This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone October 22-25, 2016,
among a random national sample of 1,775 adults, including landline and cell phone
respondents. Overall results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5
points; the error margin is plus or minus 3 points among the sample of 1,135 likely
voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
*= less than 0.5 percent
(Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the
end.)

1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the 2016 presidential
race: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?

10/25/16 LV
10/24/16*LV
10/23/16 LV
10/22/16 LV
10/13/16 LV
9/22/16 LV
9/8/16
LV
1/24/16 RV
11/19/15

---- Closely ---NET
Very
Smwt
92
62
30
93
65
28
94
66
28
94
71
23
94
66
28
92
60
32
92
59
33
84
39
45
75
30
45

---- Not closely ---NET
Not so
At all
7
5
3
7
4
2
6
4
2
6
4
2
5
4
1
8
5
3
8
5
3
16
10
6
25
13
12

No
opinion
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
5/20/12
2/4/12**
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11
10/2/11
9/1/11
7/17/11
6/5/11

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV

99
98
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
95
94
93
92
92
93
92
87
82
79
76
69
65
64
66
61
61

66
67
67
68
67
66
69
69
68
66
62
63
63
64
64
60
54
51
38
37
33
26
24
24
25
18
22

33
31
31
31
32
33
30
30
31
33
33
32
31
28
28
33
38
36
44
43
43
43
41
40
40
43
39

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
5
6
8
8
6
8
13
18
20
24
31
34
36
34
39
38

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
4
5
5
4
6
8
9
12
14
18
17
23
20
23
23

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
5
8
8
10
13
17
13
14
15
15

*
*
*
0
0
0
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

91
90
90
89
89
89
90
91

64
63
61
60
59
60
59
60

28
28
29
29
29
30
31
31

8
9
10
11
11
10
10
9

5
5
6
7
7
6
6
5

4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

 10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08
4/13/08
3/2/08
2/1/08
1/12/08
12/9/07
11/1/07
9/30/07
7/21/07
6/1/07
4/15/07
2/25/07

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

90
89
89
88
89
90
90
90
92
89
91
89
84
79
75
83
84
84
81
79
72
67
69
70
66
66
65

60
59
60
58
57
58
57
57
59
58
55
51
42
36
34
39
37
42
35
32
21
21
21
22
18
20
20

30
30
28
30
32
32
34
33
33
31
36
38
42
42
41
44
47
42
46
47
51
46
48
48
48
45
44

9
11
11
12
11
10
10
10
8
11
9
10
16
21
25
17
16
15
19
21
28
33
30
30
34
34
35

5
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
4
7
5
6
11
12
12
13
11
11
12
15
19
22
21
20
22
20
25

4
5
5
6
5
4
4
3
4
5
4
5
5
9
13
5
5
4
7
6
8
12
10
10
13
14
10

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
1
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

90
90
90
90
90
89
89
90
90
90
90
89
87
88
89
88
87
87
88
88
88
87
88
88
88
88
88
88
87
87
85
81
80
73
78

58
59
58
58
57
55
55
54
54
54
55
55
54
52
52
53
53
52
52
52
53
52
52
53
53
51
50
49
48
48
45
43
41
34
33

32
31
32
32
33
34
34
36
36
36
35
34
33
36
37
35
34
35
36
36
35
35
36
35
35
37
38
39
39
39
40
38
39
39
45

9
9
9
9
9
10
10
10
10
10
11
10
12
11
12
12
12
13
13
11
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
14
20
20
27
22

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
7
8
7
8
7
7
7
7
8
8
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
8
10
13
13
15
15

3
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
7
7
12
7

*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*

 5/23/04
4/18/04
3/7/04
2/11/04
1/18/04
10/29/03
9/13/03

74
75
75
75
66
54
56

33
30
33
30
22
15
16

41
45
42
45
44
39
40

26
25
25
25
35
45
44

17
16
18
15
22
30
27

11/6/00 LV
92
54
38
8
6
11/5/00 LV
91
53
38
8
6
11/4/00 LV
91
52
39
9
7
11/3/00 LV
91
51
40
9
6
11/2/00 LV
90
48
42
10
7
11/1/00 LV
91
48
43
9
7
10/31/00 LV
90
46
44
9
7
10/30/00 LV
91
47
44
9
7
10/29/00 LV
90
47
43
10
7
10/28/00 LV
89
47
42
10
7
10/27/00 LV
89
48
41
11
7
10/26/00 LV
89
47
42
11
8
10/25/00 LV
89
47
42
11
8
10/24/00 LV
87
44
43
13
10
10/23/00 LV
89
44
45
11
8
10/22/00 LV
88
44
44
12
9
10/21/00 LV
87
46
41
13
9
10/20/00 LV
86
46
40
15
11
10/19/00 LV
85
44
41
14
10
10/18/00 LV
87
42
45
13
10
10/17/00 LV
86
40
46
13
10
10/15/00 RV
77
33
44
23
15
10/9/00 RV
75
30
45
25
16
10/1/00 RV
75
27
48
25
17
9/6/00
RV
74
26
48
26
17
8/20/00 RV
74
28
46
26
16
8/10/00 RV
72
29
43
29
18
8/6/00
53
17
36
47
22
7/29/00
51
16
35
49
25
7/23/00
50
14
36
50
25
6/11/00
49
13
36
51
26
4/2/00
53
17
36
47
24
3/11/00
61
21
40
38
21
2/27/00
70
24
46
30
20
2/6/00
65
19
48
34
21
1/16/00
50
11
39
50
26
12/15/99
45
12
33
55
31
10/31/99
61
16
45
38
25
7/17/95
36
7
29
63
33
7/8/92
76
28
48
24
16
1/27/92
51
14
37
48
25
10/10/88 RV
77
31
46
23
17
8/18/88 RV
68
26
42
31
20
8/15/88 RV
70
27
43
31
19
5/25/88
76
25
51
25
19
9/23/87
50
9
41
49
31
6/1/87
50
11
39
49
32
*10/22-24/2016 ABC News only
**2/4/12 and previous "not too closely" instead of

9
9
7
10
13
15
17

*
0
*
*
*
0
*

2
2
2
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
3
3
8
9
8
9
10
11
25
24
25
25
23
17
10
13
24
24
13
31
8
23
6
11
12
6
18
17

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
0
0
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
0
0
0
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
0
0
*
*
*

"not so closely"

2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in
the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you
probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

 10/25/16 RV
10/24/16*RV
10/23/16 RV
10/22/16 RV
10/13/16 RV
9/22/16 RV
9/8/16
RV
8/4/16
RV
7/14/16 RV
6/23/16 RV
5/19/16 RV

Certain
to vote
79
78
79
80
85
83
81
81
79
79
80

Probably
vote
6
7
7
7
6
7
8
8
10
8
9

Chances
50/50
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
5
7
5

Less than
that
3
4
3
2
3
3
5
4
3
4
3

Don't think
will vote
(vol.)
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
2
2

Already
voted
(vol.)
6
5
5
5
1
0
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

No
op.
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
1
*
*

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
68
70
72
73
75
76
77
79
79
79
79
80
82
84
85
84
83
81
81

5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
6
6
7
6
5
6
7
7
7
8
9

4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
6
6
4
4
7
6
6
8

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
4
3
2

1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
*

20
19
18
16
16
13
12
11
9
8
6
6
5
4
4
1
0
NA
"

*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
3/2/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
69
71
73
74
76
77
76
78
78
79
80
81
82
81
83
87
87
89
85
84
79
71
78

4
4
5
5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
5
6
6
7
10
10
9
9

3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
5
4
5
4
7
8
7

2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
7
4

1
1
*
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
2
4
2

22
20
19
16
15
13
11
11
10
10
8
6
5
4
4
4
2
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
0
*
*

10/31/04 RV

76

6

3

1

1

12

*

 10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
10/29/03

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

78
79
80
81
81
81
82
82
82
82
83
83
84
84
86
87
87
86
87
88
90
90
90
89
87
87
87
87
87
87
84
85
85
70

6
5
5
5
5
6
7
7
7
7
6
6
7
7
6
6
6
7
7
7
6
6
5
6
7
7
8
8
8
7
10
9
7
12

3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
5
4
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
3
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
5
11

1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
6

1
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
1

10/15/00 RV
82
10
10/9/00 RV
81
10
10/1/00 RV
81
10
9/6/00
RV
78
12
8/20/00 RV
78
13
8/10/00 RV
79
12
8/6/00
64
12
7/29/00
61
15
7/23/00
59
17
6/11/00
60
13
5/10/00
63
15
4/2/00
62
14
3/11/00
63
14
2/27/00
69
12
2/6/00
67
12
1/16/00
65
14
12/15/99
64
13
10/31/99
72
11
*10/22-24/2016 ABC News only

6
6
5
5
6
6
11
9
10
11
10
9
9
10
10
10
8
10

2
2
3
3
3
1
8
11
11
10
8
9
9
4
8
6
9
5

1
*
1
1
1
1
5
3
4
4
4
5
4
5
3
4
6
3

11
11
10
8
8
7
6
6
5
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
NA

"

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
*

3. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) If the presidential election were being held today and the
candidates were [(Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats), (Donald Trump and
Mike Pence, the Republicans)], [(Gary Johnson and Bill Weld of the Libertarian Party)
and (Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka of the Green Party)], for whom would you vote? Would
you lean toward [(Clinton and Kaine), (Trump and Pence)], [(Johnson and Weld) or

 (Stein and Baraka)]? (IF ALREADY VOTED) Confidentially and for statistical purposes
only, did you vote for...?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary
Donald
Clinton
Trump
10/25/16
48
42
10/24/16*
49
40
10/23/16
50
38
10/22/16
50
38
10/13/16
47
43
9/22/16
46
44
9/8/16
46
41
8/4/16
47
39
7/14/16
45
39
6/23/16
48
39
*10/22-24/2016 ABC News only

Gary
Johnson
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
7
8
6

Jill
Stein
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
3
3

Other
(vol.)
*
*
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
1

None
of these
(vol.)
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1

Would
not vote
(vol.)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
*
*
*

No
opinion
2
2
2
2
2
3
1
2
2
2

4. (IF NOT CLINTON OR TRUMP) If the only candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim
Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom
would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or toward (Trump and
Pence)?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS
Other
Neither
Would not
No
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
(vol.)
vote (vol.)
opinion
10/25/16
51
44
1
2
1
1
10/24/16*
51
43
*
2
2
1
10/23/16
53
41
*
3
2
1
10/22/16
53
41
*
3
1
1
10/13/16
50
46
*
2
1
1
9/22/16
49
47
*
1
2
1
9/8/16**
51
43
*
3
1
1
8/4/16***
51
44
1
2
0
1
7/14/16****
50
43
1
5
0
2
6/23/16
52
41
2
4
0
1
5/19/16
46
49
2
3
0
*
*10/22-24/2016 ABC News only
**9/8/16 and later Results based on total sample. Respondents who named Clinton or
Trump in Q3 assigned to initial preference.
***8/4/16 and earlier: If the presidential election were being held today and the
candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and
Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton
and Kaine) or toward (Trump and Pence)?
****7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat” and “Donald Trump, the
Republican.”
5. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Thinking about [ITEM] as president – are you comfortable
with this, or does it make you anxious? Would you say you are very comfortable
with/anxious about the idea of [ITEM] as president, or somewhat comfortable
with/anxious about it?
10/25/16 – Summary Table

a. Hillary Clinton
b. Donald Trump

---- Comfortable ---NET
Very
Somewhat
42
29
13
36
22
15

------ Anxious -----NET
Somewhat
Very
56
17
40
61
14
47

No
opinion
2
3

 Trend:
a. Hillary Clinton
---- Comfortable ---NET
Very
Somewhat
10/25/16 LV
42
29
13
8/4/16
LV
46
31
15
8/4/16
47
28
18
6/23/16
47
28
19
1/24/16
46
29
17
12/13/15
47
27
20
*ABC News only

------ Anxious -----NET
Somewhat
Very
56
17
40
52
14
39
51
17
34
50
15
35
51
16
35
51
16
35

No
opinion
2
1
2
3
2
2

------ Anxious -----NET
Somewhat
Very
61
14
47
67
18
49
70
20
50
70
18
52
69
18
51
69
19
49

No
opinion
3
1
2
3
1
3

b. Donald Trump

10/25/16 LV
8/4/16
LV
8/4/16
6/23/16
1/24/16
12/13/15

---- Comfortable ---NET
Very
Somewhat
36
22
15
32
19
13
28
15
13
27
16
11
30
17
13
29
15
14

Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a
Republican), an independent or what?
10/25/16 LV
10/24/16*LV
10/23/16 LV
10/22/16 LV
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16
3/6/16
1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15

Democrat
36
36
36
36
33
33
34
33
33
36
33
34
34
33
33

Republican
29
28
27
27
25
23
24
23
23
24
25
25
23
23
23

Independent
29
29
31
31
33
36
33
36
35
33
35
32
34
34
36

Other (vol.)
4
4
4
4
5
6
5
5
5
5
4
5
5
5
4

No opinion
2
2
2
1
4
3
3
3
3
2
3
5
4
5
4

*** END***
METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS
This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The
poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and
Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish.
This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as
they appear in this document. Demographics and religious identity questions are not
shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical
preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by
parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for
respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters.
Results preceded by “LV” indicate results among likely voters.

 A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random
Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers,
first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. Roughly 35
percent are completed on landlines while 65 percent of interviews are completed on
cellular phones, including roughly 35 percent among adults in cell phone-only
households.
Question 5 was asked Oct. 24-25 among 638 likely voters; those results have a fourpoint error margin.
This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the
survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for
differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult
sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among
individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also
weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education
and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey March Social and
Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education. Party ID was weighted
to the average of the most recent Post-ABC surveys.
All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which
is 1.2 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s
deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision
due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a
design effect overstate their precision.
The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which
recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they
produce.
Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post
conducts polls.