June 2018

 

 

 

Gonzales P011

 

 

 

 

Gonzales Maryland Poll

Table of Contents
Background and Methodology ............................................................................................ 2
Executive Summary............................................................................................................. 3
Democratic Primary .................................................................................................... 3
General Election .......................................................................................................... 4

Results Overview ................................................................................................................. 7
Democratic Primary .................................................................................................... 7
General Election ......................................................................................................... 11

Appendix A: Data Tables .................................................................................................. 15
Democratic Primary .................................................................................................. 15
QUESTION: Most Important Issue ............................................................................. 15
QUESTION: Democratic Primary Gubernatorial Election ............................................ 18
General Election ........................................................................................................ 21
QUESTION: Name ID Larry Hogan ........................................................................... 21
QUESTION: Name ID Rushern Baker ........................................................................ 24
QUESTION: Name ID Ben Jealous ............................................................................ 27
QUESTION: Name ID Richard Madaleno...................................................................30
QUESTION: Trump Job Approval.............................................................................. 33
QUESTION: Hogan Job Approval .............................................................................. 36
QUESTION: Governor General Election (Baker) ........................................................40
QUESTION: Governor General Election (Jealous) ...................................................... 44
QUESTION: Governor General Election (Madaleno) .................................................. 47
QUESTION: Direction of State .................................................................................. 50
QUESTION: Sports Betting ....................................................................................... 53
Maryland General Election Poll Sample Demographics........................................... 56
Maryland Democratic Primary Poll Sample Demographics ..................................... 57

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Background and Methodology
Patrick E. Gonzales graduated magna cum laude from the University of
Baltimore with a degree in political science.
His career began in the mid 1980s as an analyst with Mason-Dixon Opinion
Research. Mr. Gonzales helped develop, craft and implement election surveys
and exit polls for Baltimore’s WMAR-TV Channel 2.
Patrick Gonzales has polled and analyzed well over a thousand elections in
Maryland and across the country since that time. His polling in the 2014
Maryland gubernatorial election foreshadowed Larry Hogan’s victory on
Election Day.
During an interview at WBAL 1090 AM radio in Baltimore, Maryland on
October 27, 2016, Mr. Gonzales was one of the very few pollsters in the nation
to state publicly that Donald Trump would win the 2016 presidential election.
This poll was conducted by Gonzales Research & Media Services from
June 4th through June 10th, 2018. A total of 800 registered voters in Maryland,
who indicated that they are likely to vote in the November 2018 general election,
were queried by live telephone interviews, utilizing both landline and cell phone
numbers. A cross-section of interviews was conducted throughout the state,
reflecting general election voting patterns.
The margin of error (MOE), per accepted statistical standards, is a range of plus
or minus 3.5 percentage points. If the entire population was surveyed, there is
a 95% probability that the true numbers would fall within this range.
An oversample of 505 registered Democrats in Maryland, who indicated that
they are likely to vote in the June 2018 primary election, were also interviewed
by live telephone. MOE for this group is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

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Executive Summary
Democratic Primary
The President’s on the other side of the globe striving for world peace (or, at the
very least, a skosh of regional stability), but he’s front and center in the minds
of Maryland Democrats who are getting ready to select a nominee to challenge
a popular governor.
When asked to pick the most important issue for them in the primary that
begins Thursday, 46% say that “removing Donald Trump from office” is the
number one issue. Getting rid of the President is followed by “public education
(26%), “the economy and jobs (10%), “crime, public safety & law enforcement”
(8%), and “the opioid epidemic” (3%).
A majority of voters age 35-54 say that removing Trump is the principal
stimulus for them (51%); as d0 50% of African-Americans and 52% of voters in
the Washington metro region.
The Democratic gubernatorial primary is developing structure. The two
frontrunners are Rushern Baker, a solid, foundational politician who’s been
immersed in Maryland politics for 25 years, and Ben Jealous, a former NAACP
president who’s never before held public elected office, and who is waging a
progressive, bust down the door-style crusade, à la Donald Trump’s campaign
in 2016.
Statewide, 25% of Democratic primary voters are supporting Baker, while 23%
are voting for Jealous…trailing are Montgomery State Senator Richard
Madaleno at 9%; the “ticket of Kevin Kamenetz and Valerie Ervin” at 7%;
former Baltimore attorney Jim Shea with 6%; Krish Vignarajah, a former White
House Policy Director for Michelle Obama, with 5%; entrepreneur Alec Ross at
2%; and Ralph Jaffe and James Jones each at less than one percent; with 22%
still undecided.
Geography is driving this election: Baker’s ahead of Jealous in the Washington
metro region (Charles, Montgomery, and Prince George’s Counties), 38% to
16%, with 19% undecided, while Jealous is ahead of Baker in the Baltimore
metro region (Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, and Howard Counties, and
Baltimore City), 28% to 17%, with 22% undecided.

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The two frontrunners are tied among white Democrats, while Baker is ahead
with African-American voters, 30% to 24%.
In his home county of Prince George’s, Baker has a 54%-18% margin over
Jealous, and a slim 23% to 22% lead over Madaleno in Montgomery County.
Jealous is up on Baker in each of the five jurisdictions that encompass the
Baltimore region, but the advantage is slight and the region’s still up for grabs.
Madaleno is beginning to show some movement in Montgomery, which
includes his senate district, while Shea’s campaign seems to have gained a little
spark with 17% of the vote out of Baltimore City.
With turnout in non-presidential year primaries typically 30% or less, this
election will be determined, obviously, by those voters who do decide to go to
the polls. The trick for the myriad campaigns over the next two weeks will be
to: A) pinpoint precisely who these voters are; and B) continue trying to
acquaint voters in ways that make as many as possible choose to blacken the
oval to the left of their ticket’s names on the paper ballot (please do not make
any marks outside of the oval, and do not erase an errant mark).

General Election
Larry Hogan remains exceptionally popular in Maryland: 64% have a favorable
opinion of him (37% “very favorable” and 27% “somewhat favorable”), while
12% have an unfavorable opinion of Hogan (8% “very unfavorable” and 4%
“somewhat unfavorable”), 21% are neutral, and 3% do not recognize his name.
Men and women, blacks and whites, young and old, Baltimoreans, suburban
Washingtonians, and rural Marylanders are all united in the positive emotion
they feel for Hogan.
Further, a laudable 75% of Maryland voters approve of the job Hogan is doing
as governor (41% “strongly approve” and 34% “somewhat approve”), while 17%
disapprove of the job he’s doing (10% “strongly disapprove” and 7% “somewhat
disapprove”), with 8% offering no opinion on Hogan’s performance in office.
The 11 point difference between Hogan’s personal popularity (64% favorable)
and his performance in office (75% approval) is attributable to the 57% of voters
with a neutral opinion of Hogan who say they approve of the job he’s doing.
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As with his personal popularity, Hogan’s job approval spans all segments and
communities included in this survey. Sixty-eight percent of African-Americans
and 79% of white voters; 72% of women and 79% of men; 67% of Democrats,
90% of Republicans, and 74% of independents; 76% of millennials and 77% of
baby boomers…all approve of the job Hogan is doing as governor, today.
The key for Hogan is to preserve this elevated approbation through the
November general election. The test for Hogan is framed by the reality that
Maryland hasn’t reelected a Republican governor since Theodore McKeldin in
1954, and hasn’t reelected any statewide Republican since “Mac” Mathias in
1980.
Leading contender Rushern Baker is viewed favorably by 30% of Free State
voters (17% “very favorable” and 13% “somewhat favorable”), while 7% have an
unfavorable opinion of Baker (3% “very unfavorable” and 4% “somewhat
unfavorable”), 23% are neutral, and 40% do not recognize his name.
Baker, Prince George’s County Executive, is best known in the Washington
metro region, where 48% have a favorable opinion of him.
Twenty-seven percent have a favorable opinion of the other frontrunner, Ben
Jealous (11% “very favorable” and 16% “somewhat favorable”), while 14% have
an unfavorable opinion of Jealous (9% “very unfavorable” and 5% “somewhat
unfavorable”), 23% are neutral, and 36% do not recognize his name.
Montgomery State Senator Richard Madaleno has a 15% favorable rating (9%
“very favorable” and 6% “somewhat favorable”), while 4% have an unfavorable
opinion of Madaleno (3% “very unfavorable” and 1% “somewhat unfavorable”),
18% are neutral, and 63% don’t recognize his name.
As mentioned earlier, President Trump looms large over this year’s election in
Maryland. Statewide, 37% approve of the job Trump is doing in the White
House (27% “strongly approve” and 10% “somewhat approve”), while a full
throttle 60% disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president (49% “strongly
disapprove” and 11% “somewhat disapprove”), with 3% providing no opinion.
Governor Hogan leads each of his possible general election opponents by
double-digit margins, with Rushern Baker keeping it most competitive…and
the PG Executive holds Hogan farthest from the fifty percent threshold, which
is the critical polling number for any incumbent seeking reelection.
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Statewide, 48% of November voters say they would vote for Republican Hogan
“if the election were held today,” while 37% say they’d vote for Baker, the
Democrat, and 15% are undecided.
Hogan is up 54% to 33% among men, and has a slim 42%-40% margin with
women. Hogan’s currently capturing 57% of the white vote and 27% of the
black vote.
Among Republicans, the governor’s capturing 81% of the vote, and is getting
54% of those affiliated with neither party. Among Democrats, the incumbent’s
a hair’s breadth under 30% vote support, which is the “magic” number for a
Republican in deep-blue Maryland.
Hogan’s stratospheric popularity and approval create something of a political
illusion. The reality is that while 67% of Democrats “approve” of the job
Hogan is doing as governor, only 41% of this 67% say they are actually going to
vote for Hogan, the Republican, for reelection in the November election.
Against Jealous, Hogan leads 52% to 34%, with 14% undecided. In this
matchup, Hogan moves up a tad in metro Baltimore, but the chief difference
compared to Hogan-Baker is found in metro Washington. Hogan trails Jealous
by a comparatively small 12 points in the D.C. suburbs (35%-47%), contrasted
with being down by 25 points to Baker in the D.C. suburbs, 30% to 55%.
Jealous’ softness in the D.C. region is thus: there is a hypothetical plurality
preference for Hogan (R) over Jealous (D) currently in Montgomery County.
Nobody should be under the delusion that Hogan will win Montgomery Co. in
November (even vs Jealous), but in a close election, every vote is going to count.
In a matchup with Madaleno, Hogan leads 50% to 36%, with 14% undecided.
Madaleno is besting Hogan in Montgomery County by a margin of 55% to 30%.
Maryland voters, overall, appear to be relatively contented. Sixty-two percent
say that things in the state are moving in the right direction, while 24% think
things are off riding the wrong track, with 14% offering no response.
Statewide, a 41% plurality favor legalizing commercial sports betting (16%
“strongly favor” and 25% “somewhat favor”), while 38% oppose commercial
sports betting (28% “strongly oppose” and 10% “somewhat oppose”), with 21%
not sure.
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Results Overview
Democratic Primary
Among Maryland Democrats who are going to vote in this month’s election, 46% say
that “removing Donald Trump from office” is the most important issue for them in the
primary. This is followed by “public education (26%), “the economy and jobs (10%),
“crime, public safety & law enforcement” (8%), and “the opioid epidemic” (3%).
A majority of voters between the ages 35-54 say that removing Trump is the number one
issue for them (51%), as d0 50% of African-Americans and 52% of voters in the
Washington metro region.

#1 Issue for June Democratic Primary Voters

Removing Donald Trump from the oval office was the most frequently picked prime
motivation response within each and every demographic group included in this survey
of Maryland Democratic primary voters.

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As it rolls toward Thursday’s commencement of early voting, the Democratic
gubernatorial primary is developing structure. The two frontrunners are Rushern
Baker, a steady, foundational politician who’s been immersed in Maryland politics for
25 years, and Ben Jealous, a former NAACP president who’s never before held public
elected office, and who is waging a progressive, bust down the door-style crusade, à la
Donald Trump’s campaign in 2016.
Statewide, 25% of Democratic primary voters are supporting Baker, while 23% are
voting for Jealous…trailing are Montgomery State Senator Richard Madaleno, backed by
9%; the “ticket of Kevin Kamenetz and Valerie Ervin” captures 7%; former Baltimore
attorney Jim Shea receives 6%; Krish Vignarajah, a former White House Policy Director
for Michelle Obama, garners 5%; entrepreneur Alec Ross has 2%; Ralph Jaffe and James
Jones each receive less than 1%; and 22% are undecided.
Geography is the defining dynamic informing this contest, which earns the winner the
privilege of challenging a popular GOP governor of a blue state. Baker is ahead of
Jealous in the Washington metro region (Charles, Montgomery, and Prince George’s
Counties), 38% to 16%, with 19% undecided, while Jealous is up over Baker in the
Baltimore metro region (Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, and Howard Counties, and
Baltimore City), 28% to 17%, with 22% undecided.
In rural Maryland, which comprises less than fifteen percent of the Democratic primary
electorate, Jealous leads Baker 24%-11%, with 30% undecided.
The two leaders are tied among white Democrats, while Baker is ahead with AfricanAmerican voters, 30% to 24%.
In his home county of Prince George’s, Baker has a 54%-18% margin over Jealous, and a
slim 23% to 22% lead over Madaleno in Montgomery County. Jealous is up on Baker in
each of the five jurisdictions that encompass the Baltimore region, but the advantage is
slight and the region’s still up for grabs.
Madaleno is beginning to show some movement in Montgomery, which includes his
senate district, while Shea’s campaign is exhibiting some energy by snaring 17% of the
vote out of Baltimore City.
With primary turnout in non-presidential years typically 30% or less here in the state,
this election will be determined by those voters who do end up at the polls, and by which
candidate best bonds with these constituents over the next two weeks as voters color in
the oval marking their gubernatorial selection.
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Governor Democratic Primary – Baltimore Region

Baltimore County
Jealous
Baker
Madaleno

27%
11%
7%

Baltimore City
Jealous
Baker
Shea

32%
24%
17%

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Governor Democratic Primary – Washington Region

Montgomery County
Baker
Madaleno
Jealous

23%
22%
15%

Prince George’s County
Baker
Jealous
Madaleno

54%
18%
3%

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General Election
Larry Hogan remains extremely popular among Old Line State voters. Sixty-four
percent have a favorable opinion of him (37% “very favorable” and 27% “somewhat
favorable”), while 12% have an unfavorable opinion of Hogan (8% “very unfavorable”
and 4% “somewhat unfavorable”), 21% are neutral, and 3% do not recognize his name.
Men and women, blacks and whites, young and old, Baltimoreans, suburban
Washingtonians, and rural Marylanders are united in the positive feeling they have for
Hogan.
Further, a creditable 75% of Maryland voters approve of the job Hogan is doing as
governor (41% “strongly approve” and 34% “somewhat approve”), while 17% disapprove
of the job he’s doing (10% “strongly disapprove” and 7% “somewhat disapprove”), with
8% offering no opinion on Hogan’s performance in office.
The 11 point difference between Hogan’s personal popularity (64% favorable) and
performance in office (75% approval) is attributable to the 57% of voters with a neutral
opinion of Hogan who say they approve of the job he’s doing.
As with his personal popularity, Hogan’s job approval spans all blocs and fellowships.
Sixty-eight percent of African-Americans and 79% of white voters; 72% of women and
79% of men; 67% of Democrats, 90% of Republicans, and 74% of independents; 76% of
millennials and 77% of baby boomers…all approve of the job Hogan is doing as
governor, today.
The fundamental for him will be the ability to sustain this approbation through
November 6th. The challenge for him is that Maryland hasn’t reelected a Republican
governor since Theodore McKeldin in 1954, and hasn’t reelected any statewide GOPer
since “Mac” Mathias in 1980.
Leading contender Rushern Baker is viewed favorably by 30% of Free State voters (17%
“very favorable” and 13% “somewhat favorable”), while 7% have an unfavorable opinion
of Baker (3% “very unfavorable” and 4% “somewhat unfavorable”), 23% are neutral, and
40% do not recognize his name.
Baker, Prince George’s County Executive, is best known in the Washington metro
region, where 48% have a favorable opinion of him.
Other frontrunner Ben Jealous has 27% of Marylanders with a favorable opinion of him
(11% “very favorable” and 16% “somewhat favorable”), while 14% have an unfavorable
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opinion of Jealous (9% “very unfavorable” and 5% “somewhat unfavorable”), 23% are
neutral, and 36% do not recognize his name.
Montgomery State Senator Richard Madaleno has a 15% favorable rating (9% “very
favorable” and 6% “somewhat favorable”), while 4% have an unfavorable opinion of
Madaleno (3% “very unfavorable” and 1% “somewhat unfavorable”), 18% are neutral,
and 63% don’t recognize his name.
President Donald Trump’s flamboyant personality looms large (huge?) over Maryland
elections this year. Statewide, 37% approve of the job Trump is doing in the White
House (27% “strongly approve” and 10% “somewhat approve”), while a full throttle 60%
disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president (49% “strongly disapprove” and 11%
“somewhat disapprove”), with 3% providing no opinion.
Additionally, as mentioned earlier, 46% of Democrats say sending the president packing
back to Trump Towers in NYC is sine qua non…the mere thought of the prospect of
evicting Trump from 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue seems, for many of us, to induce
euphoria, and the possibility of his impeachment and conviction provides essential
political nourishment in a world that gives so little, so rarely.
Governor Hogan leads each of his possible general election opponents by double-digit
margins, with Rushern Baker keeping it most competitive…and the PG Executive keeps
Hogan farthest away from the fifty percent threshold, which is the critical polling
number for any incumbent seeking reelection.
Statewide, 48% of November voters say they would vote for Republican Hogan “if the
election were held today,” 37% say they’d vote for Baker, the Democrat, and 15% are
undecided.
Hogan is up 54% to 33% among men, and has a slim 42%-40% margin with women.
Hogan’s currently capturing 57% of the white vote and 27% of the black vote.
Among Republicans, the governor’s capturing 81% of the vote, and is getting 54% of
those unaffiliated with either party. Among Democrats, the incumbent’s a hair’s
breadth under 30% vote support, which is the “magic” number for a Republican in deepblue Maryland.
Hogan’s stratospheric popularity and approval create a chimera, a political “snatch the
pebble from my hand.” The reality is that, yes, 67% of Democrats “approve” of the
governor, but only 41% of this group say they are going to vote for the GOP incumbent.
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November 2018 Maryland Gubernatorial Election

Western Maryland
Hogan
Baker

Eastern Shore

77%
13%

Hogan
Baker

73%
17%

Baltimore City
Hogan
Baker

42%
43%

Washington Metro

Baltimore Suburbs

Hogan
Baker

Hogan
Baker

30%
55%

49%
33%

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Against Jealous, Hogan captures 52%, compared to 34% for Jealous, with 14%
undecided. In this matchup, Hogan bumps up a tad in metro Baltimore, but the chief
difference compared to Hogan-Baker is in metro Washington. Hogan trails Jealous by a
relatively scant 12 points there (35% to 47%), contrasted with Hogan being down by a
decisive 25 points matched against Baker in the D.C. suburbs (30% to 55%).
Jealous’ softness in the region is illustrated by the slender plurality preference for the
incumbent currently in Montgomery County. Nobody should be under the delusion
Hogan can carry MoCo in November, but in a tight election, every vote is going to count.
In a match-up with Madaleno, Hogan leads 50% to 36%, with 14% undecided.
Madaleno is besting Hogan in Montgomery County by a margin of 55% to 30%.
Maryland voters, overall, appear to be reasonably contented. Sixty-two percent say that
things in the state are moving in the right direction, while 24% think things are off
riding the wrong track, with 14% being…how would the French say it… indifférent, or at
least offering no response.
Many here in the state are pretty happy with the direction of things, but Republicans
(79%), white voters (71%), and voters in the rural areas (76%) are most exuberant with
the way things are going in Maryland.
Voters are divided on their attitude toward legalizing commercial sports betting in
Maryland, which a recent Supreme Court ruling opened the door for, allowing
individual states to do so, if they choose. Statewide, a 41% plurality favor legalizing
commercial sports betting (16% “strongly favor” and 25% “somewhat favor”), while 38%
oppose commercial sports betting (28% “strongly oppose” and 10% “somewhat
oppose”), with 21% not sure.
Forty-six percent of Democrats favor legalizing sports betting in the Free State, while
43% of Republicans oppose it.

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Appendix A:

Data Tables

Democratic Primary
QUESTION: #1 Vote Issue Among the following, which ONE will be the most important issue
for you when voting in the June Democratic primary election?
(ORDER ROTATED)
•
•
•
•
•

Public education
The economy and jobs
The opioid epidemic
Crime, Public safety & Law enforcement
Removing Donald Trump from office

#1 VOTE ISSUE
Education
Economy
Opioids
Public Safety
Remove Trump
No answer
Total

Number
131
52
13
39
234
36
505

N=505

Percent
25.9 %
10.3 %
2.6 %
7.7 %
46.3 %
7.1 %
100.0 %

#1 VOTE ISSUE
Education

Economy

Opioids

Public Safety

Remove
Trump

No answer

Millennial

20
24.1%

10
12.0%

5
6.0%

4
4.8%

36
43.4%

8
9.6%

Xennial

12
19.0%

7
11.1%

2
3.2%

5
7.9%

33
52.4%

4
6.3%

Gen X

29
33.3%

6
6.9%

0
0.0%

6
6.9%

44
50.6%

2
2.3%

Gen Jones

36
31.6%

10
8.8%

0
0.0%

14
12.3%

44
38.6%

10
8.8%

Boomer

34
21.5%

19
12.0%

6
3.8%

10
6.3%

77
48.7%

12
7.6%

AGE GROUP

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N=505

#1 VOTE ISSUE
Education

Economy

Opioids

Public Safety

Remove
Trump

No answer

White

68
28.1%

27
11.2%

8
3.3%

25
10.3%

96
39.7%

18
7.4%

AfricanAmerican

55
25.3%

22
10.1%

4
1.8%

12
5.5%

109
50.2%

15
6.9%

Other

8
17.4%

3
6.5%

1
2.2%

2
4.3%

29
63.0%

3
6.5%

RACE

N=505

#1 VOTE ISSUE
Education

Economy

Opioids

Public Safety

Remove
Trump

No answer

Male

48
23.5%

20
9.8%

5
2.5%

16
7.8%

100
49.0%

15
7.4%

Female

83
27.6%

32
10.6%

8
2.7%

23
7.6%

134
44.5%

21
7.0%

GENDER

N=505

#1 VOTE ISSUE
Education

Economy

Opioids

Public Safety

Remove
Trump

No answer

Baltimore
Metro

60
26.2%

21
9.2%

6
2.6%

20
8.7%

98
42.8%

24
10.5%

Washington
Metro

55
26.7%

25
12.1%

3
1.5%

9
4.4%

106
51.5%

8
3.9%

Rural
Maryland

16
22.9%

6
8.6%

4
5.7%

10
14.3%

30
42.9%

4
5.7%

REGION

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N=505

#1 VOTE ISSUE
Education

Economy

Opioids

Public Safety

Remove
Trump

No answer

Anne
Arundel Co.

11
29.7%

5
13.5%

3
8.1%

2
5.4%

13
35.1%

3
8.1%

Baltimore
County

14
18.7%

7
9.3%

2
2.7%

10
13.3%

35
46.7%

7
9.3%

Harford
County

6
40.0%

0
0.0%

1
6.7%

2
13.3%

6
40.0%

0
0.0%

Howard
County

9
30.0%

3
10.0%

0
0.0%

1
3.3%

12
40.0%

5
16.7%

Montgomery
County

25
24.5%

12
11.8%

1
1.0%

3
2.9%

57
55.9%

4
3.9%

Prince
George's Co.

25
27.5%

12
13.2%

2
2.2%

6
6.6%

42
46.2%

4
4.4%

Charles
County

5
38.5%

1
7.7%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

7
53.8%

0
0.0%

Baltimore
City

20
27.8%

6
8.3%

0
0.0%

5
6.9%

32
44.4%

9
12.5%

Eastern Shore

7
20.6%

2
5.9%

3
8.8%

5
14.7%

15
44.1%

2
5.9%

Western
Maryland

9
25.0%

4
11.1%

1
2.8%

5
13.9%

15
41.7%

2
5.6%

COUNTY

17   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
QUESTION: Democratic Primary Gubernatorial Election If the Democratic primary election for
governor were held today, for whom would you vote: The ticket of
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

Rushern Baker and Elizabeth Embry
Ralph Jaffe and Freda Jaffe
Ben Jealous and Susan Turnbull
James Jones and Charles Waters
Kevin Kamenetz and Valerie Ervin
Richard Madaleno and Luwanda Jenkins
Alec Ross and Julie Verratti
Jim Shea and Brandon Scott
Krish Vignarajah and Sharon Blake

* Baltimore County Executive Kevin Kamenetz passed away on May 10, 2018. He was included in this
poll, however, because the above is what each voter will see when casting their ballot in the June
Democratic primary election.

DEM PRIMARY - GOVERNOR
Baker
Jealous
Madaleno
Kamenetz/Ervin
Shea
Vignarajah
Ross
Jaffe
Jones
Undecided
Total
N=505

Number
126
114
46
36
32
27
9
3
1
111
505

Percent
25.0 %
22.6 %
9.1 %
7.1 %
6.3 %
5.3 %
1.8 %
0.6 %
0.2 %
22.0 %
100.0 %

Baker

DEM PRIMARY - GOVERNOR
Jealous
Madaleno
Others

Millennial

19
22.9%

19
22.9%

8
9.6%

15
18.1%

22
26.5%

Xennial

18
28.6%

9
14.3%

4
6.3%

19
30.2%

13
20.6%

Gen X

27
31.0%

22
25.3%

8
9.2%

14
16.1%

16
18.4%

Gen Jones

28
24.6%

27
23.7%

12
10.5%

26
22.8%

21
18.4%

Boomer

34
21.5%

37
23.4%

14
8.9%

34
21.5%

39
24.7%

Undecided

AGE GROUP

18   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=505
Baker

DEM PRIMARY - GOVERNOR
Jealous
Madaleno
Others

White

49
20.2%

50
20.7%

30
12.4%

45
18.6%

68
28.1%

AfricanAmerican

65
30.0%

53
24.4%

13
6.0%

54
24.9%

32
14.7%

Other

12
26.1%

11
23.9%

3
6.5%

9
19.6%

11
23.9%

Baker

DEM PRIMARY - GOVERNOR
Jealous
Madaleno
Others

Male

54
26.5%

44
21.6%

15
7.4%

42
20.6%

49
24.0%

Female

72
23.9%

70
23.3%

31
10.3%

66
21.9%

62
20.6%

Baker

DEM PRIMARY - GOVERNOR
Jealous
Madaleno
Others

Baltimore
Metro

39
17.0%

64
27.9%

14
6.1%

61
26.6%

51
22.3%

Washington
Metro

79
38.3%

33
16.0%

25
12.1%

30
14.6%

39
18.9%

Rural
Maryland

8
11.4%

17
24.3%

7
10.0%

17
24.3%

21
30.0%

Undecided

RACE

N=505

Undecided

GENDER

N=505

Undecided

REGION

19   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=505
Baker

DEM PRIMARY - GOVERNOR
Jealous
Madaleno
Others

Anne
Arundel Co.

5
13.5%

8
21.6%

4
10.8%

5
13.5%

15
40.5%

Baltimore
County

8
10.7%

20
26.7%

5
6.7%

25
33.3%

17
22.7%

Harford
County

4
26.7%

6
40.0%

0
0.0%

3
20.0%

2
13.3%

Howard
County

5
16.7%

7
23.3%

3
10.0%

5
16.7%

10
33.3%

Montgomery
County

23
22.5%

15
14.7%

22
21.6%

17
16.7%

25
24.5%

Prince
George's Co.

49
53.8%

16
17.6%

3
3.3%

11
12.1%

12
13.2%

Charles
County

7
53.8%

2
15.4%

0
0.0%

2
15.4%

2
15.4%

Baltimore
City

17
23.6%

23
31.9%

2
2.8%

23
31.9%

7
9.7%

Eastern
Shore

4
11.8%

7
20.6%

3
8.8%

7
20.6%

13
38.2%

Western
Maryland

4
11.1%

10
27.8%

4
11.1%

10
27.8%

8
22.2%

Undecided

COUNTY

Baltimore City
DEM PRIMARY - GOVERNOR
Jealous
Baker
Shea
Vignarajah
Kamenetz/Ervin
Madaleno
Jones
Ross
Jaffe
Undecided
Total

Number
23
17
12
5
4
2
1
1
0
7
72

Percent
31.9 %
23.6 %
16.7 %
6.9 %
5.6 %
2.8 %
1.4 %
1.4 %
0.0 %
9.7 %
100.0 %

20   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll

General Election
QUESTION: Name ID Larry Hogan Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of
Larry Hogan?
NAME ID: LARRY HOGAN
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
Don't Recognize
Total

Number
511
98
166
25
800

Percent
63.9 %
12.2 %
20.8 %
3.1 %
100.0 %

Number
294
217
166
37
61
25
800

Percent
36.8 %
27.1 %
20.8 %
4.6 %
7.6 %
3.1 %
100.0 %

Is that very or somewhat favorable/unfavorable?
NAME ID: LARRY HOGAN
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Neutral
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Don't Recognize
Total

N=800

NAME ID: LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

Democrat

114
25.4%

114
25.4%

124
27.6%

29
6.5%

54
12.0%

14
3.1%

Republican

124
54.9%

75
33.2%

15
6.6%

7
3.1%

1
0.4%

4
1.8%

Unaffiliated

56
44.8%

28
22.4%

27
21.6%

1
0.8%

6
4.8%

7
5.6%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

Male

146
39.0%

104
27.8%

77
20.6%

19
5.1%

21
5.6%

7
1.9%

Female

148
34.7%

113
26.5%

89
20.9%

18
4.2%

40
9.4%

18
4.2%

PARTY

N=800

NAME ID: LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

GENDER

21   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

NAME ID: LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

Millennial

62
38.0%

43
26.4%

36
22.1%

4
2.5%

12
7.4%

6
3.7%

Xennial

44
36.1%

31
25.4%

30
24.6%

4
3.3%

10
8.2%

3
2.5%

Gen X

65
41.4%

44
28.0%

25
15.9%

5
3.2%

14
8.9%

4
2.5%

Gen Jones

59
33.9%

50
28.7%

35
20.1%

14
8.0%

12
6.9%

4
2.3%

Boomer

64
34.8%

49
26.6%

40
21.7%

10
5.4%

13
7.1%

8
4.3%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

White

233
43.7%

144
27.0%

85
15.9%

18
3.4%

38
7.1%

15
2.8%

AfricanAmerican

48
22.0%

62
28.4%

67
30.7%

15
6.9%

19
8.7%

7
3.2%

Other

13
26.5%

11
22.4%

14
28.6%

4
8.2%

4
8.2%

3
6.1%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

Baltimore
Metro

124
35.9%

98
28.4%

60
17.4%

18
5.2%

34
9.9%

11
3.2%

Washington
Metro

71
26.3%

73
27.0%

76
28.1%

17
6.3%

23
8.5%

10
3.7%

Rural
Maryland

99
53.5%

46
24.9%

30
16.2%

2
1.1%

4
2.2%

4
2.2%

AGE GROUP

N=800

NAME ID: LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

RACE

N=800

NAME ID: LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

REGION

22   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll

N=800

NAME ID: LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

Anne
Arundel Co.

32
41.0%

22
28.2%

14
17.9%

2
2.6%

8
10.3%

0
0.0%

Baltimore
County

42
36.8%

31
27.2%

21
18.4%

7
6.1%

6
5.3%

7
6.1%

Harford
County

15
38.5%

16
41.0%

5
12.8%

1
2.6%

2
5.1%

0
0.0%

Howard
County

15
31.9%

10
21.3%

7
14.9%

6
12.8%

5
10.6%

4
8.5%

Montgomery
County

47
34.6%

29
21.3%

31
22.8%

11
8.1%

13
9.6%

5
3.7%

Prince
George's Co.

19
17.1%

34
30.6%

39
35.1%

6
5.4%

9
8.1%

4
3.6%

Charles
County

5
21.7%

10
43.5%

6
26.1%

0
0.0%

1
4.3%

1
4.3%

Baltimore
City

20
29.9%

19
28.4%

13
19.4%

2
3.0%

13
19.4%

0
0.0%

Eastern Shore

42
47.2%

21
23.6%

19
21.3%

1
1.1%

4
4.5%

2
2.2%

Western
Maryland

57
59.4%

25
26.0%

11
11.5%

1
1.0%

0
0.0%

2
2.1%

COUNTY

23   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
QUESTION: Name ID Rushern Baker Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion
of Rushern Baker?
NAME ID: RUSHERN BAKER
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
Don't Recognize
Total

Number
242
58
181
319
800

Percent
30.2 %
7.3 %
22.6 %
39.9 %
100.0 %

Number
133
109
181
34
24
319
800

Percent
16.6 %
13.6 %
22.6 %
4.3 %
3.0 %
39.9 %
100.0 %

Is that very or somewhat favorable/unfavorable?
NAME ID: RUSHERN BAKER
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Neutral
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Don't Recognize
Total

N=800

NAME ID: RUSHERN BAKER
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Don't
Recognize

Democrat

95
21.2%

72
16.0%

112
24.9%

13
2.9%

12
2.7%

145
32.3%

Republican

17
7.5%

25
11.1%

38
16.8%

15
6.6%

10
4.4%

121
53.5%

Unaffiliated

21
16.8%

12
9.6%

31
24.8%

6
4.8%

2
1.6%

53
42.4%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Male

55
14.7%

51
13.6%

90
24.1%

18
4.8%

13
3.5%

147
39.3%

Female

78
18.3%

58
13.6%

91
21.4%

16
3.8%

11
2.6%

172
40.4%

PARTY

N=800

NAME ID: RUSHERN BAKER
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

GENDER

24   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

NAME ID: RUSHERN BAKER
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Don't
Recognize

Millennial

21
12.9%

28
17.2%

36
22.1%

5
3.1%

4
2.5%

69
42.3%

Xennial

27
22.1%

14
11.5%

22
18.0%

9
7.4%

4
3.3%

46
37.7%

Gen X

28
17.8%

23
14.6%

43
27.4%

5
3.2%

7
4.5%

51
32.5%

Gen Jones

29
16.7%

23
13.2%

45
25.9%

8
4.6%

6
3.4%

63
36.2%

Boomer

28
15.2%

21
11.4%

35
19.0%

7
3.8%

3
1.6%

90
48.9%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

White

64
12.0%

72
13.5%

116
21.8%

25
4.7%

12
2.3%

244
45.8%

AfricanAmerican

57
26.1%

30
13.8%

62
28.4%

6
2.8%

9
4.1%

54
24.8%

Other

12
24.5%

7
14.3%

3
6.1%

3
6.1%

3
6.1%

21
42.9%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Baltimore
Metro

42
12.2%

49
14.2%

86
24.9%

14
4.1%

7
2.0%

147
42.6%

Washington
Metro

82
30.4%

48
17.8%

69
25.6%

15
5.6%

13
4.8%

43
15.9%

Rural
Maryland

9
4.9%

12
6.5%

26
14.1%

5
2.7%

4
2.2%

129
69.7%

AGE GROUP

N=800

NAME ID: RUSHERN BAKER
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

RACE

N=800

NAME ID: RUSHERN BAKER
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

REGION

25   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

NAME ID: RUSHERN BAKER
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Don't
Recognize

Anne
Arundel Co.

9
11.5%

11
14.1%

19
24.4%

2
2.6%

2
2.6%

35
44.9%

Baltimore
County

8
7.0%

14
12.3%

28
24.6%

5
4.4%

3
2.6%

56
49.1%

Harford
County

6
15.4%

6
15.4%

7
17.9%

1
2.6%

1
2.6%

18
46.2%

Howard
County

7
14.9%

8
17.0%

13
27.7%

3
6.4%

0
0.0%

16
34.0%

Montgomery
County

34
25.0%

16
11.8%

41
30.1%

6
4.4%

3
2.2%

36
26.5%

Prince
George's Co.

42
37.8%

24
21.6%

24
21.6%

8
7.2%

10
9.0%

3
2.7%

Charles
County

6
26.1%

8
34.8%

4
17.4%

1
4.3%

0
0.0%

4
17.4%

Baltimore
City

12
17.9%

10
14.9%

19
28.4%

3
4.5%

1
1.5%

22
32.8%

Eastern Shore

5
5.6%

7
7.9%

13
14.6%

2
2.2%

3
3.4%

59
66.3%

Western
Maryland

4
4.2%

5
5.2%

13
13.5%

3
3.1%

1
1.0%

70
72.9%

COUNTY

26   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
QUESTION: Name ID Ben Jealous Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of
Ben Jealous?
NAME ID: BEN JEALOUS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
Don't Recognize
Total

Number
220
110
184
286
800

Percent
27.5 %
13.8 %
23.0 %
35.8 %
100.0 %

Number
92
128
184
42
68
286
800

Percent
11.5 %
16.0 %
23.0 %
5.3 %
8.5 %
35.8 %
100.0 %

Is that very or somewhat favorable/unfavorable?
NAME ID: BEN JEALOUS
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Neutral
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Don't Recognize
Total

N=800

NAME ID: BEN JEALOUS
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

Democrat

72
16.0%

106
23.6%

117
26.1%

15
3.3%

34
7.6%

105
23.4%

Republican

6
2.7%

7
3.1%

28
12.4%

21
9.3%

27
11.9%

137
60.6%

Unaffiliated

14
11.2%

15
12.0%

39
31.2%

6
4.8%

7
5.6%

44
35.2%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

Male

32
8.6%

55
14.7%

83
22.2%

22
5.9%

38
10.2%

144
38.5%

Female

60
14.1%

73
17.1%

101
23.7%

20
4.7%

30
7.0%

142
33.3%

PARTY

N=800

NAME ID: BEN JEALOUS
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

GENDER

27   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

NAME ID: BEN JEALOUS
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

Millennial

17
10.4%

22
13.5%

37
22.7%

8
4.9%

12
7.4%

67
41.1%

Xennial

16
13.1%

22
18.0%

29
23.8%

5
4.1%

14
11.5%

36
29.5%

Gen X

24
15.3%

19
12.1%

39
24.8%

7
4.5%

10
6.4%

58
36.9%

Gen Jones

16
9.2%

32
18.4%

35
20.1%

14
8.0%

15
8.6%

62
35.6%

Boomer

19
10.3%

33
17.9%

44
23.9%

8
4.3%

17
9.2%

63
34.2%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

White

46
8.6%

70
13.1%

121
22.7%

31
5.8%

45
8.4%

220
41.3%

AfricanAmerican

35
16.1%

52
23.9%

53
24.3%

9
4.1%

16
7.3%

53
24.3%

Other

11
22.4%

6
12.2%

10
20.4%

2
4.1%

7
14.3%

13
26.5%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

Baltimore
Metro

49
14.2%

55
15.9%

87
25.2%

14
4.1%

31
9.0%

109
31.6%

Washington
Metro

31
11.5%

56
20.7%

69
25.6%

17
6.3%

16
5.9%

81
30.0%

Rural
Maryland

12
6.5%

17
9.2%

28
15.1%

11
5.9%

21
11.4%

96
51.9%

AGE GROUP

N=800

NAME ID: BEN JEALOUS
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

RACE

N=800

NAME ID: BEN JEALOUS
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

REGION

28   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

NAME ID: BEN JEALOUS
Somewhat
Neutral
Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Very
Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

Anne
Arundel Co.

10
12.8%

10
12.8%

17
21.8%

4
5.1%

8
10.3%

29
37.2%

Baltimore
County

19
16.7%

17
14.9%

29
25.4%

4
3.5%

5
4.4%

40
35.1%

Harford
County

3
7.7%

7
17.9%

6
15.4%

3
7.7%

9
23.1%

11
28.2%

Howard
County

2
4.3%

9
19.1%

14
29.8%

2
4.3%

3
6.4%

17
36.2%

Montgomery
County

14
10.3%

27
19.9%

37
27.2%

7
5.1%

9
6.6%

42
30.9%

Prince
George's Co.

16
14.4%

24
21.6%

25
22.5%

7
6.3%

5
4.5%

34
30.6%

Charles
County

1
4.3%

5
21.7%

7
30.4%

3
13.0%

2
8.7%

5
21.7%

Baltimore
City

15
22.4%

12
17.9%

21
31.3%

1
1.5%

6
9.0%

12
17.9%

Eastern Shore

6
6.7%

8
9.0%

14
15.7%

5
5.6%

10
11.2%

46
51.7%

Western
Maryland

6
6.3%

9
9.4%

14
14.6%

6
6.3%

11
11.5%

50
52.1%

COUNTY

29   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
QUESTION: Name ID Richard Madaleno Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral
opinion of Richard Madaleno?
NAME ID: RICHARD MADALENO
Favorable
Unfavorable
Neutral
Don't Recognize
Total

Number
108
30
149
503
800

Percent
14.7 %
3.7 %
18.6 %
62.9 %
100.0 %

Number
69
49
149
9
21
503
800

Percent
8.6 %
6.1 %
18.6 %
1.1 %
2.6 %
62.9 %
100.0 %

Is that very or somewhat favorable/unfavorable?
NAME ID: RICHARD MADALENO
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Neutral
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Don't Recognize
Total

N=800

NAME ID: RICHARD MADALENO
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Don't
Recognize

Democrat

52
11.6%

39
8.7%

110
24.5%

6
1.3%

16
3.6%

226
50.3%

Republican

6
2.7%

6
2.7%

18
8.0%

2
0.9%

3
1.3%

191
84.5%

Unaffiliated

11
8.8%

4
3.2%

21
16.8%

1
0.8%

2
1.6%

86
68.8%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Male

32
8.6%

20
5.3%

61
16.3%

4
1.1%

16
4.3%

241
64.4%

Female

37
8.7%

29
6.8%

88
20.7%

5
1.2%

5
1.2%

262
61.5%

PARTY

N=800

NAME ID: RICHARD MADALENO
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

GENDER

30   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

NAME ID: RICHARD MADALENO
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Don't
Recognize

Millennial

19
11.7%

10
6.1%

36
22.1%

2
1.2%

4
2.5%

92
56.4%

Xennial

8
6.6%

10
8.2%

26
21.3%

0
0.0%

4
3.3%

74
60.7%

Gen X

15
9.6%

10
6.4%

25
15.9%

2
1.3%

2
1.3%

103
65.6%

Gen Jones

17
9.8%

8
4.6%

30
17.2%

3
1.7%

4
2.3%

112
64.4%

Boomer

10
5.4%

11
6.0%

32
17.4%

2
1.1%

7
3.8%

122
66.3%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

White

49
9.2%

34
6.4%

92
17.3%

4
0.8%

12
2.3%

342
64.2%

AfricanAmerican

19
8.7%

12
5.5%

50
22.9%

5
2.3%

8
3.7%

124
56.9%

Other

1
2.0%

3
6.1%

7
14.3%

0
0.0%

1
2.0%

37
75.5%

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Baltimore
Metro

21
6.1%

16
4.6%

71
20.6%

3
0.9%

6
1.7%

228
66.1%

Washington
Metro

40
14.8%

28
10.4%

56
20.7%

4
1.5%

9
3.3%

133
49.3%

Rural
Maryland

8
4.3%

5
2.7%

22
11.9%

2
1.1%

6
3.2%

142
76.8%

AGE GROUP

N=800

NAME ID: RICHARD MADALENO
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

RACE

N=800

NAME ID: RICHARD MADALENO
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Don't
Recognize

REGION

31   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

NAME ID: RICHARD MADALENO
Somewhat
Very
Neutral
Unfavorable Unfavorable

Very
Favorable

Somewhat
Favorable

Don't
Recognize

Anne
Arundel Co.

3
3.8%

3
3.8%

16
20.5%

0
0.0%

1
1.3%

55
70.5%

Baltimore
County

10
8.8%

5
4.4%

21
18.4%

2
1.8%

4
3.5%

72
63.2%

Harford
County

1
2.6%

2
5.1%

8
20.5%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

28
71.8%

Howard
County

5
10.6%

3
6.4%

5
10.6%

0
0.0%

1
2.1%

33
70.2%

Montgomery
County

35
25.7%

17
12.5%

30
22.1%

2
1.5%

3
2.2%

49
36.0%

Prince
George's Co.

3
2.7%

9
8.1%

22
19.8%

2
1.8%

6
5.4%

69
62.2%

Charles
County

2
8.7%

2
8.7%

4
17.4%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

15
65.2%

Baltimore
City

2
3.0%

3
4.5%

21
31.3%

1
1.5%

0
0.0%

40
59.7%

Eastern Shore

3
3.4%

1
1.1%

12
13.5%

1
1.1%

3
3.4%

69
77.5%

Western
Maryland

5
5.2%

4
4.2%

10
10.4%

1
1.0%

3
3.1%

73
76.0%

COUNTY

32   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
QUESTION: Trump Job Approval Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is
doing as president?
JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP
Approve
Disapprove
No answer
Total

Number
295
484
21
800

Percent
36.9 %
60.5 %
2.6 %
100.0 %

Number
216
79
90
394
21
800

Percent
27.0 %
9.9 %
11.3 %
49.3 %
2.6 %
100.0 %

Is that strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
No answer
Total

N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

PARTY
Democrat

18
4.0%

19
4.2%

66
14.7%

333
74.2%

13
2.9%

Republican

149
65.9%

42
18.6%

14
6.2%

19
8.4%

2
0.9%

Unaffiliated

49
39.2%

18
14.4%

10
8.0%

42
33.6%

6
4.8%

N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

GENDER
Male

119
31.8%

45
12.0%

38
10.2%

162
43.3%

10
2.7%

Female

97
22.8%

34
8.0%

52
12.2%

232
54.5%

11
2.6%

33   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

AGE GROUP
Millennial

42
25.8%

21
12.9%

17
10.4%

78
47.9%

5
3.1%

Xennial

30
24.6%

11
9.0%

17
13.9%

61
50.0%

3
2.5%

Gen X

35
22.3%

13
8.3%

19
12.1%

83
52.9%

7
4.5%

Gen Jones

44
25.3%

18
10.3%

23
13.2%

87
50.0%

2
1.1%

Boomer

65
35.3%

16
8.7%

14
7.6%

85
46.2%

4
2.2%

N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

RACE
White

202
37.9%

74
13.9%

39
7.3%

203
38.1%

15
2.8%

AfricanAmerican

5
2.3%

2
0.9%

46
21.1%

160
73.4%

5
2.3%

Other

9
18.4%

3
6.1%

5
10.2%

31
63.3%

1
2.0%

N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

REGION
Baltimore
Metro

85
24.6%

28
8.1%

50
14.5%

174
50.4%

8
2.3%

Washington
Metro

34
12.6%

19
7.0%

32
11.9%

179
66.3%

6
2.2%

Rural
Maryland

97
52.4%

32
17.3%

8
4.3%

41
22.2%

7
3.8%

34   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

COUNTY
Anne
Arundel Co.

24
30.8%

8
10.3%

11
14.1%

34
43.6%

1
1.3%

Baltimore
County

28
24.6%

7
6.1%

20
17.5%

57
50.0%

2
1.8%

Harford
County

15
38.5%

5
12.8%

4
10.3%

13
33.3%

2
5.1%

Howard
County

13
27.7%

5
10.6%

3
6.4%

25
53.2%

1
2.1%

Montgomery
County

21
15.4%

11
8.1%

10
7.4%

91
66.9%

3
2.2%

Prince
George's Co.

9
8.1%

5
4.5%

19
17.1%

76
68.5%

2
1.8%

Charles
County

4
17.4%

3
13.0%

3
13.0%

12
52.2%

1
4.3%

Baltimore
City

5
7.5%

3
4.5%

12
17.9%

45
67.2%

2
3.0%

Eastern Shore

45
50.6%

15
16.9%

4
4.5%

22
24.7%

3
3.4%

Western
Maryland

52
54.2%

17
17.7%

4
4.2%

19
19.8%

4
4.2%

35   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
QUESTION: Hogan Job Approval Do you approve or disapprove of the job Larry Hogan is
doing as governor?
JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN
Approve
Disapprove
No answer
Total

Number
600
134
66
800

Percent
75.0 %
16.8 %
8.3 %
100.0 %

Number
329
271
56
78
66
800

Percent
41.1 %
33.9 %
7.0 %
9.8 %
8.3 %
100.0 %

Is that strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
No answer
Total

N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

PARTY
Democrat

141
31.4%

161
35.9%

43
9.6%

60
13.4%

44
9.8%

Republican

131
58.0%

74
32.7%

8
3.5%

7
3.1%

6
2.7%

Unaffiliated

57
45.6%

36
28.8%

5
4.0%

11
8.8%

16
12.8%

N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

GENDER
Male

166
44.4%

129
34.5%

20
5.3%

33
8.8%

26
7.0%

Female

163
38.3%

142
33.3%

36
8.5%

45
10.6%

40
9.4%

36   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

AGE GROUP
Millennial

70
42.9%

54
33.1%

12
7.4%

16
9.8%

11
6.7%

Xennial

49
40.2%

33
27.0%

11
9.0%

16
13.1%

13
10.7%

Gen X

73
46.5%

53
33.8%

8
5.1%

13
8.3%

10
6.4%

Gen Jones

68
39.1%

58
33.3%

12
6.9%

18
10.3%

18
10.3%

Boomer

69
37.5%

73
39.7%

13
7.1%

15
8.2%

14
7.6%

N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

RACE
White

248
46.5%

173
32.5%

38
7.1%

40
7.5%

34
6.4%

AfricanAmerican

67
30.7%

81
37.2%

14
6.4%

31
14.2%

25
11.5%

Other

14
28.6%

17
34.7%

4
8.2%

7
14.3%

7
14.3%

N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

REGION
Baltimore
Metro

144
41.7%

120
34.8%

26
7.5%

33
9.6%

22
6.4%

Washington
Metro

83
30.7%

95
35.2%

27
10.0%

35
13.0%

30
11.1%

Rural
Maryland

102
55.1%

56
30.3%

3
1.6%

10
5.4%

14
7.6%

37   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

COUNTY
Anne
Arundel Co.

37
47.4%

23
29.5%

8
10.3%

7
9.0%

3
3.8%

Baltimore
County

40
35.1%

54
47.4%

4
3.5%

10
8.8%

6
5.3%

Harford
County

19
48.7%

14
35.9%

2
5.1%

1
2.6%

3
7.7%

Howard
County

19
40.4%

12
25.5%

5
10.6%

6
12.8%

5
10.6%

Montgomery
County

47
34.6%

39
28.7%

15
11.0%

20
14.7%

15
11.0%

Prince
George's Co.

30
27.0%

42
37.8%

11
9.9%

15
13.5%

13
11.7%

Charles
County

6
26.1%

14
60.9%

1
4.3%

0
0.0%

2
8.7%

Baltimore
City

29
43.3%

17
25.4%

7
10.4%

9
13.4%

5
7.5%

Eastern Shore

48
53.9%

25
28.1%

2
2.2%

7
7.9%

7
7.9%

Western
Maryland

54
56.3%

31
32.3%

1
1.0%

3
3.1%

7
7.3%

38   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll

Hogan Name Identification by Job Approval
N=800
Strongly
Approve

JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Approve
Disapprove
Disapprove

No answer

NAME ID: LARRY HOGAN
Very
Favorable

236
80.3%

42
14.3%

4
1.4%

7
2.4%

5
1.7%

Somewhat
Favorable

83
38.2%

124
57.1%

2
0.9%

5
2.3%

3
1.4%

Neutral

10
6.0%

84
50.6%

11
6.6%

23
13.9%

38
22.9%

Somewhat
Unfavorable

0
0.0%

9
24.3%

17
45.9%

10
27.0%

1
2.7%

Very
Unfavorable

0
0.0%

5
8.2%

21
34.4%

32
52.5%

3
4.9%

Don't
Recognize

0
0.0%

7
28.0%

1
4.0%

1
4.0%

16
64.0%

57% of voters who have a
neutral opinion of Hogan
approve of the job he’s doing

39   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
QUESTION: Governor General Election (Baker) If the November 2018 general election were
held today, for whom would you vote for governor if the candidates were: Larry Hogan, the
Republican, and Rushern Baker, the Democrat?

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs BAKER
Hogan
Baker
Undecided
Total

N=800

Number
385
296
119
800

Percent
48.1 %
37.0 %
14.9 %
100.0 %

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs BAKER
Hogan
Baker
Undecided

PARTY
Democrat

133
29.6%

233
51.9%

83
18.5%

Republican

184
81.4%

28
12.4%

14
6.2%

Unaffiliated

68
54.4%

35
28.0%

22
17.6%

N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs BAKER
Hogan
Baker
Undecided

GENDER
Male

204
54.5%

125
33.4%

45
12.0%

Female

181
42.5%

171
40.1%

74
17.4%

40   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs BAKER
Hogan
Baker
Undecided

AGE GROUP
Millennial

79
48.5%

56
34.4%

28
17.2%

Xennial

52
42.6%

46
37.7%

24
19.7%

Gen X

84
53.5%

56
35.7%

17
10.8%

Gen Jones

83
47.7%

75
43.1%

16
9.2%

Boomer

87
47.3%

63
34.2%

34
18.5%

N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs BAKER
Hogan
Baker
Undecided

RACE
White

306
57.4%

160
30.0%

67
12.6%

AfricanAmerican

59
27.1%

123
56.4%

36
16.5%

Other

20
40.8%

13
26.5%

16
32.7%

N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs BAKER
Hogan
Baker
Undecided

REGION
Baltimore
Metro

164
47.5%

120
34.8%

61
17.7%

Washington
Metro

82
30.4%

149
55.2%

39
14.4%

Rural
Maryland

139
75.1%

27
14.6%

19
10.3%

41   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs BAKER
Hogan
Baker
Undecided

COUNTY
Anne
Arundel Co.

37
47.4%

26
33.3%

15
19.2%

Baltimore
County

60
52.6%

35
30.7%

19
16.7%

Harford
County

24
61.5%

9
23.1%

6
15.4%

Howard
County

15
31.9%

21
44.7%

11
23.4%

Montgomery
County

49
36.0%

64
47.1%

23
16.9%

Prince
George's Co.

25
22.5%

73
65.8%

13
11.7%

Charles
County

8
34.8%

12
52.2%

3
13.0%

Baltimore
City

28
41.8%

29
43.3%

10
14.9%

Eastern Shore

65
73.0%

15
16.9%

9
10.1%

Western
Maryland

74
77.1%

12
12.5%

10
10.4%

42   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll

Hogan Job Approval Among Democrats by Vote
N=449

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs BAKER
Hogan
Baker
Undecided

JOB APPROVAL: GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN
Approve

125
41.4%

120
39.7%

57
18.9%

Disapprove

6
5.8%

85
82.5%

12
11.7%

No
Answer

2
4.5%

28
63.6%

14
31.8%

40% of Democrats who
“approve” of the job Larry
Hogan is doing as governor
are voting for Rushern Baker

43   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
QUESTION: Governor General Election (Jealous) If the November 2018 general election were
held today, for whom would you vote for governor if the candidates were: Larry Hogan, the
Republican, and Ben Jealous, the Democrat?

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs JEALOUS
Hogan
Jealous
Undecided
Total

N=800

Number
414
274
112
800

Percent
51.8 %
34.3 %
14.0 %
100.0 %

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs JEALOUS
Hogan
Jealous
Undecided

PARTY
Democrat

149
33.2%

229
51.0%

71
15.8%

Republican

192
85.0%

14
6.2%

20
8.8%

Unaffiliated

73
58.4%

31
24.8%

21
16.8%

N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs JEALOUS
Hogan
Jealous
Undecided

GENDER
Male

221
59.1%

103
27.5%

50
13.4%

Female

193
45.3%

171
40.1%

62
14.6%

44   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs JEALOUS
Hogan
Jealous
Undecided

AGE GROUP
Millennial

83
50.9%

55
33.7%

25
15.3%

Xennial

56
45.9%

42
34.4%

24
19.7%

Gen X

88
56.1%

53
33.8%

16
10.2%

Gen Jones

91
52.3%

65
37.4%

18
10.3%

Boomer

96
52.2%

59
32.1%

29
15.8%

N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs JEALOUS
Hogan
Jealous
Undecided

RACE
White

324
60.8%

144
27.0%

65
12.2%

AfricanAmerican

71
32.6%

114
52.3%

33
15.1%

Other

19
38.8%

16
32.7%

14
28.6%

N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs JEALOUS
Hogan
Jealous
Undecided

REGION
Baltimore
Metro

181
52.5%

123
35.7%

41
11.9%

Washington
Metro

95
35.2%

126
46.7%

49
18.1%

Rural
Maryland

138
74.6%

25
13.5%

22
11.9%

45   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs JEALOUS
Hogan
Jealous
Undecided

COUNTY
Anne
Arundel Co.

42
53.8%

28
35.9%

8
10.3%

Baltimore
County

63
55.3%

37
32.5%

14
12.3%

Harford
County

26
66.7%

9
23.1%

4
10.3%

Howard
County

20
42.6%

17
36.2%

10
21.3%

Montgomery
County

56
41.2%

51
37.5%

29
21.3%

Prince
George's Co.

29
26.1%

64
57.7%

18
16.2%

Charles
County

10
43.5%

11
47.8%

2
8.7%

Baltimore
City

30
44.8%

32
47.8%

5
7.5%

Eastern Shore

66
74.2%

12
13.5%

11
12.4%

Western
Maryland

72
75.0%

13
13.5%

11
11.5%

46   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
QUESTION: Governor General Election (Madaleno) If the November 2018 general election
were held today, for whom would you vote for governor if the candidates were: Larry Hogan, the
Republican, and Richard Madaleno, the Democrat?

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs MADALENO
Hogan
Jealous
Undecided
Total

N=800

Number
399
290
111
800

Percent
49.9 %
36.3 %
13.9 %
100.0 %

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs MADALENO
Hogan
Madaleno
Undecided

PARTY
Democrat

140
31.2%

235
52.3%

74
16.5%

Republican

190
84.1%

16
7.1%

20
8.8%

Unaffiliated

69
55.2%

39
31.2%

17
13.6%

N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs MADALENO
Hogan
Madaleno
Undecided

GENDER
Male

213
57.0%

117
31.3%

44
11.8%

Female

186
43.7%

173
40.6%

67
15.7%

47   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs MADALENO
Hogan
Madaleno
Undecided

AGE GROUP
Millennial

77
47.2%

67
41.1%

19
11.7%

Xennial

55
45.1%

44
36.1%

23
18.9%

Gen X

87
55.4%

51
32.5%

19
12.1%

Gen Jones

86
49.4%

68
39.1%

20
11.5%

Boomer

94
51.1%

60
32.6%

30
16.3%

N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs MADALENO
Hogan
Madaleno
Undecided

RACE
White

312
58.5%

164
30.8%

57
10.7%

AfricanAmerican

69
31.7%

108
49.5%

41
18.8%

Other

18
36.7%

18
36.7%

13
26.5%

N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs MADALENO
Hogan
Madaleno
Undecided

REGION
Baltimore
Metro

183
53.0%

115
33.3%

47
13.6%

Washington
Metro

82
30.4%

144
53.3%

44
16.3%

Rural
Maryland

134
72.4%

31
16.8%

20
10.8%

48   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800

GOVERNOR ELECTION: HOGAN vs MADALENO
Hogan
Madaleno
Undecided

COUNTY
Anne
Arundel Co.

43
55.1%

27
34.6%

8
10.3%

Baltimore
County

62
54.4%

35
30.7%

17
14.9%

Harford
County

28
71.8%

7
17.9%

4
10.3%

Howard
County

20
42.6%

19
40.4%

8
17.0%

Montgomery
County

41
30.1%

75
55.1%

20
14.7%

Prince
George's Co.

31
27.9%

59
53.2%

21
18.9%

Charles
County

10
43.5%

10
43.5%

3
13.0%

Baltimore
City

30
44.8%

27
40.3%

10
14.9%

Eastern Shore

64
71.9%

15
16.9%

10
11.2%

Western
Maryland

70
72.9%

16
16.7%

10
10.4%

49   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
QUESTION: Direction of State Overall, would you say things in Maryland are moving in the
right direction, or would you say things are off on the wrong track?
DIRECTION OF STATE
Right Direction
Wrong Track
No answer
Total

N=800

Number
494
191
115
800

Right Direction

DIRECTION OF STATE
Wrong Track

No answer

Democrat

247
55.0%

130
29.0%

72
16.0%

Republican

178
78.8%

24
10.6%

24
10.6%

Unaffiliated

69
55.2%

37
29.6%

19
15.2%

Right Direction

DIRECTION OF STATE
Wrong Track

No answer

Male

241
64.4%

77
20.6%

56
15.0%

Female

253
59.4%

114
26.8%

59
13.8%

Percent
61.8 %
23.9 %
14.4 %
100.0 %

PARTY

N=800

GENDER

50   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800
Right Direction

DIRECTION OF STATE
Wrong Track

No answer

Millennial

111
68.1%

34
20.9%

18
11.0%

Xennial

66
54.1%

32
26.2%

24
19.7%

Gen X

97
61.8%

37
23.6%

23
14.6%

Gen Jones

101
58.0%

49
28.2%

24
13.8%

Boomer

119
64.7%

39
21.2%

26
14.1%

AGE GROUP

N=800

DIRECTION OF STATE
Right Direction
Wrong Track

No answer

RACE
White

376
70.5%

97
18.2%

60
11.3%

AfricanAmerican

99
45.4%

71
32.6%

48
22.0%

Other

19
38.8%

23
46.9%

7
14.3%

Right Direction

DIRECTION OF STATE
Wrong Track

No answer

Baltimore
Metro

218
63.2%

77
22.3%

50
14.5%

Washington
Metro

135
50.0%

89
33.0%

46
17.0%

Rural
Maryland

141
76.2%

25
13.5%

19
10.3%

N=800

REGION

51   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800
Right Direction

DIRECTION OF STATE
Wrong Track

No answer

Anne
Arundel Co.

56
71.8%

17
21.8%

5
6.4%

Baltimore
County

72
63.2%

26
22.8%

16
14.0%

Harford
County

29
74.4%

4
10.3%

6
15.4%

Howard
County

31
66.0%

11
23.4%

5
10.6%

Montgomery
County

71
52.2%

42
30.9%

23
16.9%

Prince
George's Co.

50
45.0%

40
36.0%

21
18.9%

Charles
County

14
60.9%

7
30.4%

2
8.7%

Baltimore
City

30
44.8%

19
28.4%

18
26.9%

Eastern Shore

65
73.0%

13
14.6%

11
12.4%

Western
Maryland

76
79.2%

12
12.5%

8
8.3%

COUNTY

52   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
QUESTION: Sports Betting As you may know, the Supreme Court recently decided to allow
individual states to legalize commercial sports betting. Do you favor or oppose legalizing
commercial sports betting in Maryland?
LEGALIZE SPORTS BETTING
Favor
Oppose
No answer
Total

Number
328
303
169
800

Percent
41.0 %
37.9 %
21.1 %
100.0 %

Number
127
201
76
227
169
800

Percent
15.9 %
25.1 %
9.5 %
28.4 %
21.1 %
100.0 %

Is that strongly or somewhat favor/oppose?
LEGALIZE SPORTS BETTING
Strongly Favor
Somewhat Favor
Somewhat Oppose
Strongly Oppose
No answer
Total

N=800
Strongly Favor

LEGALIZE SPORTS BETTING
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Favor
Oppose
Oppose

No answer

PARTY
Democrat

81
18.0%

126
28.1%

40
8.9%

107
23.8%

95
21.2%

Republican

28
12.4%

49
21.7%

13
5.8%

83
36.7%

53
23.5%

Unaffiliated

18
14.4%

26
20.8%

23
18.4%

37
29.6%

21
16.8%

N=800
Strongly Favor

LEGALIZE SPORTS BETTING
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Favor
Oppose
Oppose

No answer

GENDER
Male

58
15.5%

88
23.5%

34
9.1%

116
31.0%

78
20.9%

Female

69
16.2%

113
26.5%

42
9.9%

111
26.1%

91
21.4%

53   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800
Strongly Favor

LEGALIZE SPORTS BETTING
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Favor
Oppose
Oppose

No answer

AGE GROUP
Millennial

33
20.2%

38
23.3%

15
9.2%

45
27.6%

32
19.6%

Xennial

21
17.2%

36
29.5%

12
9.8%

28
23.0%

25
20.5%

Gen X

16
10.2%

35
22.3%

22
14.0%

49
31.2%

35
22.3%

Gen Jones

30
17.2%

51
29.3%

6
3.4%

54
31.0%

33
19.0%

Boomer

27
14.7%

41
22.3%

21
11.4%

51
27.7%

44
23.9%

N=800
Strongly Favor

LEGALIZE SPORTS BETTING
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Favor
Oppose
Oppose

No answer

RACE
White

82
15.4%

145
27.2%

44
8.3%

155
29.1%

107
20.1%

AfricanAmerican

38
17.4%

47
21.6%

24
11.0%

59
27.1%

50
22.9%

Other

7
14.3%

9
18.4%

8
16.3%

13
26.5%

12
24.5%

N=800
Strongly Favor

LEGALIZE SPORTS BETTING
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Favor
Oppose
Oppose

No answer

REGION
Baltimore
Metro

58
16.8%

92
26.7%

31
9.0%

95
27.5%

69
20.0%

Washington
Metro

45
16.7%

66
24.4%

24
8.9%

75
27.8%

60
22.2%

Rural
Maryland

24
13.0%

43
23.2%

21
11.4%

57
30.8%

40
21.6%

54   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll
N=800
Strongly Favor

LEGALIZE SPORTS BETTING
Somewhat
Somewhat
Strongly
Favor
Oppose
Oppose

No answer

COUNTY
Anne
Arundel Co.

13
16.7%

21
26.9%

8
10.3%

20
25.6%

16
20.5%

Baltimore
County

21
18.4%

25
21.9%

11
9.6%

35
30.7%

22
19.3%

Harford
County

6
15.4%

9
23.1%

2
5.1%

14
35.9%

8
20.5%

Howard
County

8
17.0%

18
38.3%

4
8.5%

10
21.3%

7
14.9%

Montgomery
County

27
19.9%

37
27.2%

10
7.4%

38
27.9%

24
17.6%

Prince
George's Co.

14
12.6%

24
21.6%

12
10.8%

32
28.8%

29
26.1%

Charles
County

4
17.4%

5
21.7%

2
8.7%

5
21.7%

7
30.4%

Baltimore
City

10
14.9%

19
28.4%

6
9.0%

16
23.9%

16
23.9%

Eastern Shore

11
12.4%

23
25.8%

11
12.4%

30
33.7%

14
15.7%

Western
Maryland

13
13.5%

20
20.8%

10
10.4%

27
28.1%

26
27.1%

55   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll

Maryland General Election Poll Sample Demographics
PARTY
Democrat
Republican
Unaffiliated
Total

Number
449
226
125
800

Percent
56.1 %
28.3 %
15.6 %
100.0 %

GENDER
Male
Female
Total

Number
374
426
800

Percent
46.8 %
53.3 %
100.0 %

AGE GROUP
Millennial (18 to 34 years old)
Xennial (35 to 44 years old)
Gen X (45 to 54 years old)
Gen Jones (55 to 64 years old)
Boomer (65 and older)
Total

Number
163
122
157
174
184
800

Percent
20.4 %
15.3 %
19.6 %
21.8 %
23.0 %
100.0 %

RACE
White
African-American
Other
Total

Number
533
218
49
800

Percent
66.6 %
27.3 %
6.1 %
100.0 %

REGION
Baltimore Metro
Washington Metro
Rural Maryland
Total

Number
345
270
185
800

Percent
43.1 %
33.8 %
23.1 %
100.0 %

COUNTY
Anne Arundel Co.
Baltimore County
Harford County
Howard County
Montgomery County
Prince George's Co.
Charles County
Baltimore City
Eastern Shore
Western Maryland
Total

Number
78
114
39
47
136
111
23
67
89
96
800

Percent
9.8 %
14.3 %
4.9 %
5.9 %
17.0 %
13.9 %
2.9 %
8.4 %
11.1 %
12.0 %
100.0 %

56   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018

 Gonzales Maryland Poll

Maryland Democratic Primary Poll Sample Demographics
GENDER
Male
Female
Total

Number
204
301
505

Percent
40.4 %
59.6 %
100.0 %

AGE GROUP
Millennial (18 to 34 years old)
Xennial (35 to 44 years old)
Gen X (45 to 54 years old)
Gen Jones (55 to 64 years old)
Boomer (65 and older)
Total

Number
83
63
87
114
158
505

Percent
16.4 %
12.5 %
17.2 %
22.6 %
31.3 %
100.0 %

RACE
White
African-American
Other
Total

Number
242
217
46
505

Percent
47.9 %
43.0 %
9.1 %
100.0 %

REGION
Baltimore Metro
Washington Metro
Rural Maryland
Total

Number
229
206
70
505

Percent
45.3 %
40.8 %
13.9 %
100.0 %

COUNTY
Anne Arundel Co.
Baltimore County
Harford County
Howard County
Montgomery County
Prince George's Co.
Charles County
Baltimore City
Eastern Shore
Western Maryland
Total

Number
37
75
15
30
102
91
13
72
34
36
505

Percent
7.3 %
14.9 %
3.0 %
5.9 %
20.2 %
18.0 %
2.6 %
14.3 %
6.7 %
7.1 %
100.0 %

57   P a g e
Gonzales Poll, Embargo: 12:01 a.m., Tuesday, June 12th 2018