This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone November 3-6, 2016,
among a random national sample of 3,218 adults including landline and cell phone
respondents. Overall results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus two
points; the error margin is plus or minus 2.5 points among the sample of 2,220 likely
voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following the 2016 presidential
race: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all?

11/6/16
11/5/16
11/4/16
11/3/16
11/2/16
11/1/16
10/31/16
10/30/16
10/29/16
10/28/16
10/27/16
10/26/16
10/25/16
10/24/16
10/23/16
10/22/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
1/24/16
11/19/15

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
5/20/12
2/4/12*
1/15/12
12/18/11
11/3/11
10/2/11
9/1/11
7/17/11
6/5/11

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV

---- Closely ---NET
Very
Smwt
94
67
27
94
64
29
94
65
29
94
65
29
94
65
30
94
67
27
94
66
28
94
66
28
95
68
27
94
66
29
94
66
28
93
64
29
92
62
30
93
65
28
94
66
28
94
71
23
94
66
28
92
60
32
92
59
33
84
39
45
75
30
45

---- Not closely ---NET
Not so
At all
6
3
2
6
4
2
6
4
2
6
3
2
6
4
2
6
3
2
5
3
2
6
3
2
5
3
2
5
3
2
6
3
3
7
4
3
7
5
3
7
4
2
6
4
2
6
4
2
5
4
1
8
5
3
8
5
3
16
10
6
25
13
12

99
98
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
99
95
94
93
92
92
93
92
87
82
79
76
69
65
64
66
61
61

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
5
6
8
8
6
8
13
18
20
24
31
34
36
34
39
38

66
67
67
68
67
66
69
69
68
66
62
63
63
64
64
60
54
51
38
37
33
26
24
24
25
18
22

33
31
31
31
32
33
30
30
31
33
33
32
31
28
28
33
38
36
44
43
43
43
41
40
40
43
39

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
4
5
5
4
6
8
9
12
14
18
17
23
20
23
23

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
5
8
8
10
13
17
13
14
15
15

No
opinion
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
0
0
0
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*

 11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
5/11/08
4/13/08
3/2/08
2/1/08
1/12/08
12/9/07
11/1/07
9/30/07
7/21/07
6/1/07
4/15/07
2/25/07

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

91
90
90
89
89
89
90
91
90
89
89
88
89
90
90
90
92
89
91
89
84
79
75
83
84
84
81
79
72
67
69
70
66
66
65

64
63
61
60
59
60
59
60
60
59
60
58
57
58
57
57
59
58
55
51
42
36
34
39
37
42
35
32
21
21
21
22
18
20
20

28
28
29
29
29
30
31
31
30
30
28
30
32
32
34
33
33
31
36
38
42
42
41
44
47
42
46
47
51
46
48
48
48
45
44

8
9
10
11
11
10
10
9
9
11
11
12
11
10
10
10
8
11
9
10
16
21
25
17
16
15
19
21
28
33
30
30
34
34
35

5
5
6
7
7
6
6
5
5
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
4
7
5
6
11
12
12
13
11
11
12
15
19
22
21
20
22
20
25

4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
6
5
4
4
3
4
5
4
5
5
9
13
5
5
4
7
6
8
12
10
10
13
14
10

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
1
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

90
90
90
90
90
89
89
90
90
90
90
89
87
88
89
88
87
87
88
88
88
87
88
88
88
88
88

58
59
58
58
57
55
55
54
54
54
55
55
54
52
52
53
53
52
52
52
53
52
52
53
53
51
50

32
31
32
32
33
34
34
36
36
36
35
34
33
36
37
35
34
35
36
36
35
35
36
35
35
37
38

9
9
9
9
9
10
10
10
10
10
11
10
12
11
12
12
12
13
13
11
12
12
12
12
12
12
12

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
7
8
7
8
7
7
7
7
8
8
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
7

3
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5

*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*

 10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04
5/23/04
4/18/04
3/7/04
2/11/04
1/18/04
10/29/03
9/13/03

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

88
87
87
85
81
80
73
78
74
75
75
75
66
54
56

49
48
48
45
43
41
34
33
33
30
33
30
22
15
16

39
39
39
40
38
39
39
45
41
45
42
45
44
39
40

12
12
12
14
20
20
27
22
26
25
25
25
35
45
44

7
7
8
10
13
13
15
15
17
16
18
15
22
30
27

5
5
4
4
7
7
12
7
9
9
7
10
13
15
17

*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
0
*

11/6/00
11/5/00
11/4/00
11/3/00
11/2/00
11/1/00
10/31/00
10/30/00
10/29/00
10/28/00
10/27/00
10/26/00
10/25/00
10/24/00
10/23/00
10/22/00
10/21/00
10/20/00
10/19/00
10/18/00
10/17/00
10/15/00
10/9/00
10/1/00
9/6/00
8/20/00
8/10/00
8/6/00
7/29/00
7/23/00
6/11/00
4/2/00
3/11/00
2/27/00
2/6/00
1/16/00
12/15/99
10/31/99
7/17/95
7/8/92
1/27/92
10/10/88
8/18/88
8/15/88
5/25/88
9/23/87
6/1/87

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

92
91
91
91
90
91
90
91
90
89
89
89
89
87
89
88
87
86
85
87
86
77
75
75
74
74
72
53
51
50
49
53
61
70
65
50
45
61
36
76
51
77
68
70
76
50
50

54
53
52
51
48
48
46
47
47
47
48
47
47
44
44
44
46
46
44
42
40
33
30
27
26
28
29
17
16
14
13
17
21
24
19
11
12
16
7
28
14
31
26
27
25
9
11

38
38
39
40
42
43
44
44
43
42
41
42
42
43
45
44
41
40
41
45
46
44
45
48
48
46
43
36
35
36
36
36
40
46
48
39
33
45
29
48
37
46
42
43
51
41
39

8
8
9
9
10
9
9
9
10
10
11
11
11
13
11
12
13
15
14
13
13
23
25
25
26
26
29
47
49
50
51
47
38
30
34
50
55
38
63
24
48
23
31
31
25
49
49

6
6
7
6
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
8
8
10
8
9
9
11
10
10
10
15
16
17
17
16
18
22
25
25
26
24
21
20
21
26
31
25
33
16
25
17
20
19
19
31
32

2
2
2
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
3
3
8
9
8
9
10
11
25
24
25
25
23
17
10
13
24
24
13
31
8
23
6
11
12
6
18
17

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
0
0
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
0
0
0
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
0
0
*
*
*

RV
RV
RV

 *2/4/12 and previous "not too closely" instead of "not so closely"

2. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in
the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you
probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Probably
vote
5
6
5
5
4
4
4
5
6
5
6
6
6
7
7
7
6
7
8
8
10
8
9

Chances
50/50
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
5
7
5

Less than
that
3
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
3
2
3
3
5
4
3
4
3

Don't think
will vote
(vol.)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
1
2
2

Already
voted
(vol.)
24
22
22
20
18
19
16
15
14
11
9
8
6
5
5
5
1
0
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

11/6/16
11/5/16
11/4/16
11/3/16
11/2/16
11/1/16
10/31/16
10/30/16
10/29/16
10/28/16
10/27/16
10/26/16
10/25/16
10/24/16
10/23/16
10/22/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

Certain
to vote
62
63
64
67
69
69
72
72
73
76
77
78
79
78
79
80
85
83
81
81
79
79
80

No
op.
*
*
*
*
0
0
0
0
x
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
1
*
*

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
68
70
72
73
75
76
77
79
79
79
79
80
82
84
85
84
83
81
81

5
6
5
6
6
6
5
5
5
6
6
7
6
5
6
7
7
7
8
9

4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
6
6
4
4
7
6
6
8

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
4
3
2

1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
*

20
19
18
16
16
13
12
11
9
8
6
6
5
4
4
1
0
NA
"

*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
*
*

11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

68
69
71
73
74
76
77

4
4
5
5
6
5
6

3
3
3
3
4
4
4

2
2
2
1
1
1
1

1
1
*
1
*
1
1

22
20
19
16
15
13
11

*
*
*
*
*
1
1

 10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
7/13/08
6/15/08
3/2/08

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

76
78
78
79
80
81
82
81
83
87
87
89
85
84
79
71
78

6
6
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
5
6
6
7
10
10
9
9

4
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
5
4
5
4
7
8
7

1
1
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
7
4

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
2
4
2

11
10
10
8
6
5
4
4
4
2
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
0
*
*

10/31/04
10/30/04
10/29/04
10/28/04
10/27/04
10/26/04
10/25/04
10/24/04
10/23/04
10/22/04
10/21/04
10/20/04
10/19/04
10/18/04
10/17/04
10/16/04
10/15/04
10/14/04
10/13/04
10/12/04
10/11/04
10/10/04
10/9/04
10/8/04
10/7/04
10/6/04
10/5/04
10/4/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
10/29/03

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

76
78
79
80
81
81
81
82
82
82
82
83
83
84
84
86
87
87
86
87
88
90
90
90
89
87
87
87
87
87
87
84
85
85
70

6
6
5
5
5
5
6
7
7
7
7
6
6
7
7
6
6
6
7
7
7
6
6
5
6
7
7
8
8
8
7
10
9
7
12

3
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
5
4
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
3
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
5
11

1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
6

1
1
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
1
*
1
*
1

12
11
11
10
8
8
7
6
6
5
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
NA

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
*
0
*
*
0

10/15/00
10/9/00
10/1/00
9/6/00
8/20/00
8/10/00
8/6/00
7/29/00
7/23/00

RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

82
81
81
78
78
79
64
61
59

10
10
10
12
13
12
12
15
17

6
6
5
5
6
6
11
9
10

2
2
3
3
3
1
8
11
11

1
*
1
1
1
1
5
3
4

*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*

 6/11/00
5/10/00
4/2/00
3/11/00
2/27/00
2/6/00
1/16/00
12/15/99
10/31/99

60
63
62
63
69
67
65
64
72

13
15
14
14
12
12
14
13
11

11
10
9
9
10
10
10
8
10

10
8
9
9
4
8
6
9
5

4
4
5
4
5
3
4
6
3

"

*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
*

3. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) Do you think you'll (vote in person at your polling place on
Election Day), or (vote before Election Day by early voting or mail-in ballot)?

11/6/16*
11/4/16
11/3/16
11/2/16
11/1/16
10/31/16
10/30/16
10/29/16
10/28/16
10/27/16
10/26/16

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV

Vote
in person
52
51
50
52
52
54
53
53
52
52
50

11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV

58
58
58
60
60
60
61
60
62
62
61
62
62
64
66
67

Early voting/
mail-in ballot
12
17
18
19
20
21
23
25
29
29
31
13
14
16
18
19
22
21
22
24
25
29
29
28
27
27
30

28
27
25
22
21
18
17
15
12
11
8
8
7
6
5
2

1
1
*
*
*
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
1

11
13
16
17
18
19
18
18
18
19
20
20
averages

25
23
20
18
16
15
15
14
13
11
11
13

*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

11/2/08 LV
63
11/1/08 LV
63
10/31/08 LV
63
10/30/08 LV
64
10/29/08 LV
65
10/28/08 LV
65
10/27/08 LV
66
10/26/08 LV
67
10/25/08 LV
68
10/24/08 LV
69
10/23/08 LV
68
10/22/08 LV
66
*All 2016 figures are three-day

Already
voted (vol.)
36
32
32
29
27
24
23
21
18
18
17

No opinion
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2

4. (IF CERTAIN TO VOTE) If the presidential election were being held today and the
candidates were [(Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats), (Donald Trump and
Mike Pence, the Republicans)], [(Gary Johnson and Bill Weld of the Libertarian Party)

 and (Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka of the Green Party)], for whom would you vote? Would
you lean toward [(Clinton and Kaine), (Trump and Pence)], [(Johnson and Weld) or
(Stein and Baraka)]? (IF ALREADY VOTED) Confidentially and for statistical purposes
only, did you vote for...?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS

11/6/16
11/5/16
11/4/16
11/3/16
11/2/16
11/1/16
10/31/16
10/30/16
10/29/16
10/28/16
10/27/16
10/26/16
10/25/16
10/24/16
10/23/16
10/22/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16*
6/23/16

Hillary
Clinton
47
47
48
47
47
47
46
45
46
46
47
48
48
49
50
50
47
46
46
47
45
48

Donald
Trump
43
43
43
43
44
45
46
46
45
45
45
44
42
40
38
38
43
44
41
39
39
39

Gary
Johnson
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
7
8
6

Jill
Stein
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
3
3

Other
(vol.)
2
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
*
*
1
1
1
1

None
of these
(vol.)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1

Would
not vote
(vol.)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
*
*
*

5. (IF NAMED CLINTON OR TRUMP) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about
supporting (Clinton/Trump), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not
enthusiastic at all?
--- Enthusiastic ---NET
Very
Somewhat

--- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not so
Not at all

No
opinion

Clinton:
11/6/16
11/5/16
11/4/16
11/3/16
11/2/16
11/1/16
10/31/16
10/30/16
10/29/16
10/28/16
10/27/16
10/24/16
10/23/16
10/22/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV

87
86
86
85
84
82
82
83
83
85
87
85
86
87
83
81
82

51
50
50
52
47
46
46
48
50
53
56
48
49
52
43
46
36

35
37
36
34
37
35
36
35
33
32
31
37
37
35
40
35
46

13
13
14
14
16
18
18
17
16
14
12
14
14
13
16
18
18

8
8
9
9
10
11
11
11
11
11
8
8
8
7
9
10
12

5
5
5
5
6
7
7
6
6
3
5
6
6
5
7
8
6

*
*
*
1
*
1
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
0

Trump:
11/6/16
11/5/16
11/4/16

LV
LV
LV

88
87
88

56
54
54

32
33
34

12
13
11

7
6
6

4
6
6

1
1
1

No
opinion
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
1
2
2
2

 11/3/16
11/2/16
11/1/16
10/31/16
10/30/16
10/29/16
10/28/16
10/27/16
10/24/16
10/23/16
10/22/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV

87
86
86
85
84
84
83
81
83
83
83
79
91
85

51
53
53
52
53
52
52
49
50
50
49
47
55
48

36
34
33
33
31
32
31
32
33
33
34
32
36
37

11
13
13
15
16
15
17
18
17
16
17
21
8
15

6
7
8
9
10
10
11
11
9
10
11
12
5
10

5
6
5
5
6
5
6
7
7
6
6
9
3
4

2
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
*
*
0
*
1
*

2012 election:
--- Enthusiastic ---NET
Very
Somewhat

--- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not so
Not at all

No
opinion

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

95
95
95
95
95
96
97
95
95
94
94
96
95
96
96
94
91
93
88
91
93

69
69
69
66
64
64
65
66
64
61
59
60
60
62
64
55
51
56
48
51
51

27
26
27
30
31
32
32
30
31
33
35
35
35
34
32
40
40
38
39
40
41

4
5
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
5
9
7
11
8
7

2
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
7
3
7
5
4

2
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
3
4

1
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
*
1
0
0
1
1
0

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV

93
94
94
95
94
95
95
94
95
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
92
87
87
83

61
62
63
62
62
61
61
61
59
59
58
60
62
62
58
62
59
48
46
42

32
32
31
33
32
35
34
33
36
35
35
33
31
32
35
31
33
39
40
41

6
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
5
6
7
7
6
6
6
7
8
13
13
17

4
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
3
5
5
5
5
4
5
4
5
6
7
12

2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
7
6
4

*
*
*
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
*

Obama:
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12
7/8/12
5/20/12

Romney:
11/4/12
11/3/12
11/2/12
11/1/12
10/31/12
10/30/12
10/29/12
10/28/12
10/27/12
10/26/12
10/25/12
10/24/12
10/23/12
10/22/12
10/21/12
10/13/12
10/13/12
9/29/12
9/9/12
8/25/12

 7/8/12
5/20/12

RV
RV

85
75

38
26

47
48

15
25

11
15

4
9

*
1

Compare to: Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are
you about [NAME] - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or
not enthusiastic at all?
2008 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all

No
opinion

Obama:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
6/15/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

97
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
96
97
97
95
94
95
95
96
96
95
94
96
95
91

68
67
67
68
68
68
65
65
66
68
71
70
67
64
65
64
66
61
62
64
52
52

29
29
29
29
28
28
31
31
30
29
26
25
28
31
31
32
30
34
32
32
43
39

2
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
6
4
5
9

1
2
3
2
3
2
2
3
2
3
3
4
5
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
2
7

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
1
1
3
2

*
*
*
0
*
1
1
1
1
*
0
0
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
0
*
*

McCain:
11/3/08
11/2/08
11/1/08
10/31/08
10/30/08
10/29/08
10/28/08
10/27/08
10/26/08
10/25/08
10/24/08
10/23/08
10/22/08
10/21/08
10/20/08
10/19/08
10/11/08
9/29/08
9/22/08
9/7/08
8/22/08
6/15/08

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

88
90
89
88
87
86
85
83
87
86
88
89
88
88
88
87
87
90
89
92
86
74

41
41
41
41
39
39
37
35
36
38
39
39
40
37
38
40
31
38
34
46
28
19

47
48
47
46
47
47
48
49
51
48
49
50
48
51
50
47
57
52
55
46
58
55

11
10
11
12
13
13
15
16
13
14
11
10
12
11
12
13
13
10
10
8
13
25

9
8
8
9
9
10
12
13
11
11
9
8
10
10
11
11
10
7
8
6
11
19

2
2
2
3
4
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
6

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
*
*
*
1
1
1
*
*
*
0
*
1
0
1
1

2004 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all

No
opinion

 Kerry:
10/26/04
10/23/04
10/17/04
10/3/04
9/26/04
9/26/04
9/8/04
8/29/04
8/1/04
7/25/04
6/20/04

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV
RV

92
91
94
91
85
87
85
89
92
90
85

46
50
45
50
42
39
39
40
56
41
34

47
41
49
42
43
47
46
49
36
49
51

7
9
6
8
13
12
14
11
7
10
15

6
7
5
8
10
9
10
9
6
9
12

1
1
1
*
4
3
4
2
1
1
3

1
1
*
1
1
1
1
*
1
0
0

G.W. Bush:
10/26/04 LV
10/23/04 LV
10/17/04 LV
10/3/04 LV
9/26/04 LV
9/26/04 RV
9/8/04
RV
8/29/04 RV
8/1/04
RV
7/25/04 RV
6/20/04 RV

91
93
93
94
94
91
95
94
90
90
90

55
60
59
57
65
61
63
56
53
49
50

36
33
35
37
29
31
32
38
37
41
40

9
7
6
6
5
8
5
6
10
10
9

8
6
6
4
4
6
4
5
8
8
7

1
1
1
1
1
2
*
1
2
1
2

*
*
1
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
*

2000 election:
--- Enthusiastic -NET
Very
Fairly
Gore:
4/2/00
2/27/00*
3/14/99

45
43
39

17
17
12

---- Not enthusiastic ---NET
Not too
Not at all

28
26
27

55
56
59

G.W. Bush:
4/2/00
50
20
29
50
2/27/00*
50
18
32
50
3/14/99
55
17
38
42
*2/27/00 and previous "possible candidacy"

No
opinion

23
23
24

32
33
35

*
1
1

24
19
21

26
30
21

*
1
3

6. (IF NOT CLINTON OR TRUMP) If the only candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim
Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom
would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton and Kaine) or toward (Trump and
Pence)?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – LIKELY VOTERS

11/6/16
11/5/16
11/4/16
11/3/16
11/2/16
11/1/16
10/31/16
10/30/16
10/29/16
10/28/16
10/27/16
10/26/16

Clinton
49
49
49
49
49
49
48
48
49
49
49
50

Trump
46
45
44
45
46
47
47
47
47
46
46
45

Other
(vol.)
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

Neither
(vol.)
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1

Would not
vote (vol.)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

No
opinion
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
2

 10/25/16
51
44
1
2
1
1
10/24/16
51
43
*
2
2
1
10/23/16
53
41
1
3
2
1
10/22/16
53
42
1
3
1
1
10/13/16
50
46
*
2
1
1
9/22/16
49
47
*
1
2
1
9/8/16*
51
43
*
3
1
1
8/4/16**
51
44
1
2
0
1
7/14/16***
50
43
1
5
0
2
6/23/16
52
41
2
4
0
1
5/19/16
46
49
2
3
0
*
*9/8/16 and later Results based on total sample. Respondents who named Clinton or
Trump in Q3 assigned to initial preference.
**8/4/16 and earlier: If the presidential election were being held today and the
candidates were (Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and
Mike Pence, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Clinton
and Kaine) or toward (Trump and Pence)?
***7/14/16 and prior: “Hillary Clinton, the Democrat” and “Donald Trump, the
Republican.”
Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a
Republican), an independent or what?
11/6/16
11/5/16
11/4/16
11/3/16
11/2/16
11/1/16
10/31/16
10/30/16
10/29/16
10/28/16
10/27/16
10/26/16
10/25/16
10/24/16
10/23/16
10/22/16
10/13/16
9/22/16
9/8/16
8/4/16
7/14/16
6/23/16
5/19/16
3/6/16
1/24/16
12/13/15
11/19/15
10/18/15
9/10/15

LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV
LV

Democrat
37
38
37
37
37
37
37
38
37
37
37
37
36
36
36
36
33
33
34
33
33
36
33
34
34
33
33
30
33

Republican
31
31
31
30
30
30
29
28
27
28
29
28
29
28
27
27
25
23
24
23
23
24
25
25
23
23
23
24
22

Independent
27
27
28
29
29
29
29
29
30
30
29
29
29
29
31
31
33
36
33
36
35
33
35
32
34
34
36
39
35

Other (vol.)
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
6
5
5
5
5
4
5
5
5
4
4
5

No opinion
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
4
3
3
3
3
2
3
5
4
5
4
2
4

*** END***
METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS
This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The
poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and
Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish.

 This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as
they appear in this document. Demographics and religious identity questions are not
shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical
preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by
parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for
respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters.
Results preceded by “LV” indicate results among likely voters.
A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated using Random
Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers,
first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. Roughly 35
percent are completed on landlines while 65 percent of interviews are completed on
cellular phones, including roughly 35 percent among adults in cell phone-only
households.
Question 5 was asked Nov. 4-6 among 973 Clinton supporters and 959 Trump supporters;
those results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 points.
This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the
survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for
differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult
sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among
individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also
weighted to match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age,
education and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey March
Social and Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education.
All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which
is 1.4 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s
deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision
due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a
design effect overstate their precision.
The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which
recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they
produce.
Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post
conducts polls.