
3
2
3
3
6
4
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
6
5
6
8
6
3
6
3
4
3
3
3
6
7
5
5
4
4
5
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3

 10/27/12 RV
50
28
11
10/26/12 RV
51
29
10
10/25/12 RV
50
29
9
10/24/12 RV
50
29
10
10/23/12 RV
50
29
21
10/22/12 RV
50
30
20
10/21/12 RV
51
31
20
10/13/12
50
30
21
9/29/12
50
26
24
9/9/12
49
29
20
8/25/12
50
27
23
7/8/12
47
24
24
5/20/12
47
26
21
4/8/12
50
30
20
3/10/12
46
28
18
2/4/12
50
29
22
1/15/12
48
25
23
12/18/11
49
25
24
11/3/11
44
22
22
10/2/11
42
21
21
9/1/11
43
21
22
8/9/11*
44
18
26
7/17/11
47
25
22
6/5/11
47
27
20
5/2/11**
56
29
27
4/17/11
47
27
21
3/13/11
51
27
24
1/16/11
54
30
23
12/12/10
49
24
25
10/28/10
50
27
23
10/3/10
50
26
24
9/2/10
46
24
22
7/11/10
50
28
22
6/6/10
52
30
22
4/25/10
54
31
23
3/26/10
53
34
20
2/8/10
51
29
22
1/15/10
53
30
24
12/13/09
50
31
18
11/15/09
56
32
23
10/18/09
57
33
23
9/12/09
54
35
19
8/17/09
57
35
21
7/18/09
59
38
22
6/21/09
65
36
29
4/24/09
69
42
27
3/29/09
66
40
26
2/22/09
68
43
25
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

46
46
47
48
47
47
47
44
46
45
46
49
49
45
50
46
48
47
53
54
53
46
48
49
38
50
45
43
47
45
47
52
47
45
44
43
46
44
46
42
40
43
40
37
31
26
29
25

11
10
9
10
9
10
10
10
12
11
13
15
13
10
11
11
11
13
15
14
16
9
14
13
14
12
12
15
15
11
13
14
12
12
11
8
12
13
13
13
11
12
11
9
10
8
9
8

36
36
37
38
37
38
37
34
34
35
33
34
36
35
39
36
37
34
37
40
38
37
35
37
24
37
33
28
32
34
34
38
35
33
33
35
33
32
33
29
29
31
29
28
22
18
20
17

3
3
3
3
3
3
2
6
4
6
4
4
3
6
4
3
4
4
3
4
3
10
5
4
6
3
4
3
4
5
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
2
4
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
5
7

12. (IF DISAPPROVE) Do you think (the country is getting through Obama’s presidency
OK), or do you think (Obama has done real damage to the country)?

9/8/16

Get
through OK
19

Back to the election,

Do real
damage
79

No
opinion
1

 13. Which of these is the single most important issue in your choice for president? Is
it (the economy and jobs), (immigration issues), (terrorism and national security),
(law and order) or (corruption in government)?
The economy and jobs*
Terrorism and national security**
Corruption in government

9/8/16
35
19
16

12/13/15
33
26
NA

Immigration issues
8
Law and order
6
Health care
NA
Tax policy
NA
Other (vol.)
2
Any 2 or more (vol.)
11
None (vol.)
2
No opinion
*
*12/13/15 and prior “the economy”
**12/13/15 and prior “the threat of terrorism”

8
NA
13
3
2
14
1
1

11/19/15
33
28
NA
10
NA
13
5
1
9
1
1

14. Do you think Hillary Clinton [ITEM], or not?
9/8/16 – Summary Table
a. is qualified to serve as president
b. is honest and trustworthy

Yes
60
35

No
39
61

No opinion
1
4

Trend:
a. is qualified to serve as president
------- Qualified ----------- Not qualified ----No
NET
Strongly
Somewhat
NET
Somewhat
Strongly
opinion
9/8/16
60
NA
NA
39
NA
NA
1
8/4/16*
60
42
19
38
4
34
2
7/14/16
59
38
21
39
5
35
2
6/23/16
61
40
22
37
4
33
1
5/19/16
63
NA
NA
36
NA
NA
2
*8/4/16 and previous: Regardless of whether or not you’d vote for her, do you think
Hillary Clinton is or is not qualified to serve as president? Do you feel that way
strongly or somewhat?
b. is honest and trustworthy
9/8/16
8/4/16
3/6/16
9/10/15
5/31/15
3/29/15
6/1/14
4/13/08
5/15/06

Yes
35
38
37
39
41
46
53
39
52

No
61
59
59
56
52
46
42
58
42

No opinion
4
3
4
5
7
7
5
3
6

15. Do you think Donald Trump [ITEM], or not?
9/8/16 – Summary Table
Yes

No

No opinion

 a. is qualified to serve as president
b. is honest and trustworthy

36
31

62
64

2
4

a. is qualified to serve as president
------- Qualified ----------- Not qualified ----No
NET
Strongly
Somewhat
NET
Somewhat
Strongly
opinion
9/8/16
36
NA
NA
62
NA
NA
2
8/4/16
38
20
18
61
8
52
2
7/14/16
37
18
19
60
9
51
3
6/23/16
34
18
16
64
8
56
2
5/19/16
39
NA
NA
58
NA
NA
3
9/10/15
37
NA
NA
60
NA
NA
2
*8/4/16 and previous: Regardless of whether or not you’d vote for him, do you think
Donald Trump is or is not qualified to serve as president? Do you feel that way
strongly or somewhat?
b. is honest and trustworthy
9/8/16
8/4/16
3/6/16
9/10/15

Yes
31
34
27
35

No
64
62
69
59

No opinion
4
4
4
6

16. Who do you think [ITEM] - (Clinton) or (Trump)?
9/8/16 - Summary Table

a. is more honest and trustworthy
b. better understands the problems of
people like you
c. has a better personality and temperament
to serve effectively as president
d. is closer to you on the issues

Neither
(vol.)

No
op.

1

10

2

35

*

11

2

30
39

1
1

7
7

1
2

Clinton

Trump

46

41

51
61
52

Both
(vol.)

Trend:
a. is more honest and trustworthy

9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16

Clinton
46
49
39
42

Trump
41
40
39
40

Both
(vol.)
1
*
1
1

Neither
(vol.)
10
10
18
16

No
opinion
2
1
2
1

b. better understands the problems of people like you

9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16

Clinton
51
55
48
47

Trump
35
35
35
36

Both
(vol.)
*
*
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
11
9
14
15

No
opinion
2
1
2
2

c. has a better personality and temperament to serve effectively as president
Both

Neither

No

 9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16

Clinton
61
62
59
61
61

Trump
30
30
28
28
31

(vol.)
1
1
1
1
1

(vol.)
7
6
11
8
6

opinion
2
1
2
3
1

d. No trend
17. Who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] – (Clinton) or (Trump)? And who do you
trust more to handle [NEXT ITEM]?
9/8/16 – Summary Table
Both
Neither
No
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
(vol.)
opinion
a. The economy
51
42
1
5
1
b. Terrorism
50
41
1
7
2
c. Immigration issues
51
42
*
5
1
d. Taxes
54
39
*
5
2
e. International trade agreements
59
34
*
5
1
*Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b-c; other half asked items d-e.
Trend:
a. The economy

9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16
3/6/16

Clinton
51
48
45
47
49

Trump
42
46
45
46
45

Both
(vol.)
1
1
*
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
5
3
8
6
5

No
opinion
1
1
1
1
1

Both
(vol.)
1
*
*
1
*
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
7
4
8
8
7
4
6

No
opinion
2
4
1
2
2
2
1

b. Terrorism
Clinton
Trump
9/8/16
50
41
8/4/16
48
43
7/14/16
47
43
6/23/16
50
39
5/19/16
47
44
3/6/16
54
40
11/19/15*
50
42
*"threat of terrorism"
c. Immigration issues

9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16
3/6/16

Clinton
51
53
57
51
56

Trump
42
40
36
42
37

Both
(vol.)
*
1
0
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
5
5
6
4
4

No
opinion
1
1
1
2
2

Clinton
54

Trump
39

Both
(vol.)
*

Neither
(vol.)
5

No
opinion
2

d. Taxes

9/8/16

 8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16

51
46
42

41
43
47

1
*
1

4
8
7

3
3
3

Neither
(vol.)
5
2
6

No
opinion
1
1
2

e. International trade agreements

9/8/16
8/4/16
5/19/16

Clinton
59
54
47

Trump
34
40
44

Both
(vol.)
*
3
1

18. Do you think Clinton has been consistent or inconsistent about the policies she
would pursue as president? (IF INCONSISTENT) Does that make you think less of her, or
not?

9/8/16

Has been
consistent
53

----- Inconsistent -----Think
Not think
NET
less
less
40
31
10

No
opinion
7

19. Do you think Trump has been consistent or inconsistent about the policies he would
pursue as president? (IF INCONSISTENT) Does that make you think less of him, or not?

9/8/16

Has been
consistent
31

----- Inconsistent -----Think
Not think
NET
less
less
64
46
18

No
opinion
5

20. Do you think Clinton is or is not too willing to bend the rules? Do you feel that
way strongly or somewhat?

9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16

----- Is too willing ---NET
Strongly
Somewhat
69
43
26
66
43
23
72
48
24

--- Is not too willing -NET
Somewhat
Strongly
24
13
11
26
13
13
21
10
11

No
opinion
7
8
7

21. Do you think Trump is or is not biased against women and minorities? Do you feel
that way strongly or somewhat?

9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16

------- Is biased ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
60
48
12
60
46
14
56
44
13

------ Is not biased ---NET
Somewhat
Strongly
36
10
26
36
11
25
39
12
27

No
opinion
4
4
5

22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Clinton is handling questions about
her use of personal e-mail while she was secretary of state? Do you feel that way
strongly or somewhat?

9/8/16
6/23/16
10/18/15
9/10/15
5/31/15

-------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
32
17
16
34
18
16
36
NA
NA
34
31
"
"

------ Disapprove ------NET
Somewhat
Strongly
62
14
48
56
12
44
57
NA
NA
55
55
"
"

No
opinion
5
9
7
11
14

 23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Trump has been explaining his policy on
how to handle undocumented immigrants? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

9/8/16

-------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
30
18
12

------ Disapprove ------NET
Somewhat
Strongly
65
14
51

No
opinion
5

24a. If she’s elected, how concerned are you about possible conflicts between
Clinton’s work as president and the Clinton Foundation? Would you say you are very
concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned or not concerned at all?

9/8/16

--- More concerned -NET
Very
Somewhat
57
33
23

---- Less concerned ----NET
Not so
Not at all
41
18
24

No
opinion
2

24b. If he’s elected, how concerned are you about possible conflicts between Trump’s
work as president and his business interests? Would you say you are very concerned,
somewhat concerned, not so concerned or not concerned at all?

9/8/16

--- More concerned -NET
Very
Somewhat
60
40
20

---- Less concerned ----NET
Not so
Not at all
38
16
23

No
opinion
1

25. When she was serving as Secretary of State, do you think Clinton did special
favors for donors to the Clinton Foundation, or not?

9/8/16

Did
favors
59

Did not
do favors
30

No
opinion
11

26. (IF SAY CLINTON DID SPECIAL FAVORS) Do you think it was appropriate or
inappropriate for her to do this?
9/8/16

Appropriate
9

Inappropriate
90

No opinion
1

25/26 NET:

9/8/16

----------------- Did favors ----------------NET
Appropriate
Inappropriate
No opinion
59
5
52
1

Did not
do favors
30

No
opinion
11

Changing topics,
27. Overall, do you think immigrants from other countries mainly strengthen or mainly
weaken American society?

9/8/16
1/24/16
7/19/15

----- Strengthen -----NET Strongly Somewhat
64
44
20
55
34
21
57
34
23

------- Weaken -------NET Somewhat Strongly
24
8
16
35
14
21
33
12
21

Neither
(vol.)
1
3
1

Depends
(vol.)
7
5
5

No
op.
5
3
4

28. Which of these do you prefer: (Creating a path to citizenship for undocumented
immigrants who pass background checks); or (deporting all undocumented immigrants)?

 9/8/16

Creating a path
to citizenship
79

Deporting all
undocumented immigrants
15

Other
(vol.)
2

No
opinion
4

29a. Do you support or oppose building a wall across the entire U.S. border with
Mexico? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

9/8/16

-------- Support -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
34
24
10

-------- Oppose --------NET
Somewhat
Strongly
63
11
52

No
opinion
3

29b. Trump says he would get Mexico to pay for this wall. If elected, do you think he
could do that, or not?
9/8/16

Could
21

Could not
76

No opinion
4

On another subject,
30. How confident are you that the votes for president across the country will be
accurately counted this year: very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident or
not confident at all?
--- More confident -NET
Very
Somewhat
9/8/16
63
27
36
12/19/04*
71
43
28
10/27/04 LV
70
25
46
*“were accurately counted”

----- Less confident ----NET
Not too
Not at all
35
18
18
29
16
13
28
20
8

No
opinion
1
0
1

31. Thinking about voter fraud – like the same person voting multiple times or someone
voting who is not eligible – do you think this happens very often, somewhat often,
occasionally or rarely?

9/8/16

------- Often ------NET
Very
Somewhat
46
20
26

-------- Not often -------NET
Occasionally
Rarely
50
24
26

Never
(vol.)
1

No
opinion
3

On another subject,
32. Do you think the United States is (less great) than it’s been in the past, is
(greater) than it’s been in the past, or about the same?

9/8/16

Less
great
45

Greater
16

About
the same
37

No
opinion
2

33. Overall, do you think people like you get fair treatment in this country, or not?

9/8/16

Get fair
treatment
64

Do not get
fair treatment
34

No
opinion
2

34. Compared with your parents’ generation, is life for people like you better, worse
or about the same?
9/8/16

Better
43

Worse
24

Same
31

No opinion
2

35. (IF WORSE) Do you think people in other groups than yours are getting ahead while
people like you are falling behind, or are people in other groups falling behind too?

 9/8/16

Other groups
getting ahead
18

Other groups
falling behind
78

No
opinion
4

34/35 NET:

9/8/16

Better
43

-------------------- Worse ------------------Other groups
Other groups
No
NET
getting ahead
falling behind
opinion
24
4
19
1

Same
31

No
opinion
2

36. How much say do you feel people like you have in influencing what the federal
government does – a lot, some, a little or none at all?

9/8/16

- More influence NET
A lot
Some
32
8
24

--- Less influence -NET
A little
None
68
35
33

No
opinion
1

Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a
Republican), an independent or what?
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16
3/6/16
1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
10/18/15
9/10/15

Democrat
34
33
33
36
33
34
34
33
33
30
33

Republican
24
23
23
24
25
25
23
23
23
24
22

Independent
33
36
35
33
35
32
34
34
36
39
35

Other (vol.)
5
5
5
5
4
5
5
5
4
4
5

No opinion
3
3
3
2
3
5
4
5
4
2
4

*** END***
METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS
This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The
poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and
Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish.
This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as
they appear in this document. Demographics and religious identity questions are not
shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical
preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by
parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for
respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters.
Results preceded by “LV” indicate results among likely voters.
A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random
Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers,
first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. The final
sample included 350 interviews completed on landlines and 652 interviews completed via
cellular phones, including 399 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households.
This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the
survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for
differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult

 sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among
individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also
weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education
and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey Social and
Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education. The sample is weighted
to an average of the current sample’s party identification and an average of recent
Post-ABC surveys conducted by SRBI.
All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which
is 1.3 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s
deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision
due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a
design effect overstate their precision.
Group
All adults
Registered voters
Likely voters
Half sample

Unweighted
sample size
1,002
842
642
493-507

Error margin
+/- 3.5 points
4
4.5
5

The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which
recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they
produce.
Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post
conducts polls.