This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone October 10-13, 2016,
among a random national sample of 1,152 adults, including landline and cell phone
respondents. Overall results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3
percentage points; the error margin is 3.5 points among the sample of 920 registered
voters and four points among the sample of 740 likely voters. Sampling, data
collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
*= less than 0.5 percent
(Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the
end.)
1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the 2016 presidential
race: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?
---- Closely ---NET
Very
Smwt
94
66
28
92
60
32
92
59
33
84
39
45
75
30
45

---- Not closely ---NET
Not so
At all
5
4
1
8
5
3
8
5
3
16
10
6
25
13
12

No
opinion
1
*
*
*
*

10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
1/24/16
11/19/15

LV
LV
LV
RV

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
5/20/12
2/4/12*
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11
10/2/11
9/1/11
7/17/11
6/5/11

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV

99
98
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
95
94
93
92
92
93
92
87
82
79
76
69
65
64
66
61
61

66
67
67
68
67
66
69
69
68
66
62
63
63
64
64
60
54
51
38
37
33
26
24
24
25
18
22

33
31
31
31
32
33
30
30
31
33
33
32
31
28
28
33
38
36
44
43
43
43
41
40
40
43
39

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
5
6
8
8
6
8
13
18
20
24
31
34
36
34
39
38

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
4
5
5
4
6
8
9
12
14
18
17
23
20
23
23

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
5
8
8
10
13
17
13
14
15
15

*
*
*
0
0
0
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

91
90
90
89
89
89
90
91
90
89
89
88

64
63
61
60
59
60
59
60
60
59
60
58

28
28
29
29
29
30
31
31
30
30
28
30

8
9
10
11
11
10
10
9
9
11
11
12

5
5
6
7
7
6
6
5
5
6
6
6

4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
6

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

 10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08
4/13/08
3/2/08
2/1/08
1/12/08
12/9/07
11/1/07
9/30/07
7/21/07
6/1/07
4/15/07
2/25/07

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

89
90
90
90
92
89
91
89
84
79
75
83
84
84
81
79
72
67
69
70
66
66
65

57
58
57
57
59
58
55
51
42
36
34
39
37
42
35
32
21
21
21
22
18
20
20

32
32
34
33
33
31
36
38
42
42
41
44
47
42
46
47
51
46
48
48
48
45
44

11
10
10
10
8
11
9
10
16
21
25
17
16
15
19
21
28
33
30
30
34
34
35

6
6
6
6
4
7
5
6
11
12
12
13
11
11
12
15
19
22
21
20
22
20
25

5
4
4
3
4
5
4
5
5
9
13
5
5
4
7
6
8
12
10
10
13
14
10

*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
1
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04
5/23/04
4/18/04
3/7/04
2/11/04

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

90
90
90
90
90
89
89
90
90
90
90
89
87
88
89
88
87
87
88
88
88
87
88
88
88
88
88
88
87
87
85
81
80
73
78
74
75
75
75

58
59
58
58
57
55
55
54
54
54
55
55
54
52
52
53
53
52
52
52
53
52
52
53
53
51
50
49
48
48
45
43
41
34
33
33
30
33
30

32
31
32
32
33
34
34
36
36
36
35
34
33
36
37
35
34
35
36
36
35
35
36
35
35
37
38
39
39
39
40
38
39
39
45
41
45
42
45

9
9
9
9
9
10
10
10
10
10
11
10
12
11
12
12
12
13
13
11
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
14
20
20
27
22
26
25
25
25

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
7
8
7
8
7
7
7
7
8
8
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
8
10
13
13
15
15
17
16
18
15

3
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
7
7
12
7
9
9
7
10

*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*

 1/18/04
10/29/03
9/13/03

66
54
56

11/6/00 LV
92
11/5/00 LV
91
11/4/00 LV
91
11/3/00 LV
91
11/2/00 LV
90
11/1/00 LV
91
10/31/00 LV
90
10/30/00 LV
91
10/29/00 LV
90
10/28/00 LV
89
10/27/00 LV
89
10/26/00 LV
89
10/25/00 LV
89
10/24/00 LV
87
10/23/00 LV
89
10/22/00 LV
88
10/21/00 LV
87
10/20/00 LV
86
10/19/00 LV
85
10/18/00 LV
87
10/17/00 LV
86
10/15/00 RV
77
10/9/00 RV
75
10/1/00 RV
75
9/6/00
RV
74
8/20/00 RV
74
8/10/00 RV
72
8/6/00
53
7/29/00
51
7/23/00
50
6/11/00
49
4/2/00
53
3/11/00
61
2/27/00
70
2/6/00
65
1/16/00
50
12/15/99
45
10/31/99
61
7/17/95
36
7/8/92
76
1/27/92
51
10/10/88 RV
77
8/18/88 RV
68
8/15/88 RV
70
5/25/88
76
9/23/87
50
6/1/87
50
*2/4/12 and previous

22
15
16

44
39
40

35
45
44

22
30
27

13
15
17

*
0
*

54
38
8
6
2
*
53
38
8
6
2
*
52
39
9
7
2
*
51
40
9
6
3
*
48
42
10
7
3
*
48
43
9
7
2
*
46
44
9
7
2
*
47
44
9
7
2
*
47
43
10
7
3
*
47
42
10
7
3
*
48
41
11
7
4
*
47
42
11
8
3
*
47
42
11
8
3
0
44
43
13
10
3
0
44
45
11
8
3
0
44
44
12
9
3
0
46
41
13
9
4
*
46
40
15
11
4
*
44
41
14
10
4
*
42
45
13
10
3
*
40
46
13
10
3
*
33
44
23
15
8
*
30
45
25
16
9
*
27
48
25
17
8
*
26
48
26
17
9
*
28
46
26
16
10
1
29
43
29
18
11
*
17
36
47
22
25
*
16
35
49
25
24
*
14
36
50
25
25
*
13
36
51
26
25
0
17
36
47
24
23
0
21
40
38
21
17
0
24
46
30
20
10
*
19
48
34
21
13
0
11
39
50
26
24
*
12
33
55
31
24
*
16
45
38
25
13
*
7
29
63
33
31
*
28
48
24
16
8
*
14
37
48
25
23
1
31
46
23
17
6
26
42
31
20
11
0
27
43
31
19
12
0
25
51
25
19
6
*
9
41
49
31
18
*
11
39
49
32
17
*
"not too closely" instead of "not so closely"

2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in
the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you
probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

10/13/16 RV

Certain
to vote
85

Probably
vote
6

Chances
50/50
5

Less than
that
3

Don't think
will vote
(vol.)
1

Already
voted
(vol.)
1

No
op.
0

 9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

83
81
81
79
79
80

7
8
8
10
8
9

6
6
6
5
7
5

3
5
4
3
4
3

*
1
1
1
2
2

0
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

*
*
*
1
*
*

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
68
70
72
73
75
76
77
79
79
79
79
80
82
84
85
84
83
81
81

5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
6
6
7
6
5
6
7
7
7
8
9

4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
6
6
4
4
7
6
6
8

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
4
3
2

1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
*

20
19
18
16
16
13
12
11
9
8
6
6
5
4
4
1
0
NA
"

*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
3/2/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
69
71
73
74
76
77
76
78
78
79
80
81
82
81
83
87
87
89
85
84
79
71
78

4
4
5
5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
5
6
6
7
10
10
9
9

3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
5
4
5
4
7
8
7

2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
7
4

1
1
*
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
2
4
2

22
20
19
16
15
13
11
11
10
10
8
6
5
4
4
4
2
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
0
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

76
78
79
80
81
81
81
82
82
82

6
6
5
5
5
5
6
7
7
7

3
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
4

1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
1

1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
*

12
11
11
10
8
8
7
6
6
5

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

 10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
10/29/03

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

82
83
83
84
84
86
87
87
86
87
88
90
90
90
89
87
87
87
87
87
87
84
85
85
70

7
6
6
7
7
6
6
6
7
7
7
6
6
5
6
7
7
8
8
8
7
10
9
7
12

5
4
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
3
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
5
11

1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
6

*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
1

10/15/00
10/9/00
10/1/00
9/6/00
8/20/00
8/10/00
8/6/00
7/29/00
7/23/00
6/11/00
5/10/00
4/2/00
3/11/00
2/27/00
2/6/00
1/16/00
12/15/99
10/31/99

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

82
81
81
78
78
79
64
61
59
60
63
62
63
69
67
65
64
72

10
10
10
12
13
12
12
15
17
13
15
14
14
12
12
14
13
11

6
6
5
5
6
6
11
9
10
11
10
9
9
10
10
10
8
10

2
2
3
3
3
1
8
11
11
10
8
9
9
4
8
6
9
5

1
*
1
1
1
1
5
3
4
4
4
5
4
5
3
4
6
3

4
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
NA

"

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
*

3. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the presidential election were being held today and
the candidates were [(Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats), (Donald Trump and
Mike Pence, the Republicans)], [(Gary Johnson and Bill Weld of the Libertarian Party)
and (Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka of the Green Party)], for whom would you vote? Would
you lean toward [(Clinton and Kaine), (Trump and Pence)], [(Johnson and Weld) or
(Stein and Baraka)]? (IF ALREADY VOTED) Confidentially and for statistical purposes
only, did you vote for...?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS

10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16

Hillary
Clinton
47
46
46
47

Donald
Trump
43
44
41
39

Gary
Johnson
5
5
9
7

Jill
Stein
2
1
2
3

Other
(vol.)
*
*
1
1

None
of these
(vol.)
1
1
1
1

Would
not vote
(vol.)
0
0
0
*

No
opinion
2
3
1
2

 7/14/16*
6/23/16

45
48

39
39

8
6

3
3

1
1

1
1

*
*

2
2

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS

10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16*
6/23/16

Hillary
Clinton
44
41
45
45
42
47

Donald
Trump
40
41
35
37
38
37

Gary
Johnson
6
7
11
8
8
7

Jill
Stein
3
2
3
4
5
3

None
of these
(vol.)
3
3
3
2
2
3

Other
(vol.)
1
1
1
1
1
1

Would
not vote
(vol.)
1
1
1
2
1
*

No
opinion
2
4
1
2
3
3

4. (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE) or is there a
chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND)
Would you say (there's a good chance) you'll change your mind, or would you say (it's
pretty unlikely)?

10/13/16 LV
9/8/16
LV

Definitely
vote for
85
80

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely
14
6
8
20
5
15

No
opinion
1
*

Definitely
vote for
89
83

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely
9
3
7
16
3
13

No
opinion
2
1

Definitely
vote for
88
85

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely
12
6
6
15
3
12

No
opinion
*
0

Definitely
vote for
90
86
85
83
79

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely
9
2
7
13
3
10
13
4
8
15
6
9
19
6
13

No
opinion
1
1
2
2
2

Clinton:

10/13/16 LV
9/8/16
LV
Trump:

10/13/16 LV
9/8/16
LV
Compare to:

10/13/12*LV
9/29/12 RV
9/9/12
RV
8/25/12 RV
7/8/12** RV
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV

94
94
94
93
93
92
91
91
91
91
91
91
90
89

5
5
6
7
7
7
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
10

2
2
2
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
5

3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
6
6
5
5
5
5

1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
1

 10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08

LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

89
88
88
82
83
79
73
72
72
69

10
10
11
17
16
20
24
25
26
28

4
5
4
8
8
8
11
10
11
15

6
6
7
9
8
12
13
15
16
14

1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
2
3

10/31/04 LV
94
5
2
3
1
10/30/04 LV
93
6
2
4
1
10/29/04 LV
93
7
2
4
1
10/28/04 LV
92
7
3
5
*
10/27/04 LV
92
7
3
5
*
10/26/04 LV
91
8
3
6
1
10/25/04 LV
92
8
2
5
1
10/24/04 LV
91
8
3
5
1
10/23/04 LV
91
9
3
6
1
10/22/04 LV
91
8
3
5
1
10/21/04 LV
91
8
3
5
1
10/20/04 LV
91
8
3
5
1
10/19/04 LV
91
8
3
5
1
10/18/04 LV
90
9
3
6
1
10/17/04 LV
90
9
3
6
1
10/16/04 LV
89
10
5
6
1
10/15/04 LV
89
11
4
6
1
10/14/04 LV
88
12
4
7
1
10/13/04 LV
87
12
5
7
1
10/12/04 LV
86
13
5
7
1
10/11/04 LV
86
13
6
7
1
10/10/04 LV
86
13
6
7
1
10/9/04 LV
87
12
5
7
1
10/8/04 LV
88
11
4
7
1
10/7/04 LV
90
10
4
6
1
10/6/04 LV
88
11
4
7
1
10/5/04 LV
87
13
5
7
1
10/4/04 LV
86
14
6
8
1
10/3/04 LV
86
12
6
7
1
9/26/04 RV
82
16
4
12
2
9/8/04
RV
84
14
6
8
2
8/29/04 RV
81
18
7
11
1
8/1/04
RV
80
19
7
12
1
7/25/04 RV
78
20
7
13
2
7/11/04 RV
79
21
7
13
1
6/20/04 RV
73
26
12
14
*
*8/25/12 to 10/13/12: Will you definitely vote for (OBAMA/ROMNEY), or is there a
chance you could change your mind and vote for (CANDIDATE NOT NAMED)?
**7/8/12 and prior: "Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there a
chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else?"
2012 election:
Definitely
vote for
Obama:
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV

89
84
86
84
81

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely
10
15
11
14
17

1
5
4
6
4

9
10
7
8
13

No
opinion
1
1
3
2
2

 Romney:
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV

91
88
85
82
77

7
12
14
16
21

2
1
5
5
8

6
10
9
10
13

1
1
*
3
2

2008 election:
Definitely
vote for

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely

No
opinion

Obama:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

95
94
95
94
94
94
92
92
92
93
92
91
90
89
90
91
90
83
85
78
74
72
71
71

5
5
5
6
6
6
7
7
8
7
7
8
8
9
9
9
9
16
14
21
23
23
26
25

2
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
3
3
3
4
3
4
3
3
3
7
8
9
7
9
7
13

3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
5
6
6
5
6
9
7
12
15
14
19
13

*
1
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
5
3
4

McCain:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

94
93
93
91
91
90
89
90
89
88
89
90
90
89
89
86
86
81
81
80
72
71
72
66

5
6
7
8
8
9
10
10
11
11
10
10
9
11
11
12
14
18
18
19
25
28
27
32

3
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
5
5
6
4
9
9
8
14
12
14
17

3
3
3
4
5
5
6
6
7
8
6
5
5
5
5
6
9
9
9
11
11
17
12
15

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
2
2
2
1
1
2

 2004 election:
Definitely
vote for
Kerry:
10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
7/11/04
6/20/04

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely

No
opinion

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

93
93
94
94
94
93
92
92
91
92
93
94
94
90
89
86
88
88
87
86
85
86
88
88
90
88
87
86
86
84
81
81
83
80
80
74

6
6
5
6
5
7
7
8
9
8
7
5
6
10
11
13
11
11
12
13
14
13
12
11
9
11
12
13
13
15
16
18
16
18
19
26

2
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
3
4
6
5
5
4
5
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
4
5
3
6
6
5
5
7
12

3
4
3
3
3
4
5
6
7
6
5
4
4
7
7
7
6
7
8
8
8
7
6
6
5
7
8
9
8
13
10
12
11
13
13
13

1
1
1
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
2
1
3
1
1
2
1
1

G.W. Bush:
10/31/04 LV
10/30/04 LV
10/29/04 LV
10/28/04 LV
10/27/04 LV
10/26/04 LV
10/25/04 LV
10/24/04 LV
10/23/04 LV
10/22/04 LV
10/21/04 LV
10/20/04 LV
10/19/04 LV
10/18/04 LV
10/17/04 LV
10/16/04 LV
10/15/04 LV
10/14/04 LV
10/13/04 LV
10/12/04 LV

95
94
92
91
91
90
92
93
92
92
91
90
91
91
92
92
91
89
89
88

5
6
7
9
9
9
7
6
7
7
8
9
9
8
7
8
9
10
11
11

2
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
4
4
3
2
3
3
3
4
5

3
4
5
6
7
7
5
4
5
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
6
7
7
6

1
*
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1

 10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
7/11/04
6/20/04

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

88
88
88
89
89
88
87
87
88
83
88
82
79
80
78
80

11
12
11
10
10
11
12
12
11
15
11
16
20
19
22
20

5
5
5
3
3
4
5
6
5
5
5
7
7
7
8
8

5
6
6
7
7
7
7
6
6
10
6
10
13
12
14
12

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
*
*

2000 election:
Definitely
vote for
Gore:
11/6/00
11/5/00
11/4/00
11/3/00
11/2/00
11/1/00
10/31/00
10/30/00
10/29/00
10/28/00
10/27/00
10/26/00
10/25/00
10/24/00
10/23/00
10/22/00
10/21/00
10/20/00
10/19/00
10/18/00
10/17/00
10/15/00
10/9/00
10/1/00
9/6/00
8/20/00
8/6/00
7/23/00

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

G.W. Bush:
11/6/00 LV
11/5/00 LV
11/4/00 LV
11/3/00 LV
11/2/00 LV
11/1/00 LV
10/31/00 LV
10/30/00 LV
10/29/00 LV
10/28/00 LV
10/27/00 LV

92
91
90
88
84
83
83
88
88
88
85
85
84
83
83
80
80
78
80
80
80
75
71
68
69
71
65
58
92
91
89
88
88
90
89
87
87
86
88

- Chance change mind NET
Good
Unlikely

23
25
31
29
27
32
41

No
opinion

3
4
4
5
7
7
6
4
5
5
6
6
7
7
7
7
8
10
8
8
8
10
10
15
11
9
14
15

4
5
6
6
9
9
11
8
7
6
8
8
8
8
9
11
10
11
9
9
9
13
15
15
18
18
18
26

1
*
*
1
1
1
1
0
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
3
3
4
2
2
2
3
2

3
3
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
6

4
4
5
6
6
5
4
7
6
7
6

1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

 10/26/00
10/25/00
10/24/00
10/23/00
10/22/00
10/21/00
10/20/00
10/19/00
10/18/00
10/17/00
10/15/00
10/9/00
10/1/00
9/6/00
8/20/00
8/6/00
7/23/00

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

86
86
85
85
86
87
86
85
84
83
76
72
71
70
68
68
63

5
4
5
6
5
5
4
6
6
8
12
11
14
13
12
14
14

24
25
27
29
31
30
35

8
9
10
8
8
7
9
9
9
8
12
14
13
16
20
16
22

1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
2
1
1
1
2

1992 election:
Compare to: Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE) in November, or is there at
least a chance you'll change your mind before then?
Definitely
vote for

Chance
change mind

No
opinion

Clinton:
10/27/92 LV
10/4/92 LV
9/27/92 LV

82
75
76

17
25
24

1
0
0

G.H.W. Bush:
10/27/92 LV
10/4/92 LV
9/27/92 LV

81
73
67

18
26
33

1
0
0

Definitely
vote for

Chance
change mind

No
opinion

85
82
75
78
77
74
71
75

14
16
22
21
22
25
26
24

0
2
4
1
1
1
3
1

81
80
80
78
75
68
67
68

18
18
18
21
23
30
31
31

0
1
2
1
1
2
2
1

1988 election:

Dukakis:
10/31/88
10/25/88
10/18/88
10/12/88
10/9/88
10/4/88
9/27/88
9/19/88

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV

G.H.W. Bush:
10/31/88
10/25/88
10/18/88
10/12/88
10/9/88
10/4/88
9/27/88
9/19/88

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV

 5. (IF NOT CLINTON OR TRUMP) If the only candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim
Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom
would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or toward (Trump and
Pence)?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS

10/13/16*
9/22/16*
9/8/16*
8/4/16**
7/14/16***
6/23/16
5/19/16

Clinton
50
49
51
51
50
52
46

Trump
46
47
43
44
43
41
49

Other
(vol.)
*
*
*
1
1
2
2

Neither
(vol.)
2
1
3
2
5
4
3

Would not
vote (vol.)
1
2
1
0
0
0
0

No
opinion
1
1
1
1
2
1
*

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – REG VOTERS
Other
Neither
Would not
No
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
(vol.)
vote (vol.)
opinion
10/13/16*
50
44
*
3
2
1
9/22/16*
46
46
*
3
3
2
9/8/16*
51
40
*
4
3
2
8/4/16**
50
42
1
4
1
1
7/14/16***
47
43
2
6
*
2
6/23/16
51
39
2
6
1
1
5/19/16
44
46
2
5
2
1
3/6/16
50
41
1
3
5
1
12/13/15
50
44
1
3
2
1
9/10/15
46
43
1
6
4
1
*Results based on total sample. Respondents who named Clinton or Trump in Q3 assigned
to initial preference.
**8/4/16 and earlier: If the presidential election were being held today and the
candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and
Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton
and Kaine) or toward (Trump and Pence)?
***7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat” and “Donald Trump, the
Republican.”
6. (IF NAMED CLINTON OR TRUMP) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about
supporting (Clinton/Trump), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not
enthusiastic at all?
--- Enthusiastic ---NET
Very
Somewhat

--- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not so
Not at all

No
opinion

Clinton:
10/13/16 LV
9/22/16 LV
9/8/16
LV

83
81
82

43
46
36

40
35
46

16
18
18

9
10
12

7
8
6

1
1
0

Trump:
10/13/16 LV
9/22/16 LV
9/8/16
LV

79
91
85

47
55
48

32
36
37

21
8
15

12
5
10

9
3
4

*
1
*

2012 election:
--- Enthusiastic ---NET
Very
Somewhat

--- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not so
Not at all

No
opinion

Obama:
11/4/12

LV

95

69

27

4

2

2

1

 11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

95
95
95
95
96
97
95
95
94
94
96
95
96
96
94
91
93
88
91
93

69
69
66
64
64
65
66
64
61
59
60
60
62
64
55
51
56
48
51
51

26
27
30
31
32
32
30
31
33
35
35
35
34
32
40
40
38
39
40
41

5
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
5
9
7
11
8
7

2
2
2
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
7
3
7
5
4

3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
3
4

1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
1
0
0
1
1
0

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

93
94
94
95
94
95
95
94
95
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
92
87
87
83
85
75

61
62
63
62
62
61
61
61
59
59
58
60
62
62
58
62
59
48
46
42
38
26

32
32
31
33
32
35
34
33
36
35
35
33
31
32
35
31
33
39
40
41
47
48

6
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
5
6
7
7
6
6
6
7
8
13
13
17
15
25

4
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
3
5
5
5
5
4
5
4
5
6
7
12
11
15

2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
7
6
4
4
9

*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1

Romney:
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12

Compare to: Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are
you about [NAME] - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or
not enthusiastic at all?
2008 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly
Obama:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV

97
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96

68
67
67
68
68
68
65
65
66

29
29
29
29
28
28
31
31
30

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all
2
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3

1
2
3
2
3
2
2
3
2

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

No
opinion
*
*
*
0
*
1
1
1
1

 10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
6/15/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

97
97
95
94
95
95
96
96
95
94
96
95
91

68
71
70
67
64
65
64
66
61
62
64
52
52

29
26
25
28
31
31
32
30
34
32
32
43
39

3
3
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
6
4
5
9

3
3
4
5
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
2
7

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
3
2

*
0
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
*
*

McCain:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
6/15/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

88
90
89
88
87
86
85
83
87
86
88
89
88
88
88
87
87
90
89
92
86
74

41
41
41
41
39
39
37
35
36
38
39
39
40
37
38
40
31
38
34
46
28
19

47
48
47
46
47
47
48
49
51
48
49
50
48
51
50
47
57
52
55
46
58
55

11
10
11
12
13
13
15
16
13
14
11
10
12
11
12
13
13
10
10
8
13
25

9
8
8
9
9
10
12
13
11
11
9
8
10
10
11
11
10
7
8
6
11
19

2
2
2
3
4
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
6

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
0
*
1
0
1
1

2004 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly
Kerry:
10/26/04
10/23/04
10/17/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all

No
opinion

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

92
91
94
91
85
87
85
89
92
90
85

46
50
45
50
42
39
39
40
56
41
34

47
41
49
42
43
47
46
49
36
49
51

7
9
6
8
13
12
14
11
7
10
15

6
7
5
8
10
9
10
9
6
9
12

1
1
1
*
4
3
4
2
1
1
3

1
1
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
0
0

G.W. Bush:
10/26/04 LV
10/23/04 LV
10/17/04 LV
10/3/04 LV
9/26/04 LV
9/26/04 RV
9/8/04
RV

91
93
93
94
94
91
95

55
60
59
57
65
61
63

36
33
35
37
29
31
32

9
7
6
6
5
8
5

8
6
6
4
4
6
4

1
1
1
1
1
2
*

*
*
1
*
1
*
*

 8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04

RV
RV
RV
RV

94
90
90
90

56
53
49
50

38
37
41
40

6
10
10
9

5
8
8
7

1
2
1
2

*
*
*
*

2000 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly
Gore:
4/2/00
2/27/00*
3/14/99

45
43
39

17
17
12

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all

28
26
27

55
56
59

G.W. Bush:
4/2/00
50
20
29
50
2/27/00*
50
18
32
50
3/14/99
55
17
38
42
*2/27/00 and previous "possible candidacy"

No
opinion

23
23
24

32
33
35

*
1
1

24
19
21

26
30
21

*
1
3

7. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would
you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate) in your
congressional district? Would you lean toward the (Democratic candidate) or toward
the (Republican candidate)? (IF ALREADY VOTED) Did you vote for …?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS

10/13/16

Dem
cand.
47

Rep
cand.
44

Other
(vol.)
1

Neither
(vol.)
2

Would not
vote (vol.)
1

No
opinion
5

Neither
(vol.)
3
3
2
3
4
3
2
3
3
4
5
4
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
3
1
1
3
2
3
3
2

Would not
vote (vol.)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
*
1
1
*
*
*
1
2
1
1
1
*

No
opinion
5
6
5
5
4
4
7
5
5
3
4
6
3
5
5
5
4
6
4
4
3
3
4
5
4
4
3

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS

10/13/16
5/19/16
10/26/14
10/12/14
9/7/14
6/1/14
4/27/14
3/2/14
1/23/14
12/15/13
10/20/13
5/19/13
10/28/10
10/3/10
9/2/10*
7/11/10
6/6/10
4/25/10
3/26/10
2/8/10
10/22/06
10/8/06
9/7/06
8/6/06
6/25/06
5/15/06
4/9/06

Dem
cand.
48
45
47
46
46
47
45
46
45
47
48
48
49
47
45
46
47
48
48
45
54
54
50
52
52
52
55

Rep
cand.
42
45
44
44
44
45
44
45
46
45
40
40
44
43
47
47
44
43
44
48
41
41
42
39
39
40
40

Other
(vol.)
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
*
2
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
*

 1/26/06
12/18/05
11/2/05
7/15/02
1/27/02**
9/6/00
7/23/00
2/27/00
10/31/99
9/2/99
3/14/99
2/14/99
1/30/99
11/1/98
10/25/98
10/18/98
9/28/98
9/13/98
8/21/98
7/12/98
1/31/98
1/19/98
10/8/96
9/29/96
9/22/96
9/15/96
9/4/96
8/29/96
8/28/96
8/27/96
8/26/96
8/25/96
8/24/96
8/19/96
8/18/96
8/15/96
8/14/96
8/13/96
8/12/96
8/11/96
8/10/96
8/5/96
6/30/96
5/22/96
3/17/96
3/10/96
1/21/96
11/13/95
10/1/95
11/6/94
10/31/94
10/23/94
10/9/94
9/11/94
8/7/94
3/27/94
2/27/94
10/21/91
7/28/91
6/2/91
11/4/90
10/14/90
9/9/90

54
51
52
47
43
49
46
45
50
48
50
48
49
51
48
49
49
49
48
47
49
47
51
48
50
49
48
53
51
51
51
48
47
49
45
46
48
49
49
49
49
48
49
52
48
51
52
51
49
47
48
50
46
50
49
49
50
51
49
48
51
50
47

38
41
37
46
50
42
45
46
43
44
41
41
39
43
43
44
44
43
45
45
40
44
41
41
43
45
44
39
40
41
41
43
43
42
46
43
42
43
42
40
41
45
44
41
48
43
43
43
44
42
44
45
47
45
42
35
40
41
41
42
41
41
46

1
1
1
1
NA

3
3
4
1
2
2
3
2
3
3
2
3
8
4
3
3
2
3
3
2
2
3
2
3
2
1
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
3
3
3
4
4
2
3
3
2
2
3
4
3
5
4
2
3
1
4
6
8
4
6
4
5
5
3

1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
*
1
1
*
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
*
*
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
*
*
*

5
4
6
4
5
6
5
5
3
5
6
7
3
2
4
4
4
4
3
6
8
5
5
7
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
6
5
6
5
5
6
5
4
3
3
2
4
1
2
3
5
3
2
2
4
4
9
2
4
3
5
3
3
3

 7/24/90
51
41
4
1
5/21/90
47
45
5
1
10/10/88
52
41
2
1
9/19/88
51
39
3
1
6/22/85
48
44
5
*
10/16/84
52
44
2
NA
9/11/84
53
45
2
7/8/84
58
40
2
10/27/82
58
39
NA
10/11/82
55
36
9/13/82
58
36
11/22/81
53
41
"
"
"
*9/2/10 and previous: "Will not vote (vol.)"
**1/27/02 and previous: No "other candidate" option recorded

4
2
4
6
3
5
1
1
3
9
6
7

Back to the election,
8. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of [ITEM]? Do you feel
that way strongly or somewhat?
10/13/16 - Summary Table
LIKELY VOTERS

a. Hillary Clinton
b. Donald Trump

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
42
23
20
37
21
16

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
56
11
45
62
9
53

No
opinion
2
1

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
40
21
19
35
19
16

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
57
13
44
63
10
53

No
opinion
2
2

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
43
21
21
31
17
14

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
53
13
40
66
11
54

No
opinion
4
4

REGISTERED VOTERS

a. Hillary Clinton
b. Donald Trump
GEN POP
a. Hillary Clinton
b. Donald Trump
Trend among gen pop:
a. Hillary Clinton

10/13/16
9/30/16
9/22/16
8/28/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/12/16
5/19/16
3/6/16
1/10/16
11/8/15
10/11/15
8/30/15
7/12/15

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
43
21
21
45
26
20
41
21
20
41
20
22
48
28
20
42
21
21
43
25
18
44
22
22
46
24
22
48
24
24
46
23
24
47
20
26
45
21
24
52
25
26

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
53
13
40
53
11
42
55
14
42
56
15
40
50
7
42
54
11
44
55
16
39
53
12
41
52
11
41
49
13
36
51
13
38
49
14
35
53
14
39
45
14
30

No
opinion
4
2
4
3
2
4
2
3
2
3
3
5
2
4

 5/31/15
3/29/15
1/23/14
6/23/13
1/20/13
12/2/12
4/22/12
8/22/08 RV
6/15/08
4/13/08
1/12/08
11/1/07
2/25/07
1/19/07
12/11/06
5/15/06
3/5/06
6/5/05
6/1/03
9/2/99
6/6/99
3/14/99
2/14/99
11/1/98
8/21/98
8/19/98
4/4/98
1/30/98
1/19/98
3/9/97
9/4/96 RV
6/30/96
1/21/96
1/19/96
10/31/94
5/15/94
3/27/94
1/23/94
11/14/93
8/8/93
4/26/93
2/23/93
1/17/93
7/8/92
3/18/92

45
49
58
61
67
66
65
52
54
44
58
50
49
54
56
54
52
51
44
49
59
60
63
64
64
64
58
60
52
47
47
44
28
32
47
54
53
55
58
59
54
59
51
30
28

24
30
32
31
35
35
33
29
26
22
32
28
25
31
27
29
27
NA
15
NA

21
20
26
30
32
30
32
23
28
23
26
22
24
23
29
25
25
NA
29
NA

"

"

49
46
38
33
26
28
27
44
43
54
40
46
48
44
40
42
46
46
48
44
35
36
31
31
28
32
33
30
39
44
42
47
36
34
44
41
39
34
33
33
26
24
20
26
22

10
11
12
13
12
14
14
14
17
15
11
11
13
14
11
11
12
NA
16
NA

39
35
26
21
14
14
13
30
26
39
29
35
35
30
29
31
33
NA
32
NA

"

"

6
4
4
6
6
6
8
4
3
2
2
4
3
3
4
4
2
3
8
7
6
4
6
5
8
4
10
10
9
9
12
9
36
34
8
5
8
11
9
8
20
18
29
43
51

b. Donald Trump

10/13/16
9/30/16
9/22/16
8/28/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/12/16
5/19/16
4/10/16
3/6/16
1/10/16
11/8/15
9/27/15

------- Favorable ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
31
17
14
34
18
17
35
18
17
35
16
18
34
16
18
31
15
16
29
15
14
37
18
19
31
14
17
30
15
14
35
17
18
38
16
23
35
14
21

------ Unfavorable -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
66
11
54
64
13
51
59
14
45
63
16
47
63
11
52
64
13
52
70
14
56
60
11
49
67
14
53
67
11
56
62
14
48
59
13
46
60
19
41

No
opinion
4
1
6
3
3
4
1
3
2
3
3
3
5

 8/30/15
37
16
21
59
16
43
4
7/12/15
33
14
19
61
16
45
6
5/31/15
16
7
9
71
16
55
13
12/18/11
40
12
29
48
21
27
12
1/16/00*
20
NA
NA
70
NA
NA
11
10/31/99*
18
"
"
70
"
"
12
* "Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of Donald Trump, or perhaps you don't know enough to say."
9. ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I have a question about the second presidential debate
between (Clinton) and (Trump) on Sunday night. From what you have seen, heard or read
about it - who, in your opinion, won the debate?
Neither/
Draw/Tie
No
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
opinion
10/13/16 LV
45
33
11
10
10/13/16 RV
45
32
12
11
9/30/16* RV
51
21
17
10
*” I have a question about the presidential debate between (Hillary Clinton) and
(Donald Trump) on Monday night. From what you have seen, heard or read about it - who,
in your opinion, won the debate?”
10. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Trump said in the debate that if he were in charge of
the law, Clinton would be in jail for her use of a private email server while
secretary of state. Do you think this is an appropriate or inappropriate comment?
10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

Appropriate
41
40

Inappropriate
57
57

No opinion
2
3

11. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think Hillary Clinton [ITEM], or not?
10/13/16 – Summary Table (among likely voters)
a. is qualified to serve as president
b. is honest and trustworthy
c. has the kind of personality and
temperament it takes to serve effectively as president
d. has strong moral character

Yes
60
36

No
39
60

No opinion
1
4

58
45

41
52

Yes
59
34

No
40
62

No opinion
1
4

59
45

40
52

2
3

1
3

10/13/16 – Summary Table (among registered voters)
a. is qualified to serve as president
b. is honest and trustworthy
c. has the kind of personality and
temperament it takes to serve effectively as president
d. has strong moral character
Trend:
a. is qualified to serve as president

10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV
9/22/16 RV

------- Qualified ------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
60
NA
NA
59
NA
NA
57
NA
NA

----- Not qualified ----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
39
NA
NA
40
NA
NA
43
NA
NA

No
opinion
1
1
1

 9/8/16
RV
59
NA
NA
40
8/4/16* RV
59
41
18
39
7/14/16 RV
56
38
18
42
6/23/16 RV
59
40
19
40
5/19/16 RV
59
NA
NA
40
*8/4/16 and previous: Regardless of whether or not
Hillary Clinton is or is not qualified to serve as
strongly or somewhat?

NA
4
4
4
NA
you’d vote
president?

NA
1
36
2
37
2
36
1
NA
2
for her, do you think
Do you feel that way

b. is honest and trustworthy
10/13/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
3/6/16
9/10/15
5/31/15
3/29/15
6/1/14
4/13/08
5/15/06

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Yes
36
34
33
34
38
33
33
38
43
51
38
51

No
60
62
62
63
60
64
62
56
51
44
59
44

No opinion
4
4
5
3
3
3
4
5
6
5
3
5

c. has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as
president
10/13/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
8/4/16
3/6/16
9/10/15

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Yes
58
59
55
59
54
52

No
41
40
42
40
44
45

No opinion
1
2
3
1
2
2

d. Has strong moral character
Yes
No
No opinion
10/16/16 LV
45
52
3
5/22/16*
39
59
2
*Gallup “Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say
whether you think each applies or doesn’t apply to Hillary Clinton. How about has
strong moral character?”
12. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think Donald Trump [ITEM], or not?
10/13/16 – Summary Table (among likely voters)
a. is qualified to serve as president
b. is honest and trustworthy
c. has the kind of personality and
temperament it takes to serve effectively as president
d. has strong moral character

Yes
40
35

No
57
62

36
30

62
66

Yes
39
34

No
58
64

No opinion
3
3
2
4

10/13/16 – Summary Table (among registered voters)
a. is qualified to serve as president
b. is honest and trustworthy
c. has the kind of personality and

No opinion
3
3

 temperament it takes to serve effectively as president
d. has strong moral character

34
30

64
66

3
4

Trend:
a. is qualified to serve as president
------- Qualified ----------- Not qualified ----No
NET
Strongly
Somewhat
NET
Somewhat
Strongly
opinion
10/13/16 LV
40
NA
NA
57
NA
NA
3
10/13/16 RV
39
NA
NA
58
NA
NA
3
9/22/16 RV
43
NA
NA
53
NA
NA
3
9/8/16
RV
37
NA
NA
61
NA
NA
2
8/4/16* RV
40
22
18
58
7
51
2
7/14/16 RV
39
20
19
58
9
49
3
6/23/16 RV
36
20
16
62
7
55
2
5/19/16 RV
41
NA
NA
56
NA
NA
2
9/10/15 RV
42
NA
NA
56
NA
NA
2
*8/4/16 and previous: Regardless of whether or not you’d vote for him, do you think
Donald Trump is or is not qualified to serve as president? Do you feel that way
strongly or somewhat?
b. is honest and trustworthy
10/13/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
3/6/16
9/10/15

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Yes
35
34
42
34
36
28
39

No
62
64
53
63
60
68
56

No opinion
3
3
5
3
4
4
5

c. has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as
president
10/13/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
8/4/16
3/6/16
9/10/15

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Yes
36
34
38
33
26
35

No
62
64
58
65
71
61

No opinion
2
3
4
2
3
3

d. Has strong moral character
Yes
No
No opinion
10/13/16 LV
30
66
4
5/22/16*
36
62
2
*Gallup “Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say
whether you think each applies or doesn’t apply to Donald Trump. How about has strong
moral character?”
13. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think Donald Trump’s views reflect the core
values of the Republican Party, or not?
10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV
7/19/15 RV

Yes
35
35
31

No
57
57
57

No opinion
7
8
13

Trend among leaned Republicans:

 10/13/16
10/13/16
5/19/16
7/19/15

LV
RV
RV
RV

50
49
45
33

42
44
48
56

8
7
7
11

14. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] – (Clinton) or
(Trump)? And who do you trust more to handle [NEXT ITEM]?
10/13/16 – Summary Table (among likely voters)
Both
Neither
No
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
(vol.)
opinion
a. The economy
48
47
1
4
1
b. Terrorism
49
47
0
3
1
c. Immigration issues
47
47
*
4
1
d. An international crisis
55
41
0
4
1
e. Ethics in government
47
39
1
11
2
f. Looking out for the middle class
51
39
1
8
1
g. Women’s rights
68
24
1
6
1
*Full sample asked items a; half sample asked items b-d; other half asked items e-g.
10/13/16 – Summary Table (among registered voters)
Both
Neither
No
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
(vol.)
opinion
a. The economy
46
47
1
5
1
b. Terrorism
48
46
*
4
2
c. Immigration issues
48
47
*
4
1
d. An international crisis
55
39
*
4
1
e. Ethics in government
45
37
1
14
3
f. Looking out for the middle class
51
37
1
10
2
g. Women’s rights
69
22
1
6
1
*Full sample asked items a; half sample asked items b-d; other half asked items e-g.
Trend:
a. The economy

10/13/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16
3/6/16

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Clinton
48
46
43
50
47
43
45
46

Trump
47
47
50
44
49
48
48
49

Both
(vol.)
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
4
5
3
5
3
7
6
4

No
opinion
1
1
3
1
1
1
1
1

b. Terrorism

10/13/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16
3/6/16

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Clinton
49
48
45
47
47
47
50
47
51

Trump
47
46
47
44
46
44
42
46
43

Both
(vol.)
0
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
3
4
5
7
3
8
7
6
4

No
opinion
1
2
3
2
3
1
1
1
1

 11/19/15* RV
50
*"threat of terrorism"

43

*

6

1

Trump
47
47
45
44
43
39
44
40

Both
(vol.)
*
*
1
*
1
0
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
4
4
3
5
3
6
4
4

No
opinion
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
1

Both
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

4
4
5
4
8
7
5

1
1
2
1
1
2
1

c. Immigration issues

10/13/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16
3/6/16

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Clinton
47
48
48
49
52
54
50
54

d. An international crisis

10/13/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16
3/6/16

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Clinton

Trump

55
55
52
59
56
54
59

41
39
40
35
35
37
35

0
*
1
1
1
0
*

e. Ethics in government

10/13/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
5/19/16

LV
RV
RV
RV

Clinton
47
45
43
42

Trump
39
37
44
43

Both
(vol.)
1
1
1
*

Neither
(vol.)
11
14
9
13

No
opinion
2
3
3
2

f. Looking out for the middle class

10/13/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
7/14/16
5/19/16

LV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Clinton
51
51
47
47
50

Trump
39
37
43
41
36

Both
(vol.)
1
1
*
0
0

Neither
(vol.)
8
10
6
10
10

No
opinion
1
2
3
2
3

g. No trend
15. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) There’s a videotape recorded 11 years ago in which
Trump talks about his sexual advances toward women. Given what you’ve heard or read
about it, do Trump’s comments on this tape make you (more) likely to vote for him for
president, (less) likely, or won’t it make any difference in your vote?

10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

More
likely
1
1

Less
likely
35
35

No
difference
64
63

No
opinion
*
1

 16. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Trump has apologized for his comments on this tape.
Do you think his apology is sincere or not sincere?
10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

Sincere
40
38

Not sincere
57
57

No opinion
3
5

17. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) (Men: In your experience) (Women: As far as you
know), are Trump’s comments typical locker-room talk by men, or do his comments go
beyond how men typically talk about women?

10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

Typical
locker-room
41
40

Beyond how men
typically talk
52
52

No
opinion
7
8

18. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think Trump probably has or has not made
unwanted sexual advances toward women?
10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

Has
68
68

Has not
14
14

No opinion
19
18

19. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Trump says that Hillary Clinton has unfairly
criticized women who accused her husband of sexual assault. Do you think this is or is
not a legitimate issue in the presidential election?

10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

Legitimate
issue
35
34

Not legitimate
issue
62
62

No
opinion
4
4

20. (IF LEGITIMATE ISSUE) How important is this issue in your vote for president:
Extremely important, very important, somewhat important, not so important or not
important at all?

10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

--- Important issue -NET
Extremely
Very
39
16
23
39
16
23

Somewhat
30
32

----- Not important ----NET
Not so
Not at all
30
14
16
28
14
14

No
opinion
1
1

19/20 NET:

10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

---------------- Legitimate issue ----------------Not
Not
No
NET
Extremely
Very
Smwht
So
at all
op.
35
6
8
10
5
6
*
34
5
8
11
5
5
*

Not
legitimate
62
62

No
op.
4
4

21. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Do you think [ITEM] is or is not a legitimate issue
in the presidential election?
10/13/16 – Summary Table (among likely voters)
a. Trump’s treatment of women
b. Bill Clinton’s treatment of women

Legitimate issue
55
31

10/13/16 – Summary Table (among registered voters)

Not legitimate
43
67

No opinion
2
2

 a. Trump’s treatment of women
b. Bill Clinton’s treatment of women

Legitimate issue
55
30

Not legitimate
42
67

No opinion
3
3

22. (IF LEGITIMATE ISSUE) How important is this issue in your vote for president:
Extremely important, very important, somewhat important, not so important or not
important at all?
a. Trump’s treatment of women

10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

--- Important issue -NET
Extremely
Very
65
37
28
66
37
29

Somewhat
23
22

----- Not important ----NET
Not so
Not at all
12
8
4
12
7
5

No
opinion
0
0

Somewhat
29
28

----- Not important ----NET
Not so
Not at all
28
17
11
27
15
12

No
opinion
2
1

b. Bill Clinton’s treatment of women

10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

--- Important issue -NET
Extremely
Very
42
23
19
44
22
22

21/22 NET:
a. Trump’s treatment of women

10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

---------------- Legitimate issue ----------------Not
Not
No
NET
Extremely
Very
Smwht
So
at all
op.
55
20
16
13
4
2
*
55
20
16
12
4
3
1

Not
legitimate
43
42

No
op.
2
3

Not
legitimate
67
67

No
op.
2
3

b. Bill Clinton’s treatment of women

10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV

---------------- Legitimate issue ----------------Not
Not
No
NET
Extremely
Very
Smwht
So
at all
op.
31
7
6
9
5
3
*
30
7
6
8
4
4
*

23. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Would you be (more likely) to vote for a candidate
for Congress who supports Donald Trump for president, (less likely), or wouldn't it
make much difference in your vote?

10/13/16 LV
10/13/16 RV
5/19/16 RV

---- More likely ---NET
Much
Somewhat
19
13
6
17
12
5
20
14
6

---- Less likely ---NET
Somewhat
Much
38
8
30
37
8
29
34
4
29

No
diff.
41
43
45

No
op.
2
2
1

Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a
Republican), an independent or what?
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16

Democrat
33
33
34
33

Republican
25
23
24
23

Independent
33
36
33
36

Other (vol.)
5
6
5
5

No opinion
4
3
3
3

 7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16
3/6/16
1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
10/18/15
9/10/15

33
36
33
34
34
33
33
30
33

23
24
25
25
23
23
23
24
22

35
33
35
32
34
34
36
39
35

5
5
4
5
5
5
4
4
5

3
2
3
5
4
5
4
2
4

*** END***
METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS
This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The
poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and
Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish.
This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as
they appear in this document. Demographics and religious identity questions are not
shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical
preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by
parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for
respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters.
Results preceded by “LV” indicate results among likely voters.
A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random
Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers,
first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. The final
sample included 403 interviews completed on landlines and 749 interviews completed via
cellular phones, including 508 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households.
This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the
survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for
differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult
sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among
individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also
weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education
and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey Social and
Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education.
All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which
is 1.3 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s
deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision
due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a
design effect overstate their precision.
Group
All adults
Registered voters
Likely voters
Half sample

Unweighted
sample size
1,152
920
740
458-461

Error margin
+/- 3 points
3.5
4
5

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