Press Release Americans Maintain a Robust View of American Leadership Ipsos Survey on Behalf of National Public Radio Washington, DC, May 16, 2017 — ‘America First’ is one of those slogans with a nebulous meaning. Our latest NPR/Ipsos poll attempted to investigate how Americans perceived foreign policy in the era of Trump’s ‘America First’ ideology. Our data indicated several distinct strains in American belief. First, Most American believe our foreign policy should be focused on maintaining the existing order with us at the center. Second, Americans are almost evenly split on the relative importance of democracy vs wealth in guiding foreign policy. Third, a bare majority of Americans think the U.S. should let other countries work out their own affairs rather than intervening to promote peace. Although Trump’s upcoming foreign policy trip is dominating headlines, Americans proved to lack concrete knowledge of American foreign affairs. Many incorrectly assumed that American defense aid to Israel declined under the Obama administration (39%). Only 15% correctly estimated that the US pays 22% of the United Nations regular budget. A similarly small group knew that U.S. foreign aid to Egypt is higher than the U.S. dues for NATO administration in 2016 (18%). In the wake of campaign promises to disrupt foreign trade agreements, a majority of Americans think international trade should be used as a tool of American diplomacy (74%). Seven in ten Americans think US diplomacy should prioritize supporting democratic nations (70%). The same amount believe America should provide humanitarian aid to foreign countries (70%). With four in ten believing the US is the leading economic power in the world today (40%), it is not surprising that over half believe American foreign policy should be focused on maintaining the current global order with the US at the center (55%). 1. To the best of your knowledge are the following statements TRUE or FALSE? * Denotes correct answer a. American defense aid to Israel declined under the Obama administration True False* Don't know Address: Tel: 2020 K Street NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 +1 202 463-7300 Total N= 1009 39% 26% 35% Democrat N= 354 32% 35% 33% Republican N=353 59% 17% 24% Contact: Email: Tel: Independent N= 179 41% 27% 32% Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S., Ipsos Public Affairs chris.jackson@ipsos.com +1 202 420-2025 1 Press Release – continued – b. The Unites States has taken in more Syrian refugees than the European Union True False* Don't know c. Tel: Independent N= 179 26% 41% 33% Total N= 1009 54% 18% 28% Democrat N= 354 57% 20% 23% Republican N=353 62% 19% 19% Independent N= 179 47% 13% 40% Total N= 1009 63% 13% 25% Democrat N= 354 64% 15% 20% Republican N=353 67% 14% 19% Independent N= 179 65% 7% 28% Based on everything you know, is the recent human rights records of the following countries better or worse than that of the United States? * Denotes correct answer a. Egypt Better About the same Worse* Don’t know Address: Republican N=353 31% 42% 26% American military involvement in Syria has increased in the last six months True* False Don't know 2. Democrat N= 354 24% 51% 24% The United States is the driving force behind most major multilateral trade agreements True* False Don't know d. Total N= 1009 26% 44% 30% 2020 K Street NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 +1 202 463-7300 Total N= 1009 7% 18% 52% 23% Democrat N= 354 9% 22% 51% 18% Republican N=353 6% 22% 55% 17% Contact: Email: Tel: Independent N= 179 6% 10% 61% 23% Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S., Ipsos Public Affairs chris.jackson@ipsos.com +1 202 420-2025 2 Press Release – continued – b. Saudi Arabia Better About the same Worse* Don’t know c. Tel: Independent N= 179 5% 9% 66% 20% Total N= 1009 11% 33% 36% 20% Democrat N= 354 12% 34% 36% 18% Republican N=353 13% 41% 34% 12% Independent N= 179 12% 26% 41% 22% Total N= 1009 8% 17% 51% 24% Democrat N= 354 10% 20% 51% 19% Republican N=353 7% 20% 54% 20% Independent N= 179 10% 8% 61% 20% Total N= 1009 26% 49% 9% 16% Democrat N= 354 36% 46% 8% 10% Republican N=353 16% 57% 13% 14% Independent N= 179 24% 49% 9% 18% United Kingdom Better* About the same Worse Don’t know Address: Republican N=353 8% 16% 61% 15% Turkey Better About the same Worse* Don’t know e. Democrat N= 354 12% 16% 59% 13% Israel Better About the same Worse* Don’t know d. Total N= 1009 8% 14% 59% 19% 2020 K Street NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 +1 202 463-7300 Contact: Email: Tel: Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S., Ipsos Public Affairs chris.jackson@ipsos.com +1 202 420-2025 3 Press Release – continued – f. Germany Better* About the same Worse Don’t know g. Tel: Independent N= 179 23% 36% 19% 22% Total N= 1009 44% 37% 6% 13% Democrat N= 354 55% 28% 6% 11% Republican N=353 32% 55% 6% 8% Independent N= 179 46% 34% 9% 11% Total N= 1009 7% 21% 57% 15% Democrat N= 354 7% 22% 61% 10% Republican N=353 9% 22% 56% 13% Independent N= 179 5% 17% 65% 13% Total N= 1009 8% 25% 50% 17% Democrat N= 354 13% 30% 48% 10% Republican N=353 6% 24% 56% 13% Independent N= 179 4% 20% 54% 23% Mexico Better About the same Worse* Don’t know Address: Republican N=353 18% 55% 14% 13% Russia Better About the same Worse* Don’t know i. Democrat N= 354 34% 41% 11% 13% Canada Better* About the same Worse Don’t know h. Total N= 1009 26% 43% 13% 19% 2020 K Street NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 +1 202 463-7300 Contact: Email: Tel: Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S., Ipsos Public Affairs chris.jackson@ipsos.com +1 202 420-2025 4 Press Release – continued – 3. To the best of your knowledge, how much of the United Nations regular budget is paid by the United States? * Denotes correct answer 7% 22%* 43% 70% Don’t know 4. Tel: Republican N=353 2% 18% 27% 20% 33% Independent N= 179 5% 12% 14% 21% 47% Total N= 1009 Democrat N= 354 Republican N=353 Independent N= 179 18% 20% 17% 19% 32% 31% 40% 27% 51% 49% 44% 54% Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements? a. The United States should be the moral leader of the world Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Agree Disagree Don’t know Address: Democrat N= 354 8% 17% 25% 12% 39% To the best of your knowledge, which of the following is higher: * Denotes correct answer U.S. foreign aid to Egypt in 2016* U.S. dues for NATO administration in 2016 Don’t know 5. Total N= 1009 5% 15% 22% 16% 42% 2020 K Street NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 +1 202 463-7300 Total N=504 39% 31% Democrat N=165 44% 33% Republican N=177 44% 28% Independent N=99 32% 33% 14% 12% 18% 14% 7% 69% 21% 10% 6% 78% 18% 4% 7% 72% 25% 3% 8% 66% 22% 13% Contact: Email: Tel: Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S., Ipsos Public Affairs chris.jackson@ipsos.com +1 202 420-2025 5 Press Release – continued – b. The United States is the moral leader of the world Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Agree Disagree Don’t know c. Tel: Republican N=177 36% 36% Independent N=99 16% 32% 18% 15% 20% 26% 15% 60% 32% 8% 20% 64% 35% 2% 5% 73% 24% 3% 18% 47% 45% 8% Total N=505 29% 40% Democrat N=189 35% 38% Republican N=176 32% 38% Independent N=80 19% 53% 13% 13% 12% 11% 4% 70% 17% 14% 4% 73% 18% 9% 8% 70% 20% 10% 73% 11% 17% American diplomacy prioritizes supporting democratic nations Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Agree Disagree Don’t know Address: Democrat N=165 26% 37% American diplomacy should prioritize supporting democratic nations Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Agree Disagree Don’t know d. Total N=504 25% 35% 2020 K Street NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 +1 202 463-7300 Total N=505 18% 42% Democrat N=189 19% 47% Republican N=176 25% 38% Independent N=80 14% 48% 17% 15% 17% 17% 4% 60% 21% 19% 7% 65% 22% 12% 3% 63% 19% 18% 62% 17% 22% Contact: Email: Tel: Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S., Ipsos Public Affairs chris.jackson@ipsos.com +1 202 420-2025 6 Press Release – continued – e. International trade should be used as a tool of American diplomacy Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Agree Disagree Don’t know f. Tel: Republican N=353 34% 45% Independent N= 179 29% 42% 9% 9% 8% 8% 3% 74% 12% 14% 3% 79% 12% 9% 3% 79% 11% 10% 5% 71% 13% 16% Total N= 1009 20% 29% Democrat N= 354 14% 26% Republican N=353 36% 34% Independent N= 179 14% 28% 28% 33% 21% 32% 16% 49% 44% 7% 24% 40% 57% 3% 6% 69% 27% 4% 19% 41% 51% 8% America should provide humanitarian aid to foreign countries Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Agree Disagree Don’t know Address: Democrat N= 354 33% 46% The United States should not hesitate to use its military power Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Agree Disagree Don’t know g. Total N= 1009 31% 43% 2020 K Street NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 +1 202 463-7300 Total N= 1009 29% 41% Democrat N= 354 43% 39% Republican N=353 16% 43% Independent N= 179 21% 47% 17% 11% 26% 23% 5% 70% 22% 7% 2% 83% 13% 4% 10% 60% 36% 4% 3% 67% 26% 7% Contact: Email: Tel: Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S., Ipsos Public Affairs chris.jackson@ipsos.com +1 202 420-2025 7 Press Release – continued – 6. Which of the following statements is closer to your opinion? American foreign policy should look out for Americans, even if it harms people in other countries. American foreign policy should be focused on maintaining the current global order with the US at the center Don’t know 7. Tel: Republican N=353 Independent N= 179 24% 21% 35% 23% 55% 66% 50% 53% 21% 14% 15% 24% Total N= 1009 Democrat N= 354 Republican N=353 Independent N= 179 42% 55% 32% 38% 41% 34% 57% 41% 17% 11% 11% 21% Total N= 1009 Democrat N= 354 Republican N=353 Independent N= 179 29% 37% 27% 24% 51% 48% 58% 53% 20% 16% 15% 22% Which of the following statements is closer to your opinion? America should actively intervene in foreign conflicts to try to bring peace America should stay out of the affairs of other countries Don’t know Address: Democrat N= 354 Which of the following statements is closer to your opinion? American foreign policy should prioritize promoting democracy and human rights in other countries. American foreign policy should focus on enriching America and Americans. Don’t know 8. Total N= 1009 2020 K Street NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 +1 202 463-7300 Contact: Email: Tel: Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S., Ipsos Public Affairs chris.jackson@ipsos.com +1 202 420-2025 8 Press Release – continued – 9. Which one of the following do you think is the leading economic power in the world today? United States China Japan European Union Russia India Don’t know Total N= 1009 40% 38% 5% 3% 1% * 13% Democrat N= 354 44% 40% 4% 6% 1% * 6% Republican N=353 46% 36% 4% 1% 3% * 10% Independent N= 179 33% 43% 7% 3% * 14% 10. In your own words, what does “America First” meant to you? See verbatims 11. How do you get most of your news? Television Online / internet Social media (Twitter, Facebook) Print newspapers / magazines Radio Mobile News apps None of the above Total N= 1009 65% 52% Democrat N= 354 68% 51% Republican N=353 71% 50% Independent N= 179 58% 56% 31% 40% 29% 20% 27% 32% 28% 29% 24% 16% 4% 25% 23% 2% 24% 13% 2% 27% 12% 2% 12. Of the choices listed below, which is your main source of television news? CNN FOX News CBS ABC NBC MSNBC Public Television None of the above Other Address: Tel: 2020 K Street NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 +1 202 463-7300 Total N= 1009 20% 18% 13% 12% 10% 4% 3% 16% 3% Democrat N= 354 31% 6% 16% 17% 10% 6% 4% 8% 2% Republican N=353 12% 38% 12% 9% 12% 1% 2% 13% 1% Contact: Email: Tel: Independent N= 179 14% 15% 11% 13% 10% 2% 5% 26% 4% Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S., Ipsos Public Affairs chris.jackson@ipsos.com +1 202 420-2025 9 Press Release – continued – 13. With which political party do you most identify? Strong Democrat Moderate Democrat Lean Democrat Lean Republican Moderate Republican Strong Republican Independent Other Don’t know/Refuse Total N=1009 15% 16% 8% 8% 13% 10% 17% 3% 9% 14. How would you describe the area in which you live? Rural Suburban Urban Address: Tel: 2020 K Street NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 +1 202 463-7300 Total N= 1009 16% 50% 34% Democrat N= 354 9% 47% 44% Republican N=353 21% 52% 27% Contact: Email: Tel: Independent N= 179 19% 56% 25% Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S., Ipsos Public Affairs chris.jackson@ipsos.com +1 202 420-2025 1 0 Press Release – continued – About the Study These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted May 15-16, 2017 on behalf of National Public Radio. For the survey, a sample of roughly 1,009 adults age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii was interviewed online in English. The sample includes 354 Democrats, 353 Republicans, and 179 Independents. The sample for this study was randomly drawn from Ipsos’s online panel (see link below for more info on “Access Panels and Recruitment”), partner online panel sources, and “river” sampling (see link below for more info on the Ipsos “Ampario Overview” sample method) and does not rely on a population frame in the traditional sense. Ipsos uses fixed sample targets, unique to each study, in drawing sample. After a sample has been obtained from the Ipsos panel, Ipsos calibrates respondent characteristics to be representative of the U.S. Population using standard procedures such as raking-ratio adjustments. The source of these population targets is U.S. Census 2013 American Community Survey data. The sample drawn for this study reflects fixed sample targets on demographics. Post-hoc weights were made to the population characteristics on gender, age, race/ethnicity, region, and education. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for all respondents. Ipsos calculates a design effect (DEFF) for each study based on the variation of the weights, following the formula of Kish (1965). This study had a credibility interval adjusted for design effect of the following (n=1,009, DEFF=1.5, adjusted Confidence Interval=5). The poll also has a credibility interval plus or minus 5.9 percentage points for Democrats, plus or minus 5.9 percentage points for Republicans, and plus or minus 8.4 percentage points for Independents. For more information about conducting research intended for public release or Ipsos’ online polling methodology, please visit our Public Opinion Polling and Communication page where you can download our brochure, see our public release protocol, or contact us. For more information on this news release, please contact: Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S. Ipsos Public Affairs +1 202 420-2025 chris.jackson@ipsos.com Address: Tel: 2020 K Street NW, Suite 410 Washington, DC 20006 +1 202 463-7300 Contact: Email: Tel: Chris Jackson Vice President, U.S., Ipsos Public Affairs chris.jackson@ipsos.com +1 202 420-2025 1 1 Press Release – continued – About Ipsos Public Affairs Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research. Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research. About Ipsos Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks fourth in the global research industry. With offices in 89 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media; customer loyalty; marketing; public affairs research; and survey management. Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build longterm relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe. Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,782.7 million in 2016. GAME CHANGERS « Game Changers » is the Ipsos signature. At Ipsos we are passionately curious about people, markets, brands and society. We make our changing world easier and faster to navigate and inspire clients to make smarter decisions. We deliver with security, speed, simplicity and substance. We are Game Changers. 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