GALLUP NEWS SERVICE SEPTEMBER ELECTION BENCHMARK -- FINAL TOPLINE -- Timberline: 937008 IS: 806 Princeton Job #: 16-09-014 Jeff Jones, Lydia Saad September 14-18, 2016 Results are based on telephone interviews conducted September 14-18, 2016 with a random sample of –1,033— adults, aged 18+, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on this sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. For results based on the sample of -- 931 -- registered voters, the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. For results based on the sample of -- 480 -- Republicans and Republican leaning independents, the margin of sampling error is ±5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. For results based on the sample of -- 491 -- Democrats and Democratic leaning independents, the margin of sampling error is ±5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. Interviews are conducted with respondents on landline telephones and cellular phones, with interviews conducted in Spanish for respondents who are primarily Spanish-speaking. Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 60% cell phone respondents and 40% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by region. Landline and cell phone telephone numbers are selected using random digit dial methods. Landline respondents are chosen at random within each household on the basis of which member has the next birthday. Samples are weighted to correct for unequal selection probability, non-response, and double coverage of landline and cell users in the two sampling frames. They are also weighted to match the national demographics of gender, age, race, Hispanic ethnicity, education, region, population density, and phone status (cell phoneonly/landline only/both and cell phone mostly). Demographic weighting targets are based on the March 2015 Current Population Survey figures for the aged 18 and older U.S. population. Phone status targets are based on the July-December 2015 National Health Interview Survey. Population density targets are based on the 2010 census. All reported margins of sampling error include the computed design effects for weighting. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls. Next, Q.7-8 ROTATED 7. 8. How would you describe the political views of Hillary Clinton – [ROTATED: very liberal, liberal, moderate, conservative (or) very conservative]? Very liberal Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Conservative No opinion Registered Voters 2016 Sep 14-18 27 31 25 9 3 5 National adults 2016 Sep 14-18 2007 Dec 14-16 25 22 29 34 26 22 10 12 4 4 6 5 How would you describe the political views of Donald Trump – [ROTATED: very liberal, liberal, moderate, conservative (or) very conservative]? Very liberal Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Conservative No opinion Registered Voters 2016 Sep 14-18 8 11 22 31 16 12 National adults 2016 Sep 14-18 8 12 21 30 17 13 SUMMARY TABLE I: COMPARISON OF CANDIDATE POLITICAL VIEWS VS. SELF, BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Hillary Clinton Donald Trump A lot more liberal than self 34 13 Somewhat more liberal 15 18 Same views 24 22 Somewhat more conservative 15 14 A lot more conservative than self 6 21 No opinion / Undesignated 5 12 SUMMARY TABLE II: COMPARISON OF OWN VIEWS AND CANDIDATES’ POLITICAL VIEWS (D10/Q.7/Q.8) Total liberal Moderate Total conservative 2016 Registered voters’ own views (RV) Views of Donald Trump (RV) Views of Hillary Clinton 25 19 58 37 22 25 36 47 12 2012 Registered voters’ own views (RV) Views of Mitt Romney (RV) Views of Barack Obama 23 11 60 31 21 22 42 60 12 2008 Registered voters’ own views (RV) Views of John McCain (RV) Views of Barack Obama 21 9 62 34 26 24 43 62 11 2004 Jul 19-21 Registered voters’ own views (RV) Views of George W. Bush (RV) Views of John Kerry 19 8 48 39 18 32 40 68 15 1992 Oct 5-7 Registered voters’ own views (RV) Views of George H.W. Bush (RV) Views of Bill Clinton (RV) Views of Ross Perot 15 9 42 20 44 20 32 21 37 59 15 29 D10. How would you describe your political views – [ROTATED: very liberal, liberal, moderate, conservative (or) very conservative]? 2016 Sep 14-18 Very liberal Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Conservative No opinion 8 17 37 27 9 2