OFFICE OF POLICY AND MANAGEMENT OFFICE OF FISCAL ANALYSIS Benjamin Barnes, Secretary "3 73/ Neil Ayers, Skeeter 450 Capitol Avenue Legislative Office Building Room 5280 Hartford, CT 06136?4591 Hartford, CT osroeuism PHONE: {860) tits-650G PHONE: (880) 249?0200 FAX: (850} 418-848? FAX: (860) 24043052 ?January 16, 2018 Governor Dannel P. Malloy Lieutenant Governor Nancy S. Wyman Senator Martin M. Looney Representative Joe Aresimowicz Senator Leonard A. Fasano Representative Themis Klarides Senator John W. Fonfara Senator L. Scott Frantz Representative Jason Rojas Ladies and Gentlemen: Pursuant to Section 2-36C of the Connecticut General Statutes, the Of?ce of Policy and Management and the Of?ce of Fiscal Analysis have met and have arrived at consensus revenue estimates for the current FY 17-19 biennium and next three ensuing ?scal years which are attached hereto. If you have any questions, please feel free to contact us. c, Benj)amin Barnes /Neil Ayers Secretary Director Of?ce of Policy and Management Of?ce of Fiscal Analysis cc: Comptroller Kevin Lembo State of Connecticut Consensus Revenue January 16, 2018 (in millions) General Fund Taxes Personal Income Tax Withholding Estimates and Finals Sales & Use Corporation Public Service Inheritance & Estate Insurance Companies Cigarettes Real Estate Conveyance Alcoholic Beverages Admissions & Dues Health Provider Tax Miscellaneous Total Taxes Refund of Taxes Earned Income Tax Credit R&D Credit exchange Total Taxes Less Refunds Other Revenue Transfers-Special Revenue Indian Gaming Payments Licenses, Permits, Fees Sales of Commodities Rents, Fines, Escheats Investment Income Miscellaneous Refund of Payments Total Other Revenue Other Sources Federal Grants Transfer From Tobacco Fund Transfers From/ (To) Other Funds Transfers to BRF - Volatility Adjustment Total Other Sources Total General Fund Revenues FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 $ 5,953.2 $ 6,059.0 $ 6,147.4 $ 6,274.5 $ 6,405.4 3,814.9 3,163.1 3,219.6 3,299.8 3,382.2 4,150.9 4,182.6 3,927.8 3,946.8 3,969.0 933.3 988.9 948.4 1,013.5 992.6 266.9 244.8 253.2 261.7 270.6 230.1 176.2 155.8 105.9 110.9 230.6 234.3 237.4 239.6 241.8 394.2 390.1 371.4 353.6 336.7 203.1 209.4 217.5 224.4 232.7 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.1 40.6 41.8 42.1 42.4 42.7 1,047.8 1,049.2 534.5 536.0 537.4 33.2 33.9 34.5 27.7 33.1 $ 17,355.9 $ 16,835.5 $ 16,151.7 $ 16,395.9 $ 16,620.6 (1,091.5) (1,146.0) (1,261.7) (1,326.5) (1,392.9) (115.0) (118.3) (121.8) (125.5) (129.3) (7.4) (7.7) (6.7) (6.9) (7.2) $ 16,142.7 $ 15,564.3 $ 14,761.0 $ 14,936.5 $ 15,090.7 $ $ $ $ 339.3 $ 272.3 308.3 37.8 157.1 8.0 193.3 (57.5) 1,258.6 $ 346.4 $ 202.7 341.3 38.7 143.7 9.5 189.1 (58.8) 1,212.6 $ 354.1 $ 200.3 341.4 39.7 145.9 10.7 193.4 (60.0) 1,225.5 $ 362.5 $ 199.4 319.6 40.7 148.1 11.1 197.3 (61.3) 1,217.4 $ 371.1 198.4 350.4 41.7 150.4 11.4 201.3 (62.5) 1,262.2 1,567.8 $ 109.7 65.7 (664.9) 1,078.3 $ 1,645.3 $ 110.2 106.1 (13.1) 1,848.5 $ 1,630.0 $ 94.0 (130.8) (69.6) 1,523.6 $ 1,647.0 $ 92.6 (130.8) (149.8) 1,459.0 $ 1,672.0 91.6 (130.8) (232.2) 1,400.6 $ 18,479.6 $ 18,625.4 $ 17,510.1 $ 17,612.9 $ 17,753.5 State of Connecticut Consensus Revenue January 16, 2018 (in millions) Special Transportation Fund Taxes Motor Fuels Tax Oil Companies Tax Sales & Use Tax Sales Tax - DMV Refunds of Taxes Total-Taxes Less Refunds FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 501.4 $ 502.3 $ 502.8 $ 500.3 $ 497.8 256.7 279.8 306.9 337.7 359.2 323.4 329.4 336.6 411.5 498.8 86.0 86.8 87.6 88.5 89.4 (13.9) (14.6) (15.3) (16.1) (16.9) $ 1,153.6 $ 1,183.7 $ 1,218.6 $ 1,321.9 $ 1,428.3 $ Other Sources Motor Vehicle Receipts Licenses, Permits, Fees Interest Income Federal Grants Transfers From/ (To) Other Funds Refunds of Payments Total Other Revenues $ Total STF Revenues $ $ 247.2 $ 141.5 9.5 12.1 (5.5) (4.2) 400.6 $ 1,554.2 $ 249.0 $ 142.8 10.4 12.1 (5.5) (4.3) 404.5 $ 1,588.2 $ 250.7 $ 143.6 11.2 12.1 (5.5) (4.4) 407.7 $ 1,626.3 $ 252.6 $ 144.2 12.1 11.8 (5.5) (4.5) 410.7 $ 1,732.6 $ 254.4 144.7 13.0 11.0 (5.5) (4.6) 413.0 1,841.3