11:10 P. 002 /* cs L/, Climate Change Is a Congrcssional Issue -----_ International activity d a t e d tu climate chanac has accelerated siiicc President Bush sigiicd the Frainework Convention on Climate Chance in Rin dc lanein) in 1992 This contrasts with ihc cbbs and flows of mcdia attention clnd rclntive luck ol'pcblic mv areness i;l the United States. A flew United Xations-sponsorcd climxe ~hangt:b u i a u v i (IC! i s IICJW tligagcd in ncgutiations involving more than 160 nations. These iietjotiations are ariticipared to be coniplcred by late 1097 and could produce an agreement placin g the United Stales at a siKnificant economic and compethivo disaadvantaye. while having no substantial cficcr on limiting I h e ridi dclimaie ---. ciluri~t.. Coiigressional oversight i s criiical tu c i l u i t : i l i a the a\dmuustration vigorously holds thc linc against any prematurc and yrwprtous clirnatc change agreements that rlmaten U S . ccoiiomic and competitive interests. The latest round of international climate change negnriarions, k n o w i as the Berlin Mandate Proccss. began in August 1995, Thcsc ncptintion; are expected to strengther! the Chiate Change Convention by adding new policies and measur u iricludiny addi tiond cneryy tascs and caps on national emissions to reduce greenhouse gas ~rtiissionsafter the year. 2000.The Rerlin hhndate P r w s s could take fewer than 18 moi!ths to complete, so rimc is of the essence. hforeover, niany of the principles incorporate d into the negotiating process wnuld skew tiic uutcurr~eagainst U.S. ccoiiomic interests. -- -- Developing Nations Are Exempted: The dirriatc d m g c issue is %globaland can be addressed o d y on a broad inlernational basis I he Cliriton Adniinistrsiion conri:iuously has stressed a global perspective U.S. climate negotiators. however, ayre ed to the Berlin mandate lanyuage that exempts J1 devclopmt! n:triom including the most advaiiced nations such as South Korca and Singapore. and nsiioiis such as China and India that will be rhc largest individual sources o1'rrriisbioils i ; i the 1Ltul-e " L k mpted" count:'ics are invited to the negotiating table, whcre they will be able to protect their exemption and Iwlp determine how much mure should be done by developed nations, such ns the United Stales. to reduce their emissloiis weli inlo thc ncxt century Ironically, the "cxaap~c:Cl" wuntrics, as a group, will producc thc majority of Qreenhouseemissions in future years Targets and Timetable Approach Hurts the United States: Sei.iousproposals berrrg considered in the Rerliti mandate ncgntiations would require lcgally binding targets and tirnctablcs LO rcducc carbon dioxide emissions 15-20 percent below 19W lev els by 2005 or 201 0.If'rarilied, ~riaildalu~y i u ~ a and ~ s tinictabics w d d drop U . S . Groys Domestic Product 2-3 percent (about 3114O-SZOO billion in today's economy) and cost 6/34/06 Page 1 of.3 J CI CdG ~11.3 i Fr o m : N 1CHOtAS SUNDT i 202 547 m o To : ht tp /!wwtt, wwldcorp .co~i~'dc-online/~cciconyres~ htinl 600,OOU jobs annually, accordins IO DRT/McGI~w Hill csiiniatrs. Muitwver. targcts and timetables wouid impose a disproportionate economic burden on rlie U.S. cconnmy, due largely 10 the combined effect of'canrinucd C C O I I C ~ I grouth ~~C and future population iticreases. Countries supporting Target and timetable proposals do no1 i x e these CUIII biiied fuuui 5. Wliat C o q r r s Cau Do held accountable in the Berlin Mandate Prwess ful cl1suI 1118 iliai any agreement' (1 ) includes appropriatc cominitments f i m i all nations Involved in thc negotiatinnq, nnA (2) k e e p the IJnitecl States 011 an even footing with our t rading panncrs, BS 1he Administration must be President Clinton assured last year. This can be acheved 1f'UonSress - -- holds major ovcrsight hcarinp bcfore the mintsterisl.levo1 climate chariye tiegotiations scheduled for July I996 This second meetins uT the C u i ~ ~ r ~ c tufthe i c t : Partlcs (counties thal have ratified the Cliinate Convcntm) will address scientific arid e rnnnmir. analyses and assessment activities and I; S.policies and positions on the new - cornmitrnents being negotiated; evalualcb iiifui rialk kin coiitahcd in thc wide r q e of ccononiic studics that have b w cunducted to dare, and seeks inforrnaiion rqard,ng economic srudies now being cuiiducld by 1lic Administration; requires the LJ.S position in Rerlin mandate negotiations to bc based on full participation of'appropriate federal syeticics rvith euperiise in C C O ~ I O ~ I trade C. and ernploymenr policies; requires that the Umtcd States analyze and assess tne job, trade and competitive impacts of specific poiicies. measures and timetables proposcd; - requires that the secretary of state certify to Conyrcss that any i ~ 1 ~ i >anien&nent t ~ ~ ~ ~ i or ~ ut!izi lesa1 i~istiumcntrcsultine from thc climatc ncgolintiotis and subnutted to the Senate for ratification (1) was developed in a transparent I I I ~ ~ I L I IaC iI d allal)Lr: d foieconomic and environnicntal impacts; (2) etlsul-ej that tne cost of itiiplementation will not ariversciy affect the industrial competitiveness 01'111~ Uriited States, and ( 3 ) states that ~mplementoiionwill be achieved by thc United States without the need i'nr new regultllui y I qui1 ciiieii~s.~taiidards,t m c s or fees; requires that U S . negotiators discuss policy decisions nith and seek the a d ~ i c arid z c u u ~ i x ul'rlolr-9~~eriiiiient l organizations, i i l d u d i i l s U ,S.business, labor wd ttiu canmiunity and considcrs a bipartisan rcsolution or legislation cxpressing these vicws. a i v i i wriiaital Fur tiiui't hfoiination on the Berlin lliandatc Pruccss, possible legislation 01' other issues related to t h e scieticc and economics of climare change. .piwx c u i i u t the Global Climate Canlitinn ST (202) 637-3358. ! I 1 Talking points for GCC talking poiills (Straw-Rlrin) paper Audicnce Friendly Repub. and Dem. staff aware vf dimale change issue but not bricfed on /\T;nhi pmcass Mission: Establish prcdicatc that climate change is a con~;res~iional IWII? 6/24/96 Belicve w e w e d to Page 2 o f 3 - From: . . 1 I' i NICHOLAS SUNDT To : lrtty:/huww.watldcorp.canlidc-onlinc~~cc.tc~ntrrrws html 1 -..__..- L 1202 547 0850 - --.--... --.---.- do lhis before we call pursuc a lcgislativc strategy. 06/25/96 1l:ll _ _ ___ _- b Ob,jective: Creare a straw man IO focus thinking and discusion. Key will Issue: When do wc go to the Hill? Still need a hook Maybe upcoming AGBM meeting yrtrvidc it Smmarize paper - --- - - -~ . ----- . _. - IGCC Huw.P~~c(SCIcI)Cc(Pol(Cv~Econo~rilr~InclerrrITimclwbl~~ P. 004 - \, /'