Case Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 1 of 9 EXHIBIT 157 Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 2 of 9 PRELIMINARY DRAFT Demographics of Harvard College Applicants DRAFT May 30, 2013 Office of Institutional Research Highly Confidential - Attorney's Eyes Only HARV00069760 1 Overview Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 3 of 9 PRELIMINARY DRAFT • Low income applicants are more diverse than all applicants to Harvard College. • Likewise, a greater share of minority applicants are low income, than white a pplicants: 25% of Hispanic applicants, 24% of African American applicants, and 18% of Asian applicants are low income, compared with just 10% of white applicants. • Across all race/ethnicity groups, low income students are admitted at a higher rate. Highly Confidential - Attorney's Eyes Only HARV00069761 2 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Applicants to Harvard Case College by race/ethnicity All Applicants by Ethnicity, Classes of 2009-2016 Filed 06/15/18 Page 4 of 9 PRELIMINARY DRAFT Applicants with Incomes Less than $60K, by Ethnicity, Classes of2009-2016 Other/Unknown 7% Native American 10/0 International Other/Unknown W nternational 13% 10/0 8% Native American 10/0 Highly Confidential - Attorneys Eyes Only HARV00069762 3 Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Share of low income applicants by race/ethnicity Filed 06/15/18 Page 5 of 9 PRELIMINARY DRAFT Percent of Applicants with Incomes Less than $60K, by Race/Ethnicity, Classes of2009-2016 30% 25% 24% 25%- 20% 18% 17% 15% 12% 10% 10% - 5% 1% 0% Hispanic African American Highly Confidential - Attorneys Eyes Only Asian Native American Other/Unknown White International HARV00069763 4 Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 The income distribution for applicants byDocument race/ethnicity Page 6 of 9 PRELIMINARY DRAFT Distribution ofIncome, by Ethnicity, Classes of2009-2016 African American Hispanic White le le YYYYY YYYYY YYY Y0000000000 0 000000000000000000000000 0N 1 CO 010 c—I CNM.71- L11 rsi m Ln LID N CO 01 0 CN M CN M Ln rsi rsi CsJ rn m m m rn rn Ln N- CO 01 0 1,1e 1,1e L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 CN CsJ CsJ CsJ tN.I CN .1A-00000000Y IC ILY IC ILY IC ILY Y0000000000 n coN00QOOOQQOOOQQOOOQQ N00OO l m t CN m cn 0 L-1 Csl m'cr LI1 1.0 r•••• 00 01 0 %-1 Cs1 CO Cr Cs1 Csl Csl CN CN rn M M CO CY) %-1 %-1 %-1 %-1 CV CV CV tN tN if? if? i./)• if? if? -(1)- -(1)- -(1)- -(1)- -(1)- -(1)- Note: Of African American, White, Hispanic, and Asian applicants, White applicants have the highest proportion of applicants with incomes greAWALmariU5kilcarepetpawn, Asian applicants have second highest proportion of applicants with incomes greqW.Fivtlio764 $350K, and the lowest proportion of applicants with unknown incomes (did not apply for financial aid). 5 Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Admissions rates by race/ethnicity and income Filed 06/15/18 Page 7 of 9 PRELIMINARY DRAFT Admit Rates by Ethnicity and Income, Classes of 2009-2016 16% 15% 14% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% - 4% - 2% - 0% Native American White African American •Low Income Hispanic Asian International Income > $60K Notes: Applicants with Race/Ethnicity unknown are excluded have similar admit rates at both income levels and are excluded from the chart above. Differences between low income and other applicants are significant for Native American, Asian, Hispanic, and white applicants(NriptnagAiltrogylayrginally significant for African American applicants (p<.1). The difference for interne.WM9765 applicants is not significant. 6 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Modeling admission toCase Harvard College Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 8 of 9 PRELIMINARY DRAFT Coefficientsfor Logistic Regression Modeling Predicting Probability of Admissions, Classes of 2009-2016 Variable Highly Confidential - Attorneys Eyes Only Notes: Pseudo R2 of 0.45 Coefficient p-value Athlete 6.329 0.000 Personal 1 or 2 2.409 0.000 Legacy 2.397 0.000 African American 2.385 0.000 Native American 1.742 0.000 Extracurricular 1 or 2 1.584 0.000 Academic 1 or 2 1.308 0.000 Hispanic 1.289 0.000 Academic Index 1.285 0.000 Low Income 0.899 0.000 Asian and Low Income 0.282 0.000 I nternational 0.229 0.000 Female -0.003 0.877 Ethnicity Unknown -0.031 0.424 Asian -0.429 0.000 Constant -6.222 0.000 HARV00069766 7 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Modeling admission toCase Harvard College Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 9 of 9 PRELIMINARY DRAFT Coefficientsfor Logistic Regression Modeling Predicting Probability of Admissions, Classes of2009-2016 (Includes Interaction Termsfor All Race/Ethnicity and Low Income) Variable p-value Athlete 6.335 0.000 African American 2.509 0.000 Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000 Legacy 2.403 0.000 N ative American 1.787 0.000 Extracurricular 1 or 2 1.586 0.000 Academic 1 or 2 1.314 0.000 Academic Index 1.284 0.000 Hispanic 1.232 0.000 Low Income 0.998 0.000 I nternational 0.249 0.000 Asian and Low Income 0.184 0.013 Hispanic and Low Income 0.126 0.160 Female -0.004 0.847 Ethnicity Unknown -0.016 0.707 Ethnicity Unknown and Low Income -0.136 0.263 N ative American and Low Income -0.236 0.318 Asian -0.418 0.000 African American and Low Income -0.490 0.000 I nternational and Low Income -0.496 0.055 Constant Term -6.239 0.000 Highly Confidential - Attorneys Eyes Only Notes: Pseudo R2 of 0.45 Coefficient HARV00069767 8