Civil Beat Poll 1 Representative Sample: Likely Democratic Primary Voters Statewide (871, Margin of Error +/- 3.3 percentage points) Fielded, July 19 – 21, 2018 If you vote in the Democratic primary, which candidate are you most likely to support for Governor—David Ige, Colleen Hanabusa, or neither of those candidates? [Name order rotated] Ige 43% Hanabusa 34% Neither 5% Unsure 18% Total 100% CROSSTABS Male Ige Hanabusa Neither Unsure Total 46% 36% 5% 14% 36% Under 50 Ige 28% Hanabusa 32% Neither 10% Unsure 31% Total 32% Female 40% 32% 6% 22% 32% 50 or older 50% 35% 3% 12% 35% Civil Beat Poll 2 Representative Sample: Likely Democratic Primary Voters Statewide (871, Margin of Error +/- 3.3 percentage points) Fielded, July 19 – 21, 2018 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed Ige 40% 55% 53% 29% 44% 38% 34% Hanabusa 41% 26% 33% 40% 28% 15% 32% Neither 4% 3% 3% 11% 4% 2% 10% Unsure 16% 15% 11% 20% 24% 45% 24% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Ige 39% 51% 62% Hanabusa 34% 31% 27% Neither 2% 5% 8% Unsure 24% 13% 3% Total 100% 100% 100% Democrat Republican Independent Ige 42% 72% 38% Hanabusa 38% 18% 22% Neither 2% 9% 15% Unsure 18% 1% 25% Total 100% 100% 100% Civil Beat Poll Representative Sample: Likely Democratic Primary Voters Statewide (871, Margin of Error +/- 3.3 percentage points) Fielded, July 19 – 21, 2018 No College college Degree Degree Ige 47% 41% Hanabusa 30% 40% Neither 3% 6% Unsure 20% 14% Total 100% 100% Less than $50,000 - More than $50,000 $100,000 $100,000 Ige 32% 44% 52% Hanabusa 41% 30% 35% Neither 4% 5% 2% Unsure 23% 21% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai Ige 45% 41% 41% 31% 58% Hanabusa 31% 42% 31% 46% 21% Neither 5% 9% 5% 1% 6% Unsure 19% 8% 23% 22% 15% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Who did you support more to be the Democratic Party's nominee for president during the 2016 primaries – Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders? Clinton Sanders Ige 42% 43% Hanabusa 39% 27% Neither 2% 9% Unsure 16% 21% Total 100% 100% 3 Civil Beat Poll 4 Representative Sample: Likely Democratic Primary Voters Statewide (871, Margin of Error +/- 3.3 percentage points) Fielded, July 19 – 21, 2018 About the Poll Civil Beat surveyed a random sample of 1,090 likely primary voters statewide, including 871 likely Democratic Party primary voters (403 in the First Congressional District and 468 in the Second Congressional District), and 219 likely Republican Party primary voters. Calls were made from July 19 – 21, 2018, using interactive voice response technology (touch-tone polling). Cell phones were contacted by live call-agents who obtained consent and then patched consenting participants through to the same recorded survey as landline respondents. The sample consisted of 70% landlines and 30% cellphones. Results were balanced for gender, age, ancestry/ethnicity/race, county and Congressional District of residence, and education level. The margin of error for the full statewide sample of likely primary voters is +/- 3.0 percentage points, for likely Democratic primary voters it is +/- 3.3 percentage points (First Congressional District +/- 4.9 percentage points and Second Congressional District +/- 4.5 percentage points), and for likely Republican primary voters it is +/- 6.6 percentage points. Other sources of error, such as imperfect response rates and design effect (the effect of weighting results based on demographics) are also common in public opinion research and may affect the results. The adjusted margins of error, accounting for the design effects are: full statewide sample of likely primary voters +/- 4.4 percentage points, likely Democratic primary voters +/- 4.8 percentage points (First Congressional District +/- 7.3 percentage points and Second Congressional District +/- 6.2 percentage points), and likely Republican primary voters +/- 10.7 percentage points. The margin of error for any crosstabulated result is larger than the margin of error of the corresponding topline result. Some columns may sum to totals slightly higher or lower than 100% due to rounding. The poll was conducted by Civil Beat working with Merriman River Group, a full-service consulting organization specializing in opinion research, election management, and communications.