This Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone June 15-18, 2017, among a random sample of 901 adult residents of the District of Columbia reached on conventional and cellular phones by live interviewers. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus four percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt Associates of Cambridge, Mass. (Full methodological details appended at the end.) * = less than .5 percent RV=Registered voters 1. What is the biggest problem facing the District today, the one you want the mayor to work the hardest to solve? (DO NOT READ) 6/18/17 11/15/15 Housing/housing costs/ low income housing/ more affordable housing 19 Crime/violence 13 Education/improving schools 11 TRANSPORTATION NET 11 Traffic/road quality/ parking problems 8 Metro rail or bus 3 Other transportation * ECONOMY NET 9 Jobs/creating more employment opportunities 4 Economy/econ development/ improving quality of life/ cost of living 3 Taxes 1 Poverty/homelessness 7 Want DC to be self-governing/ Congressional representation/ Congressional oversight/statehood 5 Race issues/income inequality/ gentrification 3 Improving city services 2 Drugs/marijuana 2 CITY GOVERNMENT NET 4 Improve city government/ increase efficiency** 1 Corruption in city government 1 Balanced budget/ improve finances 1 Mayor/issues involving Mayor * Trump/Trump administration 1 Youth/services for young people 1 Infrastructure (unspecified) 1 Policing/police reform 1 Health care/mental health/ senior health * Nothing * Other 5 Don't know 6 *Washington Post-Kaiser Family Foundation **11/15/15 and previous: Included “less corrupt” 5/31/11* 18 34 9 8 4 12 25 NA 6 NA NA 11 5 NA NA 22 5 16 5 1 6 5 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 NA 3 NA 13 1 NA 6 NA 1 * NA NA NA NA 5 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA 5 4 NA * 4 4 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Muriel Bowser is handling her job as Mayor? 1 6/18/17 11/15/15 -------Approve--------NET Strongly Somewhat 67 20 47 58 17 41 -------Disapprove------NET Somewhat Strongly 19 12 8 25 14 10 Compare to Vincent Gray: 3/23/14 RV 46 16 30 1/12/14 51 13 37 7/17/12 29 9 21 5/31/11* 41 10 31 *Washington Post-Kaiser Family Foundation No opin. 13 18 45 39 59 40 24 23 24 26 21 16 35 14 9 11 12 20 32 27 29 41 40 46 53 49 22 21 19 20 20 11 11 27 33 29 11 10 8 7 9 6 7 Compare to Anthony Williams: 7/18/06 RV 54 20 5/19/02 RV 64 24 5/19/02 64 22 2/7/00 77 36 34 40 42 40 40 29 28 17 16 11 11 9 24 18 17 7 6 7 8 7 Compare to Marion Barry: 5/18/98 35 16 5/4/97 31 13 5/19/96 50 25 2/29/96 48 19 3/02/95 58 28 5/89 28 NA 8/21/87 44 NA 7/86 50 NA 19 19 25 29 30 NA NA NA 52 63 47 45 27 62 41 38 17 21 21 19 13 NA NA NA 34 41 26 26 14 NA NA NA 14 6 3 7 15 10 15 12 Compare 8/26/10 1/28/10 1/28/10 1/8/08 1/8/08 to Adrian Fenty: RV 47 15 RV 40 13 42 13 RV 72 31 72 32 Compare to Sharon Pratt Kelly: 12/21/93 30 7 23 67 2/2/92 54 20 34 42 *Washington Post-Kaiser Family Foundation 32 19 35 23 3 4 3. Now I’m going to mention some issues that face our community, and for each, please tell me whether you think Mayor Bowser is doing an excellent job, good, not-so-good or poor job in dealing with this issue. 6/18/17 – Summary table* a. reducing crime in the city b. improving District public schools c. reducing the influence of wealthy political donors on government decisions d. creating and maintaining affordable housing in the District e. addressing homelessness in the District f. relations between the District and the Trump --Excellent/Good--NET Excel. Good 53 7 46 --Not-so-good/Poor-NET Not Good Poor 40 29 11 No op. 8 51 10 41 33 24 9 16 31 2 29 48 33 16 21 37 4 33 55 34 22 7 32 4 28 62 41 21 6 2 Administration 52 11 41 31 19 *Items a-c asked of half sample a; items d-f asked of half sample b 11 17 Trend: a. Reducing crime in the city 6/18/17 11/15/15 1/12/14 Gray 1/28/10 Fenty 1/8/08 Fenty ---Excellent/Good--NET Excel. Good 53 7 46 33 3 30 55 5 50 51 8 44 41 5 36 ---Not-so-good/Poor--NET Not good Poor 40 29 11 63 37 26 39 30 10 44 29 15 55 40 15 No opin. 8 5 5 4 4 ---Not-so-good/Poor--NET Not good Poor 33 24 9 36 24 12 49 36 14 55 33 22 49 26 24 42 24 18 58 38 20 44 30 14 No opin. 16 15 12 11 9 5 11 11 b. Improving District public schools 6/18/17 11/15/15 1/12/14 Gray 7/17/12 Gray 1/28/10 Fenty 1/8/08 Fenty 5/19/02 Williams 2/7/00 Williams ---Excellent/Good--NET Excel. Good 51 10 41 49 7 42 38 5 33 34 4 31 42 10 32 52 12 41 31 3 28 45 5 40 c. reducing the influence of wealthy political donors in on government decisions ---Excellent/Good--NET Excel. Good 31 2 29 31 3 27 6/18/17 11/15/15 ---Not-so-good/Poor--NET Not good Poor 48 33 16 51 28 23 No opin. 21 18 ---Not-so-good/Poor--NET Not good Poor 62 41 21 73 NA NA No opin. 6 - e. addressing homelessness in the District ---Excellent/Good--NET Excel. Good 6/18/17 32 4 28 12/21/93 Kelly* 23 NA NA *”dealing with helping the homeless” No trend d and f. 4. Generally speaking, how would you rate the job that District police are doing: excellent, good, not so good or poor? 6/18/17 11/15/15 1/12/14 5/31/11* 1/28/10 1/8/08 7/18/06 RV 5/19/02 2/7/00 5/18/98 5/4/97 5/21/90 --Excellent/Good-NET Excel. Good 74 18 56 63 10 53 71 12 59 76 15 61 73 12 61 61 8 53 53 6 47 65 8 57 63 9 54 49 7 42 68 15 53 65 13 52 ---Not Good/Poor--NET Not Good Poor 24 16 8 34 24 11 27 17 10 21 16 5 25 17 8 37 27 10 43 30 13 31 21 10 33 23 10 45 29 16 30 21 9 26 20 6 No opin. 2 3 2 3 2 2 4 4 4 5 2 9 3 *Washington Post-Kaiser Family Foundation 5. For each of the following people, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person, or perhaps you don’t know enough to say. Here's the (first/next) one, [ITEM], do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of this person. 6/18/17 - Summary table a. Vincent Gray b. Karl Racine c. Muriel Bowser Favorable 41 19 70 Unfavorable 37 7 19 No opinion 22 74 10 Trend: a. Vincent Gray 6/18/17 6/18/17 Dem RV 1/12/14 7/17/12 5/31/11* 8/26/10 RV 1/28/10** 1/8/08 Favorable 41 46 41 34 46 60 43 39 Unfavorable 37 36 41 56 37 16 13 9 No opinion 22 17 18 10 17 24 44 52 6/18/17 Dem RV 46 36 1/12/14 Dem RV 46 43 *Washington Post-Kaiser Family Foundation **District Council Chairman Vincent Gray 17 10 b. Karl Racine 6/18/17 6/18/17 Dem RV Favorable 19 21 Unfavorable 7 7 No opinion 74 72 Favorable 70 Unfavorable 19 No opinion 10 c. Muriel Bowser 6/18/17 6/18/17 Dem 1/12/14 Dem 7/17/12 Dem *Registered RV 73 19 RV 34 14 RV* 24 10 voters who identify as Democratic 8 52 66 6. (IF REGISTERED DEMOCRAT/PLAN TO REGISTER) Thinking ahead to the Democratic primary for mayor next year, if the election were held today and the candidates were (Muriel Bowser), (Vincent Gray) and (Karl Racine), for whom would you vote? Which one are you leaning toward right now? 6/18/17 Bowser 50 Gray 27 Racine 10 (Vol.) Other * (Vol.) Neither/None 4 (Vol.) Would not vote 1 No opin. 8 7. (IF REGISTERED DEMOCRAT/PLAN TO REGISTER) Who do you think has higher personal and ethical standards – (Bowser) or (Gray)? (IF NEEDED: (Muriel Bowser) or (Vincent Gray)? 4 6/18/17 Bowser 57 Gray 24 Both equally 3 Neither 3 No opinion 13 On another subject, 8. Which best describes your family's financial situation? Do you feel as if you (are getting ahead financially), have just enough money to maintain your standard of living, or (are falling behind financially)? Getting ahead 33 30 30 6/18/17 11/15/15 1/8/08 Just enough to maintain 52 54 55 Falling behind 13 15 15 No opin. 2 1 1 9. As you may know, the District government is trying to redevelop parts of the city to attract new businesses and residents. Do you think this process of redevelopment is mainly good or mainly bad for people like you? 6/18/17 11/15/15 1/12/14 2/7/00 Mainly good 67 61 68 79 Mainly bad 28 36 25 14 No opinion 5 3 7 8 10. Do you think each of the following is a major reason, a minor reason or not a reason for the shortage of affordable housing in D.C.? First, [ITEM], is this a major reason, a minor reason or not a reason for the shortage of affordable housing in D.C., or not? 6/18/17 – Summary table a. not enough spending by the District government to create and maintain affordable housing b. the District government NOT ensuring funding helps people who need it most c. the city government catering too much to the needs of building developers d. people seeking government housing aid that they do not need e. high-income people moving into the District pushing up housing prices Major reason Minor reason Not a reason No opinion 64 22 9 5 54 26 11 8 64 19 12 5 30 30 31 9 75 15 8 1 11. Do you think the problem of homelessness in the District is (getting better), (getting worse), or staying about the same? 6/18/17 Better 9 Worse 38 Staying about the same 50 No opinion 3 On another subject, 12. How much have you heard about the District inspector general’s report finding that the previous schools chancellor placed city officials’ children in top public schools, 5 going around the lottery system used by other parents. Have you heard a lot, a little or nothing at all about this? 6/18/17 A lot 18 Nothing at all 49 A little 33 No opinion * 13. (ASK IF HEARD A LOT/A LITTLE) Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor Bowser’s response to this issue? 6/18/17 Approve 26 Disapprove 36 No opinion 39 12/13 Net table: 6/18/17 ---------Heard a lot/a little-------NET Approve Disapprove No opin. 51 13 18 20 Heard nothing 49 No opinion * 14. Mayor Bowser says she will require the schools chancellor to discuss requests for special school placement by government employees with the city Board of Ethics before approving them. Do you think this is enough to prevent favoritism in the lottery system, or should the city go further? 6/18/17 Enough 27 City should go further 63 No opinion 9 15. Do you think the special placement of officials’ children into schools they wanted are (pretty much isolated incidents), or (a sign of broader corruption in city politics)? 6/18/17 Isolated incidents 35 Sign of broader corruption in city politics 52 No opinion 13 Question 16 held for release. 17. How would you rate the Metro rail subway system in the Washington D.C. region excellent, good, not-so-good or poor? 6/18/17 -----Positive-----NET Excel. Good 44 6 38 -----Negative-----NET Not so Poor 52 27 25 Never use 3 No op. 1 Compare to: I would like you to rate some types of public transportation available in some parts of the greater Washington area. If you have NEVER USED this type of public transportation, just tell me and I will move on. Generally speaking, how would you rate the Metrorail subway system: 6/23/13 3/29/10 1/31/05 -----Positive-----NET Excel. Good 71 16 56 69 11 58 72 25 47 -----Negative-----NET Not so Poor 20 16 4 18 12 6 16 13 3 Never use 7 10 12 No op. 2 3 0 6 18. Metro and many elected officials say the agency needs more funding to make the rail and bus system safe and reliable. Would you support or oppose [ITEM]? How about [NEXT ITEM]? IF NEEDED: Would you support or oppose [NEXT ITEM]? 6/18/17 – Summary table Support a. Increasing funding for Metro from Maryland, Virginia and D.C., paid for by raising taxes or cutting other programs b. Increasing fares for riding Metro trains and buses c. Reducing the frequency of Metro trains and buses d. Creating a sales tax in the D.C. region that would directly fund Metro e. A new property tax on buildings and homes located close to Metro rail stations Oppose No opinion 47 34 19 48 64 78 6 2 3 53 43 4 38 58 4 19. In the past two years, have you changed the way you regularly go to work or get around the city as a result of Metro rail delays and shutdowns or not? 6/18/17 Yes 42 No 51 (Vol.) Never used 6 No opinion 1 20. How much, if at all, do you think Donald Trump’s arrival to the District as president has changed the city – a lot, some, not too much or not at all? 6/18/17 ----A lot/some---NET A lot Some 54 30 25 --------Not much/at all-------NET Not too much Not at all 44 23 21 No opinion 1 21. Which of the following Trump proposals do you think will have the biggest effect on the District – (deporting more undocumented immigrants), (overhauling the 2010 health care law), (budget cuts to Medicaid and social safety net services), (increasing defense spending), or something else? 6/18/17 Budget cuts to Medicaid, etc. 41 Overhaul health law 26 Deporting more undocu. immigs. 13 Increasing defense spend 11 Something else 6 No op. 4 22. Since the beginning of this year, have you participated in a political protest or march in D.C. or not? 6/18/17 Yes 37 No 63 No opinion * 22a. (IF YES) Thinking about the most recent march or protest you participated in, was this to protest policies or actions of President Trump, or not? 6/18/17 Yes 90 No 10 No opinion * 22/22a Net: --Participated in recent march/protest----NET To protest Trump Not Trump No op. 6/18/17 37 33 4 * Did not march/ protest 63 No opinion * 7 Question 23 held for release. METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS This poll was sponsored and funded by The Washington Post. The questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as appears in this document. The poll was conducted in English among a random sample of D.C. adult residents. Voter registration and demographic information are not shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Questions that contain parenthetical phrases indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for respondents. Trended references to results with “LV” or “RV” indicate results among likely voters or registered voters. A dual frame landline and cell phone telephone sample was generated using Random Digit Dialing procedures. A supplemental sample of non-202 cell phones was drawn from Survey Sampling International (SSI). The survey was conducted with 337 respondents reached on landline phones, 564 reached on cellular phones including 371 respondents who were cell phone users with no landline phone at home from the 202 area code and 150 sampled from non-202 are codes. Interviewers called landlines and asked to interview the youngest male or youngest female who is at home at the time, with the male requested 75 percent of the time. Interviewers calling cellular phones interviewed the respondent if they were eligible to participate. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for differential chances of selection depending on phone ownership and to match known demographic benchmarks. The overall adult sample is weighted using a raking procedure to match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, city wards, age, education, race/ethnicity, voter registration status and the share of cell phone only/landline only/dual service household. Sources for weighting targets include the most recent American Community Survey (age, sex, education, race, city wards), the most recent Current Population Survey (voter registration) and the most recent National Health Interview Survey (telephone use). All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which is 1.4 in this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they produce. Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post conducts polls. 8 Charter Member AAPQSR Transnarencv Initiative AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH