This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone October 30-November 2, 2016, among a random national sample of 1,768 adults including landline and cell phone respondents. Overall results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 points; the error margin is plus or minus three points among the sample of 1,151 likely voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York. *= less than 0.5 percent (Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the end.) 1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the 2016 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all? ---- Closely ---NET Very Smwt 94 65 30 94 67 27 94 66 28 94 66 28 95 68 27 94 66 29 94 66 28 93 64 29 92 62 30 93 65 28 94 66 28 94 71 23 94 66 28 92 60 32 92 59 33 84 39 45 75 30 45 ---- Not closely ---NET Not so At all 6 4 2 6 3 2 5 3 2 6 3 2 5 3 2 5 3 2 6 3 3 7 4 3 7 5 3 7 4 2 6 4 2 6 4 2 5 4 1 8 5 3 8 5 3 16 10 6 25 13 12 No opinion * * * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * * * 11/2/16 11/1/16 10/31/16 10/30/16 10/29/16 10/28/16 10/27/16 10/26/16 10/25/16 10/24/16 10/23/16 10/22/16 10/13/16 9/22/16 9/8/16 1/24/16 11/19/15 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV RV 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 5/20/12 2/4/12* 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 10/2/11 9/1/11 7/17/11 6/5/11 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV RV RV RV 99 98 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 95 94 93 92 92 93 92 87 82 79 76 69 65 64 66 61 61 66 67 67 68 67 66 69 69 68 66 62 63 63 64 64 60 54 51 38 37 33 26 24 24 25 18 22 33 31 31 31 32 33 30 30 31 33 33 32 31 28 28 33 38 36 44 43 43 43 41 40 40 43 39 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 5 6 8 8 6 8 13 18 20 24 31 34 36 34 39 38 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 4 5 5 4 6 8 9 12 14 18 17 23 20 23 23 * * * * * * * * * * 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 5 8 8 10 13 17 13 14 15 15 * * * 0 0 0 0 * * 0 * * * * * * 0 1 * * * * * 0 * * * 11/3/08 RV 91 64 28 8 5 4 * 11/2/08 11/1/08 10/31/08 10/30/08 10/29/08 10/28/08 10/27/08 10/26/08 10/25/08 10/24/08 10/23/08 10/22/08 10/21/08 10/20/08 10/19/08 10/11/08 9/29/08 9/22/08 9/7/08 8/22/08 7/13/08 6/15/08 5/11/08 4/13/08 3/2/08 2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07 11/1/07 9/30/07 7/21/07 6/1/07 4/15/07 2/25/07 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 90 90 89 89 89 90 91 90 89 89 88 89 90 90 90 92 89 91 89 84 79 75 83 84 84 81 79 72 67 69 70 66 66 65 63 61 60 59 60 59 60 60 59 60 58 57 58 57 57 59 58 55 51 42 36 34 39 37 42 35 32 21 21 21 22 18 20 20 28 29 29 29 30 31 31 30 30 28 30 32 32 34 33 33 31 36 38 42 42 41 44 47 42 46 47 51 46 48 48 48 45 44 9 10 11 11 10 10 9 9 11 11 12 11 10 10 10 8 11 9 10 16 21 25 17 16 15 19 21 28 33 30 30 34 34 35 5 6 7 7 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 7 5 6 11 12 12 13 11 11 12 15 19 22 21 20 22 20 25 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 5 4 4 3 4 5 4 5 5 9 13 5 5 4 7 6 8 12 10 10 13 14 10 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 0 * * 1 * 0 * * * * * 0 * * * * * 10/31/04 10/30/04 10/29/04 10/28/04 10/27/04 10/26/04 10/25/04 10/24/04 10/23/04 10/22/04 10/21/04 10/20/04 10/19/04 10/18/04 10/17/04 10/16/04 10/15/04 10/14/04 10/13/04 10/12/04 10/11/04 10/10/04 10/9/04 10/8/04 10/7/04 10/6/04 10/5/04 10/4/04 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 90 90 90 90 90 89 89 90 90 90 90 89 87 88 89 88 87 87 88 88 88 87 88 88 88 88 88 88 58 59 58 58 57 55 55 54 54 54 55 55 54 52 52 53 53 52 52 52 53 52 52 53 53 51 50 49 32 31 32 32 33 34 34 36 36 36 35 34 33 36 37 35 34 35 36 36 35 35 36 35 35 37 38 39 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 11 10 12 11 12 12 12 13 13 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 7 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 * 1 * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * * 10/3/04 9/26/04 9/8/04 8/29/04 8/1/04 7/25/04 6/20/04 5/23/04 4/18/04 3/7/04 2/11/04 1/18/04 10/29/03 9/13/03 RV RV RV RV RV 87 87 85 81 80 73 78 74 75 75 75 66 54 56 11/6/00 LV 92 11/5/00 LV 91 11/4/00 LV 91 11/3/00 LV 91 11/2/00 LV 90 11/1/00 LV 91 10/31/00 LV 90 10/30/00 LV 91 10/29/00 LV 90 10/28/00 LV 89 10/27/00 LV 89 10/26/00 LV 89 10/25/00 LV 89 10/24/00 LV 87 10/23/00 LV 89 10/22/00 LV 88 10/21/00 LV 87 10/20/00 LV 86 10/19/00 LV 85 10/18/00 LV 87 10/17/00 LV 86 10/15/00 RV 77 10/9/00 RV 75 10/1/00 RV 75 9/6/00 RV 74 8/20/00 RV 74 8/10/00 RV 72 8/6/00 53 7/29/00 51 7/23/00 50 6/11/00 49 4/2/00 53 3/11/00 61 2/27/00 70 2/6/00 65 1/16/00 50 12/15/99 45 10/31/99 61 7/17/95 36 7/8/92 76 1/27/92 51 10/10/88 RV 77 8/18/88 RV 68 8/15/88 RV 70 5/25/88 76 9/23/87 50 6/1/87 50 *2/4/12 and previous 48 48 45 43 41 34 33 33 30 33 30 22 15 16 39 39 40 38 39 39 45 41 45 42 45 44 39 40 12 12 14 20 20 27 22 26 25 25 25 35 45 44 7 8 10 13 13 15 15 17 16 18 15 22 30 27 5 4 4 7 7 12 7 9 9 7 10 13 15 17 * 1 1 * * * * * 0 * * * 0 * 54 38 8 6 2 * 53 38 8 6 2 * 52 39 9 7 2 * 51 40 9 6 3 * 48 42 10 7 3 * 48 43 9 7 2 * 46 44 9 7 2 * 47 44 9 7 2 * 47 43 10 7 3 * 47 42 10 7 3 * 48 41 11 7 4 * 47 42 11 8 3 * 47 42 11 8 3 0 44 43 13 10 3 0 44 45 11 8 3 0 44 44 12 9 3 0 46 41 13 9 4 * 46 40 15 11 4 * 44 41 14 10 4 * 42 45 13 10 3 * 40 46 13 10 3 * 33 44 23 15 8 * 30 45 25 16 9 * 27 48 25 17 8 * 26 48 26 17 9 * 28 46 26 16 10 1 29 43 29 18 11 * 17 36 47 22 25 * 16 35 49 25 24 * 14 36 50 25 25 * 13 36 51 26 25 0 17 36 47 24 23 0 21 40 38 21 17 0 24 46 30 20 10 * 19 48 34 21 13 0 11 39 50 26 24 * 12 33 55 31 24 * 16 45 38 25 13 * 7 29 63 33 31 * 28 48 24 16 8 * 14 37 48 25 23 1 31 46 23 17 6 26 42 31 20 11 0 27 43 31 19 12 0 25 51 25 19 6 * 9 41 49 31 18 * 11 39 49 32 17 * "not too closely" instead of "not so closely" 2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? Probably vote 4 4 4 5 6 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 7 8 8 10 8 9 Chances 50/50 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 7 5 Less than that 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 2 3 3 5 4 3 4 3 Don't think will vote (vol.) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 * * 1 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 2 2 Already voted (vol.) 18 19 16 15 14 11 9 8 6 5 5 5 1 0 NA NA NA NA NA 11/2/16 11/1/16 10/31/16 10/30/16 10/29/16 10/28/16 10/27/16 10/26/16 10/25/16 10/24/16 10/23/16 10/22/16 10/13/16 9/22/16 9/8/16 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV Certain to vote 69 69 72 72 73 76 77 78 79 78 79 80 85 83 81 81 79 79 80 No op. 0 0 0 0 x 0 * * * * * * 0 * * * 1 * * 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 9/29/12 9/9/12 8/25/12 7/8/12 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 68 68 70 72 73 75 76 77 79 79 79 79 80 82 84 85 84 83 81 81 5 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 7 6 5 6 7 7 7 8 9 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 4 4 7 6 6 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 1 1 1 * 1 * * 1 * 20 19 18 16 16 13 12 11 9 8 6 6 5 4 4 1 0 NA " * * * * 0 * * * * * * * * * * 1 * 0 * * 11/3/08 11/2/08 11/1/08 10/31/08 10/30/08 10/29/08 10/28/08 10/27/08 10/26/08 10/25/08 10/24/08 10/23/08 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 68 69 71 73 74 76 77 76 78 78 79 80 4 4 5 5 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 * 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 22 20 19 16 15 13 11 11 10 10 8 6 * * * * * 1 1 1 * * * * 10/22/08 10/21/08 10/20/08 10/19/08 10/11/08 9/29/08 9/22/08 9/7/08 8/22/08 7/13/08 6/15/08 3/2/08 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 81 82 81 83 87 87 89 85 84 79 71 78 5 6 6 6 5 6 6 7 10 10 9 9 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 5 4 7 8 7 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 3 7 4 1 1 1 1 * 1 * 1 * 2 4 2 5 4 4 4 2 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA * * * * 0 * * * * 0 * * 10/31/04 10/30/04 10/29/04 10/28/04 10/27/04 10/26/04 10/25/04 10/24/04 10/23/04 10/22/04 10/21/04 10/20/04 10/19/04 10/18/04 10/17/04 10/16/04 10/15/04 10/14/04 10/13/04 10/12/04 10/11/04 10/10/04 10/9/04 10/8/04 10/7/04 10/6/04 10/5/04 10/4/04 10/3/04 9/26/04 9/8/04 8/29/04 8/1/04 7/25/04 10/29/03 RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV 76 78 79 80 81 81 81 82 82 82 82 83 83 84 84 86 87 87 86 87 88 90 90 90 89 87 87 87 87 87 87 84 85 85 70 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 10 9 7 12 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 11 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 6 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 * * 1 1 * * * * * 1 1 * * * * * * 1 1 1 * 1 * 1 * 1 12 11 11 10 8 8 7 6 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 * * * * * * * * * NA * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 1 * * * * * * 1 * * 0 * * 0 10/15/00 10/9/00 10/1/00 9/6/00 8/20/00 8/10/00 8/6/00 7/29/00 7/23/00 6/11/00 5/10/00 4/2/00 3/11/00 2/27/00 RV RV RV RV RV RV 82 81 81 78 78 79 64 61 59 60 63 62 63 69 10 10 10 12 13 12 12 15 17 13 15 14 14 12 6 6 5 5 6 6 11 9 10 11 10 9 9 10 2 2 3 3 3 1 8 11 11 10 8 9 9 4 1 * 1 1 1 1 5 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 * * * * 0 * * * * * 1 * * * 2/6/00 1/16/00 12/15/99 10/31/99 67 65 64 72 12 14 13 11 10 10 8 10 8 6 9 5 3 4 6 3 " * * 1 * 3. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) Do you think you'll (vote in person at your polling place on Election Day), or (vote before Election Day by early voting or mail-in ballot)?* 11/2/16 11/1/16 10/31/16 10/30/16 10/29/16 10/28/16 10/27/16 10/26/16 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV Vote in person 52 54 55 53 53 52 52 50 11/4/12 11/3/12 11/2/12 11/1/12 10/31/12 10/30/12 10/29/12 10/28/12 10/27/12 10/26/12 10/25/12 10/24/12 10/23/12 10/22/12 10/21/12 10/13/12 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV 58 58 58 60 60 60 61 60 62 62 61 62 62 64 66 67 Early voting/ mail-in ballot 20 22 23 24 27 29 31 32 13 14 16 18 19 22 21 22 24 25 29 29 28 27 27 30 11/2/08 LV 63 11/1/08 LV 63 10/31/08 LV 63 10/30/08 LV 64 10/29/08 LV 65 10/28/08 LV 65 10/27/08 LV 66 10/26/08 LV 67 10/25/08 LV 68 10/24/08 LV 69 10/23/08 LV 68 10/22/08 LV 66 *Includes those who volunteered Already voted (vol.) 27 24 21 21 18 16 15 15 28 27 25 22 21 18 17 15 12 11 8 8 7 6 5 2 11 25 13 23 16 20 17 18 18 16 19 15 18 15 18 14 18 13 19 11 20 11 20 13 they already voted in Q2. No opinion 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 * * * 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 * * 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were [(Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats), (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans)], [(Gary Johnson and Bill Weld of the Libertarian Party) and (Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka of the Green Party)], for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward [(Clinton and Kaine), (Trump and Pence)], [(Johnson and Weld) or (Stein and Baraka)]? (IF ALREADY VOTED) Confidentially and for statistical purposes only, did you vote for...? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS None Would 11/2/16 11/1/16 10/31/16 10/30/16 10/29/16 10/28/16 10/27/16 10/26/16 10/25/16 10/24/16 10/23/16 10/22/16 10/13/16 9/22/16 9/8/16 8/4/16 7/14/16* 6/23/16 Hillary Clinton 47 47 46 45 46 46 47 48 48 49 50 50 47 46 46 47 45 48 Donald Trump 44 45 46 46 45 45 45 44 42 40 38 38 43 44 41 39 39 39 Gary Johnson 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8 6 Jill Stein 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 3 3 Other (vol.) 1 * * * 1 1 1 * * * 1 1 * * 1 1 1 1 of these (vol.) 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 not vote (vol.) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 * * * No opinion 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 5. (IF NOT CLINTON OR TRUMP) If the only candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or toward (Trump and Pence)? NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS Other Neither Would not No Clinton Trump (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion 11/2/16 49 46 1 1 1 2 11/1/16 49 47 1 1 1 2 10/31/16 48 47 1 1 1 1 10/30/16 48 47 1 1 1 1 10/29/16 49 47 1 1 1 1 10/28/16 49 46 1 2 1 1 10/27/16 49 46 1 2 1 1 10/26/16 50 45 1 1 1 2 10/25/16 51 44 1 2 1 1 10/24/16 51 43 * 2 2 1 10/23/16 53 41 1 3 2 1 10/22/16 53 42 1 3 1 1 10/13/16 50 46 * 2 1 1 9/22/16 49 47 * 1 2 1 9/8/16* 51 43 * 3 1 1 8/4/16** 51 44 1 2 0 1 7/14/16*** 50 43 1 5 0 2 6/23/16 52 41 2 4 0 1 5/19/16 46 49 2 3 0 * *9/8/16 and later Results based on total sample. Respondents who named Clinton or Trump in Q3 assigned to initial preference. **8/4/16 and earlier: If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or toward (Trump and Pence)? ***7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat” and “Donald Trump, the Republican.” 6. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Which of these is the single most important issue in your choice for president? Is it (the economy and jobs), (terrorism and national security), (immigration issues), (health care) or (corruption in government)? The economy and jobs Corruption in government Terrorism and national security Health care Immigration issues Law and order Other (vol.) Any 2 or more (vol.) None (vol.) No opinion 11/2/16 29 17 15 13 5 NA 2 16 1 * 9/22/16 30 12 27 NA 6 5 3 15 1 1 9/8/16 39 15 17 NA 6 6 2 13 2 * 7. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Who do you trust more to handle [ITEM] – (Clinton) or (Trump)? And who do you trust more to handle [NEXT ITEM]? 11/2/16 – Summary Table (among likely voters) a. b. c. d. e. The economy and jobs Terrorism and national security Immigration issues Health care Corruption in government Clinton 47 49 48 49 39 Trump 47 45 46 44 48 Both (vol.) * 1 * * 1 Trend: a. The economy and jobs Both Clinton Trump (vol.) 11/2/16 LV 47 47 * 10/13/16* LV 48 47 1 10/13/16 RV 46 47 1 9/22/16 LV 45 50 1 9/22/16 RV 43 50 1 9/8/16 RV 50 44 * 8/4/16 RV 47 49 1 7/14/16 RV 43 48 * 5/19/16 RV 45 48 * 3/6/16 RV 46 49 * *10/13/16 and prior “The economy” Neither (vol.) 4 4 5 3 3 5 3 7 6 4 No opinion 2 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 b. Terrorism and national security 11/2/16 10/13/16** 10/13/16 9/22/16 9/22/16 9/8/16 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 LV LV RV LV RV RV RV RV RV RV RV Clinton 49 49 48 48 45 47 47 47 50 47 51 Trump 45 47 46 47 47 44 46 44 42 46 43 Both (vol.) 1 0 * 1 1 1 1 * * * * Neither (vol.) 5 3 4 3 5 7 3 8 7 6 4 No opinion 1 1 2 2 3 2 3 1 1 1 1 Neither (vol.) 4 5 5 5 9 No opinion 2 1 2 2 2 11/19/15* RV 50 43 *"threat of terrorism" **10/13/16 and prior “Terrorism” * 6 1 c. Immigration issues 11/2/16 10/13/16 10/13/16 9/22/16 9/22/16 9/8/16 8/4/16 7/14/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 LV LV RV LV RV RV RV RV RV RV Clinton 48 47 48 51 48 49 52 54 50 54 Trump 46 47 47 45 45 44 43 39 44 40 Both (vol.) * * * * 1 * 1 0 * * Neither (vol.) 5 4 4 2 3 5 3 6 4 4 No opinion 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 d. Health Care 11/2/16 LV 9/22/16 LV 9/22/16 Clinton 49 47 50 Trump 44 46 39 Both (vol.) * 1 1 Neither (vol.) 5 3 7 No opinion 2 3 4 Both (vol.) 1 Neither (vol.) 9 No opinion 2 e. Corruption in government 11/2/16 LV Clinton 39 Trump 48 Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? 11/2/16 11/1/16 10/31/16 10/30/16 10/29/16 10/28/16 10/27/16 10/26/16 10/25/16 10/24/16 10/23/16 10/22/16 10/13/16 9/22/16 9/8/16 8/4/16 7/14/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 3/6/16 1/24/16 12/13/15 11/19/15 10/18/15 9/10/15 LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV LV Democrat 37 37 37 38 37 37 37 37 36 36 36 36 33 33 34 33 33 36 33 34 34 33 33 30 33 Republican 30 30 29 28 27 28 29 28 29 28 27 27 25 23 24 23 23 24 25 25 23 23 23 24 22 Independent 29 29 29 29 30 30 29 29 29 29 31 31 33 36 33 36 35 33 35 32 34 34 36 39 35 Other (vol.) 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 5 No opinion 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 5 4 5 4 2 4 *** END*** METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish. This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as they appear in this document. Demographics and religious identity questions are not shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters. Results preceded by “LV” indicate results among likely voters. A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers, first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. Roughly 35 percent are completed on landlines while 65 percent of interviews are completed on cellular phones, including roughly 35 percent among adults in cell phone-only households. Questions 6 and 7 were asked Nov. 1-2 among 623 likely voters; those results have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 points. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also weighted to match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey March Social and Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education. Party ID was weighted to the average of the most recent Post-ABC surveys. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which is 1.2 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they produce. Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post conducts polls.