Dr. Joshua J. Dyck and Dr. Francis Talty, Co-Directors http://www.uml.edu/polls @UML_CPO _____________________________________________________________________________________________ UMass Lowell/Boston Globe Survey of Massachusetts Voters Survey produced by Professor Joshua J. Dyck, Ph.D and Professor John Cluverius, Ph. D. Field Dates: October 1-7, 2018 N=791 Massachusetts Registered Voters N=485 Massachusetts Likely Voters Adjusted Margin of Error: +/- 4.4% RVs Adjusted Margin of Error: +/- 5.6% LVs Margins of error have been adjusted to include for design effects resulting from weighting and survey design features. Methodology in Brief Data collection by live interviewers from SSRS. This is a probability sample of 791 Massachusetts Registered Voters (RVs) collected using an overlapping dual-frame random digit dial design with a 50% landline/50% cell phone target split. Using the method detailed on page 2, we classified 485 RVs as Likely Voters (LVs). The data were first weighted to address the imbalance that occurs because some respondents have a greater probability of being included in the frame if they have multiple landlines or both a landline and a cellular number. To ensure a representative sample, we collected demographic data on all respondents who were residents of Massachusetts and at least 18 years of age (including non-registered voters) so that our overall sample can be weighted to data on age, gender, education, race and region from the 2018 American Community Survey for Massachusetts. UMass Lowell is a public institution and releases surveys as a source of public information. We report our questionnaire in our topline document which includes likely voter model questions and wording. We offer a complete methodology report, as well an extensive set of crosstabs. Our goal is complete transparency in the reporting of our findings. If there is something you do not see here, but wish you did, please contact Professor Joshua J. Dyck (joshua_dyck@uml.edu; @drjjdyck) or Professor John Cluverius (john_cluverius@uml.edu; @JohnCluverius). *indicates <.5%; some numbers do not sum to 100 due to rounding LIKELY VOTER CLASSIFICATION (ASKED OF ALL REGISTERED VOTERS) Q2 As you know, a general election will be held across the country in November which includes races for Governor and U.S. Senator in Massachusetts. How closely are you following news about candidates running for office in Massachusetts -- very closely, somewhat closely, just a bit, or haven’t you really been following it much at all? 29% 34 22 15 0 Q3 How often would you say that you vote when there’s a primary election that includes offices like Massachusetts Governor, United States Senate, United States House of Representatives, and other statewide offices – always, almost always, just sometimes, hardly ever, or never? If you have just registered to vote for the first time, please tell me. 58% 21 11 5 2 4 . Q4 Very closely Somewhat closely Just a bit Haven't really been following it much at all (DO NOT READ) Don't know/Refused Always Almost always Just sometimes Hardly ever Never Just registered to vote for the first time (DO NOT READ) Don't know/Refused Many people don’t vote in elections unless the race for President is on the ballot. At this point, would you say you’ll definitely NOT vote in the upcoming election for Governor of Massachusetts and U.S. Senator, PROBABLY NOT vote, may or may not vote depending upon how you feel at the time, PROBABLY vote, or DEFINITELY vote in the upcoming election? 20% 3 6 12 59 59 . Definitely not vote Probably not vote May or may not vote Probably vote Definitely vote (DO NOT READ) Already voted (DO NOT READ) Don't know/Refused Likely voters are defined as those who are following news of the election “very closely,” “somewhat closely” or “just a bit” (Q2=1,2,3), “always” or “almost always” vote when there’s an election (Q3=1,2), and say that they “probably will vote,” or “definitely will vote,” in the election (Q4=4,5). Voters who report that they “just registered” (Q3=6) were classified as likely voters if they say that they “probably will vote,” or “definitely will vote,” in the election (Q4=4,5). Among partisans (using leaned party ID), 60% of Democrats, 60% of Republicans and 45% of Independents are classified as 'Likely Voters.' 2 Q5 If the election for GOVERNOR of MASSACHUSETTS was being held today, would you vote for ROTATE: (Charlie Baker, the Republican) or (Jay Gonzalez, the Democrat)? Q5a As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward: [READ LIST] RV 65% 26 6 1 2 LV 66% 27 5 0 3 Charlie Baker Jay Gonzalez Neither/No Lean/Someone Else Would not vote DK/Refused (crosstabs are of LVs) Charlie Baker Jay Gonzalez Undecided/Other Would not vote DK/REF Party ID Leaned Party ID Unleaned Democrat Republican Independent Democrat Republican Independent 46 84 77 54 88 85 49 4 17 41 5 4 4 7 5 5 5 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 1 1 8 Income Charlie Baker Jay Gonzalez Undecided/Other Would not vote DK/REF Education Below $50K $50k$100k $100k & up 70 25 3 0 2 71 25 4 0 0 64 30 3 1 1 Gender Male Female Charlie Baker Jay Gonzalez Undecided/Other Would not vote DK/REF 67 26 3 1 2 64 27 6 0 3 High School or Less 61 32 3 1 2 Some College Race Post College White NonGraduate Degree White Degree 78 19 3 0 1 64 29 4 0 4 Age 62 25 9 0 3 68 26 4 0 1 Ideology 1839 4049 5065+ Liberal Moderate Conservative 64 50 43 3 0 3 70 25 3 0 1 74 16 6 1 2 3 75 18 5 0 2 47 46 6 0 1 77 17 3 0 2 83 12 2 2 1 55 31 8 0 7 Region Middlesex Suffolk Charlie Baker Jay Gonzalez Undecided/Other Would not vote DK/REF Q6 56 33 8 2 1 Essex West 83 11 4 0 2 73 22 5 0 0 61 36 2 0 0 Cape & East 71 20 4 0 4 If the election for U.S. SENATOR of MASSACHUSETTS was being held today would you vote for (Elizabeth Warren, the Democrat), (Geoff Diehl, the Republican), or Shiva Ayyadurai, an Independent? Q6a As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward: [READ LIST] RV 56% 28 9 4 1 1 LV 56% 31 8 3 0 2 Elizabeth Warren Geoff Diehl Shiva Ayyadurai Neither/No lean/Someone Else Would not vote DK/Refused (crosstabs are of LVs) Elizabeth Warren Geoff Diehl Shiva Ayyadurai Undecided/Other Would not vote DK/REF Party ID Leaned Party ID Unleaned Democrat Republican Independent Democrat Republican Independent 93 8 43 85 10 27 2 80 40 4 82 41 2 10 12 7 8 14 3 0 2 3 0 6 0 1 1 0 0 4 1 0 2 1 0 8 Income Elizabeth Warren Geoff Diehl Shiva Ayyadurai Undecided/Other Would not vote DK/REF Education Below $50K $50k$100k $100k & up 64 23 10 1 0 1 51 35 7 5 2 0 61 30 6 1 0 1 High School or Less 37 47 11 3 0 2 4 Some College 58 29 9 3 0 0 Race Post College White NonGraduate Degree White Degree 67 22 5 2 1 4 63 25 8 2 1 1 53 34 9 2 0 1 70 17 4 4 1 5 Gender 1839 66 14 15 2 0 3 Male Female Elizabeth Warren Geoff Diehl Shiva Ayyadurai Undecided/Other Would not vote DK/REF 50 37 9 2 0 1 63 24 7 3 1 2 Age Ideology 40- 5065+ Liberal Moderate Conservative 49 64 53 48 55 90 53 10 36 41 38 2 32 77 7 6 2 5 10 11 3 4 2 2 4 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 Region Middlesex Suffolk Elizabeth Warren Geoff Diehl Shiva Ayyadurai Undecided/Other Would not vote DK/REF 72 21 5 2 0 0 68 18 8 4 2 0 Essex West 41 42 15 0 0 2 59 32 4 4 0 0 5 Cape & East 40 44 11 1 1 3 As you know, Massachusetts voters will decide on three ballot measures this fall. Q7. Question 1 is about nurse staffing levels. If the election was being held today, how would you vote, YES to limit how many patients could be assigned to each nurse in hospitals and certain other health care facilities, or NO to make no changes to the existing law regarding patient-tonurse limits? Q7a As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward voting: YES to limit the number of patients per nurse in hospitals and some other health care facilities, or NO to make no changes to the existing patient-to-nurse limits law? RV 46% 48 6 1 LV 43% 51 5 1 Yes No Don't Know/Unsure/None Refused (crosstabs are of LVs) Yes on 1 No on 1 Unsure/DK Refused Democrat 46 50 4 0 Party ID Leaned Republican Independent 32 44 68 49 0 6 0 0 Income Yes on 1 No on 1 Unsure/DK Refused $50k$100k $100k & up 48 48 4 0 44 54 2 0 39 55 6 0 Gender Yes on 1 No on 1 Unsure/DK Refused 44 51 4 0 41 51 7 2 Party ID Unleaned Republican Independent 35 25 62 61 3 15 0 0 Education Below $50K Male Female Democrat 50 45 5 0 1839 48 46 3 3 High School or Less 53 44 2 0 Some College 41 54 5 0 Race Post College White NonGraduate Degree White Degree 33 57 7 3 45 48 7 0 42 53 5 0 Age Ideology 40- 5065+ Liberal Moderate Conservative 49 64 41 41 39 47 46 33 53 52 56 50 47 62 6 8 4 4 7 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 49 42 5 5 Region Middlesex Suffolk Yes on 1 No on 1 Unsure/DK Refused Q8 42 55 3 0 Essex West 31 64 5 0 41 49 10 0 36 60 4 0 Cape & East 42 55 3 0 Question 2 is about campaign contributions. If the election was being held today, how would you vote, YES to create a citizens commission to advance an amendment to the United States Constitution to limit the influence of money in elections and establish that corporations do not have the same rights as human beings, or NO to make no changes to the existing law? Q8a As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward voting: YES to create the citizens commission, or NO to make no changes to the existing law? RV 66% 29 5 1 LV 72% 24 3 1 Yes No Don't Know/Unsure/None Refused (crosstabs are of LVs) Yes on 2 No on 2 Unsure/DK Refused Party ID Leaned Democrat Republican Independent 81 56 73 14 44 24 4 0 2 0 0 0 Income Yes on 2 No on 2 Unsure/DK Refused Party ID Unleaned Democrat Republican Independent 84 50 73 14 48 14 3 1 13 0 0 0 Education Below $50K $50k$100k $100k & up 74 24 1 0 67 30 3 0 76 21 2 0 High School or Less 67 32 2 0 7 Some College 70 28 1 0 Race Post College White NonGraduate Degree White Degree 74 18 5 3 78 19 3 0 75 23 3 0 63 30 2 5 Gender 1839 80 16 1 3 Male Female Yes on 2 No on 2 Unsure/DK Refused 72 26 3 0 72 23 4 2 Age Ideology 40- 5065+ Liberal Moderate Conservative 49 64 66 69 69 90 72 48 32 28 25 8 25 51 3 4 6 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Region Middlesex Suffolk Yes on 2 No on 2 Unsure/DK Refused Q9 82 17 2 0 83 13 4 0 Essex West 76 21 4 0 66 31 3 0 Cape & East 65 30 5 0 Question 3 asks if voters want to keep or repeal a recently passed Massachusetts law that adds gender identity to the list of prohibited grounds for discrimination in places of public accommodation, resort, or amusement. If the election was being held today, how would you vote, YES to keep in place the current law, which prohibits discrimination on the basis of gender identity in places of public accommodation, or NO to repeal this provision of the public accommodation law? Q9a As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward: YES to keep the gender identity protection in the existing law, or NO to repeal this provision of the existing law? RV 73% 21 5 1 LV 74% 22 3 1 Yes No Don't Know/Unsure/None Refused (crosstabs are of LVs) Yes on 3 No on 3 Unsure/DK Refused Party ID Leaned Democrat Republican Independent 84 59 71 13 40 25 3 1 4 0 0 0 8 Party ID Unleaned Democrat Republican Independent 85 54 71 13 43 15 2 3 14 0 0 0 Income Education Below $50K $50k$100k $100k & up 75 23 3 0 76 22 2 0 78 18 4 0 Yes on 3 No on 3 Unsure/DK Refused Gender 1839 78 18 2 0 Male Female Yes on 3 No on 3 Unsure/DK Refused 70 26 4 0 78 17 3 2 High School or Less 65 33 2 0 Race Post Some College Graduate White NonCollege Degree Degree White 78 76 79 73 80 19 18 17 23 14 3 3 4 3 1 0 3 0 0 5 Age Ideology 40- 5065+ Liberal Moderate Conservative 49 64 68 72 76 87 81 44 29 24 20 12 15 51 2 4 4 1 4 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 Region Middlesex Suffolk Yes on 3 No on 3 Unsure/DK Refused Q10 85 13 2 0 74 22 5 0 Essex West 73 20 7 0 71 23 6 0 Cape & East 73 25 2 0 Question 3 affects transgender individuals' use of public bathrooms, fitting rooms and locker rooms, as well as other public spaces. In terms of policies governing public restrooms, do you think these policies should – (require transgender individuals to use the restroom that corresponds with their birth gender) or should these policies (allow transgender individuals to use the restroom that corresponds with their gender identity)? RV 34% 54 9 2 LV 33% 56% 9% 2% Require transgender individuals to use birth gender restroom Allow to use gender identity restroom Don't Know (VOL) Refused (crosstabs are of LVs) Party ID Leaned Democrat Republican Independent Require birth gender RR Allow gender identity RR Don’t Know Refused Party ID Unleaned Democrat Republican Independent 19 60 36 20 61 21 72 31 51 71 26 63 8 0 5 4 10 3 8 1 10 3 8 8 9 Income Require birth gender RR Allow gender identity RR Don’t Know Refused Education Below $50K $50k$100k $100k & up 34 41 25 51 33 25 23 33 38 57 51 65 35 59 63 68 58 50 6 3 7 1 10 1 14 0 6 1 9 3 5 4 8 1 11 2 Gender Male Female Require birth gender RR Allow gender identity RR Don’t Know Refused Some College Post College White NonGraduate Degree White Degree 1839 Age Ideology 40- 5065+ Liberal Moderate Conservative 49 64 38 28 24 42 35 40 16 28 68 53 59 70 48 49 51 79 54 23 7 2 11 2 4 1 5 5 15 1 9 1 4 0 16 2 5 5 Region Middlesex Suffolk Require birth gender RR Allow gender identity RR Don’t Know Refused Essex West Cape & East 22 13 41 38 36 68 78 55 52 48 10 1 5 4 4 0 7 2 11 4 Yes on 3 Require birth gender RR Allow gender identity RR Don’t Know Refused Race High School or Less Question 3 No on 3 Unsure Refused 23 64 36 100 66 25 34 0 9 1 6 6 25 5 0 0 10 Q11 Now I’m going to read the names of some people in politics. Please tell me if overall you have a favorable or unfavorable view of each person. If you have never heard of the person, please just say so. Registered Voters Favorable Unfavorable Heard of, no opinion/undecided Never heard of Donald Trump 31 65 3 0 Charlie Baker 78 12 8 2 Jay Gonzalez 30 12 29 29 Elizabeth Warren 56 39 3 1 Geoff Diehl 25 17 22 35 Shiva Ayyadurai 10 11 23 55 Favorable Unfavorable Heard of, no opinion/undecided Never heard of Donald Trump 30 67 2 1 Charlie Baker 76 13 9 1 Jay Gonzalez 33 12 31 23 Elizabeth Warren 55 40 4 1 Geoff Diehl 29 20 21 29 Shiva Ayyadurai 13 13 23 51 Likely Voters 11 (Asked to a split sample of 415 Registered Voters; MOE +/- 6.2%) Q12 As you know, natural gas pipelines recently burst in the towns of Andover, Lawrence, and North Andover resulting in explosions, fires, and one casualty. Would you say you are (very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied) (very dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, somewhat satisfied, or very satisfied) with the way Columbia Gas has responded to this incident? 5% 22 23 37 12 1 Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied Don't Know Refused (crosstabs are of RVs) Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know Refused Party ID Leaned Democrat Republican Independent 5 10 3 14 27 28 14 34 37 29 23 21 26 19 20 43 10 0 18 21 1 35 12 1 45 12 0 25 14 1 27 9 4 Income Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know Refused Party ID Unleaned Democrat Republican Independent 4 7 3 Education Below $50K $50k$100k $100k & up 9 6 1 High School or Less 7 15 32 20 19 22 43 14 0 30 9 1 Some College Race Post College White NonGraduate Degree White Degree 8 1 3 4 8 25 27 12 28 26 12 27 29 21 24 15 24 19 39 11 1 30 10 0 37 7 0 46 15 1 36 18 1 35 10 1 44 17 1 12 Gender 7 2 20 24 23 26 22 17 16 23 33 23 23 20 27 27 17 26 22 22 37 12 1 38 12 0 36 17 1 30 9 1 41 6 0 41 17 0 41 14 0 40 10 0 25 11 1 Male Female Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know Refused Age Ideology 40- 5065+ Liberal Moderate Conservative 49 64 7 4 8 3 4 7 1839 3 Region 1 0 2 4 Cape & East 8 26 18 14 21 27 20 39 28 20 21 45 8 0 23 18 2 50 6 0 35 21 0 31 13 1 Middlesex Suffolk Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know Refused Essex West 13 Asked of all Registered Voters (N=791) Q13 And, would you say you are (very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied) with the way Governor Baker has responded to the gas pipeline incident? 26% 42 10 7 14 1 Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied Don't Know Refused (crosstabs are of RVs) Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know Refused Democrat 22 Party ID Leaned Republican Independent 32 29 Party ID Unleaned Republican Independent 31 34 39 46 42 39 47 45 15 6 6 13 5 5 11 13 0 3 13 1 5 16 1 9 16 0 4 13 1 3 10 3 Income Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know Refused Democrat 23 Education Below $50K $50k$100k $100k & up 28 24 26 High School or Less 25 38 45 43 8 11 9 15 1 7 12 1 Some College Race Post College White NonGraduate Degree White Degree 29 27 23 27 25 41 40 42 44 44 31 11 8 13 11 7 10 11 6 14 1 11 13 1 6 12 0 3 15 1 7 18 1 6 12 0 9 21 2 14 Gender Age Male Female Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know Refused Ideology 1839 4049 5065+ Liberal Moderate Conservative 64 26 27 13 31 34 34 16 35 29 43 40 41 42 45 37 40 40 47 9 10 18 2 6 8 17 6 6 7 14 1 7 15 0 8 19 1 9 16 1 6 9 0 7 13 2 9 18 0 5 13 0 7 10 1 Region 30 24 27 22 Cape & East 26 43 41 50 37 44 12 14 6 14 9 2 12 0 6 14 1 8 8 0 7 20 0 5 14 2 Middlesex Suffolk Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know Refused Essex West 15 (Asked to a split sample of 421 Registered Voters; MOE +/- 5.9%) Q14 Consider two ways to elect candidates to offices like the U.S. House, State Legislature and Governor that we could use. Option 1 (is where voters select the single candidate they most prefer and the winner is the candidate with the most votes). Option 2 (is where voters rank all the candidates on the ballot in their order of preferences and the winner is the most popular candidate overall, taking into account voters’ second, third, and other choices). Which would you prefer that we use in Massachusetts: Option 1 or Option 2? 61% 35 4 0 Option 1 Option 2 Don't Know Refused (crosstabs are of RVs) Option 1 Option 2 Unsure/DK Refused Party ID Leaned Democrat Republican Independent 54 82 64 43 18 31 4 0 5 0 0 0 Income Option 1 Option 2 Unsure/DK Refused Education Below $50K $50k$100k $100k & up 56 42 2 0 62 30 8 0 63 33 4 0 Gender 1839 45 51 5 0 Male Female Option 1 Option 2 Unsure/DK Refused 59 38 3 0 63 32 5 0 Party ID Unleaned Democrat Republican Independent 54 74 66 43 20 20 3 5 14 0 0 0 High School or Less 59 37 4 0 Some College Post College White NonGraduate Degree White Degree 72 26 2 0 55 37 7 0 Option 1 Option 2 Unsure/DK Refused 59 37 4 1 34 60 7 0 59 38 3 0 62 33 5 0 Age Ideology 40- 5065+ Liberal Moderate Conservative 49 64 64 71 68 53 60 74 36 24 25 44 34 21 0 5 6 2 6 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 Region Middlesex Suffolk Race Essex West 69 29 2 0 65 29 7 0 16 Cape & East 59 37 4 1 61 39 0 0 (Asked to a split sample of 415 Registered Voters; MOE +/- 6.2%) Q15 President Trump nominated Brett Kavanaugh [PRONO: kav-uh-naw] to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court. If you were voting on Kavanaugh’s nomination, would you vote to confirm him, or not? [Wording change on October 6 after Kavanaugh was confirmed]: If you had voted on Kavanaugh’s nomination, would you have voted to confirm him, or not? 33% 61 4 2 Yes, confirm No, do not confirm Don't Know Refused (crosstabs are of RVs) Yes, confirm No, don’t confirm Unsure/DK Refused Party ID Leaned Democrat Republican Independent 16 77 35 83 23 57 86 21 45 1 0 0 0 5 2 1 0 3 1 20 5 Income Yes, confirm No, don’t confirm Unsure/DK Refused Education Below $50K $50k$100k $100k & up 34 35 29 High School or Less 45 63 59 66 1 2 6 0 3 2 Gender Some College Race Post College White NonGraduate Degree White Degree 37 26 21 36 23 53 57 65 72 60 66 1 1 5 1 4 5 7 0 3 1 5 6 Age Ideology 40- 5065+ Liberal Moderate Conservative 49 64 45 39 40 9 32 76 41 25 1839 17 54 68 75 50 56 57 89 61 20 4 1 4 3 4 5 6 0 3 2 3 0 1 1 7 0 2 2 Male Female Yes, confirm No, don’t confirm Unsure/DK Refused Party ID Unleaned Democrat Republican Independent 13 76 30 17 Region 27 69 36 53 45 51 27 69 Cape & East 40 52 4 0 7 4 2 2 3 1 5 2 Middlesex Suffolk Yes, confirm No, don’t confirm Unsure/DK Refused Essex West (Asked to a split sample of 421 Registered Voters; MOE +/- 5.9%) Q16 Dr. Christine Blasey Ford has alleged that Brett Kavanaugh sexually assaulted her when she was 15 years old and he was 17. He has said that the allegations are categorically false and no such incident took place. Who do you think is more likely telling the truth about these events: (Brett Kavanaugh) or (Christine Blasey Ford)? 30% 60 9 1 Brett Kavanaugh Christine Blasey Ford Don't Know Refused (crosstabs are of RVs) Kavanaugh Blasey Ford Unsure/DK Refused Democrat 7 85 8 0 Party ID Leaned Republican Independent 86 35 4 54 6 10 4 0 Income Kavanaugh Blasey Ford Unsure/DK Refused Democrat 8 86 6 0 Party ID Unleaned Republican Independent 75 44 12 39 12 17 1 0 Education Below $50K $50k$100k $100k & up 25 64 11 0 36 59 3 1 27 64 8 1 High School or Less 44 43 13 0 18 Some College 25 68 7 0 Race Post College White NonGraduate Degree White Degree 26 66 7 1 24 68 6 2 32 60 8 1 24 65 10 1 Gender 1839 20 71 9 0 Male Female Kavanaugh Blasey Ford Unsure/DK Refused 37 49 12 1 24 70 5 0 Age Ideology 40- 5065+ Liberal Moderate Conservative 49 64 31 32 43 3 28 74 60 60 45 94 57 16 6 6 12 3 14 8 2 1 0 0 1 2 Region Middlesex Suffolk Kavanaugh Blasey Ford Unsure/DK Refused 27 69 4 0 8 87 3 2 Essex West 34 61 5 0 31 57 12 0 19 Cape & East 38 48 13 2