This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Jan. 21-24, 2019, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, with 65 percent reached on cell phones and 35 percent on landlines. Results have a 3.5 percentage point margin of sampling error for the full sample, including design effects due to weighting. Sampling, field work and data processing by Abt Associates of Rockville, Md. (Full methodological details appended at the end.) *= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 1/24/19 11/1/18 10/11/18 8/29/18 4/11/18 1/18/18 11/1/17 9/21/17 8/20/17 7/13/17 4/20/17 -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 37 28 9 40 28 12 41 29 12 36 24 12 40 25 15 36 24 13 37 25 12 39 26 13 37 22 15 36 25 11 42 27 15 ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 58 9 49 53 9 43 54 7 46 60 7 53 56 10 46 58 9 49 59 8 50 57 9 48 58 13 45 58 10 48 53 10 43 No opinion 5 8 6 4 4 5 4 4 5 6 5 2. What kind of job do you think Trump has done so far on [ITEM], excellent, good, not so good, or poor? 1/24/19 - Summary Table ------ Positive -----NET Excellent Good 49 27 22 ------- Negative ------NET Not so good Poor 49 22 27 No op. 3 a. handling the economy b. dealing with race relations 34 15 19 63 15 47 3 c. creating jobs 51 26 25 46 21 25 3 d. helping the middle class 41 18 23 56 17 39 3 e. handling the federal budget deficit 33 12 21 61 18 43 6 f. improving the health care system 33 9 24 62 22 39 6 g. dealing with the threat of terrorism 50 25 25 48 19 29 2 h. handling international crises 43 21 23 54 20 34 3 i. handling issues of special concern to women 33 12 21 63 17 46 5 j. making appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court 43 24 19 50 18 33 7 k. dealing with border security 43 28 14 57 16 41 1 * Full sample asked items a and b; half sample asked items c-f; other half asked items g-k Trend: a. handling the economy ------ Positive ------------ Negative ------NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor 1/24/19 49 27 22 49 22 27 11/1/17* 44 20 24 53 23 30 1/15/17** 61 25 36 37 17 21 *”What kind of job do you think Trump is doing on...” **”What kind of job do you expect Trump to do on...” No opinion 3 3 2 b. dealing with race relations ------ Positive ------------ Negative ------NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor 1/24/19 34 15 19 63 15 47 11/1/17* 28 7 21 70 19 51 1/15/17** 40 12 28 57 23 35 *”What kind of job do you think Trump is doing on...” **”What kind of job do you expect Trump to do on...” No opinion 3 1 2 c. creating jobs ------ Positive ------------ Negative ------NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor 1/24/19 51 26 25 46 21 25 1/15/17* 59 24 35 38 20 18 *”What kind of job do you expect Trump to do on...” No opinion 3 4 d. helping the middle class ------ Positive ------------ Negative ------NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor 1/24/19 41 18 23 56 17 39 1/15/17* 50 17 32 47 21 26 *”What kind of job do you expect Trump to do on...” No opinion 3 4 e. handling the federal budget deficit ------ Positive ------------ Negative ------NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor 1/24/19 33 12 21 61 18 43 1/15/17* 50 18 32 47 23 23 *”What kind of job do you expect Trump to do on...” No opinion 6 3 f. improving the health care system ------ Positive ------------ Negative ------NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor 1/24/19 33 9 24 62 22 39 11/1/17* 26 6 20 70 23 47 1/15/17** 44 14 30 51 24 27 *”What kind of job do you think Trump is doing on...” **”What kind of job do you expect Trump to do on...” No opinion 6 4 5 g. dealing with the threat of terrorism ------ Positive ------------ Negative ------NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor 1/24/19 50 25 25 48 19 29 11/1/17* 43 18 25 55 21 33 1/15/17** 56 23 33 42 19 23 *”What kind of job do you think Trump is doing on...” **”What kind of job do you expect Trump to do on...” h. handling international crises No opinion 2 2 2 ------ Positive ------------ Negative ------NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor 1/24/19 43 21 23 54 20 34 1/15/17* 44 14 30 53 23 29 *”What kind of job do you expect Trump to do on...” No opinion 3 4 i. handling issues of special concern to women ------ Positive ------------ Negative ------NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor 1/24/19 33 12 21 63 17 46 1/15/17* 37 11 26 61 24 36 *”What kind of job do you expect Trump to do on...” No opinion 5 2 j. making appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court ------ Positive ------------ Negative ------NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor 1/24/19 43 24 19 50 18 33 1/15/17* 49 17 32 46 19 26 *”What kind of job do you expect Trump to do on...” No opinion 7 5 k. No trend. 3. Do you think the policies of the Trump administration have made the United States more respected around the world today, less respected or have they not made much of a difference either way? 1/24/19 More respected 25 Less respected 51 Not much difference 21 No opinion 3 Compare to: Do you think the policies of the Obama administration have made the United States more respected around the world today, less respected or have they not made much of a difference either way? 9/26/12* RV *Fox News More respected 32 Less respected 38 Not much difference 27 No opinion 2 4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Trump as a person? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 1/24/19 4/11/18 ------- Favorable ------NET Strongly Somewhat 32 20 12 32 17 16 ------ Unfavorable -----NET Somewhat Strongly 59 14 45 61 14 47 Compare to: George W. Bush 7/30/01 6/3/01 4/22/01 Bill Clinton Favorable 63 61 64 Unfavorable 34 34 32 No opinion 2 5 4 No opinion 9 7 6/20/04 1/15/01 10/22/00 10/21/00 10/20/00 10/1/00 9/6/00 8/20/00 8/10/00 1/26/00 12/15/99 12/15/99 9/2/99 3/14/99 3/4/99 12/15/98 11/1/98 11/1/98 LV LV LV RV RV RV RV RV LV Favorable 50 44 33 33 32 37 35 35 34 34 32 36 38 30 40 41 37 42 Unfavorable 49 51 60 62 63 58 62 61 62 61 65 62 59 67 54 56 60 54 No opinion 2 5 7 6 5 5 3 3 4 5 3 2 3 4 6 3 3 4 5. Do you think Trump [ITEM], or not? 1/24/19 – Summary Table Yes a. is a strong leader 48 b. is honest and trustworthy 36 c. has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president 39 d. has brought needed change to Washington 41 e. understands the problems of people like you 33 f. is good at making political deals 36 *Half sample asked items a-c; other half asked d-f No 51 61 No opinion 1 2 58 56 65 58 3 3 1 6 Trend: a. is a strong leader 1/24/19 11/1/17 4/20/17 Yes 48 40 53 No 51 59 45 No opinion 1 1 2 b. is honest and trustworthy Yes No No opinion 1/24/19 36 61 2 11/1/17 33 65 2 4/20/17 38 58 4 10/13/16 RV 34 64 3 9/22/16 38 57 5 9/8/16 31 64 4 8/4/16 34 62 4 3/6/16 27 69 4 9/10/15* 35 59 6 *"Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Trump, or not: He is honest and trustworthy." c. has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president Yes No No opinion 1/24/19 39 58 3 11/1/17 31 66 3 4/20/17 38 59 3 10/13/16 RV 34 64 3 9/22/16 35 61 4 8/4/16 31 67 2 3/6/16 25 72 3 9/10/15* 33 63 4 *”Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Trump, or not: He has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president” d. has brought needed change to Washington 1/24/19 11/1/17 9/21/17 Yes 41 42 39 No 56 55 59 No opinion 3 3 2 e. understands the problems of people like you Yes No No opinion 1/24/19 33 65 1 11/1/17 37 62 1 4/20/17 37 61 2 3/6/16 26 72 2 9/10/15* 29 67 4 *Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Trump, or not. He understands the problems of people like you. f. is good at making political deals 1/24/19 11/1/17 Yes 36 37 No 58 58 No opinion 6 4 6. How much confidence do you have in [ITEM] to make the right decisions for the country's future - a great deal of confidence, a good amount, just some or none at all? 1/24/19 - Summary Table a. b. c. d. Trump the Republicans in Congress the Democrats in Congress Nancy Pelosi, the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives -Grt deal/Good amtGreat Good NET deal amt 35 21 14 30 10 20 34 12 22 30 13 17 ---- Some/None ---Just None NET some at all 64 16 48 69 39 30 65 36 29 62 24 Trend: a. Trump 1/24/19 11/1/17 1/15/17 -Grt deal/Good amtGreat Good NET deal amount 35 21 14 34 20 15 38 15 23 ----- Some/none ---Just None NET some at all 64 16 48 65 19 46 61 27 34 No opinion 1 1 1 37 No opinion 1 2 1 8 b. the Republicans in Congress 1/24/19 11/1/17 1/23/14 7/11/10 1/15/10 10/18/09 8/17/09 4/24/09 1/16/09 -Grt deal/Good amtGreat Good NET deal amount 30 10 20 21 6 14 19 5 14 26 8 18 24 6 18 19 4 15 21 4 16 21 4 16 29 8 21 ----- Some/none ---Just None NET some at all 69 39 30 76 48 28 80 47 34 73 43 29 75 47 28 79 46 33 78 45 33 78 50 28 69 49 21 No opinion 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 ----- Some/none ---Just None NET some at all 65 36 29 70 42 28 72 38 34 67 35 32 68 33 35 64 37 27 63 35 29 63 38 25 56 37 19 No opinion 1 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 c. the Democrats in Congress 1/24/19 11/1/17 1/23/14 7/11/10 1/15/10 10/18/09 8/17/09 4/24/09 1/16/09 -Grt deal/Good amtGreat Good NET deal amount 34 12 22 27 8 19 27 9 17 32 12 20 32 11 21 34 12 23 35 14 21 36 12 24 43 15 28 d. No trend. 7. As you may know, the federal government has been partially shut down because (Trump and the Republicans in Congress) and (Pelosi and the Democrats in Congress) cannot agree on laws about border security. Who do you think is mainly responsible for this situation - (Trump and the Republicans in Congress) or (Pelosi and the Democrats in Congress)? 1/24/19 Trump and the Republicans in Congress 53 Pelosi and the Democrats in Congress 34 Both (vol.) 10 Neither (vol.) * No opinion 3 Compare to: As you may know, the federal government has been partially shut down because (Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress) and (Democrats in Congress) cannot agree on laws about border security. Who do you think is mainly responsible for this situation – (Trump and Republicans in Congress) or (Democrats in Congress)? 1/11/19 Trump and Republicans in Congress 53 Democrats in Congress 29 Both equally (vol.) 13 Neither (vol.) 2 No opinion 4 8. Have you personally been inconvenienced by the partial shutdown of the federal government, or not? (IF YES) Has it been a major inconvenience or a minor inconvenience? 1/24/19 1/11/19 10/20/13* 1/7/96* ---- Yes, inconvenienced ----NET Major Minor No op. 22 10 12 0 18 7 10 1 22 11 11 0 12 4 8 NA No 78 82 78 88 No opinion * 1 * * 1/3/96 12 5 11/19/95 12 6 *Phrased in past tense 6 6 88 88 " 1 * 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way [ITEM] is handling efforts to end the partial shutdown of the federal government? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? 1/24/19 - Summary Table -------- Approve -------NET Strongly Somewhat 34 24 10 36 17 19 a. Trump b. Pelosi ------- Disapprove -----NET Somewhat Strongly 60 11 49 54 16 38 No opinion 6 10 On another topic… 10. Do you support or oppose building a wall along the U.S. border with Mexico? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? -------- Support --------------- Oppose --------No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/24/19 42 32 10 54 10 44 4 1/11/19 42 29 13 54 15 38 4 1/18/18 34 25 9 63 11 52 3 9/21/17 37 27 10 62 9 53 1 1/15/17 37 25 12 60 13 47 3 9/8/16* 34 24 10 63 11 52 3 *Do you support or oppose building a wall across the entire U.S. border with Mexico? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 11. Who do you trust more to handle the issue of [ITEM], (Trump and the Republicans in Congress) or (Pelosi and the Democrats in Congress)? 1/24/19 - Summary Table Trump and Pelosi and Both Republicans Democrats (vol.) a. border security 40 42 1 b. illegal immigration 42 47 1 * half sample asked item a; other half asked item b Neither (vol.) 13 8 No opinion 3 2 Compare to: Which political party the (Democrats) or the (Republicans) do you trust to do a better job handling border security? 11/1/18 RV Democrats 39 Republicans 49 Both (vol.) 2 Neither (vol.) 6 No opinion 4 12. Do you think the United States is currently doing (too little), (too much) or about the right amount to keep undocumented immigrants from coming into this country? 1/24/19 Too little 54 On another topic… Too much 16 Right amount 24 No opinion 6 13. As you may know, Special Counsel Robert Mueller has been investigating possible collusion between Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign and Russia, among other issues. How much confidence do you have that Mueller’s final report will be fair and evenhanded – a great deal of confidence, a good amount, just some or none at all? 1/24/19 -Grt deal/Good amtGreat Good NET deal amount 43 24 19 ----- Some/none ---Just None NET some at all 50 28 22 No opinion 7 14. Do you support or oppose the Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives using their congressional authority to investigate [ITEM]? 1/24/19 - Summary table Support a. whether or not Trump's 2016 campaign colluded with Russia b. suspected financial ties between Trump and foreign governments c. Trump's relationship and communications with Russian President Vladimir Putin Oppose No opinion 57 38 5 61 34 4 59 37 4 15. Do you think the Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives should or should not use their congressional authority to obtain and release Trump’s tax returns? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 1/24/19 --------- Should -------NET Strongly Somewhat 60 46 14 ------ Should not ------NET Somewhat Strongly 35 9 26 No opinion 5 16. Just your best guess... Do you think Democrats will (go too far) investigating Trump, will they (not go far enough), or will they handle this about right? 1/24/19 Go too far 46 Not go far enough 17 About right 34 No opinion 3 17. Based on what you know, do you think Congress should or should not begin impeachment proceedings that could lead to Trump being removed from office? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? 1/24/19 8/29/18 ------ Should begin ----NET Strongly Somewhat 40 33 7 49 40 9 --- Should not begin ---NET Somewhat Strongly 55 13 42 46 13 33 No opinion 6 5 Compare to: Based on what you know, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office? 12/6/98 11/22/98 11/1/98 10/25/98 10/18/98 10/10/98 --- Should be impeached --NET Strongly Somewhat 33 NA NA 30 NA NA 27 NA NA 29 NA NA 29 NA NA 31 25 6 -- Should not be impeached -NET Somewhat Strongly 64 NA NA 66 NA NA 71 NA NA 66 NA NA 68 NA NA 64 11 53 No opin. 3 4 2 5 3 4 9/28/98 31 24 7 66 14 9/21/98 41 NA NA 57 NA 9/14/98 38 59 9/13/98* 30 64 8/23/98** 24 70 8/19/98** 30 65 8/17/98** 25 69 *Washington Post: "As you may know, the independent counsel Kenneth delivered a report to Congress summarizing his investigation of the Based on what you know or have heard..." ** "If he does not resign, do you think..." 52 NA 3 2 3 6 6 5 6 Starr has Lewinsky matter. 18. (ASK IF LEANED REPUBLICAN) Would you like the Republican Party to nominate Trump to run for a second term as president next year, or would you like the Republican Party to nominate someone other than Trump as its candidate for president in 2020? 1/24/19 Nominate Trump 65 Nominate someone other than Trump 32 No opinion 3 19. (ASK IF LEANED DEMOCRAT) If the 2020 Democratic primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote? Joe Biden Kamala Harris Bernie Sanders Donald Trump Beto O'Rourke Michelle Obama Elizabeth Warren Cory Booker Steve Bullock Hillary Clinton Amy Klobuchar Nancy Pelosi Oprah Winfrey Michael Bloomberg Sherrod Brown Julian Castro Kirsten Gillibrand John Hickenlooper Gary Johnson Joe Kennedy Dennis Kucinich Jia Lee Bobby Scott Krysten Sinema Mark Warner Other Someone new No one/None of them Anyone/Any of them No opinion 1/24/19 9 8 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 * * * * * * * * * * * * 4 1 7 5 43 20. (ASK IF LEANED DEMOCRAT) What’s more important to you – that Democrats nominate the presidential candidate (whose positions on the issues come closest to yours), or the candidate (who seems most likely to defeat Donald Trump in November 2020)? Closest Most likely Same Neither Both No 1/24/19 on issues 47 to win 43 person (vol.) * (vol.) 1 (vol.) 3 opinion 6 21. (ASK IF LEANED DEMOCRAT) Which of the following do you think should be the most important priority in the U.S. right now: (reducing economic inequality), (combatting global warming), (improving the health care system) or (reducing racial and gender discrimination)? 1/24/19 Reducing economic inequality 21 Global warming 15 Improving the health care system 31 Reducing discrimination 18 Other (vol.) 1 Two or more (Vol.) 13 None (vol.) 1 No op. 1 22. Assuming Trump is the Republican candidate for president in 2020, would you definitely vote for him, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him? 1/24/19 Definitely would 28 Would consider 14 Definitely would not 56 No opinion 1 Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? 1/24/19 11/1/18 10/11/18 8/29/18 4/11/18 1/18/18 Democrat 32 32 33 33 32 31 Republican 24 25 26 25 25 23 Independent 37 35 35 37 35 40 Other (vol.) 4 4 4 3 5 4 No opinion 3 4 2 3 3 2 *** END *** METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS This poll was jointly sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and ABC News. The poll is a random sample of adults in the United States, with interviews in English and Spanish. This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as they appear in this document. Demographic questions are not shown. If a question was asked of a reduced base of the sample, a parenthetical preceding the question identifies the group asked. Phrases surrounded by parentheticals within questions indicate clauses that were randomly rotated for respondents. A dual frame landline and cell phone telephone sample was generated using Random Digit Dialing procedures by Survey Sampling International (SSI). Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers, first requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. The final sample included 351 interviews completed on landlines and 650 interviews completed via cellular phones, including 432 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted to correct for differential probabilities of selection among individuals who are landline-only, cell phone-only or dual users. Results are also weighted match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education and race/ethnicity according to the latest Current Population Survey Social and Economic Supplement. The sample is also weighted to match the average of party identification in the previous two waves of Post-ABC national polls and this current survey. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, which is 1.4 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey’s deviation from a simple random sample and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. Group All adults Registered voters Half samples Leaned Democrats Leaned Republicans Unweighted sample size 1,001 893 477-524 447 405 Error margin +/- 3.5 points 4 5-5.5 5.5 5.5 The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, which recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they produce. Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post conducts polls.