Change Research surveyed 741 registered voters after the Kavanaugh hearing (the evening of 9/27 and morning of 9/28). The survey was conducted online, using Change Research’s Bias Correct Engine. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, and 2016 presidential vote. Question Answer All Voters How likely would you say you are to vote in the November 6 general election for Congress and other state and local Definitely will vote offices? 88 Probably will vote 7 Maybe (50-50) 3 Probably will not vote 1 Definitely will not vote 2 If the general election for Congress were held today, would you vote for: The Democratic candidate 48 The Republican candidate 40 A third party candidate 3 Not sure 9 UNDECIDED VOTERS ONLY: If you had to choose, would The Democratic you vote for: candidate 38 The Republican candidate 29 A third party candidate 28 If the general election for Congress were held today, would you vote for: Would not vote 6 The Democratic candidate 49 The Republican candidate 41 Not sure 10 UNDECIDED VOTERS ONLY: If you had to choose, would The Democratic you vote for: candidate 41 The Republican candidate 28 Would not vote 31 Very favorable 34 Somewhat favorable 10 Brett Kavanaugh - How do you feel about the following people? Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion/Never heard of them Dianne Feinstein - How do you feel about the following people? 6 47 3 Very favorable 16 Somewhat favorable 22 Somewhat unfavorable 10 Chuck Grassley - How do you feel about the following people? Christine Blasey Ford - How do you feel about the following people? Michael Avenatti - How do you feel about the following people? Very unfavorable 40 No opinion/Never heard of them 12 Very favorable 10 Somewhat favorable 12 Somewhat unfavorable 12 Very unfavorable 35 No opinion/Never heard of them 31 Very favorable 36 Somewhat favorable 13 Somewhat unfavorable 10 Very unfavorable 31 No opinion/Never heard of them 11 Very favorable 11 Somewhat favorable 21 Somewhat unfavorable Donald Trump - How do you feel about the following people? 9 Very unfavorable 29 No opinion/Never heard of them 30 Very favorable 33 Somewhat favorable 12 Somewhat unfavorable 3 Very unfavorable Mitch McConnell - How do you feel about the following people? Rachel Mitchell - How do you feel about the following people? Julie Swetnick - How do you feel about the following people? No opinion/Never heard of them 1 Very favorable 6 Somewhat favorable 19 Somewhat unfavorable 14 Very unfavorable 48 No opinion/Never heard of them 14 Very favorable 5 Somewhat favorable 16 Somewhat unfavorable 14 Very unfavorable 11 No opinion/Never heard of them 54 Very favorable 12 Somewhat favorable 15 Somewhat unfavorable Deborah Ramirez - How do you feel about the following people? 52 6 Very unfavorable 24 No opinion/Never heard of them 44 Very favorable 12 Somewhat favorable 14 Somewhat unfavorable 6 Judge Kavanaugh is qualified to be on the United States Supreme Court - Please indicate how you feel about the following statements: Very unfavorable 22 No opinion/Never heard of them 46 42 Strongly agree Somewhat agree 7 Somewhat disagree 6 Strongly disagree Not sure Judge Kavanaugh should be confirmed to the United States Supreme Court - Please indicate how you feel about the following statements: 41 Somewhat agree 3 Somewhat disagree 6 Not sure 43 6 Strongly agree 44 Somewhat agree 17 Somewhat disagree Judge Kavanaugh is honest - Please indicate how you feel about the following statements: 8 Strongly agree Strongly disagree Judge Kavanaugh is a family man - Please indicate how you feel about the following statements: 37 9 Strongly disagree 11 Not sure 19 Strongly agree 38 Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree 7 10 Strongly disagree Not sure Judge Kavanaugh is irresponsible - Please indicate how you feel about the following statements: 27 Somewhat agree 11 40 Not sure 14 Strongly agree 25 Somewhat agree 12 7 Strongly disagree 43 Not sure 14 44 Strongly agree Somewhat agree 8 Somewhat disagree 5 Strongly disagree Not sure Judge Kavanaugh is the victim of a liberal witch hunt Please indicate how you feel about the following statements: 7 Strongly disagree Somewhat disagree Judge Kavanaugh has not been forthcoming about his past - Please indicate how you feel about the following statements: 8 Strongly agree Somewhat disagree Judge Kavanaugh is a sexual predator - Please indicate how you feel about the following statements: 38 35 8 42 Strongly agree Somewhat agree 3 Somewhat disagree 9 Strongly disagree Not sure Judge Kavanaugh made some mistakes when he was younger, but has since reformed himself - Please indicate Strongly agree how you feel about the following statements: 10 11 Somewhat disagree 19 Strongly disagree 35 Not sure 25 48 Somewhat agree 4 Somewhat disagree 4 Strongly disagree Not sure Much more likely to re-elect your Senator Somewhat more likely to re-elect your Senator Wouldn't make a difference Somewhat less likely to re-elect your Senator If Brett Kavanaugh is confirmed to the Supreme Court, would that make you: 4 Somewhat agree The vote to confirm Judge Kavanaugh should be delayed - Please indicate how you feel about the following Strongly agree statements: If your Senator voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, would that make you: 44 41 4 30 7 13 7 Much less likely to re-elect your Senator 44 Much more likely to vote for Democrats in November 40 Somewhat more likely to vote for Democrats in November Wouldn't make a difference Did you watch Thursday's Senate Judiciary Committee hearings during which Brett Kavanaugh and Christine Blasey Ford testified? 2 Much less likely to vote for Democrats in November 15 73 Yes I'm not sure Did you find Christine Blasey Ford's testimony believable? Did you find Brett Kavanaugh's testimony believable? Whose testimony did you find more credible? 40 Somewhat less likely to vote for Democrats in November No Have you read, seen, or heard anything about the Senate Judiciary Committee hearings during which Brett Kavanaugh and Christine Blasey Ford testified? 3 26 1 94 Yes No 6 Yes 50 No 39 I'm not sure 11 Yes 44 No 45 I'm not sure 11 Christine Blasey Ford's 48 Brett Kavanaugh's Which of the following words would you use to describe Christine Blasey Ford in Thursday's hearing? (Warm) Neither 4 I'm not sure 4 No 89 Yes 11 Which of the following words would you use to describe No Christine Blasey Ford in Thursday's hearing? (Believable) Which of the following words would you use to describe Christine Blasey Ford in Thursday's hearing? (Honest) Which of the following words would you use to describe Christine Blasey Ford in Thursday's hearing? (Treated unfairly) 33 No 70 Yes 30 85 No 15 77 No Yes Which of the following words would you use to describe Christine Blasey Ford in Thursday's hearing? (Forced to talk about things that didn't matter) 67 Yes Yes Which of the following words would you use to describe Christine Blasey Ford in Thursday's hearing? (In an impossible position) 45 23 87 No Yes 14 Which of the following words would you use to describe Christine Blasey Ford in Thursday's hearing? (None of the above) Which of the following words would you use to describe Brett Kavanaugh in Thursday's hearing? (Warm) Which of the following words would you use to describe Brett Kavanaugh in Thursday's hearing? (Believable) Which of the following words would you use to describe Brett Kavanaugh in Thursday's hearing? (Honest) Which of the following words would you use to describe Brett Kavanaugh in Thursday's hearing? (Treated unfairly) 66 No Yes 34 No 96 Yes 4 No 81 Yes 19 No 84 Yes 17 79 No Yes Which of the following words would you use to describe Brett Kavanaugh in Thursday's hearing? (In an impossible position) 86 No Yes Which of the following words would you use to describe Brett Kavanaugh in Thursday's hearing? (Forced to talk about things that didn't matter) 21 14 88 No Yes 12 Which of the following words would you use to describe Brett Kavanaugh in Thursday's hearing? (None of the above) 56 No Yes Do you think that Brett Kavanaugh was more courteous or more rude toward senators in his hearing on Thursday? Do you think that Christine Blasey Ford was more courteous or more rude toward female senators in his hearing on Thursday? 21 Courteous Rude 47 Neither 32 34 Courteous Rude Which Senator had the best performance at Thursday's hearing? 44 7 Neither 59 Lindsey Graham 37 Kamala Harris 16 Cory Booker 8 Dick Durbin 5 Ted Cruz 4 Dianne Feinstein 4 Amy Klobuchar 4 Chuck Grassley 2 Jeff Flake 1 Richard Blumenthal 1 John Cornyn 1 Sheldon Whitehouse 1 Which Senator had the worst performance at Thursday's hearing? Chris Coons 1 Mazie Hirono 1 John Kennedy 1 Thom Tillis 1 Pat Leahy 0 Mike Crapo 0 Orrin Hatch 0 Ben Sasse 0 Not sure 14 Lindsey Graham 30 Dianne Feinstein 23 Chuck Grassley 8 Cory Booker 8 Ted Cruz 6 Dick Durbin 3 Richard Blumenthal 3 Kamala Harris 2 Orrin Hatch 2 Sheldon Whitehouse 2 Mike Crapo 1 Mazie Hirono 1 John Kennedy 1 Amy Klobuchar 1 John Cornyn 1 Jeff Flake 0 Pat Leahy Overall, which party did a better job at Thursday's hearings? Not sure 10 The Democrats 41 The Republicans 36 Neither 24 How would you rate the performance of Rachel Mitchell at Excellent Thursday's hearing? 4 Good 15 Fair 23 Poor 11 Can't rate 47 It was a great move for the Republicans to have Which of the following best describes how you feel about a prosecutor question Rachel Mitchell at Thursday's hearing? Christine Blasey Ford than the Which of these statements do you think is most likely true? 0 20 Republicans had the right idea by having a prosecutor question Christine Blasey Ford, but she didn't 22 It was inappropriate for Republicans to treat the hearing like a partisan interrogation by bringing 24 I'm not sure 34 Christine Blasey Ford was sexually assaulted in high school by Brett Kavanaugh 48 Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the following statement: Even if Christine Blasey Ford's allegations of sexual assault by Brett Kavanaugh are found to be true, Judge Kavanaugh is still qualified to be on the United States Supreme Court. Christine Blasey Ford was sexually assaulted in high school, but it wasn't by Brett Kavanaugh 24 Christine Blasey Ford was not sexually assaulted in high school 16 I'm not sure 13 20 Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree 10 8 Strongly disagree 52 Not sure 10 Judge Kavanaugh has submitted a personal calendar from high school to the Senate Judiciary Committee to prove that he was not at the party where Christine Blasey Yes Ford said the assault took place. Do you think this is credible evidence that supports Judge Kavanaugh's claim? No I'm not sure Should the FBI investigate the allegations of sexual assault against Brett Kavanaugh before the Senate votes Yes on his confirmation? No I'm not sure 42 52 6 54 43 3 Did Brett Kavanaugh's testimony on Thursday make you more or less likely to think there should be an FBI investigation into the allegations of sexual assault against Brett Kavanaugh? 47 More likely No difference 28 Less likely 25 Should the US Senate hear from Brett Kavanaugh's other accusers before proceeding with Brett Kavanaugh's Yes confirmation? No I'm not sure Should the US Senate hear from Mark Judge before proceeding with Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation? If the US Senate confirms Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, how will it affect how you view the credibility of the Supreme Court? Should President Trump pick a different nominee to the Supreme Court? 49 46 5 Yes 46 No 38 I'm not sure 16 24 I'll find it more credible I'll find it less credible 50 It won't affect my opinion of the Supreme Court 26 Yes 46 No 48 Not sure Most men respect women and oppose harassment and abuse committed against women - To what extent do you Strongly Agree agree with the following statements? 7 39 Violence and abuse against women and girls is a bigger problem now than it used to be - To what extent do you agree with the following statements? Somewhat Agree 39 Somewhat Disagree 12 Strongly Disagree 4 Not Sure 6 12 Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree 24 Somewhat Disagree 30 Strongly Disagree 15 Not Sure 19 A great deal of violence and abuse against women and girls can be prevented - To what extent do you agree with Strongly Agree the following statements? Somewhat Agree 44 39 Somewhat Disagree 4 Strongly Disagree 0 Not Sure Expectations for men’s behavior towards women have changed - To what extent do you agree with the following Strongly Agree statements? Somewhat Agree 14 29 44 Somewhat Disagree 7 Strongly Disagree 7 Not Sure 14 More men speak up than before when other men are being disrespectful or abusive to women - To what extent Strongly Agree do you agree with the following statements? Somewhat Agree 37 Somewhat Disagree 13 Strongly Disagree In your view, how frequently do sexual harassment and sexual assault occur in the United States? Many women have broken their silence recently, publicly speaking about being harassed and sexually assaulted. How do you feel about this? 5 Not Sure 27 Very frequently 51 Somewhat frequently 29 Not that frequently 10 Not frequently at all 1 Not sure 8 46 Very positive Somewhat positive 13 Somewhat concerned it will or has gone overboard 22 Very concerned it will or has gone overboard 15 Not sure Do you think it's important to believe women who talk publicly about their experiences with harassment or sexual assault? 19 5 53 Very important Somewhat important 25 Not very important 8 Not important at all 3 Do you think women are generally treated fairly when they report harassment or sexual assault? Not sure 12 Very fairly 15 Somewhat fairly 27 Not very fairly 24 Not fairly at all 27 Not sure How are people who are accused of harassment or abuse Very fairly treated in our judicial system? In your experience, when women come forward saying that they were harassed or abused, do you believe we should: How have your views on the previous question changed over the past few years? 7 12 Somewhat fairly 32 Not very fairly 22 Not fairly at all 23 Not sure 12 Tend to be skeptical of the allegations and wait for hard evidence that they occurred 45 Tend to believe the allegations unless there is hard evidence that they did not occur 55 I've become much more likely to believe female accusers 18 I've become somewhat more likely to believe female accusers 10 My views have not changed 53 I've become somewhat more likely to doubt female accusers 16 I've become much more likely to doubt female accusers 3 On a scale of 1-10, how do you feel about President Donald Trump? 1 means you strongly oppose him and 10 means you strongly support him. In the 2016 election, did you vote for: 49 1 2 2 3 1 4 1 5 2 6 1 7 4 8 7 9 5 10 28 Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 46 Donald Trump, the Republican 45 Gary Johnson, the Libertarian 5 Did not vote 3 Jill Stein, the Green Party 2