Alternative 3 • Similar to Alternative 1, but reduces overall volume of moves • Giants Neck neighborhood moves from Haynes to NCS • Niantic east of Pennsylvania Avenue and north from Oswegatchie Hills Road moves from NCS to Haynes • Neighborhood west of Dean Road/Plum Hill Road and adjacent to Boston Post Road moves from Flanders to Haynes 16 Alternative 3: Projections • Niantic Center enrollment jumps to level on par or above L.B. Haynes • Flanders enrollment remains relatively high • Projections are strictly based on modeling and do not account for individual school preferences that may ultimately impact future enrollment 17 Alternative 3: Projections Alternative 3: Projected Enrollment and Utilization Planning Max. Projected % of Lower % of Upper School Capacity Enrollment Bound Bound Flanders 335 - 372 377 112.5% 101.3% LB Haynes 389 - 432 340 87.4% 78.7% Niantic Center 281 - 312 351 124.9% 112.5% • Projected enrollment puts Niantic Center enrollments above its upper-bound capacity by 2022-23, with Flanders enrollments slightly exceeding capacity as well by 2026-27 • As with Alt. 2, L.B. Haynes remains significantly below its potential capacity and would remain underutilized in light of projected enrollments at the other two K-4 buildings • Total of 195 K-4 students would move under this scenario (approx. 23% of all K-4 students) • This scenario may perform poorly with respect to criteria of Equity and Future Growth and Sustainability if projection assumptions hold 18 Alternative 4 • Similar to Alternative 3, but eliminates move from Niantic Center to Haynes • Giants Neck neighborhood moves from Haynes to NCS • Neighborhood west of Dean Road/Plum Hill Road and Lover’s Lane, and south of Boston Post Road moves from Flanders to Haynes 19 Alternative 4: Projections • Greatly narrows gap in enrollment between elementary buildings, in particular sharply increasing enrollment at Niantic Center and slightly decreasing enrollment at Flanders • Projections are strictly based on modeling and do not account for individual school preferences that may ultimately impact future enrollment 20 Alternative 4: Projections Alternative 4: 3: Projected Enrollment and Utilization Planning Max. Projected % of Lower % of Upper School Capacity Enrollment Bound Bound Flanders 335 - 372 377 368 112.5% 109.9% 101.3% 98.9% LB Haynes 389 - 432 340 360 87.4% 92.5% 78.7% 83.3% Niantic Center 281 - 312 351 340 124.9% 121.0% 112.5% 109.0% • Projected enrollment puts Niantic Center enrollments above its upperbound capacity by 2025-26 • Flanders and L.B. Haynes school enrollments remain below upperbound capacities throughout projection horizon • If adopted, this scenario may require future redistricting to avoid overcrowding at Niantic Center if projection assumptions hold • Total of 192 K-4 students would move under this scenario (approx. 23% of all K-4 students) 21 Alternative 3A o Similar to prior Alternative 1, but funnels net greater number of students to L.B. Haynes with Freedom Way Neigh. Staying in L.B. Haynes o Giants Neck neighborhood moves from Haynes to NCS o Niantic east of Pennsylvania Avenue and north from Oswegatchie Hills Road moves from NCS to Haynes o Neighborhood west of Lovers Lane/Plum Hill Road and adjacent to Boston Post Road moves from Flanders to Haynes 2 Alternative 3A: Projections o LLB Haynes enrollments see strong growth over 10-year horizon o Flanders enrollment declines and stabilizes at ~330 to 350 students o Projections are strictly based on modeling and do not account for individual school preferences that may ultimately impact future enrollment 3 Alternative 3A: Projections Alternative Alternative3A: 3: Projected ProjectedEnrollment Enrollmentand andUtilization Utilization Planning Max. Projected % of Lower % of Upper School Capacity Enrollment Bound Bound Flanders 335 - 372 377 351 112.5% 104.8% 101.3% 94.4% LB Haynes 389 - 432 340 417 107.2% 87.4% 78.7% 96.5% Niantic Center 281 - 312 351 299 124.9% 106.4% 112.5% 95.8% o Enrollment at all three elementary buildings remain within upperbound capacity throughout projection horizon and maintain some margin of flexibility at ~95% utilization o Total of 187 K-4 students would move under this scenario (approx. 22% of all K-4 students) o Addresses imbalances between buildings projected to arise in prior Alternative 3, and is more likely to remain in balance in the face of expected growth 4 Alternative 4A o Similar to Alternative 3, but eliminates move of Freedom Way Neigh. from Niantic Center to Haynes o Giants Neck neighborhood moves from Haynes to NCS o Neighborhood west of Dean Road/Plum Hill Road and Lover's Lane, and south of Boston Post Road moves from Flanders to Haynes 5 Alternative 4A: Projections o Narrows gap in enrollment between elementary buildings, sharply increasing enrollment at Niantic Center, slightly decreasing enrollment at Flanders, and channeling future growth towards L.B. Haynes (where unused capacity exists) o Projections are strictly based on modeling and do not account for individual school preferences that may ultimately impact future enrollment 6 Alternative 4A: Projections Alternative 4A: Projected Enrollment and Utilization Planning Max. Projected % of Lower % of Upper School Capacity Enrollment Bound Bound Flanders 335 - 372 368 109.9% 98.9% LB Haynes 389 - 432 387 99.5% 89.6% Niantic Center 281 - 312 313 111.4% 100.3% o Projected enrollment puts Niantic Center enrollments very slightly above upper-bound capacity in 2026-27, but otherwise schools remain below upper-bound capacities through projection horizon o If adopted, this scenario may require future redistricting to avoid overcrowding at Niantic Center if projection assumptions hold o Total of 167 K-4 students would move under this scenario (approx. 19.9% of all K-4 students) 7