HHBBITEHNUB Deploying Palantir Gotham in New Orleans Sarah Schirmer Performance Management and Policy Lead Innovation Delivery Team Office of Mayor Mitch Landrieu Murder in New Orleans Murder is a critical and persistent issue in New Orleans • National Murder Rate: 4.8 per 100,000 • Similar Sized Cities Murder Rate: 11.8 per 100,000 • 2012 New Orleans Murder Rate: 52.3 per 100,000 Culture of violence Young kids victimized by beefs and gang retaliation • 7 victims under 10 years old since 2010 National and Local Murder Rate, 1981-2012 New Orleans Murder Rate National Murder Rate 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 '81 '82 '83 '84 '85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reports; New Orleans did not submit 2005 data to the FBI due to Hurricane Katrina '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 3 Building Analytic Capacity Lack of analytic capacity and resources in the Mayor’s Office and NOPD Public safety data systems: • Not integrated • Changes have been inconsistent across agencies • No system-wide retention or reconciliation policies • Systems used as repositories of information rather than informing research and practice 4 Integrated Data Sources Public Safety Sources • NOPD o Calls for Service (CAD) o Electronic Police Reports (EPR) o Field Information Cards (FIC) o Case Management System (to come) • Parole and Probation Records for Orleans Parish and surrounding Parishes • Sheriff’s Office Arrest and Booking Records • Group and Gang Database Open Data Sources • Schools, parks, libraries • Liquor stores • Map layers (police, fire, and council districts, historic districts, city parks, statistical areas) • Streetlights 5 Using Data to Reduce Murder Focus on People and Places • Five neighborhoods with largest share of violent activity • Victims and perpetrators are overwhelmingly young, African American, male, undereducated, and underemployed Better Understand Modality • 90% of murders are gun-involved • 75% occur in a public space • 78% are attributed to feud/retaliations, drugs, or an argument • Groups and gangs are responsible for a large portion 6 Murders are geographically persistent over 3 years 7 2011 2012 2013 Source: NOPD Homicide Division NOLA FOR LIFE NOLA FOR LIFE: A Comprehensive Murder Reduction Strategy • Multi-jurisdictional effort: city agencies, local, state and federal law enforcement, public safety agencies, community partners, service providers, researchers, universities, national experts 5 Pillars: • Stop the Shooting • Invest in Prevention • Promote Jobs & Opportunity • Improve the NOPD • Get Involved & Rebuild Neighborhoods 8 Multi-Agency Gang Unit Established in November 2012 • Made up of: NOPD, District Attorney’s Office, Sheriff’s Office, Louisiana State Police, Parole Board, US Attorney’s Office, FBI, ATF, DEA, US Marshal’s Service, US Probation & Parole • Uses racketeering (RICO) indictments to hold the most violent gangs accountable for the murders and shootings their members commit • 8 gangs and 83 gang members indicted Nov 2012- Mar 2014 • A similar multi-agency gang unit is being replicated in Philadelphia and Peoria as a best practice 9 Multi-Agency Gang Unit A new way of working 110’ers: 15 people indicted Allen Family: 7 people indicted Frenchmen and Derbigny: 9 people indicted 10 Palantir Focuses Resources Deploying limited resources where they will make the most impact • CeaseFire Hospital Crisis Intervention Team – Target community outreach to hot spots • Department of Public Works – Repair streetlight outages • Fire Department – Increase presence around schools in violent areas • Health Department – Identify schools with high-risk populations for prevention initiatives • Innovation Delivery Team – Analyze murder victim wound locations • Law Department – Enforce alcohol beverage outlet (ABO) violations • Mayor’s Office – Locate neighborhood cleanup sites • NOPD – Social network analysis, identify gang involvement in murders and shootings, and more 11 Challenges and Lessons Challenges in the Public Sector • Requires dedicated effort from project managers and public safety agencies • Data identification, approval for integration, architectural issues • Stakeholder and end user adoption Lessons From a Project Manager • Use your Palantir engineers! • Palantir helps users imagine how they can use the tool and provides the common language between technology and practitioner or policy wonk • On-site interest and adoption can be increased by replicating and expediting real world work flows • Demonstrate demonstrate demonstrate 12 Combating Crime in NOLA with Palantir Jeff Asher Intelligence Analyst Multi-Agency Gang Unit New Orleans Police Department Palantir as a Force Multiplier Substantial applications of Palantir all along the tactical to strategic spectrum Used to support: • Criminal investigations • Racketeering indictments • Strategic homicide-reduction strategies Employ multiple secure data sources: • Jail calls & phone data • Gang affiliations and violent activity • Crime Lab Data • Ballistics Analysis • Social Media 14 Criminal Investigations Social network analysis in Palantir has become integral part of investigative process • In 2013, New Orleans averaged 1.3 shootings per day (.45 homicides per day) • Each day, social network analyses of victims and suspects in recent shootings and homicides are delivered to NOPD leadership, NOPD detectives, and interested Federal partners • Ad hoc social network analysis charts provided to interested detectives to support and help solve specific investigations 15 Identifying Connections Through Social Network Analysis Indirect gang connection through Field Interview Card Jail calls to numbers in common with gang members Shared address with a gang member 16 Strategic Support Palantir used to create sophisticated baseline analyses of NOLA’s gangs • Firmly establishes gangs as “criminal enterprises” to assist in the indictment process • Identify associates of gang members who were not classified in the gang audit, but who have a history of offending with known gang members • Clearly establish gang territory and visually highlight possible feuds 17 Identifying Homicide Risk Through Social Network Analysis • Research in Chicago shows up to 40% of homicide victims are criminally involved with someone who has been involved in a shooting • Social network analysis of 2011-2013 fatal & non-fatal shooting victims in New Orleans creates a community of highest risk individuals • We can identify 35-50% of shooting victims from a population of 3,800 citizens (1% of total city population) • Called the NOLA Model • Identifying predictive murder victim characteristics will help reduce the size of the target population and maximize the efficiency of resource allocation • Predictive power will be the greatest among the high risk population with recent criminal histories 18 Identifying High Risk Victims Through Social Network Analysis Social Network of a December 2013 Homicide Victim …Repeat process thousands of times to identify high risk population March 2013 Field Interview Card 19 High Risk Population Breakdown New Orleans Population High Risk Population w/ High Risk Recent Criminal Population History High Risk Population w/ Recent Criminal History Age 19-31 Non-High Risk Population Population 378,000* 3,941 2,496 2,094 374,059 % of NOLA Population 100% 1% 0.66% 0.5% 99% 2014 Fatal Shooting Victims 30 14 12 11 16 Fatal Shooting Rate Per 100,000 32 1,420 1,923 2,101 17 20 Scoring 2014 Murders Incidents as of 4/01/2014 Total NOLA Model Other Percent Identified Homicide Incident by Shooting 27 16 11 59% Aggravated Battery by Shooting 73 27 46 37% Aggravated Assault w/Gunfire 14 6 8 43% Total Incidents 114 49 65 43% 21 From Analysis to Intervention Mayor’s Office and NOLA FOR LIFE team are developing innovative strategies for putting the NOLA Model into action, and using it to inform our prevention, intervention, and rehabilitation approaches • Engaging program partners • Narrowing the list through three steps: oSelecting individuals with the highest predictors of violence (age, criminal history, gang affiliation) oIdentifying individuals who are already engaged through other NOLA FOR LIFE programming oIdentifying indicators that will suggest whether law enforcement intervention or social service prevention (or a combination) is more appropriate 22 Innovative Solutions What We’ve Done So Far: • 20% reduction in murders and 14% reduction in non-fatal shootings • Lowest number of murders in nearly 30 years • Murder rate has dropped to 42.3 per 100,000 Where We Want to Go Next: • Create a dashboard that aggregates Street Gang Unit tactical activity • Identify most violent gangs in real time • Manage gang and other real-time intelligence • Track homicide cases as they progress through case processing • Identify returning citizens before release who are at highest risk for violence and connect them to reentry services • NOLAlytics 23 Contact Info Sarah JeffAsher 2A