STATE OF CALIFORNIA EDMUND G. BROWN JR., Governor PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION 505 VAN NESS AVENUE SAN FRANCISCO, CA 94102-3298 April 6, 2015 FILED 4-06-15 Agenda ID#13887 12:56 PM Alternate to Agenda ID#13794 Ratesetting TO PARTIES OF RECORD IN APPLICATION 14-07-009 Enclosed is the Alternate Proposed Decision of Commissioner Picker to the Proposed Decision of Administrative Law Judge (ALJ) Yacknin previously mailed to you. This cover letter explains the comment and review period and provides a digest of the alternate decision. When the Commission acts on this agenda item, it may adopt all or part of it as written, amend or modify it, or set aside and prepare its own decision. Only when the Commission acts does the decision become binding on the parties. Public Utilities Code Section 311(e) requires that an alternate to a proposed decision or to a decision subject to subdivision (g) be served on all parties, and be subject to public review and comment prior to a vote of the Commission. Parties to the proceeding may file comments on the alternate proposed decision as provided in Article 14 of the Commission’s Rules of Practice and Procedure (Rules), accessible on the Commission’s website at www.cpuc.ca.gov. Pursuant to Rule 14.3 opening comments shall not exceed 15 pages. Comments must be filed pursuant to Rule 1.13 either electronically or in hard copy. Comments should be served on parties to this proceeding in accordance with Rules 1.9 and 1.10. Electronic and hard copies of comments should be sent to ALJ Yacknin at hsy@cpuc.ca.gov and Commissioner Picker’s advisor, Nicolas Chaset, at nlc@cpuc.ca.gov. The current service list for this proceeding is available on the Commission’s website at www.cpuc.ca.gov. /s/ KAREN V. CLOPTON Karen V. Clopton, Chief Administrative Law Judge KVC:jt2 Attachment 150452081 DIGEST OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN ADMINISTRATIVE LAW JUDGE YACKNIN’S PROPOSED DECISION AND THE ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION OF COMMISSIONER PICKER Pursuant to Public Utilities Code Section 311(e), this is the digest of the substantive differences between the proposed decision of Administrative Law Judge Yacknin (mailed on 3/6/2015) and the proposed alternate decision of Commissioner Picker (mailed on 4/6/2015). The alternate proposed decision of Commissioner Picker differs from the ALJ PD in that it conditionally approves SDG&E’s application for authority to enter into a purchase power tolling agreement with Carlsbad Energy Center subject to two conditions. The first condition is that the project contract capacity is reduced from 600 MWs to 500 MWs while otherwise subject to the same per unit price, and other terms and conditions. The second condition is that all of the 100 MWs in residual procurement authority resulting from the amendment of the purchase power tolling agreement must consist of preferred resources or energy storage. 150459556 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION Agenda ID #13887 Alternate to Agenda ID #13794 Ratesetting Decision ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION OF COMMISSIONER PICKER (Mailed 4/6/15) BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA Application of San Diego Gas & Electric Company (U 902 E) for Authority to Partially Fill the Local Capacity Requirement Need Identified in D.14-03-004 and Enter into a Purchase Power Tolling Agreement with Carlsbad Energy Center, LLC. Application 14-07-009 (Filed July 21, 2014) DECISION CONDITIONALLY APPROVING SAN DIEGO GAS & ELECTRIC COMPANY’S APPLICATION FOR AUTHORITY TO ENTER INTO PURCHASE POWER TOLLING AGREEMENT WITH CARLSBAD ENERGY CENTER, LLC 150452470 -1- A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION Table of Contents Title Page DECISION CONDITIONALLY APPROVING SAN DIEGO GAS & ELECTRIC COMPANY’S APPLICATION FOR AUTHORITY TO ENTER INTO PURCHASE POWER TOLLING AGREEMENT WITH CARLSBAD ENERGY CENTER, LLC .................................................................................................. 1  Summary ............................................................................................................................ 2  1.  Procedural Background ........................................................................................... 2  2.  Compliance With Procurement Authority ........................................................... 5  3.  Adjustment for Transmission Projects .................................................................. 7  4.  PPTA Reasonableness ............................................................................................ 10  4.1.  Summary ......................................................................................................... 10  4.2.  Best Fit.............................................................................................................. 12  4.2.1.  Timing ...................................................................................................... 12  4.2.2.  Resource Type ........................................................................................... 19  4.3.  Additional Benefits ........................................................................................ 22  4.4.  Competitiveness of Price, Terms and Conditions ..................................... 25  5.  Cost Allocation Mechanism Treatment .............................................................. 28  6.  CEQA Applicability ............................................................................................... 29  7.  Conclusion ............................................................................................................... 31  8.  Comments on the Alternate Proposed Decision................................................ 31  9.  Assignment of Proceeding .................................................................................... 32  Findings of Fact ............................................................................................................... 32  Conclusions of Law ........................................................................................................ 34  ORDER ........................................................................................................................... 36  -i- A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION DECISION CONDITIONALLY APPROVING SAN DIEGO GAS & ELECTRIC COMPANY’S APPLICATION FOR AUTHORITY TO ENTER INTO PURCHASE POWER TOLLING AGREEMENT WITH CARLSBAD ENERGY CENTER, LLC Summary This decision conditionally approves San Diego Gas & Electric Company’s application for authority to enter into a purchase power tolling agreement with Carlsbad Energy Center, LLC. Approval is subject to the following conditions: 1) The purchase power tolling agreement with Carlsbad Energy Center, LLC is amended to reduce the contract capacity from 600 MW to 500 MW, and is otherwise subject to the same per-unit price, and other terms and conditions; and 2) All of the 100 MW in residual procurement authority resulting from the amendment of the purchase power tolling agreement must consist of preferred resources or energy storage. 1. Procedural Background Decision (D.) 14-03-004, the Commission’s “Track 4” decision in the 2012 long-term procurement planning (LTPP) proceeding (Rulemaking (R.) 12-03-014), authorized San Diego Gas & Electric Company (SDG&E) to procure between 500 and 800 megawatts (MW) of new resources by 2022 to meet the local capacity reliability (LCR) need caused by the retirement of the San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station (SONGS).1 The Track 4 decision required SDG&E to procure at least 200 MW, and up to 100 percent, of this amount from preferred resources (energy efficiency, demand response and renewable resources) or energy storage. The Track 4 decision required SDG&E to issue an all-source request for offers (RFO) for some or all of the identified local capacity 1 The Track 4 decision also determined and authorized Southern California Edison Company (SCE) to procure its LCR need caused by retirement of SONGS. -2- A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION need, and also allowed it to solicit offers through bilateral negotiations, subject to Energy Division approval of its procurement plan.2 SDG&E issued its all-source RFO on September 5, 2014, and received offers on January 5, 2015; it expects to identify a preliminary shortlist of viable offers by mid-May 2015 and file an application for approval of selected contracts in early 2016. (See Ex. 17 and Ex. 20.) By this application, SDG&E seeks authority to enter into a purchase power agreement (Carlsbad PPTA) with the Carlsbad Energy Center, LLC, (Carlsbad Energy Center) to fill 600 MW of its local capacity need as identified in D.14-03004. The Carlsbad PPTA would provide approximately 600 MW of nominal capacity from a natural gas-fired, simple cycle peaking generating facility (Carlsbad project) located adjacent to the existing Encina Power Station in Carlsbad, California. The Carlsbad project would consist of six generating units utilizing General Electric LMS 100 technology with each unit capable of multiple starts and stops per day. The Carlsbad project has an expected on-line date of November 1, 2017, and is expected to provide power for 20 years. The issues to be determined, as identified in the scoping memo for the proceeding, are: 1. Does the application comply with SDG&E’s procurement authority as granted by D.14-03-004? 2. Should the local capacity requirement identified in D.14-03-004 be adjusted to account for transmission projects identified in the 2 The Track 4 decision, D.14-03-004, followed on the heels of D.13-02-015 (the “Track 1” decision in R.12-03-014) and D.13-03-029 (in SDG&E’s Application (A.) 11-05-023) which determined and authorized SCE’s and SDG&E’s respective LCR needs assuming the continued operation of SONGS. -3- A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION California Independent System Operator’s (CAISO) 2013-2014 Transmission Planning Process (TPP)? If so, how? 3. Is the Carlsbad PPTA a reasonable means to meet the 600 MW of identified LCR need that D.14-03-004 determined may be met by conventional resources? This issue includes consideration of the following:  Should the Carlsbad PPTA be required to submit to SDG&E’s RFO process, whether for the entirety of SDG&E’s LCR need or only for the 600 MW identified as permissible to be met by non-preferred resources?  Is the Carlsbad PPTA the best fit for the identified need? This, in turn, encompasses consideration of whether there are better and available alternatives to meet this need.  Does the Carlsbad PPTA provide additional benefits above and beyond the identified need?  Will the Carlsbad PPTA enhance the safe and reliable operation of SDG&E’s electrical services?  Are the price, terms and conditions of the Carlsbad PPTA reasonable?  Are any other commitments made by SDG&E that are contingent on approval of the Carlsbad PPTA reasonable? 4. Is Cost Allocation Methodology (CAM) treatment appropriate ratemaking treatment for the costs of the Carlsbad PPTA? This issue encompasses consideration of whether SDG&E properly complied with its obligation pursuant to D.07-12-052 to establish and consult with a CAM group. 5. Is the Commission required to conduct an environmental review of the Carlsbad project pursuant to the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA)? -4- A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION Evidentiary hearings were held on November 12 and 13, 2014. Parties filed opening briefs on December 10, 2014, and reply briefs on December 22, 2014. SDG&E served late-filed Ex. 203 on January 13, 2015. Parties filed comments on Ex. 20 on January 20, 2015, and reply comments on January 26, 2015, upon which the matter was submitted. 2. Compliance With Procurement Authority As an initial matter, we consider whether D.14-03-004 authorizes SDG&E to bring this application for approval of a bilateral contract to meet some of its procurement authority. We conclude that it does. By its plain terms, D.14-03-004 authorized SDG&E to conduct an all-source solicitation and to pursue contracts on a bilateral basis, subject to the Commission’s Energy Division approval of SDG&E’s procurement process, and to procure up to 600 MW of the authorized LCR need from any resource type including conventional resources. (D.14-03-004 at 1, 4 and passim.) The Energy Division approved SDG&E’s procurement plan, which included going forward concurrently with an all-source solicitation for the entirety of SDG&E’s procurement authority and this application for approval of the Carlsbad PPTA. D.14-08-008, which denied a petition to modify D.14-03-004, affirmed that, as there was no assurance that the Commission would approve this application and as D.14-03-004 requires that 3 Exhibit 20 is a list of the offers, by resource type, megawatt size and on-line date, that were bid into SDG&E’s September 5, 2014, all-source request for offers to meet its procurement requirements. SDG&E cautions that it is providing this information before it has completed conformance checks, reviewed contract template mark‐ups and before preliminary analysis has been completed to examine project viability and to understand the relationship between the various offers, which may include multiple pricing offers for the same underlying resource. Therefore, if one were to try and add up the number of MW associated with a particular product type, such a total would be very misleading (and would vastly overstate the total MWs offered). -5- A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION only 200 MW of SDG&E’s authorized procurement be met with preferred resources, SDG&E’s procurement plan was consistent with D.14-03-004.4 Sierra Club and the California Environmental Justice Alliance (jointly, Sierra Club/CEJA) contend that, by aiming to fulfill the entirety of its LCR need that is not set aside for preferred resources, this application violates D.14-03-004’s requirement that SDG&E issue a meaningful all-source request for offers for “some or all” of its resource requirement, the State’s Loading Order policy that prioritizes preferred resources (energy efficiency, demand response and renewable resources) over fossil-fuel resources, and D.14-03-004’s requirement that the request for offers be technology-neutral. This contention implicates the issue of whether the PPTA should be approved as reasonable, which we discuss below. However, it does not inform the issue of whether SDG&E is authorized to bring this application. As D.14-08-008 affirms, D.14-03-004 authorizes SDG&E to bring this application. Californians for Renewable Energy, Inc. (CARE) contends that the application does not comply with the procurement authority granted in D.14-03-004 because the Carlsbad PPTA allows capacity payments for up to 633 MW which is 33 MW more than D.14-03-004 authorizes SDG&E to procure from non-preferred resources. This contention implicates the issue of whether the terms of the PPTA are reasonable, which we discuss below. However, it does not inform the issue of whether SDG&E is authorized to bring this application. 4 By the same token, Energy Division’s approval of SDG&E’s procurement plan does not prejudge the reasonableness of a bilateral contract in lieu of procurement through an RFO. We address that issue further below. -6- A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION D.4-03-004 authorizes SDG&E to procure up to 600 MW of non-preferred local capacity resources and, with a nameplate capacity of 600 MW, the Carlsbad project reasonably represents 600 MW of local capacity resources. The fact that it is capable of producing more than that when operating at maximum capacity under optimal conditions does not make it a larger facility or reasonably bar this application. 3. Adjustment for Transmission Projects D.14-03-004 authorizes SDG&E to procure between 500 and 800 MW by 2022 to meet local capacity needs stemming from the retirement of SONGS, and requires SDG&E to procure at least 200 MW from preferred resources. D.14-03-004 largely bases its determination of the utilities’ LCR needs on the results of the CAISO’s model of long-term capacity needs in the absence of SONGS. The CAISO’s analysis did not assume new transmission resources that might be identified in the CAISO’s 2013-2014 TPP which, at the time, was anticipated to be completed by March 2014. However, recognizing (among other things) the possibility of such transmission upgrades, D.14-03-004 authorized procurement based on the lower end of the range of results of the CAISO’s analysis, noting as follows: If some level of new transmission resources is identified in the 2013/2014 TPP which would reduce LCR needs in the SONGS service area by 2022 […], the total amount of overall procurement needed in the SONGS service area would be reduced. However, we have already considered the possibility of the Mesa Loop-In going forward in analyzing procurement authorizations. Nevertheless, it is possible that the [2013]/2014 TPP results would mean that fewer of the resources identified in this subjection [regarding the 2013/2014 TPP results] ultimately would be needed. However, this does not mean there would be a need to change or update this decision. Instead, some combination of the following would occur: a) procurement at or near the minimum levels authorized in this -7- A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION decision; b) less procurement or no procurement authorized in future LTPP proceedings; and c) less of a need to delay retirements of [once-through cooling (OTC)] plants. The range of procurement authorized for both utilities in this decision is intended to provide flexibility to meet a variety of circumstances. The 2013/2104 TPP is unlikely to result in major changes to the analysis in this decision. (D.14-03-004 at 116-117.) Recognizing the possibility that the 2013-2014 TPP might nevertheless give cause to adjust the LCR need, the assigned Commissioner’s scoping memo identified it as an issue to be determined in this proceeding. (See Section 2, above.) The CAISO’s 2013-2014 TPP bulk transmission reliability study has been completed. The study modeled SDG&E’s and SCE’s authorized procurement amounts5 -- in part with a hypothetical 558 MW combined cycle generation project in the Carlsbad area by 2018 (Ex. 4 at 3) -- in order to identify transmission and resource deficiencies. The CAISO staff identified four new transmission projects to partially mitigate the identified deficiencies, which have been approved by the CAISO Board of Governors. The modeling shows that, assuming conservative estimates for the transmission projects’ overall effectiveness, there is a residual need of up to 900 MW in the SONGS study area by 2022. (Ex. 4 at 4-5.)6 5 This includes the amounts authorized for SDG&E in D.13-03-029 (in SDG&E’s A.11-05-023), for SCE in the Track 1 decision, D.13-02-015, and for both SDG&E and SCE in the Track 4 decision, D.14-03-004. 6 The CAISO’s preliminary reliability analyses in the 2014-2015 transmission planning cycle, which will assess residual need in light of more current load forecast information and “the specifics of conventional and preferred resources and storage,” indicate that there may not be any residual need. (Ex. 4 at 6.) -8- A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION It is now clear that the LCR need determined in D.14-03-004 should not be reduced based on the new transmission projects identified in the 2013-2014 TPP. This is because the effectiveness and need for the identified transmission projects is based on an analysis that models the generation procurement that was authorized in D.14-03-004, including a rough equivalent of the Carlsbad project. (CAISO reply brief at 3-4.) The CAISO’s explanation is irrefutable, if somewhat circular: The new transmission projects identified in the 2013-2014 TPP study cannot be found to reduce the LCR need determined in D.14-03-004 because the 2013-2014 TPP study assumes the procurement of that LCR need.7 CARE suggests that the 2013-2014 TPP study is unreliable because it allegedly contains different planning assumptions than the modeling assumptions in Track 4 of the 2012 LTPP proceeding. As evidence of its inconsistency, CARE cites to findings of fact and dicta in D.14-03-004 that three of the four identified transmission upgrades -- the Mesa In-Loop project, the Imperial Valley flow controller project, and the additional dynamic reactive support at San Luis Rey -- would reduce LCR needs.8 CARE asserts that this 7 While the Office of Ratepayer Advocates (ORA) and Sierra Club/CEJA suggest that the Imperial Valley flow controller project, which is scheduled to be in service May 2017, should mitigate concerns that there might be a need to delay the retirement of OTC plants (which we discuss in greater detail below), they do not advocate adjustment of SDG&E’s LCR need determination. (ORA opening brief at 9; Sierra Club/CEJA opening brief at 9-10.) We address this argument in the context of the reasonableness of the PPTA outside of an RFO, below. 8 “The Mesa Loop-In project would reduce the amount of gas-fired generation that would need to be sited in the LA Basin by approximately 1,200 MW, or 734 MW if there is no load shedding or additional gas-fired generation in the SDG&E territory.” (D.14-03-004, Finding of Fact 36.) “SDG&E’s proposed 500 kV Direct Current transmission project from Imperial Valley to SONGS would reduce the San Diego generation requirement by 850 MW and would reduce the generation requirement for the LA Basin by 551.” (Id. Finding of Fact 40.) “Therefore, we find that any estimate of whether or how much additional reactive support would change LCR Footnote continued on next page -9- A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION alleged inconsistency demonstrates that the transmission projects will therefore eliminate any need for the Carlsbad PPTA. (CARE opening brief at 6-9.) To the contrary, as cited above, D.14-03-004 determined a range of LCR needs recognizing the possibility of these transmission projects, and concluded that the appropriate response to these transmission projects’ approval is not to revise the LCR need determinations, but rather to procure at the lower end of the range, adopt a lower LCR need determination than otherwise in future LTTP proceedings, and/or avoid the potential need to delay the retirement of OTC units. In any event, as explained above, the new transmission projects address transmission and resource deficiencies that were identified assuming procurement of the LCR need determined in D.14-03-004. They do not reduce it. 4. PPTA Reasonableness 4.1. Summary We generally agree with the Independent Evaluator that “[an] RFO to meet resource needs should be the default option and contracting bilaterally should be the fall[-]back position if unique options exist or if it is not feasible time-wise or based on some other reason to issue an [RFO],” and “implementation of a robust competitive solicitation process is the best means to assess the availability of generation options and competitive market prices.” (Ex. 1, App. D (“Report of the Independent Evaluator”) at 32, 39.) Here we believe that both elements cited by the Independent Evaluator as justifying bilateral contracting are present. The Carlsbad project is a unique option that has the support of the city where it would be constructed and is needs to be speculative, and will not make any adjustment to the ISO’s study for this purpose.” (Id. at 33-34.) - 10 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION ready to move forward with construction once the necessary regulatory approvals are obtained. Rejection of the proposed contract now, even without prejudice, could result in a complete failure of the project or an increase in the price per MWh. In any case, the result is uncertainty and risk. Likewise, it may not be feasible time-wise to complete the RFO and get the selected projects on line before the reliability need becomes critical. SDG&E estimates that it could file an application for approval of RFO projects in the first quarter of 2016. Assuming normal application processing times, a decision is unlikely before the end of 2016. That would leave only one year before the scheduled closure of Encina at the end of 2017. While a few small projects might be able to reach commercial availability in that amount of time, there is a real risk that a reliability gap could occur that threatens the continued provision of reliable electric service in the SONGS area (see discussion of Best Fit – Timing, § 4.2.1, below). Additionally, there is a risk of significant costs to ratepayers if the proposed contract is rejected, even without prejudice. (CAISO reply brief, at 6-7; Carlsbad Energy Center opening brief at 18; Ex. 3 at 8-9.) At present, the price of energy per MWh from the Carlsbad Energy Center, and by extension the cost borne by ratepayers, is on par with competitive purchase power alternatives. That said, we do not find that the full 600 MW capacity of the proposed Carlsbad Project is needed by 2018. A 500 MW project would address our reliability concerns, while supporting the goal of meeting the state’s OTC policies and satisfying a significant portion of the need identified in D.14-03-004 from preferred resources and energy storage. Therefore, based on: (1) the fit to the identified need, (2) the additional benefits provided by the PPTA, (3) the reasonableness of the price per MWh, terms and conditions of the PPTA, and (4) the safety and reliability concerns addressed by the PPTA, we find it - 11 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION reasonable to approve the Carlsbad PPTA conditioned on the reduction of the capacity of the proposed facility from 600 MW to 500 MW subject to the same per-unit price and other terms and conditions. The 100 MW in residual procurement authority resulting from the reduction of the Carlsbad PPTA must consist of preferred resources or energy storage. 4.2. Best Fit 4.2.1. Timing The main argument for contracting bilaterally rather than awaiting the results of an RFO is that “delaying action on this Application to await the results of SDG&E’s all-source RFO likely will jeopardize the timely retirement of the Encina [Power Station] and/or create a significant reliability gap.” (SDG&E opening brief at 12.) The Encina Power Station (Encina) has a nameplate capacity of 950 MW and uses OTC technology and is subject to the State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB) Statewide Water Quality Control Policy on the Use of Coastal and Estuarine Waters for Power Plant Cooling (OTC Policy), which requires Encina to demonstrate compliance with stringent water use standards by December 31, 2017. Encina’s compliance path is to retire all OTC units on or before the deadline. SDG&E and the CAISO maintain that the Encina retirement will create a potential reliability issue in the event that it is not immediately replaced with generation facilities at or near its location. The Carlsbad PPTA has an on-line date of November 1, 2017, which would avoid any such reliability gap. In contrast, SDG&E anticipates that it will identify a preliminary shortlist of offers in response to its RFO mid-May 2015 and file an application for approval of its results in the first quarter of 2016, making it unlikely any such results will match the Carlsbad PPTA’s on-line date. (Ex. 20.) - 12 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION SDG&E states, “Ultimately, the determination regarding the appropriate timeline for new resource procurement will require balancing of the State’s policies regarding retirement of OTC facilities, competitive procurement and system reliability.” (SDG&E opening brief at 14.) However, SDG&E’s statement of the balancing equation omits the State’s policy regarding the Loading Order: Consistent with [Pub. Util. Code § 454.5(b)(9)(C)], the Commission has held that all utility procurement must be consistent with the Commission’s established Loading Order, or prioritization. The Loading Order, first set forth in the Commission’s 2003 Energy Action Plan, was presented in the Energy Action Plan II adopted by this Commission and the California Energy Commission (CEC) in October 2005. The Loading Order, which has been reiterated in multiple forums (including D.12-01-033 in the predecessor to this docket, and D.13-02-015 in this docket), requires the utilities to procure resources in a specific order: “The ‘Loading Order’ established that the state, in meeting its energy needs, would invest first in energy efficiency and demand-side resources, followed by renewable resources, and only then in clean conventional electricity supply.” (Energy Action Plan 2008 Update at 1.) In the 2008 Energy Action Plan Update at 20, the Commission further interpreted this directive to mean that the [investor- owned utilities (IOUs)] are obligated to follow the Loading Order on an ongoing basis. Once procurement targets are achieved for preferred resources, the IOUs are not relieved of their duty to follow the Loading Order. In D.07-12-052 at 12, the Commission stated that once demand response and energy efficiency targets are reached, “the utility is to procure renewable generation to the fullest extent possible.” The obligation to procure resources according to the Loading Order is ongoing. [D.12-01-033 at 19.] In D.12-01-033 at 21, the Commission recognized that procuring additional preferred resources is more difficult than “just signing up for more conventional fossil fuel generation,” but consistency with the Loading Order and advancing California’s policy of fossil fuel - 13 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION reduction demand strict compliance with the loading order. (D.14-03-004 at 13-14, footnotes omitted.) Compliance with the Loading Order is a guiding principle for procurement, but as the Track 4 decision states, the procurement of preferred resources must be “balanced by ensuring that grid operations are not potentially compromised by excessive reliance on intermittent resources and resources with uncertain ability to meet LCR needs.” (Id. at Finding of Fact 83.) Indeed, Public Utilities Code Section 454.5(b)(9)(C) mandates that procured preferred resources are “cost effective, reliable and feasible.” To be clear, D.14-03-004 authorized SDG&E to procure from 500 MW up to 800 MW by 2022, of which at least 200 MW must be -- and up to 100 percent may be -- preferred resources. (D.14-03-004 at 2.) If approved, the Carlsbad PPTA for 600 MW of conventional generation resources would categorically preclude any procurement of preferred resources beyond the mandatory minimum. It would relieve SDG&E of the duty “to procure renewable generation to the fullest extent possible” once it achieves the 200 MW minimum target for preferred resources, as mandated by the Commission. Thus, a better statement of the fundamental issue before us is whether the benefit of a competitive procurement process and its potential for procuring additional preferred resources beyond the minimum required by D.14-03-004 outweighs the risk of delaying Encina’s timely retirement and/or creating a reliability gap upon its retirement. We conclude that it does not, based on the reliability concerns raised in this proceeding. However, the tension between system reliability and procuring additional preferred resources is mitigated if the approval of the Carlsbad PPTA is conditioned upon a reduction of the capacity from 600 MW to 500 MW, with the residual 100 MW procurement authority limited to preferred resources. This - 14 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION reduction coupled with the additional 100 MW available to only preferred resources would address system reliability concerns while still achieving the State’s policies regarding retirement of OTC facilities, competitive procurement, and the loading order. In determining SDG&E’s LCR need for the planning horizon 2011 to 2020, the Commission carefully considered and accounted for the anticipated retirement of the Encina OTC units. Starting with the results of the CAISO’s OTC model of its recommended base case scenario,9 D.13-03-029 subtracted forecasted amounts of uncommitted energy efficiency, demand response, and combined heat and power resources, and determined an LCR need of 343 MW to account for the 2018 OTC retirements, with the assumption that SONGS would remain in operation. In so doing, D.13-03-029 acknowledged that the OTC’s modeling assumptions reflected the CAISO’s statutory responsibility to consider, for transmission planning purposes, only those resources that are certain to materialize, but emphasized that the Commission’s statutory responsibility requires us to ensure just and reasonable rates. (D.13-03-029 at 9.) Shortly thereafter, the Commission authorized SDG&E to enter into a PPTA with the Pio Pico Energy Center to meet this authorized need and, in so doing, rejected efforts to revisit its previous need determination. (D.14-02-016 at 5 and Conclusion of Law 1, “Absent an unforeseen emergency situation that requires a 9 This is the same OTC model used to determine SCE’s LCR need in the Track 1 decision. (D.13-02-015 at 14-15.) The OTC study evaluated the LCR for 2021 under the four Renewables Portfolio Standard (RPS) resource additions scenarios that were developed in the 2010 LTPP: the cost-constrained scenario, with 909 MW of RPS additions in the SDG&E service territory by 2020 (which the CAISO recommended as its base case); the trajectory scenario, with 508 MW; the environmentally-constrained scenario, with 317 MW; and the time-constrained scenario, with 74 MW. (See D.13-03-029, fn. 4.) - 15 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION patent response, the public interest in regularly conducting and acting on a sound analysis of long-term need for procurement outweighs the unavoidable risk that the future will not exactly adhere to our forecasts.”) When the Commission subsequently reviewed SDG&E’s (and SCE’s) incremental local capacity needs for the planning horizon 2012 to 2022 stemming from the retirement of SONGS, it directed SDG&E to procure its authorized additional resources by 2022, but did not make any specific findings of need for the intervening years. Nonetheless, SONGS has already shut down and Encina is scheduled to shut down at the end of 2017, so it is reasonable that some intermediate need will exist, albeit perhaps at less than the full 800 MW authorized, prior to 2022. SDG&E, the CAISO, and Carlsbad Energy Center point to the statement in D.14-03-004 that “[p]rocurement needs may become critical as early as 2018…” as evidence that the Commission recognized an urgent need to procure new resources that overcomes the default RFO option. (D.14-03-004 at 113 and Finding of Fact 91.) But the decision also states that “[b]oth SCE and SDG&E have sufficient supplies to meet projected demands in the SONGS service area through at least 2018, even with the unexpected early retirement of SONGS.” (D.14-03-004, Finding of Fact 5.) These statements can be reconciled by recognizing that Encina’s retirement in 2018 is the key factor in moving from a situation of sufficient supplies to one where reliability needs may become critical. The CAISO argues that its Track 4 testimony (Ex. 31) and its 2013-2014 TPP study (Ex. 32) demonstrate a 2018 need for generation in the Carlsbad area. (CAISO reply brief at 2-3.) The Commission previously considered the CAISO’s Track 4 testimony in reaching its Track 4 decision and found that “[p]rocurement - 16 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION needs may become critical as early as 2018…” We see no basis for a contrary finding here. We recognize the limitations of forecasting long-term procurement needs and the reliability risk that is posed by miscalculating and under-procuring future needs. To this, Sierra Club/CEJA, ORA, Protect Our Communities, and Shell Energy North America (US), L.P. (Shell) counter that, to the extent the Encina OTC retirement were to cause a system reliability gap, the SWRCB, pursuant to CAISO recommendation, can extend the operation of Encina beyond its December 31, 2017, OTC compliance date while SDG&E completes its all-source RFO. Specifically, Section 2(b)(2)(b) of the OTC regulations allows for compliance date extensions of more than 90 days, as follows: If CAISO determines that continued operation of an existing power plant is necessary to maintain the reliability of the electric system, CAISO shall provide written notification to the State Water Board, the Regional Water Board with jurisdiction over the existing power plant, and the [Statewide Advisory Committee on Cooling Water Intake Structures]. If the Executive Directors of the CEC and CPUC do not object in writing within 10 days to CAISO’s determination, the notification provided pursuant to this paragraph will suspend the final compliance date for 90 days. During the 90-day time suspension or within 90 days of receiving a written notification from CAISO, the State Water Board shall conduct a hearing in accordance with paragraph (d) to determine whether to suspend the final compliance date for more than the original 90 days pending, if necessary, full evaluation of amendments to final compliance dates contained in the policy. The CAISO and Carlsbad Energy Center counter there is no assurance that the CAISO would recommend or the SWRCB would adopt an extension of the Encina compliance deadline. (CAISO opening brief at 10; Carlsbad Energy Center opening brief at 18-19.) The CAISO further objects that an extension - 17 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION could potentially be costly to ratepayers, especially if necessary for a long period of time. (CAISO reply brief at 6-7.)10 We weigh the risk of a reliability gap and/or delay in the Encina OTC retirement (and its potential ratepayer costs) against the possibility that SDG&E might be able to procure more than the minimum amount of an additional 200 MW of preferred resources and storage as a result of its current RFO. On balance, we find that the public interest in awaiting the results of SDG&E’s RFO is outweighed by reliability, safety and cost risk. The Track 4 decision already assumed 338 MW of future energy efficiency,11 in addition to the 200 MW of new preferred resources that the company was directed to acquire. (D.14-03-004 at 80, n.169.) While we remain optimistic that the utility can meet and even exceed these goals, we cannot base the future of safe and reliable electric service in southern California on hope. Furthermore, although CAISO may move to suspend compliance for 90 days, there is no reasonable certainty that the SWRCB will continue to suspend OTC compliance beyond those 90 days. A failure to extend operations of Encina beyond those 90 days could result in serious reliability problems. Nonetheless, to ensure that opportunities for preferred resource and energy storage procurement are not lost, we condition approval of the Carlsbad PPTA upon a reduction from 600 MW to 500 MW and mandate that the residual 10 Carlsbad Energy Center claims that Encina has reached the end of its useful life, and states that the capital improvement planning and maintenance plans for Encina are predicated on retirement by December 31, 2017. (Carlsbad Energy Center opening brief at 18; Ex. 3 at 8-9.) 11 Additionally, it assumes 30 MW of rooftop solar, 20 MW of Combined Heat and Power resources and 20 MW of dependable peak reduction associated with local renewable generation. (D.14-03-004 at 80, n.169.) - 18 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION 100 MW procurement authority be limited to preferred resources and energy storage. This will address near-term reliability concerns, while advancing the state’s clean energy goals by allowing SDG&E to pursue 100 MW of preferred resources and energy storage in addition to the 200 MW required in the Track 4 decision. 4.2.2. Resource Type SDG&E argues that preferred resources are not the best resource type for fulfilling its any-source procurement authority, first, because SDG&E’s LCR need determination assumed that it would also add 408 MW of preferred resources beyond what currently exists in its portfolio and, second, because (as it testified in the Track 4 proceeding), SDG&E requires a significant amount of its authorized procurement to be able to integrate renewable resources, for which fully dispatchable conventional resources are near ideal. (SDG&E opening brief at 16-17.) SDG&E maintains that other gas-fueled generation resources would likely take seven or more years to complete, making it unreasonable to await the results of the RFO in favor of the Carlsbad PPTA. (SDG&E opening brief at 17-19.) SDG&E’s RFO has produced a robust number of offers for preferred resources and energy storage which could potentially meet some, if not all, of the 300 MW to 600 MW of SDG&E’s LCR need that may be procured from any source. (Ex. 20.) However, we must acknowledge SDG&E’s important caveats regarding the viability of these offers: SDG&E has not yet completed conformance checks or analyzed project viability; the offers include multiple offers for different configurations of the same project; and some offers that include more than one technology may be duplicate offers. (Id.) Thus, this limited evidence does not lead us to presume that the RFO will produce reliable, - 19 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION feasibly available and cost-effective preferred resource options to meet SDG&E’s procurement requirement beyond the 200 MW minimum of preferred resources and energy storage. For various reasons, CARE contends that the Carlsbad PPTA is not a reasonable means to meet the 600 MW of LCR need that may be met by conventional resources. First, CARE contends the Carlsbad PPTA would be rejected from the RFO as nonconforming because it exceeds the maximum allowable capacity at 630 MW and because it does not conform to certain conditions for participation in the RFO, e.g., that a repowered facility submit evidence that it has received all interconnection agreements and permits, and that conventional bids must offer a specified minimum guaranteed availability factor. (CARE opening brief at 9.) We reject CARE’s contention with regard to project capacity for the reasons discussed previously. We reject CARE’s contention with regard to the Carlsbad PPTA’s conformance with the requirements of SDG&E’s all-source RFO, first, because this is not a bid into the RFO and therefore its adherence to them is of marginal relevance, and second, because the referenced RFO requirements are not in evidence,12 and their meaning is not capable of immediate and accurate determination by resort to the referenced source document.13 Next, CARE, as well as Shell and World Business Academy, contend that the Carlsbad project peaker units are not the optimal resource type to meet SDG&E’s LCR need. Shell contends that other resources, including pumped 12 CARE merely offers a footnote with a page cite and a link purportedly to the source document. (CARE opening brief, fn. 24 and 25.) 13 SDG&E contests CARE’s characterization of requirements. (SDG&E reply brief, fn. 44.) - 20 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION hydro storage, provide regulation, provide better renewable resource integration because they offer VAR support and ancillary services in addition to the ramping capability offered by the Carlsbad project. (Shell opening brief at 2.) CARE contends that the 540 MW combined-cycle Carlsbad project that was previously permitted by the CEC is a better alternative to the 600MW single-cycle Carlsbad project because it has fast start and fast ramping along with substantially lower greenhouse gas emissions and lower operating costs than the single cycle project. (CARE opening brief at 12-13.) World Business Academy contends that a similar facility comprised of fuel cells, particularly fuel cells running on hydrogen, are a better choice from an environmental perspective than the Carlsbad project’s gas turbines. (World Business Academy opening brief at 8.) However, as between non-preferred resources, the test of reasonableness is not whether the resource is the least polluting, or the best able to integrate renewable resources, or the least expensive. Furthermore, it need not be the optimum act, but must be within the spectrum of reasonable acts. (Re Southern California Edison Company [D.90-09-088] 37 CPUC2d 488, 499-500.) The attributes of the Carlsbad facility resource technology, along with the additional benefits of the Carlsbad PPTA as discussed below, allow us to conclude that the Carlsbad PPTA and its technology are a reasonable means of meeting SDG&E’s LCR need. Lastly, the Commission has become aware of the potential for the proposed LMS-100 units to provide even greater benefits through the addition of a clutch inserted between the turbine and the generator unit, which would allow the unit to operate in synchronous condenser mode (without the burning of fuel) when positive MW output is not required. This minor modification could offer valuable VAR support in an area of the grid that otherwise requires it. - 21 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION Therefore, we direct SDG&E to evaluate the feasibility and cost-effectiveness of this clutch technology. 4.3. Additional Benefits SDG&E claims that the Carlsbad PPTA provides additional benefits including reliability benefits by virtue of being able to meet SDG&E’s LCR need by 2018, renewable resources integration benefit due to its flexible dispatchability, and locational benefits by virtue of being highly compatible with the existing transmission system and on previously disturbed land. (SDG&E opening brief at 2-3.)14 We acknowledge these attributes as being beneficial, as we discuss below, based on the fact that its price per MWh, terms and conditions are therefore otherwise reasonable, we conclude that these additional benefits support approval of the Carlsbad PPTA outside of the RFO process. SDG&E claims that the Carlsbad PPTA will provide the additional benefit of enabling Encina to timely retire and replace its older, less-efficient generation facilities with more efficient and less polluting technology. (Id.) We recognize the incremental risk reduction to be a benefit of the Carlsbad PPTA’s early on-line date. Our approval of a 500 MW facility still allows for the benefits discussed above, but also allows for the procurement of an additional 100 MW of preferred resources and storage. CARE and Sierra Club/CEJA take issue with SDG&E’s claim that the Carlsbad PPTA provides an additional benefit by replacing the Encina units with less polluting technology, noting that the purpose of SDG&E’s procurement 14 SDG&E also claims that the Carlsbad PPTA provides the added locational benefit of being located in the San Diego LCR area. (Id.) This attribute is required, by definition, of all of SDG&E’s LCR need procurement and we do not recognize it as a benefit relative to alternatives. - 22 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION authorized by D.14-03-004 is to replace SONGS’ criteria pollutant-free baseload generation (and, CARE adds, that SONGS had no minimum operating requirement, while the Carlsbad project is subject to operating constraints pursuant to its air permit). CARE and Sierra Club/CEJA therefore contend that, contrary to providing an environmental benefit, the Carlsbad PPTA would significantly increase California’s carbon emissions. (CARE opening brief at 12; Sierra Club/CEJA opening brief at 13-14.) We reject both arguments. The issue is whether the Carlsbad PPTA provides an environmental benefit relative to the continued operation of the existing Encina plant, and we find that it clearly does so. CARE contends that the Carlsbad project is not capable of achieving its contractual on-line date because it is expected to have a 23-month construction period so it will not be available on November 1, 2017, if construction is not commenced in November of 2015. (CARE opening brief at 11.) CARE’s argument and the evidence that it cites in its support do not demonstrate the Carlsbad project’s inability to meet its November 1, 2017, on-line date, while Carlsbad Energy Center offers persuasive testimony and evidence to the contrary. (See, e.g., Ex. 2 at 6-8; Carlsbad Energy Center/Piantka, RT 236:11-18.)15 SDG&E claims that the Carlsbad PPTA provided the added benefit of being competitively priced. We address this issue separately below with respect to the issue of the competitiveness of price per MWh, terms and conditions. 15 Carlsbad Energy Center, in its opening brief, also references a December 9, 2014, letter from the CEC to Carlsbad Energy Center that purportedly supports its claimed ability to meet the November 1, 2017, on-line date. (Carlsbad Energy Center opening brief, fn. 63.) This document is not in the record and we do not give it any weight. - 23 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION SDG&E claims that the Carlsbad PPTA provides the added benefit of the City of Carlsbad’s support for the project. We agree, as such support is not easy to find in the current environment. SDG&E claims that the Carlsbad PPTA provides the added benefit of enabling the relocation and construction of a new service center. However, as SDG&E states in its testimony, these activities are not encompassed in the Carlsbad PPTA. Rather, they are part of a settlement between SDG&E, the City of Carlsbad, and Cabrillo Power I, LLC,16 pursuant to which the City of Carlsbad will help SDG&E find a site for a new service center, SDG&E will transfer properties including the site of the existing center to the City, NRG will pay the costs of the new service center as well as demolish the Encina facility and remediate the site, and Carlsbad Energy Facility commits not to run the Carlsbad project between midnight and 6:00 a.m. except in case of a system emergency or as otherwise required by the CAISO tariff. (Ex. 1 at 12-14.) SDG&E anticipates that the utility property transfers contemplated in this settlement will be subject to a subsequent Commission proceeding pursuant to Pub. Util. Code § 851 and, accordingly, asserts that it is premature to consider the contemplated utility property transfers in this application. (SDG&E opening brief at 24-25.) As the claimed benefit of a new service center is contingent on the contemplated utility property transfers, it is likewise premature to consider it in this application. 16 Cabrillo Power I LLC is an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of NRG and an affiliate of Carlsbad Energy Center. (Ex. 3 at.1.) - 24 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 4.4. ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION Competitiveness of Price, Terms and Conditions While an RFO is the best means to assess the availability of generation options and competitive market prices, it is by definition necessary to resort to other comparisons and evaluations to assess the reasonableness of a bilateral contract. In this case, we have the report of the Independent Evaluator who assessed the Carlsbad PPTA contract provisions, pricing, consistency with regulatory policy and other market and competitive considerations in conformance with the Commission’s direction for such reports. (See D.04-12-048, D.06-05-039, D.06-07-029, D.07-12-052, D.08-11-008, D.09-06-050, and D.10-07-042.) The Independent Evaluator expresses concern regarding the inability to assess the availability of generation options (including reducing the size of the Carlsbad project) and competitive market prices outside of an RFO. However, accepting the need to procure new generation by 2018, and considering the pricing for the recent Pio Pico Energy Center PPTA as well as costs for comparable generating units in the ISO New England, capacity costs in the New York ISO, and the CEC’s May 2014 draft staff report entitled “Estimated Cost of New Renewable and Fossil Generation in California” (Ex. 1, App. D at 30-32), the Independent Evaluator concludes that the Carlsbad PPTA generally balances risk and adequately protects the interests of customers (Ex. 1, App. D at 39-40).17 17 The Independent Evaluator conducted an economic price analysis by comparing the pricing of the Carlsbad PPTA to the pricing for the PPTA for the Pio Pico Energy Center (which uses the same technology as the Carlsbad project), as well as costs for comparable generating units in the ISO New England, capacity costs in the New York ISO, and the CEC’s May 2014 draft staff Footnote continued on next page - 25 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION We agree and therefore find that the price per MWh, term and conditions of the Carlsbad PPTA are reasonable. However, in an effort to balance the reliability risks with the public interest in achieving our clean energy goals, we will condition approval of the Carlsbad PPTA on a reduction of the capacity from 600 MW to 500 MW, subject to the same per-unit price and other terms and conditions. Shell argues that the Carlsbad PPTA price must be compared against the prices for local resource adequacy capacity cited in the Energy Division’s “2012 Resource Adequacy Report” (issued April 2014.) (Shell opening brief at 14.)18 SDG&E counters that this is not a fair comparison because the report addresses only selected existing facilities that do not have long-term purchase power agreements, not new facilities; and because the Carlsbad PPTA price includes payment for capacity, energy, ancillary services and resource adequacy benefits, not just resource adequacy benefits. (SDG&E reply brief at 19, citing to SDG&E/Baerman, RT 56:24-57:3 and 59:4-10.) Shell offers no reply to SDG&E’s contention, and we are persuaded by SDG&E that it would not be a meaningful comparison. CARE takes issue with assessing the price competitiveness of the Carlsbad PPTA on the basis of its price comparison with the Pio Pico Energy Center PPTA because the two PPTAs have significant differences in operating restrictions and performance guarantees which limit the value of the Carlsbad PPTA compared report entitled “Estimated Cost of New Renewable and Fossil Generation in California.” (Ex. 1, App. D at 30-32.) 18 We take official notice of this report, as the cited information is not reasonably subject to dispute and is capable of immediate and accurate determination by resort to sources of reasonably indisputable accuracy. (Evid. Code § 452(h).) - 26 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION to the Pio Pico PPTA. (CARE opening brief at 14-17.) SDG&E counters that the appropriate comparison of the two PPTAs is of their levelized costs taking into account the capacity payments, fixed operations and maintenance, startup costs and escalation and that, on this basis, the PPTAs are comparably priced. (SDG&E reply brief, fn. 55; Ex. 9 at 9.) Neither CARE nor SDG&E makes a persuasive case. In any event, the Independent Evaluator’s economic analysis purports to take into account contract pricing as well as the operational parameters of the Carlsbad PPTA. (Ex. 1, App. D at 27.) CARE contends that the Carlsbad PPTA is not a reasonable means to meet the 600 MW of LCR need that may be met by conventional resources because it would be rejected from the RFO as nonconforming because it exceeds the maximum allowable capacity at 630 MW and because it does not conform to other conditions for participation in the RFO, e.g., that a repowered facility submit evidence that it has received all interconnection agreements and permits, and that conventional bids must offer a specified minimum guaranteed availability factor. (CARE opening brief at 9.) We reject CARE’s contention with regard to project capacity for the reasons discussed previously. We decline to evaluate CARE’s contention with regard to its conformance with the requirements of SDG&E’s all-source RFO because the referenced RFO requirements are not in evidence,19 and their meaning is not capable of immediate and accurate determination by resort to the referenced source document.20 19 CARE merely offers a footnote with a page cite and a link purportedly to the source document. (CARE opening brief, fn. 24 and 25.) 20 SDG&E contests CARE’s characterization of requirements. (SDG&E reply brief, fn. 44.) - 27 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 5. ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION Cost Allocation Mechanism Treatment Pursuant to Pub. Util. Code § 3654.1(c)(2)(A) and (B), if the Commission determines that new generation is required to meet local or system area reliability needs for the benefit of all customers in a utility’s service are, the utility must allocate the net capacity costs for the new capacity to all benefitting customers including direct access, community choice aggregation, and bundled load customers. The Commission adopted the CAM in D.06-07-029, and refined it in D.11-05-005, as a mechanism for allocating such net capacity costs to all benefitting customers. D.14-03-004 and D.14-11-027 definitively addressed the question of whether the net capacity costs associated with procurement authorized pursuant to D.14-03-004 should be allocated to all consumers. In D.14-03-004, the Commission found that “the procurement authorized in this decision is for the purpose of ensuring local reliability in the SONGS service are for the benefit of all utility distribution customers in that area,” and further concluded that “procurement authorized in this decision meets the criteria of § 365.1(cc)(2) (A)-(B) for the purposes of cost allocation.” (D.14-03-004, Finding of Fact 92 and Conclusion of Law 50.) In D.14-11-027, which rejected a petition to modify D.14-03-004 to provide that the final determination about whether to allocate costs to all customers would be made in specific applications for procurement approval, the Commission affirmed that the clear intention of D.14-03-004 is that the costs of all resources procured pursuant to the procurement authority granted by that decision be allocated to all customers. As D.14-11-027 explained, however, D.14-03-004 recognized that the CAM was developed for generation resources and might not be an appropriate cost allocator for some preferred resources. While the cost of such resources must nevertheless be allocated to all - 28 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION customers, D.14-11-027 clarified that “the actual mechanism utilized to accomplish this could be CAM or another mechanism. The question of appropriate mechanism remains to be determined in applications pursuant to D.14-03-004.” (D.14-11-027 at 9-10.) SDG&E proposes the CAM as the mechanism for allocating the net capacity costs associated with the Carlsbad PPTA to all consumers. No party recommends an alternative mechanism, and we find no reason to adopt one.21 6. CEQA Applicability The Center for Biological Diversity (CBD) and Sierra Club/CEJA contend that a contract for purchase power by the regulated entities is a “project” pursuant to CEQA, and that the Commission cannot make a discretionary decision on whether to approve the contract unless and until environmental review has been completed. To the contrary, CEQA Guidelines, long-standing case law, and Commission precedent all make clear that Commission review of purchase power contracts does not trigger CEQA. A contract for purchase power by a regulated entity is not a “project” pursuant to CEQA. CEQA defines a "project" as "[a]ctivities involving the issuance to a person of a lease, permit, license, certificate, or other entitlement for use by one or more public agencies." (Public Resources Code § 21065.) 21 Shell contends that, as SDG&E’s LCR need stems from the need to replace SONGS, and as SONGS provided energy and capacity to SDG&E’s bundled customers, the costs of the Carlsbad PPTA should be charged exclusively to SDG&E’s bundled customers. (Shell opening brief at 15-16.) As discussed here, D.14-03-004 squarely addressed and rejected that position, and we will not revisit the issue. CARE contends that the CAM should not be applied to the 33 MW of the Carlsbad project’s operating capacity in excess of its 600 MW nameplate capacity. (CARE opening brief at 20.) As discussed previously, we reject CARE’s position that the Carlsbad PPTA exceeds SDG&E’s allowable procurement amount. - 29 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION Commission approval of a purchase power contract does not confer a lease, permit, license, certificate, or any other entitlement on the seller. Rather, it is an assurance that the utility will recover through its rates the costs that it incurs under the contract. It is well-settled that “[s]uch a ratemaking order is not ‘project’ under CEQA. All Commission orders concluding that CEQA does not apply to a ratemaking proceeding have been upheld. (E.g., Samuel C. Palmer, III v. Public Utilities Commission SF# 23980, writ denied 5/10/79.)" (D.86-10-044 at 16-17, 1986 Cal. PUC LEXIS 642, 16-17 (Cal. PUC 1986).)22 Likewise, the Commission is not a "responsible agency" under CEQA when it approves purchase power contracts. A "responsible agency" is defined as a public agency other than the lead agency which has discretionary approval power over the project. (Public Resources Code § 21069.) While the Commission has considerable discretion over whether to approve a purchase power contract, it does not have power to approve or deny the underlying generation project. The project underlying the purchase power contract could proceed regardless of the Commission's decision. (Id. at 16-18.)23 22 In its reply brief, CBD challenges this precedent as being stale because, “[f]or example, in 1986, prior to deregulation, purchase power agreements did not play the same role they do in today’s market as investor owned utilities owned much of their own generating facilities.” (CBD reply brief at 3.) CBD does not explain how that fact changes the Commission’s role and responsibilities under CEQA, and none is apparent to us. CBD goes on to say, “Over the past three decades, there has also been significant changes made to the jurisdiction of the Commission and the CEC and a large body of applicable CEQA precedent has been developed.” (Ibid.) CBD does not identify any specific changes to the Commission’s and CEC’s jurisdiction or to CEQA precedent since 1986, and none that would be relevant to this issue are apparent to us. 23 CBD also contends that the application is incomplete for lacking a Preliminary Environmental Assessment (PEA) as required by Rule 2.4 of the Commission’s Rules of Practice and Procedure. To the contrary, Rule 2.4 requires a PEA in applications for approval of “projects” as defined Footnote continued on next page - 30 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION This is not the first time that CBD and one of CEJA’s allied organizations, the Center for a Better Environment (CBE),24 have contended that Commission review and approval of purchase power contracts is subject to CEQA. CBE made these same arguments in Pacific Gas and Electric Company’s A.09-09-021 for approval of the results of its request for offers, and the Commission rejected them. (D.10-07-045 at 21.) CBD made these same arguments with regard to SDG&E’s Advice Letter 1963-E requesting approval of a renewable resource procurement contract, and the Commission rejected them. (Resolution E-4171.) We find no cause to deviate from our precedent. 7. Conclusion We conditionally approve the application for approval of the Carlsbad PPTA subject to a 100 MW reduction in the capacity requested in the agreement. The entire 100 MW in residual procurement authority resulting from the reduction of the PPTA must consist of preferred resources or energy storage. We find that a 500 MW facility coupled with the additional 100 MW of procurement dedicated to preferred resources and energy storage will address system reliability concerns while still achieving the State’s policies regarding retirement of OTC facilities, competitive procurement, and the loading order. 8. Comments on the Alternate Proposed Decision The alternate proposed decision was mailed to the parties in accordance with Section 311 of the Public Utilities Code and comments were allowed under Rule 14.3 of the Commission’s Rules of Practice and Procedure. Comments were under CEQA. As a purchase power contract is not a “project,” this application does not trigger Rule 2.4. 24 See CEJA Notice of Intent to Claim Intervenor Compensation, filed October 3, 2014. - 31 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION filed on __________________, and reply comments were filed on _______________________ by __________________________. 9. Assignment of Proceeding Michel P. Florio is the assigned Commissioner and Hallie Yacknin is the assigned Administrative Law Judge (ALJ) and presiding officer in this proceeding. Findings of Fact 1. The Energy Division approved SDG&E’s procurement plan, which included going forward concurrently with an all-source solicitation for the entirety of SDG&E’s procurement authority and this application for approval of the Carlsbad PPTA. 2. The effectiveness and need for the new transmission projects identified in the 2013/2014 TPP study is based on an analysis that models the generation procurement that was authorized in D.14-03-004, including a rough equivalent of the Carlsbad project. 3. The SONGS Units 2 and 3 permanently closed in June 2013. 4. Notwithstanding the Commission’s LCR need determinations in D.13-03-029 and D.14-03-004, the potential for miscalculating and under-procuring future procurement needs upon the retirement of the Encina OTC units poses a risk of a reliability gap and/or delay in the Encina OTC retirement. 5. To the extent that the Encina OTC retirement were to cause a system reliability gap, it is possible that the SWRCB, pursuant to CAISO recommendation, could adopt an extension of its operation beyond its December 31, 2017, OTC compliance date, but there is no certainty that the SWRCB would adopt an extension. - 32 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION 6. In the event the SWRCB adopted an extension, the duration of the extension is uncertain. 7. An extension of the Encina retirement could result in significant ratepayer costs and environmental impacts due to the continued use of OTC. 8. A reliability need could occur as early as 2018. 9. Approval of the full 600 MW Carlsbad PPTA could preclude SDG&E from procuring preferred resources and energy storage in excess of the required minimum 200 MW. 10. Reduction of the Carlsbad PPTA to 500 MW while mandating that the 100 MW of residual procurement authority be limited to preferred resources and storage would address reliability concerns and also allow for the procurement of preferred resources and energy storage in excess of the required minimum of 200 MW. 11. We affirm Finding of Fact 83 in D.14-03-004 that pursuing procurement of preferred resources consistent with the Loading Order must be balanced by ensuring that grid operations are not potentially compromised by excessive reliance on intermittent resources and resources with uncertain ability to meet LCR needs. 12. SDG&E’s RFO has produced a robust number of offers for preferred resources and energy storage which could potentially meet more than the 200 MW of SDG&E’s LCR need that may be procured from any source, but such an outcome is far from assured. 13. Although it is not possible at this juncture to determine the viability of offers for preferred resources and energy storage the evidence does not lead us to presume that the RFO will produce preferred resource options to meet SDG&E’s - 33 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION procurement requirement beyond the 200 MW minimum of preferred resources and energy storage. 14. The Carlsbad PPTA would provide additional benefits including reliability benefits by being able to meet SDG&E’s LCR need by 2018, renewable resources integration benefits due to its flexible dispatchability, and locational benefits by virtue of being highly compatible with the existing transmission system and on previously disturbed land. 15. The Carlsbad PPTA price, terms and conditions compare reasonably to the recent Pio Pico Energy Center PPTA as well as to costs for comparable generating units in the ISO New England, capacity costs in the New York ISO, and the California Energy Commission’s May 2014 draft staff report entitled “Estimated Cost of New Renewable and Fossil Generation in California.” 16. A 500 MW PPTA with the same per-unit price and other terms and conditions as the agreement submitted with the application is reasonable. Conclusions of Law 1. D.14-03-004 authorized SDG&E’s procurement based on the lower end of the range of results of the CAISO’s analysis, noting that new transmission resources identified in the 2013/2014 TPP might reduce SDG&E’s LCR need. 2. The new transmission projects identified in the 2013-2014 TPP study cannot be found to reduce SDG&E’s LCR need. 3. D.13-03-029 authorized SDG&E to procure new generation to meet its LCR need, which it determined based on the assumption that the Encina OTC units would retire by 2018 and SONGS would continue in operation, and D.14-02-016 authorized SD&E’s to enter into a PPTA with the Pio Pico Energy Center to meet that need. - 34 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION 4. D.14-03-004 determined SDG&E’s incremental LRC need stemming from the retirement of SONGS, and authorized SDG&E to procure new generation to meet that need by 2022. 5. D.14-03-004 acknowledged that SDG&E’s LCR need could arise as early as 2018 upon the retirement of the Encina OTC units. 6. D.14-03-004 requires SDG&E to procure at least 200 MW, and allows SDG&E to procure up to 100 percent, of its LCR need from preferred resources and energy storage. 7. Consistency with the Loading Order and advancing California’s policy of fossil fuel reduction demand requires the utility to procure preferred resources and energy storage to the fullest extent possible, when cost effective, feasible and consistent with maintaining system reliability. 8. On balance, the public interest in awaiting the results of SD&E’s RFO is outweighed by the risk of a reliability gap/and or delay in the Encina OTC retirement (and its potential ratepayer costs). 9. The reduction of the Carlsbad PPTA from 600 MW to 500 MW and limiting the residual 100 MW of procurement to preferred resources and energy storage is reasonable and allows for the procurement of preferred resources in excess of the 200 MW minimum. 10. A 500 MW Carlsbad PPTA is a reasonable means of meeting SDG&E’s LCR need. 11. Pursuant to D.14-03-004 and D.14-11-027, the cost of procurement for the purpose of meeting the LCR need determined in D.14-03-004 must be allocated to all customers. 12. The CAM mechanism is a reasonable means for allocating the cost of procurement of SDG&E’s LCR need to all customers. - 35 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION 13. Commission review of purchase power contracts does not trigger CEQA. 14. This application should be conditionally approved subject to the submittal of an amended PPTA reducing the capacity of the project from 600 MW to 500 MW but otherwise subject to the same per-unit price and other terms and conditions as the PPTA submitted with the application. 15. All pending motions should be deemed denied. 16. This decision should be effective immediately. 17. This proceeding should be closed. O R D E R IT IS ORDERED that: 1. Application 14-07-009 is conditionally approved subject to the submittal of an amended purchase power tolling agreement (PPTA) reducing the capacity from 600 megawatts (MW) to 500 MW but otherwise subject to the same per-unit price and other terms and conditions of the PPTA submitted with the application. a. San Diego Gas & Electric’s (SDG&E) requested rate recovery and cost allocation treatment is approved with respect to a PPTA for 500 MW. b. Within 30 days of the effective date of this decision, SDG&E shall submit, via a Tier 1 Advice Letter, an amended 500 MW PPTA consistent with the requirements of this ordering paragraph. 2. All of the 100 megawatts in residual procurement authority resulting from the reduction of the purchase power tolling agreement must consist of preferred resources and energy storage. 3. All pending motions are deemed denied. 4. This decision is effective immediately. - 36 - A.14-07-009 COM/MP6/jt2 ALTERNATE PROPOSED DECISION 5. Application 14-07-009 is closed. This order is effective today. Dated , at San Francisco, California. - 37 -