Suffolk University 4/26 – 4/30 New Hampshire Marginals Region: (N=800) n West/North ----------------------------------------------------- 178 Central ----------------------------------------------------------- 208 Hillsborough --------------------------------------------------- 224 Rockingham ---------------------------------------------------- 190 % 22.25 26.00 28.00 23.75 Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk University and I would like to get your opinions on some issues of the day in New Hampshire. Would you like to spend seven minutes to help us out? (ASK FOR YOUNGEST IN HOUSEHOLD) (For CELL RESPONDENTS, CONFIRM THEIR COUNTY) 1. Gender (N=800) n Male -------------------------------------------------------------- 394 Female ----------------------------------------------------------- 406 % 49.25 50.75 2. How likely are you to vote in the New Hampshire general election for Governor and Congress this November -- very likely, somewhat likely, 50-50 or not likely? (N=800) n % Very likely ------------------------------------------------------ 706 88.25 Somewhat likely ----------------------------------------------- 94 11.75 3. Are you currently registered as a Democrat, Republican, or Undeclared/Independent? (N=800) n % Democrat -------------------------------------------------------- 243 30.38 Republican ------------------------------------------------------ 250 31.25 Independent/Undeclared ------------------------------------- 290 36.25 Other -------------------------------------------------------------- 12 1.50 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 5 0.63 4. What is your age category? (N=800) n 18-24 Years------------------------------------------------------ 61 25-34 Years------------------------------------------------------ 99 35-49 Years----------------------------------------------------- 173 50-64 Years----------------------------------------------------- 217 65-74 Years----------------------------------------------------- 173 75+ ---------------------------------------------------------------- 69 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 8 5. % 7.63 12.38 21.63 27.13 21.63 8.63 1.00 For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic background / ancestry is? (N=800) n % White/Caucasian----------------------------------------------- 735 91.88 Black/African-American -------------------------------------- 13 1.63 American Indian / Alaska Native ----------------------------- 3 0.38 Asian ---------------------------------------------------------------- 5 0.63 Native Hawaiian / Other Pacific Islander -------------------- 2 0.25 Hispanic/Latino --------------------------------------------------- 8 1.00 Other -------------------------------------------------------------- 17 2.13 Refused ----------------------------------------------------------- 17 2.13 Fielded 4/26 – 4/30 Page 1 of 7 New Hampshire Study 4/26 – 4/30 Suffolk University 6. Do you feel the country is headed in the right direction or is on the wrong track? (N=800) n % Right Direction ------------------------------------------------ 306 38.25 Wrong Track -------------------------------------------------- 390 48.75 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 104 13.00 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? (N=800) n % Approve --------------------------------------------------------- 314 39.25 Disapprove ----------------------------------------------------- 410 51.25 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 76 9.50 I am going to read you a short list of individuals and for each, please tell me if your opinion of them is generally favorable or generally unfavorable. If you are undecided or if you have never heard of someone, just tell me that. First take Donald Trump. Is your opinion of Donald Trump generally favorable or generally unfavorable? (RANDOMIZE 9-16) (N=800) NEVER HEARD FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HOF/UNDECIDED 8. Donald Trump 4 0.50 332 41.50 423 52.88 41 5.13 9. Chris Sununu 40 5.00 425 53.13 204 25.50 131 16.38 10. Maggie Hassan 43 5.38 408 51.00 259 32.38 90 11.25 11. Jeanne Shaheen 47 5.88 423 52.88 257 32.13 73 9.13 12. Molly Kelly 508 63.50 82 10.25 33 4.13 177 22.13 13. Steve Marchand 450 56.25 105 13.13 44 5.50 201 25.13 14. Jilletta Jarvis 633 79.13 16 2.00 31 3.88 120 15.00 15. Mike Pence 22 2.75 346 43.25 343 42.88 89 11.13 16. Nikki Haley 228 28.50 296 37.00 127 15.88 149 18.63 Fielded 4/26 – 4/30 Page 2 of 7 New Hampshire Study Suffolk University 4/26 – 4/30 New Hampshire Marginals (ROTATE 17-18) 17. If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Chris Sununu, Democrat Steve Marchand, and Libertarian Jilletta Jarvis, for whom would you vote or lean toward? (N=800) n % Republican Chris Sununu ------------------------------------ 388 48.50 Democrat Steve Marchand ---------------------------------- 203 25.38 Libertarian Jilletta Jarvis -------------------------------------- 33 4.13 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 171 21.38 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 5 0.63 18. If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Chris Sununu, Democrat Molly Kelly, and Libertarian Jilletta Jarvis, for whom would you vote or lean toward? (N=800) n % Republican Chris Sununu ------------------------------------ 381 47.63 Democrat Molly Kelly --------------------------------------- 213 26.63 Libertarian Jilletta Jarvis -------------------------------------- 33 4.13 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 167 20.88 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 6 0.75 19. How likely are you to vote in upcoming Democratic Primary for Governor this September -- very likely, somewhat likely, 50-50 or not likely? (N=800) n % Very likely ------------------------------------------------------ 310 38.75 Somewhat likely ------------------------------------------------ 91 11.38 50-50 -------------------------------------------------------------- 74 9.25 Not likely ------------------------------------------------------- 291 36.38 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 34 4.25 (FOR 19.1 or 19.2) 20. If the Democratic Primary for Governor were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Molly Kelly or Steve Marchand, for whom would you vote or lean – (ROTATE) Kelly or Marchand? (N=401) n % Molly Kelly------------------------------------------------------ 85 21.20 Steve Marchand------------------------------------------------- 77 19.20 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 233 58.10 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 6 1.50 21. Going forward, what is the best way to prevent gun violence in New Hampshire? (RANDOMIZE 21.1 - 21.3) (N=800) n % Implement a 48-hour waiting period for all gun licenses ----------------------------------------------------- 137 17.13 Arm teachers in schools who complete training --------- 92 11.50 Ban the sales of military-style assault weapons --------- 330 41.25 No new law will help ----------------------------------------- 154 19.25 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 78 9.75 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 9 1.13 Fielded 4/26 – 4/30 Page 3 of 7 New Hampshire Study 4/26 – 4/30 Suffolk University 22. The New Hampshire State Legislature is considering putting Marsy’s Law on the November ballot as a constitutional amendment. Proponents say that under the proposed amendment, the rights of victims would be elevated to the same level as the rights of criminal defendants. Opponents say that the state’s Victim Bill of Rights, which is already on the books, currently provides protection or victims. At this point would you vote for or against Marcy’s Law becoming an amendment to the state constitution? (N=800) n % FOR Marsy’s Law becoming a constitutional amendment ------------------------------------------------ 277 34.63 AGAINST Marsy’s Law becoming a constitutional amendment ------------------------------------------------ 160 20.00 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 351 43.88 Refused ---------------------------------------------------------- 12 1.50 23. Do you believe New Hampshire has a massive voter fraud problem? (N=800) n Yes --------------------------------------------------------------- 147 No ---------------------------------------------------------------- 572 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 78 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 3 24. % 18.38 71.50 9.75 0.38 Next, I’d like to shift to national politics. The New Hampshire presidential primaries are only a year and a half away. Some Democrats are looking to run for the open Democratic nomination and some Republicans are looking to challenge President Trump in a Republican Primary. At this point, do you think you’d vote in the Democratic Primary, Republican Primary, or skip the primaries altogether? (N=800) n 0% Democratic Primary ------------------------------------------ 295 36.88 Republican Primary ------------------------------------------- 315 39.38 Skip Primaries -------------------------------------------------- 85 10.63 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 100 12.50 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 5 0.63 (FOR 24.1) 25. I’m going to read you 7 possible candidates. If the Democratic Primary for President were held today and the candidates were …. (RANDOMIZE), for whom would you vote or lean toward? (N=295) n % Former Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick ---------- 24 8.14 Former Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe ---------------- 5 1.69 New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand---------------------- 10 3.39 New Jersey Senator Cory Booker --------------------------- 30 10.17 California Senator Kamala Harris--------------------------- 18 6.10 Former Vice President Joe Biden ----------------------- 88 29.83 Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders ----------------------- 75 25.42 Other (Specify) --------------------------------------------------- 2 0.68 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 36 12.20 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 7 2.37 Fielded 4/26 – 4/30 Page 4 of 7 New Hampshire Study Suffolk University 4/26 – 4/30 New Hampshire Marginals (FOR 24.1) 26. What if I added Senator Elizabeth Warren to this same list? (N=295) n Former Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick ---------- 11 Former Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe ---------------- 6 New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand------------------------ 7 New Jersey Senator Cory Booker --------------------------- 24 California Senator Kamala Harris--------------------------- 12 Former Vice President Joe Biden ----------------------- 59 Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders --------------------------- 37 Elizabeth Warren ------------------------------------------ 76 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 54 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 9 % 3.73 2.03 2.37 8.14 4.07 20.00 12.54 25.76 18.31 3.05 (FOR 24.2) I’m going to run 4 possible Republican candidates against Donald Trump. For each scenario, please tell me who you would vote for/lean toward in a Republican Primary…. (RANDOMIZE 27-30) 27. 28. 29. 30. Donald Trump versus Ohio Governor John Kasich. (N=315) n Donald Trump ------------------------------------------------- 215 John Kasich------------------------------------------------------ 74 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 26 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 0 % 68.25 23.49 8.25 0.00 Donald Trump versus Arizona Senator Jeff Flake. (N=315) n Donald Trump ------------------------------------------------- 227 Jeff Flake--------------------------------------------------------- 46 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 40 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 2 % 72.06 14.60 12.70 0.63 Donald Trump versus Florida Senator Marco Rubio. (N=315) n Donald Trump ------------------------------------------------- 207 Marco Rubio ---------------------------------------------------- 73 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 35 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 0 % 65.71 23.17 11.11 0.00 Donald Trump versus former Republican nominee Mitt Romney. (N=315) n Donald Trump ------------------------------------------------- 198 Mitt Romney ---------------------------------------------------- 89 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 27 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 1 % 62.86 28.25 8.57 0.32 Fielded 4/26 – 4/30 Page 5 of 7 New Hampshire Study 4/26 – 4/30 Suffolk University 31. Do you think Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy? (N=800) n Yes --------------------------------------------------------------- 266 No ---------------------------------------------------------------- 474 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 58 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 2 % 33.25 59.25 7.25 0.25 32. In the 2016 election for president did you vote for Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, Green Party Jill Stein, or did you not vote in 2016? (N=800) n % Democrat Hillary Clinton ------------------------------------ 347 43.38 Republican Donald Trump ---------------------------------- 341 42.63 Libertarian Gary Johnson ------------------------------------- 23 2.88 Green Jill Stein --------------------------------------------------- 6 0.75 Did not vote in 2016 ------------------------------------------- 38 4.75 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------- 30 3.75 Refused ---------------------------------------------------------- 15 1.88 33. How would you describe your own political viewpoint – very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, very conservative? (ROTATE .1-.5 ASCENDING TO DESCENDING) (N=800) n % Very liberal ------------------------------------------------------ 78 9.75 Liberal ----------------------------------------------------------- 115 14.38 Moderate -------------------------------------------------------- 313 39.13 Conservative --------------------------------------------------- 160 20.00 Very Conservative --------------------------------------------- 97 12.13 Other -------------------------------------------------------------- 18 2.25 Don’t know ----------------------------------------------------- 19 2.38 THE FINAL QUESTIONS WILL HELP US CLASSIFY YOUR ANSWERS WITH OTHERS TAKING THE SURVEY 34. What is your annual household income? (READ CATEGORIES) (N=800) n Under $20,000 per year --------------------------------------- 58 Under $50,000 per year -------------------------------------- 149 Under $75,000 per year -------------------------------------- 136 Under $100,000 per year------------------------------------- 134 Under $140,000 per year------------------------------------- 105 $140,000 per year or more------------------------------------ 96 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 122 Fielded 4/26 – 4/30 Page 6 of 7 % 7.25 18.63 17.00 16.75 13.13 12.00 15.25 New Hampshire Study Suffolk University 35. 36. 4/26 – 4/30 New Hampshire Marginals Is anyone in your household a member of a labor union? (N=800) n Yes --------------------------------------------------------------- 106 No ---------------------------------------------------------------- 685 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 3 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 6 % 13.25 85.63 0.38 0.75 Are there any members of your household who are gun owners? (N=800) n Yes --------------------------------------------------------------- 331 No ---------------------------------------------------------------- 446 Undecided --------------------------------------------------------- 8 Refused ----------------------------------------------------------- 15 % 41.38 55.75 1.00 1.88 [THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME. HAVE A NICE DAY/EVENING.] Fielded 4/26 – 4/30 Page 7 of 7 New Hampshire Study