THE DES MOINES REGISTER/MEDIACOM IOWA POLL SELZER & COMPANY Study #2183 803 Iowa adults February 10-13, 2019 Margin of error: ± 3.5 percentage points Weighted by age, sex, and congressional district Percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding. I’m going to mention some elected officials and institutions. For each, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the way each is handling the job. (Rotate list.) Feb-19 The Iowa Supreme Court 59 14 27 Donald Trump as president of the United States Not Sure Approve Disapprove 46 50 4 39 44 35 43 42 56 51 60 52 49 5 5 5 5 9 Feb-19 Sep-18 Jan-18 Dec-17 Jul-17 Feb-17 (Based on likely voters in the 2020 general election.) In the 2020 election, do you anticipate you will definitely vote for President Trump, consider voting for another candidate, or definitely vote for another candidate? Feb-19 Jan-18 Sample size Margin of error n=659 ±3.8pp n=656 ±3.8pp Definitely Trump 36 26 Consider voting for another candidate Definitely vote for another candidate 15 20 Will not vote (VOL) 45 48 Not sure - 4 5 Which of the following best describes your view of funding for a wall along the Mexican border: Feb-19 Jan-18 It should be funded no matter what else is happening with immigration policy It should be funded only with an agreement to give children of undocumented immigrants permanent residence in the U.S. or with a broader deal offering legal status to most undocumented immigrants 37 20 36 6 30 15 50 5 It should not be funded under any circumstances Not sure Here are some specific issues that may be debated in the Iowa Legislature this year. For each, please tell me if you favor or oppose the initiative. (Rotate list.) Amend the Iowa Constitution to clarify that convicted felons are automatically eligible again to vote once they have completed their sentences _______________ SELZER & COMPANY PAGE 1 Feb-19 Favor Oppose 64 29 Not Sure 7 The Iowa Legislature is also considering a change in the way judges are selected in Iowa. Currently, the governor appoints judges from nominees put forward by a judicial nominating commission. The governor chooses half the members of the commission, and Iowa lawyers choose half. It’s been proposed that legislative leaders of both parties would make half of the choices, replacing the role of attorneys. Do you favor the proposed change in how the nominating commission is constituted, or do you favor keeping it the way it is now? 33 54 13 Favor changing the way the nominating commission is constituted Favor keeping it the way it is now Not sure I'm going to mention some general areas of Iowa life where state government could take future action. For each, please tell me if you believe the situation to be a crisis, a big problem, a little problem, or if you think things are working just fine. (Rotate list.). Big Problem Little Problem Working Just Fine 3 13 27 31 26 8 19 28 27 19 Crisis Funding for the Iowa court system Feb-19 Jan-18 Not Sure Have you ever in the past participated in the Iowa caucuses—either on the [REPUBLICAN] side or the [DEMOCRATIC] side, or both? (Alternate parties.) 21 20 8 49 2 Yes, Republican Yes, Democratic Yes, both No Not sure How likely is it you will attend one of the caucuses scheduled for February of 2020 when presidential candidates will be on the agenda—will you definitely attend, probably attend, or probably not attend? (If definitely or probably attend, ask:) Will you attend the Democratic or the Republican caucus? (Interviewer note, if asked: If President Trump is challenged for the nomination, there will be a straw poll at the Republican caucus.) 9 12 8 11 4 47 3 6 Definitely attend Democratic caucus Probably attend Democratic caucus Definitely attend Republican caucus Probably attend Republican caucus Might or might not attend Probably not attend a caucus Don’t know which caucus will attend Not sure Skip next question Ask next question _______________ SELZER & COMPANY PAGE 2 If there were a way to participate on caucus night without being physically present, for example, through a teleconference or a mail-in absentee ballot, do you think you would definitely participate, probably participate, or probably not participate? (If definitely or probably participate, ask:) Will you participate in the Democratic or the Republican caucus? (Asked only of those who are less than probably likely to attend either party’s caucus; n=401. MoE: ±4.9 percentage points.) Based on those unlikely to attend; n=401 Based on all; n=803 4 13 3 14 5 50 5 7 2 6 1 7 2 25 3 3 Definitely participate in Democratic caucus Probably participate in Democratic caucus Definitely participate in Republican caucus Probably participate in Republican caucus Might or might not participate Probably not participate in a caucus Don’t know which caucus will participate in Not sure ABOUT THE POLL The Iowa Poll, conducted February 10-13 for The Des Moines Register and Mediacom by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, is based on telephone interviews with 803 Iowans ages 18 or older. Interviewers with Quantel Research contacted households with randomly selected landline and cell phone numbers supplied by Survey Sampling International. Interviews were administered in English. Responses were adjusted by age, sex, and congressional district to reflect the general population based on recent census data. Questions based on the sample of 803 Iowa adults have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. This means that if this survey were repeated using the same questions and the same methodology, 19 times out of 20, the findings would not vary from the true population value by more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Results based on smaller samples of respondents—such as by gender or age—have a larger margin of error. Republishing the copyright Iowa Poll without credit to The Des Moines Register and Mediacom is prohibited. _______________ SELZER & COMPANY PAGE 3