GLOBAL CLIMATE COALITION m" November 26. 1996 To: The Global Climate Coalition Board of Directors Subject: The Coalition's Strategy In 1557 1997 offers both challenge and opportunity for the Global Cfimate Coalition. Responding to both will require a level at membership alien and en avellebillty or resources unlike those required in the past. internationally, the coalition will be engaged In negotiations that are intended to lead. by the and of 1997, to a legally binding tree to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Our challenge is to ensure an agreement th ls global and one that Is based on sound science and thorough economic en lysia. Our challenge Is to gain the time needed for careful scrutiny and I public ebate on proposed policies belore such an agreement is finalized. At ho the Coalition taoea the challenge or working with an Administratl that seems dedicated to climate policies that will have an adverse affect on our economic future. The Coalition also races the challenge of changing the mic char ctarlzatien of our petitions as a negative approach to the Issue. This mis characte izstion, advanced by those that would divide the business community, I far trom true and our messages in 1597 must focus on the coalition: po itive and sensible approach to climate. our etrat qy to met these challenges and take advantage of the opportunities is attached. has been reviewed by the GCC Committee Chairs. Operating Committee a Executive Committee and reflects cements made by these members. it Is based on the situation as outlined below. The tactics to implement the Coelitlonla strategy will be assessed and revised as necessary. The CI nton/Gore Administration's views on global climate change are clear: climate ohan poses a serious threat: their assessment oi the science (as reflected In Geneva Ministerial Statement given at COFZ in July 1996) supports the statements and views that urgent action is required; an agreement is hat Includes quantified, legally binding objectives ltargeta) to reduce greenhouse as emissions within a specified time frame. These targets and timetables uld apply to developed nltluns only. i Almadah the Administration has rejected calls far unrealistic short larm target: (is 1 96 by 2005l and has rslecxed the use of inflexible, internaxlonally 'harmcmizad pallclas It says (hat it Iuppons 'medlum term" (2010 has been 13:" nia Avanue, NW - gull: 1500 - North Tower - Telephone: (2 2) 837implied) realistic, but legally binding targets supported in part through an international emlaalona trading scheme and joint implementation. Both concepts require emission caps an Individual nations, but the Administration has been silent on how these would be determined or enforced, Devoid countries have no additional commitments under the agreements now being no otleted. Although the Administration has agreed that because developing untrles will be the source for the majority of future emissions and must be even ually be included, wave to accomplish this should be diecuaeed alter completion the 1997 agreement. The A inistretlon doee continue to talk about the need for economic analysis and essrnent of the vlrloua reduction options and Indeed, is developing a "tool box' at Includes economic models to use for this purpose. Nevertheless. the Adminietr tion is an active proponent of the current process In which negotiations re proceeding in parallel with (or ahead oil analysis. The Eu opeen Union is expected to continue support for short term legally binding turn and to insist on Annex (developed countries) 'common' mandetory liclea auoh ea CAFE type standards, efficiency standards and energy taxes. Devel ping countries will continue to seek to preserve their exemption from new commit ante and to minimize the negative impact of any agreement on their own economl I. This group of netlona will push for higher levels of and financial atslatenoe as a requirement for even minimal action on their part. The re-Lalectlon of Clinton/Gore for a eacond term refocuees and gives added mug'th to those that wish to impose domestic policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by arcing the outcome of the international negotiations with minimal domestic . . The Administration's positions on climate change are expected to be lncorpora in propoeed legislative and regulatory initiatives in 1997. The de ate on climate will go beyond the beltwey In 1997 as the Administratie conducts a series of grass roots and educational programs that will Include 'Towli Hall' meetings and workshops held throughout the United States. These progre are designed to persuade decision makers in states and local communitlee hat actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are necessary For the first tlmen the Administration is likely to play the health card - an unfounded argument thai climate change will cause an increase in diseases and will otherwise effect the hedith or US citizens. These meetings and educational eiforte are meant to lay ha groundwork thought necessary to garner euppon for ratification of a treaty or protocol that includes legally binding targets [and associated costs and life style hangee). (ICC FOCUS - 1991 or annual: mllolu Ind amt-ml whloh Ink to Iddnn '01!qu Ihnuld be hand on uund sol-nu Ink: wonumlc Impact InIlyuI Ind ml! II I glob! quI. 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