THE DES MOINES REGISTER/MEDIACOM IOWA POLL SELZER & COMPANY 400 Likely Democratic primary voters in CD3 143 from statewide sample; 257 from oversample Margin of error: ± 4.9 percentage points Study #2172 May 13-16, 2018 1,326 general population contacts weighted by age and sex POLL QUESTIONS Percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding. How likely is it you will vote in the Democratic primary election for Iowa governor and some other offices to be held in June—will you definitely vote, probably vote, might or might not vote, probably not vote, or have you already voted? Already voted Definitely vote Probably vote Might or might not vote Probably not vote Refused/not sure Continue Collect age, sex, race, education and congressional district and terminate I’m going to mention the names of some candidates running for the Democratic nomination for your U.S. representative to Congress. For each name I read, please tell me if your feelings toward the person are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you don’t know the person, just say so. (Record “don’t know” as “not sure.” Rotate list.) Net Net Very Mostly Mostly Very Not Favorable* Unfavorable* Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable Sure Cindy Axne, a small business owner Pete D’Alessandro, a political organizer Eddie Mauro, a small business owner 33 22 42 8 10 13 13 7 8 20 15 33 5 7 8 3 3 5 59 68 46 *Due to rounding, very+mostly may not equal nets. (If already voted, ask:) In the Democratic primary for U.S. representative, for whom did you vote? (Read list. Rotate.) (If definitely vote, ask:) If the Democratic primary for U.S. representative were held today, which one of the following candidates would you vote for? (Read list. Rotate.) (Ask only of those who would definitely vote and do not name a first choice candidate:) Toward which candidate would you say you are leaning, or support the most? Are any of these candidates unacceptable to you if they were to become the nominee—either in the primary or if nominated at the Democratic district convention? (Read names of candidates not selected. Mark all that apply. Multiple responses accepted, so total may exceed 100%.) Total Vote Cindy Axne Pete D’Alessandro Eddie Mauro None of these/someone else/would not vote Refused/not sure All are acceptable 26 11 27 10 26 N/A __________________ SELZER & COMPANY PAGE 1 Unacceptable 3 5 6 N/A 31 59 (If None/not sure in first choice question, do not ask, but code “Could still be persuaded.” If already voted, code “Mind is made up” and do not ask.) When it comes to your support of [CANDIDATE NAMED IN HORSERACE QUESTION), would you say your mind is made up, or could you still be persuaded to support another candidate as your first choice? 18 82 1 Mind is made up Could still be persuaded Not sure About the Poll The Iowa Poll, conducted May 13-16 for The Des Moines Register and Mediacom by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, is based on telephone interviews with 400 Iowans ages 18 or older in the 3 rd congressional district who say they will definitely vote or have already voted early in the Democratic primary this June. Interviewers with Quantel Research contacted 1,326 households with randomly selected landline and cell phone numbers supplied by Survey Sampling International. Of the 400 likely voters interviewed, 143 3 rd district respondents were pulled from the statewide poll; the remaining 257 respondents were collected via a 3 rd district oversample. Interviews were administered in English. Responses were adjusted by age and sex to reflect the general population based on recent census data. Questions based on the subsample of 400 likely Democratic primary voters have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. This means that if this survey were repeated using the same questions and the same methodology, 19 times out of 20, the findings would not vary from the true population value by more than plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. Results based on smaller samples of respondents—such as by gender or age—have a larger margin of error. Republishing the copyright Iowa Poll without credit to The Des Moines Register and Mediacom is prohibited. __________________ SELZER & COMPANY PAGE 2