Presidential race 
 
Table 1: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for ' by 'Likely Voters' 

 Likely Voters (N = 
 
 
713) 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
33.9 
(± 3.8) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
39.0 
(± 4.3) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 5.9 
(± 1.6) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 0.5 
(± 0.4) 

Haven't 
decided 
20.7 
(± 4.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for ' by 'Party registration from sample' 

 
Republican (N = 168) 
 
 
Democrat (N = 413) 
Independent/Other 
(N = 132) 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
60.0 
(± 7.5) 
11.5 
(± 3.3) 
27.9 
(± 7.2) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
15.2 
(± 6.6) 
70.9 
(± 4.5) 
35.8 
(± 9.0) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 5.3 
(± 4.2) 
 2.2 
(± 1.5) 
 9.3 
(± 2.0) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 0.3 
(± 0.4) 
 1.0 
(± 0.8) 
 0.4 
(± 0.8) 

Haven't 
decided 
19.3 
(± 7.5) 
14.4 
(± 3.5) 
26.6 
(± 8.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 3: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for ' by ' Generally speaking, do you usually 
think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?' 

 
Republican (N = 174) 
 
 
Democrat (N = 316) 
Independent/Other 
(N = 218) 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
69.0 
(± 8.0) 
 4.4 
(± 3.1) 
25.6 
(± 6.3) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
10.5 
(± 6.0) 
84.3 
(± 5.2) 
31.4 
(± 7.0) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 3.9 
(± 2.6) 
 0.5 
(± 0.5) 
11.4 
(± 3.5) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 0.5 
(± 0.6) 
 1.0 
(± 0.9) 

Haven't 
decided 
16.6 
(± 8.9) 
10.2 
(± 4.5) 
30.5 
(± 6.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  708 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 4: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for ' by ' For whom did you vote for 
President in the 2012 election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or didn't you vote 
in the presidential election in 2012?' 

 Barack Obama (N = 
 
 
407) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
193) 
Someone else (N = 
27) 
Didn't vote (N = 72) 
Don't know (N = 14) 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
 9.6 
(± 4.4) 
65.1 
(± 6.7) 
37.0 
(±21.2) 
41.9 
(±12.1) 
18.6 
(±18.0) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
70.9 
(± 6.6) 
 7.0 
(± 4.1) 
27.1 
(±29.8) 
13.8 
(± 7.1) 
11.6 
(±13.6) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 2.4 
(± 1.8) 
10.3 
(± 3.5) 
11.8 
(±12.9) 
 4.0 
(± 0.9) 
 6.5 
(±11.4) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 0.8 
(± 0.8) 
 0.0 
(± 0.1) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 1.2 
(± 1.6) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 

Haven't 
decided 
16.3 
(± 5.5) 
17.5 
(± 6.4) 
24.1 
(±18.4) 
39.2 
(±10.9) 
63.3 
(±28.2) 

 Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 5: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for ' by 'Level of Education' 
Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
 
High School or Less 
 
 
49.5 
(N = 103) 
(±10.4) 
Some College (N = 
39.8 
201) 
(± 8.5) 
Bachelor's or more (N  28.6 
= 409) 
(± 5.0) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
29.7 
(± 9.0) 
28.6 
(± 6.2) 
44.9 
(± 5.8) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 1.0 
(± 1.9) 
 7.7 
(± 2.6) 
 6.1 
(± 2.4) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 0.1 
(± 0.2) 
 0.7 
(± 0.8) 
 0.5 
(± 0.6) 

Haven't 
decided 
19.7 
(± 8.1) 
23.2 
(± 9.2) 
19.8 
(± 5.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 0.4 
(± 0.4) 
 0.7 
(± 0.7) 

Haven't 
decided 
15.9 
(± 6.2) 
25.5 
(± 5.7) 

Table 6: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for ' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 343) 
 
Female (N = 370) 

 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
36.3 
(± 5.2) 
31.5 
(± 5.6) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
39.4 
(± 6.8) 
38.6 
(± 5.2) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 8.1 
(± 3.0) 
 3.7 
(± 1.4) 

 Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 7: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for ' by 'Racial Background' 

 
White (N = 530) 
 
 
Hispanic (N = 82) 
Other (N = 93) 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
37.6 
(± 4.5) 
25.6 
(±11.4) 
21.8 
(± 9.5) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
37.5 
(± 5.1) 
32.0 
(± 8.7) 
53.2 
(±12.3) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 5.8 
(± 1.8) 
 5.5 
(± 5.5) 
 5.2 
(± 2.6) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 0.6 
(± 0.5) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 0.5 
(± 0.9) 

Haven't 
decided 
18.5 
(± 5.1) 
36.9 
(± 9.3) 
19.3 
(±11.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  705 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 1.1 
(± 1.0) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 

Haven't 
decided 
35.2 
(±12.7) 
24.4 
(±10.7) 

Table 8: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for ' by 'Age' 

 
Age 18-35 (N = 131) 
 
 
Age 36-50 (N = 106) 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
15.7 
(± 4.9) 
26.5 
(±10.5) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
40.5 
(±12.0) 
37.5 
(±10.7) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 7.6 
(± 1.6) 
11.5 
(± 5.9) 

 Age 51+ (N = 476) 

43.7 
(± 4.8) 

39.0 
(± 4.1) 

 3.1 
(± 1.7) 

 0.5 
(± 0.6) 

13.7 
(± 3.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 0.8 
(± 0.6) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 

Haven't 
decided 
22.3 
(± 6.0) 
12.2 
(± 4.3) 
20.4 
(± 6.4) 

Table 9: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for ' by 'Region' 

 
Maricopa (N = 423) 
 
 
Pima (N = 108) 
Rest of Arizona (N = 
182) 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
32.4 
(± 5.3) 
26.1 
(± 5.3) 
41.6 
(± 6.6) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
41.2 
(± 6.3) 
54.1 
(± 6.0) 
25.8 
(± 4.1) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 3.3 
(± 2.2) 
 7.7 
(± 0.5) 
12.1 
(± 3.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 10: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for ' by 'Fulltime residents' 

 Fulltime residents (N 
 
 
= 690) 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
34.1 
(± 3.9) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
38.7 
(± 4.3) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 5.9 
(± 1.6) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 0.5 
(± 0.4) 

Haven't 
decided 
20.9 
(± 4.2) 

 Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  690 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 

 Likely Voters (N = 
 
 
713) 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
37.8 
(± 4.0) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
43.3 
(± 3.8) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 6.5 
(± 1.7) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 4.3 
(± 1.2) 

Haven't 
decided 
 8.1 
(± 2.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 12: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for, or who are you leaning towards 
(composite question asked only of likely voters)?' by 'Party registration from sample' 
Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
67.0 
168) 
(± 8.4) 
Democrat (N = 413)  11.8 
(± 3.3) 
Independent/Othe 31.7 
r (N = 132) 
(± 7.2) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
16.0 
(± 6.7) 
75.9 
(± 4.1) 
42.6 
(± 7.6) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 5.3 
(± 4.2) 
 3.5 
(± 1.8) 
 9.9 
(± 2.2) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 2.2 
(± 2.3) 
 2.6 
(± 1.7) 
 7.5 
(± 1.9) 

Haven't 
decided 
 9.6 
(± 5.0) 
 6.2 
(± 2.1) 
 8.3 
(± 4.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based 
on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to 

 party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 13: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for, or who are you leaning towards 
(composite question asked only of likely voters)?' by ' Generally speaking, do you usually 
think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?' 
Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
77.2 
174) 
(± 8.3) 
Democrat (N = 316)   4.4 
(± 3.1) 
Independent/Othe 29.4 
r (N = 218) 
(± 6.7) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
14.2 
(± 7.9) 
90.3 
(± 4.2) 
34.8 
(± 7.0) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 4.0 
(± 2.6) 
 0.7 
(± 0.6) 
12.7 
(± 3.7) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 0.5 
(± 0.6) 
10.6 
(± 3.1) 

Haven't 
decided 
 4.5 
(± 3.1) 
 4.0 
(± 2.8) 
12.5 
(± 4.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  708 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based 
on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 14: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for, or who are you leaning towards 
(composite question asked only of likely voters)?' by ' For whom did you vote for President in 
the 2012 election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or didn't you vote in the 
presidential election in 2012?' 
Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
 
 
 9.6 
407) 
(± 4.4) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
71.9 
193) 
(± 6.2) 
Someone else (N =  37.0 
27) 
(±21.2) 
Didn't vote (N = 72)  47.4 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
78.0 
(± 5.3) 
 8.5 
(± 4.4) 
28.7 
(±29.3) 
15.8 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 2.7 
(± 1.8) 
10.5 
(± 3.6) 
12.9 
(±13.1) 
 7.6 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 1.5 
(± 1.1) 
 0.0 
(± 0.1) 
11.5 
(±13.8) 
23.4 

Haven't 
decided 
 8.2 
(± 3.1) 
 9.0 
(± 5.0) 
 9.9 
(±11.8) 
 5.8 

 Don't know (N = 
14) 

(±11.8) 
54.4 
(±33.4) 

(± 6.7) 
15.1 
(±15.7) 

(± 3.9) 
 6.5 
(±11.4) 

(± 5.2) 
22.8 
(±27.0) 

(± 8.0) 
 1.2 
(± 2.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based 
on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 15: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for, or who are you leaning towards 
(composite question asked only of likely voters)?' by 'Level of Education' 
Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
 
High School or Less 
 
 
50.0 
(N = 103) 
(±10.4) 
Some College (N =  40.7 
201) 
(± 8.6) 
Bachelor's or more  34.3 
(N = 409) 
(± 5.5) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
35.0 
(± 9.5) 
36.8 
(± 7.9) 
47.4 
(± 5.8) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 2.6 
(± 2.3) 
 8.9 
(± 2.9) 
 6.3 
(± 2.4) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 0.1 
(± 0.2) 
 3.2 
(± 3.1) 
 5.5 
(± 1.4) 

Haven't 
decided 
12.3 
(± 7.1) 
10.4 
(± 5.7) 
 6.4 
(± 2.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant 
based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters 
according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and 
likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 16: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for, or who are you leaning towards 
(composite question asked only of likely voters)?' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 343) 
 
 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
40.1 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
44.1 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 8.3 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Haven't 
Jill Stein 
decided 
 1.2 
 6.4 

 Female (N = 370) 

(± 5.8) 
35.4 
(± 5.5) 

(± 5.7) 
42.5 
(± 5.1) 

(± 3.0) 
 4.7 
(± 1.6) 

(± 0.9) 
 7.5 
(± 2.2) 

(± 3.1) 
 9.9 
(± 3.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based 
on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 17: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for, or who are you leaning towards 
(composite question asked only of likely voters)?' by 'Racial Background' 

 
White (N = 530) 
 
 
Hispanic (N = 82) 
Other (N = 93) 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
41.9 
(± 4.8) 
25.6 
(±11.4) 
26.8 
(±11.2) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
42.4 
(± 4.6) 
35.3 
(± 8.6) 
54.8 
(±12.2) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 6.1 
(± 1.9) 
 7.5 
(± 6.1) 
 6.2 
(± 3.2) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 1.9 
(± 1.2) 
19.3 
(± 3.8) 
 4.9 
(± 5.9) 

Haven't 
decided 
 7.7 
(± 2.8) 
12.3 
(± 8.3) 
 7.2 
(± 7.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  705 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based 
on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 18: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for, or who are you leaning towards 
(composite question asked only of likely voters)?' by 'Age' 

 
Age 18-35 (N = 
 
 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
24.2 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
47.9 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 9.1 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Haven't 
Jill Stein 
decided 
13.8 
 4.9 

 131) 
Age 36-50 (N = 
106) 
Age 51+ (N = 476) 

(± 6.9) 
33.9 
(±12.2) 
44.4 
(± 4.8) 

(± 7.4) 
40.8 
(±11.0) 
42.5 
(± 4.3) 

(± 2.3) 
12.1 
(± 6.0) 
 3.4 
(± 1.7) 

(± 2.5) 
 2.5 
(± 3.3) 
 1.5 
(± 1.4) 

(± 4.4) 
10.7 
(± 6.8) 
 8.3 
(± 3.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based 
on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 19: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for, or who are you leaning towards 
(composite question asked only of likely voters)?' by 'Region' 
Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
 
Maricopa (N = 423) 
 
 
37.5 
(± 5.7) 
Pima (N = 108) 
26.1 
(± 5.3) 
Rest of Arizona (N  44.2 
= 182) 
(± 6.5) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
46.3 
(± 5.6) 
56.7 
(± 5.6) 
28.9 
(± 4.5) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 3.6 
(± 2.2) 
 8.2 
(± 0.5) 
13.7 
(± 3.8) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 5.6 
(± 1.6) 
 1.3 
(± 2.2) 
 2.2 
(± 1.9) 

Haven't 
decided 
 7.1 
(± 3.2) 
 7.7 
(± 3.0) 
11.1 
(± 5.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  713 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based 
on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 20: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for, or who are you leaning towards 
(composite question asked only of likely voters)?' by 'Fulltime residents' 

  Fulltime residents 
 
 
(N = 690) 

Republican 
Nominee, 
Donald 
Trump 
37.9 
(± 4.1) 

Democratic 
Nominee, 
Hillary 
Clinton 
43.0 
(± 3.9) 

Libertarian 
Nominee, 
Gary 
Johnson 
 6.6 
(± 1.7) 

Green Party 
Nominee, 
Jill Stein 
 4.3 
(± 1.2) 

Haven't 
decided 
 8.1 
(± 2.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  690 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 

Table 161: Answers to ' President Obama ' by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N = 
 
 
779) 

Very 
favorable 
23.3 
(± 3.1) 

Favorable 
32.2 
(± 3.6) 

Very 
(DNR) Don't 
Unfavorable  unfavorable  know/Refused 
21.1 
20.8 
 2.6 
(± 3.3) 
(± 2.8) 
(± 1.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, and 
county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 162: Answers to ' President Obama ' by 'Party registration from sample' 

 
Republican (N = 186) 
 
 

Very 
favorable 
 9.0 

Favorable 
19.4 

Very 
(DNR) Don't 
Unfavorable  unfavorable  know/Refused 
32.5 
37.1 
 2.0 

 Democrat (N = 450) 
Independent/Other 
(N = 143) 

(± 4.9) 
41.6 
(± 4.6) 
21.9 
(± 6.2) 

(± 4.8) 
39.9 
(± 4.6) 
37.3 
(± 7.8) 

(± 7.3) 
 7.2 
(± 2.6) 
21.8 
(± 5.4) 

(± 6.3) 
 8.5 
(± 2.7) 
16.1 
(± 4.7) 

(± 2.1) 
 2.8 
(± 1.7) 
 2.8 
(± 4.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson 
chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, and 
county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 163: Answers to ' President Obama ' by ' Generally speaking, do you usually think of 
yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?' 

 
Republican (N = 188) 
 
 
Democrat (N = 338) 
Independent/Other 
(N = 244) 

Very 
favorable 
 5.5 
(± 3.8) 
49.0 
(± 6.5) 
20.4 
(± 5.1) 

Favorable 
20.9 
(± 5.9) 
42.6 
(± 6.3) 
34.6 
(± 6.2) 

Unfavorable 
33.6 
(± 6.8) 
 5.6 
(± 3.4) 
22.9 
(± 5.7) 

Very 
unfavorable 
38.3 
(± 6.2) 
 0.9 
(± 0.8) 
18.4 
(± 5.0) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 1.7 
(± 1.7) 
 1.8 
(± 1.4) 
 3.7 
(± 4.1) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  770 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson 
chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, and 
county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 164: Answers to ' President Obama ' by ' For whom did you vote for President in the 2012 
election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or didn't you vote in the presidential 
election in 2012?' 

 
Barack Obama (N = 
 
 

Very 
favorable 
38.3 

Favorable 
50.4 

Very 
(DNR) Don't 
Unfavorable  unfavorable  know/Refused 
 7.3 
 2.0 
 1.9 

 435) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
213) 
Someone else (N = 
32) 
Didn't vote (N = 84) 
Don't know (N = 15) 

(± 5.6) 
 4.2 
(± 3.3) 
19.4 
(±26.1) 
27.1 
(± 7.2) 
15.5 
(±16.1) 

(± 6.1) 
14.0 
(± 4.9) 
20.1 
(±15.1) 
28.2 
(±11.5) 
 2.4 
(± 4.6) 

(± 3.8) 
37.5 
(± 7.3) 
27.0 
(±17.3) 
14.3 
(± 9.7) 
58.1 
(±29.1) 

(± 1.4) 
43.0 
(± 6.8) 
30.4 
(±17.9) 
21.3 
(± 9.0) 
24.0 
(±21.7) 

(± 1.5) 
 1.4 
(± 1.3) 
 3.2 
(± 4.5) 
 9.2 
(±12.6) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson 
chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, and 
county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Very 
unfavorable 
28.0 
(± 9.0) 
24.3 
(± 7.2) 
18.0 
(± 3.4) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 2.4 
(± 2.5) 
 0.8 
(± 0.9) 
 3.3 
(± 2.8) 

Table 165: Answers to ' President Obama ' by 'Level of Education' 

Very 
favorable 
 
High School or Less 
 
 
17.6 
(N = 124) 
(± 6.5) 
Some College (N = 
17.6 
221) 
(± 5.1) 
Bachelor's or more (N  26.8 
= 434) 
(± 4.3) 

Favorable 
31.1 
(± 9.0) 
32.7 
(± 7.1) 
32.2 
(± 4.4) 

Unfavorable 
20.9 
(± 8.2) 
24.6 
(± 6.7) 
19.7 
(± 4.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 166: Answers to ' President Obama ' by 'Gender' 

 

 

  
Male (N = 368) 
 

 

Female (N = 411) 

Very 
favorable 
19.2 
(± 5.0) 
27.5 
(± 3.8) 

Favorable 
35.8 
(± 5.6) 
28.4 
(± 4.6) 

Very 
Unfavorable  unfavorable 
20.0 
21.9 
(± 4.3) 
(± 4.1) 
22.3 
19.7 
(± 5.0) 
(± 3.9) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 3.1 
(± 3.3) 
 2.0 
(± 1.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Very 
unfavorable 
23.6 
(± 3.4) 
 6.6 
(± 5.6) 
17.7 
(± 9.8) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 1.5 
(± 1.0) 
 2.9 
(± 3.6) 
 1.0 
(± 2.0) 

Table 167: Answers to ' President Obama ' by 'Racial Background' 

 
White (N = 572) 
 
 
Hispanic (N = 93) 
Other (N = 103) 

Very 
favorable 
20.8 
(± 3.8) 
38.2 
(± 8.9) 
27.7 
(±10.3) 

Favorable 
30.7 
(± 4.6) 
33.3 
(± 9.6) 
44.4 
(±11.6) 

Unfavorable 
23.4 
(± 3.8) 
19.1 
(±10.6) 
 9.1 
(± 8.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  768 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson 
chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, and 
county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 168: Answers to ' President Obama ' by 'Age' 

 

 

  
Age 18-35 (N = 143) 
 
 
Age 36-50 (N = 116) 
Age 51+ (N = 520) 

Very 
favorable 
35.4 
(± 9.9) 
16.6 
(± 6.3) 
21.6 
(± 3.6) 

Favorable 
36.6 
(±10.6) 
36.5 
(± 8.3) 
28.7 
(± 3.9) 

Very 
Unfavorable  unfavorable 
17.3 
 4.9 
(± 6.7) 
(± 2.8) 
27.5 
18.4 
(± 9.4) 
(± 6.9) 
19.9 
27.7 
(± 3.9) 
(± 4.1) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 5.9 
(± 7.7) 
 1.0 
(± 1.3) 
 2.0 
(± 1.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson 
chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, and 
county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 169: Answers to ' President Obama ' by 'Region' 

 
Maricopa (N = 466) 
 
 
Pima (N = 116) 
Rest of Arizona (N = 
197) 

Very 
favorable 
25.3 
(± 4.4) 
22.4 
(± 6.2) 
18.4 
(± 4.4) 

Favorable 
31.8 
(± 5.1) 
44.7 
(± 5.4) 
27.1 
(± 5.5) 

Very 
Unfavorable  unfavorable 
22.1 
18.0 
(± 4.6) 
(± 3.9) 
10.4 
21.3 
(± 4.7) 
(± 6.3) 
23.6 
28.2 
(± 5.2) 
(± 4.4) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 2.8 
(± 2.6) 
 1.2 
(± 1.4) 
 2.7 
(± 2.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 170: Answers to ' President Obama ' by 'Fulltime residents' 

 

 

 Very 
favorable 
22.8 
(± 3.2) 

 Fulltime residents (N 
 
 
= 754) 

Very 
Unfavorable  unfavorable 
21.3 
20.9 
(± 3.3) 
(± 2.9) 

Favorable 
32.5 
(± 3.6) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 2.5 
(± 1.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  754 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, and 
county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 All respondents (N 
 
 
= 779) 

Very 
favorable 
11.8 
(± 1.8) 

Favorable 
27.1 
(± 3.8) 

Very 
(DNR) Don't 
Unfavorable  unfavorable  know/Refused 
24.3 
31.5 
 5.2 
(± 3.9) 
(± 3.6) 
(± 1.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 152: Answers to ' Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton ' by 'Party 
registration from sample' 

 Republican (N = 
 
 
186) 
Democrat (N = 
450) 
Independent/Othe

Very 
favorable 
 1.8 
(± 1.3) 
27.2 
(± 4.1) 
 8.8 

Favorable 
11.7 
(± 5.1) 
42.3 
(± 4.9) 
28.9 

Unfavorable 
28.8 
(± 7.2) 
16.5 
(± 3.5) 
26.4 

Very 
unfavorable 
54.2 
(± 7.5) 
10.1 
(± 3.0) 
28.2 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 3.5 
(± 3.4) 
 3.9 
(± 2.0) 
 7.6 

 r (N = 143) 

(± 3.4) 

(± 8.1) 

(± 7.7) 

(± 6.4) 

(± 1.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 153: Answers to ' Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton ' by ' Generally 
speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or 
what?' 

 Republican (N = 
 
 
188) 
Democrat (N = 
338) 
Independent/Othe
r (N = 244) 

Very 
favorable 
 1.1 
(± 1.0) 
32.3 
(± 5.6) 
 7.0 
(± 2.4) 

Favorable 
 6.6 
(± 3.9) 
52.4 
(± 6.5) 
26.9 
(± 6.6) 

Unfavorable 
34.5 
(± 8.4) 
 8.7 
(± 3.5) 
28.2 
(± 6.4) 

Very 
unfavorable 
55.9 
(± 8.5) 
 5.0 
(± 3.6) 
29.6 
(± 5.9) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 2.0 
(± 1.8) 
 1.6 
(± 1.2) 
 8.4 
(± 2.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  770 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 154: Answers to ' Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton ' by ' For whom did 
you vote for President in the 2012 election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or 
didn't you vote in the presidential election in 2012?' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
 
 
24.5 
435) 
(± 4.0) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
 0.7 
213) 
(± 0.7) 
Someone else (N =   0.0 

Favorable 
46.2 
(± 6.2) 
 9.0 
(± 4.5) 
22.5 

Unfavorable 
16.4 
(± 5.0) 
28.3 
(± 6.7) 
31.3 

Very 
unfavorable 
10.0 
(± 4.3) 
59.0 
(± 7.1) 
36.9 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 2.8 
(± 1.7) 
 2.9 
(± 2.9) 
 9.3 

 32) 
(± 0.0) 
Didn't vote (N = 84)   3.4 
(± 3.1) 
Don't know (N = 
 2.4 
15) 
(± 4.6) 

(±25.6) 
13.6 
(± 6.6) 
 8.8 
(±12.6) 

(±18.8) 
32.7 
(±13.8) 
61.0 
(±27.9) 

(±19.6) 
29.9 
(±11.4) 
24.0 
(±21.7) 

(±11.2) 
20.4 
(± 4.8) 
 3.8 
(± 6.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 155: Answers to ' Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton ' by 'Level of 
Education' 

Very 
favorable 
 
High School or Less 
 
 
14.9 
(N = 124) 
(± 6.2) 
Some College (N =  10.9 
221) 
(± 3.8) 
Bachelor's or more  11.6 
(N = 434) 
(± 2.3) 

Favorable 
20.3 
(± 7.5) 
21.6 
(± 5.9) 
30.7 
(± 5.2) 

Unfavorable 
26.4 
(± 9.0) 
28.5 
(± 7.7) 
22.2 
(± 5.3) 

Very 
unfavorable 
33.7 
(± 9.5) 
34.5 
(± 7.6) 
29.9 
(± 4.8) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 4.7 
(± 4.5) 
 4.6 
(± 4.1) 
 5.6 
(± 1.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 156: Answers to ' Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton ' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 368) 
 
 

Very 
favorable 
10.3 

Favorable 
26.3 

Very 
(DNR) Don't 
Unfavorable  unfavorable  know/Refused 
26.4 
34.5 
 2.5 

 Female (N = 411) 

(± 2.5) 
13.4 
(± 2.6) 

(± 5.8) 
28.0 
(± 4.8) 

(± 5.8) 
22.3 
(± 5.2) 

(± 5.3) 
28.5 
(± 4.8) 

(± 1.6) 
 7.9 
(± 2.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 157: Answers to ' Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton ' by 'Racial 
Background' 

 
White (N = 572) 
 
 
Hispanic (N = 93) 
Other (N = 103) 

Very 
favorable 
10.9 
(± 2.0) 
10.5 
(± 5.1) 
19.1 
(± 8.0) 

Favorable 
26.7 
(± 4.5) 
25.7 
(± 8.3) 
35.7 
(±11.8) 

Very 
Unfavorable  unfavorable 
24.1 
35.7 
(± 4.8) 
(± 4.4) 
25.3 
16.0 
(±10.7) 
(± 8.9) 
21.2 
22.2 
(±10.2) 
(± 9.8) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 2.7 
(± 1.6) 
22.5 
(± 6.2) 
 1.9 
(± 2.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  768 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 158: Answers to ' Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton ' by 'Age' 

 Age 18-35 (N = 
 
 
143) 
Age 36-50 (N = 

Very 
favorable 
 9.0 
(± 2.4) 
 5.5 

Favorable 
29.4 
(±11.2) 
29.0 

Unfavorable 
31.0 
(±11.3) 
25.4 

Very 
unfavorable 
18.1 
(± 4.5) 
36.3 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
12.5 
(± 1.9) 
 3.8 

 116) 
Age 51+ (N = 520) 

(± 2.5) 
15.4 
(± 2.9) 

(± 8.3) 
25.5 
(± 3.9) 

(± 9.5) 
21.4 
(± 4.0) 

(±10.3) 
34.5 
(± 4.2) 

(± 4.4) 
 3.1 
(± 1.7) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 159: Answers to ' Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton ' by 'Region' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Maricopa (N = 466) 
 
 
10.8 
(± 2.4) 
Pima (N = 116) 
21.4 
(± 5.0) 
Rest of Arizona (N  10.0 
= 197) 
(± 3.0) 

Favorable 
27.9 
(± 5.4) 
34.3 
(± 6.4) 
21.7 
(± 4.9) 

Very 
Unfavorable  unfavorable 
25.6 
29.3 
(± 5.6) 
(± 5.0) 
13.5 
29.4 
(± 4.6) 
(± 6.1) 
25.9 
38.5 
(± 5.9) 
(± 5.3) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 6.3 
(± 2.0) 
 1.4 
(± 1.6) 
 3.9 
(± 2.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 160: Answers to ' Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton ' by 'Fulltime 
residents' 

Very 
Very 
(DNR) Don't 
favorable  Favorable  Unfavorable  unfavorable  know/Refused 
 
Fulltime residents 
 
 
11.0 
27.4 
24.6 
31.7 
 5.3 
(N = 754) 
(± 1.7) 
(± 3.8) 
(± 4.0) 
(± 3.6) 
(± 1.4) 
Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  754 

 interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

Table 141: Answers to ' Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump ' by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
 
 
= 779) 

Very 
favorable 
12.9 
(± 2.5) 

Favorable 
19.0 
(± 3.5) 

Unfavorable 
21.8 
(± 3.6) 

Very 
unfavorable 
40.7 
(± 3.8) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 5.6 
(± 2.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 142: Answers to ' Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump ' by 'Party registration 
from sample' 

Very 
Very 
(DNR) Don't 
favorable  Favorable  Unfavorable  unfavorable  know/Refused 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
22.9 
28.4 
25.4 
16.5 
 6.8 
186) 
(± 5.7) 
(± 6.8) 
(± 7.4) 
(± 6.4) 
(± 5.0) 
Democrat (N = 450)   4.3 
 7.6 
19.0 
65.5 
 3.7 
(± 1.9) 
(± 2.5) 
(± 3.7) 
(± 4.5) 
(± 1.9) 
Independent/Other  10.7 
19.6 
20.9 
42.7 
 6.1 
(N = 143) 
(± 4.2) 
(± 6.9) 
(± 6.2) 
(± 7.8) 
(± 4.0) 
Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 

 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 143: Answers to ' Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump ' by ' Generally 
speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or 
what?' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
30.1 
188) 
(± 6.3) 
Democrat (N = 338)   0.5 
(± 0.5) 
Independent/Other   8.2 
(N = 244) 
(± 3.8) 

Favorable 
32.7 
(± 7.1) 
 5.8 
(± 3.4) 
16.8 
(± 5.9) 

Unfavorable 
18.4 
(± 7.0) 
19.5 
(± 4.9) 
26.8 
(± 5.9) 

Very 
unfavorable 
13.8 
(± 6.8) 
71.3 
(± 5.9) 
42.2 
(± 6.7) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 5.1 
(± 4.2) 
 2.9 
(± 2.7) 
 6.0 
(± 3.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  770 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 144: Answers to ' Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump ' by ' For whom did 
you vote for President in the 2012 election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or 
didn't you vote in the presidential election in 2012?' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
 
 
 1.9 
435) 
(± 1.5) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
24.9 
213) 
(± 5.5) 
Someone else (N =  10.6 
32) 
(± 9.0) 
Didn't vote (N = 84)  19.3 

Favorable 
 8.8 
(± 3.9) 
29.8 
(± 6.1) 
25.6 
(±16.8) 
23.1 

Unfavorable 
18.3 
(± 3.9) 
27.4 
(± 6.9) 
27.0 
(±18.8) 
16.3 

Very 
unfavorable 
68.9 
(± 5.3) 
 8.7 
(± 3.6) 
33.7 
(±23.9) 
36.5 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 2.1 
(± 1.7) 
 9.1 
(± 4.8) 
 3.1 
(± 4.1) 
 4.8 

 Don't know (N = 
15) 

(±10.6) 
15.8 
(±17.4) 

(±13.7) 
16.7 
(±16.6) 

(± 7.0) 
19.6 
(±26.6) 

(±10.6) 
19.1 
(±17.7) 

(± 4.0) 
28.8 
(±37.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 145: Answers to ' Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump ' by 'Level of 
Education' 

Very 
favorable 
 
High School or Less 
 
 
24.0 
(N = 124) 
(± 8.7) 
Some College (N =  16.2 
221) 
(± 6.3) 
Bachelor's or more   9.3 
(N = 434) 
(± 2.6) 

Favorable 
22.0 
(± 8.0) 
18.6 
(± 6.0) 
18.6 
(± 4.9) 

Unfavorable 
21.1 
(± 7.8) 
21.5 
(± 6.3) 
22.1 
(± 4.8) 

Very 
unfavorable 
29.8 
(± 8.2) 
35.5 
(± 7.3) 
44.9 
(± 5.5) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 3.1 
(± 2.9) 
 8.1 
(± 5.0) 
 5.1 
(± 3.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 146: Answers to ' Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump ' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 368) 
 
 
Female (N = 411) 

Very 
favorable 
13.2 
(± 3.4) 
12.6 

Favorable 
22.3 
(± 5.5) 
15.6 

Unfavorable 
20.8 
(± 4.8) 
22.9 

Very 
unfavorable 
40.1 
(± 6.0) 
41.3 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 3.7 
(± 2.6) 
 7.6 

 (± 3.8) 

(± 4.4) 

(± 5.3) 

(± 4.8) 

(± 3.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 147: Answers to ' Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump ' by 'Racial 
Background' 

 
White (N = 572) 
 
 
Hispanic (N = 93) 
Other (N = 103) 

Very 
favorable 
13.9 
(± 2.6) 
10.2 
(± 9.3) 
10.3 
(± 8.3) 

Favorable 
21.0 
(± 4.0) 
11.1 
(± 7.4) 
 8.5 
(± 5.8) 

Unfavorable 
19.9 
(± 3.9) 
24.6 
(± 9.5) 
29.3 
(±11.5) 

Very 
unfavorable 
38.8 
(± 4.1) 
53.1 
(±10.4) 
45.2 
(±11.7) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 6.3 
(± 3.0) 
 0.9 
(± 1.3) 
 6.7 
(± 3.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  768 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 148: Answers to ' Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump ' by 'Age' 

 Age 18-35 (N = 
 
 
143) 
Age 36-50 (N = 
116) 
Age 51+ (N = 520) 

Very 
favorable 
 5.4 
(± 3.4) 
11.0 
(± 6.7) 
16.5 

Favorable 
11.8 
(± 8.9) 
15.2 
(± 8.1) 
23.2 

Unfavorable 
15.0 
(± 6.2) 
31.1 
(±10.1) 
20.5 

Very 
unfavorable 
61.7 
(±10.6) 
34.8 
(± 9.6) 
35.4 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 6.2 
(± 6.3) 
 8.0 
(± 6.8) 
 4.5 

 (± 3.3) 

(± 4.2) 

(± 4.1) 

(± 4.0) 

(± 1.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 149: Answers to ' Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump ' by 'Region' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Maricopa (N = 466) 
 
 
10.1 
(± 3.4) 
Pima (N = 116) 
10.9 
(± 5.3) 
Rest of Arizona (N  21.4 
= 197) 
(± 4.9) 

Favorable 
18.7 
(± 5.0) 
16.4 
(± 5.3) 
20.9 
(± 5.5) 

Unfavorable 
21.9 
(± 5.0) 
16.1 
(± 4.9) 
24.4 
(± 5.8) 

Very 
unfavorable 
43.9 
(± 5.5) 
48.5 
(± 6.1) 
28.3 
(± 5.2) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 5.4 
(± 3.3) 
 8.1 
(± 3.6) 
 5.0 
(± 3.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 150: Answers to ' Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump ' by 'Fulltime 
residents' 

 Fulltime residents 
 
 
(N = 754) 

Very 
favorable 
12.9 
(± 2.6) 

Favorable 
18.8 
(± 3.5) 

Unfavorable 
21.9 
(± 3.6) 

Very 
unfavorable 
40.8 
(± 3.9) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 5.6 
(± 2.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  754 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 Table 61: Answers to '7. In which one of the following ways were you influenced? Are you now 
more likely to vote for.. ' by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
 
 
= 697) 

Hillary 
Clinton 
16.5 
(± 3.5) 

Donald 
Trump 
 9.2 
(± 2.4) 

or vote for 
neither 
Clinton nor 
Trump 
 6.8 
(± 1.7) 

(DO NOT 
READ) 
Don't know 
 0.4 
(± 0.6) 

Debate did 
not 
influence 
67.1 
(± 4.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  697 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 62: Answers to '7. In which one of the following ways were you influenced? Are you now 
more likely to vote for.. ' by 'Party registration from sample' 

Hillary 
Clinton 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
 7.6 
167) 
(± 5.4) 
Democrat (N = 400)  22.1 
(± 4.0) 
Independent/Other  20.0 
(N = 130) 
(± 7.5) 

Donald 
Trump 
13.3 
(± 4.8) 
 4.3 
(± 2.0) 
 9.3 
(± 4.3) 

or vote for 
neither 
Clinton nor 
Trump 
 1.3 
(± 1.8) 
 4.2 
(± 1.7) 
13.5 
(± 3.9) 

(DO NOT 
READ) 
Don't know 
 1.1 
(± 1.8) 
 0.2 
(± 0.4) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 

Debate did 
not 
influence 
76.7 
(± 7.5) 
69.1 
(± 4.4) 
57.2 
(± 8.7) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  697 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 

 unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 63: Answers to '7. In which one of the following ways were you influenced? Are you now 
more likely to vote for.. ' by ' Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a 
Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?' 

Hillary 
Clinton 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
 9.7 
177) 
(± 7.4) 
Democrat (N = 306)  25.8 
(± 5.7) 
Independent/Other  16.1 
(N = 209) 
(± 6.3) 

Donald 
Trump 
11.9 
(± 5.1) 
 3.7 
(± 3.0) 
12.3 
(± 4.9) 

or vote for 
neither 
Clinton nor 
Trump 
 4.5 
(± 4.5) 
 0.7 
(± 0.8) 
13.1 
(± 2.0) 

(DO NOT 
READ) 
Don't know 
 1.1 
(± 1.8) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 0.2 
(± 0.3) 

Debate did 
not 
influence 
72.8 
(± 9.2) 
69.9 
(± 6.1) 
58.3 
(± 6.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  692 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 64: Answers to '7. In which one of the following ways were you influenced? Are you now 
more likely to vote for.. ' by ' For whom did you vote for President in the 2012 election: Barack 
Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or didn't you vote in the presidential election in 2012?' 

Hillary 
Clinton 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
 
 
26.1 
394) 
(± 6.3) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
 5.5 
193) 
(± 3.5) 

Donald 
Trump 
 4.2 
(± 2.4) 
16.7 
(± 5.7) 

or vote for 
neither 
Clinton nor 
Trump 
 3.0 
(± 2.3) 
 5.3 
(± 3.3) 

(DO NOT 
READ) 
Don't know 
 0.1 
(± 0.3) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 

Debate did 
not 
influence 
66.5 
(± 6.6) 
72.5 
(± 6.6) 

 Someone else (N = 
25) 

27.3 
(±31.0) 
Didn't vote (N = 70)   8.8 
(± 6.8) 
Don't know (N = 
 2.3 
15) 
(± 4.4) 

 1.7 
(± 3.1) 
 9.8 
(± 8.9) 
 8.8 
(±12.4) 

12.1 
(±11.1) 
27.3 
(± 6.1) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 

 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 3.5 
(± 5.6) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 

59.0 
(±27.4) 
50.6 
(±10.8) 
89.0 
(±13.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  697 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 65: Answers to '7. In which one of the following ways were you influenced? Are you now 
more likely to vote for.. ' by 'Level of Education' 

Hillary 
Clinton 
 
High School or Less 
 
 
21.5 
(N = 99) 
(± 9.2) 
Some College (N =  16.7 
198) 
(± 7.8) 
Bachelor's or more  15.5 
(N = 400) 
(± 4.9) 

Donald 
Trump 
15.4 
(± 8.0) 
 8.8 
(± 5.2) 
 8.3 
(± 3.0) 

or vote for 
neither 
Clinton nor 
Trump 
 2.1 
(± 2.2) 
 7.6 
(± 1.3) 
 7.3 
(± 2.6) 

(DO NOT 
READ) 
Don't know 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 0.2 
(± 0.5) 
 0.6 
(± 1.0) 

Debate did 
not 
influence 
61.0 
(±10.7) 
66.7 
(± 8.2) 
68.4 
(± 5.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  697 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant 
based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters 
according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood 
to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 66: Answers to '7. In which one of the following ways were you influenced? Are you now 
more likely to vote for.. ' by 'Gender' 

  
Male (N = 338) 
 
 
Female (N = 359) 

Hillary 
Clinton 
16.3 
(± 5.9) 
16.7 
(± 3.8) 

Donald 
Trump 
 9.6 
(± 3.5) 
 8.8 
(± 3.2) 

or vote for 
neither 
Clinton nor 
Trump 
 6.2 
(± 1.9) 
 7.3 
(± 2.7) 

(DO NOT 
READ) 
Don't know 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 0.9 
(± 1.2) 

Debate did 
not 
influence 
67.9 
(± 6.7) 
66.4 
(± 5.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  697 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 67: Answers to '7. In which one of the following ways were you influenced? Are you now 
more likely to vote for.. ' by 'Racial Background' 

 
White (N = 520) 
 
 
Hispanic (N = 79) 
Other (N = 90) 

Hillary 
Clinton 
16.1 
(± 4.2) 
13.7 
(± 5.9) 
20.1 
(±10.7) 

Donald 
Trump 
 7.8 
(± 2.3) 
15.8 
(±10.8) 
13.6 
(± 9.8) 

or vote for 
neither 
Clinton nor 
Trump 
 4.8 
(± 2.0) 
25.5 
(± 6.4) 
 1.1 
(± 2.0) 

(DO NOT 
READ) 
Don't know 
 0.6 
(± 0.8) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 

Debate did 
not 
influence 
70.8 
(± 4.9) 
45.1 
(± 9.8) 
65.1 
(±12.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  689 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant 
based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters 
according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood 
to vote. 
 Table 68: Answers to '7. In which one of the following ways were you influenced? Are you now 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
more likely to vote for.. ' by 'Age' 

  Age 18-35 (N = 
 
 
126) 
Age 36-50 (N = 
103) 
Age 51+ (N = 468) 

Hillary 
Clinton 
25.4 
(±11.0) 
17.5 
(± 8.8) 
12.8 
(± 3.1) 

Donald 
Trump 
 4.2 
(± 3.4) 
12.5 
(± 5.8) 
 9.7 
(± 3.2) 

or vote for 
neither 
Clinton nor 
Trump 
20.8 
(± 2.0) 
 5.4 
(± 5.5) 
 2.2 
(± 1.8) 

(DO NOT 
READ) 
Don't know 
 1.8 
(± 3.0) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 0.1 
(± 0.2) 

Debate did 
not 
influence 
47.8 
(±11.8) 
64.5 
(±10.9) 
75.3 
(± 4.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  697 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 69: Answers to '7. In which one of the following ways were you influenced? Are you now 
more likely to vote for.. ' by 'Region' 

Hillary 
Clinton 
 
Maricopa (N = 419) 
 
 
21.5 
(± 5.3) 
Pima (N = 103) 
 6.7 
(± 3.6) 
Rest of Arizona (N   7.6 
= 175) 
(± 3.2) 

Donald 
Trump 
 9.7 
(± 3.3) 
 6.2 
(± 3.5) 
 9.3 
(± 3.9) 

or vote for 
neither 
Clinton nor 
Trump 
 6.8 
(± 2.3) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 9.9 
(± 3.1) 

(DO NOT 
READ) 
Don't know 
 0.6 
(± 0.9) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 0.3 
(± 0.5) 

Debate did 
not 
influence 
61.4 
(± 6.4) 
87.2 
(± 4.8) 
72.9 
(± 5.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  697 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, 
gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 70: Answers to '7. In which one of the following ways were you influenced? Are you now 
more likely to vote for.. ' by 'Fulltime residents' 

 Fulltime residents 
 
 
(N = 675) 

Hillary 
Clinton 
16.4 
(± 3.5) 

Donald 
Trump 
 9.4 
(± 2.4) 

or vote for 
neither 
Clinton nor 
Trump 
 6.8 
(± 1.7) 

(DO NOT 
READ) 
Don't know 
 0.4 
(± 0.6) 

Debate did 
not 
influence 
66.9 
(± 4.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  675 
interviews of self-identified likely voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote. 

Senate race

Table 21: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for in the US 
senate?' by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
 
 
= 587) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
51.5 
(± 3.7) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
40.0 
(± 3.7) 

Someone else 
 8.5 
(± 2.3) 

 Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  587 interviews of voters. Results weighted by 
registered voters according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights 
adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 22: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for in the US 
senate?' by 'Party registration from sample' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
76.3 
137) 
(± 6.0) 
Democrat (N = 351)  24.2 
(± 4.3) 
Independent/Other  51.7 
(N = 99) 
(± 7.8) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
13.0 
(± 4.6) 
72.6 
(± 4.6) 
37.2 
(± 8.4) 

Someone else 
10.7 
(± 4.5) 
 3.2 
(± 1.8) 
11.0 
(± 4.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  587 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 23: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for in the US 
senate?' by ' Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a 
Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
 

 

 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 

Someone else 

 Republican (N = 
145) 

86.5 
(± 5.2) 
Democrat (N = 275)  16.1 
(± 4.6) 
Independent/Other  47.0 
(N = 163) 
(± 8.0) 

 7.7 
(± 4.6) 
82.2 
(± 4.8) 
35.3 
(± 8.0) 

 5.8 
(± 2.9) 
 1.7 
(± 1.3) 
17.7 
(± 5.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  583 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 24: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for in the US 
senate?' by ' For whom did you vote for President in the 2012 
election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or didn't you 
vote in the presidential election in 2012?' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
 
 
32.8 
355) 
(± 5.8) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
74.5 
163) 
(± 6.3) 
Someone else (N =  31.5 
20) 
(±20.4) 
Didn't vote (N = 37)  62.4 
(±21.1) 
Don't know (N = 
90.0 
12) 
(±12.8) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
65.2 
(± 5.8) 
10.3 
(± 5.0) 
34.7 
(±25.6) 
35.1 
(±20.9) 
 4.1 
(± 6.6) 

Someone else 
 1.9 
(± 1.2) 
15.2 
(± 4.7) 
33.8 
(±23.8) 
 2.5 
(± 3.7) 
 5.8 
(±10.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  587 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 25: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for in the US 

 senate?' by 'Level of Education' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
 
High School or Less 
 
 
59.0 
(N = 83) 
(±10.1) 
Some College (N =  56.6 
171) 
(± 7.2) 
Bachelor's or more  47.8 
(N = 333) 
(± 5.1) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
36.2 
(± 9.7) 
29.8 
(± 6.4) 
45.2 
(± 5.0) 

Someone else 
 4.8 
(± 5.5) 
13.5 
(± 4.7) 
 7.0 
(± 3.1) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  587 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 26: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for in the US 
senate?' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 277) 
 
 
Female (N = 310) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
50.6 
(± 6.0) 
52.5 
(± 4.2) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
40.4 
(± 5.9) 
39.5 
(± 4.3) 

Someone else 
 9.0 
(± 3.1) 
 8.0 
(± 3.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  587 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 

 and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 27: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for in the US 
senate?' by 'Racial Background' 

 
White (N = 448) 
 
 
Hispanic (N = 57) 
Other (N = 74) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
52.2 
(± 4.6) 
68.0 
(±11.7) 
27.4 
(±11.8) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
39.1 
(± 4.4) 
32.0 
(±11.7) 
57.8 
(±13.2) 

Someone else 
 8.7 
(± 2.2) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
14.7 
(±11.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  579 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 28: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for in the US 
senate?' by 'Age' 

 
Age 18-35 (N = 82) 
 
 
Age 36-50 (N = 90) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
49.6 
(±13.0) 
51.6 
(± 8.2) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
43.7 
(±12.7) 
42.3 
(± 7.9) 

Someone else 
 6.7 
(± 1.4) 
 6.0 
(± 3.6) 

 Age 51+ (N = 415) 

52.0 
(± 4.7) 

37.9 
(± 4.3) 

10.1 
(± 3.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  587 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 29: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for in the US 
senate?' by 'Region' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
 
Maricopa (N = 347) 
 
 
52.6 
(± 5.1) 
Pima (N = 96) 
52.1 
(± 5.0) 
Rest of Arizona (N  48.4 
= 144) 
(± 6.4) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
41.8 
(± 5.2) 
40.8 
(± 6.1) 
34.7 
(± 5.2) 

Someone else 
 5.7 
(± 2.9) 
 7.2 
(± 4.6) 
16.9 
(± 5.1) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  587 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 30: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for in the US 
senate?' by 'Fulltime residents' 

  Fulltime residents 
 
 
(N = 571) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
51.9 
(± 3.8) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
39.4 
(± 3.7) 

Someone else 
 8.7 
(± 2.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  571 interviews of voters. Results weighted by 
registered voters according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights 
adjusted for nonresponse. 

Table 31: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for or who are 
you leaning towards in the US senate' by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
 
 
= 660) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
51.9 
(± 4.3) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
40.0 
(± 4.2) 

Someone else 
 8.1 
(± 2.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  660 interviews of voters. Results weighted by 
registered voters according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights 
adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 32: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for or who are 
you leaning towards in the US senate' by 'Party registration from 
sample' 

 The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
73.7 
152) 
(± 7.2) 
Democrat (N = 392)  26.2 
(± 4.2) 
Independent/Other  52.8 
(N = 116) 
(± 9.0) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
16.0 
(± 6.1) 
70.8 
(± 4.5) 
36.9 
(± 9.4) 

Someone else 
10.3 
(± 4.4) 
 3.0 
(± 1.7) 
10.3 
(± 4.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  660 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Table 33: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for or who are 
you leaning towards in the US senate' by ' Generally speaking, do you 
usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, 
or what?' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
83.2 
160) 
(± 6.6) 
Democrat (N = 302)  23.1 
(± 5.6) 
Independent/Other  45.7 
(N = 192) 
(± 8.1) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
11.1 
(± 6.1) 
75.4 
(± 5.7) 
38.4 
(± 8.2) 

Someone else 
 5.7 
(± 2.9) 
 1.5 
(± 1.2) 
15.9 
(± 5.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  654 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

  
 
 
 
 
 
Table 34: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for or who are 
you leaning towards in the US senate' by ' For whom did you vote for 
President in the 2012 election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone 
else or didn't you vote in the presidential election in 2012?' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
 
 
32.7 
390) 
(± 5.7) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
73.7 
181) 
(± 6.6) 
Someone else (N =  33.3 
23) 
(±21.0) 
Didn't vote (N = 54)  71.2 
(±15.7) 
Don't know (N = 
86.5 
12) 
(±16.4) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
65.5 
(± 5.7) 
11.8 
(± 5.4) 
32.8 
(±26.4) 
27.0 
(±15.5) 
 5.3 
(± 8.2) 

Someone else 
 1.8 
(± 1.1) 
14.5 
(± 4.6) 
33.8 
(±24.0) 
 1.8 
(± 2.6) 
 8.2 
(±14.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  660 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 35: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for or who are 
you leaning towards in the US senate' by 'Level of Education' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
 
High School or Less 
 
 
55.2 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
40.1 

Someone else 
 4.7 

 (N = 96) 
Some College (N = 
189) 
Bachelor's or more 
(N = 375) 

(±10.9) 
54.1 
(± 7.8) 
50.4 
(± 5.9) 

(±10.6) 
31.7 
(± 6.8) 
43.2 
(± 5.8) 

(± 5.5) 
14.1 
(± 5.0) 
 6.4 
(± 2.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  660 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 36: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for or who are 
you leaning towards in the US senate' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 311) 
 
 
Female (N = 349) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
51.3 
(± 6.9) 
52.5 
(± 4.9) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
40.1 
(± 6.7) 
39.9 
(± 5.0) 

Someone else 
 8.7 
(± 3.0) 
 7.6 
(± 3.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  660 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 37: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for or who are 
you leaning towards in the US senate' by 'Racial Background' 

  
White (N = 501) 
 
 
Hispanic (N = 67) 
Other (N = 84) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
53.4 
(± 5.2) 
66.3 
(±12.1) 
26.9 
(±10.7) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
38.3 
(± 5.0) 
33.7 
(±12.1) 
59.9 
(±12.7) 

Someone else 
 8.4 
(± 2.2) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
13.2 
(±10.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  652 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 38: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for or who are 
you leaning towards in the US senate' by 'Age' 

 Age 18-35 (N = 
 
 
105) 
Age 36-50 (N = 
101) 
Age 51+ (N = 454) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
44.0 
(±12.4) 
56.7 
(±10.2) 
52.3 
(± 4.8) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
49.9 
(±12.5) 
37.3 
(±10.1) 
38.0 
(± 4.4) 

Someone else 
 6.1 
(± 1.3) 
 6.0 
(± 3.6) 
 9.6 
(± 3.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  660 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

  

 

 

 

 

 

Table 39: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for or who are 
you leaning towards in the US senate' by 'Region' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
 
Maricopa (N = 390) 
 
 
52.2 
(± 6.1) 
Pima (N = 102) 
56.0 
(± 4.7) 
Rest of Arizona (N  48.9 
= 168) 
(± 6.4) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
42.3 
(± 6.2) 
37.6 
(± 5.6) 
35.2 
(± 5.2) 

Someone else 
 5.5 
(± 2.8) 
 6.4 
(± 4.1) 
15.9 
(± 4.7) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  660 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 40: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for or who are 
you leaning towards in the US senate' by 'Fulltime residents' 

 Fulltime residents 
 
 
(N = 643) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
John McCain 
52.3 
(± 4.3) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Ann 
Kirkpatrick 
39.4 
(± 4.3) 

Someone else 
 8.3 
(± 2.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  643 interviews of voters. Results weighted by 
registered voters according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights 

 adjusted for nonresponse. 

Table 111: Answers to ' Arizona Senator John McCain ' by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
 
 
= 779) 

Very 
favorable 
 6.0 
(± 1.9) 

Favorable 
44.4 
(± 4.2) 

Unfavorable 
31.6 
(± 3.6) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 7.8 
(± 2.0) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
10.2 
(± 2.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 112: Answers to ' Arizona Senator John McCain ' by 'Party registration from sample' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
 9.6 
186) 
(± 4.5) 
Democrat (N = 450)   3.1 
(± 1.6) 
Independent/Other   5.0 
(N = 143) 
(± 2.7) 

Favorable 
51.2 
(± 7.8) 
34.9 
(± 4.4) 
45.9 
(± 8.1) 

Unfavorable 
30.7 
(± 6.6) 
42.8 
(± 4.6) 
23.7 
(± 6.6) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 5.9 
(± 3.2) 
10.5 
(± 2.8) 
 7.4 
(± 3.8) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 2.6 
(± 2.2) 
 8.8 
(± 2.6) 
18.0 
(± 6.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 113: Answers to ' Arizona Senator John McCain ' by ' Generally speaking, do you usually 
think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
11.0 
188) 
(± 4.9) 
Democrat (N = 338)   2.5 
(± 1.7) 
Independent/Other   4.3 
(N = 244) 
(± 2.0) 

Favorable 
54.8 
(± 8.2) 
31.8 
(± 6.0) 
43.9 
(± 6.8) 

Unfavorable 
23.2 
(± 6.6) 
40.7 
(± 6.3) 
32.8 
(± 6.4) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 5.1 
(± 2.8) 
12.9 
(± 4.7) 
 6.6 
(± 3.1) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 5.8 
(± 4.4) 
12.0 
(± 6.0) 
12.3 
(± 3.1) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  770 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 114: Answers to ' Arizona Senator John McCain ' by ' For whom did you vote for 
President in the 2012 election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or didn't you vote 
in the presidential election in 2012?' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
 
 
 5.7 
435) 
(± 2.6) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
 8.0 
213) 
(± 3.8) 
Someone else (N =   2.7 
32) 
(± 3.5) 
Didn't vote (N = 84)   2.7 
(± 3.2) 
Don't know (N = 
 2.4 
15) 
(± 4.6) 

Favorable 
37.4 
(± 5.9) 
53.2 
(± 7.4) 
43.9 
(±23.2) 
46.1 
(±12.5) 
39.8 
(±30.1) 

Unfavorable 
38.2 
(± 5.5) 
27.1 
(± 6.3) 
31.8 
(±19.3) 
21.1 
(±11.4) 
21.6 
(±20.0) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 9.5 
(± 3.2) 
 7.2 
(± 3.5) 
 9.6 
(± 8.7) 
 2.4 
(± 2.7) 
 7.4 
(±11.2) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 9.2 
(± 4.1) 
 4.6 
(± 2.9) 
12.0 
(±10.0) 
27.7 
(± 7.8) 
28.8 
(±37.5) 

 Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 115: Answers to ' Arizona Senator John McCain ' by 'Level of Education' 

Very 
favorable 
 
High School or Less 
 
 
11.2 
(N = 124) 
(± 4.8) 
Some College (N =   4.7 
221) 
(± 3.4) 
Bachelor's or more   5.4 
(N = 434) 
(± 2.5) 

Favorable 
41.0 
(± 9.5) 
49.3 
(± 7.3) 
43.1 
(± 5.9) 

Unfavorable 
29.3 
(± 9.0) 
28.8 
(± 6.6) 
33.1 
(± 4.8) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 9.8 
(± 5.2) 
 9.2 
(± 4.5) 
 6.8 
(± 2.4) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 8.7 
(± 4.9) 
 8.0 
(± 4.1) 
11.5 
(± 3.7) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 116: Answers to ' Arizona Senator John McCain ' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 368) 
 
 
Female (N = 411) 

Very 
favorable 
 6.5 
(± 3.0) 
 5.4 
(± 2.3) 

Favorable 
45.9 
(± 6.4) 
43.0 
(± 5.5) 

Unfavorable 
32.4 
(± 5.0) 
30.7 
(± 5.2) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 8.6 
(± 3.2) 
 7.0 
(± 2.1) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 6.6 
(± 3.6) 
13.9 
(± 3.7) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 

 Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 117: Answers to ' Arizona Senator John McCain ' by 'Racial Background' 

 
White (N = 572) 
 
 
Hispanic (N = 93) 
Other (N = 103) 

Very 
favorable 
 6.9 
(± 2.4) 
 4.6 
(± 4.3) 
 1.8 
(± 2.0) 

Favorable 
46.7 
(± 5.2) 
44.9 
(±10.2) 
27.7 
(± 8.8) 

Unfavorable 
30.6 
(± 4.1) 
22.6 
(± 8.5) 
47.6 
(±12.1) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 7.9 
(± 2.3) 
 2.7 
(± 2.2) 
11.9 
(± 6.8) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 7.9 
(± 3.5) 
25.2 
(± 6.0) 
11.1 
(± 7.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  768 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Very 
unfavorable 
 4.7 
(± 3.6) 
 4.6 
(± 4.6) 
10.2 
(± 2.6) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
26.8 
(± 9.7) 
 7.5 
(± 4.6) 
 5.3 
(± 1.9) 

Table 118: Answers to ' Arizona Senator John McCain ' by 'Age' 

 Age 18-35 (N = 
 
 
143) 
Age 36-50 (N = 
116) 
Age 51+ (N = 520) 

Very 
favorable 
 0.5 
(± 0.7) 
 6.2 
(± 5.1) 
 7.9 
(± 2.6) 

Favorable 
53.3 
(±10.7) 
46.4 
(±11.0) 
40.3 
(± 4.5) 

Unfavorable 
14.6 
(± 4.7) 
35.2 
(± 9.9) 
36.3 
(± 4.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 

 Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 119: Answers to ' Arizona Senator John McCain ' by 'Region' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Maricopa (N = 466) 
 
 
 5.1 
(± 2.6) 
Pima (N = 116) 
 5.7 
(± 1.1) 
Rest of Arizona (N   8.4 
= 197) 
(± 3.5) 

Favorable 
42.7 
(± 6.0) 
56.7 
(± 6.4) 
43.4 
(± 5.9) 

Unfavorable 
33.2 
(± 5.0) 
22.3 
(± 6.2) 
31.5 
(± 5.4) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 6.9 
(± 2.6) 
10.8 
(± 3.8) 
 8.9 
(± 3.9) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
12.2 
(± 3.8) 
 4.5 
(± 1.6) 
 7.8 
(± 3.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 120: Answers to ' Arizona Senator John McCain ' by 'Fulltime residents' 

 Fulltime residents 
 
 
(N = 754) 

Very 
favorable 
 5.8 
(± 1.9) 

Favorable 
44.3 
(± 4.3) 

Unfavorable 
31.9 
(± 3.6) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 8.0 
(± 2.0) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
10.0 
(± 2.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  754 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 Table 121: Answers to ' Democratic Senate Candidate Ann Kirkpatrick ' by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
 
 
= 779) 

Very 
favorable 
 3.9 
(± 1.2) 

Favorable 
36.5 
(± 4.0) 

Unfavorable 
32.9 
(± 3.9) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 7.5 
(± 1.7) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
19.3 
(± 3.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 122: Answers to ' Democratic Senate Candidate Ann Kirkpatrick ' by 'Party registration 
from sample' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
 1.3 
186) 
(± 1.2) 
Democrat (N = 450)   9.5 
(± 2.7) 
Independent/Other   1.9 
(N = 143) 
(± 2.0) 

Favorable 
20.0 
(± 6.5) 
55.4 
(± 4.7) 
36.3 
(± 8.3) 

Unfavorable 
46.1 
(± 7.6) 
15.3 
(± 3.4) 
34.8 
(± 7.5) 

Very 
unfavorable 
12.3 
(± 4.2) 
 5.2 
(± 1.9) 
 5.0 
(± 2.1) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
20.3 
(± 6.5) 
14.6 
(± 3.4) 
22.0 
(± 6.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 Table 123: Answers to ' Democratic Senate Candidate Ann Kirkpatrick ' by ' Generally 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or 

 what?' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Republican (N = 
 
 
 1.0 
188) 
(± 1.0) 
Democrat (N = 338)  11.7 
(± 3.9) 
Independent/Other   1.1 
(N = 244) 
(± 0.9) 

Favorable 
15.3 
(± 6.0) 
63.0 
(± 6.2) 
35.9 
(± 6.9) 

Unfavorable 
53.0 
(± 8.6) 
 7.2 
(± 2.9) 
33.3 
(± 6.5) 

Very 
unfavorable 
13.2 
(± 4.3) 
 2.2 
(± 1.1) 
 6.2 
(± 2.5) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
17.5 
(± 6.9) 
16.0 
(± 5.0) 
23.5 
(± 5.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  770 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 124: Answers to ' Democratic Senate Candidate Ann Kirkpatrick ' by ' For whom did you 
vote for President in the 2012 election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or didn't 
you vote in the presidential election in 2012?' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
 
 
 7.6 
435) 
(± 2.5) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
 0.7 
213) 
(± 0.7) 
Someone else (N =   0.0 
32) 
(± 0.0) 
Didn't vote (N = 84)   1.8 
(± 2.5) 
Don't know (N = 
 0.0 
15) 
(± 0.0) 

Favorable 
55.4 
(± 6.1) 
17.3 
(± 6.3) 
33.9 
(±24.7) 
26.4 
(±11.2) 
18.3 
(±17.1) 

Unfavorable 
18.4 
(± 5.0) 
55.7 
(± 7.1) 
42.4 
(±19.7) 
19.1 
(±12.3) 
10.6 
(±14.2) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 1.9 
(± 1.0) 
15.8 
(± 4.3) 
 7.7 
(± 7.2) 
 3.3 
(± 3.1) 
 6.0 
(±11.2) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
16.7 
(± 5.0) 
10.5 
(± 4.8) 
16.1 
(±11.7) 
49.3 
(±12.5) 
65.2 
(±26.1) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 125: Answers to ' Democratic Senate Candidate Ann Kirkpatrick ' by 'Level of Education' 

Very 
favorable 
 
High School or Less 
 
 
 3.2 
(N = 124) 
(± 2.3) 
Some College (N =   3.6 
221) 
(± 2.1) 
Bachelor's or more   4.2 
(N = 434) 
(± 1.7) 

Favorable 
35.6 
(± 8.9) 
29.3 
(± 6.3) 
39.5 
(± 5.5) 

Unfavorable 
34.0 
(± 9.7) 
33.6 
(± 7.4) 
32.3 
(± 5.2) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 9.7 
(± 5.7) 
 7.3 
(± 3.2) 
 7.1 
(± 2.2) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
17.5 
(± 6.6) 
26.2 
(± 8.2) 
16.8 
(± 3.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 126: Answers to ' Democratic Senate Candidate Ann Kirkpatrick ' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 368) 
 
 
Female (N = 411) 

Very 
favorable 
 3.1 
(± 1.7) 
 4.7 
(± 1.6) 

Favorable 
39.8 
(± 6.4) 
33.1 
(± 4.8) 

Unfavorable 
34.7 
(± 5.8) 
30.9 
(± 5.3) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 7.0 
(± 2.2) 
 7.9 
(± 2.6) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
15.3 
(± 5.1) 
23.3 
(± 4.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Table 127: Answers to ' Democratic Senate Candidate Ann Kirkpatrick ' by 'Racial Background' 

 
White (N = 572) 
 
 
Hispanic (N = 93) 
Other (N = 103) 

Very 
favorable 
 3.7 
(± 1.3) 
 3.4 
(± 2.9) 
 6.3 
(± 4.3) 

Favorable 
35.9 
(± 5.1) 
35.5 
(± 9.6) 
46.9 
(±11.9) 

Unfavorable 
34.7 
(± 4.3) 
20.0 
(±10.1) 
27.4 
(±11.5) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 8.9 
(± 2.1) 
 3.6 
(± 4.5) 
 2.5 
(± 2.5) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
16.8 
(± 4.3) 
37.5 
(± 9.4) 
17.0 
(± 7.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  768 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 128: Answers to ' Democratic Senate Candidate Ann Kirkpatrick ' by 'Age' 

 Age 18-35 (N = 
 
 
143) 
Age 36-50 (N = 
116) 
Age 51+ (N = 520) 

Very 
favorable 
 2.6 
(± 1.9) 
 1.8 
(± 1.6) 
 5.3 
(± 1.9) 

Favorable 
40.4 
(±10.9) 
39.8 
(± 9.7) 
33.7 
(± 4.4) 

Unfavorable 
20.5 
(± 8.7) 
34.3 
(± 8.9) 
36.8 
(± 4.7) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 3.3 
(± 1.9) 
 1.0 
(± 1.1) 
11.6 
(± 2.9) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
33.2 
(±10.5) 
23.1 
(± 9.3) 
12.6 
(± 2.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Table 129: Answers to ' Democratic Senate Candidate Ann Kirkpatrick ' by 'Region' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Maricopa (N = 466) 
 
 
 3.2 
(± 1.5) 
Pima (N = 116) 
 4.5 
(± 3.0) 
Rest of Arizona (N   5.5 
= 197) 
(± 2.4) 

Favorable 
37.1 
(± 5.7) 
47.0 
(± 6.6) 
29.9 
(± 5.9) 

Unfavorable 
32.0 
(± 5.5) 
26.1 
(± 4.7) 
38.4 
(± 6.3) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 7.6 
(± 2.3) 
 9.5 
(± 3.9) 
 6.2 
(± 3.0) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
20.1 
(± 5.0) 
12.8 
(± 4.8) 
20.0 
(± 5.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 130: Answers to ' Democratic Senate Candidate Ann Kirkpatrick ' by 'Fulltime residents' 

 Fulltime residents 
 
 
(N = 754) 

Very 
favorable 
 3.9 
(± 1.2) 

Favorable 
36.5 
(± 4.1) 

Unfavorable 
33.3 
(± 4.0) 

Very 
unfavorable 
 7.2 
(± 1.7) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
19.0 
(± 3.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  754 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 Proposition 205 
 
Table 171: Answers to ' A proposition to legalize the recreational use 
of marijuana will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely 
to vote in favor, or against, legalizing the recreational use of marijuana 
for Arizona adults 21 years of age or older?' by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
= 779) 

Favor 
50.4 
(± 3.9) 

Against 
41.6 
(± 4.0) 

Don't know 
 8.0 
(± 2.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Results weighted by 
registered voters according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights 
adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 172: Answers to ' A proposition to legalize the recreational use 
of marijuana will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely 
to vote in favor, or against, legalizing the recreational use of marijuana 
for Arizona adults 21 years of age or older?' by 'Party registration from 
sample' 
Favor 
36.3 
(± 7.6) 
Democrat (N = 450)  61.5 
(± 4.4) 
Independent/Other  54.3 
(N = 143) 
(± 7.2) 
 Republican (N = 
186) 

Against 
58.3 
(± 7.5) 
29.4 
(± 4.3) 
36.4 
(± 7.7) 

Don't know 
 5.5 
(± 3.2) 
 9.0 
(± 2.6) 
 9.3 
(± 5.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 173: Answers to ' A proposition to legalize the recreational use 
of marijuana will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely 
to vote in favor, or against, legalizing the recreational use of marijuana 

 for Arizona adults 21 years of age or older?' by ' Generally speaking, 
do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an 
Independent, or what?' 
Favor 
 
Republican (N = 
30.3 
188) 
(± 7.2) 
Democrat (N = 338)  62.9 
(± 6.2) 
Independent/Other  58.2 
(N = 244) 
(± 6.4) 

Against 
62.1 
(± 8.1) 
25.9 
(± 5.4) 
35.9 
(± 6.2) 

Don't know 
 7.6 
(± 4.6) 
11.3 
(± 4.5) 
 5.9 
(± 3.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  770 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 174: Answers to ' A proposition to legalize the recreational use 
of marijuana will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely 
to vote in favor, or against, legalizing the recreational use of marijuana 
for Arizona adults 21 years of age or older?' by ' For whom did you 
vote for President in the 2012 election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, 
someone else or didn't you vote in the presidential election in 2012?' 
Favor 
 Barack Obama (N =  59.3 
435) 
(± 5.9) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
36.3 
213) 
(± 6.8) 
Someone else (N =  58.1 
32) 
(±20.5) 
Didn't vote (N = 84)  62.6 
(±12.0) 
Don't know (N = 
19.9 
15) 
(±19.0) 

Against 
32.5 
(± 5.7) 
58.7 
(± 6.9) 
30.4 
(±17.2) 
34.4 
(±11.9) 
14.4 
(±15.6) 

Don't know 
 8.2 
(± 3.2) 
 5.0 
(± 2.8) 
11.5 
(±11.6) 
 3.0 
(± 2.6) 
65.7 
(±25.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 Table 175: Answers to ' A proposition to legalize the recreational use 
of marijuana will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely 
to vote in favor, or against, legalizing the recreational use of marijuana 
for Arizona adults 21 years of age or older?' by 'Level of Education' 
Favor 
 High School or Less  36.7 
(N = 124) 
(± 9.6) 
Some College (N =  50.2 
221) 
(± 8.2) 
Bachelor's or more  53.2 
(N = 434) 
(± 4.7) 

Against 
50.0 
(±10.0) 
40.1 
(± 8.0) 
40.6 
(± 5.0) 

Don't know 
13.2 
(± 7.0) 
 9.7 
(± 4.6) 
 6.2 
(± 2.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 176: Answers to ' A proposition to legalize the recreational use 
of marijuana will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely 
to vote in favor, or against, legalizing the recreational use of marijuana 
for Arizona adults 21 years of age or older?' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 368) 
Female (N = 411) 

Favor 
54.7 
(± 5.8) 
46.1 
(± 5.2) 

Against 
39.4 
(± 5.8) 
43.9 
(± 5.5) 

Don't know 
 6.0 
(± 2.9) 
10.0 
(± 3.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 177: Answers to ' A proposition to legalize the recreational use 
of marijuana will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely 
to vote in favor, or against, legalizing the recreational use of marijuana 
for Arizona adults 21 years of age or older?' by 'Racial Background' 
Favor 
 

Against 

Don't know 

 White (N = 572) 
Hispanic (N = 93) 
Other (N = 103) 

47.2 
(± 4.9) 
56.8 
(±10.4) 
60.6 
(±11.3) 

45.1 
(± 5.1) 
33.2 
(±10.5) 
31.3 
(±10.2) 

 7.7 
(± 2.7) 
10.0 
(± 6.9) 
 8.0 
(± 6.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  768 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 178: Answers to ' A proposition to legalize the recreational use 
of marijuana will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely 
to vote in favor, or against, legalizing the recreational use of marijuana 
for Arizona adults 21 years of age or older?' by 'Age' 

 Age 18-35 (N = 
143) 
Age 36-50 (N = 
116) 
Age 51+ (N = 520) 

Favor 
69.4 
(±10.3) 
59.6 
(±10.2) 
39.7 
(± 4.5) 

Against 
24.2 
(±10.2) 
32.7 
(± 9.9) 
51.6 
(± 4.6) 

Don't know 
 6.4 
(± 5.9) 
 7.7 
(± 6.0) 
 8.7 
(± 2.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 179: Answers to ' A proposition to legalize the recreational use 
of marijuana will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely 
to vote in favor, or against, legalizing the recreational use of marijuana 
for Arizona adults 21 years of age or older?' by 'Region' 
Favor 
 
Maricopa (N = 466) 
50.0 
(± 5.6) 
Pima (N = 116) 
58.4 
(± 5.4) 

Against 
40.1 
(± 5.8) 
37.1 
(± 5.1) 

Don't know 
 9.9 
(± 3.4) 
 4.5 
(± 2.8) 

 Rest of Arizona (N 
= 197) 

47.8 
(± 5.9) 

47.8 
(± 5.7) 

 4.5 
(± 2.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 180: Answers to ' A proposition to legalize the recreational use 
of marijuana will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely 
to vote in favor, or against, legalizing the recreational use of marijuana 
for Arizona adults 21 years of age or older?' by 'Fulltime residents' 

 Fulltime residents 
(N = 754) 

Favor 
50.1 
(± 3.9) 

Against 
42.1 
(± 4.0) 

Don't know 
 7.9 
(± 2.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  754 interviews of voters. Results weighted by 
registered voters according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights 
adjusted for nonresponse. 

 
Proposition 206 
 
Table 181: Answers to ' A proposition to raise the minimum wage from 
$8.05 per hour to $10 per hour in 2017 then gradually to $12 by 2020 
will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely to vote in 
favor, or against, raising Arizona's minimum wage from $8.05 per ho' 
by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
= 779) 

Favor 
58.4 
(± 4.1) 

Against 
31.6 
(± 3.8) 

Don't know 
10.0 
(± 2.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Results weighted by 
registered voters according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights 
adjusted for nonresponse. 

  
Table 182: Answers to ' A proposition to raise the minimum wage from 
$8.05 per hour to $10 per hour in 2017 then gradually to $12 by 2020 
will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely to vote in 
favor, or against, raising Arizona's minimum wage from $8.05 per ho' 
by 'Party registration from sample' 
Favor 
42.1 
(± 8.3) 
Democrat (N = 450)  80.1 
(± 3.9) 
Independent/Other  56.1 
(N = 143) 
(± 7.6) 
 Republican (N = 
186) 

Against 
47.2 
(± 7.8) 
12.5 
(± 3.2) 
32.5 
(± 7.1) 

Don't know 
10.7 
(± 4.3) 
 7.4 
(± 2.5) 
11.4 
(± 3.1) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 183: Answers to ' A proposition to raise the minimum wage from 
$8.05 per hour to $10 per hour in 2017 then gradually to $12 by 2020 
will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely to vote in 
favor, or against, raising Arizona's minimum wage from $8.05 per ho' 
by ' Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a 
Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?' 
Favor 
34.4 
(± 7.3) 
Democrat (N = 338)  85.2 
(± 4.2) 
Independent/Other  61.1 
(N = 244) 
(± 6.1) 
 Republican (N = 
188) 

Against 
55.0 
(± 7.6) 
 7.4 
(± 3.5) 
28.7 
(± 5.8) 

Don't know 
10.6 
(± 5.1) 
 7.3 
(± 3.0) 
10.2 
(± 2.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  770 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 Table 184: Answers to ' A proposition to raise the minimum wage from 
$8.05 per hour to $10 per hour in 2017 then gradually to $12 by 2020 
will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely to vote in 
favor, or against, raising Arizona's minimum wage from $8.05 per ho' 
by ' For whom did you vote for President in the 2012 election: Barack 
Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or didn't you vote in the 
presidential election in 2012?' 
Favor 
 Barack Obama (N =  77.5 
435) 
(± 5.7) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
38.8 
213) 
(± 7.0) 
Someone else (N =  60.3 
32) 
(±20.5) 
Didn't vote (N = 84)  45.3 
(±12.6) 
Don't know (N = 
48.4 
15) 
(±32.0) 

Against 
17.0 
(± 5.7) 
53.2 
(± 6.7) 
20.3 
(±15.3) 
24.5 
(± 7.7) 
39.0 
(±35.0) 

Don't know 
 5.4 
(± 1.8) 
 7.9 
(± 4.1) 
19.4 
(±16.7) 
30.2 
(± 9.3) 
12.6 
(±14.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 185: Answers to ' A proposition to raise the minimum wage from 
$8.05 per hour to $10 per hour in 2017 then gradually to $12 by 2020 
will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely to vote in 
favor, or against, raising Arizona's minimum wage from $8.05 per ho' 
by 'Level of Education' 
Favor 
 High School or Less  69.5 
(N = 124) 
(± 8.9) 
Some College (N =  55.5 
221) 
(± 7.8) 
Bachelor's or more  57.4 
(N = 434) 
(± 5.2) 

Against 
25.7 
(± 8.6) 
32.1 
(± 7.5) 
32.5 
(± 5.0) 

Don't know 
 4.8 
(± 3.1) 
12.4 
(± 5.0) 
10.0 
(± 2.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

  
Table 186: Answers to ' A proposition to raise the minimum wage from 
$8.05 per hour to $10 per hour in 2017 then gradually to $12 by 2020 
will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely to vote in 
favor, or against, raising Arizona's minimum wage from $8.05 per ho' 
by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 368) 
Female (N = 411) 

Favor 
58.6 
(± 6.2) 
58.3 
(± 5.4) 

Against 
37.2 
(± 6.1) 
25.8 
(± 4.7) 

Don't know 
 4.2 
(± 1.8) 
15.9 
(± 3.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 187: Answers to ' A proposition to raise the minimum wage from 
$8.05 per hour to $10 per hour in 2017 then gradually to $12 by 2020 
will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely to vote in 
favor, or against, raising Arizona's minimum wage from $8.05 per ho' 
by 'Racial Background' 

 
White (N = 572) 
Hispanic (N = 93) 
Other (N = 103) 

Favor 
58.6 
(± 5.2) 
53.6 
(±10.2) 
61.4 
(±12.3) 

Against 
34.5 
(± 5.0) 
18.7 
(± 8.7) 
27.5 
(±11.5) 

Don't know 
 6.9 
(± 2.1) 
27.6 
(± 8.0) 
11.1 
(± 8.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  768 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 188: Answers to ' A proposition to raise the minimum wage from 
$8.05 per hour to $10 per hour in 2017 then gradually to $12 by 2020 
will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely to vote in 

 favor, or against, raising Arizona's minimum wage from $8.05 per ho' 
by 'Age' 

 Age 18-35 (N = 
143) 
Age 36-50 (N = 
116) 
Age 51+ (N = 520) 

Favor 
50.6 
(±10.3) 
57.8 
(±10.7) 
61.6 
(± 4.7) 

Against 
34.3 
(± 9.9) 
35.9 
(± 9.8) 
28.8 
(± 4.4) 

Don't know 
15.1 
(± 2.7) 
 6.3 
(± 4.4) 
 9.7 
(± 2.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 189: Answers to ' A proposition to raise the minimum wage from 
$8.05 per hour to $10 per hour in 2017 then gradually to $12 by 2020 
will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely to vote in 
favor, or against, raising Arizona's minimum wage from $8.05 per ho' 
by 'Region' 
Favor 
 
Maricopa (N = 466) 
59.5 
(± 5.8) 
Pima (N = 116) 
63.7 
(± 6.7) 
Rest of Arizona (N  53.2 
= 197) 
(± 6.6) 

Against 
30.2 
(± 5.4) 
24.5 
(± 6.0) 
38.6 
(± 5.9) 

Don't know 
10.4 
(± 2.6) 
11.7 
(± 4.0) 
 8.1 
(± 3.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  779 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is 
statistically significant based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. 
Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 190: Answers to ' A proposition to raise the minimum wage from 
$8.05 per hour to $10 per hour in 2017 then gradually to $12 by 2020 
will be on the ballot for the 2016 election. Are you likely to vote in 
favor, or against, raising Arizona's minimum wage from $8.05 per ho' 
by 'Fulltime residents' 

  Fulltime residents 
(N = 754) 

Favor 
58.3 
(± 4.1) 

Against 
31.8 
(± 3.9) 

Don't know 
10.0 
(± 2.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. 
Answers based on  754 interviews of voters. Results weighted by 
registered voters according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights 
adjusted for nonresponse. 

 
Maricopa County sheriff 
 
Table 41: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for MCSO?' by 'All 
respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
= 466) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
Joe Arpaio 
31.1 
(± 5.2) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Paul Penzone 
45.9 
(± 5.6) 

Someone 
else 
 1.6 
(± 1.2) 

Or haven't 
you decided 
yet 
21.4 
(± 4.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based 
on  466 interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 42: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for MCSO?' by 'Party 
registration from sample' 

 The 
Republican 
candidate, 
Joe Arpaio 
 
Republican (N = 
49.8 
111) 
(±10.1) 
Democrat (N = 279)  13.5 
(± 4.3) 
Independent/Other  26.4 
(N = 76) 
(± 9.5) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Paul Penzone 
37.2 
(± 9.3) 
72.1 
(± 5.5) 
36.4 
(±10.9) 

Someone 
else 
 2.5 
(± 3.2) 
 1.8 
(± 1.6) 
 0.5 
(± 1.0) 

Or haven't 
you decided 
yet 
10.5 
(± 5.7) 
12.6 
(± 4.0) 
36.6 
(±11.1) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based 
on  466 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters 
according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 43: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for MCSO?' by ' Generally 
speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an 
Independent, or what?' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
Joe Arpaio 
 
Republican (N = 
54.3 
105) 
(±12.1) 
Democrat (N = 204)   7.9 
(± 4.7) 
Independent/Other  27.6 
(N = 152) 
(± 8.6) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Paul Penzone 
25.0 
(± 9.5) 
83.6 
(± 5.7) 
38.6 
(± 9.5) 

Someone 
else 
 0.5 
(± 1.0) 
 1.1 
(± 1.2) 
 2.8 
(± 2.8) 

Or haven't 
you decided 
yet 
20.2 
(±10.4) 
 7.3 
(± 3.3) 
31.1 
(± 8.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based 
on  461 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters 
according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 Table 44: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for MCSO?' by ' For whom did 
you vote for President in the 2012 election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, 
someone else or didn't you vote in the presidential election in 2012?' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
Joe Arpaio 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
11.8 
263) 
(± 5.5) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
59.8 
114) 
(±10.4) 
Someone else (N =  17.9 
17) 
(±18.9) 
Didn't vote (N = 63)  24.3 
(±15.7) 
Don't know (N = 9)  58.2 
(±39.7) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Paul Penzone 
72.2 
(± 8.0) 
21.7 
(± 8.7) 
61.2 
(±28.5) 
14.2 
(± 7.1) 
38.5 
(±38.8) 

Someone 
else 
 2.7 
(± 2.6) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 4.9 
(± 7.4) 
 0.8 
(± 1.3) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 

Or haven't 
you decided 
yet 
13.3 
(± 7.4) 
18.5 
(± 8.4) 
16.0 
(±20.4) 
60.7 
(±15.3) 
 3.3 
(± 6.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based 
on  466 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters 
according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 45: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for MCSO?' by 'Level of 
Education' 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
Joe Arpaio 
 
High School or Less 
36.3 
(N = 66) 
(±14.6) 
Some College (N =  35.7 
140) 
(± 9.4) 
Bachelor's or more  28.5 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Paul Penzone 
41.1 
(±14.3) 
41.3 
(± 9.2) 
48.5 

Someone 
else 
 4.3 
(± 5.0) 
 2.9 
(± 4.0) 
 0.6 

Or haven't 
you decided 
yet 
18.4 
(±10.1) 
20.2 
(± 9.7) 
22.4 

 (N = 260) 

(± 7.2) 

(± 7.6) 

(± 0.7) 

(± 6.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based 
on  466 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant 
based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered 
voters according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for 
nonresponse. 
 

Table 46: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for MCSO?' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 207) 
Female (N = 259) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
Joe Arpaio 
29.1 
(± 8.1) 
33.1 
(± 6.7) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Paul Penzone 
52.2 
(±10.1) 
39.7 
(± 5.0) 

Someone 
else 
 0.4 
(± 0.5) 
 2.7 
(± 2.4) 

Or haven't 
you decided 
yet 
18.3 
(± 7.5) 
24.5 
(± 6.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based 
on  466 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant 
based on unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered 
voters according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for 
nonresponse. 
 
Table 47: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for MCSO?' by 'Racial 
Background' 

 
White (N = 333) 
Hispanic (N = 64) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
Joe Arpaio 
34.7 
(± 6.7) 
20.8 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Paul Penzone 
46.2 
(± 7.1) 
45.3 

Someone 
else 
 1.4 
(± 1.5) 
 1.4 

Or haven't 
you decided 
yet 
17.6 
(± 6.4) 
32.5 

 Other (N = 65) 

(±13.5) 
22.3 
(±15.0) 

(±13.2) 
50.0 
(±15.7) 

(± 1.9) 
 2.5 
(± 3.7) 

(± 9.0) 
25.2 
(±14.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based 
on  462 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters 
according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

Table 48: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for MCSO?' by 'Age' 

 Age 18-35 (N = 
110) 
Age 36-50 (N = 87) 
Age 51+ (N = 269) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
Joe Arpaio 
13.4 
(± 9.6) 
34.2 
(±12.7) 
37.5 
(± 6.6) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Paul Penzone 
40.9 
(±15.0) 
52.4 
(±12.4) 
44.5 
(± 6.3) 

Someone 
else 
 0.8 
(± 1.1) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 
 2.8 
(± 2.5) 

Or haven't 
you decided 
yet 
44.9 
(±15.3) 
13.4 
(± 9.2) 
15.2 
(± 5.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based 
on  466 interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on 
unweighted Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters 
according to party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

Table 49: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for MCSO?' by 'Region' 

 The 
Republican 
candidate, 
Joe Arpaio 
 
Maricopa (N = 466) 
31.1 
(± 5.2) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Paul Penzone 
45.9 
(± 5.6) 

Someone 
else 
 1.6 
(± 1.2) 

Or haven't 
you decided 
yet 
21.4 
(± 4.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based 
on  466 interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 50: Answers to 'Who are you planning to vote for MCSO?' by 'Fulltime 
residents' 

 Fulltime residents 
(N = 457) 

The 
Republican 
candidate, 
Joe Arpaio 
31.4 
(± 5.3) 

The 
Democratic 
candidate, 
Paul Penzone 
45.6 
(± 5.6) 

Someone 
else 
 1.6 
(± 1.3) 

Or haven't 
you decided 
yet 
21.4 
(± 5.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based 
on  457 interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to 
party, gender, age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 
 
 
 

 Joe Arpaio favorability 
 
Table 131: Answers to ' Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio ' by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
= 779) 

Very 
favorable 
11.7 
(± 2.5) 

Favorable 
23.6 
(± 3.3) 

Unfavorable 
22.1 
(± 3.5) 

Very 
unfavorable 
27.0 
(± 3.5) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
15.6 
(± 3.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 132: Answers to ' Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio ' by 'Party registration from 
sample' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Republican (N = 
18.8 
186) 
(± 5.7) 
Democrat (N = 450)   5.2 
(± 2.2) 
Independent/Other  10.6 
(N = 143) 
(± 3.9) 

Favorable 
36.4 
(± 6.6) 
13.5 
(± 3.4) 
20.1 
(± 6.0) 

Unfavorable 
17.2 
(± 5.0) 
26.0 
(± 4.1) 
23.4 
(± 7.7) 

Very 
unfavorable 
14.8 
(± 6.2) 
47.3 
(± 4.5) 
22.0 
(± 6.5) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
12.8 
(± 5.2) 
 8.0 
(± 2.4) 
23.9 
(± 6.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 Table 133: Answers to ' Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio ' by ' Generally speaking, do you 
usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Republican (N = 
22.5 
188) 
(± 5.8) 
Democrat (N = 338)   3.1 
(± 2.6) 
Independent/Other   8.9 
(N = 244) 
(± 3.7) 

Favorable 
33.5 
(± 7.3) 
 9.8 
(± 3.7) 
24.8 
(± 6.0) 

Unfavorable 
12.9 
(± 5.4) 
30.8 
(± 7.0) 
23.4 
(± 5.7) 

Very 
unfavorable 
14.5 
(± 5.8) 
48.6 
(± 6.4) 
22.7 
(± 5.9) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
16.6 
(± 6.6) 
 7.7 
(± 2.9) 
20.2 
(± 5.7) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  770 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 134: Answers to ' Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio ' by ' For whom did you vote for 
President in the 2012 election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or didn't you vote 
in the presidential election in 2012?' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
 4.0 
435) 
(± 2.2) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
23.5 
213) 
(± 5.9) 
Someone else (N =  16.6 
32) 
(±11.8) 
Didn't vote (N = 84)   2.7 
(± 3.2) 
Don't know (N = 
15.8 
15) 
(±17.4) 

Favorable 
12.8 
(± 4.1) 
38.5 
(± 6.6) 
21.9 
(±15.3) 
23.3 
(±11.3) 
 8.6 
(±10.2) 

Unfavorable 
28.6 
(± 5.7) 
13.4 
(± 5.1) 
33.7 
(±19.5) 
19.0 
(± 9.0) 
21.8 
(±26.8) 

Very 
unfavorable 
44.9 
(± 5.4) 
10.8 
(± 5.4) 
24.4 
(±25.4) 
10.9 
(± 4.3) 
13.0 
(±14.6) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 9.8 
(± 4.3) 
13.8 
(± 4.5) 
 3.5 
(± 4.8) 
44.2 
(±12.3) 
40.8 
(±34.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 

 age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 

Table 135: Answers to ' Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio ' by 'Level of Education' 

Very 
favorable 
 
High School or Less 
26.7 
(N = 124) 
(± 9.0) 
Some College (N =  14.2 
221) 
(± 5.0) 
Bachelor's or more   7.8 
(N = 434) 
(± 3.1) 

Favorable 
24.3 
(± 8.5) 
30.7 
(± 6.9) 
20.5 
(± 4.6) 

Unfavorable 
24.1 
(± 8.4) 
20.6 
(± 5.7) 
22.4 
(± 4.8) 

Very 
unfavorable 
17.6 
(± 6.4) 
19.1 
(± 4.8) 
32.1 
(± 5.0) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
 7.3 
(± 4.7) 
15.5 
(± 7.4) 
17.3 
(± 4.3) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

Table 136: Answers to ' Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio ' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 368) 
Female (N = 411) 

Very 
favorable 
13.1 
(± 3.8) 
10.4 
(± 3.1) 

Favorable 
22.3 
(± 4.6) 
24.8 
(± 4.7) 

Unfavorable 
20.9 
(± 5.2) 
23.3 
(± 4.9) 

Very 
unfavorable 
29.7 
(± 5.7) 
24.2 
(± 3.9) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
13.9 
(± 5.1) 
17.3 
(± 3.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

  

Table 137: Answers to ' Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio ' by 'Racial Background' 

 
White (N = 572) 
Hispanic (N = 93) 
Other (N = 103) 

Very 
favorable 
13.2 
(± 2.9) 
 5.9 
(± 6.5) 
 9.8 
(± 7.5) 

Favorable 
24.5 
(± 4.1) 
20.4 
(±10.3) 
21.5 
(±10.5) 

Unfavorable 
21.4 
(± 4.6) 
24.2 
(± 8.1) 
26.7 
(±10.6) 

Very 
unfavorable 
27.0 
(± 4.3) 
26.5 
(± 8.5) 
29.1 
(±10.9) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
13.9 
(± 4.2) 
23.0 
(± 6.1) 
12.9 
(± 5.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  768 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

Table 138: Answers to ' Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio ' by 'Age' 

 Age 18-35 (N = 
143) 
Age 36-50 (N = 
116) 
Age 51+ (N = 520) 

Very 
favorable 
 5.4 
(± 3.2) 
 9.0 
(± 6.4) 
15.2 
(± 3.3) 

Favorable 
16.6 
(± 5.4) 
23.8 
(± 8.2) 
26.0 
(± 4.3) 

Unfavorable 
23.5 
(±10.5) 
20.5 
(± 8.2) 
22.3 
(± 3.9) 

Very 
unfavorable 
26.0 
(± 8.8) 
30.6 
(± 8.7) 
25.9 
(± 3.9) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
28.5 
(±10.6) 
16.1 
(± 7.6) 
10.6 
(± 2.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

  

Table 139: Answers to ' Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio ' by 'Region' 

Very 
favorable 
 
Maricopa (N = 466) 
 8.9 
(± 3.3) 
Pima (N = 116) 
 6.9 
(± 4.3) 
Rest of Arizona (N  21.5 
= 197) 
(± 4.8) 

Favorable 
24.1 
(± 4.6) 
18.6 
(± 5.1) 
24.5 
(± 5.6) 

Unfavorable 
23.4 
(± 5.0) 
21.4 
(± 5.4) 
19.2 
(± 5.3) 

Very 
unfavorable 
29.9 
(± 5.0) 
34.8 
(± 5.9) 
15.4 
(± 4.4) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
13.7 
(± 4.5) 
18.3 
(± 4.4) 
19.3 
(± 4.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

Table 140: Answers to ' Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio ' by 'Fulltime residents' 

 Fulltime residents 
(N = 754) 

Very 
favorable 
11.9 
(± 2.5) 

Favorable 
23.9 
(± 3.4) 

Unfavorable 
21.9 
(± 3.5) 

Very 
unfavorable 
26.9 
(± 3.5) 

(DNR) Don't 
know/Refused 
15.4 
(± 3.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  754 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 

  
 
Deportation 
 
Table 191: Answers to ' I support deporting all illegal immigrants currently in the United States 
' by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
= 779) 

Strongly 
agree 
12.3 
(± 2.7) 

Agree 
14.1 
(± 2.3) 

Disagree 
39.0 
(± 4.1) 

Strongly 
disagree 
29.2 
(± 3.7) 

Don't know 
 5.4 
(± 2.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 192: Answers to ' I support deporting all illegal immigrants currently in the United States 
' by 'Party registration from sample' 
Strongly 
agree 
 
Republican (N = 
22.0 
186) 
(± 5.8) 
Democrat (N = 450)   4.2 
(± 2.1) 
Independent/Other  10.0 
(N = 143) 
(± 4.9) 

Agree 
16.0 
(± 4.1) 
14.4 
(± 3.2) 
12.1 
(± 4.1) 

Disagree 
34.6 
(± 8.1) 
34.9 
(± 4.5) 
46.1 
(± 7.6) 

Strongly 
disagree 
22.3 
(± 6.7) 
41.0 
(± 4.6) 
26.2 
(± 7.1) 

Don't know 
 5.1 
(± 3.2) 
 5.6 
(± 2.4) 
 5.5 
(± 3.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 Table 193: Answers to ' I support deporting all illegal immigrants currently in the United States 
' by ' Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an 
Independent, or what?' 
Strongly 
agree 
 
Republican (N = 
23.3 
188) 
(± 6.9) 
Democrat (N = 338)   3.0 
(± 1.8) 
Independent/Other   9.0 
(N = 244) 
(± 4.1) 

Agree 
16.6 
(± 4.6) 
 9.2 
(± 3.4) 
15.4 
(± 4.0) 

Disagree 
33.3 
(± 8.4) 
40.7 
(± 6.3) 
43.6 
(± 6.2) 

Strongly 
disagree 
18.8 
(± 5.9) 
44.4 
(± 6.5) 
26.8 
(± 6.1) 

Don't know 
 7.9 
(± 4.9) 
 2.7 
(± 1.8) 
 5.2 
(± 2.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  770 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 194: Answers to ' I support deporting all illegal immigrants currently in the United States 
' by ' For whom did you vote for President in the 2012 election: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, 
someone else or didn't you vote in the presidential election in 2012?' 
Strongly 
agree 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
 5.5 
435) 
(± 3.4) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
19.3 
213) 
(± 5.5) 
Someone else (N =   7.3 
32) 
(± 7.4) 
Didn't vote (N = 84)  18.1 
(±10.6) 
Don't know (N = 
18.3 
15) 
(±26.6) 

Agree 
11.8 
(± 3.3) 
18.3 
(± 4.7) 
10.2 
(± 9.3) 
 9.8 
(± 5.1) 
21.4 
(±19.8) 

Disagree 
37.6 
(± 5.9) 
40.3 
(± 7.2) 
37.1 
(±20.2) 
48.9 
(±12.4) 
 5.3 
(± 7.7) 

Strongly 
disagree 
42.7 
(± 6.0) 
15.6 
(± 5.1) 
29.9 
(±24.4) 
20.0 
(±13.9) 
20.0 
(±18.9) 

Don't know 
 2.4 
(± 1.3) 
 6.5 
(± 3.4) 
15.4 
(±13.4) 
 3.3 
(± 3.4) 
35.0 
(±35.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 

 Table 195: Answers to ' I support deporting all illegal immigrants currently in the United States 
' by 'Level of Education' 
Strongly 
agree 
 
High School or Less 
19.4 
(N = 124) 
(± 8.2) 
Some College (N =  15.4 
221) 
(± 6.6) 
Bachelor's or more   9.6 
(N = 434) 
(± 2.9) 

Agree 
24.3 
(± 7.6) 
15.7 
(± 5.2) 
11.3 
(± 2.8) 

Disagree 
35.0 
(±10.0) 
40.5 
(± 7.7) 
39.3 
(± 5.2) 

Strongly 
disagree 
18.7 
(± 7.3) 
21.1 
(± 5.3) 
34.7 
(± 5.1) 

Don't know 
 2.6 
(± 2.3) 
 7.3 
(± 3.6) 
 5.2 
(± 2.7) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 196: Answers to ' I support deporting all illegal immigrants currently in the United States 
' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 368) 
Female (N = 411) 

Strongly 
agree 
10.2 
(± 3.0) 
14.4 
(± 4.6) 

Agree 
14.8 
(± 3.7) 
13.3 
(± 2.6) 

Disagree 
37.0 
(± 6.1) 
41.1 
(± 5.5) 

Strongly 
disagree 
33.8 
(± 5.8) 
24.6 
(± 4.6) 

Don't know 
 4.2 
(± 2.0) 
 6.6 
(± 3.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 197: Answers to ' I support deporting all illegal immigrants currently in the United States 
' by 'Racial Background' 
Strongly 
agree 
 

Agree 

Disagree 

Strongly 
disagree 

Don't know 

 White (N = 572) 
Hispanic (N = 93) 
Other (N = 103) 

11.4 
(± 3.1) 
16.1 
(±10.2) 
12.3 
(± 9.1) 

15.6 
(± 2.8) 
 9.5 
(± 5.3) 
 9.6 
(± 4.9) 

35.8 
(± 5.0) 
47.3 
(±10.3) 
53.0 
(±11.9) 

30.9 
(± 4.8) 
26.3 
(± 8.2) 
20.7 
(± 7.9) 

 6.3 
(± 2.5) 
 0.8 
(± 1.1) 
 4.4 
(± 3.4) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  768 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 198: Answers to ' I support deporting all illegal immigrants currently in the United States 
' by 'Age' 

 Age 18-35 (N = 
143) 
Age 36-50 (N = 
116) 
Age 51+ (N = 520) 

Strongly 
agree 
10.2 
(± 4.3) 
18.4 
(± 8.3) 
10.5 
(± 2.9) 

Agree 
 5.2 
(± 3.5) 
12.0 
(± 4.5) 
18.1 
(± 3.3) 

Disagree 
43.3 
(± 9.6) 
40.4 
(±11.4) 
36.9 
(± 4.4) 

Strongly 
disagree 
35.6 
(± 9.8) 
27.9 
(± 9.2) 
27.4 
(± 4.0) 

Don't know 
 5.7 
(± 5.9) 
 1.3 
(± 1.2) 
 7.0 
(± 2.6) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 199: Answers to ' I support deporting all illegal immigrants currently in the United States 
' by 'Region' 
Strongly 
agree 
 
Maricopa (N = 466) 
10.4 
(± 3.8) 
Pima (N = 116) 
 9.1 
(± 3.6) 

Agree 
11.0 
(± 2.9) 
14.3 
(± 5.0) 

Disagree 
41.7 
(± 5.9) 
38.3 
(± 5.9) 

Strongly 
disagree 
30.8 
(± 5.3) 
34.7 
(± 5.9) 

Don't know 
 6.1 
(± 2.8) 
 3.6 
(± 3.0) 

 Rest of Arizona (N 
= 197) 

18.9 
(± 4.9) 

22.0 
(± 4.8) 

32.2 
(± 5.9) 

22.3 
(± 5.4) 

 4.5 
(± 3.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 200: Answers to ' I support deporting all illegal immigrants currently in the United States 
' by 'Fulltime residents' 

 Fulltime residents 
(N = 754) 

Strongly 
agree 
12.4 
(± 2.8) 

Agree 
14.1 
(± 2.3) 

Disagree 
39.3 
(± 4.1) 

Strongly 
disagree 
28.8 
(± 3.8) 

Don't know 
 5.4 
(± 2.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  754 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

 
Build a wall? 
 
Table 201: Answers to ' Should the U.S. Build a wall between Mexico and the U.S. in an effort 
to secure the border? ' by 'All respondents' 

 All respondents (N 
= 779) 

Should 
definitely 
27.2 
(± 3.5) 

Should 
maybe 
 7.3 
(± 2.5) 

Depends/Unsure 
10.0 
(± 2.4) 

Should 
maybe 
not 
13.5 
(± 2.8) 

Should 
definitely 
not 
42.0 
(± 4.1) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

  
Table 202: Answers to ' Should the U.S. Build a wall between Mexico and the U.S. in an effort 
to secure the border? ' by 'Party registration from sample' 
Should 
definitely 
 
Republican (N = 
41.5 
186) 
(± 6.6) 
Democrat (N = 450)  11.4 
(± 3.2) 
Independent/Other  26.9 
(N = 143) 
(± 6.8) 

Should 
maybe 
11.7 
(± 4.8) 
 5.2 
(± 2.0) 
 5.0 
(± 4.8) 

Depends/Unsure 
 6.9 
(± 3.7) 
 6.0 
(± 2.3) 
15.8 
(± 5.1) 

Should 
maybe 
not 
12.1 
(± 5.6) 
16.9 
(± 3.4) 
12.0 
(± 4.8) 

Should 
definitely 
not 
27.7 
(± 6.7) 
60.4 
(± 4.5) 
40.3 
(± 8.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 203: Answers to ' Should the U.S. Build a wall between Mexico and the U.S. in an effort 
to secure the border? ' by ' Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a 
Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?' 
Should 
definitely 
 
Republican (N = 
48.0 
188) 
(± 7.5) 
Democrat (N = 338)   7.7 
(± 4.1) 
Independent/Other  24.5 
(N = 244) 
(± 5.9) 

Should 
maybe 
 9.5 
(± 3.7) 
 5.6 
(± 3.5) 
 6.8 
(± 4.8) 

Depends/Unsure 
11.3 
(± 5.6) 
 5.7 
(± 2.9) 
11.9 
(± 2.9) 

Should 
maybe 
not 
 9.4 
(± 4.8) 
15.3 
(± 3.9) 
14.5 
(± 4.5) 

Should 
definitely 
not 
21.7 
(± 7.4) 
65.7 
(± 6.2) 
42.4 
(± 7.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  770 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

  
Table 204: Answers to ' Should the U.S. Build a wall between Mexico and the U.S. in an effort 
to secure the border? ' by ' For whom did you vote for President in the 2012 election: Barack 
Obama, Mitt Romney, someone else or didn't you vote in the presidential election in 2012?' 
Should 
definitely 
 
Barack Obama (N = 
10.3 
435) 
(± 4.1) 
Mitt Romney (N = 
48.6 
213) 
(± 6.9) 
Someone else (N =  31.8 
32) 
(±18.2) 
Didn't vote (N = 84)  26.1 
(±11.0) 
Don't know (N = 
22.0 
15) 
(±20.1) 

Should 
maybe 
 3.7 
(± 2.3) 
 9.9 
(± 3.9) 
10.0 
(± 9.6) 
13.4 
(±13.0) 
 0.0 
(± 0.0) 

Depends/Unsure 
 6.5 
(± 3.8) 
 9.7 
(± 3.8) 
11.4 
(±11.5) 
24.9 
(± 6.5) 
 8.2 
(±12.4) 

Should 
maybe 
not 
18.0 
(± 4.4) 
11.4 
(± 5.1) 
 8.0 
(± 8.0) 
 6.1 
(± 7.3) 
 4.8 
(± 6.1) 

Should 
definitely 
not 
61.4 
(± 6.1) 
20.3 
(± 6.3) 
38.8 
(±24.5) 
29.6 
(±10.0) 
65.0 
(±26.0) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 205: Answers to ' Should the U.S. Build a wall between Mexico and the U.S. in an effort 
to secure the border? ' by 'Level of Education' 
Should 
definitely 
 
High School or Less 
44.0 
(N = 124) 
(± 9.9) 
Some College (N =  31.4 
221) 
(± 7.7) 
Bachelor's or more  22.2 
(N = 434) 
(± 4.5) 

Should 
maybe 
10.3 
(± 5.3) 
 4.6 
(± 2.4) 
 7.8 
(± 3.7) 

Depends/Unsure 
 6.9 
(± 4.8) 
10.0 
(± 6.5) 
10.7 
(± 2.4) 

Should 
maybe 
not 
12.2 
(± 6.2) 
16.8 
(± 6.1) 
12.4 
(± 3.4) 

Should 
definitely 
not 
26.6 
(± 7.9) 
37.2 
(± 6.6) 
47.0 
(± 5.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 

  
Table 206: Answers to ' Should the U.S. Build a wall between Mexico and the U.S. in an effort 
to secure the border? ' by 'Gender' 

 
Male (N = 368) 
Female (N = 411) 

Should 
definitely 
27.9 
(± 4.6) 
26.6 
(± 5.3) 

Should 
maybe 
 8.9 
(± 4.4) 
 5.7 
(± 2.2) 

Depends/Unsure 
 6.8 
(± 3.7) 
13.3 
(± 2.9) 

Should 
maybe 
not 
12.8 
(± 4.0) 
14.2 
(± 3.8) 

Should 
definitely 
not 
43.7 
(± 6.6) 
40.3 
(± 4.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 207: Answers to ' Should the U.S. Build a wall between Mexico and the U.S. in an effort 
to secure the border? ' by 'Racial Background' 

 
White (N = 572) 
Hispanic (N = 93) 
Other (N = 103) 

Should 
definitely 
28.4 
(± 4.0) 
22.8 
(±10.9) 
26.8 
(±11.6) 

Should 
maybe 
 7.0 
(± 2.4) 
 5.6 
(± 4.6) 
 3.2 
(± 2.9) 

Depends/Unsure 
 8.4 
(± 3.4) 
23.0 
(± 5.6) 
 8.8 
(± 4.1) 

Should 
maybe 
not 
13.8 
(± 3.2) 
 9.4 
(± 5.0) 
14.9 
(± 9.2) 

Should 
definitely 
not 
42.4 
(± 5.1) 
39.3 
(± 9.7) 
46.2 
(±11.8) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  768 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is not statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 Table 208: Answers to ' Should the U.S. Build a wall between Mexico and the U.S. in an effort 

 to secure the border? ' by 'Age' 

 Age 18-35 (N = 
143) 
Age 36-50 (N = 
116) 
Age 51+ (N = 520) 

Should 
definitely 
10.7 
(± 5.1) 
25.7 
(± 8.6) 
33.9 
(± 4.5) 

Should 
maybe 
 7.9 
(± 8.2) 
 7.7 
(± 6.1) 
 6.9 
(± 2.1) 

Depends/Unsure 
17.8 
(± 8.1) 
 5.9 
(± 3.4) 
 8.9 
(± 2.7) 

Should 
maybe 
not 
11.6 
(± 5.7) 
18.9 
(± 8.0) 
11.9 
(± 3.1) 

Should 
definitely 
not 
52.0 
(±10.8) 
41.7 
(± 9.1) 
38.5 
(± 4.5) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 209: Answers to ' Should the U.S. Build a wall between Mexico and the U.S. in an effort 
to secure the border? ' by 'Region' 
Should 
definitely 
 
Maricopa (N = 466) 
24.7 
(± 4.8) 
Pima (N = 116) 
18.9 
(± 5.7) 
Rest of Arizona (N  37.8 
= 197) 
(± 6.1) 

Should 
maybe 
 7.8 
(± 3.6) 
 4.4 
(± 3.4) 
 7.1 
(± 3.5) 

Depends/Unsure 
10.8 
(± 3.3) 
11.6 
(± 3.4) 
 7.2 
(± 3.9) 

Should 
maybe 
not 
12.8 
(± 3.9) 
22.1 
(± 6.0) 
11.2 
(± 3.4) 

Should 
definitely 
not 
43.8 
(± 5.9) 
43.0 
(± 6.2) 
36.6 
(± 5.9) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  779 
interviews of voters. Pattern of answers is statistically significant based on unweighted 
Pearson chi-square test. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, 
age, and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse. 
 
Table 210: Answers to ' Should the U.S. Build a wall between Mexico and the U.S. in an effort 
to secure the border? ' by 'Fulltime residents' 

  Fulltime residents 
(N = 754) 

Should 
definitely 
27.5 
(± 3.5) 

Should 
maybe 
 7.3 
(± 2.5) 

Depends/Unsure 
 9.9 
(± 2.4) 

Should 
maybe 
not 
13.1 
(± 2.8) 

Should 
definitely 
not 
42.3 
(± 4.2) 

Notes: 95 percent margin of error below estimates in parentheses. Answers based on  754 
interviews of voters. Results weighted by registered voters according to party, gender, age, 
and county. Weights adjusted for nonresponse.