October 17th, 2018 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FR: DAVID FLAHERTY, COURTNEY SIEVERS, MAGELLAN STRATEGIES RE: COLORADO 2018 LIKELY VOTER SURVEY SUMMARY This memo is a summary of a telephone survey of 500 likely 2018 general election voters in Colorado. The interviews were conducted from October 8th to 10th, 2018. The overall results have a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. The survey data were slightly weighted to reflect past voter turnout demographics in Colorado for a non-Presidential election. Key Findings: Ø There is clear evidence that Democrat voters are more energized and interested in the November elections than Republican voters. Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 meaning the respondent was very interested in the election, 59% of Democrat respondents are a “10” compared to 47% of Republicans. Ø Among all respondents, 46% of likely voters prefer an outcome from the election where Democrats control Congress and 40% prefer a Congress controlled by Republicans. Among unaffiliated voters, 36% prefer a Congress controlled by Democrats, 23% prefer a Congress controlled by Republicans, and 41% are undecided. Ø Democrat Congressman Jared Polis leads Republican State Treasurer Walker Stapleton by 7 points, 47% to 40% respectively, Libertarian Scott Helker has 4% support, and 9% are undecided. This ballot test is exactly the same as the Healthier Colorado survey fielded in mid-September. Ø The survey included ballot test questions measuring support and opposition for the two transportation funding proposals. Voters are more likely to support and approve Proposition 109, (52% approve/23% reject/25% undecided) than Proposition 110 (35% approve/34% oppose/31% undecided). The primary difference between the two proposals is Proposition 109 would not raise taxes and Proposition 110 would. Ø Colorado voters are evenly split in their opinion of Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court with 43% approving his confirmation and 43% disapproving. Colorado Survey Summary of Likely 2018 Voters Field Dates: 10/8/18 - 10/10/18, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%, 50% landline/50% cell phone 2 Measuring 2018 Colorado Voter Intensity and Turnout Is a Democratic “blue wave” in the making here in Colorado? Is the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court more likely to energize Democrats or Republicans to vote? This survey attempted to answer those questions by using a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 meaning the respondent is very interested in the November election, and 1 meaning they were not interested at all. Among all respondents, 47% of voters responded with a 10. The results by party registration find 59% of Democrat voters being a 10, compared to 47% of Republicans and 34% of unaffiliated voters. When adding the percentage of voters that responded with a 10 or 9, the survey finds Democrat voters being more interested in the November election than Republicans by an 8-point margin, 75% to 67% respectively. Among voters that approve of the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh, the combined 10 or 9 percentage is 65%, and among voters that disapprove of his confirmation the combined percentage is 73%. The bottom line is voter turnout will determine if Colorado sees a “mixed bag” of candidate and ballot initiative results or a Democrat rout. We look forward to closely tracking the ballot return data in a couple of weeks to see if Democrat voters are in fact able to exceed their turnout percentage and numbers of 2014. The following shows responses to our ballot intensity question by major voter subgroups. “How interested would you say you are in the upcoming November elections? Using a scale from 1 to 10, with 10 meaning you are very interested in the November elections, and 1 meaning that you are not interested at all, please choose a number that best describes your interest.”* Response 9 & 10 All 65% Men 62% Wom 68% Rep 67% Dem 75% Unaf 52% 1844 67% 10 9 8 7 6 47% 18% 22% 7% 4% 47% 15% 23% 6% 4% 46% 22% 21% 7% 3% 47% 20% 21% 8% 2% 59% 16% 17% 4% 1% 34% 18% 29% 7% 7% 44% 23% 27% 4% 2% 4564 62% 65+ 68% Con 60% Mod 62% Lib 73% 46% 16% 22% 9% 4% 51% 17% 17% 6% 5% 43% 17% 22% 10% 5% 42% 20% 26% 4% 3% 58% 15% 19% 5% 2% Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Men 6.4%, Women 6.0%, Republicans 7.4%, Democrats 7.6%, unaffiliated 7.8%, 18 to 44 7.6%, 45 to 64 6.8%, 65+ 8.8%, conservatives 7.1%, moderates 7.5%, liberals 8.7%. Congressional and Legislative Partisan Control Questions The survey included two Congressional and legislative partisan control questions. Currently, voter opinion on who should have control of Congress has Democrats holding a 6-point lead over Republican control, 46% to 40% respectively. Among male voters the Republican control leads Democrat control, 44% to 41%. Among female voters, the Democrat control has a 13-point lead over Republican control, 50% to 37%. Among the all-important unaffiliated voters, Democrat control leads by 13 points, 36% to 23%. Among all suburban voters, which constitute 41% of the survey sample, the preferred Congressional Democrat control also leads by 13 points, 51% to 38%. Among suburban Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Colorado Survey Summary of Likely 2018 Voters Field Dates: 10/8/18 - 10/10/18, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%, 50% landline/50% cell phone 3 men, preferred Democrat control leads 47% to 45%, and among suburban women the Democrat control leads by a whopping 25 points. Not surprisingly, the results for control of the state legislature are similar to the Congressional control question, with preferred Democrat control leading by 7 points, 46% to 39% respectively. “What is your preference for the outcome of this November’s elections for Congress, a Congress controlled by Democrats or a Congress controlled by Republicans?”* Response Net Dem. Democrats Republicans Undecided All +6 Men -3 Wom +13 Rep -86 Dem +94 Unaf +13 1844 +14 4564 +3 65+ -2 Sub ban +13 Big City +11 Sml. Twn. -6 46% 40% 14% 41% 44% 15% 50% 37% 13% 6% 92% 2% 96% 2% 2% 36% 23% 41% 52% 38% 10% 41% 38% 21% 45% 47% 8% 51% 38% 11% 45% 34% 21% 41% 47% 12% *Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Men 6.4%, Women 6.0%, Republicans 7.4%, Democrats 7.6%, unaffiliated 7.8%, 18 to 44 7.6%, 45 to 64 6.8%, 65+ 8.8%, suburban voters 6.8%, city voters 8.1%, small town 11.1%. Colorado Governor Ballot Test The survey finds Democrat Congressman Jared Polis leading Republican State Treasurer Walker Stapleton by 7 points, 47% to 40% respectively. This ballot test is very similar to a survey we fielded on behalf of Healthier Colorado in September, which showed Jared Polis with 47% support and Walker Stapleton with 40% support. To observers of Colorado politics, the following table showing results by voter subgroup should not be that surprising. Jared Polis leads Walker Stapleton by 13 points among women, but the race among men is tied. Among seniors aged 65 and older, Walker Stapleton leads Jared Polis by 7 points. However, the most important subgroup of voters that decide Colorado’s elections are unaffiliated voters. Among those voters, Jared Polis has a 26 point lead over Walker Stapleton, 46% to 20% respectively and 26% are undecided. It remains to be seen if Walker Stapleton can improve his support among those voters in the remaining three weeks before Election Day. Colorado Governor Ballot Test Voter Subgroup* Response Polis Net Polis Stapleton Helker Hammons Undec. All +7 47% 40% 4% 0% 9% Men 0 43% 43% 3% 0% 11% Wom +13 50% 37% 4% 0% 9% Rep -93 2% 95% 2% 0% 1% Dem +94 96% 2% 0% 0% 2% Unaf +26 46% 20% 8% 0% 26% 1844 +15 51% 36% 2% 0% 11% 4564 +8 46% 38% 6% 0% 10% 65+ -7 43% 50% 2% 0% 5% Sub ban +12 50% 38% 3% 0% 9% Big City +13 46% 33% 5% 0% 16% *Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Men 6.4%, Women 6.0%, Republicans 7.4%, Democrats 7.6%, unaffiliated 7.8%, 18 to 44 7.6%, 45 to 64 6.8%, 65+ 8.8%, suburban voters 6.8%, city voters 8.1%, small town 11.1%. Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Sml. Twn. -9 40% 49% 4% 0% 7% Colorado Survey Summary of Likely 2018 Voters Field Dates: 10/8/18 - 10/10/18, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%, 50% landline/50% cell phone 4 Governor Candidate Image Ratings The survey finds Democrat Congressman Jared Polis and Republican State Treasurer Walker Stapleton with very similar image ratings, both being net-positive. Among all respondents, 45% have a favorable opinion of Jared Polis, 36% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 14% have heard of him but do not have an opinion and 5% have never heard of him. His image rating is strongest among women, voters 44 and younger, unaffiliated and suburban voters. Among all respondents, 42% have a favorable opinion of Walker Stapleton, 36% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 14% have heard of him but do not have an opinion and 8% have never heard of him. “I am now going to read to you the names of people active in politics. After hearing each name, I would like you to tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or a very unfavorable opinion of that person. Let’s get started…” Jared Polis Image Rating by Voter Subgroup* Response Net Fav. Tot. Fav. Tot. Unfav. Hrd Of. Nvr Hrd Of. All +9 Men +4 Wom +14 Rep -72 Dem +84 Unaf +21 1844 +14 4564 +5 65+ +8 Sub ban +20 Big City +5 Sml. Twn. -4 45% 36% 14% 5% 41% 37% 15% 7% 49% 35% 13% 3% 5% 77% 11% 7% 86% 2% 9% 3% 47% 26% 20% 7% 50% 36% 11% 3% 41% 36% 17% 6% 44% 36% 13% 7% 49% 29% 18% 4% 45% 40% 11% 4% 41% 45% 10% 4% Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Men 6.4%, Women 6.0%, Republicans 7.4%, Democrats 7.6%, unaffiliated 7.8%, 18 to 44 7.6%, 45 to 64 6.8%, 65+ 8.8%, suburban voters 6.8%, city voters 8.1%, small town 11.1%. Walker Stapleton Image Rating by Voter Subgroup* Response Net Fav. Tot. Fav. Tot. Unfav. Hrd Of. Nvr Hrd Of. All +6 Men +13 Wom +4 Rep +83 Dem -68 Unaf -4 1844 0 4564 +8 65+ +8 Sub ban +1 Big City +4 Sml. Twn. +12 42% 36% 14% 8% 42% 35% 17% 6% 41% 37% 12% 10% 85% 2% 9% 4% 5% 73% 12% 10% 32% 36% 23% 9% 39% 39% 16% 6% 43% 35% 15% 7% 42% 34% 12% 12% 37% 36% 17% 10% 43% 39% 15% 3% 48% 36% 10% 6% Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Men 6.4%, Women 6.0%, Republicans 7.4%, Democrats 7.6%, unaffiliated 7.8%, 18 to 44 7.6%, 45 to 64 6.8%, 65+ 8.8%, suburban voters 6.8%, city voters 8.1%, small town 11.1%. Image Ratings of the Democratic and Republican Political Parties The survey included image rating questions for the Democrat and Republican parties. The image rating of the Democrat Party was slightly better than the Republican Party. Among all respondents, 48% have a favorable opinion of the Democratic Party and 42% have an unfavorable opinion of it. In contrast, 46% of respondents have a favorable opinion of the Republican Party and 45% and unfavorable opinion of it. What do the party image rating Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Colorado Survey Summary of Likely 2018 Voters Field Dates: 10/8/18 - 10/10/18, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%, 50% landline/50% cell phone 5 questions mean for the outcome of the election in Colorado? We suggest the Republican Party’s brand and image is not as terrible as some political observers would believe. Therefore, the likelihood of a “mixed-bag” election where neither political party dominates is more possible than the conventional wisdom would think. That remains to be seen. Voter Opinion of Transportation Propositions 109 and 110 Colorado voters have an opportunity this November to approve or reject two propositions related to transportation funding. While there are many differences in the details of the two propositions, one primary difference is one raises taxes and the other does not. To measure voter support and opposition for each proposition properly respondents were read the full ballot language of each proposal. The order of the proposition questions were rotated so that 50% heard Proposition 109 first and the other 50% heard Proposition 110 first. Not surprisingly, voter support for Proposition 109, which does not raise taxes was much stronger than Proposition 110 which does raise taxes, 52% to 35% respectively. However, with 25% of voters being undecided on Proposition 109 and 31% undecided on Proposition 110, it is premature to say either one will be approved or rejected by voters. Yet, this survey indicates that Proposition 109 is more likely to pass than Proposition 110, assuming the Yes on 109 campaign has sufficient resources. Colorado Proposition 109 Ballot Test Voter Subgroup* Response Net Appr. All +29 Men +27 Wom +32 Rep +19 Dem +42 Unaf +26 1844 +33 4564 +28 65+ +28 Sub ban +42 Big City +17 Sml. Twn. +18 Yes, Appr. No, Reject Undec/Ref. 52% 23% 25% 51% 24% 25% 53% 21% 26% 46% 27% 27% 62% 20% 18% 47% 21% 32% 53% 20% 27% 51% 23% 26% 53% 25% 22% 59% 17% 24% 43% 26% 31% 50% 32% 18% Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Men 6.4%, Women 6.0%, Republicans 7.4%, Democrats 7.6%, unaffiliated 7.8%, 18 to 44 7.6%, 45 to 64 6.8%, 65+ 8.8%, suburban voters 6.8%, city voters 8.1%, small town 11.1%. Colorado Proposition 110 Ballot Test Voter Subgroup* Response Net Appr. Yes, Appr. No, Reject Undec/Ref. All +1 Men -2 Wom +4 Rep -27 Dem +21 Unaf +11 1844 +12 35% 34% 31% 34% 36% 30% 36% 32% 32% 23% 50% 27% 47% 26% 27% 35% 24% 41% 42% 30% 28% 4564 -4 30% 34% 36% 65+ -5 Sub ban +7 Big City +1 Sml. Twn. -16 33% 38% 29% 39% 32% 29% 31% 30% 39% 31% 47% 22% Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Men 6.4%, Women 6.0%, Republicans 7.4%, Democrats 7.6%, unaffiliated 7.8%, 18 to 44 7.6%, 45 to 64 6.8%, 65+ 8.8%, suburban voters 6.8%, city voters 8.1%, small town 11.1%. Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Colorado Survey Summary of Likely 2018 Voters Field Dates: 10/8/18 - 10/10/18, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%, 50% landline/50% cell phone 6 Voter Opinion of Brett Kavanaugh Confirmation to Supreme Court There is probably no better example of the bitter differences between Democratic and Republican voters in Colorado than their opinion of Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court. Among all respondents, 43% approve of his confirmation and 43% disapprove. Among Democratic voters, 83% disapprove of his confirmation and among Republican voters 83% approve. Among the all-important unaffiliated voters, a slight plurality of 37% disapprove of Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation and 31% approve. Showing their indifference to politics, 32% of unaffiliated voters have no opinion of Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation. “As you may know, over this past weekend Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed to the Supreme Court. Knowing this, do you approve of Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court or do you disapprove of his confirmation?” Approval/Disapproval of Brett Kavanaugh Confirmation by Subgroup* Response Net Appr. All 0 Men +5 Wom -3 Rep +76 Dem -70 Unaf -6 1844 -11 4564 +3 65+ +10 Sub ban -8 Big City -6 Sml. Twn. +11 Approve Disappr. Unsure 43% 43% 14% 44% 39% 17% 43% 46% 11% 83% 9% 8% 13% 83% 4% 31% 37% 32% 36% 45% 19% 44% 41% 15% 52% 42% 6% 40% 48% 12% 36% 42% 22% 53% 42% 5% Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Men 6.4%, Women 6.0%, Republicans 7.4%, Democrats 7.6%, unaffiliated 7.8%, 18 to 44 7.6%, 45 to 64 6.8%, 65+ 8.8%, suburban voters 6.8%, city voters 8.1%, small town 11.1%. Donald Trump Job Approval Among all respondents, 44% approve of the job the President Trump is doing, 50% disapprove and 6% are undecided. The following table shows responses by voter subgroup. Donald Trump Job Approval by Voter Subgroup* Response Approve Disappr. Unsure All 44% 50% 6% Men 49% 44% 7% Wom 41% 55% 4% Rep 96% 3% 1% Dem 2% 98% 0% Unaf 32% 51% 17% 1844 37% 57% 6% 4564 46% 48% 6% 65+ 52% 46% 2% Sub ban 43% 53% 4% Big City 39% 51% 10% Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Men 6.4%, Women 6.0%, Republicans 7.4%, Democrats 7.6%, unaffiliated 7.8%, 18 to 44 7.6%, 45 to 64 6.8%, 65+ 8.8%, suburban voters 6.8%, city voters 8.1%, small town 11.1%. Thoughts Regarding Our Sample Weighting Decisions Any survey that attempts to measure the opinion of likely voters accurately must correctly forecast the party and age demographics of the total votes cast. In the Colorado 2014 general election, 37% of the votes cast were by Republicans, 32% by Democrats and 29% by unaffiliated voters. The other 2% of turnout was a mix of Libertarians and minor parties. Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Sml. Twn. 51% 45% 4% Colorado Survey Summary of Likely 2018 Voters Field Dates: 10/8/18 - 10/10/18, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%, 50% landline/50% cell phone 7 For this survey, the sample is weighted to 35% Republican, 33% Democrat and 32% unaffiliated. We believe the party weights are appropriate considering the 2-point decline (39% to 37%) in the Republican percentage of total turnout from 2010 to 2014. We also are taking into account the surge in unaffiliated voter registration, and the 2-point increase in the percentage of the total vote (27% to 29%) from 2010 to 2014. As always, we will be closely watching the demographics of ballots that are returned over the next few weeks. That data will have a significant influence on our best efforts to property forecast the outcome of the candidate and ballot initiatives this election cycle. Survey Toplines, Crosstabs and Power Point Presentation of Findings Following are the survey toplines and crosstabs. The survey presentation can be downloaded from our website at http://MagellanStrategies.com/blog. Some of the questions asked in this asked are not public. Survey Commissioned By This survey was fielded and paid for by several clients of Magellan Strategies. We are not working for or with any candidates for governor or independent expenditure committees with an interest in the Colorado election for governor. Any questions regarding the survey findings or methodology, please contact David Flaherty by calling our office at 303-8618585 or email at dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com. Survey Sample The survey sample was randomly drawn from a September Colorado voter file among households containing at least one registered voter. About Magellan Strategies Magellan Strategies is a national full-service voter opinion polling and survey research firm. We have provided polling services to candidates, ballot issue campaigns, government relation firms, trade associations, and local governments since 2006. We also offer voter data mining, voter data analysis and campaign consulting services. Our office is located in Louisville, Colorado. To learn more about our company please visit http://www.MagellanStrategies.com or call 303-861-8585. Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Magellan Strategies Colorado General Election Survey of Likely Voters Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 500n live survey of likely 2018 general election voters in the state of Colorado. The interviews were conducted October 8th – 10th, 2018. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote in Colorado as a Republican, a Democrat, an unaffiliated voter, are you registered with some other party, or are you not registered to vote? Republican ............................................................. 35% Democrat ............................................................... 33% Unaffiliated ............................................................ 32% Other ....................................................................... 1% T2. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming November elections for Congress, Governor and any state questions that may be on the ballot? Would you say you are… Extremely Likely ..................................................... 63% Very Likely ............................................................. 33% Somewhat Likely ...................................................... 4% Magellan ID#: COGEN-101018 Colorado General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/8/18 – 10/10/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL T3. How interested would you say you are in the upcoming November elections? Using a scale from 1 to 10, with 10 meaning you are very interested in the November elections, and 1 meaning that you are not interested at all, please choose a number that best describes your interest. 10 .......................................................................... 47% 9 ............................................................................ 18% 8 ............................................................................ 22% 7 .............................................................................. 7% 6 .............................................................................. 4% 5 .............................................................................. 2% 4 .............................................................................. 0% 3 .............................................................................. 0% 2 .............................................................................. 0% 1 .............................................................................. 0% Refused .................................................................... 0% Mean...................................................................... 8.93 T4. What is your preference for the outcome of this November’s elections for Congress, a Congress controlled by Democrats or a Congress controlled by Republicans? Democrats.............................................................. 46% Republicans ........................................................... 40% Undecided ............................................................. 14% Refused .................................................................... 0% T5. What is your preference for the outcome of this November’s elections for the State Legislature, a legislature controlled by Democrats or a legislature controlled by Republicans? Democrats.............................................................. 46% Republicans ........................................................... 39% Undecided ............................................................. 15% Refused .................................................................... 0% I am now going to read to you the names of people involved in politics. After hearing each name, I would like you to tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have never of the person there is an option for that as well. Let’s get started. The first name is… Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Magellan ID#: COGEN-101018 Colorado General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/8/18 – 10/10/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL T6. JARED POLIS Total Favorable....................................................... 45% Total Unfavorable................................................... 36% Very Favorable ....................................................... 30% Somewhat Favorable .............................................. 15% Very Unfavorable ................................................... 23% Somewhat Unfavorable .......................................... 13% Heard of, No Opinion ............................................ 14% Never Heard Of........................................................ 5% Refused .................................................................... 0% T7. WALKER STAPLETON Total Favorable....................................................... 42% Total Unfavorable................................................... 36% Very Favorable ....................................................... 23% Somewhat Favorable .............................................. 19% Very Unfavorable ................................................... 24% Somewhat Unfavorable .......................................... 12% Heard of, No Opinion ............................................ 14% Never Heard Of........................................................ 8% Refused .................................................................... 0% T8. THE DEMOCRAT PARTY Total Favorable....................................................... 48% Total Unfavorable................................................... 42% Very Favorable ....................................................... 31% Somewhat Favorable .............................................. 17% Very Unfavorable ................................................... 31% Somewhat Unfavorable .......................................... 11% Heard of, No Opinion ............................................ 10% Never Heard Of........................................................ 0% Refused .................................................................... 0% Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Magellan ID#: COGEN-101018 Colorado General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/8/18 – 10/10/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL T9. THE REPUBLICAN PARTY Total Favorable....................................................... 46% Total Unfavorable................................................... 45% Very Favorable ....................................................... 30% Somewhat Favorable .............................................. 16% Very Unfavorable ................................................... 33% Somewhat Unfavorable .......................................... 12% Heard of, No Opinion .............................................. 9% Never Heard Of........................................................ 0% Refused .................................................................... 0% T10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve ........................................................ 44% Total Disapprove .................................................... 50% Strongly Approve .................................................... 33% Somewhat Approve ................................................ 11% Strongly Disapprove ............................................... 40% Somewhat Disapprove............................................ 10% Unsure or No Opinion ............................................. 6% Refused .................................................................... 0% T11. If the election for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Jared Polis, the Democrat candidate, Walker Stapleton, the Republican candidate, Scott Helker, the Libertarian candidate or Bill Hammons, the Unity Party of Colorado candidate? Total Polis .............................................................. 47% Total Stapleton ....................................................... 40% Helker ...................................................................... 4% Hammons ................................................................ 0% Definitely Polis ....................................................... 34% Probably Polis ........................................................ 13% Definitely Stapleton ................................................ 33% Probably Stapleton ................................................... 7% Undecided ............................................................... 9% Refused .................................................................... 0% Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Magellan ID#: COGEN-101018 Colorado General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/8/18 – 10/10/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL T12. There are two propositions on the ballot regarding transportation funding, Proposition 109 and Proposition 110. I am now going to read to you the ballot language of Proposition 109. After hearing it, please tell me if you intend to vote YES and approve the proposition, or if you intend to vote NO and reject it. The ballot language reads as: SHALL STATE DEBT BE INCREASED THREE POINT FIVE BILLION DOLLARS [$3.5 BILLION], WITH A MAXIMUM REPAYMENT COST OF FIVE POINT TWO BILLION DOLLARS [5.2 BILLION], WITHOUT RAISING TAXES OR FEES, BY A CHANGE TO THE COLORADO REVISED STATUTES REQUIRING THE ISSUANCE OF TRANSPORTATION REVENUE ANTICIPATION NOTES, AND, IN CONNECTION THEREWITH, NOTE PROCEEDS SHALL BE RETAINED AS A VOTER-APPROVED REVENUE CHANGE AND USED EXCLUSIVELY TO FUND SPECIFIED ROAD AND BRIDGE EXPANSION, CONSTRUCTION, MAINTENANCE, AND REPAIR PROJECTS THROUGHOUT THE STATE? If the election were being held today, would you vote YES and approve 109, or would you vote NO and reject it? Total Yes, Approve ................................................. 52% Total No, Reject ..................................................... 23% Definitely Yes, Approve .......................................... 16% Probably Yes, Approve ........................................... 36% Definitely No, Reject ................................................ 9% Probably No, Reject ............................................... 14% Undecided ............................................................. 25% Refused .................................................................... 0% T13. As I mentioned before, Proposition 110 is also about transportation funding. I am now going to read to you the ballot language of Proposition 110. After hearing it, please tell me if you intend to vote YES and approve the proposition, or if you intend to vote NO and reject it. The ballot language is rather long, so please be patient and listen carefully. It reads as: Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Magellan ID#: COGEN-101018 Colorado General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/8/18 – 10/10/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL SHALL STATE TAXES BE INCREASED SEVEN HUNDRED AND SIXTY-SIX MILLION DOLLARS [$766 MILLION] ANNUALLY FOR A TWENTY-YEAR PERIOD, AND STATE DEBT SHALL BE INCREASED SIX BILLION DOLLARS [$6 BILLION] WITH A MAXIMUM REPAYMENT COST OF NINE POINT FOUR BILLION DOLLARS [$9.4 BILLION], TO PAY FOR STATE AND LOCAL TRANSPORTATION PROJECTS, AND, IN CONNECTION THEREWITH, CHANGING THE COLORADO REVISED STATUTES TO: “ONE”, INCREASE THE STATE SALES AND USE TAX RATE BY ZERO POINT SIX TWO PERCENT [0.62%] BEGINNING JANUARY 1, 2019; REQUIRING 45% OF THE NEW REVENUE TO FUND STATE TRANSPORTATION SAFETY, MAINTENANCE, AND CONGESTION RELATED PROJECTS, 40% TO FUND MUNICIPAL AND COUNTY TRANSPORTATION PROJECTS, AND 15% TO FUND MULTIMODAL TRANSPORTATION PROJECTS, INCLUDING BIKE, PEDESTRIAN, AND TRANSIT INFRASTRUCTURE; “TWO”, AUTHORIZE THE ISSUANCE OF ADDITIONAL TRANSPORTATION REVENUE ANTICIPATION NOTES TO FUND PRIORITY STATE TRANSPORTATION MAINTENANCE AND CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS, INCLUDING MULTIMODAL CAPITAL PROJECTS; AND “THREE”, PROVIDE THAT ALL REVENUE RESULTING FROM THE TAX RATE INCREASE AND PROCEEDS FROM ISSUANCE OF REVENUE ANTICIPATION NOTES ARE VOTERAPPROVED REVENUE CHANGES EXEMPT FROM ANY STATE OR LOCAL REVENUE, SPENDING, OR OTHER LIMITATIONS IN LAW? If the election were being held today, would you vote YES and approve Proposition 110, or would you vote NO and reject it? Total Yes, Approve ................................................. 35% Total No, Reject ..................................................... 34% Definitely Yes, Approve .......................................... 11% Probably Yes, Approve ........................................... 24% Definitely No, Reject .............................................. 13% Probably No, Reject ............................................... 21% Undecided ............................................................. 29% Refused .................................................................... 2% Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Magellan ID#: COGEN-101018 Colorado General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/8/18 – 10/10/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL T14. As you may know, over this past weekend Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed to the Supreme Court. Knowing this, do you approve of Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court or do you disapprove of his confirmation? Total Approve ........................................................ 43% Total Disapprove .................................................... 43% Strongly Approve .................................................... 27% Somewhat Approve ................................................ 16% Strongly Disapprove ............................................... 31% Somewhat Disapprove............................................ 12% Unsure or No Opinion ........................................... 14% Refused .................................................................... 0% And now I have a few questions for statistical purposes only… T15. Do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to your political beliefs? Conservative .......................................................... 38% Moderate................................................................ 34% Liberal .................................................................... 25% Refused .................................................................... 3% T16. How would you describe the area where you currently live? Would you say you live in… A Suburban Area .................................................... 41% A Big City ............................................................... 29% A Small Town......................................................... 16% A Rural Area............................................................. 9% Don’t Know or Refused ............................................ 5% T17. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-34 ..................................................................... 18% 35-44 ..................................................................... 15% 45-54 ..................................................................... 19% 55-64 ..................................................................... 23% 65+ ........................................................................ 25% Unsure or No Opinion ............................................. 0% Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Magellan ID#: COGEN-101018 Colorado General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/8/18 – 10/10/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL T18. To ensure that we have a representative sample what is your race or ethnicity? Are you white, Hispanic or Latino, black or African American, or do you consider yourself to be part of another racial or ethnic group? White ..................................................................... 80% Hispanic or Latino .................................................. 13% Black or African American........................................ 2% Other ....................................................................... 4% Refused .................................................................... 1% T19. Are you married, separated or divorced, widowed, single and never been married, or unmarried and living with a partner? Married .................................................................. 67% Separated or Divorced ............................................ 11% Single, Never Been Married .................................... 10% Widowed ................................................................. 5% Unmarried, Living with Partner................................. 1% Refused .................................................................... 6% T20. What was the total amount of income of all the members in your household last year before taxes? Was the amount… Less Than $75,000 ................................................. 31% Between $76,000 and $125,000 ............................ 38% More Than $126,000.............................................. 14% Refused .................................................................. 17% T21. Are you male or female? Woman .................................................................. 52% Man ....................................................................... 48% Survey Methodology This survey was conducted by live dialing landline and cell phone sample. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a state of Colorado voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The interviews were conducted on October 8th – 10th, 2018. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. Magellan Strategies 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com (303) 861-8585 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-1 T1. Are you registered to vote in Colorado as a Republican, a Democrat, an unaffiliated voter, are you registered with some other party, or are you not registered to vote? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 REPUBLICAN 175 35.0 87 36.3 68 40.1 19 27.1 88 33.8 58 34.5 30 32.7 28 31.5 23 30.3 29 30.8 39 33.6 55 45.2 DEMOCRAT 165 33.0 69 28.7 52 30.9 17 23.5 96 37.0 60 35.9 36 39.0 32 35.7 22 29.4 31 32.6 34 29.4 46 37.2 UNAFFILIATED 158 31.5 84 35.1 49 29.0 35 49.5 73 28.2 49 29.6 24 25.7 29 32.8 30 40.3 32 34.0 43 37.1 22 17.6 OTHER 3 0.5 3 1.0 3 2.7 3 2.6 175 100.0 87 100.0 88 100.0 165 100.0 69 100.0 96 100.0 158 100.0 84 100.0 73 100.0 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-2 T1. Are you registered to vote in Colorado as a Republican, a Democrat, an unaffiliated voter, are you registered with some other party, or are you not registered to vote? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 REPUBLICAN 175 35.0 158 82.9 17 9.7 DEMOCRAT 165 33.0 5 2.6 41 24.1 UNAFFILIATED 158 31.5 28 14.5 111 64.7 OTHER 3 0.5 3 1.5 142 35.6 23 36.0 5 52.8 47 30.7 66 34.5 30 43.6 43 30.1 20 28.1 23 31.9 66 32.0 38 36.4 28 27.4 35 45.0 23 50.6 51 31.0 68 32.3 55 45.2 111 88.2 130 32.5 30 46.8 1 10.1 59 38.5 62 32.7 19 27.0 43 30.1 16 22.7 27 37.2 85 41.4 36 34.2 49 48.9 21 26.6 11 25.4 54 32.8 65 30.8 46 37.2 15 11.8 125 31.3 11 17.2 4 37.1 45 29.1 62 32.8 20 29.4 57 39.8 35 49.2 23 30.8 55 26.6 31 29.3 24 23.7 20 25.2 11 23.9 60 36.2 75 35.7 22 17.6 3 0.6 3 1.6 3 3.2 3 1.2 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-1 T2. Although it is a long way off, how likely are you to vote in the 2018 November elections for Governor, the State Legislature, Congress and county level races? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 EXTREMELY LIKELY 313 62.7 152 63.2 119 70.6 33 45.8 162 62.2 110 65.8 52 55.9 57 63.1 51 68.2 62 65.2 67 58.6 76 61.7 117 66.9 61 69.7 56 64.1 116 70.1 48 70.2 67 70.1 78 49.7 43 50.8 36 48.5 VERY LIKELY 167 33.5 74 31.0 48 28.5 26 36.8 93 35.8 52 31.1 41 44.1 32 35.9 22 29.7 29 30.6 36 31.4 46 37.4 53 30.5 25 29.0 28 31.9 48 29.0 19 27.7 29 29.9 66 42.0 30 35.7 36 49.4 19 3.8 14 5.8 2 0.9 12 17.4 5 2.0 5 3.1 1 1.1 2 2.1 4 4.3 11 10.0 1 0.9 5 2.7 1 1.3 4 4.0 1 0.9 1 2.1 13 8.3 11 13.6 2 2.2 SOMEWHAT LIKELY Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-2 T2. Although it is a long way off, how likely are you to vote in the 2018 November elections for Governor, the State Legislature, Congress and county level races? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 EXTREMELY LIKELY 313 62.7 117 61.5 103 59.9 85 67.9 260 65.1 33 50.1 8 82.8 91 59.2 125 65.7 41 59.3 83 57.9 44 63.4 39 52.7 137 66.7 70 66.7 67 66.7 42 53.2 33 73.8 108 65.4 129 61.6 76 61.7 VERY LIKELY 167 33.5 62 32.4 62 36.3 39 31.4 132 33.0 29 45.0 2 17.2 51 33.2 64 33.8 28 40.7 50 35.1 16 22.4 35 47.3 61 29.8 32 30.5 29 29.1 36 45.6 11 23.7 55 33.0 65 31.0 46 37.4 19 3.8 12 6.2 6 3.8 1 0.7 7 1.9 3 4.8 12 7.6 1 0.5 10 6.9 10 14.2 7 3.5 3 2.8 4 4.2 1 1.2 1 2.5 3 1.5 16 7.4 1 0.9 SOMEWHAT LIKELY Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-1 T3. How interested would you say you are in the upcoming November elections? Using a scale from 1 to 10, with 10 meaning you are very interested in the November elecitons, and 1 meaning that you are not interested at all, please choose a number that best describes your interest. GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 10 233 46.6 113 47.1 90 53.4 23 32.3 120 46.1 82 49.1 38 40.7 43 47.4 31 40.8 48 50.8 48 42.0 63 51.1 82 46.8 42 48.0 40 45.6 98 59.3 44 63.4 54 56.3 53 33.7 28 32.8 25 34.8 9 91 18.3 35 14.7 27 16.1 8 11.5 56 21.6 31 18.8 25 26.6 17 18.5 21 27.6 18 18.7 16 13.7 20 16.6 35 19.7 15 17.7 19 21.7 26 15.5 6 8.9 19 20.2 29 18.3 14 16.5 15 20.5 8 111 22.2 56 23.3 34 20.0 22 31.1 55 21.1 35 21.3 19 20.9 24 27.0 20 26.4 18 18.9 27 23.7 20 16.7 37 21.1 17 19.4 20 22.8 28 17.1 14 20.7 14 14.5 46 29.1 25 29.5 21 28.5 7 32 6.4 15 6.1 11 6.7 3 4.9 17 6.7 13 7.6 5 4.9 4 4.0 2 2.9 9 9.2 10 8.3 7 6.1 13 7.7 9 9.9 5 5.5 7 4.4 1 2.2 6 6.0 11 7.3 5 5.5 7 9.3 6 16 3.3 9 3.8 1 0.9 8 10.8 7 2.8 4 2.1 4 3.9 2 2.1 1 1.1 1 0.8 7 6.4 5 4.5 3 1.9 1 1.4 2 2.5 1 0.6 0.1 1 1.0 12 7.6 8 9.3 4 5.6 10 1.9 6 2.5 1 0.4 5 7.5 4 1.4 2 1.2 2 1.8 1 1.3 2 1.7 5 4.6 2 1.4 2 1.0 2 2.0 3 1.9 2 3.2 1 1.1 5 3.0 4 4.6 1 1.2 5 4 0.1 3 2 1 REFUSED 0.1 0.1 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-2 T3. How interested would you say you are in the upcoming November elections? Using a scale from 1 to 10, with 10 meaning you are very interested in the November elecitons, and 1 meaning that you are not interested at all, please choose a number that best describes your interest. IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 10 233 46.6 82 43.4 73 42.3 73 57.7 182 45.5 36 55.0 9 91 18.3 33 17.2 35 20.3 19 14.8 81 20.3 8 111 22.2 42 21.9 44 25.6 23 18.6 7 32 6.4 18 9.7 7 4.3 6 16 3.3 9 4.5 5 10 1.9 2 0.9 7 72.7 74 48.3 90 47.5 28 40.8 62 42.9 30 42.5 32 43.3 116 56.3 61 58.1 55 54.4 30 38.9 21 48.1 73 44.4 97 46.0 63 51.1 3 4.3 30 19.3 34 17.9 11 16.1 29 19.8 14 20.1 14 19.6 25 12.3 10 10.0 15 14.8 15 19.8 13 30.2 37 22.6 33 15.9 20 16.6 95 23.6 15 23.5 30 19.9 43 22.8 24 34.2 31 21.4 15 21.1 16 21.7 46 22.2 20 19.3 25 25.3 17 21.9 5 11.8 44 26.7 45 21.5 20 16.7 6 5.0 21 5.2 11 17.3 6 3.9 12 6.5 5 7.9 12 8.6 2 2.7 10 14.2 11 5.3 8 8.1 2 2.5 6 7.6 1 3.3 6 3.5 18 8.7 7 6.1 5 3.2 2 1.8 12 2.9 7 4.8 7 3.5 7 4.6 6 8.0 1 1.3 2 1.1 2 2.1 5 6.9 1 1.9 3 1.6 8 3.9 5 4.5 6 3.7 2 1.3 3 0.8 1 0.7 3 1.4 4 2.7 4 5.5 3 3.4 1 2.3 1 0.6 7 3.3 2 1.4 3 27.3 1 1.0 2 1.1 2 2.1 4 0.1 3 2 1 REFUSED Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1 T4. What is your preference for the outcome of this November's elections for Congress, a Congress controlled by Democrats or a Congress controlled by Republicans? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 DEMOCRATS 228 45.6 99 41.2 70 41.3 29 40.9 129 49.7 75 45.0 54 58.1 45 49.6 41 54.6 40 41.9 47 40.9 55 44.8 10 5.7 7 7.9 3 3.5 159 96.3 63 91.2 REPUBLICANS 201 40.1 104 43.5 79 46.8 25 35.5 96 37.0 66 39.4 31 32.8 33 36.8 29 39.3 36 37.5 44 38.4 57 46.5 161 91.8 79 91.1 81 92.4 3 1.9 UNDECIDED 70 14.0 37 15.3 20 11.8 17 23.6 33 12.7 25 14.7 9 9.1 12 13.6 5 6.2 19 20.5 22 19.4 11 8.7 3 1.7 1 1.0 2 2.4 3 1.7 2 0.6 2 0.9 0.1 1 1.3 REFUSED 2 0.3 1 0.8 1 1.7 96 99.9 57 36.0 29 34.8 27 37.4 3 4.6 37 23.4 22 25.9 15 20.4 3 4.2 64 40.6 33 39.2 31 42.2 0.1 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-2 T4. What is your preference for the outcome of this November's elections for Congress, a Congress controlled by Democrats or a Congress controlled by Republicans? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 DEMOCRATS 228 45.6 10 5.4 92 53.4 REPUBLICANS 201 40.1 163 85.9 36 20.7 UNDECIDED 70 14.0 15 7.9 44 25.9 2 0.3 1 0.8 REFUSED 116 92.6 9 7.4 182 45.5 32 49.3 5 47.2 83 54.1 80 42.1 23 32.5 65 45.1 26 36.9 39 52.8 106 51.3 49 47.1 56 55.8 32 41.3 13 29.5 86 51.9 87 41.4 55 44.8 165 41.2 25 39.1 4 35.6 54 35.4 75 39.6 33 48.0 49 33.8 23 32.3 26 35.2 78 38.0 47 45.2 31 30.5 37 46.9 27 59.7 63 37.9 80 38.0 57 46.5 51 12.9 8 11.6 2 17.2 16 10.5 33 17.6 14 19.5 30 21.1 22 30.8 9 11.9 21 10.0 8 7.7 12 12.3 9 11.8 5 10.8 17 10.2 42 19.9 11 8.7 0.1 1 0.7 1 0.4 1 0.8 1 1.4 2 0.7 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1 T5. What is your preference for the outcome of this November's elections for the State Legislature, a legislature controlled by Democrats or a legislature controlled by Republicans? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 DEMOCRATS 230 46.0 100 41.8 70 41.8 30 41.9 129 49.8 77 45.9 53 56.7 44 48.8 41 54.4 43 45.0 47 40.9 55 44.5 12 6.8 8 9.1 4 4.5 161 97.6 65 94.3 REPUBLICANS 194 38.9 100 41.6 75 44.6 25 34.5 95 36.4 64 38.4 31 32.8 31 34.6 26 35.1 37 38.8 44 38.4 55 44.5 157 89.7 78 89.4 79 90.0 3 1.9 UNDECIDED 74 14.9 40 16.6 23 13.6 17 23.6 35 13.3 25 14.8 10 10.5 15 16.7 8 10.4 15 16.1 22 19.4 13 11.0 5 2.7 1 1.4 3 3.9 1 0.5 2 0.6 2 0.9 0.1 1 1.3 REFUSED 2 0.3 1 0.8 1 1.7 96 99.9 54 34.5 28 32.8 27 36.5 3 4.6 34 21.7 19 22.4 15 21.0 1 1.1 69 43.7 38 44.9 31 42.5 0.1 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-2 T5. What is your preference for the outcome of this November's elections for the State Legislature, a legislature controlled by Democrats or a legislature controlled by Republicans? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 DEMOCRATS 230 46.0 9 5.0 92 53.5 REPUBLICANS 194 38.9 164 86.1 29 16.9 UNDECIDED 74 14.9 15 8.1 51 29.6 2 0.3 1 0.8 REFUSED 119 94.4 7 5.6 179 44.7 37 57.1 5 47.2 82 53.9 80 42.1 26 37.4 67 47.0 28 40.5 39 53.1 104 50.7 48 45.9 56 55.8 32 40.3 14 31.6 85 51.3 90 42.8 55 44.5 161 40.2 23 35.8 4 35.6 54 35.1 72 37.7 30 43.6 45 31.0 21 29.7 24 32.3 76 37.1 47 44.9 29 28.9 37 46.9 25 57.3 57 34.8 81 38.6 55 44.5 59 14.7 5 7.1 2 17.2 17 11.0 37 19.4 13 19.0 32 22.0 21 29.8 11 14.5 24 11.4 10 9.1 14 13.8 10 12.8 5 11.1 23 13.8 38 17.9 13 11.0 0.1 1 0.7 1 0.4 1 0.8 1 1.4 2 0.7 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1 I am now going to read to you the names of people involved in politics. After hearing each name, I would like you to tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have never of the person there is an option for that as well. Let's get started. The first name is... T6. JARED POLIS GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL FAVORABLE 224 44.8 97 40.5 74 44.0 23 32.4 127 48.7 80 48.2 46 49.5 43 47.8 40 52.9 34 36.2 53 45.7 54 43.8 8 4.7 4 4.6 4 4.8 142 85.8 61 88.9 80 83.6 74 47.0 32 38.3 42 57.1 TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 181 36.1 89 36.9 62 36.5 27 37.9 92 35.4 62 37.0 30 32.5 31 34.9 28 37.0 40 42.2 36 31.1 44 35.6 135 77.1 64 73.4 71 80.8 4 2.2 2 2.3 2 2.2 42 26.7 23 27.6 19 25.6 VERY FAVORABLE 151 30.1 64 26.8 51 30.4 13 18.1 86 33.2 50 29.8 37 39.4 25 27.8 30 40.3 16 17.1 41 35.3 38 31.2 4 2.1 2 2.8 1 1.5 114 69.0 48 70.2 66 68.2 33 20.9 13 16.0 19 26.6 SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 73 14.7 33 13.8 23 13.6 10 14.3 40 15.5 31 18.4 9 10.1 18 20.1 9 12.6 18 19.0 12 10.4 16 12.7 4 2.6 2 1.8 3 3.4 28 16.8 13 18.7 15 15.5 41 26.1 19 22.2 22 30.5 VERY UNFAVORABLE 115 23.1 54 22.4 40 23.6 14 19.5 62 23.7 38 22.9 23 25.1 26 29.0 12 16.4 19 19.6 28 24.3 29 23.8 100 57.1 43 49.8 57 64.3 2 0.9 0.2 1 1.5 14 8.8 10 12.1 4 5.0 65 13.1 35 14.6 22 12.9 13 18.4 30 11.7 23 14.1 7 7.4 5 5.9 15 20.6 21 22.6 8 6.8 15 11.9 35 20.0 21 23.6 15 16.5 2 1.3 1 2.1 1 0.7 28 17.8 13 15.4 15 20.6 68 13.6 35 14.5 20 11.8 15 20.9 33 12.8 20 12.2 13 14.0 11 12.7 6 8.5 17 17.6 18 15.9 15 12.5 18 10.6 11 12.2 8 8.9 15 9.3 3 4.6 12 12.8 32 20.2 21 25.0 11 14.6 NEVER HEARD OF 26 5.3 18 7.6 13 7.6 5 7.5 8 3.1 4 2.6 4 4.0 3 3.6 1 1.6 4 3.9 8 7.3 10 8.0 13 7.6 9 9.8 5 5.4 4 2.6 3 4.3 1 1.4 9 5.5 7 8.0 2 2.6 REFUSED 1 0.2 1 0.4 0.1 1 0.6 1 1.1 SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION 1 1.3 1 1.1 0.1 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-2 I am now going to read to you the names of people involved in politics. After hearing each name, I would like you to tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have never of the person there is an option for that as well. Let's get started. The first name is... T6. JARED POLIS IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL FAVORABLE 224 44.8 8 4.3 100 58.4 109 86.7 186 46.4 25 39.1 4 37.1 69 45.0 88 46.3 30 42.7 65 45.0 27 38.7 38 51.1 100 48.5 45 43.3 55 54.0 32 40.8 12 27.1 83 50.1 87 41.4 54 43.8 TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 181 36.1 143 75.1 33 19.4 3 2.4 147 36.8 23 34.8 4 39.0 48 31.6 77 40.5 28 40.2 57 39.7 26 36.9 31 42.4 60 29.1 35 33.7 25 24.3 35 45.3 19 42.6 59 35.8 76 36.2 44 35.6 VERY FAVORABLE 151 30.1 3 1.5 56 32.7 86 68.5 126 31.6 19 29.7 4 37.1 52 33.9 54 28.3 16 22.6 43 30.1 18 25.3 25 34.7 62 29.9 27 26.1 34 33.9 27 34.1 11 23.8 55 33.5 57 27.1 38 31.2 SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 73 14.7 5 2.8 44 25.7 23 18.3 59 14.8 6 9.4 17 11.1 34 18.0 14 20.1 21 14.9 9 13.3 12 16.4 38 18.6 18 17.2 20 20.1 5 6.7 1 3.3 27 16.7 30 14.3 16 12.7 VERY UNFAVORABLE 115 23.1 105 55.1 10 5.7 1 0.7 98 24.5 10 15.4 3 32.8 35 22.8 43 22.6 23 33.5 31 21.9 14 20.3 17 23.4 39 19.0 23 22.3 16 15.7 23 29.6 16 37.0 38 23.3 47 22.2 29 23.8 SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 65 13.1 38 19.9 24 13.7 2 1.7 49 12.3 13 19.4 1 6.3 13 8.8 34 17.9 5 6.7 26 17.8 12 16.6 14 18.9 21 10.0 12 11.4 9 8.6 12 15.7 3 5.7 21 12.6 29 14.0 15 11.9 68 13.6 25 13.4 30 17.4 8 6.7 44 11.1 14 21.6 1 10.1 30 19.4 14 7.6 7 9.9 16 11.2 12 17.8 4 4.9 37 18.1 18 16.7 20 19.5 7 9.5 5 12.0 18 10.8 35 16.7 15 12.5 NEVER HEARD OF 26 5.3 13 6.7 8 4.7 5 4.2 22 5.5 3 4.4 1 13.7 6 4.0 11 5.6 5 7.3 5 3.4 4 5.3 1 1.5 9 4.3 7 6.4 2 2.1 3 4.4 8 18.3 4 2.7 12 5.8 10 8.0 REFUSED 1 0.2 1 0.5 1 0.7 1 1.4 0.1 HEARD OF NO OPINION 1 0.2 1 0.6 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1 T7. WALKER STAPLETON GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL FAVORABLE 208 41.6 101 42.1 77 45.7 24 33.5 107 41.1 73 43.9 34 36.2 35 39.4 30 39.4 45 46.9 45 39.3 51 41.9 150 85.4 76 87.8 73 83.0 8 4.6 5 6.7 3 3.1 51 32.3 20 23.8 31 42.2 TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 181 36.1 84 34.9 62 36.5 22 31.1 97 37.3 62 37.0 35 37.7 29 32.1 36 48.1 28 29.7 45 39.5 41 33.8 5 2.6 2 2.7 2 2.4 120 72.8 53 76.7 67 69.9 56 35.6 29 34.1 27 37.4 VERY FAVORABLE 112 22.5 58 24.3 47 28.1 11 15.3 54 20.8 32 19.5 22 23.1 24 26.9 13 17.2 23 23.8 26 22.6 25 20.7 102 58.3 52 60.2 50 56.3 4 2.2 4 5.2 7 4.4 2 2.9 4 6.1 SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 96 19.1 43 17.8 30 17.6 13 18.2 53 20.4 41 24.5 12 13.0 11 12.5 17 22.3 22 23.1 19 16.7 26 21.1 48 27.2 24 27.6 23 26.7 4 2.4 1 1.5 3 3.1 44 28.0 18 20.9 26 36.1 VERY UNFAVORABLE 121 24.2 53 22.2 39 23.3 14 19.6 68 26.0 44 26.4 24 25.4 17 18.8 22 29.8 16 16.9 37 32.4 28 22.9 4 2.1 2 2.7 1 1.5 94 57.2 42 60.9 52 54.5 23 14.6 9 10.8 14 19.0 SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 60 11.9 30 12.7 22 13.2 8 11.5 29 11.2 18 10.7 11 12.2 12 13.3 14 18.3 12 12.8 8 7.1 13 10.9 1 0.4 1 0.9 26 15.6 11 15.7 15 15.5 33 21.0 20 23.3 14 18.4 72 14.5 40 16.8 23 13.6 17 24.5 32 12.3 16 9.6 16 17.1 18 20.1 8 11.0 15 16.3 16 13.6 15 12.2 15 8.8 5 6.1 10 11.5 19 11.5 9 13.0 10 10.5 35 22.5 26 31.1 9 12.7 NEVER HEARD OF 38 7.6 14 5.8 7 4.2 7 9.5 24 9.3 16 9.4 8 9.0 7 7.4 1 1.4 7 7.0 9 7.6 15 12.1 6 3.2 3 3.3 3 3.0 18 11.1 3 3.7 16 16.4 14 9.0 8 10.0 6 7.7 REFUSED 1 0.2 1 0.4 0.1 1 0.6 1 1.1 HEARD OF NO OPINION 1 1.3 1 1.1 0.1 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-2 T7. WALKER STAPLETON IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL FAVORABLE 208 41.6 154 81.0 47 27.1 6 4.6 165 41.3 32 49.4 6 62.9 51 33.4 80 42.3 38 55.3 61 42.6 26 36.8 35 48.2 76 36.9 45 42.7 31 30.8 38 48.3 22 48.7 65 39.4 90 42.7 51 41.9 TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 181 36.1 4 2.3 82 47.5 89 71.2 151 37.9 20 30.0 4 37.1 55 35.9 75 39.3 23 32.5 56 39.2 27 38.4 29 39.9 75 36.3 36 34.1 39 38.6 28 35.7 9 21.3 65 39.4 74 35.1 41 33.8 VERY FAVORABLE 112 22.5 97 51.2 10 5.7 4 3.4 87 21.8 20 30.0 2 15.5 29 18.9 41 21.5 20 29.0 31 21.6 16 22.6 15 20.8 38 18.7 24 22.8 14 14.4 25 31.6 11 25.1 37 22.5 49 23.2 25 20.7 SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 96 19.1 57 29.7 37 21.4 1 1.2 78 19.5 13 19.4 5 47.3 22 14.5 39 20.7 18 26.3 30 21.0 10 14.2 20 27.4 37 18.2 21 19.9 17 16.4 13 16.7 11 23.6 28 16.9 41 19.6 26 21.1 VERY UNFAVORABLE 121 24.2 3 1.5 46 26.7 68 54.3 103 25.6 14 22.0 4 37.1 40 25.9 44 23.2 18 26.6 39 26.8 16 22.6 23 30.9 50 24.3 21 19.9 29 29.0 20 26.0 7 15.1 39 23.8 53 25.4 28 22.9 SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 60 11.9 2 0.8 36 20.9 21 16.8 49 12.2 5 8.1 15 9.9 31 16.1 4 6.0 18 12.4 11 15.8 7 9.1 25 12.0 15 14.3 10 9.6 8 9.7 3 6.2 26 15.6 20 9.7 13 10.9 72 14.5 23 11.9 31 17.8 18 14.3 52 13.0 9 13.9 27 17.6 22 11.5 8 12.2 22 15.2 16 23.4 5 7.4 36 17.4 18 17.2 18 17.6 8 9.7 4 9.8 26 16.0 31 14.8 15 12.2 NEVER HEARD OF 38 7.6 8 4.4 13 7.5 12 9.9 30 7.6 4 6.6 20 13.2 13 6.9 3 4.4 19 9.4 6 5.9 13 13.0 5 6.3 9 20.2 8 4.7 15 7.3 15 12.1 REFUSED 1 0.2 1 0.5 HEARD OF NO OPINION 1 0.2 3 2.3 1 0.7 1 1.4 0.1 1 0.6 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1 T8. THE DEMOCRAT PARTY GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL FAVORABLE 238 47.7 104 43.4 76 45.3 28 38.8 134 51.7 83 49.8 51 54.9 47 52.0 40 53.3 41 43.0 56 48.9 53 43.6 7 4.0 4 4.2 3 3.8 157 95.2 65 95.2 92 95.1 74 47.3 35 41.6 39 53.8 TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 210 41.9 105 43.7 75 44.4 30 42.2 105 40.2 70 42.1 34 36.8 32 35.1 30 39.6 41 43.4 46 39.6 60 49.1 157 89.9 79 90.7 78 89.2 7 4.5 3 4.8 4 4.2 45 28.5 23 27.1 22 30.1 VERY FAVORABLE 152 30.5 67 28.1 51 30.4 16 22.6 85 32.7 52 30.9 33 35.9 28 31.1 23 30.4 28 29.8 35 30.3 38 31.1 2 0.9 2 1.8 137 83.1 59 86.1 78 81.0 14 8.7 7 8.0 7 9.6 SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 86 17.2 37 15.3 25 14.9 11 16.1 49 19.0 32 18.9 18 19.0 19 21.0 17 22.9 13 13.2 21 18.6 15 12.5 5 3.1 2 2.4 3 3.8 20 12.0 6 9.2 14 14.1 61 38.5 28 33.6 32 44.2 VERY UNFAVORABLE 154 30.7 75 31.2 57 34.0 18 24.5 79 30.3 49 29.5 30 31.7 25 27.8 19 25.7 24 25.4 33 29.1 51 41.3 132 75.3 62 71.1 70 79.5 3 1.8 1 1.3 2 2.2 19 12.0 12 14.4 7 9.3 SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 56 11.2 30 12.6 18 10.4 13 17.7 26 9.9 21 12.6 5 5.1 7 7.3 10 13.8 17 18.1 12 10.5 10 7.8 26 14.6 17 19.6 9 9.7 4 2.7 2 3.5 2 2.1 26 16.5 11 12.7 15 20.8 50 10.0 30 12.5 17 10.3 13 17.7 20 7.6 12 7.2 8 8.3 11 11.8 5 6.4 12 12.8 13 11.4 9 7.3 10 5.7 5 5.2 5 6.2 37 23.7 25 30.2 12 16.2 1 0.5 1 0.7 1 0.7 1 0.7 1 0.6 1 1.1 HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF 1 0.2 REFUSED 1 0.2 1 0.4 1 1.3 1 1.1 0.1 1 0.4 1 0.7 1 0.3 1 0.6 0.1 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-2 T8. THE DEMOCRAT PARTY IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL FAVORABLE 238 47.7 7 3.8 103 59.9 119 94.4 191 47.8 33 51.0 5 47.2 80 52.1 85 44.9 33 48.1 68 47.2 30 43.4 37 50.9 109 53.1 47 44.9 62 61.7 35 44.9 13 29.5 87 52.6 97 46.2 53 43.6 TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 210 41.9 167 87.9 40 23.4 1 0.5 166 41.4 32 49.0 5 52.8 59 38.4 81 42.8 31 44.0 55 38.0 23 32.8 32 43.0 80 38.7 49 47.0 30 30.0 36 45.5 26 57.5 61 37.1 87 41.3 60 49.1 VERY FAVORABLE 152 30.5 2 1.0 46 26.8 96 76.0 115 28.7 33 50.2 1 10.1 58 37.7 49 26.0 18 25.2 38 26.2 15 21.3 23 31.0 77 37.3 35 33.0 42 41.7 23 29.8 11 24.2 51 30.7 63 30.1 38 31.1 SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 86 17.2 5 2.7 57 33.1 23 18.3 76 19.1 1 0.8 4 37.1 22 14.4 36 18.9 16 22.8 30 21.0 16 22.1 15 19.9 33 15.8 12 11.9 20 19.9 12 15.0 2 5.3 36 21.9 34 16.1 15 12.5 VERY UNFAVORABLE 154 30.7 136 71.3 16 9.6 1 0.5 131 32.8 15 23.5 3 31.0 44 28.6 59 30.9 25 35.8 38 26.4 16 22.7 22 29.9 52 25.5 32 30.6 20 20.1 31 39.3 24 53.9 44 26.9 58 27.4 51 41.3 SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 56 11.2 31 16.5 24 13.8 35 8.6 17 25.5 2 21.8 15 9.8 23 11.9 6 8.2 17 11.6 7 10.0 10 13.1 27 13.2 17 16.4 10 9.9 5 6.2 2 3.5 17 10.3 29 13.9 10 7.8 50 10.0 14 7.5 29 16.7 14 9.5 23 12.0 5 7.0 20 14.1 16 22.5 4 6.0 16 7.6 9 8.1 7 7.1 8 9.6 6 13.1 15 9.3 25 12.1 9 7.3 NEVER HEARD OF 1 0.2 1 0.3 1 0.3 1 1.0 1 0.3 1 0.3 REFUSED 1 0.2 1 0.5 HEARD OF NO OPINION 6 4.6 41 10.3 1 0.4 1 0.3 1 0.2 1 0.6 1 0.7 1 1.4 0.1 1 1.2 1 0.6 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1 T9. THE REPUBLICAN PARTY GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL FAVORABLE 227 45.5 110 45.9 80 47.3 30 42.6 117 45.0 82 49.2 35 37.5 39 43.0 30 39.7 44 46.2 52 45.0 61 50.0 166 94.9 81 93.5 85 96.3 5 2.9 3 4.8 1 1.5 57 35.9 26 30.4 31 42.2 TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 225 45.0 98 41.0 71 42.2 27 38.2 127 48.8 77 46.0 50 53.6 41 45.1 40 53.9 38 40.3 52 44.9 54 43.8 6 3.3 4 4.6 2 2.0 156 94.7 64 93.0 92 96.0 63 40.1 30 36.1 33 44.6 VERY FAVORABLE 149 29.8 77 32.2 61 36.3 16 22.6 72 27.6 43 25.6 29 31.2 25 27.7 16 21.5 23 24.4 34 29.9 49 40.3 138 78.9 71 81.8 67 76.1 1 0.9 1 1.5 10 6.1 6 7.3 3 4.7 SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 78 15.6 33 13.7 19 11.0 14 20.1 45 17.4 39 23.6 6 6.4 14 15.4 14 18.2 21 21.8 17 15.1 12 9.7 28 16.0 10 11.7 18 20.2 3 2.0 3 4.8 47 29.8 19 23.1 27 37.5 VERY UNFAVORABLE 167 33.4 74 30.6 54 32.3 19 26.8 93 35.9 56 33.7 37 39.8 30 33.5 29 38.1 26 27.5 44 38.2 38 30.8 2 0.9 2 1.8 134 81.4 57 83.2 77 80.1 31 19.7 15 17.5 16 22.2 SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 58 11.6 25 10.3 17 9.9 8 11.4 33 12.9 21 12.3 13 13.8 10 11.6 12 15.8 12 12.8 8 6.7 16 13.0 4 2.4 2 2.8 2 2.0 22 13.3 7 9.8 15 15.9 32 20.3 16 18.6 16 22.4 HEARD OF NO OPINION 45 9.0 29 12.2 17 9.8 13 17.9 16 6.0 7 4.4 8 8.9 10 10.9 4 5.7 13 13.4 12 10.0 7 5.4 2 1.2 1 0.7 2 1.7 3 2.1 2 2.2 2 1.9 37 23.4 27 32.3 10 13.2 NEVER HEARD OF 1 0.1 1 0.2 1 0.3 REFUSED 2 0.4 1 0.6 1 1.1 2 0.9 1 0.7 1 1.3 1 0.7 1 1.1 1 0.3 0.1 1 0.9 1 0.6 1 1.3 1 0.6 0.1 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-2 T9. THE REPUBLICAN PARTY IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL FAVORABLE 227 45.5 176 92.3 50 28.8 1 0.4 183 45.7 32 49.8 5 52.8 61 40.2 87 45.9 39 56.3 59 41.3 25 35.3 35 47.0 87 42.1 50 47.4 37 36.5 39 50.0 27 60.1 69 41.5 96 45.5 61 50.0 TOTAL UNFAVORABLE 225 45.0 6 3.1 92 53.8 116 92.4 178 44.6 33 50.2 5 47.2 81 53.0 81 42.9 25 36.6 64 44.4 28 40.5 35 48.0 104 50.8 47 44.9 57 57.0 32 41.3 13 29.7 81 49.1 90 42.8 54 43.8 VERY FAVORABLE 149 29.8 138 72.6 11 6.4 118 29.5 22 33.6 5 52.8 37 24.1 59 31.0 22 32.1 34 23.5 14 19.8 20 27.1 56 27.0 38 35.9 18 17.7 30 38.1 22 48.8 41 24.9 58 27.4 49 40.3 SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 78 15.6 37 19.7 39 22.4 1 0.4 65 16.2 11 16.2 25 16.1 28 14.9 17 24.2 26 17.8 11 15.6 15 19.9 31 15.1 12 11.5 19 18.8 9 11.9 5 11.3 27 16.6 38 18.2 12 9.7 VERY UNFAVORABLE 167 33.4 3 1.4 62 36.4 96 76.4 131 32.7 30 46.4 62 40.9 55 28.7 20 28.3 44 30.5 18 25.9 26 34.9 81 39.3 36 34.3 45 44.5 25 32.1 12 27.5 59 35.6 70 33.4 38 30.8 SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE 58 11.6 3 1.7 30 17.4 20 16.0 47 11.8 2 3.8 19 12.1 27 14.2 6 8.3 20 13.9 10 14.7 10 13.2 24 11.5 11 10.6 13 12.5 7 9.2 1 2.2 22 13.5 20 9.5 16 13.0 HEARD OF NO OPINION 45 9.0 7 3.5 30 17.4 8 6.7 36 9.1 10 6.8 20 10.4 5 7.0 20 13.6 16 22.8 4 4.9 14 6.9 8 7.7 6 5.9 6 7.2 5 10.1 14 8.5 24 11.6 7 5.4 NEVER HEARD OF 1 0.1 1 0.4 1 0.1 1 0.3 REFUSED 2 0.4 2 0.5 1 0.6 2 1.1 5 47.2 1 0.3 1 0.7 1 1.4 0.1 1 0.6 1 0.3 1 1.4 1 0.6 1 0.9 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1 T10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL APPROVE 223 44.5 117 48.6 86 50.9 31 43.2 106 40.7 74 44.7 31 33.7 33 37.0 28 36.8 40 42.2 56 48.8 63 51.8 168 95.7 83 95.6 84 95.9 4 2.4 3 3.8 1 1.5 51 32.4 31 36.6 20 27.5 TOTAL DISAPPROVE 249 49.8 106 44.3 76 45.3 30 42.0 143 54.8 84 50.5 58 62.6 48 53.8 45 60.1 51 53.6 49 42.5 55 44.9 6 3.4 4 4.4 2 2.5 160 96.8 65 95.1 94 97.9 81 51.3 37 44.1 44 59.5 STRONGLY APPROVE 166 33.3 91 37.8 66 39.0 25 35.0 75 29.0 49 29.6 26 28.0 27 29.9 20 26.9 29 30.9 37 31.8 52 42.6 149 85.1 78 89.9 71 80.3 2 1.5 1 1.6 1 1.5 15 9.4 12 13.7 3 4.6 SOMEWHAT APPROVE 56 11.3 26 10.8 20 11.8 6 8.2 30 11.7 25 15.1 5 5.7 6 7.1 7 10.0 11 11.3 20 17.0 11 9.3 19 10.6 5 5.7 14 15.5 2 0.9 2 2.2 36 22.9 19 23.0 17 22.9 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 197 39.5 84 35.1 65 38.5 19 27.0 113 43.5 66 39.3 47 50.9 37 41.6 30 40.4 39 41.0 47 41.0 43 35.2 5 2.6 3 3.2 2 2.0 150 91.0 62 90.8 88 91.2 40 25.5 19 22.6 21 28.8 SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 52 10.3 22 9.2 11 6.8 11 14.9 29 11.3 19 11.2 11 11.7 11 12.2 15 19.7 12 12.7 2 1.5 12 9.7 1 0.8 1 1.2 0.5 10 5.8 3 4.3 7 6.8 41 25.8 18 21.5 23 30.8 29 5.7 17 7.1 6 3.8 11 14.8 12 4.4 8 4.9 3 3.7 8 9.2 2 3.0 4 4.1 10 8.8 4 3.3 1 0.8 1 1.7 1 0.8 1 1.1 1 0.6 26 16.4 16 19.3 10 13.0 UNSURE NO OPINION REFUSED Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-2 T10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL APPROVE 223 44.5 173 90.9 45 26.2 4 3.1 181 45.1 32 49.8 5 52.8 58 37.9 88 46.1 35 50.8 55 38.6 25 36.3 30 40.7 89 43.4 54 51.6 35 34.8 40 51.1 26 57.4 61 36.9 96 45.8 63 51.8 TOTAL DISAPPROVE 249 49.8 10 5.5 108 62.7 119 94.9 200 49.9 33 50.2 5 47.2 87 56.6 92 48.4 29 42.2 73 51.1 34 48.0 40 54.1 108 52.6 47 45.2 61 60.2 35 45.4 17 38.2 94 56.7 100 47.5 55 44.9 STRONGLY APPROVE 166 33.3 151 79.5 14 8.4 132 33.1 25 37.9 5 52.8 46 30.2 63 33.0 23 33.4 37 25.7 16 22.7 21 28.6 64 31.0 44 42.0 20 19.6 34 43.5 21 47.6 47 28.5 66 31.4 52 42.6 SOMEWHAT APPROVE 56 11.3 22 11.4 31 17.9 4 3.1 48 12.0 8 12.0 12 7.7 25 13.1 12 17.3 18 12.8 9 13.5 9 12.2 25 12.4 10 9.6 15 15.3 6 7.6 4 9.8 14 8.4 30 14.4 11 9.3 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 197 39.5 4 2.1 75 43.5 110 87.2 157 39.2 33 50.2 4 37.1 71 46.2 70 36.7 23 33.2 52 36.3 22 30.9 30 41.4 96 46.6 42 40.0 54 53.6 30 38.5 12 27.2 68 41.1 86 41.0 43 35.2 SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 52 10.3 6 3.4 33 19.1 10 7.7 43 10.7 1 10.1 16 10.4 22 11.7 6 9.0 21 14.9 12 17.1 9 12.7 12 5.9 6 5.3 7 6.6 5 6.9 5 11.0 26 15.6 14 6.6 12 9.7 29 5.7 7 3.6 19 11.1 3 2.0 20 4.9 8 5.5 10 5.5 5 7.1 15 10.3 11 15.7 4 5.1 8 4.1 3 3.2 5 5.0 3 3.5 2 4.3 11 6.4 14 6.7 4 3.3 UNSURE NO OPINION REFUSED Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-1 T11. If the election for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Jared Polis, the Democrat candidate, Walker Stapleton, the Republican candidate, Scott Helker, the Libertarian candidate or Bill Hammons, the Unity Party of Colorado candidate? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL POLIS 234 46.8 103 43.0 76 45.1 27 37.9 131 50.3 79 47.3 52 55.6 42 46.4 43 57.3 47 49.7 49 42.5 53 42.9 3 1.8 2 2.7 1 0.9 158 95.6 65 95.1 92 95.9 73 46.3 35 42.0 38 51.3 TOTAL STAPLETON 200 40.1 104 43.2 76 45.3 27 38.4 96 37.1 64 38.3 33 35.0 32 35.4 27 36.3 33 34.5 46 40.1 61 49.7 166 94.9 85 97.3 81 92.6 3 1.5 1 1.7 1 1.5 32 20.1 18 21.4 14 18.6 18 3.5 6 2.6 6 3.6 0.2 11 4.4 9 5.4 3 2.7 1 1.0 3 3.4 10 10.3 2 1.5 3 2.1 3 1.8 12 7.6 6 7.4 6 7.9 1 0.3 1 0.4 HELKER HAMMONS 1 0.1 3 3.6 1 0.9 1 0.4 DEFINITELY POLIS 171 34.2 74 30.8 58 34.3 16 22.3 97 37.3 59 35.5 38 40.5 31 34.9 28 37.3 32 34.1 42 36.3 37 30.1 PROBABLY POLIS 63 12.6 29 12.2 18 10.8 11 15.6 34 12.9 20 11.7 14 15.1 10 11.6 15 19.9 15 15.6 7 6.2 16 12.8 DEFINITELY STAPLETON 167 33.5 86 35.9 67 39.7 19 26.7 81 31.2 54 32.4 27 29.2 27 29.9 22 29.9 27 28.1 41 35.5 50 40.6 153 87.4 78 89.3 PROBABLY STAPLETON 33 6.6 18 7.4 9 5.5 8 11.7 15 5.9 10 5.9 5 5.7 5 5.5 5 6.5 6 6.4 5 4.6 11 9.1 13 7.5 7 7.9 48 9.5 27 11.2 10 6.0 17 23.5 21 7.9 14 8.6 6 6.7 15 17.2 2 2.1 5 5.5 18 15.9 6 5.3 3 1.5 UNDECIDED 3 1.8 2 2.7 1 0.9 143 86.5 59 85.2 84 87.4 25 15.9 13 15.2 12 16.6 15 9.1 7 9.9 8 8.5 48 30.4 23 26.7 25 34.7 75 85.5 0.1 0.2 14 9.1 8 9.8 6 8.3 6 7.1 2 1.5 1 1.5 1 1.5 17 11.0 10 11.6 8 10.3 3 3.0 5 2.8 2 3.2 2 2.5 40 25.6 25 29.3 16 21.3 REFUSED 0.1 1 0.9 0.1 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-2 T11. If the election for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Jared Polis, the Democrat candidate, Walker Stapleton, the Republican candidate, Scott Helker, the Libertarian candidate or Bill Hammons, the Unity Party of Colorado candidate? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL POLIS 234 46.8 4 2.1 100 58.1 118 94.2 187 46.8 33 50.2 5 47.2 79 51.4 89 47.0 28 40.3 66 46.0 30 43.2 36 48.7 103 50.2 45 43.3 58 57.3 32 40.4 18 40.7 85 51.4 96 45.8 53 42.9 TOTAL STAPLETON 200 40.1 167 87.9 31 18.3 1 0.7 166 41.5 25 37.9 5 52.8 54 35.6 78 40.9 28 40.1 48 33.4 20 28.9 28 37.8 78 38.0 49 47.1 29 28.5 39 49.3 25 56.4 59 35.8 79 37.6 61 49.7 HELKER 18 3.5 8 4.3 6 3.5 3 2.8 10 2.6 7 11.1 7 4.5 9 4.5 1 1.0 7 4.7 2 2.3 5 7.0 6 3.1 3 3.2 3 3.1 3 4.1 1 2.9 3 2.1 11 5.5 3 2.1 HAMMONS 1 0.1 1 0.4 1 0.2 1 0.4 1 0.4 DEFINITELY POLIS 171 34.2 2 1.1 52 30.0 108 85.5 137 34.3 29 44.3 1 10.1 57 37.6 64 33.4 20 28.7 49 34.1 22 30.8 27 37.3 81 39.6 35 33.9 46 45.5 20 25.2 12 27.5 59 36.0 74 35.3 37 30.1 PROBABLY POLIS 63 12.6 2 1.0 48 28.1 11 8.7 50 12.5 4 5.9 4 37.1 21 13.8 26 13.6 8 11.6 17 11.9 9 12.4 8 11.5 22 10.6 10 9.4 12 11.8 12 15.2 6 13.2 25 15.4 22 10.4 16 12.8 DEFINITELY STAPLETON 167 33.5 152 80.1 15 8.8 134 33.5 24 36.9 5 52.8 42 27.7 64 33.6 27 38.9 40 28.0 17 24.4 23 31.5 66 32.2 43 41.1 23 22.9 35 45.0 18 40.8 49 29.9 67 32.1 50 40.6 PROBABLY STAPLETON 33 6.6 15 7.8 16 9.5 1 0.7 32 8.0 1 1.0 12 7.9 14 7.4 1 1.2 8 5.4 3 4.5 5 6.3 12 5.8 6 6.0 6 5.6 3 4.3 7 15.6 10 5.9 11 5.4 11 9.1 48 9.5 11 5.8 34 19.6 3 2.3 36 8.9 1 0.8 12 8.1 14 7.5 13 18.6 23 15.8 18 25.6 5 6.4 18 8.7 7 6.5 11 11.1 5 6.3 17 10.3 24 11.2 6 5.3 UNDECIDED REFUSED 0.1 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-1 T12. There are two propositions on the ballot regarding transportation funding, Proposition 109 and Proposition 110. I am now going to read to you the ballot language of Proposition 109. After hearing it, please tell me if you intend to vote YES and approve the proposition, or if you intend to vote NO and reject it. The ballot language reads as: SHALL STATE DEBT BE INCREASED THREE POINT FIVE BILLION DOLLARS [$3.5 BILLION], WITH A MAXIMUM REPAYMENT COST OF FIVE POINT TWO BILLION DOLLARS [5.2 BILLION], WITHOUT RAISING TAXES OR FEES, BY A CHANGE TO THE COLORADO REVISED STATUTES REQUIRING THE ISSUANCE OF TRANSPORTATION REVENUE ANTICIPATION NOTES, AND, IN CONNECTION THEREWITH, NOTE PROCEEDS SHALL BE RETAINED AS A VOTER-APPROVED REVENUE CHANGE AND USED EXCLUSIVELY TO FUND SPECIFIED ROAD AND BRIDGE EXPANSION, CONSTRUCTION, MAINTENANCE, AND REPAIR PROJECTS THROUGHOUT THE STATE? If the election were being held today, would you vote YES and approve Proposition 109, or would you vote NO and reject it? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL YES, APPROVE 260 51.9 122 50.9 94 55.6 28 39.7 138 52.9 86 51.5 52 55.5 42 46.9 46 60.9 45 47.8 61 52.9 64 52.6 81 46.1 44 50.7 37 41.5 102 61.9 43 62.9 59 61.2 74 47.2 35 41.2 40 54.1 TOTAL NO, REJECT 113 22.5 57 23.8 42 25.1 15 20.9 55 21.3 37 22.3 18 19.5 19 21.6 13 17.9 25 26.5 24 20.6 30 24.7 47 26.7 25 28.9 22 24.5 32 19.6 13 18.7 19 20.2 34 21.3 19 22.8 14 19.7 DEFINITELY YES APPROVE 82 16.3 23 9.7 19 11.2 4 6.1 58 22.5 33 20.0 25 26.9 12 13.3 15 20.1 13 13.8 23 19.9 18 14.6 23 13.1 6 7.0 17 19.2 27 16.6 6 9.1 21 22.0 29 18.3 11 13.0 18 24.5 PROBABLY YES APPROVE 178 35.6 99 41.2 75 44.4 24 33.6 79 30.4 52 31.5 27 28.6 30 33.7 31 40.8 32 34.0 38 33.0 47 38.0 58 32.9 38 43.7 20 22.3 75 45.4 37 53.9 38 39.3 45 28.9 24 28.2 22 29.6 DEFINITELY NO REJECT 42 8.5 21 9.0 15 9.1 6 8.6 21 8.1 15 8.7 6 6.9 5 5.8 5 6.3 9 10.0 11 9.9 11 9.3 17 9.7 10 12.1 6 7.4 15 8.8 6 8.3 9 9.1 11 7.0 5 6.3 6 7.8 70 14.0 36 14.9 27 16.0 9 12.2 34 13.2 23 13.6 12 12.5 14 15.8 9 11.5 16 16.5 12 10.7 19 15.4 30 17.0 15 16.9 15 17.1 18 10.8 7 10.4 11 11.1 23 14.4 14 16.5 9 11.9 123 24.7 56 23.5 32 19.0 24 34.1 67 25.8 44 26.2 23 25.1 24 27.2 15 20.6 24 25.8 30 26.4 28 22.7 47 26.9 17 19.8 30 34.0 27 16.1 9 12.8 18 18.6 50 31.5 30 36.0 19 26.3 4 0.9 4 1.8 1 0.3 4 5.4 4 4.3 1 0.7 1 0.3 1 0.6 4 2.3 4 5.6 PROBABLY NO REJECT UNDECIDED UNSURE REFUSED Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-2 T12. There are two propositions on the ballot regarding transportation funding, Proposition 109 and Proposition 110. I am now going to read to you the ballot language of Proposition 109. After hearing it, please tell me if you intend to vote YES and approve the proposition, or if you intend to vote NO and reject it. The ballot language reads as: SHALL STATE DEBT BE INCREASED THREE POINT FIVE BILLION DOLLARS [$3.5 BILLION], WITH A MAXIMUM REPAYMENT COST OF FIVE POINT TWO BILLION DOLLARS [5.2 BILLION], WITHOUT RAISING TAXES OR FEES, BY A CHANGE TO THE COLORADO REVISED STATUTES REQUIRING THE ISSUANCE OF TRANSPORTATION REVENUE ANTICIPATION NOTES, AND, IN CONNECTION THEREWITH, NOTE PROCEEDS SHALL BE RETAINED AS A VOTER-APPROVED REVENUE CHANGE AND USED EXCLUSIVELY TO FUND SPECIFIED ROAD AND BRIDGE EXPANSION, CONSTRUCTION, MAINTENANCE, AND REPAIR PROJECTS THROUGHOUT THE STATE? If the election were being held today, would you vote YES and approve Proposition 109, or would you vote NO and reject it? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL YES, APPROVE 260 51.9 87 45.9 86 50.2 81 64.4 217 54.3 26 39.7 8 76.5 77 50.3 102 53.8 34 48.6 62 43.2 20 28.2 42 57.5 121 59.1 72 68.3 50 49.5 39 50.0 17 39.0 88 53.3 106 50.6 64 52.6 TOTAL NO, REJECT 113 22.5 54 28.3 36 21.0 22 17.2 94 23.5 16 25.3 2 17.2 31 20.6 41 21.6 24 34.8 37 26.1 25 35.4 13 17.1 35 17.1 12 11.9 23 22.4 25 31.9 11 24.7 33 19.9 49 23.3 30 24.7 DEFINITELY YES APPROVE 82 16.3 25 13.2 30 17.3 23 18.7 73 18.2 1 1.0 8 76.5 31 20.1 32 17.1 8 11.4 20 14.0 6 9.0 14 18.7 33 15.9 12 11.5 21 20.5 13 16.5 6 13.2 27 16.4 36 17.2 18 14.6 PROBABLY YES APPROVE 178 35.6 62 32.7 56 32.8 57 45.7 145 36.2 25 38.8 46 30.3 70 36.7 26 37.2 42 29.2 13 19.1 29 38.8 89 43.2 59 56.8 29 29.0 26 33.5 11 25.8 61 36.9 70 33.4 47 38.0 DEFINITELY NO REJECT 42 8.5 19 9.7 16 9.1 8 6.6 35 8.9 5 7.8 9 5.8 17 9.1 6 9.4 13 9.1 11 16.1 2 2.4 14 7.0 5 4.3 10 9.7 8 10.6 4 8.1 10 6.0 21 9.9 11 9.3 70 14.0 35 18.6 20 11.9 13 10.6 59 14.7 11 17.5 23 14.8 24 12.5 18 25.4 24 17.0 14 19.3 11 14.7 21 10.1 8 7.6 13 12.7 17 21.3 7 16.6 23 13.9 28 13.3 19 15.4 123 24.7 49 25.6 50 28.8 19 15.3 88 22.0 19 29.1 41 26.6 47 24.7 12 16.6 44 30.7 26 36.4 19 25.4 49 23.6 20 19.3 28 28.1 10 13.2 16 36.3 40 24.2 55 26.1 28 22.7 4 0.9 1 0.3 4 3.1 1 0.1 4 5.9 1 0.2 1 0.5 PROBABLY NO REJECT UNDECIDED UNSURE REFUSED 2 17.2 1 6.3 4 2.5 4 4.9 4 2.6 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-1 T13. As I mentioned before, Proposition 110 is also about transportation funding. I am now going to read to you the ballot language of Proposition 110. After hearing it, please tell me if you intend to vote YES and approve the proposition, or if you intend to vote NO and reject it. The ballot language is rather long, so please be patient and listen carefully. It reads as: SHALL STATE TAXES BE INCREASED SEVEN HUNDRED AND SIXTY-SIX MILLION DOLLARS [$766 MILLION] ANNUALLY FOR A TWENTY-YEAR PERIOD, AND STATE DEBT SHALL BE INCREASED SIX BILLION DOLLARS [$6 BILLION] WITH A MAXIMUM REPAYMENT COST OF NINE POINT FOUR BILLION DOLLARS [$9.4 BILLION], TO PAY FOR STATE AND LOCAL TRANSPORTATION PROJECTS, AND, IN CONNECTION THEREWITH, CHANGING THE COLORADO REVISED STATUTES TO: "ONE", INCREASE THE STATE SALES AND USE TAX RATE BY ZERO POINT SIX TWO PERCENT [0.62%] BEGINNING JANUARY 1, 2019 If the election were being held today, would you vote YES and approve Proposition 110, or would you vote NO and reject it? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL YES, APPROVE 174 34.9 80 33.5 67 39.5 14 19.1 94 36.2 54 32.3 40 43.2 35 38.4 35 46.8 29 30.4 35 30.1 40 33.0 40 23.0 22 24.8 19 21.2 77 46.8 27 39.0 50 52.3 55 34.6 32 37.8 23 30.9 TOTAL NO, REJECT 168 33.6 86 35.7 62 36.6 24 33.4 83 31.8 57 34.3 25 27.2 28 31.4 21 27.5 31 32.8 41 35.5 47 38.2 87 49.7 46 52.9 41 46.5 43 26.0 20 29.2 23 23.6 38 24.4 19 23.1 19 25.9 DEFINITELY YES APPROVE 55 11.0 21 8.6 14 8.1 7 9.6 34 13.2 19 11.2 16 16.7 14 15.1 9 12.2 10 11.0 14 11.9 8 6.4 12 7.1 5 5.4 8 8.8 25 15.2 8 11.3 17 18.0 15 9.3 8 9.5 7 9.1 PROBABLY YES APPROVE 120 23.9 60 24.9 53 31.4 7 9.4 60 23.0 35 21.1 25 26.5 21 23.2 26 34.6 18 19.4 21 18.2 33 26.6 28 15.9 17 19.4 11 12.4 52 31.5 19 27.7 33 34.3 40 25.3 24 28.3 16 21.8 DEFINITELY NO REJECT 64 12.8 29 12.0 20 11.9 9 12.2 35 13.6 26 15.7 9 9.8 7 7.6 8 10.8 16 17.0 14 12.2 19 15.4 38 21.7 19 21.7 19 21.7 12 7.5 6 8.0 7 7.2 14 8.8 4 5.2 9 12.9 PROBABLY NO REJECT 104 20.8 57 23.7 42 24.7 15 21.1 47 18.2 31 18.6 16 17.4 21 23.8 12 16.6 15 15.8 27 23.3 28 22.8 49 28.0 27 31.2 22 24.9 30 18.4 15 21.2 16 16.4 25 15.6 15 17.9 10 13.0 147 29.5 70 29.1 40 23.8 30 41.4 78 29.8 54 32.1 24 25.8 19 21.1 19 25.0 34 35.8 40 34.4 35 28.8 43 24.7 19 22.3 24 27.2 41 24.6 17 25.4 23 24.0 63 40.3 33 39.0 31 41.7 10 2.0 4 1.8 4 6.1 6 2.1 2 1.2 4 3.8 8 9.2 1 0.7 1 1.1 4 5.1 4 2.7 4 6.4 UNDECIDED UNSURE REFUSED 4 2.6 1 0.7 1 1.5 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-2 T13. As I mentioned before, Proposition 110 is also about transportation funding. I am now going to read to you the ballot language of Proposition 110. After hearing it, please tell me if you intend to vote YES and approve the proposition, or if you intend to vote NO and reject it. The ballot language is rather long, so please be patient and listen carefully. It reads as: SHALL STATE TAXES BE INCREASED SEVEN HUNDRED AND SIXTY-SIX MILLION DOLLARS [$766 MILLION] ANNUALLY FOR A TWENTY-YEAR PERIOD, AND STATE DEBT SHALL BE INCREASED SIX BILLION DOLLARS [$6 BILLION] WITH A MAXIMUM REPAYMENT COST OF NINE POINT FOUR BILLION DOLLARS [$9.4 BILLION], TO PAY FOR STATE AND LOCAL TRANSPORTATION PROJECTS, AND, IN CONNECTION THEREWITH, CHANGING THE COLORADO REVISED STATUTES TO: "ONE", INCREASE THE STATE SALES AND USE TAX RATE BY ZERO POINT SIX TWO PERCENT [0.62%] BEGINNING JANUARY 1, 2019 If the election were being held today, would you vote YES and approve Proposition 110, or would you vote NO and reject it? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL YES, APPROVE 174 34.9 44 23.1 66 38.3 61 48.8 154 38.6 14 20.9 1 10.1 55 35.8 67 35.0 29 41.8 45 31.4 18 25.9 27 36.8 80 38.8 43 41.1 37 36.4 24 31.0 14 31.3 70 42.2 63 30.2 40 33.0 TOTAL NO, REJECT 168 33.6 91 47.7 46 26.8 29 22.8 136 34.1 24 36.3 5 46.5 39 25.3 69 36.5 28 40.8 43 29.7 23 32.9 19 26.5 65 31.6 35 33.4 30 29.7 37 46.8 14 32.0 49 29.6 72 34.3 47 38.2 DEFINITELY YES APPROVE 55 11.0 14 7.6 16 9.2 22 17.7 51 12.8 2 3.6 1 10.1 20 13.2 24 12.7 5 7.4 15 10.3 7 9.3 8 11.2 26 12.5 11 10.5 15 14.6 7 9.3 2 5.2 23 13.8 24 11.5 8 6.4 PROBABLY YES APPROVE 120 23.9 29 15.5 50 29.1 39 31.1 103 25.8 11 17.3 35 22.6 42 22.4 24 34.4 30 21.1 12 16.5 19 25.5 54 26.3 32 30.6 22 21.8 17 21.7 12 26.1 47 28.4 39 18.7 33 26.6 DEFINITELY NO REJECT 64 12.8 39 20.6 18 10.6 7 5.6 55 13.8 5 7.8 3 32.8 13 8.7 27 14.4 9 12.7 13 9.3 9 12.7 4 6.0 24 11.4 9 8.2 15 14.9 15 18.6 6 13.6 15 9.1 30 14.4 19 15.4 PROBABLY NO REJECT 104 20.8 52 27.2 28 16.2 22 17.2 81 20.3 18 28.5 1 13.7 25 16.7 42 22.1 19 28.1 29 20.4 14 20.2 15 20.5 41 20.2 26 25.2 15 14.9 22 28.2 8 18.5 34 20.5 42 19.9 28 22.8 147 29.5 51 26.8 59 34.4 31 24.9 107 26.7 20 31.5 4 43.4 52 34.0 54 28.4 12 17.3 52 36.0 28 40.4 23 31.7 60 29.1 27 25.5 33 32.9 13 16.2 16 36.7 38 22.9 74 35.0 35 28.8 10 2.0 5 2.4 1 0.5 4 3.5 3 0.6 7 11.3 4 2.9 1 0.8 4 5.0 1 0.5 1 1.0 5 6.0 9 5.3 1 0.5 UNDECIDED UNSURE REFUSED 7 4.8 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-1 T14. As you may know, over this past weekend Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed to the Supreme Court. Knowing this, do you approve of Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation to the Supreme Court or do you disapprove of his confirmation? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL APPROVE 216 43.2 105 43.6 75 44.5 30 41.5 112 42.9 75 45.0 37 39.2 32 35.9 27 35.8 44 45.8 48 41.7 64 52.3 146 83.4 63 72.9 83 93.8 21 12.8 13 18.5 8 8.6 49 31.2 28 33.7 21 28.3 TOTAL DISAPPROVE 213 42.5 93 38.7 67 40.0 25 35.5 120 46.1 70 42.0 50 53.5 40 44.8 34 45.9 40 42.2 45 39.3 52 42.2 15 8.5 11 12.8 4 4.2 137 82.8 53 77.2 84 86.8 59 37.3 29 34.0 30 41.1 STRONGLY APPROVE 133 26.6 56 23.5 39 22.9 18 24.7 77 29.5 53 32.0 23 25.2 22 24.1 16 21.0 29 30.2 31 26.8 35 28.6 102 58.1 41 47.6 60 68.4 9 5.4 5 7.6 4 3.9 23 14.3 10 11.6 13 17.5 SOMEWHAT APPROVE 83 16.6 48 20.1 36 21.5 12 16.8 35 13.4 22 13.0 13 14.1 11 11.8 11 14.8 15 15.6 17 14.9 29 23.7 44 25.3 22 25.3 22 25.4 12 7.4 8 11.0 5 4.8 27 16.9 19 22.2 8 10.8 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 154 30.9 67 28.1 53 31.2 15 20.7 87 33.5 50 29.9 37 39.9 25 28.2 22 28.7 33 34.2 36 31.7 38 31.0 9 4.9 7 7.5 2 2.3 106 64.4 43 62.8 63 65.5 37 23.5 18 20.9 19 26.5 SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 58 11.7 26 10.6 15 8.8 11 14.9 33 12.6 20 12.1 13 13.6 15 16.5 13 17.2 8 8.0 9 7.6 14 11.2 6 3.6 5 5.3 2 1.9 30 18.4 10 14.4 21 21.3 22 13.8 11 13.1 11 14.6 71 14.2 43 17.7 26 15.5 16 23.0 29 11.0 22 13.1 7 7.3 17 19.3 14 18.3 11 12.0 22 19.0 7 5.6 14 8.1 12 14.3 2 2.0 7 4.4 3 4.3 4 4.5 50 31.5 27 32.2 22 30.6 UNSURE REFUSED Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-2 T14. As you may know, over this past weekend Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed to the Supreme Court. Knowing this, do you approve of Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation to the Supreme Court or do you disapprove of his confirmation? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 TOTAL APPROVE 216 43.2 152 80.0 51 29.7 12 9.8 184 45.9 23 35.6 5 46.5 60 39.4 92 48.6 34 48.8 52 36.2 22 31.0 30 41.2 83 40.4 47 45.1 36 35.6 41 52.8 29 65.5 59 35.9 91 43.5 64 52.3 TOTAL DISAPPROVE 213 42.5 17 8.7 76 44.1 111 88.2 167 41.7 33 51.0 4 37.1 81 52.8 76 40.3 22 32.3 61 42.3 25 35.6 36 48.6 98 47.6 43 41.2 55 54.3 33 41.6 9 20.9 75 45.3 85 40.6 52 42.2 STRONGLY APPROVE 133 26.6 109 57.6 21 12.5 2 1.8 104 26.1 23 35.6 2 15.5 37 23.9 53 28.2 24 34.6 31 21.4 11 15.6 20 26.8 51 24.7 26 24.4 25 25.0 22 28.2 21 46.5 37 22.7 59 28.3 35 28.6 SOMEWHAT APPROVE 83 16.6 43 22.4 30 17.2 10 8.0 79 19.8 3 31.0 24 15.5 39 20.4 10 14.2 21 14.9 11 15.4 11 14.4 32 15.7 22 20.7 11 10.6 19 24.6 8 19.0 22 13.2 32 15.2 29 23.7 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 154 30.9 11 5.6 53 31.0 84 66.5 120 30.1 26 40.0 4 37.1 58 37.9 53 27.8 16 23.0 44 30.7 19 27.4 25 33.9 80 38.9 37 35.0 43 43.0 20 25.1 5 11.4 47 28.4 69 32.9 38 31.0 SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 58 11.7 6 3.2 22 13.0 27 21.6 46 11.6 7 11.0 23 14.9 24 12.5 6 9.3 17 11.5 6 8.2 11 14.7 18 8.7 7 6.3 11 11.3 13 16.5 4 9.5 28 16.9 16 7.8 14 11.2 71 14.2 22 11.3 45 26.3 3 2.0 50 12.4 9 13.4 12 7.8 21 11.1 13 18.9 31 21.5 23 33.3 8 10.2 25 11.9 14 13.7 10 10.1 4 5.6 6 13.6 31 18.8 33 15.8 7 5.6 UNSURE REFUSED 2 16.4 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 15-1 And now I have a few questions for statistical purposes only... T15. Do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to your political beliefs? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 CONSERVATIVE 190 38.0 96 40.1 67 39.8 29 40.7 94 36.1 62 37.1 32 34.3 30 33.4 20 26.6 36 37.8 47 40.6 57 46.2 158 90.0 76 87.7 81 92.3 5 3.0 2 3.4 3 2.8 28 17.5 18 20.9 10 13.6 MODERATE 172 34.4 89 37.2 65 38.5 24 34.3 83 31.7 53 31.6 30 32.0 27 29.7 36 47.6 28 29.6 41 35.9 39 32.1 17 9.5 10 11.4 7 7.7 41 25.1 20 29.4 21 22.0 111 70.7 59 70.3 52 71.1 LIBERAL 126 25.1 53 21.9 37 21.7 16 22.4 73 28.1 47 28.1 26 28.1 32 35.6 18 23.6 23 24.0 26 22.3 27 21.7 111 67.2 45 65.8 66 68.1 15 9.4 7 8.7 8 10.3 12 2.5 2 0.8 2 2.6 10 4.0 5 3.1 5 5.6 1 1.3 2 2.3 8 8.6 1 1.2 8 4.7 1 1.4 7 7.1 4 2.4 0.1 4 5.0 DON'T KNOW REFUSED 1 0.5 1 0.9 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 15-2 And now I have a few questions for statistical purposes only... T15. Do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to your political beliefs? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 CONSERVATIVE 190 38.0 MODERATE 172 34.4 LIBERAL 126 25.1 DON'T KNOW REFUSED 12 2.5 190 100.0 172 100.0 126 100.0 145 36.3 29 44.7 5 46.5 55 36.0 68 35.8 29 42.2 53 36.8 26 37.3 27 36.4 70 33.8 42 39.8 28 27.6 34 43.7 25 56.1 50 30.3 83 39.3 57 46.2 146 36.4 11 16.5 5 53.5 46 30.4 73 38.3 24 35.0 47 32.5 28 40.1 19 25.2 74 36.1 39 37.1 35 35.2 24 31.1 13 28.5 62 37.8 69 33.0 39 32.1 101 25.4 21 32.1 46 29.9 45 23.4 16 22.8 41 28.5 16 22.5 25 34.2 56 27.0 23 22.3 32 31.8 20 25.2 7 15.4 50 30.1 48 23.1 27 21.7 8 2.0 4 6.6 6 3.7 5 2.5 3 2.2 0.1 3 4.2 6 3.0 1 0.8 5 5.4 3 1.7 9 4.5 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 16-1 T16. How would you describe the area where you currently live? Would you say you live in... GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 A BIG CITY 144 28.7 70 29.2 47 27.9 23 32.4 74 28.3 47 28.0 27 28.7 32 35.9 21 27.8 31 32.8 36 31.6 22 17.6 43 24.7 20 22.6 23 26.7 43 26.2 16 23.1 27 28.5 57 36.3 35 41.0 23 30.9 A SUBURBAN AREA 206 41.1 105 43.7 82 48.5 23 32.1 101 38.8 73 43.5 28 30.3 37 40.7 37 48.8 37 38.6 47 40.5 49 39.9 66 37.6 38 43.9 28 31.4 85 51.6 36 52.2 49 51.2 55 34.7 31 36.5 24 32.6 A SMALL TOWN 78 15.6 34 14.4 21 12.3 14 19.3 44 16.8 22 13.1 22 23.5 13 14.8 8 10.2 15 16.1 14 11.9 28 22.6 35 20.1 15 17.4 20 22.8 21 12.6 12 17.0 9 9.5 20 12.5 8 9.0 12 16.6 A RURAL AREA 44 8.9 19 7.8 13 7.6 6 8.1 26 9.9 18 10.6 8 8.7 5 5.9 4 5.6 6 6.5 11 9.2 18 14.9 23 12.9 8 9.6 14 16.1 11 6.9 3 4.3 8 8.7 11 6.8 7 8.7 3 4.5 DON'T KNOW REFUSED 28 5.6 12 5.0 6 3.7 6 8.1 16 6.2 8 4.7 8 8.8 2 2.6 6 7.7 6 6.0 8 6.9 6 5.0 8 4.7 6 6.5 3 3.0 4 2.7 2 3.4 2 2.2 15 9.7 4 4.8 11 15.4 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 16-2 T16. How would you describe the area where you currently live? Would you say you live in... IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 A BIG CITY 144 28.7 53 27.8 47 27.2 41 32.5 108 26.9 16 24.3 4 37.1 36 23.5 56 29.7 28 40.2 A SUBURBAN AREA 206 41.1 70 36.6 74 43.2 56 44.2 164 40.9 36 56.0 2 20.0 57 37.2 79 41.4 28 40.4 A SMALL TOWN 78 15.6 34 18.0 24 14.2 20 15.7 64 16.1 10 15.5 3 32.8 38 24.6 25 13.2 6 9.2 A RURAL AREA 44 8.9 25 13.1 13 7.4 7 5.4 37 9.2 3 4.3 1 10.1 15 9.8 17 8.9 6 7.9 DON'T KNOW REFUSED 28 5.6 8 4.4 14 8.1 3 2.2 27 6.8 8 5.0 13 6.9 2 2.3 144 100.0 70 100.0 74 100.0 206 100.0 105 100.0 101 100.0 78 100.0 44 100.0 53 32.2 67 32.1 22 17.6 73 44.4 83 39.6 49 39.9 21 12.7 29 13.8 28 22.6 9 5.8 17 8.0 18 14.9 8 4.9 14 6.5 6 5.0 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 17-1 T17. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 18 to 34 90 18.0 36 15.1 14 8.4 22 31.1 54 20.7 21 12.6 33 35.2 35 to 44 75 15.0 35 14.8 29 17.2 6 9.0 40 15.2 34 20.6 5 5.5 45 to 54 95 19.0 46 19.3 36 21.6 10 13.7 49 18.8 40 24.2 8 9.1 55 to 64 115 23.0 63 26.2 42 24.8 21 29.4 52 20.1 40 24.0 12 13.0 65 plus 123 24.5 58 24.3 47 27.9 11 15.8 64 24.7 30 17.9 34 36.8 2 0.5 1 0.4 0.1 1 0.9 2 0.6 1 0.7 0.4 DON'T KNOW REFUSED 90 100.0 75 100.0 95 100.0 115 100.0 123 100.0 28 16.2 15 17.1 14 15.4 32 19.5 11 15.3 22 22.4 29 18.7 11 12.9 19 25.4 23 13.0 11 13.2 11 12.8 22 13.3 10 14.2 12 12.7 30 19.2 14 16.8 16 21.9 29 16.7 13 15.1 16 18.3 31 18.8 17 24.6 14 14.7 32 20.5 16 19.2 16 21.9 39 22.0 20 23.2 18 20.9 34 20.5 13 19.1 21 21.4 43 27.1 29 35.0 13 17.9 55 31.7 27 31.3 28 32.1 46 27.6 18 26.5 27 28.4 22 13.7 13 15.3 9 11.8 1 0.4 0.3 0.5 1 0.3 0.2 0.4 1 0.8 1 0.6 1 1.1 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 17-2 T17. Which of the following age groups applies to you? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 18 to 34 90 18.0 30 15.8 27 15.6 32 25.5 74 18.5 13 20.3 35 to 44 75 15.0 20 10.5 36 20.8 18 14.1 60 15.1 11 17.6 45 to 54 95 19.0 36 18.9 28 16.4 23 18.2 66 16.6 55 to 64 115 23.0 47 24.6 41 24.0 26 20.4 65 plus 123 24.5 57 29.7 39 22.9 2 0.5 1 0.5 1 0.4 DON'T KNOW REFUSED 23 15.3 35 18.4 11 16.2 32 22.5 11 15.6 21 29.1 37 17.8 13 12.0 24 23.8 13 17.1 5 11.9 90 54.5 2 16.4 14 8.9 33 17.2 10 14.7 21 14.5 10 14.3 11 14.7 37 17.8 21 19.7 16 15.9 8 9.8 4 9.4 75 45.5 27 41.2 2 15.5 36 23.5 32 17.0 20 28.5 31 21.7 17 23.6 15 19.9 37 17.8 22 21.2 14 14.4 15 19.5 6 14.0 95 45.2 92 22.9 7 10.2 4 37.1 24 15.9 47 24.6 20 28.1 36 25.3 21 30.6 15 20.1 47 22.6 23 22.2 23 23.1 14 17.5 11 23.8 115 54.8 27 21.2 106 26.6 6 8.9 3 31.0 55 35.9 42 22.3 9 12.4 22 15.0 11 15.5 11 14.6 49 23.8 26 24.8 23 22.7 28 35.5 18 40.9 1 0.7 1 0.3 1 1.8 1 0.5 1 0.4 1 1.0 0.3 1 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 1 0.7 123 100.0 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 18-1 T18. To ensure that we have a representative sample what is your race or ethnicity? Are you white, Hispanic or Latino, black or African American, or do you consider yourself to be part of another racial or ethnic group? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 WHITE 400 80.0 184 76.6 138 81.9 46 64.0 216 83.2 137 81.9 80 85.4 74 82.3 60 80.3 66 69.7 92 79.7 106 86.9 142 81.3 74 84.8 69 77.9 130 78.7 45 65.5 85 88.1 125 79.6 65 77.1 60 82.5 HISPANIC LATINO 65 13.0 39 16.1 28 16.7 10 14.6 26 10.1 19 11.6 7 7.6 13 14.7 11 15.3 27 28.2 7 5.7 6 4.7 23 13.4 11 12.7 12 14.0 30 18.4 23 34.0 7 7.3 11 7.1 4 5.1 7 9.4 AFRICAN AMERICAN BLACK 10 2.0 2 0.8 2 1.2 8 3.1 3 1.5 5 5.8 2 2.2 2 1.6 4 3.2 3 2.5 5 3.0 2 2.3 3 3.7 1 0.6 1 1.1 4 2.4 OTHER 23 4.5 15 6.1 15 20.5 8 3.0 8 4.7 12 10.5 7 5.3 4 2.0 4 4.0 3 1.8 3 3.1 16 10.2 15 17.3 1 1.9 DON'T KNOW REFUSED 2 0.5 1 0.4 1 0.9 2 0.6 0.3 1 0.9 1 0.5 0.3 0.4 1 0.5 0.4 1 0.8 0.5 1 1.1 0.2 1 1.2 3 2.8 1 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 4 5.1 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 18-2 T18. To ensure that we have a representative sample what is your race or ethnicity? Are you white, Hispanic or Latino, black or African American, or do you consider yourself to be part of another racial or ethnic group? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 WHITE 400 80.0 145 76.3 146 84.7 101 80.7 HISPANIC LATINO 65 13.0 29 15.3 11 6.3 21 16.6 AFRICAN AMERICAN BLACK 10 2.0 5 2.4 5 3.1 OTHER 23 4.5 11 5.6 9 5.1 DON'T KNOW REFUSED 2 0.5 1 0.3 1 0.8 400 100.0 117 76.5 165 87.1 65 93.6 108 75.0 50 71.3 58 78.5 164 79.6 74 70.4 90 89.1 64 82.3 37 83.2 134 81.4 158 75.2 106 86.9 23 14.9 17 8.9 3 4.2 16 11.0 5 7.6 10 14.2 36 17.7 29 27.6 7 7.4 10 12.9 3 6.2 25 15.0 33 15.9 6 4.7 2 1.1 2 0.9 2 2.2 4 2.6 4 5.0 2 1.0 2 1.9 3 4.2 1 2.3 2 1.0 5 2.5 3 2.5 3 2.4 11 7.3 5 2.6 16 11.1 15 20.8 1 1.9 3 1.5 4 7.9 4 2.4 12 5.7 7 5.3 0.3 0.2 1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 1 0.3 0.5 0.3 1 0.7 1 0.5 65 100.0 10 100.0 3 3.0 0.1 1 0.6 0.6 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 19-1 T19. Are you married, separated or divorced, widowed, single and never been married, or unmarried and living with a partner? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 MARRIED 335 67.1 169 70.3 169 100.0 167 64.1 SEPARATED DIVORCED 57 11.3 30 12.5 30 42.1 27 10.2 SINGLE NEVER BEEN MARRIED 52 10.4 25 10.3 25 34.5 WIDOWED 22 4.4 5 2.0 UNMARRIED LIVING WITH A PARTNER 5 1.1 NO OPINION 29 5.7 167 100.0 35 38.9 63 84.5 77 80.8 82 71.2 77 62.8 125 71.6 68 77.8 58 65.4 112 67.8 52 75.6 60 62.2 98 62.4 49 58.1 49 67.3 27 28.5 1 1.2 2 2.0 9 9.9 24 20.8 21 16.9 17 9.8 6 6.5 11 13.0 11 6.8 5 7.2 6 6.5 26 16.4 19 23.1 6 8.7 27 10.5 27 29.4 43 47.5 4 5.1 2 2.1 1 1.3 1 1.1 16 9.2 7 8.3 9 10.0 24 14.6 8 12.1 16 16.4 12 7.5 9 10.8 3 3.8 5 6.6 18 6.7 18 18.8 2 2.0 2 2.0 2 2.0 16 13.2 8 4.5 2 2.9 5 6.1 10 5.8 10 10.0 5 3.0 2 2.6 3 3.5 3 1.4 3 4.8 2 0.7 2 2.0 4 4.1 2 2.1 1 0.7 1 0.6 1 0.9 3 1.5 1 2.1 1 1.1 1 0.9 1 1.7 9 3.6 9 12.0 20 7.7 20 21.4 6 6.2 5 6.3 7 4.3 3 3.9 4 4.6 6 3.4 2 2.9 4 3.8 15 9.8 3 3.8 5 5.3 5 4.8 7 6.1 12 16.7 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 19-2 T19. Are you married, separated or divorced, widowed, single and never been married, or unmarried and living with a partner? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 MARRIED 335 67.1 129 67.9 118 68.4 83 66.4 275 68.7 48 73.1 SEPARATED DIVORCED 57 11.3 27 14.4 21 12.5 5 4.2 41 10.2 SINGLE NEVER BEEN MARRIED 52 10.4 19 10.0 10 5.8 21 16.8 36 8.9 WIDOWED 22 4.4 7 3.7 7 4.0 7 5.9 20 5.1 UNMARRIED LIVING WITH A PARTNER 5 1.1 2 1.4 3 2.3 5 1.3 NO OPINION 29 5.7 14 7.9 5 4.3 23 5.9 7 3.9 5 45.7 84 54.8 143 75.0 61 88.6 94 65.3 47 67.0 47 63.6 154 75.1 82 78.1 73 72.0 43 54.4 31 68.8 98 59.7 159 75.5 77 62.8 4 5.7 33 21.3 17 9.0 2 2.9 21 14.6 13 18.6 8 10.7 14 6.9 8 8.0 6 5.8 17 21.6 3 5.7 3 1.6 33 15.9 21 16.9 14 21.2 18 11.9 16 8.3 2 2.4 18 12.7 8 11.2 10 14.2 18 9.0 9 8.4 10 9.5 12 15.0 2 4.1 47 28.2 3 1.6 1 1.1 13 8.6 6 3.0 2 3.1 8 3.8 2 1.7 6 5.9 6 7.3 4 8.1 2 1.1 4 2.0 16 13.2 2 1.2 2 1.2 1 0.7 2 1.4 1 1.4 1 1.5 3 1.3 2 1.8 1 0.8 1 0.7 3 2.2 7 3.4 4 5.4 6 4.5 1 1.8 5 7.0 8 4.0 2 2.0 6 6.0 1 0.9 10 5.0 7 6.1 2 17.2 4 37.1 2 1.6 5 3.2 6 13.3 10 6.2 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 20-1 T20. What was the to total amount of income of all the members in your household last year before taxes? Was the amount... GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 LESS THAN $75,000 153 30.6 72 29.8 40 23.4 32 45.0 81 31.2 44 26.5 37 39.6 23 26.0 14 18.2 36 37.8 24 21.1 55 44.8 47 26.8 21 24.5 26 29.2 59 35.6 19 28.0 40 41.1 45 28.3 31 36.9 13 18.3 BETWEEN $76,000 $125,000 190 38.0 90 37.6 72 42.6 18 25.9 100 38.3 71 42.4 29 31.1 35 38.8 33 43.6 32 34.0 47 40.7 42 34.6 66 37.4 34 39.1 31 35.8 62 37.7 28 40.8 34 35.4 62 39.6 28 33.5 34 46.5 MORE THAN $126,000 69 13.9 36 15.1 33 19.5 3 4.7 33 12.8 29 17.2 5 4.8 11 12.5 10 13.6 20 20.8 20 17.0 9 7.0 30 17.3 13 14.6 18 19.9 19 11.3 13 18.7 6 6.1 20 13.0 11 12.6 10 13.4 DON'T KNOW REFUSED 88 17.6 42 17.4 24 14.5 17 24.4 46 17.7 23 13.9 23 24.5 20 22.8 18 24.5 7 7.4 24 21.3 17 13.5 32 18.4 19 21.8 13 15.2 25 15.4 9 12.5 17 17.4 30 19.2 14 16.9 16 21.8 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 20-2 T20. What was the to total amount of income of all the members in your household last year before taxes? Was the amount... IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 LESS THAN $75,000 153 30.6 55 28.9 46 27.0 46 36.4 117 29.2 23 35.0 2 16.4 BETWEEN $76,000 $125,000 190 38.0 68 35.7 73 42.3 45 35.4 165 41.4 17 26.1 2 17.2 MORE THAN $126,000 69 13.9 29 15.4 24 14.1 16 12.6 65 16.2 3 4.4 2 15.5 DON'T KNOW REFUSED 88 17.6 38 19.9 28 16.6 20 15.6 53 13.2 22 34.5 5 50.9 153 100.0 190 100.0 69 100.0 36 25.0 19 27.2 17 22.9 57 27.7 21 20.4 35 35.2 38 48.0 15 33.5 37 22.5 60 28.6 55 44.8 56 39.2 25 36.0 31 42.3 79 38.2 41 39.0 38 37.4 25 32.1 17 37.9 68 41.0 79 37.7 42 34.6 28 19.4 17 23.7 11 15.4 28 13.6 14 13.0 14 14.3 6 8.1 6 12.4 21 13.0 39 18.7 9 7.0 24 16.4 9 13.2 14 19.5 42 20.5 29 27.6 13 13.2 9 11.8 7 16.2 39 23.6 31 15.0 17 13.5 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 21-1 T21. Are you male or female? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------MEN MEN WOM WOM REP REP DEM DEM IND IND TOTAL MEN MARR SING WOM MARR SING 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ REP MEN WOM DEM MEN WOM IND MEN WOM --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 240 169 71 260 167 93 90 75 95 115 123 175 87 88 165 69 96 158 84 73 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 FEMALE 260 52.0 MALE 240 48.0 REFUSED 260 100.0 240 100.0 169 100.0 71 100.0 167 100.0 93 100.0 54 59.7 40 52.7 49 51.4 52 45.4 64 52.4 88 50.3 36 40.3 35 47.3 46 48.6 63 54.6 58 47.6 87 49.7 88 100.0 87 100.0 96 58.3 69 41.7 96 100.0 69 100.0 73 46.5 84 53.5 73 100.0 84 100.0 Colorado General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 8th - 10th, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 21-2 T21. Are you male or female? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY INCOME RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- --------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------CONS MODE LIB WHI HISP AA LESS $76K MORE BIG CITY CITY SUB SUB SUB SMAL RURL 44 TOTAL ERVE RATE ERAL TE LAT BLCK $75K $125K $125K CITY MEN WOM RBAN MEN WOM TOWN AREA LESS 45-64 65+ --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------- --------TOTAL 500 190 172 126 400 65 10 153 190 69 144 70 74 206 105 101 78 44 165 210 123 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 FEMALE 260 52.0 94 49.4 83 48.0 73 58.2 216 54.1 26 40.5 8 80.0 81 53.1 100 52.4 33 47.8 74 51.2 MALE 240 48.0 96 50.6 89 52.0 53 41.8 184 45.9 39 59.5 2 20.0 72 46.9 90 47.6 36 52.2 70 48.8 REFUSED 74 100.0 70 100.0 101 49.1 105 50.9 101 100.0 105 100.0 44 55.9 26 58.1 93 56.5 101 48.1 64 52.4 34 44.1 19 41.9 72 43.5 109 51.9 58 47.6