This Washington Post-Schar School poll was conducted by telephone November 27-30, 2017, among a random sample of 1,304 adults in the state of Alabama, including landline and cell phone respondents. The error margin is 3.5 points among the sample of 1,110 registered voters and 4.5 points among the sample of 739 likely voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt Associates of Cambridge, Mass. *= less than 0.5 percent (Full methodological details appended at the end.) RV=Registered voters LV=Likely voters 1. (AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS) How closely are you following this year's special election for U.S. Senate in the state of Alabama: very closely, somewhat closely, not so closely, or not closely at all? 11/30/17 RV ---- Closely ----NET Very Smwt. 75 44 31 ---- Not closely ----NET Not so At all 25 11 14 No opinion * 2. (AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the Alabama special election for U.S. Senate on December 12: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? 11/30/17 RV Certain to vote 59 Probably vote 15 Chances 50/50 10 Don't think will vote (vol.) 3 Less than that 11 Already voted (vol.) * No op. 1 3. (AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS) How important is voting in this year's U.S. Senate election to you personally? Is voting extremely important, very important, somewhat important, not too important or not at all important? 11/30/17 RV ----- Important -----NET Extremely Very 70 40 30 Somewhat 16 ----- Not important -----NET Not too Not at all 13 7 6 No opinion 1 4. (AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS) If the election were being held today and the candidates were (Roy Moore, the Republican) and (Doug Jones, the Democrat), for whom would you vote? Which one are you leaning toward right now? 11/30/17 LV 11/30/17 RV Roy Moore 47 41 Doug Jones 50 47 Other (vol.) * 1 Would not vote (vol.) 0 2 Neither (vol.) 2 6 No opinion 1 4 5. (AMONG LIKELY VOTERS) Which candidate do you trust more to handle [ITEM] - (Moore) or (Jones)? 1 Summary table likely voters - 11/30/17 Moore 47 a. the issue of abortion b. rights for gay and transgender people c. health care 30 45 Both equally (vol.) 1 Jones 46 58 51 2 1 Neither (vol.) 3 No opinion 3 3 2 9 2 6. (AMONG LIKELY VOTERS) Who has higher standards of personal moral conduct - (Moore) or (Jones)? 11/30/17 LV Moore 34 Jones 53 Both equally (vol.) 1 Neither (vol.) 3 No opinion 8 6a. (AMONG LIKELY VOTERS) And which of the following is most important in your vote? Candidates' (positions on abortion), their (positions on rights for gay and transgender people), their (positions on health care), or their (personal moral conduct)? 11/30/17 LV Abortion 14 Rights for gay & transgender people 2 Health care 41 Moral conduct 26 Something else (vol.) 2 Any two/ more equally (vol.) 11 No Op. 4 7. (AMONG LIKELY VOTERS) Regardless of the candidates running in this year's Senate election, would you rather have a (Democrat) or a (Republican) represent Alabama in the U.S. Senate? 11/30/17 LV Democrat 44 Republican 50 No opinion 6 8. (AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS) On another subject, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 11/30/17 LV 11/30/17 RV -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 53 39 14 50 36 15 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 45 6 39 45 8 37 No opinion 2 5 Compare to national Post-ABC: 11/1/17 RV -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 38 27 11 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 58 8 51 No opinion 3 9. (AMONG LIKELY VOTERS) As you may have heard, several women have claimed Roy Moore made unwanted advances when they were teenagers and Moore was in his 30s, including one who said he touched her sexually when she was 14. Do you think Moore did or did not make unwanted advances toward teenage girls, or are you not sure? 11/30/17 LV He did 35 He did not 28 Not sure/No opinion 37 2 10. (AMONG THOSE WHO SAY HE DID NOT OR ARE NOT SURE HE MADE ADVANCES) Which of the following best describes why [you do not think/you are not sure] Moore made unwanted advances: (The incidents occurred over 30 years ago), (the allegations were made shortly before the election), (News organizations are biased against Moore), (the women's stories are not believable) or another reason? 11/30/17 LV Shortly before election 35 Over 30 years ago 13 News orgs biased 10 Don't believe women's stories 3 Other reason 18 2+ reasons equally (vol.) 16 No op. 6 11. (AMONG REPUBLICAN-LEANING LIKELY VOTERS) Republican leaders in Congress have called on Moore to drop out of the U.S. Senate race. Do you think they are justified in voicing their opinion on the election, or should they stay out of Alabama politics? 11/30/17 LV Justified in voicing opinions 25 Stay out of Alabama politics 74 No opinion 1 12. (AMONG LIKELY VOTERS) In general, do you think an elected official who commits an immoral act in their personal life can still behave ethically and fulfill their duties in their public and professional life? 11/30/17 LV Yes 44 Depends (vol.) 10 No 39 No opinion 11 Compare to national PRRI/Brookings Oct. 2016: 11/30/17 6/19/11 Yes 61 44 No 29 44 Depends (vol.) 5 10 No opinion 5 2 13. (AMONG LIKELY VOTERS) Do you think it is ever appropriate for a man in his 30s to date a female 16 year-old, or is this never appropriate? 11/30/17 LV Appropriate 4 Never appropriate 91 No opinion 5 14. (AMONG LIKELY VOTERS) Do you think older men dating female teenagers was more accepted by society during the 1970s than it is today, or was this NOT more acceptable? 11/30/17 LV More accepted during the 1970s 32 Was not more acceptable 56 No opinion 12 Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or what? 11/30/17 LV Democrat 31 Republican 38 Independent 27 Other 3 No op. 1 ***END*** METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS 3 This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and the George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government. The poll includes interviews in English and Spanish and is a random sample of Alabama adult residents. A total of 720 interviews were completed using dual frame Random Digit Dialing (RDD) procedures of landline and cellular phones in Alabama. The remaining 584 interviews were completed by sampling from a database of Alabama registered voters maintained by Aristotle, Inc., in which voters have been matched to landline and cellular phone numbers. The sample frames were de-duplicated, such that phone numbers existing on the voter list frame were not eligible for selection through the RDD frame. In the RDD sample, interviewers called landline and cellular phone numbers, first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. In the voter file sample, interviewers asked for respondents' names to be confirmed or matched to the voter file. The total sample included 508 interviews on landlines and 796 interviews completed via cellular phones, including 490 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for characteristics of the sample design and deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among individuals who were interviewed through the RDD and voter list samples based on the size of each frame. Weights correct for differential probability of selection for landline-only, cell phone-only and dual phone users. Results are also weighted to match the demographic makeup of the population according to the latest American Community Survey by age, race/ethnicity, education, sex and by region of the state, and the National Health Interview Survey by telephone usage. Samples of registered voters and non-voters were weighted by race education to match recent Current Population Survey benchmarks among registered voters. This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as they appear in this document. Voter registration, demographics and religious identity questions are not displayed. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for respondents. Results preceded by "RV" indicate results among registered voters, with "LV" indicating likely voters and other results are among adults overall. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey's design effect, which is 1.5 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey's deviation from a simple random sample, and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. Group Registered voters Likely voters Unweighted sample size 1,110 739 Error margin +/-3.5 4.5 The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR's Transparency Initiative, which recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they produce. Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post conducts polls. 4 Charter Member Transnarencv Initiative AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH