This Washington Post-ABC News was conducted by telephone October 25-28, 2016, among a
random national sample of 1,781 adults including landline and cell phone respondents.
Overall results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 points; the error
margin is plus or minus three points among the sample of 1,160 likely voters.
Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
*= less than 0.5 percent
(Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the
end.)
1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the 2016 presidential
race: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?
---- Closely ---NET
Very
Smwt
94
66
29
94
66
28
93
64
29
92
62
30
93
65
28
94
66
28
94
71
23
94
66
28
92
60
32
92
59
33
84
39
45
75
30
45

---- Not closely ---NET
Not so
At all
5
3
2
6
3
3
7
4
3
7
5
3
7
4
2
6
4
2
6
4
2
5
4
1
8
5
3
8
5
3
16
10
6
25
13
12

No
opinion
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*

10/28/16
10/27/16
10/26/16
10/25/16
10/24/16
10/23/16
10/22/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
1/24/16
11/19/15

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
5/20/12
2/4/12*
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11
10/2/11
9/1/11
7/17/11
6/5/11

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV

99
98
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
95
94
93
92
92
93
92
87
82
79
76
69
65
64
66
61
61

66
67
67
68
67
66
69
69
68
66
62
63
63
64
64
60
54
51
38
37
33
26
24
24
25
18
22

33
31
31
31
32
33
30
30
31
33
33
32
31
28
28
33
38
36
44
43
43
43
41
40
40
43
39

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
5
6
8
8
6
8
13
18
20
24
31
34
36
34
39
38

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
4
5
5
4
6
8
9
12
14
18
17
23
20
23
23

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
5
8
8
10
13
17
13
14
15
15

*
*
*
0
0
0
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

91
90
90
89
89
89

64
63
61
60
59
60

28
28
29
29
29
30

8
9
10
11
11
10

5
5
6
7
7
6

4
4
4
4
4
4

*
*
*
*
*
*

 10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08
4/13/08
3/2/08
2/1/08
1/12/08
12/9/07
11/1/07
9/30/07
7/21/07
6/1/07
4/15/07
2/25/07

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

90
91
90
89
89
88
89
90
90
90
92
89
91
89
84
79
75
83
84
84
81
79
72
67
69
70
66
66
65

59
60
60
59
60
58
57
58
57
57
59
58
55
51
42
36
34
39
37
42
35
32
21
21
21
22
18
20
20

31
31
30
30
28
30
32
32
34
33
33
31
36
38
42
42
41
44
47
42
46
47
51
46
48
48
48
45
44

10
9
9
11
11
12
11
10
10
10
8
11
9
10
16
21
25
17
16
15
19
21
28
33
30
30
34
34
35

6
5
5
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
4
7
5
6
11
12
12
13
11
11
12
15
19
22
21
20
22
20
25

4
4
4
5
5
6
5
4
4
3
4
5
4
5
5
9
13
5
5
4
7
6
8
12
10
10
13
14
10

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
1
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

90
90
90
90
90
89
89
90
90
90
90
89
87
88
89
88
87
87
88
88
88
87
88
88
88
88
88
88
87
87
85
81
80

58
59
58
58
57
55
55
54
54
54
55
55
54
52
52
53
53
52
52
52
53
52
52
53
53
51
50
49
48
48
45
43
41

32
31
32
32
33
34
34
36
36
36
35
34
33
36
37
35
34
35
36
36
35
35
36
35
35
37
38
39
39
39
40
38
39

9
9
9
9
9
10
10
10
10
10
11
10
12
11
12
12
12
13
13
11
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
14
20
20

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
7
8
7
8
7
7
7
7
8
8
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
8
10
13
13

3
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
7
7

*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*

 7/25/04
6/20/04
5/23/04
4/18/04
3/7/04
2/11/04
1/18/04
10/29/03
9/13/03

73
78
74
75
75
75
66
54
56

11/6/00 LV
92
11/5/00 LV
91
11/4/00 LV
91
11/3/00 LV
91
11/2/00 LV
90
11/1/00 LV
91
10/31/00 LV
90
10/30/00 LV
91
10/29/00 LV
90
10/28/00 LV
89
10/27/00 LV
89
10/26/00 LV
89
10/25/00 LV
89
10/24/00 LV
87
10/23/00 LV
89
10/22/00 LV
88
10/21/00 LV
87
10/20/00 LV
86
10/19/00 LV
85
10/18/00 LV
87
10/17/00 LV
86
10/15/00 RV
77
10/9/00 RV
75
10/1/00 RV
75
9/6/00
RV
74
8/20/00 RV
74
8/10/00 RV
72
8/6/00
53
7/29/00
51
7/23/00
50
6/11/00
49
4/2/00
53
3/11/00
61
2/27/00
70
2/6/00
65
1/16/00
50
12/15/99
45
10/31/99
61
7/17/95
36
7/8/92
76
1/27/92
51
10/10/88 RV
77
8/18/88 RV
68
8/15/88 RV
70
5/25/88
76
9/23/87
50
6/1/87
50
*2/4/12 and previous

34
33
33
30
33
30
22
15
16

39
45
41
45
42
45
44
39
40

27
22
26
25
25
25
35
45
44

15
15
17
16
18
15
22
30
27

12
7
9
9
7
10
13
15
17

*
*
*
0
*
*
*
0
*

54
38
8
6
2
*
53
38
8
6
2
*
52
39
9
7
2
*
51
40
9
6
3
*
48
42
10
7
3
*
48
43
9
7
2
*
46
44
9
7
2
*
47
44
9
7
2
*
47
43
10
7
3
*
47
42
10
7
3
*
48
41
11
7
4
*
47
42
11
8
3
*
47
42
11
8
3
0
44
43
13
10
3
0
44
45
11
8
3
0
44
44
12
9
3
0
46
41
13
9
4
*
46
40
15
11
4
*
44
41
14
10
4
*
42
45
13
10
3
*
40
46
13
10
3
*
33
44
23
15
8
*
30
45
25
16
9
*
27
48
25
17
8
*
26
48
26
17
9
*
28
46
26
16
10
1
29
43
29
18
11
*
17
36
47
22
25
*
16
35
49
25
24
*
14
36
50
25
25
*
13
36
51
26
25
0
17
36
47
24
23
0
21
40
38
21
17
0
24
46
30
20
10
*
19
48
34
21
13
0
11
39
50
26
24
*
12
33
55
31
24
*
16
45
38
25
13
*
7
29
63
33
31
*
28
48
24
16
8
*
14
37
48
25
23
1
31
46
23
17
6
26
42
31
20
11
0
27
43
31
19
12
0
25
51
25
19
6
*
9
41
49
31
18
*
11
39
49
32
17
*
"not too closely" instead of "not so closely"

 2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in
the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you
probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Probably
vote
5
6
6
6
7
7
7
6
7
8
8
10
8
9

Chances
50/50
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
5
7
5

Less than
that
3
3
3
3
4
3
2
3
3
5
4
3
4
3

Don't think
will vote
(vol.)
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
2
2

Already
voted
(vol.)
11
9
8
6
5
5
5
1
0
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

10/28/16
10/27/16
10/26/16
10/25/16
10/24/16
10/23/16
10/22/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Certain
to vote
76
77
78
79
78
79
80
85
83
81
81
79
79
80

No
op.
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
1
*
*

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
68
70
72
73
75
76
77
79
79
79
79
80
82
84
85
84
83
81
81

5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
6
6
7
6
5
6
7
7
7
8
9

4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
6
6
4
4
7
6
6
8

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
4
3
2

1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
*

20
19
18
16
16
13
12
11
9
8
6
6
5
4
4
1
0
NA
"

*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
69
71
73
74
76
77
76
78
78
79
80
81
82
81
83
87
87
89
85

4
4
5
5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
5
6
6
7

3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
5
4
5

2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
1
1
1
1

1
1
*
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
1

22
20
19
16
15
13
11
11
10
10
8
6
5
4
4
4
2
NA
NA
NA

*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*

 8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
3/2/08

RV
RV

84
79
71
78

10
10
9
9

4
7
8
7

2
3
7
4

*
2
4
2

NA
NA
NA
NA

*
0
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
10/29/03

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

76
78
79
80
81
81
81
82
82
82
82
83
83
84
84
86
87
87
86
87
88
90
90
90
89
87
87
87
87
87
87
84
85
85
70

6
6
5
5
5
5
6
7
7
7
7
6
6
7
7
6
6
6
7
7
7
6
6
5
6
7
7
8
8
8
7
10
9
7
12

3
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
5
4
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
3
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
5
11

1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
6

1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
1

12
11
11
10
8
8
7
6
6
5
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
NA

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
0
*
*
0

10/15/00
10/9/00
10/1/00
9/6/00
8/20/00
8/10/00
8/6/00
7/29/00
7/23/00
6/11/00
5/10/00
4/2/00
3/11/00
2/27/00
2/6/00
1/16/00
12/15/99
10/31/99

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

82
81
81
78
78
79
64
61
59
60
63
62
63
69
67
65
64
72

10
10
10
12
13
12
12
15
17
13
15
14
14
12
12
14
13
11

6
6
5
5
6
6
11
9
10
11
10
9
9
10
10
10
8
10

2
2
3
3
3
1
8
11
11
10
8
9
9
4
8
6
9
5

1
*
1
1
1
1
5
3
4
4
4
5
4
5
3
4
6
3

"

*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
*

3. (IF REGISTERED TO VOTE) If the presidential election were being held today and the
candidates were [(Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats), (Donald Trump and

 Mike Pence, the Republicans)], [(Gary Johnson and Bill Weld of the Libertarian Party)
and (Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka of the Green Party)], for whom would you vote? Would
you lean toward [(Clinton and Kaine), (Trump and Pence)], [(Johnson and Weld) or
(Stein and Baraka)]? (IF ALREADY VOTED) Confidentially and for statistical purposes
only, did you vote for...?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS

10/28/16
10/27/16
10/26/16
10/25/16
10/24/16
10/23/16
10/22/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16*
6/23/16

Hillary
Clinton
46
47
48
48
49
50
50
47
46
46
47
45
48

Donald
Trump
45
45
44
42
40
38
38
43
44
41
39
39
39

Gary
Johnson
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
7
8
6

Jill
Stein
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
3
3

Other
(vol.)
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
1

None
of these
(vol.)
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1

Would
not vote
(vol.)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
*
*
*

No
opinion
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
1
2
2
2

4. (IF NOT CLINTON OR TRUMP) If the only candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim
Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom
would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or toward (Trump and
Pence)?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS
Other
Neither
Would not
No
Clinton
Trump
(vol.)
(vol.)
vote (vol.)
opinion
10/28/16
49
46
1
2
1
1
10/27/16
49
46
1
2
1
1
10/26/16
50
45
1
1
1
2
10/25/16
51
44
1
2
1
1
10/24/16
51
43
*
2
2
1
10/23/16
53
41
1
3
2
1
10/22/16
53
42
1
3
1
1
10/13/16
50
46
*
2
1
1
9/22/16
49
47
*
1
2
1
9/8/16*
51
43
*
3
1
1
8/4/16**
51
44
1
2
0
1
7/14/16***
50
43
1
5
0
2
6/23/16
52
41
2
4
0
1
5/19/16
46
49
2
3
0
*
*9/8/16 and later Results based on total sample. Respondents who named Clinton or
Trump in Q3 assigned to initial preference.
**8/4/16 and earlier: If the presidential election were being held today and the
candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and
Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton
and Kaine) or toward (Trump and Pence)?
***7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat” and “Donald Trump, the
Republican.”
5. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) The FBI has announced that it is reviewing additional emails in connection with its investigation of Clinton’s handling of classified
information while she was secretary of state. Clinton said she did not mishandle

 classified information. Does this issue make you (more) likely to vote for Clinton,
(less) likely to vote for Clinton, or does it make no difference in your vote.
More
Less
No
likely
likely
difference
10/29/16* LV
2
34
63
*Based on interviews 10/28-10/29.

No
opinion
1

6. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Who do you think [ITEM] - (Clinton) or (Trump)?
10/27/16 - Summary Table
Clinton
a. is more qualified to serve as president
b. better understands the problems of
people like you
c. has the stronger moral character

Trump

Both
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
op.

54

36

*

7

1

46
46

43
38

1
1

9
13

1
2

Trend:
a. is more qualified to serve as president

10/27/16 LV

Clinton
54

Trump
36

Both
(vol.)
*

Neither
(vol.)
7

No
opinion
1

b. better understands the problems of people like you

10/27/16 LV
9/8/16
LV
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
5/19/16

Clinton
46
49
51
55
48
47

Trump
43
41
35
35
35
36

Both
(vol.)
1
0
*
*
*
*

Neither
(vol.)
9
9
11
9
14
15

No
opinion
1
1
2
1
2
2

Neither
(vol.)
13

No
opinion
2

c. has the stronger moral character

10/27/16 LV

Clinton
46

Trump
38

Both
(vol.)
1

7. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICAN LIKELY VOTERS) Do you approve or disapprove of
Republican House Speaker Paul Ryan’s decision not to campaign on behalf of Trump?
you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

10/28/16 LV

-------- Approve -------NET
Strongly
Somewhat
21
12
9

------- Disapprove -----NET
Somewhat
Strongly
66
18
48

No
opinion
13

Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a
Republican), an independent or what?
10/28/16
10/27/16
10/26/16
10/25/16
10/24/16

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV

Democrat
37
37
37
36
36

Republican
28
29
28
29
28

Independent
30
29
29
29
29

Other (vol.)
4
3
4
4
4

No opinion
2
2
2
2
2

Do

 10/23/16 LV
10/22/16 LV
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16
3/6/16
1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
10/18/15
9/10/15

36
36
33
33
34
33
33
36
33
34
34
33
33
30
33

27
27
25
23
24
23
23
24
25
25
23
23
23
24
22

31
31
33
36
33
36
35
33
35
32
34
34
36
39
35

4
4
5
6
5
5
5
5
4
5
5
5
4
4
5

2
1
4
3
3
3
3
2
3
5
4
5
4
2
4

*** END***
METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS
This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The
poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and
Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish.
This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as
they appear in this document. Demographics and religious identity questions are not
shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical
preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by
parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for
respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters.
Results preceded by “LV” indicate results among likely voters.
A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random
Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers,
first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. Roughly 35
percent are completed on landlines while 65 percent of interviews are completed on
cellular phones, including roughly 35 percent among adults in cell phone-only
households.
Question 5 was asked Oct. 28-29 among 480 likely voters; those results have a fivepoint error margin.
Question 6 was asked Oct. 24-27 among 1,268 likely voters; those results have a threepoint error margin.
Question 7 was asked Oct. 26-28 among 415 likely voters; those results have a 5.5point error margin.
This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the
survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for
differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult
sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among
individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also
weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education
and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey March Social and
Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education. Party ID was weighted
to the average of the most recent Post-ABC surveys.
All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which
is 1.2 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s
deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision
due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a
design effect overstate their precision.

 The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which
recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they
produce.
Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post
conducts polls.