This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone October 29-November 1, 2016, among a random national sample of 1,767 adults including landline and cell phone respondents. Overall results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 points; the error margin is plus or minus three points among the sample of 1,167 likely voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York. *= less than 0.5 percent (Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the end.) 1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the 2016 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all? ---- Closely ---NET Very Smwt 94 67 27 94 66 28 94 66 28 95 68 27 94 66 29 94 66 28 93 64 29 92 62 30 93 65 28 94 66 28 94 71 23 94 66 28 92 60 32 92 59 33 84 39 45 75 30 45 ---- Not closely ---NET Not so At all 6 3 2 5 3 2 6 3 2 5 3 2 5 3 2 6 3 3 7 4 3 7 5 3 7 4 2 6 4 2 6 4 2 5 4 1 8 5 3 8 5 3 16 10 6 25 13 12 No opinion * * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * * * 11/1/16 10/31/16 10/30/16 10/29/16 10/28/16 10/27/16 10/26/16 10/25/16 10/24/16 10/23/16 10/22/16 10/13/16 9/22/16 9/8/16 1/24/16 11/19/15 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV RV 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 5/20/12 2/4/12* 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 10/2/11 9/1/11 7/17/11 6/5/11 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV RV RV RV 99 98 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 95 94 93 92 92 93 92 87 82 79 76 69 65 64 66 61 61 66 67 67 68 67 66 69 69 68 66 62 63 63 64 64 60 54 51 38 37 33 26 24 24 25 18 22 33 31 31 31 32 33 30 30 31 33 33 32 31 28 28 33 38 36 44 43 43 43 41 40 40 43 39 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 5 6 8 8 6 8 13 18 20 24 31 34 36 34 39 38 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 4 5 5 4 6 8 9 12 14 18 17 23 20 23 23 * * * * * * * * * * 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 5 8 8 10 13 17 13 14 15 15 * * * 0 0 0 0 * * 0 * * * * * * 0 1 * * * * * 0 * * * 11/3/08 11/2/08 RV RV 91 90 64 63 28 28 8 9 5 5 4 4 * * 11/1/08 10/31/08 10/30/08 10/29/08 10/28/08 10/27/08 10/26/08 10/25/08 10/24/08 10/23/08 10/22/08 10/21/08 10/20/08 10/19/08 10/11/08 9/29/08 9/22/08 9/7/08 8/22/08 7/13/08 6/15/08 5/11/08 4/13/08 3/2/08 2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07 11/1/07 9/30/07 7/21/07 6/1/07 4/15/07 2/25/07 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 90 89 89 89 90 91 90 89 89 88 89 90 90 90 92 89 91 89 84 79 75 83 84 84 81 79 72 67 69 70 66 66 65 61 60 59 60 59 60 60 59 60 58 57 58 57 57 59 58 55 51 42 36 34 39 37 42 35 32 21 21 21 22 18 20 20 29 29 29 30 31 31 30 30 28 30 32 32 34 33 33 31 36 38 42 42 41 44 47 42 46 47 51 46 48 48 48 45 44 10 11 11 10 10 9 9 11 11 12 11 10 10 10 8 11 9 10 16 21 25 17 16 15 19 21 28 33 30 30 34 34 35 6 7 7 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 7 5 6 11 12 12 13 11 11 12 15 19 22 21 20 22 20 25 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 5 4 4 3 4 5 4 5 5 9 13 5 5 4 7 6 8 12 10 10 13 14 10 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 0 * * 1 * 0 * * * * * 0 * * * * * 10/31/04 10/30/04 10/29/04 10/28/04 10/27/04 10/26/04 10/25/04 10/24/04 10/23/04 10/22/04 10/21/04 10/20/04 10/19/04 10/18/04 10/17/04 10/16/04 10/15/04 10/14/04 10/13/04 10/12/04 10/11/04 10/10/04 10/9/04 10/8/04 10/7/04 10/6/04 10/5/04 10/4/04 10/3/04 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 90 90 90 90 90 89 89 90 90 90 90 89 87 88 89 88 87 87 88 88 88 87 88 88 88 88 88 88 87 58 59 58 58 57 55 55 54 54 54 55 55 54 52 52 53 53 52 52 52 53 52 52 53 53 51 50 49 48 32 31 32 32 33 34 34 36 36 36 35 34 33 36 37 35 34 35 36 36 35 35 36 35 35 37 38 39 39 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 11 10 12 11 12 12 12 13 13 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 7 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 * 1 * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * * * 9/26/04 9/8/04 8/29/04 8/1/04 7/25/04 6/20/04 5/23/04 4/18/04 3/7/04 2/11/04 1/18/04 10/29/03 9/13/03 RV RV RV RV 87 85 81 80 73 78 74 75 75 75 66 54 56 11/6/00 LV 92 11/5/00 LV 91 11/4/00 LV 91 11/3/00 LV 91 11/2/00 LV 90 11/1/00 LV 91 10/31/00 LV 90 10/30/00 LV 91 10/29/00 LV 90 10/28/00 LV 89 10/27/00 LV 89 10/26/00 LV 89 10/25/00 LV 89 10/24/00 LV 87 10/23/00 LV 89 10/22/00 LV 88 10/21/00 LV 87 10/20/00 LV 86 10/19/00 LV 85 10/18/00 LV 87 10/17/00 LV 86 10/15/00 RV 77 10/9/00 RV 75 10/1/00 RV 75 9/6/00 RV 74 8/20/00 RV 74 8/10/00 RV 72 8/6/00 53 7/29/00 51 7/23/00 50 6/11/00 49 4/2/00 53 3/11/00 61 2/27/00 70 2/6/00 65 1/16/00 50 12/15/99 45 10/31/99 61 7/17/95 36 7/8/92 76 1/27/92 51 10/10/88 RV 77 8/18/88 RV 68 8/15/88 RV 70 5/25/88 76 9/23/87 50 6/1/87 50 *2/4/12 and previous 48 45 43 41 34 33 33 30 33 30 22 15 16 39 40 38 39 39 45 41 45 42 45 44 39 40 12 14 20 20 27 22 26 25 25 25 35 45 44 8 10 13 13 15 15 17 16 18 15 22 30 27 4 4 7 7 12 7 9 9 7 10 13 15 17 1 1 * * * * * 0 * * * 0 * 54 38 8 6 2 * 53 38 8 6 2 * 52 39 9 7 2 * 51 40 9 6 3 * 48 42 10 7 3 * 48 43 9 7 2 * 46 44 9 7 2 * 47 44 9 7 2 * 47 43 10 7 3 * 47 42 10 7 3 * 48 41 11 7 4 * 47 42 11 8 3 * 47 42 11 8 3 0 44 43 13 10 3 0 44 45 11 8 3 0 44 44 12 9 3 0 46 41 13 9 4 * 46 40 15 11 4 * 44 41 14 10 4 * 42 45 13 10 3 * 40 46 13 10 3 * 33 44 23 15 8 * 30 45 25 16 9 * 27 48 25 17 8 * 26 48 26 17 9 * 28 46 26 16 10 1 29 43 29 18 11 * 17 36 47 22 25 * 16 35 49 25 24 * 14 36 50 25 25 * 13 36 51 26 25 0 17 36 47 24 23 0 21 40 38 21 17 0 24 46 30 20 10 * 19 48 34 21 13 0 11 39 50 26 24 * 12 33 55 31 24 * 16 45 38 25 13 * 7 29 63 33 31 * 28 48 24 16 8 * 14 37 48 25 23 1 31 46 23 17 6 26 42 31 20 11 0 27 43 31 19 12 0 25 51 25 19 6 * 9 41 49 31 18 * 11 39 49 32 17 * "not too closely" instead of "not so closely" 2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? Probably vote 4 4 5 6 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 7 8 8 10 8 9 Chances 50/50 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 7 5 Less than that 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 2 3 3 5 4 3 4 3 Don't think will vote (vol.) 1 1 1 1 1 1 * * 1 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 2 2 Already voted (vol.) 19 16 15 14 11 9 8 6 5 5 5 1 0 NA NA NA NA NA 11/1/16 10/31/16 10/30/16 10/29/16 10/28/16 10/27/16 10/26/16 10/25/16 10/24/16 10/23/16 10/22/16 10/13/16 9/22/16 9/8/16 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV Certain to vote 69 72 72 73 76 77 78 79 78 79 80 85 83 81 81 79 79 80 No op. 0 0 0 x 0 * * * * * * 0 * * * 1 * * 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 68 68 70 72 73 75 76 77 79 79 79 79 80 82 84 85 84 83 81 81 5 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 7 6 5 6 7 7 7 8 9 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 4 4 7 6 6 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 * 20 19 18 16 16 13 12 11 9 8 6 6 5 4 4 1 0 NA " * * * * 0 * * * * * * * * * * 1 * 0 * * 11/3/08 11/2/08 11/1/08 10/31/08 10/30/08 10/29/08 10/28/08 10/27/08 10/26/08 10/25/08 10/24/08 10/23/08 10/22/08 10/21/08 10/20/08 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 68 69 71 73 74 76 77 76 78 78 79 80 81 82 81 4 4 5 5 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 1 1 * 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 22 20 19 16 15 13 11 11 10 10 8 6 5 4 4 * * * * * 1 1 1 * * * * * * * 10/19/08 10/11/08 9/29/08 9/22/08 9/7/08 8/22/08 7/13/08 6/15/08 3/2/08 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 83 87 87 89 85 84 79 71 78 6 5 6 6 7 10 10 9 9 5 4 5 4 5 4 7 8 7 3 1 1 1 1 2 3 7 4 1 * 1 * 1 * 2 4 2 4 2 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA * 0 * * * * 0 * * 10/31/04 10/30/04 10/29/04 10/28/04 10/27/04 10/26/04 10/25/04 10/24/04 10/23/04 10/22/04 10/21/04 10/20/04 10/19/04 10/18/04 10/17/04 10/16/04 10/15/04 10/14/04 10/13/04 10/12/04 10/11/04 10/10/04 10/9/04 10/8/04 10/7/04 10/6/04 10/5/04 10/4/04 10/3/04 9/26/04 9/8/04 8/29/04 8/1/04 7/25/04 10/29/03 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 76 78 79 80 81 81 81 82 82 82 82 83 83 84 84 86 87 87 86 87 88 90 90 90 89 87 87 87 87 87 87 84 85 85 70 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 10 9 7 12 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 11 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 6 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 * * 1 1 * * * * * 1 1 * * * * * * 1 1 1 * 1 * 1 * 1 12 11 11 10 8 8 7 6 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 * * * * * * * * * NA * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * * * * * 1 * * 0 * * 0 10/15/00 10/9/00 10/1/00 9/6/00 8/20/00 8/10/00 8/6/00 7/29/00 7/23/00 6/11/00 5/10/00 4/2/00 3/11/00 2/27/00 2/6/00 1/16/00 12/15/99 RV RV RV RV RV RV 82 81 81 78 78 79 64 61 59 60 63 62 63 69 67 65 64 10 10 10 12 13 12 12 15 17 13 15 14 14 12 12 14 13 6 6 5 5 6 6 11 9 10 11 10 9 9 10 10 10 8 2 2 3 3 3 1 8 11 11 10 8 9 9 4 8 6 9 1 * 1 1 1 1 5 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 3 4 6 * * * * 0 * * * * * 1 * * * * * 1 10/31/99 72 11 10 5 3 " * 3. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) Do you think you'll (vote in person at your polling place on Election Day), or (vote before Election Day by early voting or mail-in ballot)?* 11/1/16**LV 10/31/16 LV 10/30/16 LV Vote in person 52 54 54 Early voting/ mail-in ballot 20 22 26 Already voted (vol.) 27 23 19 No opinion 1 1 2 10/29/16 10/28/16 10/27/16 10/26/16 LV LV LV LV 53 52 52 50 27 29 31 32 18 16 15 15 2 2 2 2 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV 58 58 58 60 60 60 61 60 62 62 61 62 62 64 66 67 13 14 16 18 19 22 21 22 24 25 29 29 28 27 27 30 28 27 25 22 21 18 17 15 12 11 8 8 7 6 5 2 1 1 * * * 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 11/2/08 LV 63 11/1/08 LV 63 10/31/08 LV 63 10/30/08 LV 64 10/29/08 LV 65 10/28/08 LV 65 10/27/08 LV 66 10/26/08 LV 67 10/25/08 LV 68 10/24/08 LV 69 10/23/08 LV 68 10/22/08 LV 66 *Includes those who volunteered 11 25 13 23 16 20 17 18 18 16 19 15 18 15 18 14 18 13 19 11 20 11 20 13 they already voted in Q2. * * 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 **Four-night wave, October 29-November 1 4. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were [(Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats), (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans)], [(Gary Johnson and Bill Weld of the Libertarian Party) and (Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka of the Green Party)], for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward [(Clinton and Kaine), (Trump and Pence)], [(Johnson and Weld) or (Stein and Baraka)]? (IF ALREADY VOTED) Confidentially and for statistical purposes only, did you vote for...? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS Hillary Donald Gary Jill Other None of these Would not vote No 11/1/16 10/31/16 10/30/16 10/29/16 10/28/16 10/27/16 10/26/16 10/25/16 10/24/16 10/23/16 10/22/16 10/13/16 9/22/16 9/8/16 8/4/16 7/14/16* 6/23/16 Clinton 47 46 45 46 46 47 48 48 49 50 50 47 46 46 47 45 48 Trump 45 46 46 45 45 45 44 42 40 38 38 43 44 41 39 39 39 Johnson 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8 6 Stein 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 3 3 (vol.) * * * 1 1 1 * * * 1 1 * * 1 1 1 1 (vol.) 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 (vol.) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 * * * opinion 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 5. (IF NOT CLINTON OR TRUMP) If the only candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or toward (Trump and Pence)? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS Other Neither Would not No Clinton Trump (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion 11/1/16 49 47 1 1 1 2 10/31/16 48 47 1 1 1 1 10/30/16 48 47 1 1 1 1 10/29/16 49 47 1 1 1 1 10/28/16 49 46 1 2 1 1 10/27/16 49 46 1 2 1 1 10/26/16 50 45 1 1 1 2 10/25/16 51 44 1 2 1 1 10/24/16 51 43 * 2 2 1 10/23/16 53 41 1 3 2 1 10/22/16 53 42 1 3 1 1 10/13/16 50 46 * 2 1 1 9/22/16 49 47 * 1 2 1 9/8/16* 51 43 * 3 1 1 8/4/16** 51 44 1 2 0 1 7/14/16*** 50 43 1 5 0 2 6/23/16 52 41 2 4 0 1 5/19/16 46 49 2 3 0 * *9/8/16 and later Results based on total sample. Respondents who named Clinton or Trump in Q3 assigned to initial preference. **8/4/16 and earlier: If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or toward (Trump and Pence)? ***7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat” and “Donald Trump, the Republican.” 6. (IF NAMED CLINTON OR TRUMP) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Clinton/Trump), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? --- Enthusiastic ---NET Very Somewhat --- Not enthusiastic ---NET Not so Not at all No opinion Clinton: 11/1/16* LV 82 10/30/16*LV 80 10/28/16*LV 84 10/24/16 LV 85 10/13/16 LV 83 9/22/16 LV 81 9/8/16 LV 82 *Two-day trend 51 43 51 48 43 46 36 31 37 32 37 40 35 46 17 20 16 14 16 18 18 11 12 12 8 9 10 12 6 8 4 6 7 8 6 1 * * * 1 1 0 Trump: 11/1/16* LV 88 10/30/16*LV 85 10/28/16*LV 84 10/24/16 LV 83 10/13/16 LV 79 9/22/16 LV 91 9/8/16 LV 85 *Two-day trend 53 54 53 50 47 55 48 35 31 30 33 32 36 37 10 14 16 17 21 8 15 6 9 11 9 12 5 10 5 5 5 7 9 3 4 2 * * * * 1 * 2012 election: --- Enthusiastic ---NET Very Somewhat --- Not enthusiastic ---NET Not so Not at all No opinion LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV RV RV RV RV RV RV 95 95 95 95 95 96 97 95 95 94 94 96 95 96 96 94 91 93 88 91 93 69 69 69 66 64 64 65 66 64 61 59 60 60 62 64 55 51 56 48 51 51 27 26 27 30 31 32 32 30 31 33 35 35 35 34 32 40 40 38 39 40 41 4 5 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 9 7 11 8 7 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 7 3 7 5 4 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 3 4 1 1 1 1 * * * 1 1 1 1 * * * * 1 0 0 1 1 0 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV 93 94 94 95 94 95 95 94 95 93 93 93 93 93 61 62 63 62 62 61 61 61 59 59 58 60 62 62 32 32 31 33 32 35 34 33 36 35 35 33 31 32 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 7 7 6 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 5 5 5 5 4 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 * * * * 1 * * * * * 1 1 1 1 Obama: 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 5/20/12 Romney: 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 5/20/12 LV LV RV RV RV RV RV RV 93 93 92 87 87 83 85 75 58 62 59 48 46 42 38 26 35 31 33 39 40 41 47 48 6 7 8 13 13 17 15 25 5 4 5 6 7 12 11 15 1 2 2 7 6 4 4 9 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 Compare to: Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are you about [NAME] - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? 2008 election: --- Enthusiastic -NET Very Fairly ---- Not enthusiastic ---NET Not too Not at all No opinion Obama: 11/3/08 11/2/08 11/1/08 10/31/08 10/30/08 10/29/08 10/28/08 10/27/08 10/26/08 10/25/08 10/24/08 10/23/08 10/22/08 10/21/08 10/20/08 10/19/08 10/11/08 9/29/08 9/22/08 9/7/08 8/22/08 6/15/08 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV RV RV RV RV RV 97 96 96 96 96 96 96 96 96 97 97 95 94 95 95 96 96 95 94 96 95 91 68 67 67 68 68 68 65 65 66 68 71 70 67 64 65 64 66 61 62 64 52 52 29 29 29 29 28 28 31 31 30 29 26 25 28 31 31 32 30 34 32 32 43 39 2 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 6 4 5 9 1 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 3 4 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 2 7 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 1 3 2 * * * 0 * 1 1 1 1 * 0 0 * * * * * 1 * 0 * * McCain: 11/3/08 11/2/08 11/1/08 10/31/08 10/30/08 10/29/08 10/28/08 10/27/08 10/26/08 10/25/08 10/24/08 10/23/08 10/22/08 10/21/08 10/20/08 10/19/08 10/11/08 9/29/08 9/22/08 9/7/08 8/22/08 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV RV RV RV RV 88 90 89 88 87 86 85 83 87 86 88 89 88 88 88 87 87 90 89 92 86 41 41 41 41 39 39 37 35 36 38 39 39 40 37 38 40 31 38 34 46 28 47 48 47 46 47 47 48 49 51 48 49 50 48 51 50 47 57 52 55 46 58 11 10 11 12 13 13 15 16 13 14 11 10 12 11 12 13 13 10 10 8 13 9 8 8 9 9 10 12 13 11 11 9 8 10 10 11 11 10 7 8 6 11 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 * * * 1 1 1 * * * 0 * 1 0 1 6/15/08 RV 74 19 55 25 19 6 1 2004 election: --- Enthusiastic -NET Very Fairly Kerry: 10/26/04 10/23/04 10/17/04 10/3/04 9/26/04 9/26/04 9/8/04 8/29/04 8/1/04 7/25/04 6/20/04 ---- Not enthusiastic ---NET Not too Not at all No opinion LV LV LV LV LV RV RV RV RV RV RV 92 91 94 91 85 87 85 89 92 90 85 46 50 45 50 42 39 39 40 56 41 34 47 41 49 42 43 47 46 49 36 49 51 7 9 6 8 13 12 14 11 7 10 15 6 7 5 8 10 9 10 9 6 9 12 1 1 1 * 4 3 4 2 1 1 3 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 * 1 0 0 G.W. Bush: 10/26/04 LV 10/23/04 LV 10/17/04 LV 10/3/04 LV 9/26/04 LV 9/26/04 RV 9/8/04 RV 8/29/04 RV 8/1/04 RV 7/25/04 RV 6/20/04 RV 91 93 93 94 94 91 95 94 90 90 90 55 60 59 57 65 61 63 56 53 49 50 36 33 35 37 29 31 32 38 37 41 40 9 7 6 6 5 8 5 6 10 10 9 8 6 6 4 4 6 4 5 8 8 7 1 1 1 1 1 2 * 1 2 1 2 * * 1 * 1 * * * * * * 2000 election: --- Enthusiastic -NET Very Fairly Gore: 4/2/00 2/27/00* 3/14/99 45 43 39 17 17 12 28 26 27 ---- Not enthusiastic ---NET Not too Not at all 55 56 59 G.W. Bush: 4/2/00 50 20 29 50 2/27/00* 50 18 32 50 3/14/99 55 17 38 42 *2/27/00 and previous "possible candidacy" Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually Republican), an independent or what? 11/1/16 10/31/16 10/30/16 10/29/16 10/28/16 10/27/16 10/26/16 10/25/16 10/24/16 10/23/16 10/22/16 10/13/16 9/22/16 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV Democrat 37 37 38 37 37 37 37 36 36 36 36 33 33 Republican 30 29 28 27 28 29 28 29 28 27 27 25 23 No opinion 23 23 24 32 33 35 * 1 1 24 19 21 26 30 21 * 1 3 think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Independent 29 29 29 30 30 29 29 29 29 31 31 33 36 Other (vol.) 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 No opinion 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 4 3 9/8/16 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 11/19/15 10/18/15 9/10/15 34 33 33 36 33 34 34 33 33 30 33 24 23 23 24 25 25 23 23 23 24 22 33 36 35 33 35 32 34 34 36 39 35 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 5 3 3 3 2 3 5 4 5 4 2 4 *** END*** METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish. This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as they appear in this document. Demographics and religious identity questions are not shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters. Results preceded by “LV” indicate results among likely voters. A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers, first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. Roughly 35 percent are completed on landlines while 65 percent of interviews are completed on cellular phones, including roughly 35 percent among adults in cell phone-only households. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also weighted to match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey March Social and Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education. Party ID was weighted to the average of the most recent Post-ABC surveys. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which is 1.2 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they produce. Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post conducts polls.