REDI STRICTING MAJORITY PROJECT (git: 5 - as Congressional Redistricting: Drawing Maps for the Next Five Elections Question: How do we create 20-25 new Republican Congressional districts over the next five cycles and solidify a Republican Congressional majority? Congressional Redistricting: Drawing Maps forthe Next Five Elections Answer: Control the redistricting process! To control the process in 2011, or at least have a seat at the table: winning, defending and increasing state legislative majorities must be a priority. . Em Maps Matter: The First Tool in Winning Elections Texas Example: Before Republicans won control of the Texas state legislature in 2002, Democrats had a 17-15 edge in the Congressional delegation. After flexing their majority to change the district maps, Republicans won 21 seats to the Democrats 11 in 2004 a six seat swing from 2002.1 2002 Election Resuita 2004 Election Resuits Remix?can Win 1The Supreme Court later ordered the redrawing of one district which resulted in the 4 current delegation of 20 Republicans to 12 Democrats. Maps Matter: 1 The First Tool in Winning Elections Example: The delegation in 2000 was 11 Republicans and 10 Democrats, and was set to lose two Congressional seats in reapportionment. The Republican controlled legislature drew maps that put two Democrat Congressman into the same district and another in a heavy Republican district. The delegation went to 12 Republicans and 7 Democrats after the 2002 election with the new Republican maps. 2002 Results Maps Matter: The First ool in Winning Elections Georgia Congressional DistrictGeorq la ExamDIe: Eifecime 2002 Election. w??wm?m?m Georgia received two additional Congressional seats in reapportionment but Democrats controlled the state House, Senate, and Governor after the 2000 election. Total Democrat control and a desire to maximize black Democrat representation resulted in a highly gerrymandered map.1 Democrats won both new seats in 2002. h. .3923 5mm 0?1 Wde :me u; mag {a gnaw Arubaw?kwm?mg ?33? 5.9.42. ,3 gm?? {nag .. 257o/rr fr I5 or x?avf? :4 xi . .. A9901Hwam?mfhw?m?w,? 0? . Annviz/luv u.u. fr 9:052va ?6:80 >th E950 The cost of 20-25 new Republican Congressional districts for the next five cycles through redistricting? The cost of competing in 20-25 competitive swing or Democrat leaning Congressional districts for the next five cycles?1 1 The average cost of a competitive winning US. House race in 2008 (margin of 5% or less) was $2.04 million. What will it take in 2010? $31.5 million non?federal ?soft? dollars spent on 2010 state legislative races $255 million federal ?hard? dollars over the next 10 years What will it take in 2010? There are more than 6,000 state legislative races in 2010. If Republicans win 107 key races in 16 states we will: Fully control or affect the drawing of 9 new Congressional districts awarded during 2011 reapportionment. Florida Georgia Nevada South Carolina Texas Utah Affect the redrawing of maps in 5 states losing 6 Congressional districts during 2011 reapportionment. Iowa (71), Michigan Ohio (-2), (-1), New York Strengthen Republican redistricting power by flipping 15 chambers from Democrat to Republican control and defending Republican majorities in 9 chambers. Alabama House Senate Colorado House 8: Senate Indiana House Iowa House Kentucky Senate (Defend) Michigan Senate (Defend) Nevada Senate New York Senate North Carolina House Senate Ohio Senate (Defend) House Oklahoma House Senate (Defend) Oregon Senate House Tennessee House Senate (Defend) Texas House Senate (Defend) Wisconsin Assembly Senate 1O 2003-2004 Republican State Leadership Committee: Unmatched Record of State Legislative Success 2009 New Republican Majorities: Republican Legislative Gains in New Jersey and v? Georgia House Virginia: v? Indgana House Picked up six seats in the Virginia House of Oklahoma House Delegates, defeating eight Democrat incumbents v? Tennessee Senate . . . Picked up one seat in the New Jersey Strengthened Republican numbers in 26 chambers Assembly 2005 2006 New Republican Majorities: - Since election day 2008, Republicans have won 51 state legislative special elections netting thirteen seats (As of 4/14/10) Montana House Tied the Montana Senate Strengthened Republican numbers in 10 chambers 2007 - 2008 New Republican Majorities: 11 v? Strengthened Republican numbers in 9 chambers Oklahoma Senate Montana Senate Tennessee House Tennessee Senate REDMAP: REDistricting MAjority Project A program of the Republican State Leadership Committee Ed Gillespie RSLC Chairman Former RNC Chairman, Republican Party of Virginia Chairman, and Counselor to President George W. Bush The Honorable Tom Reynolds - RSLC Vice-Chairman and REDMAP Chair 0 Former NRCC Chairman and US Representative (NY-26), and former New York State Assembly Republican Leader REDMAP Steering Committee Mike Duncan former RNC Chairman The Honorable Bill Brock former US Senator and RNC Chairman The Honorable Robin Hayes former US Representative (NC-8) Anne Hathaway former RNC Chief of Staff RSLC Staff Tim Barnes Chairman of the Board and Finance Chairman Christopher Jankowski -- REDMAP Exec. Director Ben Cannatti Political Director Sarah Fehrer-- RSLC Sr. V. P., Development 12 . 003333?: 5:5 Emmnaoq?mzn 520% 023353 Am ?Nix. .5. k5 sunuw. . w?bvwaM? l5 4a u) mam?? . m_mo? imbozzmm .3 W86 03336 Ema 005306 ?O_u iainTuna-N . I u. gut-fry ?gawk.mvTT? .. x. m. . .. watfam..ruv\ . . . ?m?E . 14 w- .2 re-sswe:and Party - {~433th 1mm Shem:wa Mart-z: Hem. ms Rm Foundation tartba Future and National I - Derrmatic Redistricting Trustorganizing' the?iegislalive and ie'gaf esral'egv 10: hi; . .: +Naticnai Committee form Effective .-. congress- (NCEQ): providing- ihe targeting?- ff . - dataand mapping-Stralegyfor'iair? g, I I ngfedis?ic?m; . I. . . .- developing and executing m- 2.. 5 :electo'rairstrazegy to protect or pick up key . 1 '7 Democrats are Organized and Well-Funded ?Democrats already have a galaxy of at least six national groups coordinating on state legislative races. Among them are the union-based Foundation for the Future, the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, and the Democracy Alliance group has distributed $110 million for down?ballot races in recent years.? - Karl Rove, Wall Street Journal, March 4, 2010 . The last have established the Redistricting Fund to deploy $20 million to races that will have the greatest impact on reapportionment.? - Memo from Michael Sergeant, DLCC Executive Director, to ?Democratic Leaders Activists March 15, 2010 Proiect (Ston Republican Gerrymanderinq) headed by Harold lckes will raise millions of dollars to support Democrat redistricting election efforts. Washington Post, March 22, 2010, p. A2 ?An Online Blueprint of the Left,? Washington Examiner, 1/8/10 Redistricting Party Control - Congressional Only (2011) Nev. xv, 2.Governor Symbols in Circle Republican (108) Democrat (124) Split Control (161) Commission (35) At-Large (7) ISSIOH lmpass Fall Back State Supreme Court Comm In AL. RI. and TN, Gov. veto not sustainable. In NC. Gov. has no redi rioting veto. Strategy Democrats are Organized and Well?Funded Focused on State Campaigns $126,597,572 State Elections Last Cycle Only 40/0 $5,383,701 to Republican Candidates Source: Followthemoneyorg 16 Why should you give to REDMAP for Redistricting? 100% of money raised into the RSLC-REDMAP will be spent on political operations for the 2010 state legislative elections important to Congressional redistricting. The RSLC experienced leadership is headed by Ed Gillespie, Chairman, and former Congressman Tom Reynolds, Vice-Chairman, along with professional fundraising, political and compliance staff with the infrastructure and history of operating in all target redistricting states. The RSLC can accept unlimited contributions from individuals, corporations, aggregate and PACs. Contributions to the RSLC do not count towards federal contribution limits. The RSLC has raised an average of more than $20 million per two-year cycle from more than 80,000 donors. Over and above our normal fundraising during the 2009?201 0 cycle we plan to raise another $20 million into RSLC-REDMAP. REDMAP: REDistricting MAjority Project A program of the Republican State Leadership Committee Paid for by Republican State Leadership Committee 1800 Diagonal Road, Suite 230 Alexandria, Virginia 22314 redistricting majorityprojectcom Contributions to the RSLC are not used for federal election activity or to influence a federal election. Contributions or gifts to the Republican State Leadership Committee and its af?liated state PACs are not tax deductible. Contributions may be used for activities of the RSLC and its affiliated state PACs at the sote discretion. The RSLC does not accept earmarked contributions. Contributions from foreign nationals are not solicited or permitted. 17