This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone January 12-15, 2017, among a random national sample of 1,005 adults, including landline and cell phone respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York. *= less than 0.5 percent (Full methodological details and sampling error margins for subgroups appended at the end.) Questions 1-5 held for release. 6. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of [ITEM]? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 1/15/17 - Summary Table a. Barack Obama b. Donald Trump ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 61 43 18 40 19 21 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 36 12 24 54 14 41 Trend: a. Barack Obama 1/15/17 10/26/14 1/23/14 11/17/13 10/20/13 6/23/13 3/24/13 1/27/13 11/2/12 10/21/12 10/7/12 9/9/12 9/2/12 8/26/12 8/5/12 5/27/12 4/15/12 3/25/12 2/26/12 1/22/12 12/11/11 9/18/11 4/17/11 4/25/10 1/15/10 11/15/09 9/12/09 4/24/09 1/16/09 11/2/08 10/23/08 10/11/08 9/7/08 LV LV LV LV RV RV ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 61 43 18 44 24 20 49 29 20 46 30 16 50 31 19 53 31 22 57 34 23 60 39 21 54 38 16 52 37 15 56 32 24 54 34 21 51 29 22 50 27 24 53 29 24 52 29 23 56 30 26 53 31 23 51 26 25 53 27 25 48 23 25 47 22 25 52 33 20 57 37 21 58 38 20 61 39 21 63 40 23 72 46 26 79 50 29 63 47 16 63 47 16 64 44 20 58 35 23 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 36 12 24 50 14 36 50 13 37 52 11 41 48 11 37 44 11 33 41 11 30 37 11 26 45 11 34 46 10 36 42 11 31 42 13 29 45 14 31 44 14 29 43 12 31 45 14 31 40 14 26 43 15 28 45 13 32 43 14 29 49 16 33 46 15 31 45 13 32 41 12 29 40 13 27 38 11 27 35 12 24 26 11 15 18 9 9 33 7 26 34 7 27 33 12 21 36 12 24 No opinion 4 6 1 2 2 3 2 3 1 2 2 4 4 6 4 3 5 3 3 4 3 7 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 3 3 7 No opinion 3 6 8/22/08 RV 6/15/08 4/13/08 1/10/08 11/1/07 2/25/07 1/19/07 12/11/06 62 63 56 63 51 53 45 44 37 35 28 31 21 21 NA 21 25 28 28 32 30 33 NA 22 34 33 39 30 36 30 29 23 13 12 14 14 16 16 NA 17 21 21 25 16 20 14 NA 6 4 4 5 7 13 16 25 33 b. Donald Trump ------- Favorable ------------ Unfavorable -----No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/17 40 19 21 54 14 41 6 11/5/16 LV 38 21 17 60 10 50 3 10/29/16 RV 37 19 18 59 11 47 4 10/13/16 31 17 14 66 11 54 4 9/30/16 34 18 17 64 13 51 2 9/22/16 35 18 17 59 14 45 6 8/28/16 35 16 18 63 16 47 3 8/4/16 34 16 18 63 11 52 3 7/14/16 31 15 16 64 13 52 4 6/12/16 29 15 14 70 14 56 1 5/19/16 37 18 19 60 11 49 3 4/10/16 31 14 17 67 14 53 2 3/6/16 30 15 14 67 11 56 3 1/10/16 35 17 18 62 14 48 3 11/8/15 38 16 23 59 13 46 3 9/27/15 35 14 21 60 19 41 5 8/30/15 37 16 21 59 16 43 4 7/12/15 33 14 19 61 16 45 6 5/31/15 16 7 9 71 16 55 13 12/18/11 40 12 29 48 21 27 12 1/16/00* 20 NA NA 70 NA NA 11 10/31/99* 18 " " 70 " " 12 *"Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Donald Trump, or perhaps you don't know enough to say." Thinking about the 2016 presidential election… 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Trump has handled the presidential transition? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 40 20 20 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 54 13 41 Obama: 1/16/09 12/14/08* 11/23/08 80 76 67 46 46 41 34 30 26 15 15 18 7 5 8 8 9 10 5 9 15 W. Bush: 1/15/01* 72 NA NA 21 NA NA 6 Clinton: 1/17/93 12/14/92* 11/20/92** 81 72 62 1/15/17 No opinion 6 Compare to: H.W. Bush: 13 13 14 6 15 24 1/16/89*** 82 " " 12 *"is handling" **Newsweek ***”has handled himself since the election” " " 6 8. Do you think Donald Trump is qualified to serve as president, or not? ------- Qualified ----------NET Strongly Somewhat NET 1/15/17 44 NA NA 52 10/13/16 RV 39 58 9/22/16 41 57 9/8/16 36 " " 62 8/4/16 38 20 18 61 7/14/16 37 18 19 60 6/23/16 34 18 16 64 5/19/16 39 NA NA 58 9/10/15 37 NA NA 60 *8/4/16 and previous: “Regardless of whether or Donald Trump is or is not qualified to serve as strongly or somewhat?” Not qualified ----Somewhat Strongly NA NA No opinion 4 3 3 " " 2 8 52 2 9 51 3 8 56 2 NA NA 3 NA NA 2 not you’d vote for him, do you think president? Do you feel that way Compare to: Regardless of who you support, please tell me if you think Bill Clinton/George Bush is basically qualified or not qualified to be president, or if, perhaps you don’t know enough about him to say. Qualified Not qualified No opinion 7/8/92 Bill Clinton 55 27 18 6/7/92 Bill Clinton 47 31 22 7/8/92 George H.W. Bush 74 22 3 6/7/92 George H.W. Bush 72 25 3 3/21/88*** George H.W. Bush 80 14 5 9/23/87 George H.W. Bush 80 12 8 6/1/87 George H.W. Bush 71 21 8 ** 3/21/88 and prior: “Please tell me if you think George Bush is basically qualified or not qualified to be president of the United States, or if, perhaps you don’t know enough about that person to say.” Question 9 held for release. 10. How much confidence do you have in Trump to make the right decisions for the country's future – a great deal of confidence, a good amount, just some or none at all? 1/15/17 -- More confident -Great Good NET deal amount 38 15 23 -- Less confident Just None NET some at all 61 27 34 No opinion 1 -- Less confident Just None NET some at all 63 28 35 57 28 29 53 26 27 50 27 24 50 26 24 40 25 15 No opinion * * * * * 1 Compare to: Obama 1/23/14 7/11/10 1/15/10 10/18/09 8/17/09 4/24/09 -- More confident -Great Good NET deal amount 37 17 19 43 24 19 47 24 23 49 29 20 49 28 21 60 31 28 1/16/09 61 31 30 37 28 9 2 11. What kind of job do you expect Trump to do on [ITEM] – excellent, good, not so good or poor? How about [NEXT ITEM]? 1/15/17 - Summary Table a. handling the economy b. dealing with race relations c. creating jobs d. helping the middle class e. handling the federal budget deficit f. improving the health care system g. dealing with the threat of terrorism h. handling international crises i. handling issues of special concern to women j. making appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court *Full sample asked items g-j. ------ Positive -----NET Excellent Good ------- Negative ------NET Not so good Poor No opinion 61 25 36 37 17 21 2 40 59 12 24 28 35 57 38 23 20 35 18 2 4 50 17 32 47 21 26 4 50 18 32 47 23 23 3 44 14 30 51 24 27 5 56 23 33 42 19 23 2 44 14 30 53 23 29 4 37 11 26 61 24 36 2 49 17 32 46 19 26 5 a and b; half sample asked items c-f; other half asked items 12. Do you approve or disapprove of most of the choices Trump has made for his cabinet and other top positions in his administration? 1/15/17 Approve some disapprove others (vol.) 5 No opinion 7 Disapprove Approve some disapprove others (vol.) No opinion Approve 40 Disapprove 48 Approve Compare to: Obama: 2/22/09* 64 30 NA 7 W. Bush: 1/15/01 66 22 4 8 Clinton: 1/15/97 1/17/93 12/14/92 58 60 61 30 17 13 6 6 5 6 17 21 H.W. Bush: 2/27/89** 2/14/89 2/9/89 1/16/89*** 75 73 71 59 20 18 20 15 NA 5 10 9 26 " *”is handling appointments to his cabinet and other top positions in his administration?” ** 2/27/89 and previous: “Do you approve or disapprove of most of the choices Bush has made for his Cabinet?” ***”so far?” 13. Trump has announced that he will continue owning his businesses while putting them in a trust run by two of his children and another executive. Do you think this is enough to separate Trump’s business interests from his obligations as president, or do you think he should sell his businesses? 1/15/17 Is enough 52 Should sell his businesses 42 No opinion 6 14. Given what you’ve heard or read, do you think Trump, his family and his advisers are or are not complying with federal ethics laws? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 1/15/17 ----- Are complying ----NET Strongly Somewhat 43 22 21 ----- Not complying ----NET Somewhat Strongly 44 12 32 No opinion 13 15. Do you think Trump should or should not release his tax returns? (IF SHOULD RELEASE) How much do you care about that – a lot, or not so much? 1/15/17 ----------- Should release ---------NET Care, a lot Care, not so much 74 41 33 Should not release 18 No opinion 8 Compare to: Trump has not released his tax returns, while Clinton has released hers. Do you think Trump is justified in not releasing his tax returns, or not? 9/22/16 Justified 31 Not justified 63 No opinion 6 All major presidential candidates in the last 40 years have publicly released their tax returns before the election. Trump has said he may not do this. Do you think Trump should release his tax returns before the November election, or is it OK if he does not release his tax returns? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 5/19/16 ----- Should release ---NET Strongly Somewhat 64 54 9 --- OK if he does not --NET Somewhat Strongly 31 11 20 No opinion 5 16. Please tell me if you support or oppose each item I name. First is… [ITEM]. How about [NEXT ITEM]? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 1/15/17 - Summary Table a. repealing the major federal health care law passed in 2010 b. building a wall along the U.S. border with Mexico ------ Support ----NET Strg. Smwht. ------ Oppose ----NET Smwht Strg. No op. 46 35 12 47 12 36 6 37 25 12 60 13 47 3 c. deporting about two million undocumented immigrants who have been convicted of a crime 72 52 20 25 14 11 2 d. withdrawing from the main international treaty that tries to address climate change 31 16 16 56 17 39 13 e. withdrawing from the nuclear agreement with Iran 37 23 14 46 16 30 17 f. banning most Muslims who are not U.S. citizens from entering the United States 32 20 12 63 22 41 5 g. renegotiating the NAFTA trade agreement with Mexico and Canada 57 31 26 26 16 10 17 h. punishing companies that move jobs from the U.S. to other countries 53 32 21 43 20 23 4 *Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked items c-e; other half asked items f-h. Trend where available: a. No trend. b. Building a wall along the U.S. border with Mexico -------- Support --------------- Oppose --------No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/17 37 25 12 60 13 47 3 9/8/16* 34 24 10 63 11 52 3 *Do you support or oppose building a wall across the entire U.S. border with Mexico? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? c-e. No trend. f. Banning most Muslims who are not U.S. citizens from entering the United States 1/15/17 -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 32 20 12 -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 63 22 41 No opinion 5 Compare to: A temporary ban on Muslims who are not U.S. citizens from entering the United States? 8/4/16 6/23/16 5/19/16 -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 40 23 18 43 29 14 43 30 12 -------- Oppose --------NET Somewhat Strongly 51 18 34 52 13 38 50 14 36 No opinion 8 6 7 g-h. No trend. 17. (AMONG THOSE WHO SUPPORT REPEALING HEALTH CARE LAW) You mentioned that you support repealing the federal health care law. Should the health care law be repealed (before) a law replacing it is created, or (at the same time that) a law replacing it is created? 1/15/17 Before a law replacing it is created 27 16a/17 NET: At the same time a law replacing it is created 66 No opinion 6 1/15/17 ----------------- Support repeal --------------NET Before new law At the same time No op. 46 13 31 3 Oppose 47 No op. 6 18. There is a proposal to offer nearly 140 billion dollars in tax cuts for private companies if they pay to build new roads, bridges and transportation projects. The companies then could charge tolls for people to use these roads, bridges and transportation. Do you support or oppose this proposal? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 1/15/17 -------- Support -------NET Strongly Somewhat 29 11 18 --------- Oppose –------NET Somewhat Strongly 66 22 44 No opinion 6 19. Do you support or oppose reducing income taxes paid by [ITEM]? How about income taxes paid by [NEXT ITEM]? 1/15/17 - Summary Table a. businesses b. middle and lower-income people c. higher-income people Support 48 75 36 Oppose 45 22 61 No opinion 7 3 3 On another subject… 20. Do you think Trump is being too (friendly) towards Russia, too (confrontational) toward them, or is taking about the right approach? 1/15/17 Too friendly 43 Too confrontational 5 Right approach 40 No opinion 11 21. Given what you’ve heard or read, do you think the Russian government did or did not hack into and leak Clinton campaign e-mails during the presidential campaign? 1/15/17 Yes did 64 No did not 20 No opinion 15 21a. (AMONG THOSE WHO SAY RUSSIA DID HACK INTO AND LEAK CLINTON EMAILS) Do you think Russia leaked this material with the goal of helping Trump win the election, or not? 1/15/17 Yes 71 No 24 No opinion 5 21/21a NET: 1/15/17 ------------------- Did hack ------------------With goal of Not with goal of No NET helping Trump helping Trump opinion 64 45 16 3 Did not hack 20 No opinion 15 22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Trump has responded to the issue of Russian hacking? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 1/15/17 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 35 16 20 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 54 14 40 No opinion 10 23. All in all, do you think [ITEM] fairly, or unfairly? 1/15/17 - Summary Table a. the news media are treating Trump b. Trump is treating the news media Treating fairly 49 38 Treating unfairly 47 57 No opinion 4 5 Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? Democrat 1/15/17 31 10/13/16 33 9/22/16 33 9/8/16 34 8/4/16 33 7/14/16 33 6/23/16 36 5/19/16 33 3/6/16 34 1/24/16 34 *Washington Post Republican 23 25 23 24 23 23 24 25 25 23 Independent 37 33 36 33 36 35 33 35 32 34 Other (vol.) 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 No opinion 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 5 4 *** END*** METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The poll is a random sample of the continental United States, not including Alaska and Hawaii, with interviews in English and Spanish. This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as they appear in this document. Demographic questions are not shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for respondents. Results preceded by “RV” indicate results among registered voters. Results preceded by “LV” indicate results among likely voters. A dual frame landline and cell phone telephone sample was generated using Random Digit Dialing procedures by Survey Sampling International (SSI). Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers, first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. The final sample included 350 interviews completed on landlines and 655 interviews completed via cellular phones, including 415 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey Social and Economic Supplement by age, race/ethnicity, sex and education. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which is 1.3 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. Group All adults Half sample Unweighted sample size 1,005 469-536 Error margin +/- 3.5 points 5 The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they produce. Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post conducts polls.