cl earv.Lp"\/}{ Ch¡ldren's Trust of Leon County Polling Results Prepared for: Prepared by: Steven J. Vancore Kari Headings lhren ûarner April 12,2018 rlz cleaf VIEW R ESE,A RCH Table of Contents Methodology 3 Overall Results 4 22 Rank Order of Responses Leon-Iallahassse Poll Clearview Polling and Research, ILC 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, April 12, 2018 Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com 2 ear VIEW C RESEAF?CI.J MethodologY with a sample of 400 likely 2018 Using a national calling center, Clearview Research conducted interviews Thursday, March lst through General Election voters-across Leon County. The survey was conducted from Tuesday, March 6th during evening hours' 2016 General Elections as well as The composition of respondents took into account turnout in the 2014 and likely 2018 General current iegistration, in an attempt to make the final sample "look like" Leon County's gender, race, age, party, and region in order Election uõt¡ng population. As such, the sample was balanced by reach our to be consistent and simiiar to the actual voting population. ln order to better for our distribuiion cellphones. targets and maintain a representative population,3To/o of calls were made to [) e rn ogra ¡t lt Targets & SarrlPle Po¡tulatton tc ûender tema Race ucaslan Hispanic/0ther Pa rty Democrat 0ther Region County Age t8-34 35-49 yielding a general response set with a Based on the above, the weighted sample is both random and representative, margin of enor of 5.0 at the 95% confidence level. t leon-Iallahasee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - Apr¡l 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida l2' 2018 32303 T 850'681'8530 http://clearview-research.com 3 rlz --a' clea "VIEW F?F-f:FARC.]H Ove rall Results PolU0ualitative 0uestions: 01. 02. Generally speaking, do you feelthings in Leon County are: Headed in the right direction or 48% Have gotten off on the wrong track? 327. Unsure/refused 20% From what you have heard or read, how well do you think Leon County does in addressing chil- dren's issues such as after-school care, infant mortality, and adoption services? Would you say the job Leon County is doing is: Excellent, Good, Only fair, or Poor? Unsure/refused ZZ% Good 4I% Bad 37% Leon-Tallahassee Clearview Polling and Research, LLC 3% lg% 3l% 6% Poll - April I 2, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681,8530 http://clearview-research.com 4 \l/ ea 'VIEW -a-- C R trÍ:ìFrA Next, I would like to ask your opinion of some individuals and groups. For each, please tì( 'l tell me if your opinion is favorable or unfavorable. The first is: 03. Leon County Superintendent of Schools Rocky Hanna Veryfavorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Unsure/Refused Favorable Unfavorable 04. 36% 37% 9% 7% II% 73% 16% Leon County Sheriff Walt McNeil Very favorable 30% Somewhat favorable 40% Somewhat unfavorable 8% Very unfavorable 3% Unsure/Refused 19% Favorable 70% Unfavorable 1I% leon-Iallahasses Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - April 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com 5 -1 c earvl,9"y..v 05. 06. 07 Leon County Commissioner Nick Maddox Very favorable n% Somewhat favorable 35% Somewhat unfavorable 12% Very unfavorable 77o Unsure/Refused 3s% Favorable 46% Unfavorable L9% Leon County Commissioner Bryan Desloge Very favorable L2% Somewhat favorable 35% Somewhat unfavorable 12% Very unfavorable 3% Unsure/Refused 38% Favorable 47% Unfavorable ß% State Representative Loranne Ausley Very favorable 23% Somewhat favorable 34% Somewhat unfavorable 8% Very unfavorable Yo Unsure/Refused 30% Favorable 57% Unfavorable L2% Leon-Tallahassee Clearview Polling and Research, LLC Poll - Apr¡l 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com 6 \¡/ -a- C 08. ea 'VIEW [_: F C_iEr A Ê:¡ Mayor Andrew Gillum Very favorable 27% Somewhat favorable 30% Somewhat unfavorable 12% Very unfavorable 22y" Unsure/Refused 9% Favorable 57% Unfavorable 34% The Leon County Board of County Commissioners 09. Very favorable 010. 9% Somewhat favorable 48% Somewhat unfavorable t5% Very unfavorable 8% Unsure/Refused 2t% Favorable 57% Unfavorable 23% The Tallahassee City Commission Very favorable 8% Somewhat favorable 39% Somewhat unfavorable 18% Very unfavorable 16% Unsure/Refused rqy" Favorable 47% Unfavorable 34% leon-Tallahassoe Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - April 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com 7 (. !. j C earv,l=g^}/J/ 011. The Children's Trust of Leon County 5% Very.favorable 20% Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable 2% Very unfavorable 2% Unsure/Refused 70% Favorable 25% Unfavora ble 012. 5o/o The Children's Services Councilof Leon County 8% Very favorable 29% Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable 4% Very unfavorable 3% Unsure/Refused 56% Favora b 37% le 7% Unfavorable 013. The Tallahassee Democrat Very favorable L3% Somewhat favorable 38% Somewhat unfavorable 18% Very unfavorable 17% Unsure/Refused 77o Favorable 577. Unfavorable 36% leon-Tallahassee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - April 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com I cl earvl,gH candidates there rn the upcoming erections, after the wiil the be a series of questions. One of question services council of Leon county. The questions will pertain to the creation of a children's is likely to read as follows: 014. created to services council of Leon county" is An independent special district, the "children's fundimprovementsinqualitychildren'sdevelopment,physicalandmentalhealth'andother not to exceed one-half (Ø) mill for ser- ad valorem tax services by the levying each year of an of these funds' and ensure pr'per fiscar stewardship vices for chirdren residing in Leon county by a vote of the elecapproved for ten years and must be reauthorized This authorization is torate. of a chilyou vote Yes or No on authorizing the funding lf the election were held today, would dren'sServicesCouncilofLeonCountyasdescribedabove? 32% Definitely voting Yes, 35% Leaning towards voting Yes, t0% Leaning towards voting No, or t8% Definitely voting No? 6lo Unsure/refused 67ï. Yes 28% No leon-Iallahassse Poll clearview Polling and Research, LLC - tpril 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee' Florida 12' 2018 32303 T 850'681'8530 http://clearview-research.com I C ear VIEW R would like to read you a When thinking about a Children's Services Council of Leon County, I FSEARC list of project is improjects that the Council could help fund. For each, please tell me if you think that portant or unimportant for the property tax money to be spent on. 015. 016. To help reduce gang violence Very important 6t% Somewhat important 20% Somewhat unimportant n% Very unimportant 8% Unsure/Refused 2% lmportant 8L% Unimportant t7% To help reduce teen PregnancY Very important 52% Somewhat imPortant 29% Somewhat unimPortant 9% Very unimPortant 7% Unsure/Refused 2% lmportant 82% Unimportant t6% Leon-Tallahassoe Clearview Polling and Research, LLC Poll - April 12, 2018 906 Thomasviile Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com 10 11 cl earvJgH 017. qlS. 019. To help keep kids off drugs and away from alcohol Very important 63% Somewhat imPortant 22% Somewhat unimPortant 7% Very unimportant 7% Unsure/Refused t%o lmportant 85% Unimportant t5% To help fund after-school activities that keep kids out of trouble and off the streets Very important 63% Somewhat imPortant 24% Somewhat unimPortant 5% Very unimportant 6% Unsure/Refused T% lmportant 87% Unimportant I27o To prevent child abuse and neglect Very important 78% Somewhat imPortant 12% Somewhat unimPortant 5% Very unimPortant 5% Unsure/Refused T% lmportant 90% Unimportant t0% leon-Iallahassee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, 12, 2018 -Apr¡l LLC 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850'681'8530 http://clearview-research.com 1l .VIEW \l/ -4" c ea 020. 021. To reduce the infant mortality rate Very important 63% Somewhat important 20% Somewhat unimportant 8% Very unimportant 6% Unsure/Refused 2% lmportant 84% Unimportant I4% To help provide after school programs for kids who need help in school important Somewhat important Somewhat unimportant Very unimportant Unsure/Refused lmportant Unimportant 65% Very 822. RESEARCI-I 23% 5% 6% I% 88% I0% To help improve quality of early childhood education in Leon County important Somewhat important Somewhat unimportant Very unimportant Unsure/Refused lmportant Unimportant 60% Very lson-Tallahassee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC 26% 5% 6% 2% 86% 12% - April 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com T2 c ea 023. To help improve the important Somewhat important Somewhat unimportant Very unimportant Unsure/Refused lmportant Unimportant 025. f?Ff_ìFr\tr?('li availability of child care in Leon County 54% Very 024. .VIEW 25% Ll% 9% 2% 79% 19% To provide support programs for parents to help them become better parents Very important 52% Somewhat important 32% Somewhat unimportant 7% Very unimportant 7% Unsure/Refused L% lmportant 84% Unimportant I4% To help at-risk or troubled teens Very important 66% Somewhat important 22% Somewhat unimportant 5% Very unimportant 6% Unsure/Refused I7o lmportant 88% Unimportant tr% leon-Tallahassee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - April 1 2, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850,681.8530 http://clearview-research.com 13 \¡/ -a- c earvpìru 026. To ensure Very important 7r% Somewhat important I8% Somewhat unimportant 4% Very unimportant 6% Unsu 027. children are healthy T% relRefused lmportant 88% Unimportant tL% To provide mental health counseling for teens and young adults important Somewhat important Somewhat unimportant Very unimportant Unsure/Refused 7I% Very 19% 3% 6% I% 90% lmportant 9% Unimportant 028. To address juvenile crime Very important 60% Somewhat important 24% Somewhat unimportant 8% Very unimportant 7% Unsure/Refused T% lmportant 84% Unimpoftant Ã% leon-Tallahasee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - Âpr¡l 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clea rview-research.com 14 cle al VIEW ''? 029. 030. [SFARC'.1-'j To help young children get ready for kindergarten Very important 47% Somewhat important 28% Somewhat unimportant r4% Very unimportant n% Unsure/Refused 2% lmportant 75% Unimportant 23% To ensure children have enough to eat Very important 78% Somewhat important 12% Somewhat unimportant 4% Very unimportant 5% Unsure/Refused --/oô/ lmportant 90% 9% Unimportant leon-Iallahassee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - Apr¡l 12, 20,l8 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com l5 C eaf V \l/ -o- i:ì í- EW .ì i- /\, I-.1 Next I would like to read you some statements about the The Children's Services Council of Leon County. For each statement, Please tell me whether you would be more or less likely to support it based on the following information: 031. All of the money raised for the Council will be used right here in our community. likely Somewhat more likely Somewhat less likely Much less likely Unsure/refused More likely Less likely 55% Much more 032. 30% 6% 7% 2% 85% 13% A yes vote for the Children's Services Council is a vote to increase local property taxes in order to fund these local services. Much more likely 18% Somewhat more likely 29y. Somewhat less likely 22% Much less likely 26% Unsure/refused 5% More likely 47% Less likely 48% leon-Iallahassee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - April 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com l6 í i l \l/ .-a- C 033. earvl.g"}+l This Children's Services Council would be funded with property tax dollars and some say that it is not fair to make property owners pay for the costs of these services' likely Somewhat more likely Somewhat less likely Much less likely Unsure/refused 19% Much more 034. 26% 23Y. 24o/. 8% More likely 45% Less likely 47% The dollars raised from the tax will be overseen by an independent citizens committee likely Somewhat more likely Somewhat less likely Much less likely Unsure/refused 30% Much more 34% 18% 13% 4% More likely 65% Less likely 3L7. Leon-Tallahassse Clearview Poll 12, 2018 -April Polling and Research, LLC 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681'8530 httpr//clearview-research.com t7 tlz -a' cleaf VIEW RFSiEAR(-jl--l 035. Sometimes after hearing the pros and cons of an issue, people change their mind, so I would like to ask you again, if the election were held today, would you vote Yes or No to authorizing the funding of a Children's Services Council of Leon County as described above? Definitely voting Yes, 35% Leaning towards voting Yes, 33% 97" Leaning towards voting No, or Definitely voting No? 20% Unsure/refused 036. 37o Yes 68% No 29% How often to you read the Tallahassee Democrat, either in print or online? day Not very often, a few times a month Almost never. Unsure/Refused 34% Very often, almost every leon-Talla[assee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC 35% 3l% - -% - Apr¡l 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com 18 .VIEW \l/ -a- C ea R FS [A RC Demosranhic/Statistical 0uestions: I would like to ask you a few final questions just for statistical purposes to be sure we have included a good cross section of people in our survey. First,.. 01. How are you registered to vote? Democrat, As a Republican, or As something else? 55% As a 30% 15% How old are you? D2 18-34 25% 35-49 237. 50-64 30% 65 or older 227. And how would you describe your ethnicity? 03. 68% White/Caucasian B 24% lack/Af rica n-America n 8y" Other/Unsure/Refused 04. Do you have children? 32% Yes, but not living at home Yes, and 33% living at home No 35% 0ther/u nsu relrefused --/o o/ leon-Tallahassse Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - April 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com 19 I..I c ea 'VIEW F?F:]FARCìH 05. Which of the following best describes your annual household income: $20,000 Between $20,000 and $60,000 Between $60,000 and $100,000 More than $100,000 Unsure/refused l9Y" Less than loon-Tallahassee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC 3I% 22% 23% 6% - Apr¡¡ 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com 20 c ea .VIEW RESFARCI-J Coded 0uestions: GCNdCT: (BY OBSERVATION) Male 44% Female 56% voterType: (TAKEN FRoM VoTER FILE, 16G & 16P) Presidential 52% Primary 48% Region 1 (TAKEN FR0M V0TER FILE) Tallahassee Precincts 55% Leon County precincts 45% Region 2 (TAKEN FR0M VOTER FILE) I 16% County Commission District 2 16% County Commission District 3 26% County Commission District 4 25% County Commission District 5 17% County Commission District call taken by: (TAKEN FR0M VoTER FILE) Land line 36% Cell phone 37% leon-Tallahassoe Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - April 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com 2t I c earvtew I I I Rank Order of Responses I I Q3-13: Next, I would like to ask your opinion of some individuals and groups. For each, please tell me if your opinion is favorable or unfavorable. (Highest to Lowest Net "Favorable" Response) I I I I I I I I o/ Leon County Sheriff Walt McNeil 70y. 11 lo 59% Leon County Superintendent of Schools Rocky Hanna 73ï" t6% 57% State Representative Loranne Ausley 57% \2% 45% The Leon County Board of County Commissioners 57o/" 23% 34% Leon County Commissioner Bryan Desloge 47% L5% 32% The Children's Services Council of Leon County 37% 7% 30y" Leon County Commissioner Nick Maddox 46% r9% 27% Mayor Andrew Gillum 57% 34% 23% The Ta lla hassee Democrat 57% 36% 2I% The Children's Trust of Leon County 25ï" 57" 20% The Tallahassee City Commission 47% 34% 13% I I I leon-Tallahassee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC 12, 2018 -Apr¡l 32303 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, tlorida T 850.681.8530 http://clearview-research.com 22 I I I I .VIEW rlz -.a- clea Ql5-3O: When thinking about a Children's Services Council of Leon County, I would like to read you a list of projects that the Council could help fund. For each, please tell me if you think that project is important or unimportant for the property tax money to be spent on. (Highest to Lowest Net "lmportant" Response) To provide mental health counseling for teens and young adults To ensure children have enough to eat To prevent child abuse and neglect To help provide after school programs for kids who need help in To ' school help at-risk or troubled teens To ensure To help children are healthy o/ 90% 9% B1 /o g0% 9% 8r% 90% rc% 80% 88% n% 78% 88y" TT% 77% 88% lo 1l ot 77% 87o/" L2% 7s% fund after-school activities that keep kids out of trouble and off the streets To help improve quality of early childhood education in Leon County 86% t2% 74% To help keep kids off drugs and away from alcohol 85% ß% 70% 84% t4% 70% 84% r4% 70% To reduce the infant mortality rate To provide support programs for parents to help them become better parents To address juvenile crime 84% t5% 69% To help reduce teen pregnancy 82% 16% 66% To help reduce gang violence 8lï" t7 of lo 647" To help improve the availability of child care in Leon County 79% r9% 60% 75% 23% 52% To help o young children get ready for kindergarten leon-Tallahassee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - lpril 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 12, 2018 32303 T 850.681.8530 http//clearview-research.com 23 I I I \l/ "a- c earvtew Q31-34: Next I would like to read you some statements about the The Children's Services Council of Leon County. For each statement, Please tell me whether you would be more or less likely to support it based on the following information: (Highest to Lowest Net "Likely" Response) Less Likely All of the money raised for the Council will be used right here in our community. ïhe dollars raised from the tax will be overseen by an independent citizens Net +/- o/ 85% 13 /o 72% 65% 3t% 34% 47% 48% -r% 45% 47% -2% committee. Ayes vote forthe Children's Services Council is a voteto increase local property taxes in order to fund these local services. This Children's Services Council would be funded with property tax dollars and some say that it is not fair to make property owners pay for the costs of these services. leon-Tallahassee Poll Clearview Polling and Research, LLC - April 12, 2018 906 Thomasville Road, Tallahassee, Florida 32303 T850.681,8530 http'//clearview-research.com 24