This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone September 19-22, 2016,
among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including landline and cell phone
respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage
points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
*= less than 0.5 percent
(Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the
end.)
1. How closely are you following the 2016 presidential race: very closely, somewhat
closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?

9/22/16 LV
9/8/16
LV
1/24/16 RV
11/19/15

---- Closely ---NET
Very
Smwt
92
60
32
92
59
33
84
39
45
75
30
45

---- Not closely ---NET
Not so
At all
8
5
3
8
5
3
16
10
6
25
13
12

No
opinion
*
*
*
*

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
5/20/12
2/4/12*
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11
10/2/11
9/1/11
7/17/11
6/5/11

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV

99
98
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
95
94
93
92
92
93
92
87
82
79
76
69
65
64
66
61
61

66
67
67
68
67
66
69
69
68
66
62
63
63
64
64
60
54
51
38
37
33
26
24
24
25
18
22

33
31
31
31
32
33
30
30
31
33
33
32
31
28
28
33
38
36
44
43
43
43
41
40
40
43
39

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
5
6
8
8
6
8
13
18
20
24
31
34
36
34
39
38

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
4
5
5
4
6
8
9
12
14
18
17
23
20
23
23

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
5
8
8
10
13
17
13
14
15
15

*
*
*
0
0
0
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

91
90
90
89
89
89
90
91
90
89
89
88
89
90
90

64
63
61
60
59
60
59
60
60
59
60
58
57
58
57

28
28
29
29
29
30
31
31
30
30
28
30
32
32
34

8
9
10
11
11
10
10
9
9
11
11
12
11
10
10

5
5
6
7
7
6
6
5
5
6
6
6
6
6
6

4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
6
5
4
4

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

 10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08
4/13/08
3/2/08
2/1/08
1/12/08
12/9/07
11/1/07
9/30/07
7/21/07
6/1/07
4/15/07
2/25/07

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

90
92
89
91
89
84
79
75
83
84
84
81
79
72
67
69
70
66
66
65

57
59
58
55
51
42
36
34
39
37
42
35
32
21
21
21
22
18
20
20

33
33
31
36
38
42
42
41
44
47
42
46
47
51
46
48
48
48
45
44

10
8
11
9
10
16
21
25
17
16
15
19
21
28
33
30
30
34
34
35

6
4
7
5
6
11
12
12
13
11
11
12
15
19
22
21
20
22
20
25

3
4
5
4
5
5
9
13
5
5
4
7
6
8
12
10
10
13
14
10

*
*
*
0
*
*
1
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04
5/23/04
4/18/04
3/7/04
2/11/04
1/18/04
10/29/03
9/13/03

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

90
90
90
90
90
89
89
90
90
90
90
89
87
88
89
88
87
87
88
88
88
87
88
88
88
88
88
88
87
87
85
81
80
73
78
74
75
75
75
66
54
56

58
59
58
58
57
55
55
54
54
54
55
55
54
52
52
53
53
52
52
52
53
52
52
53
53
51
50
49
48
48
45
43
41
34
33
33
30
33
30
22
15
16

32
31
32
32
33
34
34
36
36
36
35
34
33
36
37
35
34
35
36
36
35
35
36
35
35
37
38
39
39
39
40
38
39
39
45
41
45
42
45
44
39
40

9
9
9
9
9
10
10
10
10
10
11
10
12
11
12
12
12
13
13
11
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
14
20
20
27
22
26
25
25
25
35
45
44

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
7
8
7
8
7
7
7
7
8
8
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
8
10
13
13
15
15
17
16
18
15
22
30
27

3
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
7
7
12
7
9
9
7
10
13
15
17

*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
0
*

 11/6/00 LV
92
11/5/00 LV
91
11/4/00 LV
91
11/3/00 LV
91
11/2/00 LV
90
11/1/00 LV
91
10/31/00 LV
90
10/30/00 LV
91
10/29/00 LV
90
10/28/00 LV
89
10/27/00 LV
89
10/26/00 LV
89
10/25/00 LV
89
10/24/00 LV
87
10/23/00 LV
89
10/22/00 LV
88
10/21/00 LV
87
10/20/00 LV
86
10/19/00 LV
85
10/18/00 LV
87
10/17/00 LV
86
10/15/00 RV
77
10/9/00 RV
75
10/1/00 RV
75
9/6/00
RV
74
8/20/00 RV
74
8/10/00 RV
72
8/6/00
53
7/29/00
51
7/23/00
50
6/11/00
49
4/2/00
53
3/11/00
61
2/27/00
70
2/6/00
65
1/16/00
50
12/15/99
45
10/31/99
61
7/17/95
36
7/8/92
76
1/27/92
51
10/10/88 RV
77
8/18/88 RV
68
8/15/88 RV
70
5/25/88
76
9/23/87
50
6/1/87
50
*2/4/12 and previous

54
38
8
6
2
*
53
38
8
6
2
*
52
39
9
7
2
*
51
40
9
6
3
*
48
42
10
7
3
*
48
43
9
7
2
*
46
44
9
7
2
*
47
44
9
7
2
*
47
43
10
7
3
*
47
42
10
7
3
*
48
41
11
7
4
*
47
42
11
8
3
*
47
42
11
8
3
0
44
43
13
10
3
0
44
45
11
8
3
0
44
44
12
9
3
0
46
41
13
9
4
*
46
40
15
11
4
*
44
41
14
10
4
*
42
45
13
10
3
*
40
46
13
10
3
*
33
44
23
15
8
*
30
45
25
16
9
*
27
48
25
17
8
*
26
48
26
17
9
*
28
46
26
16
10
1
29
43
29
18
11
*
17
36
47
22
25
*
16
35
49
25
24
*
14
36
50
25
25
*
13
36
51
26
25
0
17
36
47
24
23
0
21
40
38
21
17
0
24
46
30
20
10
*
19
48
34
21
13
0
11
39
50
26
24
*
12
33
55
31
24
*
16
45
38
25
13
*
7
29
63
33
31
*
28
48
24
16
8
*
14
37
48
25
23
1
31
46
23
17
6
26
42
31
20
11
0
27
43
31
19
12
0
25
51
25
19
6
*
9
41
49
31
18
*
11
39
49
32
17
*
"not too closely" instead of "not so closely"

2. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in
November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances
50-50, or less than that?

9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Certain
to vote
83
81
81
79
79

Probably
vote
7
8
8
10
8

Chances
50/50
6
6
6
5
7

Less than
that
3
5
4
3
4

Don't think
will vote
(vol.)
*
1
1
1
2

Already
voted
(vol.)
0
NA
NA
NA
NA

No
op.
*
*
*
1
*

 5/19/16

RV

80

9

5

3

2

NA

*

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
68
70
72
73
75
76
77
79
79
79
79
80
82
84
85
84
83
81
81

5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
6
6
7
6
5
6
7
7
7
8
9

4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
6
6
4
4
7
6
6
8

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
4
3
2

1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
*

20
19
18
16
16
13
12
11
9
8
6
6
5
4
4
1
0
NA
"

*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
3/2/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
69
71
73
74
76
77
76
78
78
79
80
81
82
81
83
87
87
89
85
84
79
71
78

4
4
5
5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
5
6
6
7
10
10
9
9

3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
5
4
5
4
7
8
7

2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
7
4

1
1
*
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
2
4
2

22
20
19
16
15
13
11
11
10
10
8
6
5
4
4
4
2
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
0
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

76
78
79
80
81
81
81
82
82
82
82
83
83
84
84

6
6
5
5
5
5
6
7
7
7
7
6
6
7
7

3
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
5
4
5
5
5

1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2

1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
*
*

12
11
11
10
8
8
7
6
6
5
4
4
3
2
2

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

 10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
10/29/03

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

86
87
87
86
87
88
90
90
90
89
87
87
87
87
87
87
84
85
85
70

6
6
6
7
7
7
6
6
5
6
7
7
8
8
8
7
10
9
7
12

4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
3
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
5
11

2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
6

*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
1

10/15/00
10/9/00
10/1/00
9/6/00
8/20/00
8/10/00
8/6/00
7/29/00
7/23/00
6/11/00
5/10/00
4/2/00
3/11/00
2/27/00
2/6/00
1/16/00
12/15/99
10/31/99

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

82
81
81
78
78
79
64
61
59
60
63
62
63
69
67
65
64
72

10
10
10
12
13
12
12
15
17
13
15
14
14
12
12
14
13
11

6
6
5
5
6
6
11
9
10
11
10
9
9
10
10
10
8
10

2
2
3
3
3
1
8
11
11
10
8
9
9
4
8
6
9
5

1
*
1
1
1
1
5
3
4
4
4
5
4
5
3
4
6
3

1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
NA

"

*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
*

3. If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were
[(Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats), (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the
Republicans)], [(Gary Johnson and Bill Weld of the Libertarian Party) and (Jill Stein
and Ajamu Baraka of the Green Party)], for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward
[(Clinton and Kaine), (Trump and Pence)], [(Johnson and Weld) or (Stein and Baraka)]?
(IF ALREADY VOTED) Confidentially and for statistical purposes only, did you vote
for...?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS

9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16*
6/23/16

Hillary
Clinton
46
46
47
45
48

Donald
Trump
44
41
39
39
39

Gary
Johnson
5
9
7
8
6

Jill
Stein
1
2
3
3
3

Other
(vol.)
*
1
1
1
1

None
of these
(vol.)
1
1
1
1
1

Would
not vote
(vol.)
0
0
*
*
*

No
opinion
3
1
2
2
2

Jill
Stein

Other
(vol.)

None
of these
(vol.)

Would
not vote
(vol.)

No
opinion

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS
Hillary
Clinton

Donald
Trump

Gary
Johnson

 9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16*
6/23/16

41
45
45
42
47

41
35
37
38
37

7
11
8
8
7

2
3
4
5
3

1
1
1
1
1

3
3
2
2
3

1
1
2
1
*

4
1
2
3
3

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – GEN POP
None
Would
Hillary
Donald
Gary
Jill
Other
of these
not vote
No
Clinton
Trump
Johnson
Stein
(vol.)
(vol.)
(vol.)
opinion
9/22/16
44
37
7
2
1
4
2
3
9/8/16
46
33
10
4
1
3
1
1
8/4/16
47
34
8
4
1
3
2
2
7/14/16*
45
35
8
5
1
3
1
3
6/23/16
47
34
7
4
1
4
1
3
*7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat”, “Donald Trump, the Republican”,
“Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party” and “Jill Stein of the Green Party”.
4. (IF NOT CLINTON OR TRUMP) If the only candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim
Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom
would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or toward (Trump and
Pence)?
3/4 NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS
Clinton
9/22/16*
49
9/8/16*
51
8/4/16**
51
7/14/16***
50
6/23/16
52
5/19/16
46

Trump
47
43
44
43
41
49

Other
(vol.)
*
*
1
1
2
2

Neither
(vol.)
1
3
2
5
4
3

Would not
vote (vol.)
2
1
0
0
0
0

No
opinion
1
1
1
2
1
*

Would not
vote (vol.)
3
3
1
*
1
2
5
2
4

No
opinion
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1

Would not
vote (vol.)
3
3
1
1
2
3
4
3
4

No
opinion
2
1
1
2
1
1
*
1
1

3/4 NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS
Clinton
9/22/16*
46
9/8/16*
51
8/4/16**
50
7/14/16***
47
6/23/16
51
5/19/16
44
3/6/16
50
12/13/15
50
9/10/15
46

Trump
46
40
42
43
39
46
41
44
43

Other
(vol.)
*
*
1
2
2
2
1
1
1

Neither
(vol.)
3
4
4
6
6
5
3
3
6

3/4 NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – GEN POP
Clinton
9/22/16*
49
9/8/16*
53
8/4/16**
53
7/14/16***
50
6/23/16
51
5/19/16
48
3/6/16
54
12/13/15
53
9/10/15
51

Trump
42
38
39
40
37
42
36
40
39

Other
(vol.)
*
*
1
2
2
2
1
1
1

Neither
(vol.)
3
4
5
6
7
5
3
3
5

 *Results based on total sample. Respondents who named Clinton or Trump in Q3 assigned
to initial preference.
**8/4/16 and earlier: If the presidential election were being held today and the
candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and
Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton
and Kaine) or toward (Trump and Pence)?
***7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat” and “Donald Trump, the
Republican”.
5. (IF NAMED CLINTON OR TRUMP) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about
supporting (Clinton/Trump), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not
enthusiastic at all?
--- Enthusiastic ---NET
Very
Somewhat

--- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not so
Not at all

No
opinion

Clinton:
9/22/16
9/22/16 LV
9/8/16 LV

77
81
82

39
46
36

38
35
46

22
18
18

14
10
12

8
8
6

1
1
0

Trump:
9/22/16
9/22/16 LV
9/8/16 LV

85
91
85

47
55
48

39
36
37

14
8
15

7
5
10

7
3
4

1
1
*

2012 election:
--- Enthusiastic ---NET
Very
Somewhat

--- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not so
Not at all

No
opinion

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

95
95
95
95
95
96
97
95
95
94
94
96
95
96
96
94
91
93
88
91
93

69
69
69
66
64
64
65
66
64
61
59
60
60
62
64
55
51
56
48
51
51

27
26
27
30
31
32
32
30
31
33
35
35
35
34
32
40
40
38
39
40
41

4
5
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
5
9
7
11
8
7

2
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
7
3
7
5
4

2
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
3
4

1
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
1
0
0
1
1
0

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV

93
94
94
95
94
95
95
94
95

61
62
63
62
62
61
61
61
59

32
32
31
33
32
35
34
33
36

6
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
5

4
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
3

2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2

*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*

Obama:
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12

Romney:
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12

 10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

93
93
93
93
93
93
93
92
87
87
83
85
75

59
58
60
62
62
58
62
59
48
46
42
38
26

35
35
33
31
32
35
31
33
39
40
41
47
48

6
7
7
6
6
6
7
8
13
13
17
15
25

5
5
5
5
4
5
4
5
6
7
12
11
15

2
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
7
6
4
4
9

*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1

Compare to: Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are
you about [NAME] - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or
not enthusiastic at all?
2008 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all

No
opinion

Obama:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
6/15/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

97
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
97
97
95
94
95
95
96
96
95
94
96
95
91

68
67
67
68
68
68
65
65
66
68
71
70
67
64
65
64
66
61
62
64
52
52

29
29
29
29
28
28
31
31
30
29
26
25
28
31
31
32
30
34
32
32
43
39

2
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
6
4
5
9

1
2
3
2
3
2
2
3
2
3
3
4
5
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
2
7

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
3
2

*
*
*
0
*
1
1
1
1
*
0
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
*
*

McCain:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV

88
90
89
88
87
86
85
83
87
86
88
89
88
88
88
87

41
41
41
41
39
39
37
35
36
38
39
39
40
37
38
40

47
48
47
46
47
47
48
49
51
48
49
50
48
51
50
47

11
10
11
12
13
13
15
16
13
14
11
10
12
11
12
13

9
8
8
9
9
10
12
13
11
11
9
8
10
10
11
11

2
2
2
3
4
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
2
1
2
2

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*

 10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
6/15/08

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

87
90
89
92
86
74

31
38
34
46
28
19

57
52
55
46
58
55

13
10
10
8
13
25

10
7
8
6
11
19

2
2
2
2
2
6

0
*
1
0
1
1

2004 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly
Kerry:
10/26/04
10/23/04
10/17/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all

No
opinion

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

92
91
94
91
85
87
85
89
92
90
85

46
50
45
50
42
39
39
40
56
41
34

47
41
49
42
43
47
46
49
36
49
51

7
9
6
8
13
12
14
11
7
10
15

6
7
5
8
10
9
10
9
6
9
12

1
1
1
*
4
3
4
2
1
1
3

1
1
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
0
0

G.W. Bush:
10/26/04 LV
10/23/04 LV
10/17/04 LV
10/3/04 LV
9/26/04 LV
9/26/04 RV
9/8/04
RV
8/29/04 RV
8/1/04
RV
7/25/04 RV
6/20/04 RV

91
93
93
94
94
91
95
94
90
90
90

55
60
59
57
65
61
63
56
53
49
50

36
33
35
37
29
31
32
38
37
41
40

9
7
6
6
5
8
5
6
10
10
9

8
6
6
4
4
6
4
5
8
8
7

1
1
1
1
1
2
*
1
2
1
2

*
*
1
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*

2000 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly
Gore:
4/2/00
2/27/00*
3/14/99

45
43
39

17
17
12

28
26
27

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all
55
56
59

G.W. Bush:
4/2/00
50
20
29
50
2/27/00*
50
18
32
50
3/14/99
55
17
38
42
*2/27/00 and previous "possible candidacy"

No
opinion

23
23
24

32
33
35

*
1
1

24
19
21

26
30
21

*
1
3

6. Have you personally been contacted by a representative of the [CANDIDATE] campaign,
either by phone, in-person, or online asking you for your support, or not?
9/22/16 - Summary Table (among likely voters)
a. Clinton
b. Trump

Yes
21
22

No
78
77

No opinion
1
1

 9/22/16 - Summary Table (among registered voters)
a. Clinton
b. Trump

Yes
18
19

No
81
80

No opinion
1
1

2012 election:
a. Obama
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
8/25/12

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV

Yes
29
30
29
29
30
28
28
26
23
23
22
27
23
20

No
68
68
69
69
68
69
70
72
75
75
76
71
76
79

No opinion
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1

Yes
28
28
27
27
27
26
25
24
23
23
23
22
20
13

No
69
70
71
71
71
71
72
74
75
75
75
75
79
86

No opinion
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
3
1
*

b. Romney
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
8/25/12

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV

On another topic,
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as
president?

9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16
3/6/16
1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
10/18/15
9/10/15
7/19/15
5/31/15

-------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
55
34
21
58
34
24
55
34
22
56
33
24
56
34
21
51
30
21
51
31
20
50
31
18
45
24
22
46
24
22
51
28
23
49
27
22
45
26
20
45
22
23

------- Disapprove -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
41
9
32
40
9
30
42
10
32
42
9
33
41
8
33
46
11
35
43
11
33
46
11
36
51
12
39
50
10
40
45
10
35
46
9
37
50
13
37
49
11
38

No
opinion
4
3
3
2
3
3
6
4
3
4
4
5
5
6

 3/29/15
1/15/15
12/14/14
10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
6/1/14
4/27/14
3/2/14
1/23/14
12/15/13
11/17/13
10/20/13
9/15/13
7/21/13
5/19/13
4/14/13
3/10/13
1/13/13
12/16/12
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12
4/8/12
3/10/12
2/4/12
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11
10/2/11
9/1/11
8/9/11*
7/17/11
6/5/11
5/2/11**
4/17/11
3/13/11
1/16/11
12/12/10
10/28/10
10/3/10
9/2/10
7/11/10
6/6/10
4/25/10

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

47
50
41
43
40
42
46
41
46
46
43
42
48
47
49
51
50
50
55
54
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
51
50
51
50
50
50
50
51
50
50
49
50
47
47
50
46
50
48
49
44
42
43
44
47
47
56
47
51
54
49
50
50
46
50
52
54

26
24
21
21
20
24
23
23
25
23
23
22
28
25
25
32
27
29
32
33
33
33
32
31
30
28
28
28
28
29
29
29
29
30
31
30
26
29
27
24
26
30
28
29
25
25
22
21
21
18
25
27
29
27
27
30
24
27
26
24
28
30
31

21
26
20
22
20
18
23
19
22
23
20
21
20
22
24
20
23
21
23
21
10
10
11
11
11
12
11
11
11
10
9
10
21
20
20
21
24
20
23
24
21
20
18
22
23
24
22
21
22
26
22
20
27
21
24
23
25
23
24
22
22
22
23

47
44
54
51
51
51
51
52
50
50
55
55
49
47
44
44
45
46
41
42
46
47
47
48
48
48
48
46
46
46
47
48
47
47
47
44
46
45
46
49
49
45
50
46
48
47
53
54
53
46
48
49
38
50
45
43
47
45
47
52
47
45
44

11
9
13
12
12
12
14
12
12
9
14
11
10
11
12
10
10
11
8
9
10
10
11
11
11
12
11
11
11
10
9
10
9
10
10
10
12
11
13
15
13
10
11
11
11
13
15
14
16
9
14
13
14
12
12
15
15
11
13
14
12
12
11

36
35
41
39
39
39
37
40
38
41
41
44
39
37
32
33
35
36
33
32
36
37
36
37
37
37
36
36
36
36
37
38
37
38
37
34
34
35
33
34
36
35
39
36
37
34
37
40
38
37
35
37
24
37
33
28
32
34
34
38
35
33
33

6
6
5
6
8
6
3
6
3
4
3
3
3
6
7
5
5
4
4
5
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
6
4
6
4
4
3
6
4
3
4
4
3
4
3
10
5
4
6
3
4
3
4
5
3
3
3
4
3

 3/26/10
53
34
20
2/8/10
51
29
22
1/15/10
53
30
24
12/13/09
50
31
18
11/15/09
56
32
23
10/18/09
57
33
23
9/12/09
54
35
19
8/17/09
57
35
21
7/18/09
59
38
22
6/21/09
65
36
29
4/24/09
69
42
27
3/29/09
66
40
26
2/22/09
68
43
25
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center

43
46
44
46
42
40
43
40
37
31
26
29
25

8
12
13
13
13
11
12
11
9
10
8
9
8

35
33
32
33
29
29
31
29
28
22
18
20
17

3
3
2
4
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
5
7

8. Would you say you, yourself, are better off financially than you were when Obama
became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape financially?
Better off
29
25
22
22
21
17
15
13
14
8

Not as well off
25
25
30
33
32
31
31
35
36
27

About the same
45
49
46
45
46
51
53
51
50
64

G.W. Bush:
10/5/04 LV
10/29/03
9/13/03
8/11/03

30
22
21
17

30
27
30
25

40
50
49
58

1
1
*
1

Clinton:
6/11/00
7/19/98
3/1/98
6/23/96
2/27/94

34
30
32
29
12

14
15
9
22
17

50
52
57
49
71

2
3
1
0
*

G.H.W. Bush:
1/17/93
8/9/92
6/7/92
3/11/92
2/2/92
12/15/91
10/21/91
3/4/91

27
22
19
20
19
17
20
19

28
32
32
33
31
33
27
18

44
45
49
46
49
49
53
63

1
1
*
1
*
*
1
1

Reagan:
1/16/89
1/18/87
9/8/86

42
37
41

18
23
20

39
40
39

1
1
1

9/22/16
1/15/15
10/12/14
10/28/12
9/9/12
5/20/12
1/15/12
11/3/11
9/1/11
7/18/09

LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Back to the election,

No opinion
2
2
2
1
*
1
1
1
1
*

 9. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of [ITEM]? Do you feel
that way strongly or somewhat?
9/22/16 - Summary Table

a. Hillary Clinton
b. Donald Trump

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
41
21
20
35
18
17

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
55
14
42
59
14
45

Trend:
a. Hillary Clinton

9/22/16
8/28/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/12/16
5/19/16
3/6/16
1/10/16
11/8/15
10/11/15
8/30/15
7/12/15
5/31/15
3/29/15
1/23/14
6/23/13
1/20/13
12/2/12
4/22/12
8/22/08 RV
6/15/08
4/13/08
1/12/08
11/1/07
2/25/07
1/19/07
12/11/06
5/15/06
3/5/06
6/5/05
6/1/03
9/2/99
6/6/99
3/14/99
2/14/99
11/1/98
8/21/98
8/19/98
4/4/98
1/30/98
1/19/98
3/9/97
9/4/96 RV
6/30/96
1/21/96
1/19/96
10/31/94

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
41
21
20
41
20
22
48
28
20
42
21
21
43
25
18
44
22
22
46
24
22
48
24
24
46
23
24
47
20
26
45
21
24
52
25
26
45
24
21
49
30
20
58
32
26
61
31
30
67
35
32
66
35
30
65
33
32
52
29
23
54
26
28
44
22
23
58
32
26
50
28
22
49
25
24
54
31
23
56
27
29
54
29
25
52
27
25
51
NA
NA
44
15
29
49
NA
NA
59
60
63
64
64
64
58
60
52
47
47
44
28
32
47

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
55
14
42
56
15
40
50
7
42
54
11
44
55
16
39
53
12
41
52
11
41
49
13
36
51
13
38
49
14
35
53
14
39
45
14
30
49
10
39
46
11
35
38
12
26
33
13
21
26
12
14
28
14
14
27
14
13
44
14
30
43
17
26
54
15
39
40
11
29
46
11
35
48
13
35
44
14
30
40
11
29
42
11
31
46
12
33
46
NA
NA
48
16
32
44
NA
NA
35
36
31
31
28
32
33
30
39
44
42
47
36
34
44

No
opinion
4
3
2
4
2
3
2
3
3
5
2
4
6
4
4
6
6
6
8
4
3
2
2
4
3
3
4
4
2
3
8
7
6
4
6
5
8
4
10
10
9
9
12
9
36
34
8

No
opinion
4
6

 5/15/94
3/27/94
1/23/94
11/14/93
8/8/93
4/26/93
2/23/93
1/17/93
7/8/92
3/18/92

54
53
55
58
59
54
59
51
30
28

"

"

41
39
34
33
33
26
24
20
26
22

"

5
8
11
9
8
20
18
29
43
51

"

b. Donald Trump
------- Favorable ------------ Unfavorable -----No
NET
Strongly
Somewhat
NET
Somewhat
Strongly
opinion
9/22/16
35
18
17
59
14
45
6
8/28/16
35
16
18
63
16
47
3
8/4/16
34
16
18
63
11
52
3
7/14/16
31
15
16
64
13
52
4
6/12/16
29
15
14
70
14
56
1
5/19/16
37
18
19
60
11
49
3
4/10/16
31
14
17
67
14
53
2
3/6/16
30
15
14
67
11
56
3
1/10/16
35
17
18
62
14
48
3
11/8/15
38
16
23
59
13
46
3
9/27/15
35
14
21
60
19
41
5
8/30/15
37
16
21
59
16
43
4
7/12/15
33
14
19
61
16
45
6
5/31/15
16
7
9
71
16
55
13
12/18/11
40
12
29
48
21
27
12
1/16/00*
20
NA
NA
70
NA
NA
11
10/31/99*
18
"
"
70
"
"
12
* "Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of Donald Trump, or perhaps you don't know enough to say."
10. Do you think the outcome of this election matters to the country’s future, or do
you think it doesn’t make much difference whether (Clinton) or (Trump) wins? (IF
MATTERS) Do you think it matters a great deal or somewhat?

9/22/16

---------- Matters -------NET
Great deal
Somewhat
87
78
9

Not much
difference
11

No
opinion
2

11. Do you think Hillary Clinton [ITEM], or not?
9/22/16 – Summary Table
a. is qualified to serve as president
b. is honest and trustworthy
c. has the kind of personality and
temperament it takes to serve effectively as president
d. is in good enough overall health to serve as president
e. knows enough about world affairs to serve effectively
as president
Trend:
a. is qualified to serve as president

Yes
59
36

No
39
60

No opinion
2
5

56
54

41
36

3
11

67

29

4

 ------- Qualified ----------- Not qualified ----No
NET
Strongly
Somewhat
NET
Somewhat
Strongly
opinion
9/22/16
59
NA
NA
39
NA
NA
2
9/8/16
60
NA
NA
39
NA
NA
1
8/4/16*
60
42
19
38
4
34
2
7/14/16
59
38
21
39
5
35
2
6/23/16
61
40
22
37
4
33
1
5/19/16
63
NA
NA
36
NA
NA
2
*8/4/16 and previous: Regardless of whether or not you’d vote for her, do you think
Hillary Clinton is or is not qualified to serve as president? Do you feel that way
strongly or somewhat?
b. is honest and trustworthy
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
3/6/16
9/10/15
5/31/15
3/29/15
6/1/14
4/13/08
5/15/06

Yes
36
35
38
37
39
41
46
53
39
52

No
60
61
59
59
56
52
46
42
58
42

No opinion
5
4
3
4
5
7
7
5
3
6

c. has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as
president
9/22/16
8/4/16
3/6/16
9/10/15

Yes
56
61
58
56

No
41
38
40
41

No opinion
3
1
2
3

d. No trend
e. knows enough about world affairs to serve effectively as president
9/22/16

Yes
67

No
29

No opinion
4

Compare to:
Do you think Hillary Clinton has a good understanding of world affairs?
8/4/16

Yes
72

No
25

No opinion
3

12. Do you think Donald Trump [ITEM], or not?
9/22/16 – Summary Table
a. is qualified to serve as president
b. is honest and trustworthy
c. has the kind of personality and
temperament it takes to serve effectively as president
d. is in good enough overall health to serve as president
e. knows enough about world affairs to serve effectively
as president

Yes
41
38

No
57
57

No opinion
3
5

35
71

61
19

4
11

38

59

4

 Trend:
a. is qualified to serve as president
------- Qualified ----------- Not qualified ----No
NET
Strongly
Somewhat
NET
Somewhat
Strongly
opinion
9/22/16
41
NA
NA
57
NA
NA
3
9/8/16
36
NA
NA
62
NA
NA
2
8/4/16
38
20
18
61
8
52
2
7/14/16
37
18
19
60
9
51
3
6/23/16
34
18
16
64
8
56
2
5/19/16
39
NA
NA
58
NA
NA
3
9/10/15
37
NA
NA
60
NA
NA
2
*8/4/16 and previous: Regardless of whether or not you’d vote for him, do you think
Donald Trump is or is not qualified to serve as president? Do you feel that way
strongly or somewhat?
b. is honest and trustworthy
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
3/6/16
9/10/15

Yes
38
31
34
27
35

No
57
64
62
69
59

No opinion
5
4
4
4
6

c. has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as
president
9/22/16
8/4/16
3/6/16
9/10/15

Yes
35
31
25
33

No
61
67
72
63

No opinion
4
2
3
4

d. No trend
e. knows enough about world affairs to serve effectively as president
9/22/16

Yes
38

No
59

No opinion
4

Compare to:
Do you think Donald Trump has a good understanding of world affairs?
8/4/16

Yes
33

No
64

No opinion
3

13. Which of these is the single most important issue in your choice for president? Is
it (the economy and jobs), (immigration issues), (terrorism and national security),
(law and order) or (corruption in government)?
The economy and jobs
Terrorism and national security
Corruption in government
Immigration issues
Law and order
Any 2 or more (vol.)
Other (vol.)

9/22/16
32
23
13
8
6
15
2

9/8/16
35
19
16
8
6
11
2

 None (vol.)
No opinion

1
1

2
*

14. Who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] – (Clinton) or (Trump)? And who do you
trust more to handle [NEXT ITEM]?
9/22/16 – Summary Table
Clinton
45
46
51
55

a.
b.
c.
d.
e.

Trump
47
45
42
36

Both
(vol.)
1
1
1
1

Neither
(vol.)
4
5
4
6

No
opinion
3
3
2
2

The economy
Terrorism
Immigration issues
An international crisis
Social issues such as
abortion and gay marriage
58
30
2
5
6
f. Ethics in government
44
41
1
11
4
g. Health care
50
39
1
7
4
h. Looking out for the middle class
50
39
*
8
3
*Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked items c-e; other half asked items
f-h.
Trend:
a. The economy

9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16
3/6/16

Clinton
45
51
48
45
47
49

Trump
47
42
46
45
46
45

Both
(vol.)
1
1
1
*
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
4
5
3
8
6
5

No
opinion
3
1
1
1
1
1

Both
(vol.)
1
1
*
*
1
*
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
5
7
4
8
8
7
4
6

No
opinion
3
2
4
1
2
2
2
1

Both
(vol.)
1
*
1
0
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
4
5
5
6
4
4

No
opinion
2
1
1
1
2
2

Both

Neither

No

b. Terrorism
Clinton
Trump
9/22/16
46
45
9/8/16
50
41
8/4/16
48
43
7/14/16
47
43
6/23/16
50
39
5/19/16
47
44
3/6/16
54
40
11/19/15*
50
42
*"threat of terrorism"
c. Immigration issues

9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16
3/6/16

Clinton
51
51
53
57
51
56

Trump
42
42
40
36
42
37

d. An international crisis

 9/22/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16
3/6/16

Clinton
55
60
59
55
61

Trump
36
33
31
36
32

(vol.)
1
1
1
*
*

(vol.)
6
5
8
7
5

opinion
2
1
1
2
1

Both
(vol.)
1
*

Neither
(vol.)
11
12

No
opinion
4
1

Neither
(vol.)
8
10
11

No
opinion
3
2
3

e. No trend
f. Ethics in government

9/22/16
5/19/16

Clinton
44
48

Trump
41
39

g. No trend
h. Looking out for the middle class

9/22/16
7/14/16
5/19/16

Clinton
50
50
52

Trump
39
37
35

Both
(vol.)
*
0
*

15. If you had to choose, which is more important to you in deciding who to vote for
president a candidate's position on the issues, or a candidate's personal qualities?
Position on
Personal
Both
No
the issues
qualities
(vol.)
opinion
9/22/16
61
28
9
2
1/17/12*
76
17
5
2
2/20/08**
71
14
14
1
11/21/04*
69
21
9
1
10/11/04*
71
19
9
1
10/21/00*
64
23
12
1
3/21/00* RV
61
30
7
2
2/14/00*
66
24
8
2
*CBS or CBS/NYT
**Fox News: Which is more important in deciding who you are supporting for President
in 2008 - your candidate's positions on the issues, or your candidate's personal
qualities?
16. How do you feel about the possibility of a major terrorist attack in the United
States – very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all?

9/22/16
1/15/15
10/12/14

------ Worried -----NET
Very
Somewhat
78
37
41
76
34
42
71
32
39

------ Not worried ------NET
Not too
Not at all
22
15
7
23
15
8
28
17
11

No
opinion
*
*
*

Compare to: How concerned are you about the possibility there will be more major
terrorist attacks in the United States - is that something that worries you a great
deal, somewhat, not too much or not at all?

4/21/13*

------- Concerned ------NET
Grt.deal
Somewhat
68
31
37

---- Not concerned ---NET
Not much
At all
31
21
10

No
opinion
1

 9/7/08
64
18
46
36
23
13
9/7/07
66
25
41
34
23
10
9/7/06
74
29
45
25
17
8
8/21/05
66
24
42
33
23
10
7/21/05
73
30
43
27
17
10
9/8/04 RV
73
25
47
27
20
7
9/7/03
71
25
46
29
20
9
3/20/03
76
29
47
24
16
8
2/16/03
72
27
45
27
18
9
9/8/02
74
22
52
26
19
7
7/15/02
73
29
44
27
20
7
4/21/02
73
30
43
26
18
9
3/10/02
70
23
47
30
21
9
12/19/01
70
27
43
29
22
8
10/15/01
77
35
43
23
14
9
10/9/01
82
36
46
18
12
6
10/7/01
81
41
40
18
13
4
9/27/01**
83
43
39
17
12
5
9/11/01
87
49
38
12
7
4
6/13/97
62
21
41
38
24
14
6/2/97
63
22
41
37
28
9
8/5/96
74
31
43
26
18
8
4/20/95
78
38
40
21
16
5
*Washington Post poll.
**9/27/01 and previous: "How concerned are you about the possibility
more major terrorist attacks in this country."

*
*
*
1
*
1
*
1
1
0
*
*
1
1
0
*
1
*
1
*
*
*
1
there will be

17. Clinton was diagnosed with pneumonia earlier this month and did not make this
public until after she fell ill at an event. Do you think she was justified or not
justified in keeping her diagnosis private until she fell ill in public?
9/22/16

Justified
64

Not justified
32

No opinion
4

18. Trump has not released his tax returns, while Clinton has released hers. Do you
think Trump is justified in not releasing his tax returns, or not?
9/22/16

Justified
31

Not justified
63

No opinion
6

Compare to:
All major presidential candidates in the last 40 years have publicly released their
tax returns before the election. Trump has said he may not do this. Do you think Trump
should release his tax returns before the November election, or is it OK if he does
not release his tax returns? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

5/19/16

----- Should release ---NET
Strongly
Somewhat
64
54
9

--- OK if he does not --NET
Somewhat
Strongly
31
11
20

No
opinion
5

19. Do you think Trump is trying to win support by appealing to people’s prejudices
against groups that are different from their own, or do you think he is not trying to
appeal to people’s prejudices?

9/22/16

-Appealing to prejudicesNET
Strongly
Somewhat
59
46
13

Not appealing to prejudices
NET
Somewhat
Strongly
34
11
23

No
opinion
7

 20. Do you think Clinton is trying to win support by appealing to people’s prejudices
against groups that are different from their own, or do you think she is not trying to
appeal to people’s prejudices?

9/22/16

-Appealing to prejudicesNET
Strongly
Somewhat
45
32
14

Not appealing to prejudices
NET
Somewhat
Strongly
46
17
29

No
opinion
9

21. Do you think it’s fair or unfair to describe a large portion of Trump’s supporters
as prejudiced against women and minorities?
9/22/16

Fair
30

Unfair
64

No opinion
6

22. Do you plan to watch the first debate between Clinton and Trump next Monday night,
September 26th, or not?
9/22/16

Yes
74

No
22

No opinion
4

23. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will win the debate –
(Clinton) or (Trump)?
Neither
Tie
No
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
(vol.)
opinion
9/22/16
47
33
2
2
16
24. Do you think that the debate might change your mind about which candidate to
support, or not? (IF MIGHT CHANGE) Is there a good chance of that or a small chance?

9/22/16

--------- Might change --------NET
Good chance
Small chance
18
6
12

Won’t
change
80

No
opinion
2

On another topic,
25. For each group I name, please tell me whether you think it has too (much)
influence in the country these days, too (little) influence, or about the right
amount. First is [ITEM]? How about [NEXT ITEM]?
9/22/16 – Summary Table
a.
b.
c.
d.

Women
Men
Whites
Racial and
ethnic minorities

Too much
10
37
34

Too little
42
9
12

Right amount
46
50
50

No opinion
2
3
5

23

40

30

6

Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a
Republican), an independent or what?
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16

Democrat
33
34
33
33
36
33

Republican
23
24
23
23
24
25

Independent
36
33
36
35
33
35

Other (vol.)
6
5
5
5
5
4

No opinion
3
3
3
3
2
3

 3/6/16
1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
10/18/15
9/10/15

34
34
33
33
30
33

25
23
23
23
24
22

32
34
34
36
39
35

5
5
5
4
4
5

5
4
5
4
2
4

*** END ***
METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS
This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The
poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and
Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish.
This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as
they appear in this document. Demographics and religious identity questions are not
shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical
preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by
parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for
respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters.
Results preceded by “LV” indicate results among likely voters.
A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random
Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers,
first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. The final
sample included 350 interviews completed on landlines and 651 interviews completed via
cellular phones, including 410 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households.
This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the
survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for
differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult
sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among
individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also
weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education
and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey Social and
Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education.
All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which
is 1.3 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s
deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision
due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a
design effect overstate their precision.
Group
All adults
Registered voters
Likely voters
Half sample

Unweighted
sample size
1,001
834
651
483-518

Error margin
+/- 3.5 points
4
4.5
5

The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which
recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they
produce.
Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post
conducts polls.